Dr James Tate - Better estimation of vehicle emissions for modelling - DMUG17
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Transcript of Dr James Tate - Better estimation of vehicle emissions for modelling - DMUG17
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BIG telematics dataVehicle tracking
Sources:▶ Fleet surveillance e.g.
• Eddie Stobbart• Taxis*
• Insurance industry GPS and CAN/OBD
link ‘white box’ tracking
Second-by-second (1Hz) data
Young driver bias Data anonymised
* Nyhan, M., Sobolevsky, S., Kang, C., Robinson, P., Corti, A., Szell, M., Streets, D., Lu, L., Britter, R., Barrett, S., Ratti, C. 2016. Predicting vehicular emissions in high spatial resolution using pervasively measured transportation data and microscopic emissions model. Atmospheric Environment 140 (2016) 352-363. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.06.018
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BIG telematics datawww.thefloow.com| insights from telematics and mass mobility analysis
Chapman, S. 2016. Vehicular Air Pollution: Insights from telematics and mass mobility and analysis. The Floow Ltd. Routes to Clean Air Conference, Bristol, October 2016 https://www.slideshare.net/secret/km7kcqE8oHtrn9
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BENEFITSBIG telematics dataEmission assessments account for local, real-driving conditions:
Network-wide: No boundaries
Vehicle acceleration, deceleration, cruising & idling
Variability in traffic flow• Month of year• Day of week• Hour of day• Holidays• Special events• Weather• etc
FIGURE | Sample weekday GPS data by hour
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BACKGROUND WORKModelling vehicle movements & emissions
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BACKGROUND RESEARCHTraffic microsimulation & Instantaneous Emission Modelling
0 500 1000 1500 2000
020
4060
Spe
ed (k
m.h
1)
Shipton Rd/Water End
Salisbury Ter Leeman Rd/Station Ave
Museum Str/St Leonard's Pl
Bootham/Gillygate
Shipton Rd/Water End
0 500 1000 1500 2000
02
46
812
Fuel
(g.s
ec1
) Shipton Rd/Water End
Salisbury Ter Leeman Rd/Station Ave Museum Str/St Leonard's Pl Bootham/Gillygate Shipton Rd/Water End
0 500 1000 1500 2000
050
150
250
NO
X(m
g.se
c1)
NOxNO2
Shipton Rd/Water End
Salisbury Ter Leeman Rd/Station Ave
Museum Str/St Leonard's Pl
Bootham/GillygateShipton Rd/Water End
0 500 1000 1500 2000
01
23
Time (seconds)
PM
(mg.
sec1
) Shipton Rd/Water End
Salisbury Ter Leeman Rd/Station Ave Museum Str/St Leonard's Pl Bootham/Gillygate Shipton Rd/Water End
Time series plot of PHEM results for a sample simulated Euro 5 Bus operating the Park and Ride service 2 in the AM peak: (a) Speed, (b) Fuel consumption, (c) NOX and NO2, (d) Particle Mass (PM)
* Zallinger, M., Tate, J., and Hausberger, S. 2008. An instantaneous emission model for the passenger car fleet. Transport and Air Pollution conference, Graz 2008 Moody, A., Tate, J. 2017. In Service CO2 and NOX Emissions of Euro 6/VI Cars, Light- and Heavy- duty goods Vehicles in Real London driving: Taking the Road into the Laboratory. Journal of Earth Sciences and Geotechnical Engineering 7(1):51-62 01 Jan 2017.
0 100 200 300 400 500
020
4060
80
Spe
ed (k
m.h
1)
0 100 200 300 400 500
01
23
45
67
CO
2(g.
sec1
)
0 100 200 300 400 500
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
Time (seconds)
NO
X(g.
sec1
)
Modelled_CO2
Obs
erve
d_C
O2
0
2
4
6
8
0 2 4 6 8
Counts
1123468
11162231436186
121171241
UNDER-PINNING EMISSION MODELInstantaneous Emission Model PHEM*Passenger car and Heavy-duty Emission Model (Euro 0 – 6 / VI)FIGURES | Sample time series, TfL London Drive Cycle, Euro 5 small
family diesel
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CASE STUDIESBIG telematics data
1. Leeds Clean Air Zone study One calendar year (May 2015 – May 2016) 56,000 kms quality checked telematics data Supporting data
Automatic Traffic Count (ATC) data (Leeds CC on A58M) Log special events, incidents etc. Turning proportions from 2015 traffic model (SATURN) Detailed fleet analysis from ANPR study (April 2016) Met. (wind speed, direction, temp, RH, rainfall)
2. Sheffield City Centre One calendar year (May 2014 – May 2015) 15,000 kms quality checked telematics data Supporting data
Met. (wind speed, direction, temp, RH, rainfall)
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METHODBIG telematics data ▶ vehicle emissions
'Raw' telematics
data
Temporal & Spatial variation in VEHICLE
EMISSIONS
DATACLEANING
Kalman filter >SPEED & ACCELERATION
+GRADIENT
INSTANTANEOUS EMISSION MODEL
[PHEM]
LINK EMISSION FACTORS (EFs)
grams.km-1 all vehiclesub-types
WEIGHTING & SCALING EFs
by local Fleet Mix &Flow in timeslices
Day type School termtime:
- AutumnA +B - Spring A +B
- Summer A +B School half-terms(all)
Christmasholiday Easterholiday
Summerholiday Bankholidays
Special events [X, Y, Z]
DATA FORMAT
PHEM compatible
ANPR data Fleet mix and
specification
Traffic Countdata
Automatic
TIME SLICE 0000: to0600:
36 half-hour:06:0006:3007:0007:3008:0008:3009:00
etc23:30
FLEET MIX Proportions vary by
hour & week /weekend
A58(M) TURNING %
Output SATURN2015
CLASSIFIED LINK FLOWS
all segmentIDs
DIGITAL TERRAIN MAP
05. mgrid linkGRADIENTS
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BIG telematics dataHow good is the data?
www.thefloow.com proprietary data handling & cleaning processes
ITS data quality checking / cleaning / processing routines
Single journey of 56,000 kms journeys in the Leeds CAZ study
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LEEDS RESULTSPassenger car NOX Emission Factors (EFs)
FIGURE | Average (all trajectories) passenger car NOX Emission Factors (EFs)
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LEEDS RESULTSPassenger car NOX Emission Factors (EFs)
FIGURE | Passenger car NOX Emission Factors (EFs) all journeys
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 08:00 – 08:30 hrs Direction South Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 08:00 – 08:30 hrs Direction North Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 12:00 – 12:30 hrs Direction South Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 12:00 – 12:30 hrs Direction North Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 17:00 – 17:30 hrs Direction South Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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LEEDS RESULTSVariation in time & space
FIGURE | Autumn term-time (first half) 17:00 – 17:30 hrs Direction North Bound
Passenger car (a) speed & (b) Euro 5 diesel car NOX Emission Factors
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WORK IN PROGRESSLeeds CAZ study
Key tasks: Sampling “calmer” driving trajectories estimate LGV, HGV & Bus
trajectories Weighting & scaling time & space varying EFs by classified flow levels
'Raw' telematics
data
Temporal & Spatial variation in VEHICLE
EMISSIONS
DATACLEANING
Kalman filter >SPEED & ACCELERATION
+GRADIENT
INSTANTANEOUS EMISSION MODEL
[PHEM]
LINK EMISSION FACTORS (EFs)
grams.km-1 all vehiclesub-types
WEIGHTING & SCALING EFs
by local Fleet Mix &Flow in timeslices
Day type School termtime:
- AutumnA +B - Spring A +B
- Summer A +B School half-terms(all)
Christmasholiday Easterholiday
Summerholiday Bankholidays
Special events [X, Y, Z]
DATA FORMAT
PHEM compatible
ANPR data Fleet mix and
specification
Traffic Countdata
Automatic
TIME SLICE 0000: to0600:
36 half-hour:06:0006:3007:0007:3008:0008:3009:00
etc23:30
FLEET MIX Proportions vary by
hour & week /weekend
A58(M) TURNING %
Output SATURN2015
CLASSIFIED LINK FLOWS
all segmentIDs
DIGITAL TERRAIN MAP
05. mgrid linkGRADIENTS
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OUTLOOKBIG telematics data
SHORT-TERM: Target Case Study applications▶ Traffic management interventions
Variable Speed Limits (VSL) & ‘Smart’ motorways Demand management to alleviate congestion Smoothing traffic flow including ecoDriving
Complex, unstable, congested networks Challenging to observe & model traffic flow e.g. Leeds
LONG-TERM: Network wide, system approach Real-time fusion of telematics, fast IEM & in-situ flow
monitoring All vehicle types: Buses (e.g. iBus London) and HGVs