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Dr. Kimberly Green, PATH kgreen@path - · PDF fileKey metrics (2015- 2017) • 3 local...
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Transcript of Dr. Kimberly Green, PATH kgreen@path - · PDF fileKey metrics (2015- 2017) • 3 local...
Dr. Kimberly Green, PATH [email protected]
Vietnam is at a crossroads • HIV epidemic is concentrated in key populations;
prevention and treatment efforts have contributed to a steady decline in new infections
• MoH has committed to 90-90-90 by 2020, and elimination of HIV by 2030
• But, 77.2% of the national HIV program is donor funded, and…
• With Vietnam attaining lower middle income status, major donors have left or dramatically reduced size and geographic scope of programs
Source: MoH/VAAC Investment Case for HIV, 2014; National Health Account, VAAC/MoH 2015; Viet Nam AEM, 2014
Good news… • With the reduction of free/partially subsidized
condoms, there was an incentive for local condom manufacturers to produce for the local market
• Increasing purchasing power, and willingness/ preference to pay
And bad news… • Lack of government awareness of TMA
• Condom market was unregulated, no mandatory standards apply, abundance of low quality and fake products
Source: UNFPA 2014
In 2014, there was both
Building a sustainable response
GOAL
Increase Local
and Private Sector
INVESTMENT
Objective 1
Increase DEMAND for HIV
Goods and Services
Objective 2 Increase private
sector SUPPLY of HIV
Goods and Services
Objective 3
1. Transition from a free and partially subsidized condom market to a full TMA for populations affected by HIV
2. Identify commercially viable ways to reach key populations with affordable and preferred condom brands
3. Support rational commodity planning by MoH and donors Targeting subsidized condoms to those who need
them most
4. Create new and consistent users through demand generation strategies and behavior change
Condom TMA goals in Vietnam
Key TMA steps in Vietnam
1. Analyze policy enablers and barriers related to condom market growth, regulation and management
2. Measure condom volume, value and growth and map existing distribution networks
3. Segment consumers by condom use, preferences and willingness to pay 4. Engage domestic condom manufacturers and distributors in the local market to
produce, brand & deliver quality affordable condoms (to key populations) 5. Boost and sustain demand for quality and affordable condoms 6. Advocate for an improved regulatory environment for condom quality assurance 7. Support national and key provincial HIV leaders to adopt TMA to plan and
prioritize use of finite resources for those most in need
Condom volume and growth
51% 68% 53% 59%
82% 14%
3% 24% 6%
2%
35% 29% 23% 36% 15%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Market size by sector (Volume)
Free
Social Marketing
Commercial
Market forecasting Total market volume for three condom sectors: 2015 – 2019
Source: PATH/USAID Healthy Markets. Market Research on HIV Commodities & Services, 2015
26%
18%
9%
13%
9%
16%
61%
73%
75%
FSW (N=1133)
PWID (N=655)
MSM(N=1359)
Free distribution condom brands
Social marketing condom brands
Commercial condom brands
Condom brands procured in past 3 months Willingness to pay: Price point for one condom
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
1000 1500 2000 3000 4000 8000 12000 16000
FSW (N=1248) PWID (N=1296) MSM (N=1528)
Purchasing behavior and WTP
Source: PATH/USAID Healthy Markets. Market Research on HIV Commodities & Services: Consumer Survey, 2015
Commercial condom price range* • Low end: 1,700 dong (7 cents) per piece • Medium end: 3,000 (13 cents) • High end: 5,420 (24 cents) *Source: Condom Market in Vietnam, IMS, 2014
Optimal condom price for FSW is: 2,500 VND (10 cents), with an acceptable price range from 2,000 – 4,000 VND (9 – 17 cents)
Example: Price sensitivity analysis
Source: PATH/USAID Healthy Markets. Market Research on HIV Commodities & Services: Consumer Survey, 2015
Commercial brands for key populations and wider market
Key metrics (2015-2017) • 3 local manufacturers (Medevice3S, Vietnam
Rubber Trade, Dongkuk)
• 3 brands (OneTouch, Galant, Young Lovers)
• 43.9 million commercial condoms sold (~200% increase per year)
• 92 large and sub-distributors (including key population led CSOs and social enterprises)
• Other local condom suppliers (DKT, MSI and local pharmacy chains) shifted wholesale condom purchase from Thailand or Malaysia to domestic condom manufacturers
Live to Love are boosting sex workers’ access to high quality, affordable condoms in Hai Phong. PATH
Example: Gallant distribution system for KP and wider market
Medevice3s Gallant
Distributor DUMIYO
(24 provinces)
Hotel/guesthouse Pharmacies Supermarket
CSO/social enterprises
(28 in 8 provinces)
Key population clients
Pharmacies/ HIV Hotpots
Online
17%
71%
14% 13%
74%
21%
13%
69%
25%
10% 12%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Fully subsidized Social Marketing Commercial
Availability of condoms in hotels and guesthouses by year and type
2010 2012 2013 2016
Shift in non-traditional outlet trends
Data sources: USAID/PATH Healthy Markets. Condom Retail Outlet Study, November 2016; USAID/PSI Condom Retail Outlet Surveys, 2011, 2012, 2013
Scaling TMA
19
“TMA is a new and innovative response to HIV/AIDS in Vietnam. The approach is a valuable planning and budgeting tool to segment populations and better target finite resources. As external donor funding declines, we are committed to collaborating with new partners to increase access to HIV prevention commodities, growing the market in a responsible and sustainable way.”
Dr. Vu Van Chieu, Vice Chief of the General Planning Department, Vietnam Authority of HIV/AIDS Control
Scaling TMA in Vietnam: policies and investment
• MoH endorsement – MoH formally adopted the total market approach through its HIV annual planning and budgeting tool (Decision 4357, October 2017). Includes a TMA HIV commodity calculator for provincial planning.
• Quality enforcement – MoH approval of Circular 31 that mandates condom quality standards, product registration and spot checks (July 2017).
• Investment – Testing new ideas through an Innovation Fund (unique supply chain, retail outlets, mobile applications++).
Acknowledgments • MoH/VAAC: Dr. Nguyen Hoang Long, Dr. Phan Thi Thu Huong, Dr. Vu Van Chieu • USAID Vietnam: Ngo Minh Trang, Nguyen Thi Minh Huong, Dr. John Eyres, Mei Mei
Peng • PATH: Dr. Vu Ngoc Bao, Nguyen Vu Yen, Tran Tham, Tuan Hoang, Mona Byrkit, Chris
Brady, Keith Neroutsos • CCIHP: Dr. Trang Hong Minh, Dr. Vu Song Ha, Quach Thu Trang • Market research partners: TNS, IPSOS • Value chain: Medevice 3S, Dongkuk, OneTouch, Dumiyo, V-Smile, Hai Dang, G3VN, G-
Link • Media: T&A Ogilvy, MTV, Yan TV, Nghe An TV