Duni - Q1 Presentation 2013 · 2015-09-16 · 2013 Q1 Highlights • Professional – overall...
Transcript of Duni - Q1 Presentation 2013 · 2015-09-16 · 2013 Q1 Highlights • Professional – overall...
Q1 Presentation 201319 April, 2013
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Disclaimer• This presentation has been prepared by Duni AB (the “Company”) solely for use at this investor presentation and is
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• The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
• No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person’s officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
2013 Q1 Highlights• Professional – overall stability with soft market
conditions in South – Although continuous weak market in South
Region, improvements visible in several markets.
– Profit negatively influenced by strong Swedish krona.
– Traditional restaurants weakest trend within HoReCa, further utilization on take-away trend accelerated.
• Consumer – Sales growth from new contracts
– Sales growth driven by two large contracts. – Increased geographical width initiated in the
quarter e.g. France and Poland. • Tissue – High temporary utilization influenced by
phase out decision. – Production output clearly higher compared to
last year, influenced by circumstances around phase out decision.
• Net debt continues to be on historical low levels, but negatively influenced by new accounting principles around pension debt (IAS 19)
• Net sales SEK 852 m(856)
• Underlying operating income SEK 55 m (60)
• Underlying operating margin 6.4% (7.0%)
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Market Outlook• HORECA market long-term growing in
line or slightly above GDP.– Mixed signals from numerous markets, but
main markets indicate zero growth.– Higher growth in take-away, catering and fast
restaurants.
• Macro statistics – latest statistics indicate real GDP growth on par or slightly better than 2012
– Consumer confidence still pessimistic, but with more positive outlook for Northern Europe.
• Pulp price slowly moving upwards. Energy prices normalized after low levels in 2012.
• Plastic prices still challenging and clearly higher than last year.
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HoReCa Sales Development Germany 2012
Source: destatis
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+1,5% in volume in Feb and +3,4% in value.
Restaurant Sales Development Sweden (Feb 2012 – Feb 2013)
Business Areas
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Professional–Strong SEK continue to weight on the quarter
Sales and EBIT 1)
05001 0001 5002 0002 5003 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM 2013
SE
K m
illi
on
s
0%
5%
10%
15%
Sales EBIT Margin
1) Excluding non-recurring costs and market valuation of derivatives
• Russia and export trigger for growth.
• Although cost pressure on traded goods, gross margin stable.
Geographical split – sales Q1 2013
626
10
99
377
140
Q1 2012
3.2%6.4%586TOTAL
0.0%0.0%10Rest of the World
1.0%5.1%94South & East Europe
4.2%8.5%345Central Europe
2.1%2.1%137Nordic
Growth at fixedexchangerates
GrowthQ1 2013Net salesProfessional
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Consumer– Growth within all major regions
Sales and EBIT 1)
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM 2013
SE
K m
illi
on
s
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Sales EBIT Margin
Geographical split - sales Q1 2013
• Focus on reaching better price competitiveness in private label sector.
• Cooperation with well established designers in Nordic. Concept well received and reviewed for further expansion.
127
0
4
108
15
Q1 2012
15.0%10.2%140TOTAL
0.0%0.0%0Rest of the World
75.0%75.0%1South & East Europe
11.1%6.5%115Central Europe
60.0%60.0%24Nordic
Growth at fixedexchangerates
GrowthQ1 2013Net salesConsumer
1) Excluding non-recurring costs and market valuation of derivatives
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Tissue– Temporary increase in production output
Internal 52%
External 48%
Sales mix Q1 2013
• Detailed plan around phase out currently reviewed.
• Sales positively influenced in first quarter by circumstances around decision to close hygiene business.
Sales and EBIT
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM2013
0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%
Sa les EBIT Ma r g in
11Financials
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Significant FX effects
2.67
126
79
25
9.3%
342
113
229
77
26
176
438
25.8%9453 669
FY 2012
0.77
36
13
6
6.4%
55
0
55
6
5
39
115
25.7%219852
Q12013
2.650.78Earnings per share
12537Net income
7813Taxes
247Financial net
9.2%7.0%Operating margin (underlying)
33660Operating income (underlying)
1103Nonrecurring items1)22757Operating income (reported)
852Other operating net
238R&D expenses
17242Administrative expenses
431122Selling expenses
25.6%26.5%Gross margin938227Gross profit3 665856Net sales
Q1 LTM 2013
Q12012SEKm
1) Restructuring costs and market valuation of derivatives
Comparison figures for 2012 recalculated in accordance with IAS19R
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Increased Sales in Consumer & Tissue
7.0%
60
856
0.2%
0
104
0.9%
1
127
9.8%
61
626
Q1 2012
6.4%
55
852
3.2%
4
126
1.8%
3
140
9.1%
53
586
Q1 2013
Duni
Tissue
Consumer
Professional
SEKm
Operating margin
Operating income1)
Net sales
Operating margin
Operating income1)
Net sales
Operating margin
Operating income1)
Net sales
Operating margin
Operating income1)
Net sales
9.3%9.2%
342336
3 6693 665
0.2%0.6%
13
436459
1.0%0.7%
64
551564
12.6%12.5%
337329
2 6822 642
FY 2012
Q1 LTM 2013
1) Excluding non-recurring cost and market valuation of derivates
Comparison figures for 2012 recalculated in accordance with IAS19R
14
33
16
60
15
75
16
39
88
Q1 2012
21
49
0
7
11
53
14
84
Q1 2013
402
40
40
15
44
29
88
450
Q1 LTM 2013
414
73
20
7
20
66
113
454
FY 2012
Operating cash flow
Change in working capital
Other operating working capital
Accounts payable
Accounts receivable
Change in;
Inventory
Capital expenditure
EBITDA1)
SEKm
1) Excluding non-recurring costs and market valuation of derivatives
Comparison figures for 2012 recalculated in accordance with IAS19R
Seasonally Strong Cash Flow: Low Capex
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Pension Debt Impact from new IAS standard
1.4
30%
27%
14%
2 635
2 027
608
2 635
272
282
590
432
206
762
1 199
Q1 2013
638786Net debt
1 9882 082Equity
2 6262 868Equity and net debt
14%15%ROCE2)
28%28%ROCE2) w/o Goodwill
32%34%Net debt / Equity
1.41.5Net debt / EBITDA2)
2 6262 868Net assets
285242Other operating assets and liabilities3)
301287Accounts payable
624584Accounts receivable
387485Inventories
207230Net financial assets1)
795899Tangible and intangible fixed assets
1 1991 199Goodwill
FY 2012
Q1 2012SEKm
1) Deferred tax assets and liabilities + Income tax receivables and payables
2) Excluding non-recurring costs and market valuation of derivatives
3) Including restructuring provision and derivatives
Comparison figures for 2012 recalculated in accordance with IAS19R
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Financial Targets• Organic growth of 5% over a
business cycle
• Consider acquisitions to reach new markets or to strengthen current market positions
• Top line growth – premium focus
• Improvements in manufacturing, sourcing and logistics
• Target at least 40% of net profit
Sales growth > 5%
EBIT margin > 10%Underlying
Dividend payout ratio 40+%
-0.8%(at fixed
exchange rates)
9.2%
Q1 LTM 2013
3.50 SEK per share (proposal)
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Thank you!