Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

13
Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

Transcript of Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

Page 1: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape

October 2007

CONFIDENTIALDRAFT

Page 2: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

2

Digital Business Models Overview

Models with Traction • Paid delivery to the PC for both movies and TV content via:

– A sell-through model which is either transactional or subscription based such as iTunes or Wal-Mart Online

– A rental model such as Movielink or Vongo

• Delivery to the TV set:

– Broadband linked devices such as Apple TV, Amazon Unbox through TiVo, and Xbox Live that are connected to the TV and wirelessly sync to online content providers

• Online channels:

– Owned channels like MySpace, Crackle, ABC.com, and Hulu that tend to utilize the ad-supported model

– 3rd party channels like Joost

Newly Emerging Models • Social virtual worlds like Gaia Online, Second Life, and Habbo Hotel are increasing in popularity

• Experimentation with software to allow DVD burning capabilities of online content to bridge the gap between the TV and PC has received some preliminary support from studios

Page 3: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

3

21%

7% 6% 6%

20%22%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Paramount Disney SPE WB Fox NBCU

(% A

vaila

ble

on

Dig

ital

)

957

594 553 480

1,000

1,848

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

NBCU SPE WB Fox Disney Paramount

(# o

f T

itle

s)

Film Content Available for Digital Delivery

* Note: Figures only represent the number of titles currently available in Home Entertainment format (DVD, VHS, etc.) that have not been made available digitally. Figures do not represent the total number of titles a studio may have in its library.

SPE Leads in Titles Made Available on Digital SPE is a Leader in % of Titles Available

NBCU has the Largest Base of Applicable Titles that have Not Yet Been Released on Digital

429

252 220147 132

500

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

SPE WB NBCU Paramount Disney Fox

(# o

f T

itle

s)

*

Page 4: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

4

iTunes dominates TV, but studios are leery of creating a single distributor for film product

Sell-through of TV content has proven more appealing than rental of films to date

Paid Film Content to PC – Market Share by Distributor

• The success of Apple’s marriage of the iPod device to the iTunes online distribution store has boosted the success of the platform

• Other new market entrants such as Wal-Mart’s Online Video platform, AOL Movies, or News Corp’s

Direct2Drive hope they will be able to capture market share from Apple.

iTunes: 82%

Other: 5%

Amazon Unbox: 8.4%

Movielink: 4.6%

• TiVo connectivity to TV set has helped to grow Amazon’s market share

• Continues to retain market share, but possibly will lose ground to new entrants like Wal-Mart

Market share source: Screen Digest research.

√ √ √ √ √ √ √

√ √ √ √

√ √ √ √ √ (only TV) √ √

√ √ √ √ (only TV) √ √

√ √ √ √ (only TV) √ √

√ √ √ √ √

Distributors Used for Film to PC

Page 5: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

5

TV Content to the PC

3rd Party Streaming

• In discussions for expanded ad-supported distribution using ABC branded player

• Hulu will extend ad-supported distribution

• Discontinuing iTunes in Dec (betting on Hulu)

• Developing broad distribution for TV shows using 3rd party players

• Leveraging wide distribution of owned (Viacom) and non-owned sites

3rd Party Downloads

CommentsAsset Owned Sites

[Coming Soon]

Hulu

• Full control of Library

• Limited control of on-net content

Networks are distributing first-run content broadly for promotional value and to maximize profits until owned sites reach greater scale

• Hulu will extend ad-supported distributionHulu

Page 6: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

6

Owned Ad-Supported Digital Channels

Supported Digital Channels

• Both ABC.com and ESPN.com are strong channels with scale

• Sub brand ‘dotcomedy’ failed

• Launching JV with Fox

• Sub brand ‘Inner tube’ failed

• Switching to CBS.com

• Strong focus on MySpace (master brand)

• Launching JV with NBCU

• Last holdout for “multi brands”; consolidating multiple web native brands (e.g., iFilm) under Spike.com

Comments

Hulu

Hulu

Parent Failed / Consolidated Digital Channels

• Working on building out depth and scale of existing brands (vs. launching wide variety of new brands)

Emerging trend toward fewer channels with a more concentrated marketing effort

While smaller channels are consolidating, new “mega channels”, like Hulu, are looming

• In2TV Struggling, but AOL investing further

Page 7: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

7

Current Events: Hulu (Existing Business Model)

FeaturesFeatures

• Hulu is NBC Universal and News Corporation’s online video joint venture. The site is set to launch in the Fall of 2007 and will focus on professional content.

• Initial distribution partners include AOL, Comcast, MSN, MySpace and Yahoo. Programming will also appear on sites owned by the distribution partners.

• Hulu videos will be played in their own embeddable branded player. Besides the content of NBC Universal and Fox, Hulu will offer content from at least 12 other channels including: Comcast, including shows on the Style and Golf channels, as well as shows from small networks including the Oxygen network, Sundance Channel, TV Guide, and National Geographic.

• Other major networks such as CBS, Disney ABC, and Viacom have not signed on.

Ownership/ Management TeamOwnership/ Management Team

Company OverviewCompany Overview

• JV between NBC Universal and News Corp• CEO: Jason Kilar (former Amazon Executive)

Page 8: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

8

Delivery to the TV Set

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2007 2011 2007 2011

(mill

ion

s)

PS3

Xbox 360

TiVo

Apple TV

Installed TV-Connected Broadband Capable Devices

Europe ‘Big 5’ USA

• PS3 timing of market entry is uncertain

• Success of Bravia too soon to tell

• Xbox is already experiencing early success in this area

– Xbox Live has already inked deals with Paramount, Warner Brothers, and Disney

– Content is only being offered on a rental basis

• Apple TV has also begun to establish a presence in the market

– It is rumored that iTunes might begin to offer some titles on a download-to-burn basis

• Disney and NBCU have voiced their support of DVD burning but a legal method for this has yet to be put in place

• Fiber services receiving positive reviews, but will this lead to exceeding forecast targets?

Source: Screen Digest research.

Trends

Page 9: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

9

Emerging Models: Virtual Worlds

• Virtual worlds have proven highly appealing as general entertainment sites– Club Penguin sold to Disney for up to $700MM ($350MM at close + $350MM of earn-outs)

– Second Life has become a well-known “sand box” for advertisers to experiment

• Virtual worlds offer a unique opportunity for TV and Film distribution– Sites can offer a truly immersive and social viewing experience

– Viewing becomes interactive and more engaging

• Studios are beginning to invest in the space– Turner struck a one-year deal with Kaneva to build virtual worlds for its properties

– Warner Brothers announced plans to launch “T-Works” in Spring 2008

• Sony is uniquely positioned to capitalize on opportunities in Virtual Worlds– Negotiating investment and distribution relationship with Gaia; expected to be the first Virtual

World to stream movies and TV in virtual theaters

– Coordinating plans with PlayStation to provide video content in PS HOME

Page 10: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

10

Case Study: Gaia Online

• An online virtual “hangout” with a targeted demographic

– 65% of demo are 18 years old or younger

– 85% of audience is domestic

• Gaia has built an attractive and passionate community

– 7MM register users and ~2MM monthly unique users

– Average 2-3 hours per day on the site (more than MySpace or Second Life)

• An early stage company with significant upside potential

– Previous focus on building audience, now beginning to monetize user base ($1.8MM in Q1 ‘07)

– Raised ~$21MM to date; last round at $120MM valuation

– Extremely interested in Sony as a strategic partner

• Fees from films and TV product aired in virtual theaters

• Ad inventory from branded digital channels (e.g. Minisodes)

• Sale of virtual SPE products (and possibly digital goods)

• Promote properties through immersive experience

Company Overview

Opportunities for SPE

Page 11: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

11

Gaia’s Unique Characteristics

User Age

Mon

thly

Tim

e S

pen

t p

er

UU

Pre Teen Teen Adult

<100 m

in100-2

00 m

in+

200 m

in

Subscription Virtual Goods / Ad-Supported

Primary Business Model

Subscription Virtual Goods / Ad-Supported

Primary Business Model

Engagement Matrix

Gaia Cash = Incentive Based

Featured Activity = Curated

Page 12: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

12

Gaia Cinemas

Page 13: Digital Distribution – Competitor Landscape October 2007 CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT.

13

DVD Burning Software

• To Come