Dominion - Legislative Servicesdls.virginia.gov/groups/SJR361/MEETINGS/111704/dominion.pdf ·...
Transcript of Dominion - Legislative Servicesdls.virginia.gov/groups/SJR361/MEETINGS/111704/dominion.pdf ·...
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Dominion – A Fully Integrated Energy Company
26,000 MW of electric generation6,000 miles of transmission lines7,900 miles of gas pipeline4 million retail customers
E & P Energy Generation Delivery• Oil and natural
gas development• Natural gas pipeline• Electric transmission• Natural gas storage• LNG• Energy trading
• Coal• Natural gas• Nuclear• Oil• Hydro
• Franchise gas/electric customersin 5 states
• Unregulated retailcustomers in 8other states
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Dominion E&P6.4 trillion cubic feet equivalentof proved gas and oil reserves
Approximately 1.3 billion cubicfeet equivalent of daily production
Dominion Generation~ 26,000 MW of electric generationby year-end
Dominion Energy7,900 miles of natural gas pipeline
6,000 miles of electric transmission
Nearly 1 trillion cubic feet of natural gas storage
Cove Point LNG facility
Dominion Delivery4 million franchise gas and electriccustomers in 5 states
Plus 1.4 million unregulated retailenergy customers in 8 states
Regional Focus, Integrated Assets
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Dominion: Assisting Virginia’s Manufacturers
• Providing reliable and affordable energy
• Pro-active economic development team workswith the state and localities to attract and keepindustries
• Key account rep assigned to each large customer
• Supporting economic development rates
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Dominion’s Balanced Generation Fuel Mix
Nuclear23%
Coal34%
Hydro19%
Natural Gas9%
Petroleum15%
Fuel diversity is important!
• Enhances reliability
• Improves energysecurity
• Provides hedgeagainst price volatility
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Dominion: Dependable Generation Assets
• EPA settlement insures continued operation offossil units (costs shareholders $1.2 B)
• Operating licenses extended for all four nuclearunits in Virginia
• Recently re-powered units at Possum PointPower Station with natural gas
• Exploring possibility of new coal plant insouthwest Virginia
Committed to protecting and expanding our low-costand reliable generation assets
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Energy and Manufacturing in Virginia
• Government, Finance and Services influence VirginiaGSP greater than the manufacturing sector- Government, Finance and Services: ~58% of VA GSP- Manufacturing: 12% of VA GSP
• 76% of manufacturing sector are energy intensive industries- ~10% of total GSP in Virginia
• Chemical and Primary Metal industry are very energyintensive. These industries represent ~2-2.5% of VA GSP- Chemical industry fell victim to high energy prices- Primary Metals is experiencing a significant recovery due
to growing international demand and lower U.S. dollar valuation
• The energy intensive industries least impacted by higherprices are paper and food processing
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Virginia Gross State Product Components
Government18%
Government18%
Services22%
Manufacturing12%
Manufacturing12%
Finance18%
Retail Trade 9%
Transportation 9%
Transportation 9%Wholesale Trade 7%
Construction4%
Agriculture1%Mining
0.5%
Government, Finance and Service sectors represent about 58% of the totalVirginia GSP. Manufacturing sector only accounts for about 12%.
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis,Regional Economic Accounts
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Virginia GSP Sector Breakout (12% total GSP)
Manufacturing: Energy Intensive Manufacturing: Non-Energy Intensive
Real GSP (M of chained 1996 $) 5 Yrs. Avg. Real GSP (M of chained 1996 $) 5 Yrs. Avg.
(1997-2001)
3816299229182378200217491379119411841033763638108
Manufacturing Industry
Chemicals and allied productsElectronic and other electricFood and kindred productsIndustrial machinery/equipmentMotor vehicles/equipmentRubber & misc. plastic productsPaper & allied productsFabricated metal productsOther transportation equipmentTextile mill productsPrimary metal industriesStone, clay & glass productsPetroleum & coal productsEnergy Intensive Average
% Total
13%10%10%8%7%6%5%4%4%4%3%2%
0.4%76%
Manufacturing Industry
Tobacco productsPrinting & publishingLumber & wood productsFurniture & fixturesInstruments & related productsApparel & other textileMiscellaneous manufacturingLeather & leather productsNon-Energy Intensive Average
(1997-2001)
21121697141072457938326016
% Total
7%6%5%2%2%1%1%
0.1%24%
Energy Intensive Industries account for 10% of Virginia’s GSP
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis,Regional Economic Accounts
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Industrial Consumption by Sector
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Electric Gas
% T
otal
Indu
stria
l Con
sum
ptio
n of
Ene
rgy
Chemicals Primary Metals Paper Textile MillsFood Petroleum and Coal Plastics and Rubber Nonmetallic MineralTransportation Equipment Fabricated Metal Wood Products Computer and Electronic
Source: MECS 1998
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Energy Intensive Industries % of Virginia GSP
Industrial Sector % of GDP1995 2003
Virginia’s GSP is becoming less influenced by energy intensive industries
Source: Economy.com
Chemicals
Food
Computer & Electronics
Paper
Textile
Primary Metals
Petroleum & Coal
% Total GSP
1.6%
1.8%
1%
< 1%
< 1%
< 1%
< 1%
5.7%
1.1%
1%
1.2%
< 1%
< 1%
< 1%
< 1%
4.2%
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Dominion Natural Gas Production
Reserves (Bcfe) as of 6/30/2004 6,371Daily Production (Mmcfe/day) 1,252Productive wells 26,299
CanadaCanada
Rocky MountainRocky Mountain
PermianPermian
Mid-ContinentMid-Continent
Gulf CoastGulf Coast
Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico
Appalachian Basin/Michigan
Appalachian Basin/Michigan
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300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
Jan-99
Apr-99
Jul-99
Oct-99
Jan-00
Apr-00
Jul-00
Oct-00
Jan-01
Apr-01
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
Jul-02
Oct-02
Jan-03
Apr-03
Jul-03
Oct-03
Jan-04
Apr-04
Jul-04
Oct-04
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
Current Rigs Current Rigs –– 1,0581,058
Rig
Co
un
t
Source: Baker Hughes
Gas P
rice
Avg 12 Month StripAvg 12 Month Strip
Avg. MonthlyAvg. MonthlyGas Rig CountGas Rig Count
Week
Rigs have responded to price…
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300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
Jan
-99
Apr
-99
Jul-
99
Oct
-99
Jan
-00
Apr
-00
Jul-
00
Oct
-00
Jan
-01
Apr
-01
Jul-
01
Oct
-01
Jan
-02
Apr
-02
Jul-
02
Oct
-02
Jan
-03
Apr
-03
Jul-
03
Oct
-03
Jan
-04
Apr
-04
July
-04
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
Avg. MonthlyGas Rig Count
Total US Dry Production Current Rigs – 1,058
Nu
mb
er s
of
Gas
Rig
s
Source: Lippman Consulting, Inc., Baker Hughes
Gas Production vs. Drilling Activity (Lower 48)
Record activity levels are required to offset production decline
To
tal P
r od
uct
ion
(B
cf/
d)
Production has dropped
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U.S. Natural Gas Demand Growth - 2010
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Tcf
Source: Energy Information Administration
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Tcf
Source: BPMA internal projections
Electric Demand8.5% Growth
Industrial Demand2% Growth
Residential & Commercial~1% Growth
U.S. Demand for Natural Gas (2004-2010)
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The Natural Gas Situation
With demand increasingand the North Americansupply base strugglingto stay flat, maintainingaccess to domestic supplysources and adding LNGis the key
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Existing
Proposed
Source: EIA, Poten, Internal Estimates
Cove Point
• Of 40+ new LNG projects targeting North America, 8 are canceled
LNG Import Terminals
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Dominion Cove Point80 ships received August ‘03 – September 15, 2004
215 MMDt throughput since reactivation
Record peak hourly sendout- 958,000 Dt/day - 2/5/04
80 ships received August ‘03 – September 15, 2004
215 MMDt throughput since reactivation
Record peak hourly sendout- 958,000 Dt/day - 2/5/04
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Dominion Cove Point – Future Expansion
Upon Completion
7 tanks @ 14.6 Bcf Total Storage
1.8 Bcf/d Peak Sendout
Upon Completion
7 tanks @ 14.6 Bcf Total Storage
1.8 Bcf/d Peak Sendout
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Benefits of Cove Point Expansion
• Provides a safe and secure source of neededenergy for the mid-Atlantic market
• Supplements available natural gas resources
• Increases supply options for electric generationand gas customers
• Helps reduce price spikes due to supply problems
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Restructuring Benefits Manufacturers
• Caps rates at 1993 levels to mid-2007- CPI has risen 25% since 1993
• Deregulates generation only; transmission anddistribution remain regulated
The 1999 Restructuring Act:
SB 651• Extends capped rates to 2011
- Continued savings for customers (total $1.8 B)
• Freezes Dominion’s fuel cost adjustment- Shields customers from rising fuel costs
• Encourages coal plant(s) in southwest Virginia
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Supply Delivery CustomersSupply Delivery Customers
State Regulation State & Federal Regulation State RegulationState Regulation State & Federal Regulation State Regulation
Past
Present
Competition State & Federal Regulation State RegulationCompetition State & Federal Regulation State Regulation
Competitive Supply Delivery CustomersCompetitive Supply Delivery Customers
Changes to Virginia’s Electric Business Structure
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Restructuring Benefits Manufacturers
• Caps rates at 1993 levels to mid-2007- CPI has risen 25% since 1993
• Deregulates generation only; transmission anddistribution remain regulated
The 1999 Restructuring Act:
SB 651• Extends capped rates to 2011
- Continued savings for customers (total $1.8 B)
• Freezes Dominion’s fuel cost adjustment- Shields customers from rising fuel costs
• Encourages coal plant(s) in southwest Virginia
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Rate increases and request in selected states
Source: Regulatory Research Associates, Inc.Press Reports, Corporate News Releases
Cases Approved
Cases Pending
Cases Approvedand Pending
13.5%
17%17%
6.3%7.2%7.2%
9.6% 15.6%15.6%
6.8%6.8%
11.8%
16.3%
14.8% 7.5%7.5%
5.8%
18.2%
3.1%3.1%
8.4%8.4%
5.3%5.3%3.6%
7%9%9%
5.5%5.5%
13.1%
5%1.2%1.2%
Cost-of-Service Rate Increases – 2003-04
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Virginia’s Rates Are Lower
Year 2003Industrial FirmPower Rates
Cents per kWh
Source: Rates: Edison Electric InstituteWeighting: Energy Information Administration
Demand of 50,000 KW68% load factor
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Virginia Benefits from Restructuring
Virginia’s electric ratesare at a competitiveadvantage now. Virginia’s wide rangeof fuels for electricgeneration, cappedrates, and frozen fuelfactor will help keep itthat way.
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Keys to Future Competitiveness
• Natural gas, LNG expansion
• Clean-coal fired generation
• Extension of nuclear licenses
• Capped rates through 2010
• Fuel factor frozen
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