Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi JKUAT 1 Perception and Individual Decision Making Topic 3b.

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Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi JKUAT 1 Perception and Individual Decision Making Topic 3b

Transcript of Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi JKUAT 1 Perception and Individual Decision Making Topic 3b.

Page 1: Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi JKUAT 1 Perception and Individual Decision Making Topic 3b.

Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi

JKUAT

1

Perception and Individual Decision Making

Topic 3b

Page 2: Dr. Fred Mugambi Mwirigi JKUAT 1 Perception and Individual Decision Making Topic 3b.

Perception and Its Importance

Perception

A process by which individuals organise and interpret their sensory impressions in order to give meaning to their environment. People’s behaviour is based on

their perception of what reality is, not on reality itself.

The world as it is perceived is the world that is behaviourally important.

People’s behaviour is based on their perception of what reality is, not on reality itself.

The world as it is perceived is the world that is behaviourally important.

Wednesday, April 19, 2023 2compiled by Dr. Fred Mugambi

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Factors that Influence PerceptionFactors that Influence Perception

Wednesday, April 19, 2023 3compiled by Dr. Fred Mugambi

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Attribution Theory Our perceptions of people differ from our

perceptions of inanimate objects. Attribution theory suggests that when we observe an

individual’s behaviour, we attempt to determine whether it was internally or externally caused.

That determination depends largely on three factors: Distinctiveness Consensus Consistency

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Attribution Theory Contd. Distinctiveness refers to whether an individual displays

different behaviours in different situations. What we want to know is whether the observed behaviour is unusual.

Consensus occurs if everyone who is faced with a similar situation responds in the same way. For example, if consensus is high, you would be expected to give an external attribution to an employee’s lateness at work, whereas if other employees who took the same route made it to work on time, your conclusion as that causation would be internal.

Consistency in a person’s actions. Does the person respond the same way over time? The more consistent the behaviour, the more the observer is inclined to attribute it to internal causes.

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Attribution Theory Contd.

Wednesday, April 19, 2023 6compiled by Dr. Fred Mugambi

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Key Errors and Biases in Attributions

Fundamental Attribution Error

The tendency to underestimate the influence of external factors and overestimate the influence of internal factors when making judgments about the behaviour of others

Self-Serving Bias

The tendency for individuals to attribute their own successes to internal factors while putting the blame for failures on external factors

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Frequently Used Shortcuts in Judging Others

Selective Perception

People selectively interpret what they see on the basis of their interests, background, experience, and attitudes.

Halo Effect

Drawing a general impression about an individual on the basis of a single characteristic

Contrast Effects

Evaluation of a person’s characteristics based on comparisons with other people recently encountered who rank higher or lower on the same characteristics

Wednesday, April 19, 2023 8compiled by Dr. Fred Mugambi

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Frequently Used Shortcuts in Judging Others Contd. Projection Attributing one’s own characteristics to other people Stereotyping Judging someone on the basis of one’s perception of the

group to which that person belongs

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Specific Applications in Organisations

Employment Interview: Perceptual biases of raters affect the accuracy of interviewers’ judgments of applicants

Performance Expectations: Self-fulfilling prophecy (Pygmalion effect): The lower or higher performance of employees reflects preconceived leader expectations about employee capabilities.

Ethnic Profiling: A form of stereotyping in which a group of individuals is singled out—typically on the basis of race or ethnicity—for intensive inquiry, scrutinising, or investigation

Performance Evaluations: Appraisals are often the subjective (judgmental) perceptions of appraisers of another employee’s job performance

Wednesday, April 19, 2023 10compiled by Dr. Fred Mugambi

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The Link Between Perception and Individual decision Making

Perception of the Decision

Maker

Perception of the Decision

Maker

Outcomes

ProblemA perceived discrepancy between the current state of affairs and a desired state

DecisionsChoices made from among alternatives developed from data perceived as relevant

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Assumptions of the Rational Decision Making Model Rational decision-making model

Describes how individuals should behave in order to maximise some outcome Model Assumptions:

Problem clarity Known options Clear preferences Constant preferences No time or cost constraints Maximum payoff

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Steps in Rational decision Making Define the problem Identify the decision criteria Allocate weights to the criteria Develop the alternatives Evaluate the alternatives Select the best alternative.

Define the problem Identify the decision criteria Allocate weights to the criteria Develop the alternatives Evaluate the alternatives Select the best alternative.

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How are Decisions Actually Made in Organizations?

Bounded Rationality Individuals make decisions by constructing

simplified models that extract the essential features from problems without capturing all their complexity.

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Common Biases and Errors Overconfidence Bias Anchoring Bias Confirmation Bias Availability Bias Winner’s Curse Randomness Error Hindsight Bias

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Intuition Intuitive Decision-Making An unconscious process created out of distilled

experience Conditions Favouring Intuitive Decision Making:

A high level of uncertainty Little precedent to draw on Less scientifically predictable Variables Limited facts Facts that don’t clearly point the way forward Analytical data of little use Existence of several plausible alternative solutions exist Time limitation

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Ethics in decision Making Ethical Decision Criteria

Utilitarianism Seeking the greatest good for the greatest

number

Rights Respecting and protecting basic rights of

individuals such as whistleblowers

Justice Imposing and enforcing rules fairly and

impartially

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Ways to Improve Decision Making Analyse the situation and adjust your decision-

making style to fit the situation. Be aware of biases and try to limit their impact. Combine rational analysis with intuition to increase

decision-making effectiveness. Don’t assume that your specific decision style is

appropriate to every situation. Enhance personal creativity by looking for novel

solutions or seeing problems in new ways, and using analogies.

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Reducing Biases and Errors Focus on goals Clear goals make decision making easier

and help to eliminate options inconsistent with your interests.

Look for information that disconfirms beliefs

Overtly considering ways we could be wrong challenges our tendencies to think we’re smarter than we actually are.

Don’t try to create meaning out of random events.

Don’t attempt to create meaning out of coincidence.

Increase your options

The number and diversity of alternatives generated will increase the chance of finding an outstanding one.

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End of Topic Three