Doyle Fuchs Texas Workforce Commission October 23, 2015 · Unemployment Rates (not seasonally...
Transcript of Doyle Fuchs Texas Workforce Commission October 23, 2015 · Unemployment Rates (not seasonally...
Doyle FuchsTexas Workforce Commission
October 23, 2015
TWC Labor Market and Career Information
• Produces and disseminates labor market statistics
• Provides resources for education and career exploration
TWC Labor Market and Career Information
• Current Jobs Picture
• Near-Term Outlook
• Long-Term Projections
• LMI Tools
Unemployment Rates(not seasonally adjusted, monthly, September 2015 latest month)
Source: for Local Area Unemployment Statistics report, U.S. Department of Labor, not seasonally adjusted unemployment rates
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
United States - 4.9%Texas - 4.4%Austin metro area - 3.3%
Annual Job Growth Rates – Texas & U.S.August 2014 – August 2015 (seasonally adjusted)
Source: Texas Workforce Commission and U.S. Department of Labor, Current Employment Statistics
1.9%2.1%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Texas U.S.
Capital Area region
The Labor Market StructureO
il &
Gas
Heal
th C
are
Rest
aura
nts
Accountant Truck Driver Manager
Jane
Sm
ithO
ffice
Man
ager
John
Doe
Sale
s Man
ager
Geography
Indu
stry
Occupations
Jobs
Skills
Excel spreadsheets Customer service
Health Care & Social Assistance
Manufacturing
Education Services
Mining, Oil and Gas
Retail Trade
Public Administration
Transportation & Warehousing
Ranked by QCEW average weekly wages for that industry
Top industry of employment for region, 1990-2015
Industry Title Employment (1Q 1990)
Avg Weekly Wage
(1Q 1990)
Employment (1Q 2015)
Avg Weekly Wage
(1Q 2015)
Educational Services 670,345 $371 1,160,846 $796
Health Care & Social Assistance 664,543 $373 1,516,509 $871
Manufacturing 965,886 $543 893,767 $1,532
Mining, Oil & Gas Extraction 159,256 $791 302,376 $2,791
Public Administration 314,374 $501 438,009 $1,143
Retail Trade 899,202 $290 1,270,092 $575
Transportation & Warehousing 286,155 $543 468,980 $1,201
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
October 2014
TEXAS – Occupational Projections -Typical Education for 2012 & 2022 Employment
483,530
311,380
4,005,050
879,950
1,361,190
287,950
9,404,430
6,435,050
592,730
388,390
4,918,660
1,104,670
1,686,670
351,470
11,123,850
7,838,280
Doctoral or professional degree
Master's degree
Bachelor's degree
Associate's degree
Postsecondary non-degree award
Some college, no degree
High school diploma or equivalent
Less than high school
20122022
• Texas Population – 16,986,510• Civilian Labor Force – 8,618,927• Unemployment – 6.3%• Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs
Manufacturing Retail Trade Educational Services
THEN – 1990
• Texas Population – 27,695,284• Civilian Labor Force – 13,111,548• Unemployment – 5.1%• Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs
Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Educational Services
NOW – 2014
Top Population Growth Texas Counties 2010-2014
County (Big City) Change
Andrews (Andrews) + 17.8%
Sterling (Sterling City) + 17.8%
Hays (San Marcos) + 16.9%
Fort Bend (Sugar Land) + 16.0%
Kendall (Boerne) + 15.5%
Williamson (Round Rock) + 14.7%
Midland (Midland) + 13.8%
Martin (Stanton) + 13.3%
Comal (New Braunfels) + 13.2%
Crane (Crane) + 13.1%
County (Big City) Change
McMullen (Tilden) + 13.1%
Denton (Denton) + 13.0%
Montgomery (Woodlands) + 13.0%
Collin (McKinney) + 12.3%
Ector (Odessa) + 12.3%
Reagan (Big Lake) + 12.1%
Travis (Austin) + 11.7%
Rockwall (Rockwall) + 11.2%
Guadalupe (Seguin) + 11.1%
Gaines (Seminole) + 10.5%Source: U.S. Census Bureau
OccupationsThe Near Future
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Openings Change Minimum training/education1. Registered Nurse 2,181 + 9% Associate’s degree
2. Software Application Developer 2,025 - 1% Bachelor’s degree
3. Customer Service Rep 1,550 + 8% Moderate On Job Training
4. Web Developer 1,436 - 10% Associate’s degree
5. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer) 1,394 + 4% Short Term On Job training
6. Supervisor of Retail Sales Workers 1,350 + 33% Related Work Experience
7. Retail Salesperson 1,315 - 3% Short Term On Job training
8. Supervisor of Food Prep/Serving Staff 1,269 + 21% Related Work Experience
9. Computer User Support Specialist 1,177 - 1% Associate’s degree
10. Marketing Manager 1,084 + 15% Bachelor’s degree
11. Computer Network Administrator 1,033 - 16% Bachelor’s degree
12. Computer Systems Analyst 1,033 - 3% Bachelor’s degree
13. Supervisor of Office Support Workers 1,030 - 4% Related Work Experience
14. Maintenance / Repair Worker 859 + 2% Moderate On Job Training
15. Executive Secretary / Admin Assistant 858 + 4% Related Work Experience
16. Truck Driver (light truck) 708 + 9% Short Term On Job TrainingSource: Wanted Analytics new, unique job postings for past 90 days as of Oct. 21, 2015, for Travis, Williamson, Hays, Bastrop, Caldwell and Blanco counties area.
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Postings Change Minimum training/education17. Food Prep / Serving Worker (fast food) 696 + 12% Short Term On Job training
18. Preschool Teacher 691 + 5% Post-Secondary Vocational Training
19. Supervisor of Construction Workers 680 + 15% Related Work Experience
20. Management Analyst 678 - 16% Bachelor’s degree
21. Information Tech Project Manager 668 - 13% Associate’s degree
22. Maid, Housekeeper 627 - 3% Short Term On Job Training
23. Janitor, Cleaner 603 + 5% Short Term On Job Training
24. Bookkeeper, Audit Clerk 569 + 1% Moderate Term On Job Training
25. Accountant 563 + 7% Bachelor’s degree
26. Waitress, Waiter 557 - 11% Short Term On Job Training
27. Computer Programmer 550 + 14% Bachelor’s degree
28. Medical Secretary 544 + 7% Moderate Term On Job Training
29. Freight, Stock, Material Mover 544 + 15% Short Term On Job Training
30. Software Quality Assurance Tester 533 - 15% Bachelor’s degree
31. Restaurant Cook 511 + 6% Long Term On Job Training
32. Sales Rep (wholesale, manufacturing) 509 - 17% Related Work Experience
33. Construction Laborer 492 + 23% Moderate Term On Job Training
Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Postings Change Minimum training/education34. Secretarial Assistant 486 - 3% Moderate On Job Training
35. Sales Rep (technical, scientific products) 481 + 11% Related Work Experience
36. Computer Systems Engineer/Architect 478 + 3% Bachelor’s degree
37. Construction Carpenter 468 + 21% Long Term On Job Training
38. Medical Assistant 453 + 28% Moderate Term On Job Training
39. Landscaper, Groundskeeper 450 - 2% Short Term On Job Training
40. Receptionist, Information Clerk 449 - 1% Short Term On Job Training
41. Sales Rep (services) 441 - 16% Related Work Experience
42. Product Demonstrator / Promoter 423 - 22% Short Term On Job Training
43. Social & Human Services Assistant 421 + 26% Moderate Term On Job Training
44. Supervisor of Mechanics, Installers 409 - 1% Related Work Experience
45. Medical / Health Services Manager 407 + 16% Bachelor’s degree
46. Human Resources Specialist 400 + 21% Bachelor’s degree
47. General Sales Manager 400 - 2% Related Work Experience
48. Office Clerk 399 - 15% Short Term On Job Training
49. Personal Care Aide 392 - 14% Short Term On Job Training
50. Public Relations Specialist 389 + 9% Bachelor’s degree
Current Job Postings in Austin metro regionOrganization Postings Organization Postings
Dell 1,016 Deloitte 216
Ascension Health 823 Brookdale Senior Living 190
IBM 604 Wells Fargo 181
Accenture 577 Apple 179
University of Texas System 443 Target 174
Robert Half International 441 TEKsystems 172
Goodwill Industries 432 Austin Medical Center 167
Randstad 427 North Austin Medical Center 151
Aerotek 422 Unitedhealth Group 145
Hospital Corp of America 378 HT Group 144
Texas State University 340 St. David’s Medical Center 139
Macy’s 251 Experis Manpower Group 136
Kforce Professional Staffing 251 Parallon 136
Oracle 228 Aramark 135
The Future
Travis County(Capital Workforce Area)
October 2014
Capital Area (Travis County)Employment Change by Industry Sector, 2012-2022
29,140
18,810
16,310
15,670
13,280
9,320
7,460
7,240
5,710
5,100
5,000
4,250
1,390
640
150
Professional & Business Services
Health Care & Social Assistance
Educational Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Government
Retail Trade
Construction
Financial Activities
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Other Services
Information
Transportation & Warehousing
Natural Resources & Mining
Utilities
Service providingGoods producing
October 2014
Annual Average Wage 2014
$19,797
$31,072
$28,894
$33,631
$33,209
$65,394
$22,054
$19,805
$122,393
$19,621
Capital Area (Travis County)Occupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022
4,890
3,410
3,080
3,050
3,030
2,630
2,450
2,420
2,330
2,310
Fast Food Preparation Workers
Customer Service Representatives
Retail Salespersons
Secretaries & Admin Assistants
General Office Clerks
Registered Nurses
Janitors & Cleaners
Waiters & Waitresses
General & Operations Managers
Personal Care Aides
October 2014
Capital Area (Travis County)Fastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022
Average Annual Wage 2014
$91,569
$66,820
$88,563
$76,690
$71,706
$46,648
$54,948
$21,385
$26,968
$19,621
55.6%
48.2%
47.0%
43.3%
43.1%
41.1%
40.3%
39.2%
39.2%
37.0%
Information Security Analysts
Health Specialties Teachers
Logisticians
Operations Research Analysts
Market Research Analysts
Meeting & Event Planners
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Home Health Aides
Helpers--Electricians
Personal Care Aides
The Future
Surrounding Counties(Rural Capital)
October 2014
Rural Capital AreaEmployment Change by Industry, 2012-2022
11,340
9,620
7,440
7,080
6,400
4,310
2,920
2,850
2,680
2,650
2,380
1,060
970
500
70
Educational Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Health Care & Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Professional & Business Services
Construction
Wholesale Trade
Other Services
Financial Activities
Government
Manufacturing
Transportation & Warehousing
Natural Resources & Mining
Information
Utilities
Service providingGoods producing
October 2014
Annual Average Wage 2014
$18,986
$24,885
$48,223
$21,900
$49,374
$21,009
$22,704
$29,604
$48,396
$33,538
Rural Capital AreaOccupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022
3,190
2,660
2,170
1,510
1,220
1,190
1,180
1,170
1,090
1,020
Fast Food Preparation Workers
Retail Salespersons
Elementary School Teachers
Waiters & Waitresses
Secondary School Teachers
Cashiers
Janitors & Cleaners
Customer Service Representatives
Middle School Teachers
General Office Clerks
October 2014
Rural Capital AreaFastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022
Average Annual Wage 2014
$52,187
$48,396
$48,223
$33,868
$22,636
$18,986
$34,991
$76,522
$49,374
$99,073
45.6%
44.7%
44.4%
40.8%
39.9%
38.2%
36.6%
36.4%
35.8%
35.8%
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Middle School Teachers
Elementary School Teachers
Medical Secretaries
Cooks, Restaurant
Fast Food Preparation Workers
Supervisors: Food Preparation Workers
Education Administrators
Secondary School Teachers
Market Research Analysts
Key LMI ToolsLMCI Main Page
www.lmci.state.tx.us
TRACER2 Online Database• (www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114)• Industry and occupational projections by area
Texas Wages (www.texaswages.com/)• Wage ranges for hundreds of occupations by region in Texas
Texas CREWS (www.txcrews.org/)• Earnings and student debt by public college and major
Strategic Workforce Assessment Program• http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/• Workforce supply-demand information by area
www.lmci.state.tx.us
TRACER2 Online Databasewww.tracer2.com/
Long-Term Projectionshttp://www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114
Texas Wageswww.texaswages.com/
www.txcrews.org
Strategic Workforce Assessment Programwww.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/
In Development
Texas CREWS 2.0Texas CARES refresh
Supply/Demand Analysis Portal
Contact Us
Texas Workforce CommissionLabor Market & Career Information
Doyle Fuchs, Director512-936-3105