Distributed Small-Scale Wind in New Zealand: Advantages, Barriers and Policy Support Instruments...
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Transcript of Distributed Small-Scale Wind in New Zealand: Advantages, Barriers and Policy Support Instruments...
Distributed Small-Scale Wind in New Zealand:
Advantages, Barriers and Policy Support Instruments
Martin Barry
17th July, 2007
OverviewDefinition
Aim & Method
Key Issues Facing the Industry
SSW Internationally & New Zealand– Advantages
Key Findings
Definition
Distributed Small-Scale Wind (SSW):
A wind project with 3 or less utility-scale turbines connected to the local lines network
Typical project size between 0.5 – 5 MW
Aim
To establish whether distributed, SSW in NZ is worthy of public policy support and if so, determine the most effective policy instruments to promote its uptake.
Method
• International review: Journal articles, international wind energy associations, govt. publications, Wind Power Monthly magazine, GWEC
• New Zealand– Interviews with 22 energy industry stakeholders– Rural mail survey
Masterton New Plymouth Both Regions
No. residences 861 759 1620
No. responses 230 108 338
Response rate (%) 26.7% 14.2% 20.9%
Method
Rural Survey Questions
1. Do you support/oppose wind power as a means of generating electricity in New Zealand?
1 2 3 4 5Strongly support Support Indifferent Oppose Strongly
oppose
Method
2. Please imagine a new small-scale (2 turbine) wind farm placed in your district.
How would you view the impact of such a wind farm?
1 2 3 4 5Very positive Positive Neutral Fairly negative Negative
Rural Survey Questions
Method
3. Please imagine a new small-scale (14 turbine) wind farm placed in your district.
How would you view the impact of such a wind farm?
1 2 3 4 5Very positive Positive Neutral Fairly negative Negative
Rural Survey Questions
Method
4. Is the idea of installing a wind turbine on your land appealing to you?
1 2 3 4 5Very interested Possibly interested Not sure Prob not interested Definitely
not interested
Rural Survey Questions
Method
5. Is the idea of installing a wind turbine on your land appealing to you?
If government support was offered (to ensure the ROI is comparable with other investments.
1 2 3 4 5Very interested Possibly interested Not sure Prob not interested Definitely
not interested
Rural Survey Questions
A survey of this type has not yet been done in New Zealand
Key Issues
NZ wind industry is failing to capitalise on the world- class wind resource it has available
Growth Rate
• Behind OECD average
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
NZ
Ireland
Norw ay
Denmark
Scotland
MW
• Intermittent
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1401
99
3
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
Nu
mb
er o
f tu
rbin
es
Growth Rate
Key Issues
Trend toward large-scale (local opposition)
Limited flow of investment
Limited manufacturing capacity High geographic concentration
NZ wind industry has adopted 4 characteristics that are limiting its future potential growth:
There is arguably a need to reassess the way the industry is developing
Key Issues
Trend toward large-scale (local opposition)
Limited flow of investment
Limited manufacturing capacity High geographic concentration
NZ wind industry has adopted 4 characteristics that are limiting its future potential growth:
There is arguably a need to reassess the way the industry is developing
Trend toward large-scale
NZ wind developers favour the ‘big is better’ approach
• 98% of installed capacity comes from farms with 15 or more turbines
Leading to increased local opposition & lengthening consent processes
– E.g. Project West Wind delayed more than 15 months
– Also Project Hayes, Awhitu, Tararua 3, Te Waka Ranges
Social acceptance is a key limiting factor of wind’s potential growth, e.g. UK
• 98% of total generating capacity being owned by only three developers
– Meridian & Trustpower also investing in Australia
c.f.– Ireland: More than 40 investors– Denmark: More than 150,000 households
Limited flow of investment
Advantages of SSW
Increased local public acceptance
Facilitates community ownership
Supports local manufacturing
Potential for distributed generation benefits
Utilises small high-wind sites
Advantages of SSW1. Increased local public acceptance
- 80% positive about SSW in local area
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Very positive Positive Neutral Fairly negative Very negative
Attitudes/Views
Per
cen
tag
e R
esp
on
ses
Large
Small
Wind Farm Size
- 50% positive about a large wind farm (14+ turbines)
Method
Rural Survey Questions
1. Do you support/oppose wind power as a means of generating electricity in New Zealand?
1 2 3 4 5Strongly support Support Indifferent Oppose Strongly
oppose
Advantages of SSW1. Increased local public acceptance
Significantly reduced NIMBY effect
Attitude toward large wind farm in local area
23%
Attitude toward small wind farm in local area
Positive
Negative
Attitude
3.3%
Attitude toward
large-scale wind farmAttitude toward SSW
n = 302
23% 3.3%
Advantages of SSW
1. Increased local public acceptance
‘Big is better’ is possibly creating an anti-wind sentiment
A spread of turbine clusters throughout NZ will give people a chance to familiarise themselves with wind on a scale that they find more acceptable and less intrusive
2. Facilitates community ownership
Widespread throughout Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands & Sweden
Advantages of SSW
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Nu
mb
er
of T
urb
ine
s
Privately Owned
Power Company Owned
Advantages of SSW
2. Facilitates community ownership
Proven to increase local public acceptance:
•Greater tolerance of effects
•Removes hostility toward large, commercial developers
•Alleviates tensions between local and national interest
A new source of capital:
•Greater investment pool
•Increases competition in generation
•Increases geographic diversity of wind capacity
NZ Context
Advantages of SSW
2. Facilitates community ownership
Involves farmers in wind:
•Utilise NZ’s vast rural potential for electricity generation
•Opportunity for farming sector to partially offset emissions
•Reduce the need for intensifying land use
Has demonstration value for the public:
•Improve understanding of the link between energy and climate
•Increase awareness of energy conservation
NZ Context
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
VeryPositive
Positive Neutral Oppose StronglyOpposeAttitude/View
Per
cen
tag
e R
esp
on
ses
Level of interest
Level of interestw ith governmentsupport
Advantages of SSW
66% interested in owning a turbine on their land
74.7% interested if government support is offered
Survey found that rural landowners have a high degree of interestNZ Context
Key Findings
Source: (BMU, 2006) Source: (BMU, 2006)
• SSW has the potential to alleviate issues in the wind industry & the wider energy sector
• Developing SSW would likely provide faster industry growth
Faster consent processes
More investors
Greater number of suitable sites (cf. large wind farms)
Key Findings
Source: (BMU, 2006) Source: (BMU, 2006)
• People are significantly more positive about SSW being developed in their local area
• The NIMBY effect is significantly reduced with SSW
SSW should not be developed instead of large-scale wind farms, but rather alongside them
• Rural landowners in NZ are interested in community ownership