EARN 38 to 54%+ Returns Spending Under 30 Minutes a...

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EARN 38 to 54%+ Returns Spending Under 30 Minutes a Day Presented by: Todd Mitchell CEO & Founder Trading Concepts, Inc.

Transcript of EARN 38 to 54%+ Returns Spending Under 30 Minutes a...

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EARN 38 to 54%+ Returns Spending Under 30 Minutes a Day

Presented by:

Todd MitchellCEO & Founder

Trading Concepts, Inc.

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 2

I have been involved with the markets and actively trading for 28 years (since 1988).

My interest in the markets began in high school when I used to manually update my father’s charts.

Since 1994 I have mentored thousands of traders.

My passion is not only trading, but teaching and empowering other traders to be successful too.

I’m known most for day trading the E-Mini S&P 500…although I do trade most all markets using various strategies.

I’ve seen it all, I know what works and what doesn’t.

Who is Todd Mitchell?

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 3

I’ve been featured in Eddie Z’s and Russ Hazelcorn’s book…

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Agenda

I have roughly an hour, possibly a bit more, of material that I want to go through with you today.

Any questions that you decide to type in during our presentation, I will answer them for you at the end of this webinar.

YES… I will be recording today’s session so if you cannot attend the entire webinar, you’ll be able to view the material later.

I will also provide you with these slides in a PDF when I’m finished producing the video recording.

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No claim is made by Trading Concepts, Inc. that the trading strategies shown here will result inprofits and will not result in losses. Trading may not be suitable for all recipients of thisTraining Program. All comments, trading strategies, techniques, concepts and methods shownwithin our Course are not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell stocks, ETFs,futures, foreign currencies, and/or options – they are opinions based on market observationand years of experience. Therefore, the thoughts expressed are not guaranteed to produceprofits in any way. All opinions are subject to change without notice. Each trader/investor isresponsible for his/her own actions, if any. Your opt-in to this information constitutes youragreement to this disclaimer and exempts Trading Concepts, Inc. from any liability or litigation.

Legal Disclaimer

© Trading Concepts, Inc. 5

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 6

In Today’s webinar you will learn…

1) Reasons YOU need to incorporate algorithmic swing trading systems in your overall trading

2) The importance of swing trading 3) The facts of short-term market behavior4) 4 KEY Principles of Successful Swing Trading5) Building a Trading strategy with an EDGE6) Dynamic exits vs. hard stops7) $50,000 to $67,245 in a little more than 6 month’s8) How to learn 5 Algorithmic Trading Systems that have EARNED 38%

to 54%+ Annual Returns since 2007

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 7

I’ve been Swing Trading for over 17 years now,and in the last 6 years I’ve been learning, researching,

experimenting & working with top algorithmic, quant based traders looking for a way to swing trade mechanically that

would enable me to make “good annual returns” in less than 30 minutes a day after the market closes.

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With the entire universe of Stocks and ETFs out there… I needed to come up with a mechanical way to find the “best

of the best,” the “cream of the crop” trades based on objective rules that are setting up for the next trading day.

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Within the last 3 years I found what I was looking for…

I use Algorithmic Systems with an EDGE that puts the odds of success in my favor…

They were built to be simple and consistent

They were developed by me and a professional quant based trader/researcher

Every system data point and trade management rule has been meticulously considered and refined

Use no leverage

It takes less than 30 minutes each night after the market closes

I let the market come to me and enter trades with Limit Orders

Exits are based on an indicator and not a fixed number nor percentage

These systems use a formula to determine position sizing

Again, this takes me NO MORE THAN 30 MINUTES A DAY, there is NO DISCRETION ON MY PART, and ALL of my work is done AFTER the CLOSE.

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 10

So, what is a good reasonable return?

Let’s quickly take a look at Warren Buffett…

Between 1957 and 1969, Warren Buffett’s hedge fund returned 23.8% after expenses vs. 7.4% for the DJIA before he decided to close up his fund because he thought the market was top heavy.

He was only making money when the market was going up – he didn’t even think about strategies that could make money when the market went down!

Buffett came back into the market in late 1973 thinking the market was ready for a big advance again. From 1973 to late 1982 he averaged roughly 28% a year.

After 1983, Buffett managed to beat the market by more than 10% annually.

Since 2000, Warren Buffett managed to beat the market by 6 percentage points annually.

These types of returns, consistently, is what creates multi-millionaires, if not billionaires, over a long period of time.

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The Algorithmic Trading SystemsI personally use are based on the premise of everything you’re going to learn here

today!

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 12

What is a Trading Algorithm?

Algorithm: “a set of rules that precisely defines a sequence of operations. This includes all computer programs, even

programs that do not perform numeric calculations. It is a set of instructions used to accomplish a given task.

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A Trading Algorithm is just a computerized model that incorporates the rules you would follow when entering

or exiting a trade.

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 14

Swing Trading

Swing Trading is the art of profiting from short term price movement spanning a few days to a few weeks looking to take just a portion of the move. Swing Traders are rarely

invested 100% and would rather carefully select the perfect setup to enter and exit positions.

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Swing Trading enables you to allocate your money into several trades a day to take advantage of current

opportunities in the market (different sectors & asset classes)

without tying up all of your capital or time in front of a computer.

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All of my trades are placed the night before,or before market opens, each trading day and

typically last no more than 4 days.

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The Algorithmic Swing Trading Systems I use are based onthe Mean Reversion principle…

Mean Reversion is the assumption that a stock's price will tend to move to the average price over time. When the price

has deviated significantly from the mean, a trade is taken with the expectation that the price will revert to the mean.

So, we will be buying low and selling higher. In other words, buy when prices are unusually low, with the expectation

that they will return to more normal values.

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SPY – SPDR S&P 500 ETF

DIA – SPDR DJ Industrial Average ETF

IWM – iShares Russell 2000 ETF

2/5/15 Open 118.77

8/6/15 Close 120.69 (+1.62%)

2/5/15 Open 204.86

8/6/15 Close 208.35 (+1.70%)

2/5/15 Open 177.28

8/6/15 Close 174.22 (-1.76%)“Algorithmic” trades without any discretion

8/6/15 Account Balance $67,245 (+34.5%)

2/5/15 Starting Capital $50,000

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Why YOU need to consider using an Algorithmic Swing Trading System in your overall trading plan…

Any work to be done is after the close; less than 30 minutes a day, Scan entire market… catch moves in various sectors & asset

classes, Once your system is coded up all you have to do is press a button

to find the trades, There is NO discretion involved whatsoever, and If you’re a more active trader that’s fine, continue to doing that –

this works in the background and there is nothing to do during the trading day.

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9 Additional Reasons Why YOU need to use “Algorithmic” Swing Trading Systems in your overall trading plan:

1) Free yourself from the stress of trading2) We know the expected returns3) We can be lazy4) We know our worst enemy can be ourselves5) Lack of discipline, skills and or time6) To provide or catch more opportunities7) To have exact money management / position management rules8) To have exact entry & exit rules9) No subjectivity – keep it 100% objective!

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Look, many of the most successful hedge funds & money managers utilize some type of algorithmic

trading systems in their overall strategy portfolios...

So, why shouldn’t YOU too?

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You may think that only the smartest people from the best Universities get these jobs – the general

public is also lead to believe that only “Wall Street Insiders’ know these secrets”…

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I’m here to tell you this is not the case!

I’m going to teach you the foundational principles that go into building successful algorithmic trading systems that are able to generate fantastic annual

compound returns, spending less than 30 minutes a day, that creates wealth over time.

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One thing I want you to take away from this: There are no “superior gods” on Wall Street… you have to believe you’re as smart, if not smarter than 95% of the professionals who

work on Wall Street.

Bottom Line: YOU have to TRUST & BELIEVE in YOURSELF!

I’m going to prove to you here that you can do as well, if not beat most hedge funds by doing it yourself.

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ALRIGHT…

what I now want to do is show you thebasic foundation & key principles it takes to create

short-term algorithmic swing trading systems used to achieve long term trading success…

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Facts of Short-Term Market Behavior

The markets (stocks) have a long-term upward bias.

People tend to overreact to negative news and drive stock or ETF prices down too far:

Buying pullbacks has a quantifiable edge.

Buying on further intraday weakness increases the edge.

After stock prices have been driven down, institutional money comes in to buy “value.” This provides “support” and the stock price moves up over a period of a few days.

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4 Keys to UnderstandingThe Principles of Successful Swing Trading

- Building A Trading Strategy with an EDGE:

1) Buy Stocks Above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)

2) Buy Stocks After they have Pulled Back (Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days)

3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Weakness

4) Exit Above the 5-period SMA or a 2-period RSI (a “Dynamic” exit/stop)

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1) Buy Stocks Above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)

SOURCE: Connors, Larry. 1st High-Probability Swing Trading Strategies Summit. Connors Research LLC.

Total Trades: 4,801,104

% Winners: 50.03%

Total Trades: 7,482,377

% Winners: 51.71%

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

51.71% Winners

Entry: CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

50.03% Winners

Entry: CLOSE <= 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

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2) Buy Stocks After they have Pulled Back (Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days)

Total Trades: 945,017

% Winners: 54.39%

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

54.39% Winners

Entry: CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

51.71% Winners

Entry: CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

SOURCE: Connors, Larry. 1st High-Probability Swing Trading Strategies Summit. Connors Research LLC.

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 32

2) Buy Stocks After they have Pulled Back (Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days)

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

54.39% Winners

Entry: CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day HoldBUY 53.92

EXIT 53.28

BUY 19.76

EXIT 20.47

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3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Pull Back

Total Trades: 945,017

% Winners: 54.39% Total Trades: 183,667

% Winners: 57.38%

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

57.38% Winners

Entry: 3% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

54.39% Winners

Entry: CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day HoldSOURCE: Connors, Larry. 1st High-Probability Swing Trading Strategies Summit. Connors Research LLC.

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3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Pull Back

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

57.38% Winners

Entry: 3% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

BUY 52.30

EXIT 54.44

BUY 19.17

EXIT 21.14

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3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Weakness

Total Trades: 183,667

% Winners: 57.38%

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

62.14% Winners

Entry: 7% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

57.38% Winners

Entry: 3% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

54.39% Winners

Entry: CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

SOURCE: Connors, Larry. 1st High-Probability Swing Trading Strategies Summit. Connors Research LLC.

Total Trades: 42,374

% Winners: 62.14%

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3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Weakness

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

62.14% Winners

Entry: 7% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

BUY 459.86

EXIT

518.01

BUY 190.35

EXIT

203.90

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4) Sell Into Strength (Exit on Close Above 5-day SMA– ‘Dynamic’)

Avg % P/L

3.68%

Total Trades: 42,374

% Winners: 62.14%

Total Trades: 42,374

% Winners: 70.95%

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

62.14% Winners

Entry: 7% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: 5 Day Hold

70.95% Winners

Entry: 7% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: CLOSE > 5 SMASOURCE: Connors, Larry. 1st High-Probability Swing Trading Strategies Summit. Connors Research LLC.

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 38

4) Sell Into Strength (Exit on Close

Above 5-day SMA– ‘Dynamic’)

Entry and Exit Rules / Criteria:

70.95% Winners

Entry: 7% Limit Intraday Pull Back below CLOSE of Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days w/ CLOSE > 200 SMA

Exit: CLOSE > 5 SMA

BUY 459.86

EXIT 500.77

BUY 190.35

EXIT 203.90

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Building A Trading Strategy with an EDGE

Quantified Effect of Added Trading Rules

% Winners

70.95%

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Dynamic Exits

When a certain indicator hits a predetermined level(i.e. when the RSI(2) closes above 70)… as opposed to a set

percentage, a pre-determined static price level, or a set number of days.

I use Dynamic Exits for my algorithmic mean reversion swing trading strategies only – I don’t use them when day trading.

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Obviously different exits will give widely different test results so it’s important to back-test your exits to see which ones are most beneficial.

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4 Keys to UnderstandingThe Principles of Successful Swing Trading

- Building A Trading Strategy with an EDGE:

1) Buy Stocks Above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)

2) Buy Stocks After they have Pulled Back (Lowest CLOSE in 10 Days)

3) Buy Stocks On Further Intraday Weakness

4) Exit Above the 5-period SMA or a 2-period RSI (a “Dynamic” exit/stop)

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“Algorithmic” trades… Completely Mechanical Taking less than 30 Minutes a Day!

Algorithmic Swing Trades (+34.5%)

IWM – iShares Russell 2000 ETF (+1.62%)

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© Trading Concepts, Inc. 44

LIVE TRADING JOURNAL(Algorithmic Swing Trades from 2/5/2015 to 8/6/15)

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In a little more than 6 months from February 2,2015 to August 6, 2015…

Starting Capital $50,000 to an Account Balance of $67,245

(+$17,244.87 PROFIT)(including commissions – no slippage because we enter on LIMIT orders)

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So, what I’ve decided to do is take this webinar one step further, a huge step further …I am going to teach you

the exact, 100% rule-based algorithmic trading systems that have produced 38% to 54%+ annual returns…so you too can

start achieving the same type of results that I’ve been showing you throughout this webinar.

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On Saturday, April 16th at 12:00pm ET,I’m going to roll up my sleeves and show you everything I’ve

got, so you can immediately start applying these systems.

These are the exact trading systems I personally use, so I have to limit the amount of people that attend.

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Take a look at these five equity graphs to see the results of the 5 Algorithmic Trading Systems you’ll learn in Saturday’s class.

CAR = 38% CAR = 43%

CAR = 54% CAR = 40% CAR = 46%

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There’s no denying the fact the systems I’m going to teach you make money – and you’re not only going to learn the exact rules and parameters to each trading system, but the foundational principles behind them. Here are the results from 2007 to present:

System 1: $25,000 to $417,730System 2: $25,000 to $1,131,241System 3: $25,000 to $715,022System 4: $25,000 to $634,878System 5: $25,000 to $557,045

These proven, time-tested (back-tested and traded in real-time by me)

algorithmic trading systems are designed for individual traders like yourself looking to earn a consistent income.

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The five trading systems, used together or separately, will maximize your performance yet reduce your overall

portfolio volatility, and will allow you to profit during a rising and falling stock market.

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- In Saturday's LIVE Training, You WILL Learn...

5 swing trading strategies with average annual returns from 2007 to present of 38%, 40%, 43%, 46% & 54% trading stocks.

Exact rules, parameters and foundational principles for each trading system.

Exact entry, exit, money management and position sizing rules to each trading system. 100% objective, NO guesswork.

5 algorithmic mean-reversion & momentum based trading systems that take advantage of short-term market behavior keying off of 4 key principles.

5 Algorithmic trading systems that were built to be simple and consistent.

How to set the systems up where it takes less than 30 minutes each night after the market closes to place your trades. Perfect for those who don’t have much time to trade.

How you can automate the trading process 100%. Introductory Offer ONLY $97

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I would love to see you this Saturday and share with you my 5 Algorithmic Trading Systems that will take you less than 30 minutes a day to achieve similar results, if not better, than

the ones I’ve shown you today.

JOIN ME this Saturday, April 16th at 12:00pm ET…(the class will be recorded if you can’t attend it live)

http://tcprograms.com/introductoryoffer-algorithmic-trading-systems/

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