Dr Paul Jelfs, Assistant Statistician, Health Information and Social Analysis Branch, ABS
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Transcript of Dr Paul Jelfs, Assistant Statistician, Health Information and Social Analysis Branch, ABS
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Dr Paul Jelfs, Assistant Statistician, Health Information and Social Analysis Branch, ABS
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Australian Social Trendson the ABS website
• Editions of AST from 1994
• Social indicators: national, state & territory time series data cubes
• Hyperlinked cumulative topic index
• 2008 seminar series slideshows for each state and territory
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Population Ageing• Future population growth and ageing
• Retirement and retirement intentions
• Trends in superannuation coverage
“CLOCK'S TICKING ON SUPER CONTRIBUTIONS” - AFR“POPULATION WILL PASS 30
MILLION BY 2056” - The Age
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Proportion of population aged 65 years and over
• Series A : high fertility (2.0 per woman) + high level of net migration from overseas (220,000 per year) + high life expectancy (96 years for newborn girls and 94 for newborn boys)
• Series B : current fertility (1.8) + medium net migration (180K) + medium life expectancy (girls 88, boys 85)• Series C : low fertility (1.6) + low net migration (140K) + medium life expectancy (girls 88, boys 85)
1971 1991 2011 2031 2051 2071 2091As at 30 June
%
5
10
15
20
25
30ActualProjected (Series A)Projected (Series B)Projected (Series C)
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Older households (65+ years) with income support as their main income
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less than 5 5–9 10–14 15–19 20+number of years of retirement
%
0
25
50
75
100
superannuation income streamother private sourcewelfarenil or negative
Retirees’ main source of personal income — 2007
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Average superannuation balances — 2007
(Overall median = $24,000 and overall mean = $71,000)
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Employment rate vs retirement intentions
45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70+
0
20
40
60
80
100% employed% of employed who do not intend to retire
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Mental HealthMental Disorder -
'the existence of a clinically recognisable set of symptoms or behaviour associated in most cases with distress and with interference with personal functions'
(ICD-10 Classification of Mental and Behavioural Disorders).
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People with a mental illness — 2007
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Prevalence of selected mental illness (12 months) — 2007
• Anxiety disorders such as panic disorders, involving tension, stress and nerves.• Mood disorders such as depression and bi-polar.• Substance use disorders such as alcohol and drug abuse.
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Prevalence of mental illness (12 months), by age - 2007
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Severity of mental disorders — 2007
Mild Moderate Severe
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
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Social Isolation — 2007Contact with family and friends
Had contact with friendsat least once a month
Had family couldrely on and confide in
with a serious problem
50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100%
With a mental illnessWithout a mental illness
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Health Literacy
Health literacy - ability to use & understand health information such as the directions printed on medications
“Health knowledge
declines with age” –
ninemsn
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Health literacy skill level
Levels 3, 4 and 5 represent adequate or better health literacy
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4/5Health literacy skill level
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
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People with adequate or better health literacy - age and sex
15–1920–24
25–2930–34
35–3940–44
45–4950–54
55–5960–64
65–74
Age group (years)
%
10
20
30
40
50
60 Males
Females
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Highest level of education and household income
Low income Middle income High income
%
0
25
50
75
100 Bachelor degree or aboveAdvanced Diploma/DiplomaYear 12Year 10 or below
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Young people moving out of the parental home (and back again)
“Young adults remain in nest longer” - West Australian
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Selected living arrangements
15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39Age (years)
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Living with parents 1986Living with parents 2006Partner 1986Partner 2006Group house 1986Group house 2006
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Probability of first leaving home by a certain age, people aged 18-34 years
15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33Age when first left home (years)
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
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People aged 18-34 who had left home and returned, length of first time away, 2006-07
<11>2
2>33>4
4>55>6
6>77>8
8>99>10
10>1111>12
Time away from home (years)
%
0
10
20
30
40
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Main reason first left home (18-34 years)
Under 18 18–20 21+Age when first left home (years)
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Family conflictBe independentStudyEmployment/careerLive with partner/get marriedOther(a)
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Reasons for not leaving home/returning home
Reason never left Reason returned
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Financial reasonsConvenienceTo care, or be cared forEnd of relationship/temporary stay Other reason
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Couples in Australia
“MORE COUPLES JUST `LIVE TOGETHER” - The Advertiser
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Marital status of adults
1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
SingleDe facto Married
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1986
2006
Marital status of adults – age group
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Number of live-in relationships 2006–07
Males18–34 years
Females18–34 years
Males35+ years
Females35+ years
%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Three or moreTwoOneNone
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Never partnered people aged 35–64 years — 2006–07
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De facto as a step to marriage:
proportion of married couples who lived together before marriage, by decade of marriage
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Births to unmarried mothers
1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
%
10
15
20
25
30
35
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Trends in household work
“MEN PICK UP PACE BUT HOUSE IS
STILL WOMEN'S WORK” - The Australian
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Paid work vs Household work — 2006
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Time spent on household work, by sex and age group - 2006
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Time spent on selected household tasks
2006– Food preparation and clean up
Males:3 hours and 25 minutes– Females:8 hours
– Laundry and clothes care – Males:35 minutes – Females:3 hours and 25 minutes
– Home maintenance – Males:1 hour and 40 minutes – Females:20 minutes
– Child care – Males:2 hours and 35 minutes– Females:6 hours and 55 minutes
– Purchasing goods and services – Males:4 hours and 25 minutes– Females:6 hours and 45 minutes
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Time spent on household work, by sex and status in employment - 2006
Not in thelabour force
Unemployed Employedpart-time
Employedfull-time
Hrs/week
0
10
20
30
40
50 Males
Females
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Student achievement in maths and science
“Teen boys buck trend to outdo
girls in maths, science” – The West
Australian, 30 June 2009
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1995 2003 2007TIMSS years
490
500
510
520
530
International averageYear 4 mathsYear 4 scienceYear 8 mathsYear 8 science
Maths and science scores, 1995-2007
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Average scores by sex, 2007
(a) Difference between boys and girls are not significant
Year 4 maths(a)
Year 4 science(a)
Year 8 maths
Year 8 science
450 475 500 525 550TIMSS average scores
Boys
Girls
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Selected countries achievement, year 8 maths and science, 2007
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September issue of AST
• Expanding links with Asia• Childhood overweight and obesity• Carers • Multiple job holders• Work/family balance
Release date 24 September, 2009
Coming up…
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Further information
www.abs.gov.au Australian Social Trends ABS catalogue number 4102.0
Linda Fardell [email protected] Phone: (02) 6252 7187
Dr Paul Jelfs [email protected] Phone: (02) 6252 6690