ECE 471/571 – Lecture 2 Bayesian Decision Theory 08/25/15.

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ECE 471/571 – Lecture 2 Bayesian Decision Theory 08/25/15

Transcript of ECE 471/571 – Lecture 2 Bayesian Decision Theory 08/25/15.

ECE 471/571 – Lecture 2

Bayesian Decision Theory08/25/15

ECE471/571, Hairong Qi 2

Different Approaches - More Detail

Pattern Classification

Statistical Approach Non-Statistical Approach

Supervised Unsupervised

Basic concepts: Distance Agglomerative method

Basic concepts: Baysian decision rule (MPP, LR, Discri.)

Parametric learning (ML, BL)

Non-Parametric learning (kNN)

NN (Perceptron, BP)

k-means

Winner-take-all

Kohonen maps

Dimensionality Reduction Fisher’s linear discriminant K-L transform (PCA)

Performance Evaluation ROC curve TP, TN, FN, FP

Stochastic Methods local optimization (GD) global optimization (SA, GA)

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Bayes formula (Bayes rule)

a-posteriori probability(posterior probability)

a-priori probability(prior probability)

Conditional probability density(pdf – probability density function)(likelihood)

normalization constant(evidence)

From domain knowledge

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pdf examples

Gaussian distribution Bell curve Normal distribution

Uniform distributionRayleigh distribution

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Bayes decision rule

xMaximum a-posteriori Probability (MAP):

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Conditional probability of error

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Decision regions

The effect of any decision rule is to partition the feature space into c decision regions

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Overall probability of error

Or unconditional risk, unconditional probability of error

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The conditional risk

Given x, the conditional risk of taking action i is:

ij is the loss when decide x belongs to class i while it should be j

ij

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Likelihood ratio - two category classification

Likelihood ratio

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Zero-One loss

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Recap

Bayes decision rule maximum a-posteriori probabilityConditional risk likelihood ratioDecision regions How to calculate the overall probability of error

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Recap

Maximuma-posterioriProbability

Likelihood ratio

Overall probability of error