East Tennessee Natural Gas 2010 Customer Meeting
description
Transcript of East Tennessee Natural Gas 2010 Customer Meeting
East Tennessee Natural Gas2010 Customer Meeting
May 27, 2010
East Tennessee Natural Gas 2010 Customer Meeting | May 27, 2010 2
Business Session Agenda
9:00 a.m. Opening Remarks Pat Gibson
9:05 a.m. Operational Update and Summary Ryan James
9:15 a.m. Pipe Integrity Management Program Paul Sinclair
9:25 a.m. East Tennessee LINK® Update Robert Gardner
9:35 a.m. Measurement and Gas Quality Sarah Mohammed
Break10:05 a.m. State Governmental Affairs Brian Fahrenthold
10:15 a.m. Business Development Update Bill Wickman
10:25 a.m. Southeast / Gulf Market Update Justin Carlson – Bentek Energy
11:00 a.m. Q&A / Final Comments
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Safe Harbor Statement
Some of the statements in this document concerning future company performance will be forward-looking within the meanings of the securities laws. Actual results may materially differ from those discussed in these forward-looking statements, and you should refer to the additional information contained in Spectra Energy’s Form 10-K and other filings made with the SEC concerning factors that could cause those results to be different than contemplated in today's discussion.
Operational Update and Summary
Ryan JamesDirector Capacity Services and Scheduling
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Statewide Ranks
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East Tennessee Natural GasTop 25 Delivery Days
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
W06/07 W07/08 W08/09 W09/10
Dem
and
(Dth
)
1/81/10 1/9
1/211/12
1/301/41/61/5 1/311/7 2/10
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Load Duration Curve - Winter
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101106111 1161211261311361411461510
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
W99-00 W04-05 W05-06 W06-07 W07-08 W08-09 W09-10
Dem
and
(Dth
)
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East Tennessee Natural Gas Top 25 Summer Delivery Days
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
S06 S07 S08 S09
Dem
and
(Dth
)
8/19 8/18 6/247/14 7/158/11 8/20 6/24 7/30
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Seasonal Peak Demand
S00 & W00-01
S01 & W01-02
S02 & W02-03
S03 & W03-04
S04 & W04-05
S05 & W05-06
S06 & W06-07
S07 & W07-08
S08 & W08-09
S09 & W09-10
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
Summer Peak Winter Peak
Dem
and
(Dth
)
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Total Seasonal Deliveries
S00 & W00-01
S01 & W01-02
S02 & W02-03
S03 & W03-04
S04 & W04-05
S05 & W05-06
S06 & W06-07
S07 & W07-08
S08 & W08-09
S09 & W09-10
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
90,000,000
100,000,000
110,000,000
120,000,000
Summer Total Winter Total
Tota
l Del
iver
ies
(Dth
)
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Cascade Creek DeliveriesJa
n-07
Mar
-07
May
-07
Jul-0
7
Sep
-07
Nov
-07
Jan-
08
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep
-08
Nov
-08
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep
-09
Nov
-09
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
Primary Secondary IT
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Daily Receipt Profile (Excluding Storage)Ja
n-05
Mar
-05
May
-05
Jul-0
5
Sep-
05
Nov-
05
Jan-
06
Mar
-06
May
-06
Jul-0
6
Sep-
06
Nov-
06
Jan-
07
Mar
-07
May
-07
Jul-0
7
Sep-
07
Nov-
07
Jan-
08
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep-
08
Nov-
08
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-
09
Nov-
09
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Nora Lateral Jewell Ridge Stone Mountain Midwestern Other Texas Eastern SNG TGP
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Outages
• Madisonville to Topside: May 26 – 28 and June 1-3– ILI Runs: June 24 and August 31– ILI Results Sept 30 – Oct 6
• Nora Discharge ILI Results: June 15 - 22• Kingsport Lateral
– Tentative ILI Runs August 17 & 26– Tentative ILI Results Oct 11 - 16
• Ooltewah to Calhoun– ILI Runs June 17 & Sept 8– ILI Results Oct 8 - 14
• Glade Spring Outage Sept 27 - Oct 1• Rural Retreat Outage Oct 5 - 7
Pipeline Integrity
Paul SinclairManager of Pipeline Integrity – SE Region
Why Pipeline Integrity?
Integrity Management
• Review of Federal Regulations (IMP Rule)• Components of Integrity Management• Where are the HCA’s?• Benefits of Integrity Management• Questions
Review of Federal Regulations (IMP Rule)• Dec 17, 2002 – Pipeline Safety Act passed by Congress• Dec 2003 – Integrity Management Rule• Applies to Gas Pipelines in High Consequence Areas (HCA)• First 50% of HCA’s Assessed by Dec 17, 2007
– 55% complete• Balance by Dec 17, 2012
– On schedule for completion• Reassessment Requirement
– Maximum 7 Year Interval
Components of Integrity Management• Create Baseline Assessment Plan (Risk Ranking)• Covers Nine Threats• Modify Pipelines to Accommodate Inspection Tools • Schedule Integrity Assessments
– In-line Inspection Tools (97%)– Direct Assessments (3%)– Hydrostatic Tests (Used only for SCC)
• Response to Integrity Assessments– Immediate– Scheduled– Monitored
Where are the HCA’s?
• 211 HCA’s on East Tennessee System• 92% of Mainline Segments Contain HCA’s• 39% of Laterals Contain HCA’s• 5% of Pipeline Mileage within HCA’s
Benefits of Integrity Management
• Improved Processes & Procedures• Improved Knowledge of Pipeline Facilities• Increased Public Safety• Increased Reliability• Helps Spectra Energy to be
North America’s Premier Natural Gas Infrastructure Company
Questions
East Tennessee LINK® Update
Robert GardnerCommercial Business Project LeadLINK® Systems
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Customer Service Application Enhancements
• Some of the more significant enhancements implemented in 2009: – Priority Modeling– Password Self Service– BA Level Nomination– Know Your Account Manager (Phase II)– Graphical Capacity Release– Link® Mobile
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Customer Service Application Enhancements
• LINK® focus during the first half of 2010 has been Regulatory Compliance.
• Customer enhancements implemented thus far during 2010:– Package ID Confirmations– Auto-Confirmation/Upper Limit Phase II– Auto-Renominations– Customizable Form Functionality– PDF Maps– Backhaul Courtesy Screen– Report Subscription
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Customer Service Application Enhancements
• Sample of enhancements planned for the remainder of 2010:– Entity Level Confirmations– Automatic Nomination Balancing– Integration of Current Customer Usage into LINK® Mobile– Enhancements to Entitlement Maps– Graphical Nomination Priority Communication and Modeling– Integrated Excel Functionality– Projected Allocations and Imbalances– Automatic validation and approval of retro-active adjustments.– Ad Hoc Reporting
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Customer Service Application Enhancements
• Potential Enhancements for 2011:– Customizable Capacity Release Functionality– Customizable Menu Tree Functionality– Consolidated/User Friendly E-Mail Registration – Continued development of LINK ® Mobile– LINK ® Whitebox
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Customer Service Application Enhancements
• What enhancements do you recommend for 2011?http://link.spectraenergy.com/enhancements
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Training
• East Tennessee focused group training will be held in Nashville or Knoxville next year.
• For the rest of the year training will be held in Houston during the months of June, August, October and November.
• Classes include: – The Fundamentals of LINK®
– Advanced Segmentation, Flowing Gas, Capacity Release and Nomination/Confirmations
– Recent Enhancements, Tips, and Tricks
– Invoicing and Local Security Administrator
http://www.linksystemtraining.com
Measurement and Gas Quality
Sarah MohammedManager, Measurement Integrity
Gas Quality Update
Additional ChromatographsAdded the following chromatographs
• Jewell Ridge• Morgan Co 3,7, 9• Columbia Lateral• Dickenson 2 – Chesapeake • Wytheville• Midwestern
Measurement Report Center Update
Sarah MohammedManager, Measurement Integrity
Measurement Report Center• Vision
– One-stop shop for all measurement related information available hourly– Provide comprehensive detail for measurement data– Provide ability for analysis – User-friendly, easy to navigate, single sign-on.– Platform for monitoring gas quality data
• Benefits– Information available on demand – ready when you are– Data presented graphically for better analysis– Gas Chromatograph and volumetric data available hourly – Ability to look at multiple meters across multiple months – Ability to examine and analyze overall demand and usage– Enhanced ability to forecast system load and gas quality
Measurement Report Center - Dashboard
Yearly/SeasonalDemandProfile
Yearly/SeasonalAverage
Peak
Flow Distribution
Measurement Report Center – Peak Flow
Measurement Report Center – Flow Trend
Measurement Report Center – Monthly
Measurement Report Center – Chromatograph Data
Measurement Report Center – Chromatograph Analysis
Measurement Report Center
• Future Enhancements – – To be rolled out by this fall
• Prior Period Adjustment Reports• Automatic Scheduling of Reports
– To be rolled out first quarter 2011• Reports on your wireless device (PDA, Blackberry etc.)
State Governmental Affairs
Brian FahrentholdDirector, State Governmental Affairs
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Spectra EnergyGovernmental Affairs
Report to the General CounselVice President located in WashingtonThree Directors, one federal, two state in the south and north
ADVOCACY AND PROMOTE SOUND PUBLIC POLICY• Pipeline projects• Natural gas use• Pass good legislation and kill bad legislation
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Kentucky Elections 2010
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Kentucky Elections 2010
• U.S. SENATE – Bunning retiring• U.S. HOUSE – Six seats up for grabs, four will remain
Republican.• GOVERNOR – No race, Dem control• STATE SENATE – 19 seats up, even numbered
districts, Republicans maintain control• STATE HOUSE – 100 seats up, Democrats retain huge
control.• PRIMARY – May 18• GENERAL – November 2
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Virginia Elections 2010
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Virginia Elections 2010
• U.S. SENATE – None • U.S. HOUSE – 11 seats, will remain 5-4 Republican.• GOVERNOR – No race, Rep control• STATE SENATE – No races, Dems. control 21-19.• STATE HOUSE – No races, GOP control 52-44 with 2
Ind.• PRIMARY – June 8• GENERAL – November 2
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West Virginia Elections 2010
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West Virginia Elections 2010
• U.S. SENATE – No race, Two Dems.• U. S. HOUSE – Three races, Two Dems. and One Rep.• GOVERNOR – No race, Dem. control• STATE SENATE – Dem. control 28-6• STATE HOUSE – Dem. control 79-21• PRIMARY – May 11• GENERAL – November 2
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Tennessee Elections 2010
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
APRIL 1 - Qualifying deadline for Federal and State positions
AUGUST 5 - Primary election NOVEMBER 2 - General election FEDERAL U.S. Senate - None 2 (R) U.S. House - Nine seats 4 (R) 5 (D)
STATE Governor - Current (D)State Senate - Odd numbered seats (17 out 33) 19 (R) 14 (D)State House - All 99 50 (R) 48 (D) 1 (I)
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
General Political Information
Tennessee ranks as the 10th most conservative state, voting 22.33% more Republican in the 2008 presidential election.Voting patterns since 1992 suggest the state is trending Republican.Tennessee ranks 8th among the 50 states trending towards the GOP.John McCain carried the state in last presidential election 57% to 42%.
Latest Polling
65% of Tennesseans oppose the recently passed federal health care measure.67% of those polled say it would be better for the country if most incumbents in Congress were defeated in November.Only 30% state the President is doing a good or excellent job.All three top Republican candidates for Governor hold double-digit leads over potential Democratic candidates; however none have polled over 50%.Nearly one-quarter of those polled remain undecided . (Gov’s race)Republicans could net two more seats from Tennessee.
Personal Prognostication A Republican will be the next Governor of Tennessee
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
Governor’s RaceRepublicans
Zach Wamp (Congress, Chattanooga)Ron Ramsey (Lt. Governor, Blountville)Bill Haslam (Pilot stations, Knoxville Mayor)Two others
DemocratMike McWherter (son of former Governor)
Independents (13)
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
FEDERALHD 1: (R) Phil Roe, Michael Sabri vs (D) Michael E. Clark; (I) One HD 2: (R) John J. Duncan, Jr. vs (D) Dave Hancock; (I) FourHD 3: (Wamp) (R) Harvey Howard, Tommy Crangle, Van Iron, Art Rhodes, Tim Gobble, Basil Marceaux, Chuck Fleischmann, Jean Howard-Hill, Robin Smith, Grover Travillian, Rick Kernea vs (D) Alicia Mitchell, John Wolfe, Brenda Short, Brent Staton, (I) SixHD 4: (R) Ronald Harwell, Scott DesJarlais, Don Strobng, Jack Bailey, Kent Greenough vs (D) Lincoln Davis (I) FourHD 5: (R) Alvin Strauss, Vijay Kumar, Bob Schwartz, Bob Ries, David Hall, Jeffery Hartline, Patrick Miranda, Jarod Scott, Lonnie Spivak, Tracy Tarum, CeCe Heil vs (D) Eric Schechter, Eric Pearson, Jim Cooper, (I) EightHD 6: (Gordon) (R) Bruce McLellan, Gary Mann, Jim Tracy, Diane Black, Lou Ann Zelenik, Dale Evans vs (D) Devora Butler, George Erdel, Brett Carter, Ben Leming, Henry Clay Barry (I) FiveHD 7: (R) Marsha Blackburn vs (D) Greg Rabidoux (I) OneHD 8: (R) George Flinn, Randy Smith, Ron Kirkland, Ben Watts vs (D) Roy Herron, Kimberlee Smith (I) TwoHD 9: (R) Charlotte Bergmann vs (D) Willie Herenton, Steve Cohen, (I) Two
(Incumbents in Bold)
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
STATE SENATE
1. 17 seats up for grab2. Two Republican incumbents not running: SD 7 (Tim Burchett, Knoxville Mayor) and SD 9 (Dewayne Bunch). The remaining 15 have
incumbents in the field.3. Senate seats up with no opponents: SD 5 (Randy McNally-R); SD 11 (Bo Watson-R); SD 19 (Thelma Harper-D);SD 23 (Jack Johnson-R);
SD 33 (Reginald Tate-D).4. Senate races to watch: SD 7 (Burchett old seat); SD 17 (Beavers vs. Lynn); SD 21 (Doug Henry)5. Wild cards: Lt. Governor Ron Ramsey running for Governor; Senators Diane Black and Jim Tracy seeking the same Congressional seat.6. In the end Republicans maintain control
STATE REPRESENTATIVES 7. 99 seats up for grab8. Nine incumbents not seeking office: (R-Mumpower, McCord, Campfield, Bell, Rowland and Lynn)
(D- Litz, West and Cobb). 90 House members seek re-election. Campfield, Bell and Lynn seeking Senate seats.
9. House races to watch: HD 2 (Shipley vs. Vaughn); HD 3 (Mumpower seat); HD 4 (Speaker Williams running as an Independent); HD 8 (McCord seat); HD 10 (Litz seat); HD 18 (Campfield seat); HD 34 (Rowland seat); HD 57 (Lynn seat); HD 60 (West seat); and HD 62 (Cobb seat).
10. Wild cards: Who becomes Speaker if the Rs take control? Who becomes Speaker if the Ds take control? If there is a 49-49 tie and Speaker Williams returns, who does he vote for?
11. Republicans could maintain control and Democrats may regain control.
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Tennessee 2010 Election Information
SourceRasmussenElection * Projection
Questions??
Business Development Update
Bill WickmanDirectorBusiness Development
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East Tennessee Natural Gas Current Projects Underway
Base Case FactsScope of Work: • Pipe: New Loop - 8.0 miles ; Pickup and Relay – 11.7 miles; Lateral to plant – 8.5 miles 24”• Meter: TVA Plant• Regulator Mods: Glade Spring, Flatwoods and Fordtown
Schedule: • File FERC Application March 2010• FERC Certificate December 2010• Commence Construction April 2011• In-Service Date September 2011
receipt75,000/d receipt
75,000/d
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Current State of Capacity
• ETNG – “West End” Capacity is location specific
• North Line (3100) is fully subscribed (except Morgan #1 to 3306 – 522 Dth/d)• South Line (3200) has location specific capacity
– “East End” Capacity is Limited• Some capacity from Saltville and Early Grove to points on 3300 Line• Short Term capacity from Saltville to Cascade Creek
– Supply Lines/Laterals• Nora Line remains fully subscribed • Jewell Ridge Lateral has a limited amount of capacity• Stone Mountain Line has a limited amount of capacity
• Saltville Storage - Subscribed through March 31, 2011
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Spectra Energy Assets: Well Positioned to Access Changing Supply
59
Supply Basins
Supply Flows
Emerging Shale Plays
Current Supply Pattern
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ETNG Supply - Future
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Business Development Initiatives
• Continue expanding ETNG system to meet emerging market needs
• Explore and develop opportunities to enhance ETNG access to Appalachian Supply
• Incorporate existing customer growth needs into new expansion projects.