Early Childhood Needs Assessment Update on … Childhood Needs Assessment Update on analysis and...

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Early Childhood Needs Assessment Update on analysis and findings Early Childhood Iowa Stakeholder Alliance Anne Discher May 14, 2013

Transcript of Early Childhood Needs Assessment Update on … Childhood Needs Assessment Update on analysis and...

Early Childhood Needs Assessment

Update on analysis and findings

Early Childhood Iowa Stakeholder Alliance

Anne Discher

May 14, 2013

About the project

Conduct a comprehensive needs assessment of Iowa’s children from birth to kindergarten entry, their families and access to quality services.

• Deliverable 1 – Document overall population trends in Iowa

– Identify and define populations of young children with high needs

– Identify and define “at-risk” communities in the state

• Deliverable 2 – Document the current supply, capacity and quality of early-childhood

services in Iowa

• Deliverable 3 – “Gap analysis” based on Deliverables 1 and 2

• Deliverable 4 – Final comprehensive report

Today

• Quick review

• Gap analysis

• Further analysis of Central City Metropolitan and Regional Centers

• Preschool and 3rd grade reading proficiency

• Discussion

• Relative to U.S., Iowa has seen modest growth – Iowa is older than U.S. as a whole, but now has the same proportion of

young children

• Iowa is less diverse than the U.S., but growing more diverse at a faster rate

– Young children are the state’s most diverse group

– Population growth among young children is driven by growth in communities of color and Hispanic/Latino descent

• Iowa has high rate of workforce participation among parents of young children and a growing proportion of single parents.

• There is a cluster of characteristics that constitute “need” among children and families:

– Less-educated parents

– Poverty/low-income status

– Language/culture barriers

– Identifiable child needs (physical, developmental, behavioral, environmental)

• Young children with high needs are not evenly distributed within Iowa, but there is no place where there’s no opportunity to improve outcomes.

Findings from Deliverable 1

Gap analysis

• Examines services in relation to needs in two ways

– Define the population eligible for a service and calculate percentage actually being reached

– Identify the counties with great needs for services

• Needed more robust definition of “risk”

• Based on degree of stress on specified variables

Technique from Deliverable 1

• Analysis based on 8 variables:

• Identified most stressed counties on each variable as “high risk”

• Added up “high risk” variables for each county • More than one standard deviation “worse” than state average

• Income • Single parenting • Parent education • Child abuse and neglect

• High-school graduation • Low birthweight • Preschool participation • Unemployment

New technique

• Analysis based on 12 variables:

• Assigns each value a Z-score

• Calculates an average Z-score for each county and assigns each to one of five risk categories based on Z-score

• Poverty (young children under 100%)

• Poverty (young children 100% to 200%)

• Single parenting • Maternal education • Children who speak English

not well or not at all • Child abuse and neglect

• High-school graduation* • 4th grade reading

proficiency* • Low birthweight • Unemployment • Young children with all

parents in the labor force • Teen births

Standard deviation measures

variation from the average in a

data set. The more spread

apart the data, the higher the

deviation.

A Z-score indicates by how many standard

deviations a value is above or below the mean (Z-score of 1 = 1 std dev. higher than average).

* Reversed Z-score used for analysis

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

100 pct poverty 100-199 pct poverty

Single parenting H.S. graduation

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Child abuse and neglect

Females 25-44 w less than H.S.

English not well or at all

All parents in labor force

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Webster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

Franklin

Johnson

Union Henry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allamakee

Mahaska

Ringgold

Worth

Madison

Hamilton

Adams

Palo Alto

Delaware

Cherokee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

WinneshiekMitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Pocahontas

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Audubon

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des Moines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Teen births 4th grade reading

Low birthweight Unemployment

Iowa counties by risk group, revised Moderate: within .2 std devs. Medium-low and -high: .2 to .6 std devs. away Low and high: .6 or more away

Percent of Iowa population under age 6 by county risk groups

Under 100% of poverty

100% to 199% of poverty

Women 25-44 with less than H.S.

Teen births

Share of families with young children served by family-support program, by county-risk group and program type, 2012

OB beds per 1,000 women 18-44 Pediatricians per

1,000 young children

Family practice physicians per 1,000 young children

Dentists per 1,000 young children

Health and Nutrition

WIC Participation

Percent of children 0-4 below 185 percent of FPL participating in WIC by county risk group

Percent of all children 0-4 participating in WIC by county risk group

Central City Metropolitan and Regional Centers • Central City Metropolitan (9)

– Contain urban core of at least 50,000

– Most ethnically, educationally and socially diverse

– Areas of greatest affluence and greatest need (central city versus outlying areas)

• Regional Centers (17)

– Contain a core urban of at least 10,000 people or are adjacent to the urban core with a high degree of social and economic integration

– Slow growing, less educated and less affluent

– Do these counties exhibit same patterns of disparities as Central City Metropolitan counties?

Sac

Linn

Lee

Sioux

Polk

Ida

Clay

Tama

Cass

Kossuth

Lyon

IowaJasper

Page

Story

Clayton

Adair

Jones

Fayette

Clinton

Benton

Cedar

Dallas

Butler

Davis

Floyd

Scott

Mills

Plymouth

Boone

Taylor

Wright

Shelby

Web

ster

Carroll

Hardin

Jackson

Woodbury

Monona

Keokuk

Harrison

Greene

Lucas

Marion

Crawford

Wayne

Warren

Guthrie

O'Brien

FranklinJohnson

Union

He

nry

Calhoun

Clarke

Dubuque

Decatur

Hancock

Grundy

Louisa

Marshall

Pottawattamie

Allam

akee

Mah

aska

Ringgold

Worth

Mad

iso

n

Hamilton

Adams

Palo A

lto

Delaw

are

Ch

ero

kee

Bremer

Howard

Fremont

Buchanan

Win

ne

shie

k

MitchellEmmet

Poweshiek

Monroe Wapello

Black Hawk

Buena Vista

Osceola

Poca

ho

nta

s

Jefferson

Van Buren

Chickasaw

Washington

Au

du

bo

n

Cerro Gordo

Appanoose

Humboldt

Muscatine

Dickinson

Des

Mo

ines

Winnebago

Montgomery

Legend

Central City Metropolitan

Outlying Metropolitan

Regional Center

Small Urban

Rural

Iowa Counties Grouped by Size and Relationship to Major Cities

Percentage change in population under 6, 2000-2010

Percentage of the population under 6, 2010

Selected characteristics by county type

Central places in each county

CC Metropolitan counties Regional Centers

Ames Story County Boone Boone County

Cedar Rapids Linn County Burlington Des Moines County

Council Bluffs Pottawattamie County Clinton Clinton County

Davenport Scott County Fort Madison Lee County

Des Moines Polk County Keokuk Lee County

Dubuque Dubuque County Knoxville Marion County

Iowa City Johnson County Pella Marion County

Sioux City Woodbury County Marshalltown Marshall County

Waterloo Black Hawk County Mason City Cerro Gordo County

Muscatine Muscatine County

Newton Jasper County

Oskaloosa Mahaska County

Ottumwa Wapello County

Spencer Clay County

Spirit Lake Dickinson County

Storm Lake Buena Vista County

CC Metropolitan Central cities

CC Metropolitan Rest of county

Regional Centers Central cities

Regional Centers Rest of county

CC Metropolitan Central cities

CC Metropolitan Rest of county

Regional Centers Central cities

Regional Centers Rest of county

Preschool & 3rd grade reading

• Children with reported preschool participation were more likely to be proficient than those without.

– The difference—5 percentage points—existed four years after the preschool experience itself.

• But there is a roughly 15-point gap between FRL and non-FRL students, whether or not they participated in preschool.

– Suggests that preschool narrows, but does not close, the gap in educational performance of low-income and higher-income children.

Percent of third-grade students proficient in reading by free and reduced-price lunch status and preschool participation

Great variation in preschool participation

• Participation rates among non-FRL children were roughly 15 percentage points higher than for FRL children.

• Rates were as much as 20 points higher for white students than those in other racial and ethnic groups

• Among groups analyzed, ELL students had lowest preschool participation rates

Percent of third graders with parent-reported preschool experience, by free and reduced-price lunch and English Language Learner status and race/ethnicity

Implications

• Parents reports include private as well as public preschool experiences.

– More affluent parents more likely to enroll their children in preschool. Publicly supported preschool is designed, at least in part, to narrow that gap.

• Differences in participation suggest that greater attention needed to recruiting and enrolling low-income, minority and English-language learning students if preschool is to help “close the gap.”

Preschool data to come

Preschool experience of incoming kindergartners, fall 2012

Total students SVPP Shared Visions Part B Title 1 Unduplicated

(SVPP, SV, Part B, Title 1)

Parent reported preschool

County Total students

County type FRPL

State Special ed

ELL

Race/ethnicity

Early childhood through a policy lens

• The first five years of life have the most important effects on health and well-being (but are not where largest investments are currently being made).

• For the first time, young children face the prospect of growing up less healthy and less equipped to compete and lead in a world economy.

• Critical to changing this trajectory is to better identify and respond early to young children’s developmental, behavioral and social concerns – in the context of family and community.

• There is a growing and powerful research base on how to do this, but these ideas have not yet been incorporated into mainstream practice.

• Young children are not current drivers of health care and social welfare costs, but addressing their needs while they are young is key to containing future costs in these areas and producing the greatest overall returns on investment – both for the children themselves and Iowa as a whole.

Discussion • What stood out or surprised you?

• What questions did the presentation raise? Concerns?

• How will you use the data from the needs assessment? How will your organization use it?

• Would you present this information in your community? What pieces would be most interesting and what format would you use?

• How might the ECI Stakeholders Alliance use the needs assessment?

• Who else should see and use it?

505 5th Avenue, Suite 404

Des Moines, IA 50309

www.cfpciowa.org

515-280-9027