E245 autonomow week7
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Transcript of E245 autonomow week7
THE BUSINESS PLAN CANVAS UPDATED
•Research Labs•Equipment Manufacturers•Distribution Network•Service Providers
•Technology Design•Marketing•Demo and customer feedback
•Cost Reduction•Remove labor force pains•Eliminate bio-waste hazards•IP – Patents
•Video Classifier Files•Robust Technology
•Farming conventions.•Demo, demo, and demo!!•Proximity is paramount
•Mid/Large Organic Farmers•Agricultural corporations•Weeding Service Providers
•Mid/Large Conventional Farmers
•Direct Service•Indirect Service• … then Dealers
•Direct Service with equipment rental•($1,500/d; 120d/yr )•Low density: $1,500/d•High density: $6,000/d
Value-Driven
CUSTOMER ARCHETYPES
Oscar, Mid-size/Large “Organic” Farmer • Owns 500-1,000 acres (50% organic), family
business, Spends $300/acre, Budget: $75-$150k
• Motivation: reduce direct weeding cost, investment/innovation averse. Buys small/leases big
Vincent, VP of Agricultural Ops of Ag Corp.• Manages 20,000 acres (20% organic),
Spends $250/acre, Budget: $1.0m • Motivation: TCO: OPEX, Yield (bio-waste
hazards), labor force pains. Wants to buy the equipment, ROI driven Steve, CEO of Weed Corp.
• Manages a work force of 50, provides outsourcing service for (chemical) weeding, Budget: $150k ( 5 workers)
• Motivation: new revenue streams, new ways to increase productivity of his weeding teams, labor issues
PRODUCT OFFERING
Equipment Trainer/Operator Logistics Maintenance
Daily rental: All Inclusive Weeding Kit
“I like it, because I need to pay for the equipment only when needed. Plus, you guys make sure the technology works“.
“I like it, because it allows us to test a new service in different small-acreage environments. Eventually, I want to buy.“
“I like it, but once the technology is robust, I want to buy.”
Competition does asset sale with mixed success: one of the “Vincents” bought a Robocrop, but cannot operate it.
competitor
PRICINGPrice customers are willing to pay depends on
weed density Low-density field: $150 per acre High-density field: $600 per acreWith a machine capacity of 10acre/day Price range of $1,500/day to $6,000/day
Low density field and high-density field require different resolutions for the weed killing mechanism differently equipped systems justify price differences
Price table:Low-density: List price: $1,500/dayHigh-density: List price: $6,000/day
with up to 33% leeway for discounts(volume, price sensitivity)
Robocrop : $171k (Four 40 inch beds)competitor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
$1,600,000
Rental revenue per month
REVENUE MILESTONES
$200k$400k$800k $1.0m $1.5m$100k
Tech II (High density)Tech I (Low density)
•Revenue Drivers: # Machines, Billable Days, Rental Price (Low/high dens)•Gross margin: from 30% to 70% as we move from Tech I to Tech II•Break-Even after one year
Yr1: $1.0m Yr2: $7.0m Yr3: $15mAnnual Revenue:
Organic FarmsLow Density Vegetables (lettuce, tomatoes)
Organic FarmsHigh Density Vegetables (carrots, spinach)
Conventional Vegetable Farms ~ $2B
GROWTH PATH FOR AUTONOMOW
Simple Crops 2011TAM $ 445.28 SM $ 95.17 TM $ 92.07
All Veggies 2015TAM $ 796.87 SM $ 356.70 TM $ 351.82