Development of the OTP Group in the Past 10 Years - OTP Bank
Transcript of Development of the OTP Group in the Past 10 Years - OTP Bank
Development of the OTP Group in the Past 10 Years
OTP Bank – 10 Years on the Stock Exchange
Dr. Sándor CsányiChairman and CEO
August 10, 2005
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange2
OTP has been transformed from an inefficient state monopoly into an innovative market leader
* HUF/EUR annual average exchange rates between 1995 and 2004: 162,65; 191,15; 210,93; 240,98; 252,80; 260,04; 256,68; 242,97; 253,51; 251,68
** According to new IFRS standards
122149
191
329
649 45 56
111 117
560
251
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
OTP Group’s net profitMillion EUR, IAS*
IPO Acquisition of Merkantil Group
Privatisation: first round
“The most developing bank of the decade in Central Eastern Europe” –
EUROMONEY
IRB(OBS)acquisition
The fundamentals of the successful transformation• Product development• Technological innovation• Performance-oriented corporate culture• Focused local management
Sale of the 25% share by the state
DSK and Robankacquisitions
37.8%
ROAE
31.1%
30.3%
32.6%31.6%
30.0%
OTP in 1991• The beginning of
transformation from a national saving collector to a universal retail bank
• The entrance of Western European banks resulted in a sharp drop of market share after liberalization
• Large inefficient network of branches and overrepresentation of poorer rural districts
• Lack of experience in FX markets and corporate banking
• Low profitability (2% ROE), high amount of qualified loans outstanding
• Reputation of an inflexible and outdated bank
OTP Group – present days• The only independent
bank group in the region, with a high level of transparency
• Leading financial group with market share of ~25% based on total assets, ~30% based on deposits and ~40% based on profits
• Approaching Western European benchmarks in terms of operating efficiency, risk-management and marketing
• ROE grew to 38% along with a decreasing share of qualified loans
• Successful foreign acquisitions
• Permanently reaching/beating market expectations
35.3%
521**
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange3
Oct. 18-22, 1999
Dec. 1990
July 17-21, 1995
Oct. 14-21, 1997
Sept. 3 1997
Aug 10, 1995
Date
May 1995
Apr. 1994
Sept. 1992
The share of the state fell to one golden share by October 1999 after the three stages of privatisation
19921993
199419951996
19971998
19992000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005*Source: OTP’s stock exchange quarterly report, based on total private equity
Event Price
Public limited company with 100% state ownershipSelling of dividend preferred shares (3.9% of equity)
Privatisation in exchange for compensation coupons
20% ownership is sold by the state
Initial public offering (33%)
First trading day on the Budapest Stock Exchange
Issue of preferred (golden) share
Second public offer (25%)
Third public offer(14%)
HUF 1,200($ 9.5)
HUF 6,010($ 30.4)
HUF 9,900 ($ 40.98)
Current ownersMarch 31, 2005
International development inst.State (0.3%)
Own shares
Employees, managementDomestic private investorsDomestic institutions
Foreign institutions
New owner
Hungarian private investors
Hungarian private investors
Social security funds
Private and institutional investors
Hungarian State
Private and institutional investors
Private and institutional investors
1,7
6,7
2,0
83,9
2,0
3,3
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange4
OTP Bank was the first to enter many new and innovative product segmentsand has retained its market leader position in most of them
(1) Estimate based on households’ non-financial institution securities holdings; (2) Share calculated on insurance reserves; (3) Ratio calculated on investment funds’ net asset value; (4) The Bank established its voluntary pension fund in 1994, mandatory pension fund in 1997 and voluntary health fund in 2002; (5) Based on pension funds’ managed assets; (6) New vehicle sales market; (7) OTP Bank GroupSource: MNB, BAMOSZ, PSZÁF data
Market share inHungary, 2004 eoy
No. 1
No. 4
No. 1
No. 1
No. 1
No. 2
No. 1
Marketranking
24.8%(1)
9.4%(2)
39.6%(3)
21.8%(5)
20.0%(6)
56.0%
49.7%(7)
1992199319941995
19961997
19981999
2000
20012002
2003
2004
2005
Services
Bankcards
Securitiestrading
Insurance
Car leasing
Pension funds(4)
Investment funds
Mortgage loans
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange5
Automated TeleBANK, Integrated Information System phase I.
TeleBANK Center(live voice), Integrated Information System phase II.
Passive mobile bank
HomeB@NK
Development of housing loans administration: PreLak
SAP I., SUBA, Data Warehouse I.
Active mobile bank
SAP II., Data Warehouse II.Central Back Office supporting systemIndividual level performance measurement
58179
345435
537613
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
OTP adopts state-of-the-art IT and business solutions to enhance its efficiency and customer satisfaction
210 278 312
060 133
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Mobile banking Mobile bankingThousand
Telebanking
Internet banking
Increase in the number of contracts
Market share(estimated)
TelebankingThousand
Internet bankingThousand
41
43
74
152201 270
4 35 97
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
1992
1993
19941995
1996
199719981999200020012002200320042005
Main IT investments
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange6
Branches437
Accounts
More than 4 millionretail current accounts
MunicipalitiesRetail banking customers
Mass retailmarket
Over 3 millioncustomers
Loans
EUR 9.7 bnloans outstanding
Today OTP Bank Group provides almost 4 million customers with financial services in Hungary
* Including municipal and pension funds** With housing loans
Introduced after 1991
Existed in 1991
OTP Bank’s market segments, distribution channels and productsEnd of 2004
Customers
Channels
Products
Telebanking613,000 contracts
Internet 312,000 contracts
Mobilebanking270,000 contracts
Bankingconsultants,Customerreferees
Investment fund management*EUR 3.1 million assets managed
ATM /POS1,400 ATMs21,600 POSs;50.2 mn ATMtransactions
Mortgage loansEUR 3.9 bnoutstanding**
Insurance1.5 million insurance contracts
Corporate customers
Small and medium enterprises~200,000 customers
Large corporates~300 customers
Private banking~10.000 private banking customers
Retail financingEUR 600 million outstanding
Credit/Debitcards 333,350 credit cards, 3.2 million debit cards
Business terminals~13,000
43,000 accounts*
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange7
55.5
62.9
66.7
67.2
70.1
69.8
70.4
71.1
74.2
73.1
37.8
31.1
30.3
32.6
31.6
30.0
35.3
36.5
24.2
19.2
Besides expansion the improvement of efficiency has been a priority of the management
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
OTP GroupCost/incomeIFRS, percent
OTP GroupROAEIFRS, percent
Profit growth1995-2004, percent
* OTP Bank, non-consolidated IFRS** Excluding Hungarian Development Bank (MFB) in 1998 and 2002 and excluding Postabank in 1998Source: OTP Annual Report; HFSA Annual Report
*
**
**
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
OTP Group
Hungarianbanking sector**
100%
1,922%
684%
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange8
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Romania
Croatia
OTP Bank has made significant progress towards establishing a regional financial group
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
20012002
200320042005
Target countries of successful acquisitions
OTP Bank Group in Central-Eastern Europe2004 data, according to IFRS
* Consolidated data excluding Nova Banka** Banks only*** DSK Group, according to Bulgarian IFRS
Serbia &Montenegro
Bulgaria
-
Serbia &Montenegro
Bulgaria
-
MoldovaHungary
Slovakia
Czech R.
Lengyelo .
Ukra ine
Croatia
Serbia -Montenegro
Bulgaria
Bosnia -Her zegovina
Rom ania
Hungary
Slovakia
Czech R.
Lengyelo .
Ukra ine
Croatia
Serbia -Montenegro
Bulgaria
Bosnia -Her zegovina
Rom ania
OTP subsidiaries
Target countries
OTP subsidiaries
Target countriesTarget countriesOTP Banka SlovenskoNumber of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
680.3 million
EUR 0.9 bnEUR 2 m
3.5%95.6%
2.8%
OTP Banka SlovenskoNumber of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
680.3 million
EUR 0.9 bnEUR 2 m
3.5%95.6%
2.8%
Nova Banka* ( Croatia )Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
92~0.3 millionEUR 1.1 bnEUR 20 m
21.2%84.0%
3.8%
Nova Banka* ( Croatia )Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
92~0.3 millionEUR 1.1 bnEUR 20 m
21.2%84.0%
3.8%
OTP Bank Romania /RoBank /Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
150.03 millionEUR 0.2 bnEUR 0.2 m
0.7%80.6%
~1%
OTP Bank Romania /RoBank /Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
150.03 millionEUR 0.2 bnEUR 0.2 m
0.7%80.6%
~1%
DSK*** ( Bulgaria )Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
323~3.7 millionEUR 1.7 bnEUR 37 m
21.4%56.8%
13.1%
DSK*** ( Bulgaria )Number of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
323~3.7 millionEUR 1.7 bnEUR 37 m
21.4%56.8%
13.1%
OTP BankNumber of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
437~3.5 millionEUR12.4 bnEUR 506 m
38.2%44.2%
19.4%
OTP BankNumber of branchesNumber of clientsTotal assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratioMarket share in totalassets
437~3.5 millionEUR12.4 bnEUR 506 m
38.2%44.2%
19.4%
OTP Group *Number of branches **Number of clients **Total assetsNet profitROAECost/income ratio
843~8 million
EUR16.9 bnEUR 560 m
37.8%55.5%
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange9
Continuous trust of our clients is the greatest acknowledgement of our work in the past 10 years
„The financial institution has a good reputation”percent
„Expert in financial issues”percent
OTP Bank has an outstanding reputation among retail clientsAnswers given in a questionnaire of GfK* in May 2005
„It has more attractive and interesting offers than other banks”
percent
„I can recommend it to my best friend”percent
2nd ranked bank
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
1
2 49
130 10 20 30 40 50 60
1
2 51
14
0 20 40 60
1
2 48
140 20 40 60
1
2 55
132nd ranked bank
2nd ranked bank
2nd ranked bank
* GfK Hungary Market Research Ltd.
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange10
Several foreign awards indicate OTP Bank’s success at theinternational level
Awards Adjudicator
… …Best Bank in Hungary Global FinanceBest Bank in Hungary EUROMONEYBest Bank in Hungary Global FinanceReal Estate Developer of the Year International Real Estate AssociationBest Security Trading Firm in Hungary EUROMONEYThe Most Developing Bank of the decade in CEE EUROMONEY Best Bank in Hungary EUROMONEYBest Bank in Hungary The BankerBest Bank in Hungary Global FinanceQuality award by the American Dollar Funds JP Morgan ChaseBest Internet Bank of the Year Index, HP, NBIBest Bank in Hungary EUROMONEYBest Bank in Hungary The BankerQuality award by the American Dollar Funds Global FinanceBest Bank in Hungary The BankerBest Bank in Hungary Global FinanceBest Bank in Hungary EUROMONEYBest Bank in Hungary The BankerBank of the Year in Emerging Markets The BankerMember of the 100 most valuable companiesin the world Business WeekBest Bank in Hungary EUROMONEYEurope’s Best Regional Small Bank EUROMONEY
RATINGS, 2005
MOODY’S Long term deposits: A1
Short term deposits: P–1Financial strength: B-
STANDARD & POOR’S Long term rate: BBBpi
FITCH IBCA Safety: 2
CAPITAL INTELLIGENCELong term: BBBShort term: A-2
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
19981999200020012002200320042005
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange11
A share price growth of 64 times in HUF terms (47 times in EUR terms) reflects investors’ confidence
Source: Bloomberg
The market valuation of OTP is outstanding in EuropeStock market capitalisation on 5 August 2005 / equity at the end of 2004
3.33.2
3.03.02.92.82.8
2.72.6
2.52.22.22.22.12.12.1
2.02.02.01.91.91.81.81.81.81.81.71.71.7
4,7OTP BankKomercni Banka
Bank PekaoBanco Bilbao
Standard CharteredErtse BankLloyds TSB
Allied Irish BanksUBS
Bank ZachodniBank of Ireland
Banco Popular EspanolMediobanca
BarclaysFortisHBSCDexia
Banca IntesaSociete Generale
KBCUnicredito
Danske BankABN Amro
Skandinaviska EskildaSanPaolo IMI
NordeaSvenska Handelsbanken
INGBanco Santander
BNP Paribas
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Aug-
95
Aug-
96
Aug-
97
Aug-
98
Aug-
99
Aug-
00
Aug-
01
Aug-
02
Aug-
03
Aug-
04
OTP 4700%
BUX1009%
MS EUBankIndex285%
Relative performance of OTP shares and its benchmarks in the last 10 years, 10 August 1995 – 5 August 2005, in euros10 August 1995 = 100%
100%au
g.05
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange12
545
322
486
1,884
220
1,682
269
211
211
2,131
405
560
560
140
33
467
30
275
16
253
30
29
29
265
31
17
17
OTP Bank developed into a major financial group in the past ten years even in international comparison
2004 Net profit€ mn
Share of regionTotalIn Central and Eastern Europe
%
(1) Before taxationSource: Corporate presentations
Total Assets€ bn
(1)
Market capitalization€ bn, 5 August, 2005
11
16
27
25
7
28
9
International presence
CZ SK CRHU
PL HU CZ SK SL
CR LA LI
RO BU BO RU
U ET
SE
HU CZ RU CR
PL CZ SK SLHU
CRPL CZHU
SL LI BU
RO U BO RU
SE
BE
AL
CZPL SK RO BU
TCRBO
SK ROBU CRHU
SE24%
6%
12%
100%
12%
100%
6%
-1 913
59%
n.a.
16%
100%
19%
100%
12%
(1)
SK
SK
The Strategy of the OTP Bank Group 2005-2009
OTP Bank – 10 Years on the Stock Exchange
Dr. Zoltán SpéderDeputy Chairman and CEO
August 10, 2005
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange14
3.1%
1.3%
1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0%
3.6% 3.4%3.5% 3.7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Hungary
EU average
5.8%
2.3%2.6%
5.9% 5.6%
7.4%
5.0%
3.2%2.9%
2.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Hungary
EU average
Hungary’s macroeconomic framework in the next 5 years is determined by the convergence programme towards Euro adoption
Real GDP growthYear on year
InflationAnnual average
Budget deficit in % of GDP
Base rateAnnual average
3.4%
4.8%
3.2%
5.4%
3.0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Maastricht criterion
Hungary
3.0%
2.0% 2.0%1.8%
1.6%
1.9%
3.5%3.7%
3.0%2.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
EU average
Hungary
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange15
GDP growth rates in the countries of OTP’s foreign subsidiaries exceed that of Hungary
Average real GDP growthYear on year
• GDP growth rates in the countries of OTP’ssubsidiaries exceed that of Hungary in the next five years
• The least developed Romania and Bulgaria may have the highest GDP growth in the medium term
• Slovakia already fulfils the Maastricht criterion for long term interest rates
• Bulgaria, adopting a currency board, is characterized by low inflation and low short term interest rates
• The convergence of interest rates may be slower in Romania where inflation well exceeds the region’s average
EU
Hungary
Bulgaria
Croatia
Romania
Slovakia
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
3,5%
4,7%
3,7%
5,1%
4,7%
1,7%
*Bulgaria has a currency board with zero premium over the ECB rate
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%
10%11%12%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
HungaryCroatiaRomaniaSlovakiaEU and Bulgaria*
Base rateAnnual average
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange16
The share of bank deposits among households’ financial assets will decrease gradually
32% 34%27%
46%38%
8%10%
5,0%14%16%
38%
19%32%
13%
12,0%9,0%
15%15%
33% 28%24%
15% 13%
2%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
EU 15 Németo. Franciao. Portugália Spanyolo.
32% 34%27%
46%38%
8%10%
5%14%16%
38%
19%32%
13%12%
9%15% 15%
33% 28% 24%15% 13%
2%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
EU 15 Germany. France Portugal Spain .
The structure of households’ savings in Hungary
2003-2010, thousand billion forint, percent
Asset structure in the European Union
2002-2003, percent
Thousand bn Ft 13,9 15,8 17,6 19,3 21,1 23,2 25,5 28,1
Sources: Eurostat, McKinsey, national banks, OTP Bank
CAGR
18%
12%
11%
7%
6%
43% 41% 40% 38% 36% 35% 34% 33%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7%
30% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6%
13% 15% 16% 17% 19% 20% 22% 23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Other assets
Insurance andpension fundsreserves
Equity, other thanmutual fund shares
Mutual fund shares
Securities, otherthan shares
Currency and bankdeposits
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange17
In spite of the high debt burden relative to disposable income, households indebtedness may rise in Hungary
Debt /DI 108 200 43 120 108 70 97 140 119 150 19 35 57
Debt burden / disposable income (DI) of households, %
• While debt / income ratio is low in Hungary in international comparison, the debt burden / income ratio is close to EMU levels, because of higher interest rates and the shorter maturity of household debt.
• Income growth, lower interest rates and the increase in the maturity of debt in the future may result in a significant rise in the debt / income ratio, while debt burden / income will increase only moderately.
4
11
2
6 6
45
810
8
2
4 56
9
5
8
54
6
12
68
46
7
10
8
14
12
8
10
20
16 16
6
1012
20
02468
10121416182022
2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2009
ESP NL I P D Fr EMU UK USA Germ. CZ Hun. Hun.
Interest rate burden Debt amortization Total debt burden
Sources: national banks, (UK, Norges Bank, ECB, FED, Ceska Narodni Banka), OTP estimate
Debt burden/ DI
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange18
Banking penetration is driven by dynamic credit growth
Banking sector penetration in % of GDP
Total loans to GDP (%) • Deposit growth is expected to exceed the pace of nominal GDP in Romania and Bulgaria.
• Deposit market is shrinking in Slovakia with the expansion of other financial intermediaries
Total deposits to GDP (%)
• Banking sector penetration in Croatia and Slovakia exceeds that of Hungary.
• Although the most dynamic growth is expected in Romania, bankingpenetration until 2009 is not expected to reach the current Hungarian level.
• Corporate loans: corporate sector’s financial need increases in the years of convergence
• Household loans: consumption is expected to be the key driver of GDP, growth fuelled by fast increasing mortgage and consumption loans
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Hungary BulgariaCroatia RomaniaSlovakia
257%
EU
200
3
01020304050607080
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Hungary BulgariaCroatia RomaniaS lovakia
116
EU
2003
01020304050607080
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Hungary BulgariaCroatia RomaniaSlovakia
96%
EU
2003
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange19
Pension fund savings
In the Hungarian retail saving market the target is to retain the dominant position
Household deposits Investment funds
Insurance reserves
*Total – not only household -insurance reserves.
2005.Targeted market share
2009.
36.1%
32.5%
2005.Targeted market share
2009.
39.5%
34.6%
2005.
Targeted market share*
2009.
8.8%
9.5%
2005.
2009.
22.9
21.1
Targeted market share
Household deposits of OTP Group
1506.0 1710.5 1960.1
231.2233.4
269.2
0
900
1800
2700
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
OTP Building Society depositsMerkantil Bank, household depositsOTP deposits, foreign currencyOTP deposits, HUF
11.9%
CAGR 2004-20095.3%
OTP investment funds
308.1371.6
550.9
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
CAGR 2004-200912.3%
20.6%
Insurance reserves at OTP Group
84.4 102.9
192.814.315.9
20.9
0
100
200
300
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
Non-life insurance resrevesLife insurance resreves
20.4%
CAGR 2004-200916.7%
OTP pension funds
288.4 348.9
781.0
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
21.0%
CAGR 2004-200922.1%
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange20
In the retail lending segment the bank focuses on the strengthening of foreign currency mortgage and consumption lending
Consumption loans
Mortgage loansMortgage loans of the OTP Group
170.4 167.3 146.4
770.3966.0
2096.6
13.9
8.37.9
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
OTP Bank OTP Mortgage Bank OTP Building Society
BN HUF
20.4%
CAGR 2004-200918.9%
Targeted market share 2005
49.5%
7.4%
41.7%
0.4%
OTP Bank
OTP Mortgage
Bank
OTP-BS
Targeted market share 2009
0.3%
45.0%
3.2%
48.5%
OTP Bank
OTP Mortgage
Bank
OTP-BS
Consumption loans of OTP Group
200.9 257.1
519.399.534.3
221.6
3.9
69.5
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
OTP Bank Merkantil Bank OTP Mortgage Bank
Bn HUF
53.3%
CAGR 2004-200928.1%
Targeted market share 2005
27.6%
7.5%
20.1%
OTP Bank
Merkantil Bank
Targeted market share 2009
38.5%
3.0%
9.6%
25.9%
OTP Bank
Merkantil Bank
OTP MB
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange21
In the case of the foreign subsidiaries the target is to significantly increase their market share
Bulgaria RomaniaSlovakia Croatia
The charts show targets in the different market segments to be achieved with organic grow, without further acquisitions.
DSK Bank
5.1%
5.5%
46.7%
25.8%
13.1%
6.1%
5.9%
46.0%
40.0%
27.3%
16.0%
8.1%
10.0%
47.5%
40.5%
30.9%
18.7%
37.7%
Corp
orat
e lo
ans
Corp
orat
ede
posits
Cons
umpt
ion
loan
Mor
tgag
e lo
ans
Hou
seho
ldde
posits
Tota
l ass
ets
2009
2005
2004
OBS
8.1%
4.1%
1.8%
2.5%
2.8%
6.0%
4.1%
2.5%
5.8%
2.6%
2.8%
6.2%
4.5%
5.0%
9.8%
3.5%
3.5%
4.0%
Corp
orat
e lo
ans
Corp
orat
ede
posits
Cons
umpt
ion
loan
Mor
tgag
e lo
ans
Hou
seho
ldde
posits
Tota
l ass
ets
200920052004
RoBank
1.0%
1.5%
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.9%
1.1%
4.6%
2.8%
5.0%
5.8%
3.3%
7.2%
Corp
orat
e lo
ans
Corp
orat
ede
posits
Cons
umpt
ion
loan
Mor
tgag
e lo
ans
Hou
seho
ldde
posits
Tota
l ass
ets
200920052004
Nova Banka
2.1%
3.9%
3.0%
6.2%
3.8%
2.1%
4.0%
3.3%
5.5%
6.4%
3.9%
3.1%
5.2%
5.6%
6.8%
8.2%
4.6%
5.1%
Corp
orat
e lo
ans
Corp
orat
ede
posits
Cons
umpt
ion
loan
Mor
tgag
e lo
ans
Hou
seho
ldde
posits
Tota
l ass
ets
200920052004
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange22
In the coming years net interest margin will decrease further
We expect the net fee margin** to grow significantly on the bank-level, while on the consolidated level it will decrease moderately
The Bank plans to decrease the cost/income ratio to 40% at bank level and under 50% at group level until 2009
The banking group targets to improve cost efficiency further, the cost/income ratio will decrease under 50% by 2009*
* The figures show the planned organic development of the present banking group, according to the Hungarian Accounting Standards** Net fee revenue compared to the average volume of deposits and loans
Nettó kamatmarzs
5.31% 5.01% 4.13%
6.53% 6.27%4.64%
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%
2004. tény 2005. terv 2009. terv
Banki Konszolidált
Jutalékmarzs*
3.00% 3.04% 3.44%1.39% 1.34% 1.15%
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%
2004. tény 2005. terv 2009.terv
Banki Konszolidált
Kiadás/bevétel arány
47.9% 44.5% 40.8%55.7% 54.1% 49.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%
2004. tény 2005. terv 2009. terv
Banki Konszolidált
*Net interest margin Net fee margin**
2004 Fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bank
Bank
Consolidated
Consolidated
ConsolidatedBank
Cost/income ratio
2004 Fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
2004 Fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange23
OTP Bank’s performance remains dominant in the Group but the contribution of foreign subsidiaries to earnings growth will increase
* The figures shows the planned organic development of the present banking group, according to the Hungarian accounting standards, with dividends received, before banking and corporate taxation
** Without acquisitions planned for 2005
Contribution of banking group members to pre-tax earnings growth*
OTP Bank: earnings before taxation*
146.5
219.3
123.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
18.6%
CAGR 2004-200912.2%
Subsidiaries: earnings before taxation**
28.1 24.9 43.2
14.9
65.3
11.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
Subsidiaries in Hungary Foreign subsidiaries
1.0%
CAGR 2004-200922 5%
Consolidated earnings before taxation*
151.4 175.3
294.4
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2004 fact 2005 forecast 2009 forecast
Bn HUF
CAGR 2004-200914.2%
15.8%
2004
48.6
9.9
36.0
4.3
-1,6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
OTP Bankwithoutdividentsreceived
Subsidiaries inHungary
Foreignsubsidiaries
Consolidationeffects
Consolidatedincome
Bn HUF
72%9%
20%
2009
44.4
20.2
6,5
18.1 0.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
OTP Bankwithoutdividentsreceived
Subsidiaries inHungary
Foreignsubsidiaries
Consolidationeffects
Consolidatedincome
Bn HUF
40%
15%
45%
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange24
With organic development current* OTP Group aims to reach 15% average profit growth in the coming years
* Hungary, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Romania, Croatia** Plans for current group’s organic growth while maintaining efficient capital structure*** BS items calculated on year end, P&L items on annual average HUF/EUR exchange rates. Annual average HUF/EUR exchange rates: 2005:249,4; 2009:252,8 **** Non consolidated, aggregated, compared to the financial institution systemSource: OTP
Market size (total assets)HungaryTotal (current markets*)
OTP GroupMarket share
Hungary****Total (current markets*)
Total assetsHungary****Total (current markets*)
Main indicatorsInterest marginFee marginCost/income
Net profit (EUR million)Net profit (EUR million, IFRS)
ROAE
Main figures of OTP Group’s strategic planConsolidated**, according to Hungarian Accounting Standards, EUR billion***, %
73.5175.0
24.9%12.0%
18.321.0
6.3%1.3%
54.1%554620
31.8%
116.1281.0
26.6%14.6%
30.839.8
4.6%1.2%
49.9%973
1,031
35.7%
12.1%12.6%
+1.7%p+2.6%p
13.9%17.4%
-1.7%p-0.1%p-4.2%p15.1%13.5%
+3.9%p
2005 2009CAGR/
Change
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange25
OTP Bank can achieve the targeted market position by improving distribution and retaining „valuable” clients
Value proposition development targetsIntensive use of CRM system, segmentation and options provided by the databank in distribution and creation of value offersDevelopment of segmentation methodology and extension of data researchedImprovement of cross-sales and intensity of product usage through segment specific sales campaigns, development of sales campaign effectiveness Renewal of value proposition to micro- and small enterprises, improvement of service quality and effectiveness
Programmes for distribution channel improvementCarry on the branch network transformation– formation of a standard distribution approach project:
–dissemination of sales supporting tools –phase in best branch practices–implementation of a new incentive system
Development of electronic channels through the expansion of services available and implementation of comfort functions; strengthening of OTPdirekt brandMore efficient use of alternative distribution channels (agents of group members, other external intermediaries)
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange26
Key challenges for internal development are preparation for Basel II standards and improvement of the incentive system
Risk managementCredit risk management:
– Basel II standards must be fully met in 2005 regarding all background process and inner regulations – Final definition of the role of the division responsible for operational risks– Actualisation of risk management methods and fit it to the group in the bank and subsidiaries
Management of market, country and partner risks:– Transformation of methodologies for rating countries and professional money- and capital market
participants in line with the requirements of the new capital agreement– Further improvement of country- and partner risk assessment methodologies on group level
Human resource managementImplementation of a new compensation system
– Constant, objective measurement of personal performance – Performance-based incentivisation– Unlimited extra-income opportunity in the branch network
Training for branch managers and administrators, improvement of sales skills in order to boost sales performanceEducation providing basic and special professional knowledge
OTP Bank - 10 Years on the Stock Exchange27
Forward looking statements
This presentation contains several forward looking statements concerning financial conditions, operational income and business activity of OTP Bank and the OTP Group. These statements and forecasts carry risks as they hinge upon future events and circumstances. Several factors can result in actual outcomes and processes deviate from the forward looking statements and forecasts included or implied by this document. Statements are based on estimated exchange rates and financial conditions considering current regulations. None of the statements of this document can be regarded as forecast on future profits.