Digital Nepal - ICT Conference Nepal · Digital Nepal June 18, 2018 ... cloud services and big data...
Transcript of Digital Nepal - ICT Conference Nepal · Digital Nepal June 18, 2018 ... cloud services and big data...
Digital Nepal
June 18, 2018
Tap new growth with intelligent connectivity and digital economy
Presented at CAN ICT Conference
By
Ananda Raj Khanal
Senior Director, NTA
People VerticalsCity
A SaferCity to live
A Bettermobile digital life
A SmarterManufacturing plant
Digitalization is Reshaping the Future
Digital Transformation are influencing Nations / People
Industries are evolving to Smart Industries
Cities are evolving to Smart Cities
The use of information and the need to use
data, are turning into…
156 countries have released national
ICT development master plan
Industry 4.0 Internet PlusAdvanced Manufacturing 2.0
Singapore Smart Nation Digital Canada 150 Smart Digital Malaysia
Nigeria National
Broadband Strategy
Colombia Live Digital Connected Argentina
Countries are setting policies to encourage ICT investmentThe Global GDP forecast
Source: IMFSource: ITU
2.82.7
2.5
3.0 3.1
3.0 2.9
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%Global GDP Growth Rate
ICT is the main drive force for growth
Digital economy drives economy growth and employment increase
Contribution to Asia GDP
2020 ICT
$1.23 tn2020 E-Commerce
4.8%
GDP
$8.93 tn 34.8%
GDPContribution to Asia Employment
MBB direct jobs
11.6 mn
MBB indirect jobs *
9.3 mn
* Jobs related to E-Commerce is not included
Starters Adopters Frontrunners
110K
70K
60K
50K
40K
30K
20K
10K
0
80K
90K
110K
100K
15 25 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 803020GCI 2018 score
Avg.
Nom
inal
GD
P p
er
Capita 2
017
Las
IndianBotswana
Argentina
Turkey
Colombia Belarus
Brazil
Bahrain Greece
Malaysia
Estonia
China
PortugalItaly
United Arab Emirates
Luxembourg
IrelandNorway
Switzerland
United States
SingaporeSweden
DenmarkAustralia
Germany
France Japan United Kingdom
Finland
South Korea
Most countries have embarked on the road to a digital economy,
but they are at different stages
Nepal here
Bangladesh
Recommendations for Starters:
ICT Policy Priorities for Starters
FOCUS AREAS
ICT Infrastructure
Priorities
Focus on improving high-
speed network access (e.g.
FTTH and 4G)
Industry and
Company Priorities Focus on e-Commerce
and cloud
Workforce
PrioritiesFocus on education for
cloud services and big data
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
• Expand public-private partnerships for ICT infrastructure to accelerate build-out and control costs
• Expand high-speed broadband coverage: increase Fiber-to-the-Home (FTTH) networks to reach over 20% of households (up from 2% in 2017), and 4G coverage from 4% of the population in 2017 to 40%
• Invest in data centers to provide cloud services once high-speed network coverage expands
• Boost access to affordable computing devices and smartphones to over 60% of the population
• Promote Internet use to cross the 70% threshold, up from an average of 38% today
• Increase investment in cloud services to over 10% of total software investment to create a transformation platform for industry automation
• Promote adoption of e-Commerce and social marketing to reach international markets
• Grow e-Commerce transactions by a factor of five, to more than $5,000 per capita
• Develop education programs to ensure workforce will be capable of using digital devices and have skills needed in the digital economy
• Build programs to upgrade the skills of current workers to meet the needs of digital transformation and industry automation
• Develop advanced programs to prepare IT workers for cloud services, big data and IoT. These workers will play a vital role in moving the country through digital transformation
Laos' National ICT Development Landscape, 2016~2025
Open cloud app platform Smart city innovation
High value realms
Socio-economyTransformationModernization of
traditional industries
New way: Industry 4.0, internet economy…
Enhance self-supporting capacity
Cost↓Efficiency↑ Efficient and Agile Network
National Broadband Network e-Government networks (private& public) Integrated ICT facility for access points
Flexible and Modernized IT Infrastructure
Cloud based e-Government platform and online services Enhanced communication efficiency and Collaboration
Manipulate Data Operation in-depth and knowledge mgt. Enhance app supporting capability and technical standardization Strengthen innovation mechanism and app integration Start industrial innovation with urgent demand, e.g. safe city,
education…
Citizens
e-LearningTelediagnosisElectronic IDSmart meter
SME& famer
e-CommercePublic cloud servicee-High Tech Parke-Logistics
Enterprise& Industry
e-Agriculturee-Financee-TourismSmart energy
Intentional cooperation
Regional joint innovation Trade facilitation
Government
Public service portale-Customse-Transport
Enforced Security
12
3
4
76
5Severn
Objectives in Action Plan, 2016~2018
Reference: 8th Five-Year National Socio-Economic Development Plan(2016~2020) of Lao PDR
National ICT Development Offers Huge Contribution to Laos’GDP
Growth
Each 10% increase in BB penetration, the GDP increases 1.3% in average;
BB speed X2 0.3% GDP increase;
20% increase in ICT investment = 1% growth in GDP.
Source: ITU, Deloitte
14.4
15.9
7%
9.4%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
13.5
14
14.5
15
15.5
16
16.5
2015 2016
Laos GDP(Billions USD) GDP Growth
1.54
2.15
0.2
0.96
26%
46%
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
2015 2016
3G Subs(Millions) 4G Subs(Millions)
MBB Penetration
Laos’s GDP Growth (2006~2016) Laos Mobile BB (2015&2016)
Source: World BankSource: TeleGeography
16.12
45.07
13.46
21.93
89
68
98
62
37
58
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
10
20
30
40
50
Nepal India Cambodia Vietnam Thailand Malaysia Global Average
Download Mbps Upload Mbps Rank
Nepal ICT Insight: Lag Behind, but Huge Potential
Nepal lags behind in many aspects of ICT Nepal mobile experience weaker than other countries
Nepal Fixed experience weaker than other countries
7.2
22.61
4.16
9.1
122113
8570
97
72
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
5
10
15
20
25
Nepal India Cambodia Vietnam Thailand Malaysia Global Average
Download Mbps Upload Mbps Rank
Source: OOKLA
• Nepal economy maintain steady growth in recent years
• Total population of Nepal is around 29M, of which 19M+ are aged below 35 years old, reflecting huge youth potentiality.
• Youth literacy rate (aged 15 to 24 years) of Nepal is 84.72% , indicates reliable foundation for now and future
20.2
23.69
28.32
32.9334.88
36.7538.42
39.95
72%84%
99%
114%119%
124% 128%132%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mobile subscriber Mobile Penetration
4.2%
8.6%
14.3%
17.0%
20.9%
24.5%
28.0% 31.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MBB User MBB Penetration
16.31%
52.48%
31.21%
only 2G-supported phone
2G&3G-supported phone
2G&3G&4G-supported phone
Nepal ICT Insight: Lag Behind, but Huge Potential
Mobile Penetration towards Saturation MBB Penetration Forecast,
Still Low
Terminal Supporting
Different Technologies
• Mobile subs more than population (mobile penetration > 100%). The main players are NT and Ncell.
• More than 80% terminal support MBB(3G&4G) but MBB penetration is around 20%.
• Poor MBB coverage (3G coverage < 60%; 4G only in 21 cities) is the main cause of low MBB penetration.
Digital Nepal Development Framework
Digital Nepal
Vision: Building a Fully Connected and Intelligent Nepal
Talent FundingRegulation
ICT Infrastructure
Spectrum
• National Backbone Network
• Fixed BB and Wireless BB for
home
• Nation-wide 4G Coverage
• Tower Company and Sites
Alliance
• National Date Center
Enabler
Key Directions and Initiatives
1. Public service delivery through e-Government
2. Safe city for public security
3. Encourage share of passive infrastructure (eg. NEA fiber)
4. Encourage and active competition between operators
5. Optimize NTC procurement process for better competitive6. Cyber security
7. ICT education and training and creating ICT jobs 8. Bridging the digital divide by innovation (eg. IoT)
Environment
Cloud DCs
ICT Industry(Operator/OTT/software vendor…)
Data standardization Data exchange Value reorganization
Ubiquitous access, integrated BB
Agile network
Supporting ability Enablement Collaboration
Mechanism copy Process reengineering Deep correlation
Application
Platform
Horizontal
foundation across
sectors
Open, Agile and Intelligent
Network
Industry info.& app
Integration
Application
development,
revenue sharing
Data digging
and business
intelligence
Pipeline
utilizationNetwork
Data
Service
Knowledge
Data Operation
AppApp App
Citizen Enterprise
Internet
BIG Data
Open service platform
National Cloud DC
Government
National Broadband Network
Content/capability sharing
Nepal Needs to Establish Strong ICT Infrastructure and Embrace
Data Operation Which Features Digitalized Ecosystem
Frequency Bands for Telecommunication
In Nepal
2300MHz 30M
1800MHz15M 11M 9M 12M 12M
2100MHz10M10M
900MHz 9.6M 8M2M5M 4.4M2.4M 3M
850MHz6M2.5M
2300 2330
1960 1970 1980
1710 1725 1732 17431744 1753 1765 1773 1785
880 885
890
899.6
902.6
910.6
915
869 871.5
872 876
NTC
Ncell
SmartT
el
UTL
NST
CG885.2
202020172016 2019
TDD 2300M
2600M (Band7)
700M/800M
1800M(Band3)
2018
Technology
Neutrality
Spectrum auction
expected
Spectrum auction
expected
Operator Spectrum Situation
Potential Spectrum Auction
Source: NTA Spectrum PolicyNT: 39.6MHz @ FDD, 30MHz@TDD
Ncell: 29MHz @ FDD
Speed up Spectrum Allocation/Auction
Operator Merge and re-allocation of spectrum
Information High Way --- National Backbone Network Infrastructure
NT existing fiber
NEA existing
fiber in
transmission
line
New fiber construction
with mid hill high way
National Backbone Network fiber Infrastructure
Reuse and
share
infrastructure
2G Coverage 3G Coverage4G Coverage
National 4G coverage for Pan connections
• Enhance operator obligation of coverage and simplify rural site approval and acquisition.
• RTDF for infra construction and sharing together with tower company.
• Encourage competition between operators with publish network performance by 3rd party monthly.
• Request NTC speed up 4G network rollout construction for national-wide 4G coverage.
General Roadmap of Digital Nepal for 3 Phases
Phase 3 (25-30)Phase 1 (18-20) Phase 2 (21-24)
1.3G/4G service(MBB > 60%)2.FTTH service (FBB home
penetration > 20%)3.E-Government, e-Health ,e-
Education and e-Agriculture (Strategy, requirement, Application, Contain)Master Plan for 5 years and pilot project in selected cities
1.National Backbone Network (NBN) as a foundation
2.Cloud based National Data Center (NDC)
3.National-wide 4G coverage 4.FTTH coverage in major cities5.Infrastructure share
1.Intelligent NBN and international connection enhancement
2.Distributed NDC for geographical redundancy
3.MBB and FBB network enhancement
4.Video Surveillance system deployment for smart city
1.IoT(Internet of Things) platform2.5G network massive deployment3.Intelligent surveillance system
1.E-Government2.E-Public Service3.E-Education4.E-Health5.E-Agriculture6.Smart City7.Smart Home
1.IoT for vertical industry2.Big data Analysis3.Artificial Intelligence (AI)
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