Does Listed Real Estate Behave Like Direct Real …...T F W E European Public Real Estate...

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Does Listed Real Estate Behave Like Direct Real Estate? ACADEMIC RESEARCH

Transcript of Does Listed Real Estate Behave Like Direct Real …...T F W E European Public Real Estate...

Page 1: Does Listed Real Estate Behave Like Direct Real …...T F W E European Public Real Estate Association 𝐸𝐼 𝑖,𝑑= 𝑖+ 𝑖𝑀 𝐢𝐼𝑖,𝑑+πœ€π‘–,𝑑 𝑖 𝑖 𝑖

Does

Listed

Real Estate

Behave Like

Direct Real

Estate?

ACADEMIC

RESEARCH

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Final Report

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Contents table

Martin Hoesli

Elias Oikarinen

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Introduction

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Methods

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𝑅𝐸𝐼𝑇𝑖,𝑑 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝑖𝑀𝑆𝐢𝐼𝑖,𝑑 + πœ€π‘–,𝑑

𝛽𝑖

𝛽𝑖

𝛽𝑖

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Data

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Empirical analysis

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Conclusions

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.3

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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Australia France Germany

Netherlands U.K. U.S.

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Co

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Investment Horizon (Years)

Direct vs. Unlevered REITs Direct vs. Levered REITs

Unlevered REITs vs. Stocks Levered REITs vs. Stocks

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Risk Premium Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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Global Liquidity Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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Aggregate Demand Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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Credit Demand Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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Sentiment Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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REIT Market Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

Direct RE response (alternate)

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Direct Market Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

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References

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Appendix

4.6

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.4

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Australia

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

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France

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5.0

5.2

5.4

5.6

5.8

6.0

6.2

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Germany

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

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Netherlands

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

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U.K.

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

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Fitted Actual

U.S.