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Does Political Alignment Between Top Management and Directors Impair Board
Independence?
Jongsub Lee*
University of Florida
Kwang J. Lee
University of Pittsburgh
Nandu J. Nagarajan
University of Pittsburgh
First Draft September 2011
This version: May 2012
We acknowledge helpful comments from participants at workshops at the Tuck School of Business at
Dartmouth, University of Pittsburgh, the University of Florida, the 2012 AAA FARS Midyear Meeting
and the 2012 Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting. In particular, we thank Don Chance (2012
MFA discussant), Willie Choi, David Denis, Diane Denis, Vicki Dickinson (2012 AAA FARS
discussant), Harry Evans, Mei Feng, Mark Flannery, Vicky Hoffman, Joel Houston, Donald Moser, Andy
Naranjo, Sugata Ray, Jay Ritter and John Wald for their insightful comments and suggestions.
*Correspondence Information: Assistant Professor, Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Department,
Warrington College of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611 U.S.A. Tel:
(352) 273-4966. Fax: (352) 392-0301. Email: [email protected]
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Abstract
Using individual political donation data, we measure the extent of alignment in political
orientation between top executives and independent directors for 2,693 U.S. corporations from
1996 to 2009. We document that such political alignment is associated with lower firm
valuations and operating profitability. We further document increased internal agency conflicts
in firms with politically aligned boards, such as a reduced likelihood of dismissing a poorly
performing CEO, lower CEO pay-performance sensitivity and a greater likelihood of firms
committing accounting frauds. Importantly, these findings are robust to controlling for social ties
and demographic similarities between managers and directors. Therefore, our results shed new
light on a unique but important dimension that can impair board independence – the intangible
connections between managers and directors formed through similar political beliefs.
Key words: Political alignment, board independence
JEL Classification: G34
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Does Political Alignment Between Top Management and Directors Impair Board
Independence?
“Similarity begets friendship”
---Plato
I. Introduction
There appears to be increasing concern that board independence is both important and difficult to
achieve.1 In addition to overt connections, the existence of intangible networks and relationships
between managers and directors could potentially impair board independence and, thus, increase
managerial entrenchment. In this paper, we provide new evidence that alignment in political
orientations between managers and directors can have such an adverse effect on board
independence. Our findings are important not only because they add to the corporate governance
literature on the effective functioning of boards, but also from a regulatory perspective.
Impairment in board independence arising from intangible connections between managers and
directors are hard to discern and difficult to eliminate. Therefore, such connections have the
potential to subvert regulations like the Sarbanes-Oxley Act that seek to enforce board
independence by eliminating any tangible connections within a corporate board.
People tend to associate and bond with others who are similar to themselves. This
tendency, often called the homophily principle, has been extensively studied by sociologists
(McPherson, Smith-Lovin, and Cook (2001)). Similarity in individual value systems, termed
1 Romano (2005) argues that requiring increased board independence may be ineffective because CEOs may have
considerable influence even over independent directors. Hermalin and Weisbach (1991) and Bhagat and Black (2000)
find no evidence that board independence improves firm performance. Larcker, Richardson, Seary and Tuna (2007)
show that cross directorships lead to higher compensation.
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“value homophily” by sociologists, facilitates strong collaborative norms (Reynolds and
Herman-Kinney (2003), Srivastava and Banji (2011))2, and also increases connectivity within an
organization (Pachucki and Breiger (2010)). Similarity in political beliefs, being a form of value
homophily, can, therefore, also potentially lead to increased connectivity among the
organization’s members. In particular, in the corporate context, political alignment between top
managers and board members can result in increased empathy and acceptance between
management and outside directors.
While there is theoretical support for the value created by management-friendly boards
(Adams and Ferreira (2007)), recent empirical studies have documented that socio-demographic
similarities and social networks between CEOs and independent directors can have adverse value
and entrenchment consequences (Westphal and Zajac (1995), Hwang and Kim (2009) and
Fracassi and Tate (2012)). In our paper, we seek to explore whether similarity in political
orientation between top executives and independent directors can potentially have value and
entrenchment consequences that are independent of the effects documented with social ties.
Our paper makes a number of contributions. We are the first to develop a measure of
political alignment between managers and directors by measuring the similarity in their political
orientations. We also investigate the value and internal governance implications of the intangible
connections in individual value systems between managers and directors captured by our
political alignment measure. To elaborate, we extend the literature on the valuation and
entrenchment consequences of socio-demographic similarities and social networks by providing
evidence that our measure of political alignment is also associated with lower valuations, a lower
2 The literature on homophily distinguishes value homophily, in which similarity is based on attitudes, values and
beliefs from status homophily, according to which similarity is based on socio-demographic characteristics such as
race, gender, occupation and education.
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probability of CEO turnover following poor performance, weaker compensation incentives and
greater likelihood of corporate fraud. Importantly, we document that these negative outcomes
associated with political alignment between directors and CEOs exist after controlling for
demographic similarities and social ties, thereby providing evidence that political alignment is
associated with implicit ties between directors and managers that are quite distinct and different
from those identified in the social ties literature.
Recent regulatory initiatives, including the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002, have
emphasized the importance of board independence. For instance, the Sarbanes–Oxley Act
requires that audit committees comprise only of independent directors. Our research contributes
to this discussion by showing that a less discernible but broad-based individual characteristic,
namely political orientation, can also affect board independence. Since imposing legislative
actions on individual political preferences is infeasible, our findings further suggest that
achieving complete board independence may not be possible.
We measure the similarity in political orientation between each firm’s top management
and independent directors by constructing a political homophily index (PHI) between the two
groups. We follow a two-step procedure to construct this measure. First, we measure each
individual’s political orientation by comparing the dollar amounts of political donations made by
that individual to the Republican and Democratic Parties. In particular, we measure the relative
tilt of each person’s political donations toward the Republican Party, and denote it by
Rep_index.3 Then, we calculate group-level averages of the Rep_index values separately for the
3 This individual-level Rep_index is similar to the measure used by Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) and Hutton, Jiang
and Kumar (2011), who document that U.S. money managers and corporate executives with different political
orientations exhibit different preferences towards resource allocation. Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) find that
democratic money managers tend to invest less in stocks with social responsibility concerns. Hutton, Jiang and
Kumar (2011) find that republican top executives tend to adopt more conservative corporate financial policies.
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groups of top five executives and independent directors. Finally, we compute the PHI for each
firm by calculating the inverse Euclidean distance between the two group-level averages and
normalizing the index to be between zero and one, where a PHI value of one (zero) indicates the
greatest (least) similarity in the two groups’ political orientations.. We construct the PHI
between the firm’s CEO and the group of independent directors in a similar manner.
We find that firm values, measured by Tobin’s Q, are significantly lower when the firm’s
top five executives and independent directors have similar political orientations. Our results
indicate that a one standard deviation change in the PHI between the top five executives and
independent directors results in an economically significant 3.63% reduction in the Q ratio,
relative to its sample average. This effect is statistically significant at the 1% level even after
controlling for various board characteristics, firm-level financial variables, and the firms’
external governance index (Gindex) introduced by Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (2003). Our
analysis holds up after several robustness checks, such as controlling for the strength of
individual- and firm-level political connections established through campaign donations and
using alternative specifications of the Rep_index.
As mentioned earlier, we examine whether the negative relation between PHI and the Q
ratio is robust after controlling for demographic similarities and social networks between top
management and independent directors. Motivated by the findings in Westphal and Zajac (1995),
we first control for age and gender dissimilarities between the two groups. Next, we further
control for social connections between CEOs and independent directors using measures
constructed as in Fracassi and Tate (2012). We find that our PHI measure continues to have both
an economically and statistically significant negative impact on Q even after controlling for these
socio-demographic similarities. Importantly, these results show that political alignment between
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managers and directors captures a distinct and unique relationship between them which is
different from social and demographic ties.
Additional analyses show that the CEO’s political alignment with independent directors
explains approximately two thirds of the negative effect on Q of the PHI between the top five
executives and independent directors. Moreover, we find that operating profitability, measured
by return on assets, also exhibits a strong negative association both with the PHI between the top
five executives and independent directors, and also the PHI between the CEO and independent
directors. Further, the CEO-Independent directors PHI has a stronger negative relationship with
return on assets.
Given the importance of the CEO’s political alignment with directors and the possibility
that increased connectivity between the CEO and directors could result in CEO entrenchment,
we further examine whether the CEO-Director PHI is associated with a reduced likelihood of
forced CEO turnover following poor performance and weaker compensation incentives. We find
that CEOs, who are politically aligned with independent directors, are less likely to be dismissed
following poor performance, and their compensation is less performance based. For instance, a
one standard deviation increase in PHI between the CEO and independent directors reduces the
pay-performance-sensitivity (PPS, hereafter) of CEO compensation by 19.3% relative to the PPS
without the PHI effect.
Next, we investigate whether political alignment between the top management team and
independent directors affects the quality of financial reporting. Using corporate fraud data from
Dyck, Morse and Zingales (2011), we find that the marginal probability of a firm being involved
in high-profile corporate fraud goes up by 5% for a one standard deviation change in PHI
between the two groups. This effect of PHI on the likelihood of corporate fraud is roughly twice
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as large as that explained by the degree of social connections between the CEO and independent
directors.
Finally, we report the results of robustness checks. We address the possibility that the
relation between PHI and Q is endogenous, by using a sub-sample of firm-years to identify
discrete, non-performance-related changes in PHI associated with the deaths and non-
performance-related turnover of CEOs and directors. Further, we also conduct two-stage least
squares instrumental variable regressions (2SLS IV) based on the predictive regression
specifications. By doing so, we show that our results are unlikely to suffer from reverse causality
problems, except in the extremely unlikely event that the firm’s top executives and directors are
able to perfectly forecast the firm’s future performance over longer time horizons such as 3 to 6
years.
Overall, we provide evidence suggesting that similarity in political orientation between
top executives and independent directors potentially increases connectedness within the
corporate board room, thereby exacerbating internal agency problems. We also show that our
measure has effects that are distinct from those associated with social ties or demographic
similarities between managers and directors. This suggests that similarity in less discernible
individual characteristics such as opinions and value systems, arising from political alignment,
could weaken the monitoring intensity of independent directors, even after the board’s
independence may seemingly have been achieved by eliminating other factors such as board
interlocks and any commonalities in socio-demographics between top executives and directors.
In particular, political alignment, being hard to discern and difficult to eliminate, has the
potential to subvert regulations like the Sarbanes-Oxley Act that seek to enforce board
independence.
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The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section II reviews related literature
and develops our hypotheses. Section III describes our political and financial data. Section IV
describes the construction of our main political variables. The results are presented in Section V,
Section VI contains robustness analyses and Section VII presents the conclusion of this study.
II. Related Literature and Hypotheses Development
Sociologists have long studied the homophily principle that contact among similar people
occurs at a higher rate than among dissimilar people (See McPherson, Smith-Lovin, and Cook
(2001) for a comprehensive review of the literature). One dimension of similarity examined in
the literature is individual political orientation. For instance, Verbrugge (1977), Knoke (1990)
and Huckfeldt and Sprague (1995) use a person’s political orientation as a proxy for the
individual’s value system and behavioral patterns, and find a significant tendency among adults
to interact with those conforming to their own political orientations. Such voluntary associations
in social spaces, linked to similarity in political orientation, illustrate the importance of political
alignment as a catalyst in developing connections among people.
Two recent studies in behavioral finance document that people with different political
orientations exhibit different preferences. Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) find that democratic
money managers tend to hold less of their portfolios in companies with social responsibility
concerns. Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011) find that firms with republican top executives tend to
choose more conservative corporate financial policies. These findings support the sociologists’
view that individual political orientations could well reflect underlying value systems.
While the political orientation of executives could influence their decision choices, such
decisions are also subject to review and oversight by the board of directors. Therefore, the
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political orientations of directors are also likely to play a role in the governance and decision
making of firms. More importantly, the alignment in political beliefs and values between
directors and top executives is likely to be important in determining the kind of oversight the
board exerts over the CEO and top executives. While shared values and belief systems between
managers and independent directors can potentially result in quicker and more efficient decision
making, and an increase in shareholder value (Adams and Ferreira (2007)), it can also result in
greater managerial entrenchment arising from weaker monitoring by the board, if such
connections impair director independence.
Existing studies have generally documented that social connections between managers
and directors reduce the monitoring intensity of independent directors, thereby allowing CEOs to
become entrenched. For instance, Westphal and Zajac (1995) find that demographic similarities
between CEOs and directors in their ages, job functions, and education levels are related to
excess CEO compensation. Hwang and Kim (2009) find that CEOs tend to be overpaid, with
lower pay-performance-elasticity, when they are connected to independent directors through
common alma maters, military service, regional origin, academic discipline and industry.
Fracassi and Tate (2012) find that firm market values tend to be lower when CEOs are connected
to independent directors through ongoing and past employment, education, and other ways, such
as club memberships and social activities. These findings suggest that similarity in socio-
demographic characteristics between CEOs and independent directors promotes connectedness
within the corporate board room, thereby weakening board monitoring of the CEO and, in turn,
exacerbating internal agency problems. However, these social connections within the board
appear to be sparse, and, thus, potentially, may result in only limited managerial entrenchment.4
4 Fracassi and Tate (2012) find that only 18.3% of independent board members have at least one social tie to a CEO
and such social ties between CEOs and independent directors are found only in 15.0% of their sample firms. The
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In contrast, in this paper, we examine whether a broader propinquity arising from similar
political orientations between managers and directors also weakens board independence.
Because political alignment can be broad-based, hard to discern and impossible to eliminate in
board rooms, it can have a particularly significant exacerbating effect on agency problems and
managerial entrenchment, if it impairs board independence. In particular, we are interested in
whether political alignment between top executives and the group of independent
directorsimpacts internal corporate governance in ways that are distinct from those associated
with social ties or demographic similarities between the two groups. Proceeding from the above
arguments, we test the following hypothesis:
H1: When corporate insiders are politically aligned with independent directors, the potential
compromise in independence results in a decrease in firm value.
Following Hypothesis 1, impairment in board independence could affect firm value
potentially through a weakening of internal governance. The main responsibilities of independent
directors are to not only monitor management but also determine executive compensation
(Murphy (1999)). Therefore, if political alignment between managers and directors weakens
board independence, it could result in a reduced likelihood of CEO turnover following poor
performance and lower pay performance sensitivity. Finally, weaker board oversight can lead to
greater laxity in financial controls, thereby resulting in a greater likelihood of fraud and earnings
manipulation. Based on these arguments, we hypothesize the following:
H2: When corporate insiders are politically aligned with independent directors, the likelihood of
a CEO’s involuntary departure following poor performance, ceteris paribus, is lower.
H3: CEOs who are politically aligned with independent directors will have lower pay
median value of the fraction of independent board members who are socially tied to the CEO is 0.
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performance sensitivity in their compensation.
H4: When corporate insiders are politically aligned with independent directors, the likelihood of
committing a corporate fraud, ceteris paribus, is higher.
We measure a person’s political orientation using his/her campaign donations record. In
order to correctly measure individual political orientations, it is required that patterns of
individual political donations should represent the donor’s political values and beliefs rather than
an opportunistic attempt to seek political favors. Burris (2001) in the political science literature
directly addresses this issue. Using the political contributions data provided by the Federal
Election Commission (FEC), Burris (2001) investigates patterns of campaign donations made by
top executives, board members and political action committees (PACs) of 1,050 large U.S.
corporations in the 1980 election. He finds that the motivation for individual political donations
is to bolster favored candidates based on individual political ideology, whereas corporate
campaign donations through PACs are more likely to be related to political opportunism. We
measure individual political orientations using the same source of political donations data, which
is the FEC.5 To provide additional justification for measuring individual political orientations
using campaign donations data, we perform rigorous robustness checks in section VI.
Next we discuss the data and variables used in our empirical analysis.
III. Data
A. Political Donation Data
Our main measure of political alignment is the distance in political orientation between
5 Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) and Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011) also measure individual political orientations
using the “individual” political donations data provided by the FEC.
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top executives and independent directors. We use the Compustat Executive Compensation
(ExecuComp) and Investor Responsibility Research Center (IRRC) databases to identify top
managers and independent directors. Our sample consists of 2,693 firms at the intersection of the
ExecuComp and IRRC databases and covers the period from 1996 to 2009, and this sample is a
broader panel dataset than those used in the existing studies such as Hwang and Kim (2009) who
use a sample of Fortune 100 firms (1996-2005) and Fracassi and Tate (2012) who use a sample
of 2,083 firms (2000-2007).
We identify the top five executives for each firm-year by ranking top executives based on
their annual compensation (salary + bonus) levels. We use annual CEO flags to identify CEOs
for given firm-years. When we identify independent directors, we use the board affiliation
variable (variable name: Classification)6 in the IRRC database. There are 24,944 top five
executives and 20,138 independent directors in our sample.
For these top five managers and independent directors, we measure their political
orientations using the individual political contributions data provided by the FEC. For political
donations made by individuals that exceed $200, the FEC has made public the identities and
contributions of donors and information about candidate or committee recipients, including their
party affiliation. The FEC’s individual political contributions database consists of more than 18
million political donations made by individuals in the U.S. since 1979. Each donation
observation in the database contains the name and occupation of the donor and the amount and
date of the contribution, which serve as the key mapping information we use to link the
ExecuComp managers and IRRC directors with the FEC donors.
6See IRRC’s classifications for the types of directors provided on the RiskMetrics Directors Definitions webpage at
http://wrds-
web.wharton.upenn.edu/wrds/support/Data/_001Manuals%20and%20Overviews/_115RiskMetrics/RiskMetrics%20
Directors%20Definitions.cfm
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We identify approximately 72,000 political donations made by 8,349 managers for all
election cycles between 1989 and 2010. This indicates that approximately 33% of the top
executives in our sample made at least one political contribution exceeding $200 during this
period. We also find that, among the 8,349 politically active managers, 5,208 (62.4%) made
political donations to only one party. Similarly, we identify approximately 112,000 political
donations made by 8,175 independent directors during the same time period. This indicates that
approximately 40.6% of the independent directors in our sample made at least one political
contribution exceeding $200 during this period. Among the 8,175 politically active independent
directors, 4,683 (57.3%) made political donations to only one party.
After identifying political contributions made by top managers and independent directors,
we construct the political measures used in our regression analyses---both the individual and
group-level republican index (Rep_index) and the political homophily index between top
management and independent directors (PHI). We provide details about the construction of these
political measures in Section IV.
B. Financial, Executive Compensation and Board Characteristics Data
We obtain the annual accounting data for our sample of firms from Compustat and merge
this with stock return data obtained from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP). The
information on top executives’ age, gender, compensation amount details, position titles, tenure,
turnover and share ownership is obtained from ExecuComp. Information on independent
directors’ age, gender, share ownership and tenure is obtained from the IRRC directors file.
Information on firm-level external governance provisions and the Gindex are obtained from the
IRRC governance file. Since the Gindex is not updated every year, we map the most up-to-date
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values of the index to each fiscal year end date for the firms in our sample. The Gindex is
available only until 2006.
The main valuation ratio is Tobin’s Q (Q, hereafter), which is computed as the ratio of the
market value of a firm’s assets to its book value. In addition to Q, we also use the following
financial ratios: Each firm’s return on assets (roa), annual percentage net equity return
(ann_eq_ret), book leverage ratio (tda), market leverage ratio (tdm), investment in tangible
assets ratio (inv), research and development expense to assets ratio (rnd), natural logarithm of the
inflation-adjusted book value of the firm’s assets (logasset), 12-month rolling monthly net
percentage equity return volatility (eqvol) and 5-year rolling annual cash flow volatility (cfvol).
The definitions of these variables are provided in Appendix B. All financial ratios are winsorized
at the 1% and 99% levels to minimize outlier effects, and their summary statistics are provided in
Panel B of Table 1.
The summary statistics for various CEO and board characteristics are provided in Panel C
of Table 1. These variables are as follows: ceo_is_chmn_pres is a dummy variable taking a value
of one if a firm’s CEO also holds the title of either a chairman or president, and zero otherwise,
ceo_age is the age of the CEO, ceo_holding is the percentage of CEO stock ownership,
ceo_tenure is the length of the CEO’s tenure in years, board_size is the total number of directors
on the board, independent is a dummy variable which takes a value of one if the percentage of
independent directors on the board is greater than 50%, and zero otherwise, out_holding and
out_age denote the percentage of average stock ownership and the average ages of the
independent directors, respectively, and age_diff_ceo_out denotes the absolute value of the
difference between the CEO’s age and the average age of independent directors. Finally, using a
gender dummy variable, which takes a value of one when the individual is female and zero
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otherwise, we define female_diff_ceo_out as the absolute value of the difference between the
CEO’s gender dummy and the average value of the dummy variables for the independent
directors. By focusing on the top five executives instead of the CEO, we similarly define
age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out for the groups of top five executives and
independent directors.
Using the BoardEx database, we also construct measures of social networks between the
CEO and independent directors as in Fracassi and Tate (2012). The variable Ind-Connections
denotes the number of independent directors minus independent directors with at least one social
tie to the CEO, and SNI_out is the fraction of independent directors with at least one social tie to
the CEO. Summary statistics for these two variables are reported in Panel C of Table 1.7
Panel D of Table 1 summarizes the CEO compensation data. All compensation amounts
are denominated in thousands of dollars. When these amounts are used in regressions, they are
deflated by the average annual consumer price index (CPI) values obtained from the U.S. Bureau
of Labor Statistics website that we normalize to be one in year 1992. The dependent variables
used in the PPS tests in Table 7 are the annual changes in the inflation-adjusted dollar amount of
salary and bonus payments and total compensations amounts, which are respectively denoted by
salary&bonus dollar change and total_comp dollar change. These variables are also winsorized
at the 1% and 99% levels to control for outlier effects.
IV. Main Political Variables8
7 The BoardEx database starts from 1997. However, the social network information becomes complete in the post-
2000 period. In Table 4, where we document that the negative relation between political alignment and firm
valuation is robust to the inclusion of social network variables, we only use firm-years in the post-2000 period
following the approach in Fracassi and Tate (2012). 8 All political variables are defined in the Appendix
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A. Political Orientation Measure: Rep_index
A.1. Step 1: Individual-level Rep_index
Our measure of individual political orientation, called Rep_index, is defined as the net
donations made to republican candidates and committees divided by the total donations made to
both republican and democratic candidates and committees.9
Rep_index =
We construct Rep_index in two ways: 1) using the full time series of individual donation
histories over 11 federal election cycles from 1989 to 2010, and 2) using the donation history
from 1989 to each firm’s fiscal year end date. The former, denoted by Rep_index, is used as our
default measure of individual political orientation, and the latter, denoted by Rep_index_prior, is
used for robustness checks and constructing instruments in our causal regression analysis
(Section VI). We assign a value of zero to the Rep_index if the individual concerned made no
political contributions exceeding $200, or made donations only to candidates or committees
affiliated neither with the Republican nor Democratic Parties.10
By construction, the resulting
Rep_index ranges from -1 to 1. A Rep_index of 1 indicates that the person has donated only to
the Republican Party, thereby being classified as a “pure” republican. Similarly, a Rep_index of -
9 While the denominator of Rep_index, the total dollar amount of political donations made by an individual,
represents the person’s political activeness, Rep_index itself measures the relative tilt of the person’s political
donations toward the Republican Party. Untabulated results show that top executives and independent directors with
a small absolute value of Rep_index are more politically active than those with a large absolute value of Rep_index
in terms of dollar amount of political donations and the number of political candidates they support. The political
candidates and committees we consider include various ranks such as those who run for senate, house and
presidential elections. 10
By construction, top managers and independent directors who donated equal amounts to both Republican and
Democratic Parties have a Rep_index of zero. Among the 8,349 politically active managers and 8,175 politically
active independent directors, only 150 managers and 104 directors donated equal amounts to Democratic and
Republican Parties. The fraction of these politically neutral managers and independent directors is fairly small (only
1.83% of politically active managers and 1.27% of politically active independent directors). Overall, our approach to
constructing the Rep_index is similar to the approaches used by Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011) and Hong and
Kostovetsky (2012).
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1 indicates that the person has donated only to the Democratic Party, and is classified as a “pure”
democrat.
A.2. Step 2: Group-level Rep_index
Using the individual-level Rep_index from Step 1, we compute the group-level
Rep_indexes for 1) the top five executives and 2) independent directors. First, we define the
group-level Rep_index for the top five executives as the value-weighted average of each
executive’s Rep_index with the inverse value of their annual compensation rankings as weights
(top5_index_vw, hereafter). Second, we compute an equal-weighted average of Rep_index values
and denote it by rep_omean for the group of independent directors. For a CEO, we just use the
republican index assigned to the CEO and term the index ceorep_index.
Summary statistics for these group-level Rep_index values are provided in Panel A of
Table 1. CEOs are tilted toward the Republican Party with an average ceorep_index value of
0.200. A similar tendency is found in the group of top five executives, with top5_index_vw
having an average value of 0.133. The donation pattern for the group of independent directors is
a bit more symmetric, exhibiting an average value of 0.088 (rep_omean).
B. The Political Homophily Index (PHI) at the Firm-level
We compute the firm-level political homophily index, PHI, which is defined as one
minus the normalized Euclidian distance between the two groups’ average Rep_index values.
Formally, the values of the political homophily index between insider and outsider groups are
defined as
top5vw_out = 1 – | top5_index_vw – rep_omean |/2
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ceo_out = 1 – | ceorep_index – rep_omean |/2
By construction, the PHI values for top5vw_out and ceo_out, can range between zero and
one. A PHI value of zero indicates the weakest political alignment between the two groups,
thereby implying that considerable heterogeneity in political orientation exists across the two
groups and, in turn, potentially in their opinions and value systems. A PHI value of 1 implies the
strongest group-to-group political opinion similarity, thereby potentially implying the greatest
similarity in opinions and value systems between the groups.
When we use the prior-based group-level Rep_index values to construct the PHIs, the
prior-based PHIs are computed similarly, as follows:
top5vw_out_prior = 1 – | top5_index_vw_prior – rep_omean_prior |/2
ceo_out_prior = 1 – | ceorep_index_prior – rep_omean_prior |/2
The summary statistics for top5vw_out and ceo_out are provided in Panel A of Table 1.
In general, PHI is skewed to the right, which means a higher degree of alignment in political
orientation.11
The top five executives and independent directors have an average top5vw_out
value of 0.831. This indicates that insiders and outsiders in our sample firms do not differ much
in their political opinions, thereby implying that a relatively high degree of political alignment
exists between managers and directors in our sample firms. A similar pattern is found for
ceo_out. Corresponding statistics for the prior-based PHIs, top5vw_out_prior and ceo_out_prior,
are similar, which indicates that the firm-level PHI values are persistent.
The group average approach we use in this study does not capture the effect of within-
group variations in values of the Rep_index. This within-group variation, if any, will decrease the
11
This property is not driven by politically inactive observations since we find similar patterns when we calculate
the summary statistics for top5vw_out and ceo_out, using only politically active observations.
20
level of political alignment between the two groups. To capture this effect, we measure the
distance in political orientation for all possible individual-to-individual pairs between top
executives and independent directors groups as a third alternative measure of PHI. These
alternative measures are denoted by top5vw_out_dyadic and ceo_out_dyadic. The summary
statistics for these two alternative PHI measures are also reported in Panel A of Table 1. As
expected, the average value of top5vw_out_dyadic is 0.709, which is lower than 0.831 (0.852),
the average value of top5vw_out (top5vw_out_prior) based on the group average approach. We
find a similar pattern for ceo_out_dyadic.
Correlations between the political measures and their correlation to the main financial
variables are provided in Panel B of Table 2. In Panel A of the table, we also show the
correlations between the PHIs and social network index, SNI_out. Interestingly, while PHIs and
SNI_out are positively correlated with each other, the correlation is weak (0.03 for top5vw_out
and 0.02 for ceo_out), suggesting that PHI and the social network index (SNI) capture different
dimensions of relationships that can potentially affect director independence. In Panel B of the
table, Q and roa are negatively correlated with top5vw_out and ceo_out, indicating a possible
valuation discount for firms with high degrees of political alignment (PHI) between corporate
insiders and independent directors.
V. Results
A. Valuation Results: PHIs and Firm Valuation
To see the effect of PHI on firm valuation, we run the following regression for firm i in
year t:
21
We control for top5_index_vw and ceorep_index in order to capture the marginal effect
of political alignment, PHI. Following the specification used in Yermack (1996), we include
board size (board_size), the board independence dummy variable (independent), current return
on assets (roa) and 1-year and 2-year lagged return on assets (l1roa and l2roa, respectively),
investment to assets ratio (inv), research and development expense to assets ratio (rnd) and the
natural logarithm of the inflation-adjusted book value of the firm’s assets (logasset) as controls.
All standard errors are clustered at the firm level.
The results are reported in Table 3. Panel A of Table 3 focuses on the PHI between top
five executives and independent directors, top5vw_out, as the main right-hand-side (RHS)
variable.12
Column (1) shows the result of a univariate regression of Tobin’s Q on top5vw_out.
Consistent with Hypothesis 1, we find a negative correlation between Q and top5vw_out, which
is statistically significant at the 1% level. The point estimate of -0.56 indicates that, for a one
standard deviation change in top5vw_out (0.127), Q is reduced by 0.071, which corresponds to
3.63% of the sample’s average Q value (1.960). Hence, this is an economically significant effect.
When we control year- and industry13
-fixed effects (Column (2)), we get similar results. The
coefficient on top5vw_out in column (2) is negative and statistically significant at the 1% level.
The point estimate of -0.54 is very close to -0.56 in column (1).
In column (3), we repeat the same regression with additional control variables---
12
When we repeat the regression analyses in Panel A of Table 3 using the equal-weighted PHI between top five
executives and independent directors, we get both qualitatively and quantitatively similar results. This implies that
our results in Panel A of Table 3 are not driven by the weighting scheme we used to construct top5vw_out. 13
We define the industry dummy using the 2-digit standard industrial classification (SIC) code.
22
top5_index_vw, board_size, independent, roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd and logasset. We still obtain
a negative coefficient on top5vw_out with a point estimate of -0.45, which is statistically
significant at the 1% level. With this point estimate, there is a 2.92% reduction in the Q ratio for
a one standard deviation change in top5vw_out. On the other hand, the coefficient on
top5_index_vw, the value-weighted republican index for the top five executives, is insignificant,
indicating that the republican status of the top executives is not significantly associated with any
valuation feedback from shareholders. Thus, while the political affiliation of managers per se
does not appear to affect firm valuations, the alignment of political orientation between managers
and outside directors has an adverse effect on firm valuations. Though the point estimates for
other control variables, board characteristics, and financial variables, are not presented in the
table, the point estimates have the expected signs and statistical significance consistent with the
values reported in Yermack (1996).14
In column (4), we control for firm-fixed effects, instead of SIC2-level industry-fixed
effects. We get -0.22 as a point estimate for top5vw_out with a p-value of 0.061 (t-statistic (t-stat,
hereafter) of -1.88). This confirms that constant firm-level factors that may have been omitted
from the analysis in previous columns (1) to (3) do not derive our results. It further confirms that
our results come from both cross-sectional and temporal covariation between top5vw_out and Q.
This significant temporal correlation between the two variables will be confirmed again in the
causal regression results reported in robustness checks in Section VI
14
board_size is significantly negatively associated with Tobin’s Q, which is consistent with findings in Yermack
(1996). Both roa (and its lagged values), inv and rnd are significantly positively correlated with Q as expected. The
point estimate for independent is overall statistically insignificant, consistent with the results in Hermalin and
Weisbach (1991), Yermack (1996), Bhagat and Black (2000) and Fracassi and Tate (2012). However, if we replace
the independent dummy variable with the percentage of independent directors on the board (board composition
variable as in Yermack (1996)), the point estimate of the variable is negative with t-statistic of -1.49. In that
regression, we control for both year- and SIC2 level industry fixed-effects. That result is comparable to the one
reported in Table2 of Yermack (1996) where the point estimate of board composition has a negative sign with a
statistical significance at the 1% level.
23
In column (5), we add area-fixed effects using the three-digit area code of each firm’s
telephone number, in addition to year- and SIC2 level industry-fixed effects. We obtain a
coefficient of -0.48 for top5vw_out, which is significant at the 1% level, similar to the results in
column (3).
The negative impact on Q of political alignment between the top five executives and the
independent directors may arise from investor concerns that such alignment in political beliefs
could result in the firm adopting strategies that entrench the top management. For instance, a
board that is politically aligned with top management may permit the managers to protect
themselves from the disciplinary effect of the market for corporate control, or not discipline them
for poor performance. To take into account the effects of the market for corporate control, we use
the Gindex as an additional control variable in column (6)15
. We still find a negative relation
between top5vw_out and Q and, in particular, the estimated coefficient on top5vw_out, -0.44, in
this column does not change much from the value of -0.45 reported in column (3), where we do
not control for the Gindex. This indicates that PHI’s adverse impact on Q does not arise from
concerns of managerial entrenchment linked to the market for corporate control, but from
internal agency concerns. We confirm this conjecture in our subsequent analysis of CEO
turnover/compensation and corporate fraud.
In column (7), we run the regression in column (3) after excluding firm-year observations
where neither top 5 executives nor independent directors are politically active (i.e., observations
where all individual Rep_index values in each group are equal to zero, thereby being perfectly
aligned with each other). When we regress Tobin’s Q on top5vw_out using this sub-sample, we
find that the coefficient on top5vw_out is still negative and statistically significant at the 1%
15
We get similar results when we use the Eindex introduced by Bebchuk, Cohen and Ferrell (2009).
24
level.16
In columns (8) and (9), we utilize different measures of top5vw_out. First, in column (8),
we use top5vw_out_prior which is constructed using the donation information available only up
to each firm’s fiscal year end, thereby freeing our analysis from the look-ahead bias issue.17
Next,
we control for top5_index_vw_prior, which is the republican index using the same donation
information for each year, for each firm. We get a coefficient of -0.38 for top5vw_out_prior with
a t-stat of -2.24 in this regression, which is significant at the 5% level.
Finally in column (9), we replace our default PHI, top5vw_out, with a dyad-based PHI
between the top five executives and independent directors---top5_vw_out_dyadic. We get an
even stronger negative correlation between top5_vw_out_dyadic and Q (a point estimate of -0.74
with t-stat of -4.8718
), indicating that the within-group variation of Rep_index does not work
against our main findings. It actually captures an additional negative effect of political alignment
between insiders and independent directors on Q.
Given that CEOs have the highest decision rights among insiders, we also check to see if
the results in Panel A are driven primarily by CEOs rather than other insiders. We repeat the
Panel A regressions, replacing top5vw_out with the CEO-specific PHI measure, ceo_out. Results
are reported in Panel B of Table 3. In column (1), where we use a simple OLS specification
16
If we further exclude the firm-year observations where only one group’s average Rep_index is zero (13,129 firm-
year observations), we still get results that are qualitatively and quantitatively similar (-0.38 with t-stat of -2.89).
This confirms that assigning zero to the politically inactive individuals does not systematically bias our results.
Further analyses of these zero assignments to politically inactive individuals are discussed in Section VI. 17
Our main PHI measures, top5vw_out and ceo_out, are constructed using the full donation history of each
individual. Therefore, we measure each individual’s political orientation by borrowing information from the future.
This approach is intended to minimize the measurement errors that may arise with early year samples, since, without
considering the accumulated donation information, we may incorrectly identify an individual, who makes a small
initial donation to the Republican (Democratic) Party, but changes political affiliations later, as being strongly
republican (democrat)-oriented. 18
The standard deviation of top5vw_out_dyadic is 0.116. For a one standard deviation change in top5vw_out_dyadic,
the Q ratio is reduced by 4.4% from its sample average.
25
without any controls, we get -0.23 as a point estimate for ceo_out, implying that a one standard
deviation change in ceo_out (0.192) results in a decline in Q corresponding to a 2.25% reduction
from its sample average value. The result is robust to the inclusion of further controls (columns
(2) to (6)). This CEO-specific PHI explains 62% (2.25%/3.63%) of the negative effect of
top5vw_out reported in Panel A, suggesting that a significant portion of the negative effect of
political alignment between insiders and independent directors arises from the political
alignment of CEOs with independent directors.19
Once again, as was found for the group of top
five executives, the main effect of the ceorep_index is not statistically significant.
B. Valuation Results: Demographic Similarity and Social Networks vs. Political Alignment
We next establish our main valuation result that the negative association between PHI
and Q documented in Section V.A. is robust to controlling for demographic similarities and
social networks between corporate insiders and independent directors.
First, based on the evidence documented in Westphal and Zajac (1995) suggesting that
CEOs tend to be more entrenched when demographic similarities exist between CEOs and
directors, we examine whether the negative relation between Tobin’s Q and top5vw_out is robust
to the inclusion of demographic similarities, in addition to the control variables that we used in
Table 3 (Gindex, board_size, independent, roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd and logasset). In particular,
we control for similarities in ages and gender between the top five executives and independent
directors by including age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out. These two variables are
defined as the absolute value of the difference in average age and average value of a gender
19
We find a similar ratio for the CEO effect relative to that for the group of top five managers when we use the
equal-weighting scheme to define the top five executives’ group-level Rep_index, which suggests that none of the
main results reported in Table 3 is driven by the value-weighting scheme that we use.
26
dummy variable, which takes a value of one when the individual is female and zero otherwise,
between the groups of top five executives and independent directors. The results in column (1) of
Panel A of Table 4 support the findings in Westphal and Zajac (1995). That is, there is a positive
and statistically significant association between age_diff_top5_out and Q, while there is a
positive but statistically insignificant relation between female_diff_top5_out and Q.20
Moreover,
we find that the negative relation between top5vw_out and Q is robust to controlling for
age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out. We also find that the estimated coefficient of
top5vw_out, -0.44, is little changed from -0.44 in column (6) of Panel A of Table 3 where
age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out are not controlled. This indicates that the economic
magnitude of the impact of top5vw_out on Q is not subsumed by age_diff_top5_out and
female_diff_top5_out.
Second, Fracassi and Tate (2012) (FT (2012), hereafter) find that a firm’s market value
tends to be lower when its CEO is socially connected to independent directors. To rule out the
possibility that the results in Table 3 are driven by social ties between CEOs and independent
directors, we conduct a series of robustness checks of our results by controlling for the social
network index (SNI) introduced by FT (2012). We use the BoardEx database to construct two
social network variables following the approach described in FT (2012) --- 1) Ind-Connections
and 2) SNI_out.21
The former counts the number of directors who are both socially and
traditionally independent from the CEO, and the latter denotes the fraction of independent
directors who are socially tied to the CEO. The BoardEx database prior to the year 2000 is
incomplete, with only a small number of firm-years with at least one social tie between CEOs
20
Positive coefficients for age and gender differences imply that there is a negative effect of age/gender similarity
between top executives and independent directors on Q. 21
FT (2012) also use the BoardEx database when they construct the social network variables, Ind-Connections and
SNI_out. For more details of SNI construction, see FT (2012).
27
and the independent directors. To make our analysis meaningful, we use firm-year observations
at the intersection of our original master dataset and BoardEx in the post-2000 period. The same
post-2000 period restriction is also imposed on the test sample used in FT (2012).
Table 4 reports the results with the inclusion of social tie variables (Panel A for top five
executives and Panel B for the CEO). In column (2) of Panel A, we first replicate the results in
FT (2012) where they use board_size, independent, logasset, market leverage ratio (tdm) and
Gindex as controls in addition to the social tie variable, Ind-Connections. In this column, the
point estimate of Ind-Connections is 0.02, which is positive and statistically significant at the 5%
level. In column (3) where we replace Ind-Connections with another social tie variable, SNI_out,
the point estimate for SNI_out is -0.33 and statistically significant at the 1% level. These results
are comparable to those reported by FT (2012).22
In columns (4) and (5) of Panel A, we include top5vw_out and top5_index_vw on the
RHS of regressions reported in FT (2012). We find that the estimated coefficient on top5vw_out
is -0.70 with a t-stat of -3.43 in column (4) and -0.68 with a t-stat of -3.25 in column (5). In
column (6) of the panel where we replace top5vw_out and top5_index_vw with their look-ahead-
bias free counterparts, top5vw_out_prior and top5_index_vw_prior, respectively, we still get a
negative coefficient on top5vw_out_prior, which is statistically significant at the 1% level. From
the results reported in columns (2) to (6) of Panel A of Table 4, it appears that the negative
relationship between PHI and Tobin’s Q is unlikely to be driven by the negative impact on Q of
social ties between the CEO and independent directors previously documented in FT (2012).
Importantly, these results confirm that our political alignment variable captures implicit
relationships between managers and directors that are distinctly different from those captured by
22
The number of observations, 7,601, is also comparable to the sample size in FT (2012), 7,159.
28
social ties or demographic similarities.
Another distinct dimension of political alignment is that, in contrast to the social ties
measures, it enables us to identify firms where top managers and independent directors have
conflicting political views. A low value of PHI can be found only in firms where managers and
directors are politically active but support different political parties. As PHI is negatively
associated with Q, lower values of PHI improve Q because directors may have different value
systems compared to management and thus, potentially, may be more inclined to monitor the
management.
As additional robustness checks, in column (7) of Panel A of Table 4 we run our default
regression with the year- and industry-fixed effects together with the following additional
controls --- Gindex, board_size, independent, roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd and logasset --- for the
sub-sample where none of the firm’s independent directors are socially connected to the firm’s
CEO in the post year-2000 period. We find that the estimated coefficient on top5vw_out is -0.36
and it is statistically significant at the 10% level. Finally, in columns (8) and (9), we use the same
default regression specification once again while additionally controlling for SNI_out. We use
top5vw_out in column (8), while we use top5vw_out_prior in column (9). We continue to find
the negative relation between PHI and Q ratio in these two columns, which confirms that PHI’s
effect on Q is quite robust to the regression specifications. However, the point estimates for
SNI_out in columns (8)-(9) turn out to be statistically insignificant, indicating that SNI’s effect
on Q is sensitive to the specification used in the regressions. In Panel B of Table 4, we conduct
the same robustness check for the CEO-specific PHIs, ceo_out and ceo_out_prior. Our results
continue to be robust to the inclusion of age and gender similarities as well as social network
variables in the regression specifications. From the results reported in both Panel A and B of
29
Table 4, as before, we conclude that our political value alignment measure, PHI, captures
uniquely different effects from that captured by age and gender similarities or social network
measures.
From this point onwards in all tables, we additionally control for either Ind-Connections
or SNI_out in our regressions. However, in order not to lose any observations in our sample prior
to year 2000, we assign zero values to the social tie variables if we do not find any social
connections between the CEO and the independent directors using the BoardEx database.23
C. PHI and Firm Operating Performance
In this section, we investigate causes for the negative effect of political alignment
between managers and directors on Q, by running the following regression of return on assets
(roa) for firm i in year t:
This regression specification is similar to that used in Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011)
who investigate the effect of the republican status of top management team on a firm’s operating
performance. If the point estimate for PHI, b1, turns out to be significantly negative, it would
suggest that politically aligned top executives and independent directors operate firms
inefficiently, resulting in a reduction in operating profitability. This can serve as a rationale for
the lower Q ratio for the firms with high levels of PHI. Controls include logasset, Q, tda, inv,
23
This implies that our testing sample in the following analyses does not have to be restricted to 7,196 as reported in
columns (8) and (9) in Panel A of Table 4. However, the results in the later reporting tables are robust to the
exclusion of firm-years prior to year 2000. Those results are available upon request.
30
and both year- and SIC2 level industry fixed effects24
, and standard errors are clustered at the
firm level.
Results are reported in Table 5. In column (1) of the table, we find that firms with high
top5vw_out tend to have significantly lower roa. A one standard deviation change in top5vw_out
(0.127) reduces annual roa by 22 bps. To examine whether this lower roa is due to lower risk
taking by top executives who are politically aligned with independent directors, in columns (2)
and (3) of the table, we use 12-month rolling month net equity return volatility (eqvol) and 5-
year window cash flow volatility (cfvol), respectively, as left-hand-side (LHS) variables. The
significantly lower roa does not appear to arise due to lower risk taking by insiders (positive
point estimates for top5vw_out in columns (2) and (3)).
In columns (4) to (6) where we repeat the same regressions using ceo_out and
ceorep_index as the primary RHS variables, we find that ceo_out has similar relations with roa,
eqvol and cfvol. In column (4) where roa is the LHS variable, the point estimate of -0.016 for
ceo_out indicates that a one standard deviation change in ceo_out (0.192) results in a reduction
of annual roa by 31 bps, and this effect is even stronger than the effect we find with top5vw_out.
This indicates that the CEO’s political alignment with independent directors appears to exert a
first-order effect on lowering the firm’s operating performance.25
D. Managerial Entrenchment and PHI
In this section we investigate governance rationales to explain the poor valuation and
24
Following Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011), we do not control for the board characteristics, and thus, also drop out
SNI_out in this regression. 25
It is worth noting that the point estimates for top5_index_vw and ceorep_index have the expected signs and
significances for roa and the risk measures, which are consistent with the results reported by Hutton, Jiang and
Kumar (2011) (+ for roa and – for both eqvol and cfvol). The negative sign for the point estimate of eqvol and cfvol
are interpreted as evidence of the conservatism of republican top executives.
31
lower operating efficiency of firms whose top management and independent board members are
politically aligned. To support the argument that the negative impact on Q of greater political
alignment between directors and managers arises from weaker board independence and greater
managerial entrenchment, we examine the effect of political alignment on CEO turnover and pay
performance sensitivity.
D.1. CEO Turnover
To test Hypothesis 2, we examine whether CEOs in firms with greater political alignment
are replaced infrequently, even when the firm performs poorly over a relatively long time period.
We run the following linear regression26
for firm i in year t:
This specification is similar to the models used in Warner, Watts, and Wruck (1988) and
Yermack (1996). is a dummy variable that equals one if CEO turnover occurs for
firm i in the second half of fiscal year t or in the first half of the subsequent fiscal year t+1, and
zero otherwise. The variable cum4yr_eqret denotes the cumulative past 4-year annual stock
returns under the incumbent CEO, prior to his or her dismissal. This requires that the tenure of
the dismissed CEO be greater than or equal to 4 years. To control for demographic similarities
and social network effects, we include age_diff_top5_out (or age_diff_ceo_out),
26
To directly infer the second-order partial effect of PHI on the marginal probability change in CEO dismissal
following poor stock market performance, we use only linear probability models in this regression. When non-linear
probability models such as probit and logit models are used, the positive point estimates of the interaction terms,
top5vw_out*cum4yr_eqret and ceo_out*cum4yr_eqret, cannot be directly interpreted as net negative marginal
effects on the CEO dismissal. This is because the non-linearity in their probability density functions. See Ai and
Norton (2003) for a more detailed explanation of this issue.
32
female_diff_top5_out (or female_diff_ceo_out) and SNI_out, together with their interaction terms
with cum4yr_eqret on the RHS of the regression. We also control for ceo_holding, ceo_age and
both year- and industry-fixed effects. As in Yermack (1996), we add a dummy variable for CEO
ages of 64, 65, and 66 to incorporate possible mandatory retirement effects on the CEO
dismissals. We cluster standard errors at the firm level.
Table 6 shows the results. In column (1) of the table27
, we first run the linear probability
regression for top5vw_out. The point estimate for cum4yr_eqret (-0.107) is negative and
significant, indicating that poor past cumulative stock market performance is likely to lead to
CEO dismissals. However, this likelihood decreases when the top five executives are more
politically aligned with independent directors. The coefficient on top5vw_out*cum4yr_eqret---
the interaction term between cum4yr_eqret and the top five executives’ alignment index,
top5vw_out---is 0.094, which is positive and statistically significant at the 1% level. The
magnitude of the coefficient of the interaction term is comparable to the magnitude of the
negative coefficient on cum4yr_eqret, -0.107, implying that high political alignment between the
top management team and independent directors substantially reduces the threat of CEO
dismissal following poor firm performance.
In column (2) of Table 6, we repeat the same linear probability regression using the CEO
specific PHI measure, ceo_out.. The result is similar to that reported in column (1). We also get a
significant positive coefficient for the interaction term, ceo_out*cum4yr_eqret, indicating that
political alignment between the CEO and independent directors is associated with a reduction in
27
We report only the point estimates for the two main variables of interest, cum4yr_eqret and the interaction term,
top5vw_out*cum4yr_eqret (also, ceo_out*cum4yr_eqret in column (2)) for brevity. Even though not reported, we
control for the stand-alone PHI variables in this regression.
33
the disciplining effect of involuntary CEO turnover following poor performance.28
D.2. CEO Pay Performance Sensitivity and PHI
In this section, we investigate pay and incentive structures for CEOs who are politically
aligned with directors. We focus on the CEO specific PHI, ceo_out, to see whether this is
associated with weaker CEO pay performance sensitivity (Hypothesis 3).29
We run the following
PPS regression (Jensen and Murphy (1990) and Murphy (1999)) for firm i in year t:
The LHS variable in this regression is the annual change in the inflation-adjusted amount
of salary&bonus (or total_comp denoted as tdc1 in ExecComp) in year-1992 thousand dollars. In
the above equation, shareholders’ value change on the RHS is the annual change in the inflation-
adjusted shareholders’ value in year-1992 million dollars. We control for board_size, the number
of independent directors who are not socially connected to the CEO (Ind-Connections) 30
and
also its interaction term with shareholders’ value change. To control for the effects of
demographic similarities, we also include the age_diff_ceo_out and female_diff_ceo_out
variables, along with their interaction terms with shareholders’ value change on the RHS of the
regression. Finally, we control for independent directors’ stock ownership (out_holding) and
various CEO characteristics (ceo_is_chmn_pres, ceo_holding, ceo_tenure), the 1-year lagged
28
In untabulated regressions, we re-run the same regression, excluding non-performance related CEO turnover such
as retirement or death of the CEO. The results are similar to what is reported in Table 6, both qualitatively and
quantitatively, confirming that the results are not driven by non-disciplinary CEO departures. 29
The CEO’s political alignment with independent directors can explain a substantial fraction of the negative effect
on firm valuations of top five executives’ political alignment with independent directors. 30
When we use SNI_out, instead of Ind-Connections, the results are quantitatively and qualitatively similar.
34
financial ratios (l1logasset and l1Q) and year- and SIC2-level industry-fixed effects. We cluster
standard errors at the firm level.
We report these results in Table 7. In column (1), we use the annual change in the
inflation-adjusted dollar amount of salary&bonus on the LHS and find that shareholders’ value
change has a coefficient of 0.03, implying a PPS of 0.03 for each thousand dollar increase in
shareholders’ value when the CEO is not politically aligned with independent directors. The
point estimate for the interaction term, ceo_out*shareholders’ value change is -0.03, which is
significant around the 5% level (t-stat of -2.08). Given that a one standard deviation change in
ceo_out is 0.192, we can see that the point estimate for the interaction term corresponds to a
0.0058 reduction in PPS, which, in turn, corresponds to 19.3% of the PPS for a CEO who is not
aligned with the independent directors (0.0058/0.03=19.3%). This is an economically significant
drop in PPS.
In column (2), when we use the annual change in the inflation-adjusted dollar amount of
total compensation (total_comp), we find no statistically significant relationship between PPS
and ceo_out.
Overall, it appears that cash compensation contracts have a lower emphasis on
performance related pay, and, thus, provide CEOs with more slack, when CEOs are politically
aligned with independent directors. These results confirm that political alignment has a distinct
effect on managerial compensation that is different from the results documented by Hwang and
Kim (2009) and Westphal and Zajac (1995) for social ties and demographic similarities.
D.3. Corporate Fraud
One potential consequence of the impairment in director independence arising from their
35
increased connections with managers is the likelihood of greater earnings manipulation. If firms
commit fraud and are detected, they are likely to incur increased legal liability expenses (Karpoff,
Lee and Martin (2007, 2008)). Thus, if firms with a higher degree of political alignment between
directors and managers are more likely to engage in fraud, they may experience a valuation
discount because of higher expected legal costs. To test Hypothesis 4, that managers of firms
with higher political alignment between directors and managers are more likely to commit fraud,
we run the following probability model using a corporate fraud dummy variable for firm i in year
t:
is a dummy variable taking a value of one if a given firm i is involved in an on-
going lawsuit in year t, and zero otherwise. For our analysis, we use the sample of corporate
frauds described in Dyck, Morse and Zingales (2011).31
The sample includes a total of 501 high-
profile, alleged corporate fraud cases filed against big U.S. corporations with at least $750
million in assets in the year prior to the end of class period. These cases are associated with
settlements of at least $3 million, and, thus, are likely to have a material impact on shareholder
value. The data cover the period from 1996 to 2004. Control variables for this regression include
board_size, independent, Change in SNI_out, ceo_tenure, ceo_age, ceo_holding, lagged Q (l1Q),
lagged natural logarithm of inflation-adjusted book value of assets (l1logasset), and lagged roa
(l1roa)32
. It should be noted that we use Change in SNI_out, instead of SNI_out, following the
specification used in Dey and Liu (2011), who document a higher likelihood of a firm restating
earnings when the firm’s CEO is socially connected to the directors on the board and audit
31
The data are obtained from Professor Adair Morse’s website, http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/adair.morse/ 32
Adding age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out doesn’t change the results either qualitatively or
quantitatively. They are both statistically insignificant.
36
committee. We cluster standard errors at the firm level.
In column (1) of Table 8, we first run a linear probability model without controlling for
year- and industry-fixed effects. We find that high political alignment between top executives
and independent directors leads to more frequent corporate fraud filings (a point estimate of 0.06
for top5vw_out with a t-stat of 2.20). This result is robust to the inclusion of both year- and
single-digit SIC (SIC1) level industry fixed effects (column (2) of Table 8).
In columns (1) and (2), Change in SNI_out positively predicts the probability of corporate
fraud. The point estimate of 0.04 in column (1) is significant at the 10% level, while the
coefficient of 0.02 in column (2) is positive but insignificant , which are consistent with results
reported in Dey and Liu (2011).
In columns (3) and (4) of the same table, we run probit regressions instead of the linear
probability model. We find that the marginal probability of a firm committing fraud increases by
5% for a small increase in top5vw_out. (column (3)). This is an economically significant impact
given that Change in SNI_out increases the probablility of fraud by just 3%. In column (4),
adding both year- and SIC1 level industry fixed effects does not alter this result. Interestingly,
Change in SNI_out has an insignificant coefficient, again, when we control for year- and
industry-fixed effects in that column.
Chidambaram, Kedia and Prabhala (2010) provide evidence that different types of ties
can have different effects on the likelihood of fraud. They find that non-professional social ties
between managers and directors increase the likelihood of fraud whereas professional
connections decrease it, suggesting that the origin of the connections between managers and
directors matters in determining whether these factors impair board independence or not.
Overall, our findings indicate that when the source of the connectedness is political alignment
37
between the CEOs and directors, it weakens board independence and, thus, potentially provides
an internal governance rationale for the valuation discounts experienced by firms with high PHI
values. This effect of PHI exists even after controlling for the change in the SNI index, further
distinguishing the effects of social ties and demographics from political alignment between
directors and managers.
VI. Robustness Checks
A. Valuation Results: Political Ideology vs. Political Opportunism
It could be argued that our results reflect the value enhancement of a firm through
strategic political donations rather than the degree of alignment of each individual’s political
orientation.33
To support our argument that our individual political orientation measure,
Rep_index, indeed captures a person’s political orientation rather than strategic political
donations motivated by political opportunism, we re-run our valuation regression in Table 3
using two alternative political orientation measures for each individual. To eliminate the
possibility that individuals switch their main political orientation over different election cycles,
we construct a Rep_index for each corporate individual for each election cycle, and then average
the election cycle-specific Rep_indexes over all election cycles during which the individual made
donations. The resulting measure of individual political orientations is denoted by
Rep_index_cycle_ave, and the group-level averages of the new individual political orientation
measure are denoted by top5_index_vw_cycle_ave and rep_omean_cycle_ave. Finally, the firm-
level PHI corresponding to this new approach is denoted by top5vw_out_cycle_ave. Column (1)
33
Cooper, Gulen and Ovtchinnikov (2010) document that the firms supporting more political candidates through
PAC donations earn higher future returns, and this effect is stronger for the firms that support a greater number of
candidates who hold offices in the same state that the firm is based.
38
of Panel A of Table 9 shows the results using these new political measures. The statistically
negative relationship between the new PHI and Q is still confirmed.
Among politically active individuals, the politically polarized ones who donate only to a
single political party, either Republican or Democratic, for all election cycles, are likely to be
true republicans or democrats, respectively. Using the full donation history for each individual,
we assign 1 (-1) to the “polarized” republicans (democrats), and assign zero to all others. This
alternative measure of individual political orientation is denoted by rep_polarizer, and the group-
level averages of this measure are denoted by top5_polarizer_vw and rep_omean_polarizer.
Finally, the firm-level PHI corresponding to this polarizer-based approach is denoted by
top5vw_out_polarizer. Column (2) of Panel A of Table 9 reports the results with these new
political measures, where we still get a statistically negative relationship between the new PHI
and Q.
Lastly, we stay with our default political measures---top5vw_out and top5_index_vw, but
additionally control for political connectedness measures. In particular, we construct the
following measures of political connectedness---1) top5_connect_vw, 2) connect_omean and 3)
pac_connect. These measures capture the political connectedness of the top five executives,
independent board members and the firm’s PAC, respectively. We first measure individual-level
political connectedness by dividing the dollar amount of individual political donations during a
most recent election cycle corresponding to a given fiscal year by the median dollar value of
individual political donations in the election cycle. Based on this measure of individual-level
political connectedness, we construct group-level political connectedness measures --- the value-
weighted average of individual-level political connectedness measures for the top five executives
group (top5_connect_vw) and the equal-weighted average for the independent directors’ group
39
(connect_omean). Finally, pac_connect is a similarly constructed political connectedness
measure of a firm’s PAC. Column (3) of Panel A of Table 9 report the regression results. The
negative relation between PHI and the Q ratio is robust to controlling for political connectedness
measures.
We also confirm, though not reported in the paper, that our main results for CEO-specific
political measures (ceo_out and ceorep_index) are also robust to these additional specifications.
Overall, all these results confirm that the negative relation between PHI and Q, documented in
Table 3, are unlikely to be driven by a firm’s political connections established through political
donations.
B. Valuation Results: Causal Regressions
One concern with our valuation results is that the relationship between PHIs (i.e.,
top5vw_out, ceo_out) and value could be endogenous. To show that the negative relationship
between PHI and Q is not reverse-causal,34
and is not driven by any omitted time-invariant firm-
level characteristics that may be correlated with both PHIs and Q, we run a change-on-change
regression which is similar to what is done in Chava, Livdan and Purnanandam (2009) and
Hutton, Jiang and Kumar (2011). We use the same year- and industry-fixed effects specification
used in Column (3) of both panels in Table 3 with the full set of control variables. The annual
changes in all variables are considered in this change-on-change regression, and we cluster the
standard errors at the firm-level.
34
A lower firm valuation in a given year, for a given firm, may induce greater political alignment between the
insiders and the independent directors. For instance, if a firm’s poor performance is blamed on the fiscal, monetary
or regulatory policies of the incumbent government, managers and directors may be aligned in their desire to vote
for the other party.
40
The results are presented in columns (1) and (2) of Panel B of Table 9 for the changes in
top5vw_out (ctop5vw_out) and ceo_out (cceo_out), respectively. Both columns (1) and (2) show
statistically significant (at the 5% level) negative correlations between ctop5vw_out (cceo_out)
and changes in Q.35
In column (3), to further eliminate possibilities of any endogenous change of
board composition in expectation of poor future firm performance, we only focus on the
subsample that satisfies the following two conditions: 1) independent director departure occurs
due to mandatory retirement or death, or 2) CEO is replaced due to performance unrelated
reasons such as retirement or death. To further ensure that the composition of insiders and their
political orientations do not change in this subsample, we focus only on the CEO-specific PHI---
ceo_out.36
The director mandatory retirement and death information is obtained from the
AuditAnalytics database, and the same information for CEOs is obtained from ExecuComp.37
The subsample that satisfies the above conditions consists of only 615 firm-year observations.
Imposing further restrictions on the availability of the changes in control variables, we finally
come up with 407 firm-year observations. Even with this small sample, we get a statistically
significant negative relationship at the 10% level between the change in ceo_out and the change
in Q.
Lastly, we investigate whether poor firm performance in the current year affects
individual political donation patterns in the future. The default political measures we use are
based on the full donation history of each individual. Thus, the results in the first three columns
35
In this regression, we get strong statistical significance even without excluding zero-valued changes in all
regression variables. Given the persistence of the LHS and the main RHS variables, our result provides relatively
strong support for the temporal correlation link from the political variables, PHIs, to Tobin’s Q. 36
We restrict this analysis to ceo_out alone since it is easier for us to make sure there is no change in the republican
index level for insiders when we focus only on the CEO. 37
We include only the director departure observations where the departing reasons are clearly stated as either
“Mandatory Retirement Policy” or “Personal/Health Reasons” in AuditAnalytics. Director departures without these
specific reasons are excluded from our testing sample.
41
of Panel B of Table 9 would be still subject to this unresolved endogeneity issue. To overcome
this drawback, we run a two stage least squares regression using lagged values of prior-based
measures---top5vw_out_prior and top5_index_vw_prior---as instruments for top5vw_out and
top5_index_vw. We increase the lagging intervals from 3 years to 6 years in this test. Unless the
firm’s insiders correctly anticipate the firm’s future performance over a 3- to 6-year time
horizon38
, adjusting the composition of independent directors, and ensuring that these directors
make political donations to the same political party that the insiders contribute to, these two
instruments satisfy the exclusion conditions. Due to the persistence in individual political
donation patterns, it is unlikely that the 3- to 6-year lagged values of top5vw_out_prior and
top5_index_vw_prior are weak instruments for top5vw_out and top5_index_vw.39
However, they
are unlikely to be correlated with the firm’s performance over the 3- to 6-year horizon.
The results are reported in columns (4) to (7) of Panel B of Table 9. We confirm that all
the point estimates for top5vw_out in columns (4) to (7) are negative and statistically significant
at least at the 10% level.
VII. Conclusions
We study how the similarity in political beliefs between top executives and independent
directors affects firm value and managerial entrenchment. Using a sample of 2,693 firms from
38
In the untabulated regression results, we regress top5_vw_out on 1-year to 3-year lagged annual net percentage
equity returns, ann_eq_ret, (or roa, or Q), while controlling for board_size, independent, out_age, out_tenure,
ceo_age, ceo_tenure, tda, logasset with year- and SIC2 level industry-fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at
the firm level. We find only 1-year lagged performance/valuation variables matter statistically for the subsequent
year’s top5_vw_out, indicating that our design with minimal 3 years lagging interval is less likely to be subject to
endogenous board composition adjustments following poor firm performance/valuation. From the autoregressive
regressions for Q and roa, we also confirm that the 3-year lag is a valid choice to prevent top management from
perfectly predicting the firm’s future valuation/performance. 39
In the first stage regression, 6-year lagged top5vw_out_prior and top5_index_vw_prior have t-stats of 4.19 and
14.47, respectively. Even though standard errors are not corrected for heteroskedasticity, these two instruments are
not likely to suffer from weak instrument problems.
42
1996 to 2009, we find lower Tobin’s Q, and a lower return on assets for firms with a high degree
of political alignment between top executives and independent directors. We also provide
evidence that CEOs, who are politically aligned with independent directors, are entrenched.
Politically aligned CEOs are less likely to be fired following long-term poor performance, are
more likely to have weaker pay-performance sensitivity, and also more likely to be involved in
high-profile corporate fraud.
Overall, our results indicate that political alignment can be a signal of the existence of
similar attitudes and beliefs between managers and directors, which can potentially impair the
independence of board members. Further, the association of manager-director political alignment
with managerial entrenchment and reduction in corporate value is robust to controlling for social
networks and demographic similarities between these groups. This result indicates that political
alignment captures implicit relationships between directors and managers that are unique and
distinctly different from previously documented results on the impact of social networks. Finally,
our finding in this paper, that political alignment, a signal of intangible connections between
managers and directors, can potentially impair director independence, raises doubts about the
effectiveness of legislation, such as SOX, which strives to ensure that directors on critical
committees, such as the Audit Committee, are independent.
43
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46
I. Tables
Table 1. Summary Statistics
The definitions of political measures (Panel A) are provided in Section IV. Financial ratios (Panel B) and CEO/board
characteristics/Social network variables (Panel C) are defined and explained in Section III.B. More formal definitions of
the financial ratios using Compustat item names are provided in the Appendix. Political connectedness measures for top
five executives, CEO, independent directors and a firm’s PAC are denoted by top5_connect_vw, ceo_connect,
connect_omean and pac_connect, respectively. The definitions of these measures are provided in Section VI. Inflation un-
adjusted compensation amounts in thousands of dollars are reported in Panel D of this table. Section III.B explains the
definitions of these compensation variables.
Panel A: Political Measures
Group-level Average Republican Index (Rep_index) for Each Firm
Variable N mean sd min p25 p50 p75 max
top5_index_vw 26621 0.133 0.376 -1.000 -0.036 0.061 0.438 1.000
top5_index_vw_prior 26621 0.106 0.326 -1.000 0.000 0.000 0.365 1.000
ceorep_index 24624 0.200 0.637 -1.000 0.000 0.000 0.924 1.000
ceorep_index_prior 24624 0.169 0.582 -1.000 0.000 0.000 0.765 1.000
rep_omean 18683 0.088 0.278 -1.000 -0.083 0.081 0.270 1.000
rep_omean_prior 18683 0.085 0.253 -1.000 -0.043 0.068 0.250 1.000
Political Homophily Index (PHI) for Each Firm
Variable N mean sd min p25 p50 p75 max
top5vw_out 18683 0.831 0.127 0.212 0.753 0.855 0.929 1.000
top5vw_out_prior 18683 0.852 0.118 0.265 0.781 0.875 0.945 1.000
top5vw_out_dyadic 18683 0.709 0.116 0.212 0.632 0.706 0.775 1.000
ceo_out 18437 0.729 0.192 0.000 0.583 0.750 0.900 1.000
ceo_out_prior 18437 0.762 0.189 0.000 0.609 0.808 0.923 1.000
ceo_out_dyadic 18437 0.678 0.163 0.000 0.569 0.686 0.791 1.000
Political Connection Measures for Each Firm
top5_connect_vw 26621 1.574 4.477 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.131 92.61
connect_omean 18683 1.021 1.780 0.000 0.000 0.370 1.155 30
pac_connect 26621 0.848 3.115 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 59.78
47
Panel B: Financial Ratios
Variable N mean sd min p25 p50 p75 max
roa 25687 0.029 0.118 -0.592 0.011 0.042 0.082 0.256
ann_eq_ret 25909 0.218 0.730 -0.839 -0.183 0.086 0.406 4.068
Q 26254 1.960 1.441 0.733 1.109 1.452 2.182 9.028
tda 26498 0.229 0.194 0.000 0.055 0.209 0.350 0.865
tdm 26155 0.165 0.161 0.000 0.030 0.126 0.255 0.968
inv 26621 0.231 0.179 0.000 0.108 0.191 0.315 0.862
rnd 26621 0.028 0.056 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 0.297
logasset 26598 7.154 1.759 3.342 5.895 7.022 8.300 11.840
eqvol 24409 0.122 0.073 0.030 0.071 0.103 0.152 0.403
cfvol 22889 0.042 0.046 0.001 0.014 0.027 0.051 0.258
Panel C: CEO and Board Characteristics
Variable N mean sd min p25 p50 p75 max
ceo_is_chmn_pres 24624 0.923 0.266 0 1 1 1 1
ceo_age 23527 55.38 7.529 28 50 55 60 93
ceo_holding(%) 23391 2.464 5.786 0.000 0.099 0.347 1.430 34.05
ceo_tenure 23304 7.110 7.205 0 2 5 10 58
board_size 18717 9.544 2.835 3 8 9 11 39
Independent 18717 0.873 0.333 0 1 1 1 1
out_holding(%) 16229 0.200 0.479 0.001 0.018 0.056 0.157 3.354
out_age 18683 60.75 4.607 35.00 58.00 60.88 63.60 83.00
age_diff_ceo_out 17655 7.273 5.627 0.00 2.75 6.00 10.63 39.5
female_diff_ceo_out 17369 0.133 0.156 0.000 0.000 0.125 0.200 1.000
age_diff_top5_out 18159 7.853 5.200 0.00 3.67 7.25 11.2 32.8
female_diff_top5_out 17578 0.120 0.119 0.000 0.000 0.111 0.200 1.000
Ind-Connections (BoardEx Only) 15899 5.90 2.59 0 4 6 8 19
SNI_out (BoardEx Only) 15899 0.14 0.23 0 0 0 0.2 1
Panel D: CEO Compensation Variables (In thousands of dollars: Inflation un-adjusted numbers are used
here.)
Variable N mean sd Min p25 p50 p75 max
salary&bonus 24624 1236.7 1160.4 21.9 567.0 893.3 1443.0 7179.8
salary 24624 660.5 325.8 0.0 420.8 607.8 856.2 1793.8
bonus 24624 569.6 985.0 0.0 0.0 209.8 693.8 6000.0
option 17387 2133.9 4027.9 0.0 0.0 658.3 2227.3 24193.3
ltip 17518 154.7 557.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3585.4
othcomp 24624 190.4 456.1 0.0 10.2 47.7 162.2 3200.0
total_comp (tdc1) 24441 4639.1 5911.7 170.7 1201.6 2536.3 5459.2 34004.8
48
Table 2. Correlations
For the definitions of political measures, PHIs and Rep_indexes, please refer to Section IV. Firm characteristics and CEO/board characteristics are defined and
explained in Section III, and their formal definitions using Compustat item names are provided in the Appendix. A brief summary of their definitions is as follows:
a firm’s Tobin’s Q (Q), return on assets (roa), investment in tangible assets ratio (inv), research and development expense to assets ratio (rnd) and 12-month rolling
monthly net equity return volatility (eqvol).
Panel A: PHIs, Firm-level Rep_indexes and Socio-demographic Similarities & Social Ties
top5vw_out top5_index_vw ceo_out ceorep_index rep_omean age_diff female_diff SNI_out
top5vw_out 1.00
top5_index_vw -0.11 1.00
ceo_out 0.67 -0.11 1.00
ceorep_index -0.07 0.85 -0.12 1.00
rep_omean 0.07 0.25 0.06 0.21 1.00
age_diff_top5_out 0.03 -0.07 0.04 -0.06 -0.03 1.00
female_diff_top5_out -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.07 -0.08 1.00
SNI_out 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.03 -0.07 0.01 1.00
Panel B: Firm Characteristics and PHIs
Q roa inv rnd eqvol board_size top5vw_out ceo_out
Q 1.00
roa 0.31 1.00
inv 0.35 0.06 1.00
rnd 0.36 -0.21 0.27 1.00
eqvol 0.07 -0.36 0.19 0.26 1.00
board_size -0.16 0.04 -0.24 -0.26 -0.27 1.00
top5vw_out -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 1.00
ceo_out -0.04 -0.06 -0.03 0.06 0.04 -0.05 0.67 1.00
49
Table 3. Firm Valuation and PHI
The dependent variable is Tobin’s Q. There are two PHIs on the RHS of the regressions: top5vw_out (Panel A) and ceo_out (Panel B). Section IV provides the
definitions of the PHIs, top5vw_out and ceo_out, together with those of top5_index_vw and ceorep_index. Gindex is the external governance index introduced by
Gompers et al. (2003). Year, SIC2 and Area denote dummy variables defined using fiscal year, 2-digit standard industrial classification(SIC) code and the area
code of each firm’s telephone number. Control variables include board size, independent dummy, roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd and logasset. See Appendix for the
definition of these variables. In all columns of the panels in Table 3, standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and
*** denote the statistical significance at the 10%-, 5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
Panel A: Top Five Executives Value-weighted PHI
No Control Variables Control Variables Gindex
Non-missing
Rep_index PHI_prior PHI_dyadic
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
top5vw_out -0.56*** -0.54*** -0.45*** -0.22* -0.48*** -0.44*** -0.44***
(-3.39) (-3.62) (-3.65) (-1.88) (-3.66) (-2.94) (-3.54)
top5_index_vw
-0.02 0.03 -0.004 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02
(-0.49) (0.50) (-0.09) (-0.58) (-0.48) (-0.53)
Gindex
-0.023***
(-3.36)
top5vw_out_prior -0.38**
(-2.24)
top5_index_vw_prior 0.034
(0.55)
top5vw_out_dyadic -0.74***
(-4.87)
control variables No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
fixed effects No Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, Firm Year, SIC2,
Area Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2
Observations 18,660 18,660 17,493 17,493 13,523 12,363 16,940 17,493 17,493
Adj. R-sqrd 0.003 0.194 0.398 0.699 0.472 0.410 0.406 0.397 0.400
50
Table 3 Continued. : LHS Variable is Tobin’s Q
Panel B: CEO PHI
No Control Variables Control Variables Gindex
Non-missing
Rep_index PHI_prior PHI_dyadic
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
ceo_out -0.23** -0.22** -0.21*** -0.21*** -0.19** -0.25** -0.21**
(-2.09) (-2.29) (-2.61) (-2.61) (-2.17) (-2.41) (-2.49)
ceorep_index
-0.005 -0.005 -0.0004 -0.009 -0.006
(-0.20) (-0.20) (-0.01) (-0.31) (-0.26)
Gindex
-0.023***
(-3.35)
ceo_out_prior -0.16*
(-1.69)
ceorep_index_prior 0.008
(0.22)
ceo_out_dyadic -0.32***
(-3.26)
control variables No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
fixed effects No Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, Firm Year, SIC2,
Area Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2
Observations 18,426 18,426 17,439 17,439 13,523 12,312 16,630 11,476 17,439
Adj. R-sqrd 0.001 0.192 0.398 0.398 0.470 0.410 0.408 0.438 0.398
51
Table 4. Demographic Similarity, Social Network vs. Political Alignment
This table shows that the results reported in Table 3 are robust to the inclusion of demographic similarities and social ties between CEOs and independent directors.
age_diff_top5 (or ceo)_out and female_diff_top5 (or ceo)_out measure age and gender dissimilarities between corporate insiders (or a CEO) and independent
directors, respectively. The social network index (SNI) is constructed in the same way as in Fracassi and Tate (2012). Ind-Connections is the number of
independent directors minus independent directors with at least one social tie to the CEO. SNI_out is the fraction of independent directors with at least one social
tie to the CEO. For a meaningful comparison, in columns (2) to (9) of both panels, we use the sub-sample that satisfies the conditions used in Fracassi and Tate
(2012). This sub-sample starts from year 2000 and consists of firm-year observations available in the Boardex database. In columns (2) to (6) of both panels,
control variables include board_size, independent, logasset, tdm and Gindex, which are the control variables used in Fracassi and Tate (2012). In columns (1), (7),
(8) and (9) of both panels, control variables include Gindex, board_size, independent, roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd and logasset. All standard errors are clustered by
firm, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote the statistical significance at the10%-,5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
Panel A: Top Five Executives Value-weighted PHI
PHI vs. Age and
Gender dissimilarities
PHI vs. Social Network Index
Replication of Regressions in Fracassi and Tate (2011)
with and without PHI
Firm-years with
SNI_out = 0
Our default specification used
in Table 3 with Gindex
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
top5vw_out -0.44***
-0.70*** -0.68***
-0.36* -0.38**
(-3.24)
(-3.43) (-3.25)
(-1.65) (-2.21)
top5_index_vw -0.013
-0.15** -0.15**
-0.07 -0.09
(-0.29)
(-2.19) (-2.19)
(-0.87) (-1.53)
age_diff_top5_out 0.008**
(2.32)
female_diff_top5_out 0.049
(0.38)
Ind-Connections 0.02** 0.02**
(2.48) (2.45)
SNI_out -0.33*** -0.32*** -0.31*** -0.05 -0.04
(-3.32) (-3.24) (-3.19) (-0.50) (-0.46)
top5vw_out_prior
-0.76***
-0.52**
(-2.69)
(-2.32)
top5_index_vw_prior
-0.11
-0.04
(-1.13)
(-0.48)
control variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
fixed effects Year, SIC2 No No No No No Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2
Observations 13,332 7,601 7,601 7,597 7,597 7,597 4,371 7,196 7,196
Adj. R-sqrd 0.418 0.228 0.230 0.235 0.237 0.233 0.443 0.457 0.456
52
Table 4 Continued.
Panel B: CEO PHI
PHI vs. Age and
Gender dissimilarities
PHI vs. Social Network Index
Replication of Regressions in Fracassi and Tate (2012)
with and without PHI
Firm-years with
SNI_out = 0
Our default specification used
in Table 3 with Gindex
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
ceo_out -0.24***
-0.31** -0.29**
-0.32** -0.22**
(-2.58)
(-2.30) (-2.18)
(-2.08) (-1.99)
ceorep_index 0.001
-0.07* -0.07*
-0.04 -0.04
(0.05)
(-1.69) (-1.68)
(-0.89) (-1.19)
age_diff_ceo_out 0.003
(0.85)
female_diff_ceo_out 0.052
(0.49)
Ind-Connections 0.02** 0.02**
0.02**
(2.48) (2.54)
(2.51)
SNI_out -0.33*** -0.32*** -0.05 -0.05
(-3.32) (-3.28) (-0.50) (-0.51)
ceo_out_prior
-0.25*
-0.20*
(-1.68)
(-1.65)
ceorep_index_prior
-0.06
-0.03
(-1.04)
(-0.69)
control variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
fixed effects Year, SIC2 No No No No No Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2 Year, SIC2
Observations 12,942 7,601 7,601 7,542 7,542 7,542 4,354 7,166 7,166
Adj. R-sqrd 0.418 0.228 0.230 0.235 0.230 0.232 0.444 0.456 0.455
53
Table 5. Operating Performance and PHI
This table provides results on how PHI relates to the return on assets of a firm (roa). It further shows the relation of PHI to a firm’s risk measured by 12-month
rolling monthly net equity return volatility (eqvol), and 5-year rolling annual cash flow volatility (cfvol). In the first three columns (1) to (3), we report the results
for top5vw_out, whereas the results for ceo_out are reported in the remaining columns (4) to (6). Both year- and industry-fixed effects are controlled in all columns.
Industry-fixed effects are defined at 2-digit SIC (SIC2) level. All standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and ***
denote the statistical significance at the 10%-, 5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
Top Five Executives CEO
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
roa eqvol cfvol roa eqvol cfvol
top5vw_out -0.017** 0.005 0.002 ceo_out -0.016*** 0.005 0.002
(-2.24) (1.13) (0.55) (-2.81) (1.40) (1.02)
top5_index_vw 0.01*** -0.01*** -0.002* ceorep_index 0.004** -0.004*** -0.0009
(4.60) (-6.09) (-1.83) (2.52) (-3.80) (-1.23)
logasset 0.01*** -0.01*** -0.008*** logasset 0.010*** -0.01*** -0.008***
(7.43) (-19.38) (-16.54) (7.57) (-19.60) (-16.52)
Q 0.02*** 0.0006 0.005*** Q 0.02*** 0.0006 0.005***
(14.24) (0.96) (9.21) (14.07) (0.93) (9.11)
tda -0.11*** 0.032*** 0.02*** tda -0.11*** 0.033*** 0.01***
(-8.67) (6.36) (3.23) (-8.54) (6.35) (3.17)
inv -0.02**
inv -0.02**
(-2.25)
(-2.24)
Year Yes Yes Yes Year Yes Yes Yes
SIC2 Yes Yes Yes SIC2 Yes Yes Yes
Cluster Firm Firm Firm Cluster Firm Firm Firm
Observations 17,970 18,232 17,515 Observations 17,757 18,013 17,324
Adj. R-sqrd 0.187 0.351 0.267 Adj. R-sqrd 0.186 0.349 0.268
54
Table 6. CEO Turnover and PHI
This table shows how PHI relates to the likelihood of a CEO’s dismissal. Turnover, the dependent variable, is defined as a variable taking the value of one if a
CEO is dismissed between the second half of a given fiscal year and the first half of the subsequent fiscal year, and zero otherwise. A linear probability model is
used to directly interpret the second-order partial effect of PHI on the marginal probability change in CEO dismissal following poor stock market performance.
cum4yr_eqret denotes the cumulative stock returns from the past four fiscal years prior to a given fiscal year end date, and thus CEO tenure is required to be at
least four years to ensure that the CEO considered is responsible for the past four years’ stock return performance. top5vw_out (or ceo_out), top5_index_vw (or
ceorep_index), board_size, independenct, ceo_age, CEO retirement age dummies for the CEO’s age of 64, 65 and 66, and ceo_holding are additionally controlled
on the RHS of the regressions. Moreover, age_diff_top5_out (or age_diff_ceo_out), female_diff_top5_out (or female_diff_ceo_out) and SNI_out and these
variables’ interaction terms with cum4yr_eqret are further controlled. The coefficients on all these additional control variables are not reported for brevity. SIC2
represent the industry-fixed effects defined at 2-digit SIC levels. All standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and
*** denote the statistical significance at the 10%-, 5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
Top Five Executives Value-
weighted PHI
CEO PHI
cum4yr_eqret -0.107*** cum4yr_eqret -0.074**
(-3.15) (-2.36)
top5vw_out * cum4yr_eqret 0.094*** ceo_out * cum4yr_eqret 0.061*
(2.62) (1.73)
Controls Yes Controls Yes
Year Yes Year Yes
Industry SIC2 Industry SIC2
Observations 9,690 Observations 9,690
Adj. R-sqrd 0.032 Adj. R-sqrd 0.033
55
Table 7. CEO Pay-performance- sensitivity (PPS) and PHI
The dependent variables are the annual changes in the inflation-adjusted dollar amount of salary&bonus (column (1)) and total compensation (column (2) - named
tdc1 in the ExecuComp database) that includes stock/option grants and other compensation amounts. The dollar change amounts are denominated in thousands of
year-1992 dollars using the annual average CPI. From the definition of PPS, change in inflation-adjusted shareholders’ value (shareholders' value change) is used
on the RHS of the regressions. In both columns, we control for Ind-Connections and its interaction term with shareholders’ value change, and we also include
age_diff_ceo_out and female_diff_ceo_out, with their interaction terms with shareholders’ value change on the RHS of the regression. We further control for
ceorep_index, board_size, independent, ceo_holding, ceo_is_chmn_pres, ceo_tenure, out_holding, 1-year lagged natural logarithm of inflation-adjusted book
value of assets (l1logasset), and 1-year lagged Q (l1Q) in all columns. Coefficients of these control variables are not reported for brevity. In column (2) where the
dollar amount of change in total compensation is used as the dependent variable, lagged 12-month rolling monthly net percentage equity return volatility (l1eqvol)
is additionally controlled. Year- and industry-fixed effects are controlled in all columns (1) to (2), and the industry-fixed effects are defined at 2-digit SIC (SIC2)
level. All standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote the statistical significance at the 10%-, 5%-, and
1%-levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
salary&bonus dollar change total_comp(tdc1) dollar change
ceo_out -16.39 -27.86 (-0.94) (-0.26)
ceo_out*shareholders' value change -0.03** 0.049 (-2.08) (0.57)
shareholders' value change 0.03** 0.057 (2.41) (0.72)
Controls Yes Yes
Year Yes Yes
SIC2 Yes Yes
Observations 14,566 14,127
Adj. R-sqrd 0.095 0.014
56
Table 8. Corporate Fraud and PHI
This table shows how the top five executives’ value-weighted based PHI (top5vw_out) relates to the firm’s likelihood of
committing corporate fraud. The main dependent variable is a dummy variable taking a value of one if a firm-year is
associated with an alleged corporate fraud, and zero otherwise. This corporate fraud dummy variable is used in Dyck,
Morse and Zingales (2011), and the data on this variable are taken from the Adair Morse website
(http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/adair.morse). The data starts from year-1996 and ends in year-2004. In all columns (1) to
(4), board_size, independent, Change in SNI_out, ceo_tenure, ceo_age, ceo_holding, lagged Q (l1Q), lagged natural
logarithm of inflation-adjusted book value of assets (l1logasset), lagged roa (l1roa) are controlled. For the firm-year
observations that are not available in the BoardEx database, we assign zero to SNI_out. Year- and industry-fixed effects
are controlled in columns (2) and (4), and the industry-fixed effects are defined at the 1-digit SIC (SIC1) level. All
standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-stats (z-stats for Probit models) are shown in parentheses. *, **, and
*** denote the statistical significance at the 10%-, 5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Corporate Fraud Dummy
Coeff. Coeff. Coeff. Marginal Prob. Coeff.
top5vw_out 0.06** 0.06** 0.85** 5%** 0.88**
(2.20) (2.29) (2.11)
(2.20)
top5_index_vw 0.01 0.01 0.09 1% 0.14
(0.75) (1.27) (0.75)
(1.04)
board_size -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0% -0.02
(-0.61) (-0.56) (-0.70)
(-0.83)
Independent 0.01 0.01 0.14 1% 0.15
(1.03) (1.27) (0.91) (0.92)
Change in SNI_out 0.04* 0.02 0.48** 3%** 0.29
(1.77) (1.06) (2.33)
(1.35)
ceo_tenure 0.00 0.00 0.02 0% 0.01
(1.15) (1.17) (1.38)
(1.35)
ceo_age -0.00** -0.00* -0.02** -0%** -0.02*
(-2.18) (-1.65) (-2.20)
(-1.69)
ceo_holding 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00
(0.54) (0.41) (0.19)
(0.11)
l1q 0.01** 0.01** 0.11*** 1%*** 0.10***
(2.50) (2.05) (3.58) (2.69)
l1logasset 0.02*** 0.02*** 0.24*** 1.5%*** 0.27***
(4.37) (4.42) (5.27)
(4.89)
l1roa -0.11 -0.11 -1.03** 6%** -0.99*
(-1.55) (-1.47) (-2.09)
(-1.76)
Model Linear Linear Probit Probit
Year No Yes No Yes
SIC1 No Yes No Yes
Cluster Firm Firm Firm Firm
Observations 4,873 4,873 4,873 4,873
Adj. R-sqrd 0.026 0.041 N.A. N.A.
57
Table 9. Robustness Checks
Panel A: Political Ideology vs. Political Opportunism
This table shows additional results supporting the claim that Rep_index captures a person’s political orientation rather
than strategic political donations, and PHIs capture similarity in political ideologies rather than a firm’s political
connections established through political donations. The first two columns report the same Q regression results as done in
Table 3, but using two new alternative measures of Rep_index and the new PHI measures corresponding to them:
top5_index_vw_cycle_ave (top5_polarizer_vw) and top5vw_out_cycle_ave (top5vw_out_polarizer). In the third column,
we control for each firm’s political connections using political donations made by the firm’s top five executives,
independent directors, CEO and political action committee (top5_connect_vw, connect_omean, ceo_connect and
pac_connect, respectively) See Section VI.A for the definitions of these variables. Control variables include Gindex,
board size, independent roa, l1roa, l2roa, inv, rnd, logasset, SNI_out, age_diff_top5_out and female_diff_top5_out. All
standard errors are clustered by firm, and t-stats are shown in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote the statistical significance
at the10%-,5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
Alternative Political Measures Political Connections
Controlled
top5vw_out_cycle_ave -0.38**
(-2.38)
top5_index_vw_cycle_ave -0.04
(-0.70)
top5vw_out_polarizer -0.39**
(-2.18)
top5_polarizer_vw -0.09
(-1.34)
top5vw_out
-0.44***
(-2.80)
top5_index_vw
-0.04
(-0.77)
top5_connect_vw 0.01**
(2.53)
connect_omean
0.03***
(3.38)
pac_connect
0.01*
(1.68)
Year, SIC2 dummies Yes Yes Yes
Observations 11,208 11,208 11,208
Adj. R-sqrd 0.413 0.413 0.417
58
Table 9 Continued.
Panel B: Causal Relationship Between Tobin’s Q and PHI
This table shows the results for causal regressions. The first three columns of this table show the results when the change
in Tobin’s Q is regressed on the change in the independent variables used in the regressions in column (3) of both panels
in Table 3. Change in SNI_out is further controlled in these regressions. In column (3) of this panel, our testing sample is
restricted to the firm-years that experience either of the following two cases: case 1) independent director departure occurs
due to mandatory retirement or decease, or case 2) CEO departure occurs due to non-performance related reasons such as
retirement or decease. In column (4)-(7) of this panel, lagged political measures using only past donation history---lagged
top5vw_out_past and top5_index_vw_past---are used as instruments for top5vw_out and top5_index_vw, respectively. All
standard errors are clustered at the firm level. t-stats are shown in parentheses, and *, **, and *** denote the statistical
significance at the10%-,5%-, and 1%-levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
Change to Change 2SLS IV 6-year No Sample Restrictions Director Retirement/Decease
OR
CEO Turnover due to
Retirement/Decease
3-year 4-year 5-year 6-year
ctop5vw_out -0.19**
(-2.39)
ctop5_index_vw -0.06
(-1.46)
cceo_out
-0.12** -0.22*
(-2.01) (-1.82)
cceorep_index
-0.01 -0.04
(-0.69) (-0.93)
top5vw_out
-1.31* -1.41* -1.97* -2.32*
(-1.75) (-1.65) (-1.77) (-1.66)
top5_index_vw
-0.06 -0.08 -0.12 -0.099
(-0.60) (-0.71) (-1.03) (-0.75)
Year Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
SIC2 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Cluster Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm
Observations 14,541 14,464 407 11,054 9,423 7,975 6,677
Adj.R-sqrd
(or R-sqrd) 0.109 0.108 0.188 0.415 0.426 0.421 0.402
59
II. Appendices
Appendix A. Formal Definitions of Political Measures
A.1 Variables Indicating the Dollar Amount of Individual Political Donations
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Republican Party over 11
election cycles from 1989 to 2010
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Democratic Party over 11
election cycles from 1989 to 2010
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Republican Party up to
the end of fiscal year-t since the first election cycle in 1989
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Democratic Party up to
the end of fiscal year-t since the first election cycle in 1989
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Republican Party in
election cycle-c
: Total dollar amount of political donations made by individual-i to the Democratic Party in
election cycle-c
A.2 Individual-level Republican Indices
where |C(i)| denotes the total number of election cycles for which individual-i has donation
records, and C(i) denotes a set of such election cycles.
60
A.3 Group-level Republican Indices
a) Top Five Executives Group: i denotes an executive whose pay rank based on salary and bonus
is i for i=1, 2, .., 5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
b) Independent Directors Group: j denotes an independent director of a board for j=1, 2, ..., N
where N is the total number of independent directors of the board
c) CEO: k denotes the CEO of a firm
61
A.4 Firm-level Political Homophily Indices (PHIs)
top5vw_out = 1 – | top5_index_vw – rep_omean |/2
ceo_out = 1 – |ceorep_index – rep_omean |/2
top5vw_out_prior = 1 – |top5_index_vw_prior – rep_omean_prior |/2
ceo_out_prior = 1 – |ceorep_index_prior – rep_omean_prior |/2
top5vw_out_cycle_ave = 1 – |top5_index_vw_cycle_ave – rep_omean_cycle_ave |/2
ceo_out_cycle_ave = 1 – |ceorep_index_cycle_ave – rep_omean_cycle_ave |/2
top5vw_out_polarizer = 1 – | top5_polarizer_vw – rep_omean_polarizer |/2
ceo_out_polarizer = 1 – |ceorep_polarizer – rep_omean_polarizer |/2
top5vw_out_dyadic =
|
ceorep_out_dyadic =
62
Appendix B. Definitions of Financial Variables
Variables Definitions
Q Average Tobin’s Q, which is the ratio of market value of a firm’s asset to its book value.
The market value of a firm’s asset is computed as the book value of a firm’s total assets
(AT) minus the book value of common equity plus market value of common equity
(PRCC_F*CSHO) minus deferred taxes and investment credits (TXDITC) (if available).
The book value of common equity is computed as the total stockholders’ equity (SEQ) or
if this is missing, the first available of total common equity (CEQ) plus total preferred
stock (PSTK) or total assets (AT) minus total liabilities (LT)] minus the liquidating value
of preferred stock (PSTKL) [or, if that is missing, the first available of the redemption
value of preferred stock (PSTKRV) or total preferred stock (PSTK)].
roa The ratio of income before extraordinary items (IB) to the book value of a firm’s total
assets (AT).
tda The ratio of the book value total debt (DLC+DLTT) to the book value of a firm’s total
assets (AT).
tdm The ratio of the book value total debt (DLC+DLTT) to the market value of a firm’s total
assets. See the definition of Q above for the definition of the market value of a firm’s total
assets.
inv The ratio of capital expenditure (CAPX) to total net property, plant, and equipment
(PPENT). For a missing CAPX, we replace it with zero.
rnd The ratio of research and development expense (XRD) to the book value of a firm’s total
assets (AT). For a missing XRD, we replace it with zero.
logasset The natural logarithm of the inflation adjusted book value of a firm’s total assets
(AT/Average annual CPI).
eqvol The volatility of last 12-month monthly net equity returns. There are estimated at each
fiscal year end date of the firms in the sample using CRSP monthly stock file.
cfvol Cash flow volatility measured in the 5-year period prior to the fiscal year end date for a
given fiscal year. Cash flow is defined as the ratio of operating income before depreciation
(OIBDP) to the book value of a firm’s total assets (AT).