Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU
Transcript of Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development of
port Komárno (SK)
Master plan | Feasibility study
1 Introduction
2 Project plan
3 Comparative analysis
4 Demand analysis
5 Strategic options
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 3 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Goals of the Project & Current situation
Introduction
➢ Total area of the port - 64,3 ha
➢ Area of covered warehouse 0,6 ha
➢ Area of uncovered warehouse 2,6 ha
➢ Length of the loading quay 3 000 m
➢ Industrial spur length 13,8 km
➢ Number of cranes: 11, lifting capacity: 16 t
➢ Transport connection
➢ Railway from Komárno station
➢ Road from Lehárova street
Port Komárno
The project aims to develop the port to increase the utilization of waterway transport in compliance with
EU assumptions.
The development of the port will increase the employment rate.
The port development will attract the low-cost water transport and it will increase competitiveness of local
entrepreneurs.
Goals of the Project
1
2
3
1 Introduction
2 Project plan
3 Comparative analysis
4 Demand analysis
5 Strategic options
Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 5 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Master plan & Feasibility study general approach
Financialmodel
Market analysis
Base for Feasibility
Study
Selected development
OPTION
Master plan inputs
Discussions with experts
Technical and operational
inputs
Phase 1 (September 2018 – February 2019)
Phase 2 (February 2019 – February 2020)
Definition of catchment area
Export/import ratio
Demand & Commercial analysis
Base for MASTER
PLAN
Port technical and areal capacity
Comparative analysis
Analysis of Danube river
Comparable ports selection
Indicative estimation of demand
Development optionsMulti-criteria matrix
& SWOT analysis
Historical production in catchment area
Identification of potential customers
Identification of relevant segments
Historical volumes in PP Komarno
Spatial planning limitations
Technical limitations 7 options evaluated
Revenue driving inputs
Economic environment
Political environment
Market overview
Demand analysis inputs
MASTER PLAN
&
FEASIBILITY
STUDY
Project plan
1 Introduction
2 Project plan
3Comparative
analysis
4 Demand analysis
5 Strategic options
Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 7 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Comparable ports selection
Port Komárno
City: Komárno
Country: Slovakia
Location on Danube: 1,770 km
Area: 643,000 m²
Yearly volume: 85 ths. tonnes
TOP 3 reloaded commodities:
grain, crude materials, fertilizers
Length of loading quay: 3,000 m
Number of cranes: 7
Warehouse area: 34,427 m²
Highway access: yes (M1 – 9 km)
Railway access: yes
Year-round service: yes
Port Passau
City: Passau
Country: Germany
Location on Danube: 2,233 km
Area: 250,000 m²
Yearly volume: 471 ths. tonnes
TOP 3 reloaded commodities:
animal feed, grain, fertilizers
Length of loading quay: 650 m
Number of cranes: 3
Warehouse area: 83,155 m²
Highway access: yes
Railway access: yes
Year-round service: yes
Port Straubing
City: Straubing
Country: Germany
Location on Danube: 2,312 km
Area: 2, 200,000 m²
Yearly volume: 795 ths. tonnes
TOP 3 reloaded commodities:
biomass, grain, chemicals
Length of loading quay: 1,050 m
Number of cranes: 5
Warehouse area: 35,000 m²
Highway access: yes (A3 - 16 km)
Railway access: yes
Year-round service: yes
Comparative analysis
Port Kelheim
City: Kelheim
Country: Germany
Location on Danube: 2, 411 km
Area: 850,000 m²
Yearly volume: 348 ths. tonnes
TOP 3 reloaded commodities:
fertilizers, raw materials, agro
Length of loading quay: 1 200 m
Number of cranes: 5
Warehouse area: 45,000 m²
Highway access: yes (B16 – 1 km)
Railway access: yes
Year-round service: yes
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 8 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
KPIs & Findings
Comparative analysis
PortKomárno
Port Passau
PortKelheim
Port Kelheim
COMPARABLE PORTS FINDINGS FROM ANALYSIS
▪ Taking into consideration actual reloaded volume in PP Komárno, operating
area of port is above average >>> low utilization of area (10-25 time less)
>>> low utilization of manipulation facilities (7-20 times less)
▪ PP Komárno do not provide comparable amount of additional services -
waste management, fuel supply
▪ There is 1-2 commodities dominating reloaded volumes >>> finding used in
demand analysis
▪ Comparable ports are co-operating with industrial parks (or even built their
own industrial parks in port area) – absent in PP Komarno
▪ Mobile cranes and mobile manipulation facilities are dominant in
comparable ports
▪ Minimum transport distance is 200-300 km from port, optimal distance is
500km+
▪ Capital investments (without maintenance CapEx) are high (Kelheim, Baja)
▪ Similar warehouse area offered in PP Komárno - but needs to be upgraded
Source: hafen-straubing.de, bayerhafen.de, hafenkelheim.de, portofbaja.hu,
Nemecká štatistická ročenka prepravy na Dunaji 2017
Comparative analysis
AreaLength of loading
quayNumber of cranes Volume
KPI No. 1
Area Utilization
KPI No. 2
Manipulation facilities utilization
m² m Pcs. T Reloaded volume / loading quay Reloaded volume / number of cranes
Straubing 2,200,000 1,050 5 795,000 757 159,000
Kelheim 850,000 1,200 7 348,000 290 49,714
Passau 250,000 650 3 327,000 503 109,000
Komárno 643,000 3,000 11 84,967 28 7,724
Table: Calculation of KPIs a
Source: hafen-straubing.de, bayerhafen.de, hafenkelheim.de, portofbaja.hu, Nemecká štatistická ročenka prepravy na Dunaji 2017
1 Introduction
2 Project plan
3 Comparative analysis
4Demand
analysis
5 Strategic options
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 10 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Methodology
1
2
3
4
5
Definition of catchment area
• Radius, specifics, exceptions and conjunction, geographical characteristic
• Macroeconomic and commercial characteristic
Identification of relevant segments followed by analysis of segments
• Actual segments – analysis of current state – historical and current transhipment volumes
• Potential segments – comparative analysis & Danube river analysis, potential in segments
Identification of potential customers
• Based in catchment area
• Research and cold calling
Market size estimate
• Export and import volumes in defined segments
• Dominant export and import destination in segments
Identification of drivers of potential
• Trend and potential analysis, outputs from potential customers research
• Analysis of historically transhipped commodities in PP Komarno, Danube river analysis
Indicative estimate of potential volume reloaded in PP Komarno
• Based on identified drives and port capacity
• Pricing strategy, additional services, business development activity >>> impact on final volume
Demand analysis
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 11 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Outline of adjusted catchment area
➢ Number of legal entities in the selected segments:
792
➢ Potential for transport: dry load, bulk load,
granulate, large-size cargo, containers
➢ Train infrastructure: Bratislava, Budapest, Nitra,
Levice, Nové Zámky
➢ Road infrastructure: M1 – 5 km, R1 – 75 km,
planned R7 – 30 km
Geographic and macroeconomic characteristics of catchment area
➢ Range: 95 km
➢ Exception: part on the Hungarian
site of Danube
➢ Adjustment: intersection with
catchment area PP Bratislava
➢ Total area: 6,800 km²
➢ Population: 780,000
➢ Number of districts: 7
➢ GDP (PPP) 2017: EUR 14,000m
Commercial characteristics
Catchment area
PP KomárnoExpected
catchment area
PP Bratislava
Demand analysis
Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 12 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Trnava region
Area: 4,145 km²
Population: 561,165
GDP (PPP): 13,702 EURm
Unemployment: 2,62%
Nitra district
Area: 871 km²
Population: 161 025
Unemployment: 2,9%
Free labour force: 2 405
Average wage: EUR 1 016
Nové Zámky district
Area: 1 347 km²
Population: 140 171
Unemployment: 3,71%
Free labour force: 2 651
Average wage: EUR 896
Levice district
Area: 1 551 km²
Population: 111 761
Unemployment: 5,44%
Free labour force: 3 017
Average wage: EUR 1 033
Šala district
Area: 356 km²
Population: 52 185
Unemployment: 3,32%
Free labour force: 883
Average wage: EUR 997
Dunajská Streda district
Area: 1 075 km²
Population: 121 028
Unemployment: 2,91%
Free labour force: 1 856
Average wage: EUR 907Komárno district
Area: 1 100 km²
Population: 102 295
Unemployment: 5,24%
Free labour force: 2 795
Average wage: EUR 856
Galanta district
Area: 642 km²
Population: 93 952
Unemployment: 2,05%
Free labour force: 1 033
Average wage: EUR 935
Geographic & commercial characteristics
Nitra region
Area: 6,344 km²
Population: 684,922
GDP (PPP): 13,216 EURm
Unemployment: 3,46%
Slovakia
GDP(PPP): 84,985 EURm
GDP(PPP/inhabitant): 15,613 EUR
GDP growth: 3,4%
Unemployment: 8,1%
Average wage: 954 EUR
Demand analysis
Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 13 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
WOOD
CONTAINERS
STEEL
WASTE
CHEMISTRY
Revenue 2017: 33 EURm
Revenue growth: 2 %
Industry: paper packaging
Revenue 2017: 15 EURm
Revenue growth: 8 %
Industry: agriculture
Revenee 2017: 111 EURm
Revenue growth: 0 %
Industry: chemistry
Revenue 2017: 397 EURm
Revenue growth: 10 %
Industry: chemistry
Revenue 2017: 47 EURm
Revenue growth: 28 %
Industry: metallurgy
AGRICULTURE
AUTOMOTIVE
RAW
MATERIALS
Companies from segments in catchment area
Demand analysis
Companies in catchment area
➢ 8-9 main segments
➢ Dominant area: agriculture commodities
➢ New opportunity: biomass, automotiveRevenue 2017: 145 EURm
Revenue growth: -19 %
Industry: agriculture
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 14 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Historický vývoj prekladu VP Komárno
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
Wood Chemistry Iron & steel Raw materials
Vo
lum
e in
to
nes
IMPORT in Komárno port 2013-2017
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
➢ Wood– main commodity – wooden pellets
- one timer in 2013 with impact to 2014 –
no movement in last 3 years
➢ Chemistry – fertilizers – stable import at
level 5,000-20,000 tons
➢ Iron & steel – iron products and over-sized
steel construction
➢ Raw materials – cola and iron ore –
declining trend
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
Agriculture Chemistry Iron & steel Raw materials
Vo
lum
e in
to
nes
EXPORT in Komárno port 2013-2017
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
*Note: commodities included in segments
Agriculture – corn, wheat soy, oilseed rape, barley
Chemistry – fertilizers, saltpetre
Steel & iron – iron, steel grates, steel construction
Raw materials – manganese, coal, coke, iron ore
Wood – wooden pellets
➢ Agricultural commodities – growth
trend up to 2016 – accounts for 45%-
85% of transhipment volume
➢ Chemistry – fertilizers – slowly
diminishing export at level 10,000 tons
➢ Iron & steel – higher amount only in
2014
➢ Raw materials – growing trend in 2015-
2017
Commodities for export
Commodities for import
Historical development of 4 key segments in Komárno port in 2013 - 2017
Historical transhipment in Komárno port
Source: VP a.s
Source: VP a.s
Demand analysis
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 15 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Trend analysis on Danube river
Segment Trend High potentialAverage potentialLow potential
Construction
Renewables and
recyclable
materials
Agriculture and
forestry
Petrochemicals
Raw materials
Machines
Containers
Chemicals
• Cement
• Bricks
• Iron• Steel
• Sand
• Artificial fertilizers
• Polymers
• Nitrates
• Used plastics
• Glass
• Waste wood
• Paper
• Wood
• Rape• Sugar cane
• Biothanol
• Biodiesel
• Wheat
• Corn
• Soya
• Crude oil
• Gasoline
• LNG
• Coal
• Salt
• Cisterns
• Gas
• Cars
• Tractors
• Transformers and generators
Demand analysis
Source: Report of Danube perspectives 2016, Danube Logistics report 2017, danube-logistics.info
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 16 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Danube river
➢ Lower Danube >>> Port Constanta to Port Beograd –
dominant part – steel 7 iron industry – 14,000 tkm
transit
➢ Middle Danube >>> Port Beograd to Port Wien – 5,000
tkm transit
➢ Upper Danube >>> Port Wien to Port Regensburg –
2,000 tkm transit
13 622
4 733
2 238
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Lower Danube Middle Danube Upper Danube
Transported volumes on Danube (tkm) River Danube
Demand analysis
Source: Danube Logistics report 2017
➢ 6 dominant segments
➢ Agriculture & plan production – seasonality, competition
with LKW
➢ Iron & steel – production potential of manufacturing
plants in area is 10,000 ths. tons
➢ Growing segments (not incl. in graph) – inputs in
biomass, waste management, containers
Source: Danube Logistics report 2017
Main sectors in Middle Danube area
Direction of transported commodities in Middle
Danube area
➢ Agriculture commodities – 100% upstream
➢ Iron ore – 100 % downstream
➢ Fertilizers, metallurgy products – combined
➢ Coal – declining trend
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
Agriculturecommodities
Iron ore Steel & Ironindustry
Chemistry -fertilizers
Oil Coal
Typology of transported commodities in location Mohacs „MiddleDanube“ (ths. tonnes)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
1 Introduction
2 Phases of the project
3 Comparative analysis
4 Demand analysis
5Strategic
options
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 18 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
➢ Retention of current state without any
additional changes
Option No.
0
Characteristic Option working
name:
„Zero“
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 19 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„Location Veľký
Harčáš“
➢ East pool used for personal port
and cabin ships (tourism)
➢ Access to Danube for inhabitants
and visitors of Komárno city
➢ Port in a new location of
development area determined by
zoning plan with the possibility of
developing industrial zone
➢ Separation of operation from the city
Option No.
1a
Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 20 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option No.
1b
Option working
name:
„Location Veľký
Harčáš - reduction“
➢ East pool used for personal port and
cabin ships (tourism)
➢ Access to Danube for inhabitants
and visitors of Komárno
➢ Separation of operation from the city
➢ Option 1.a on reduced area
➢ Port in a new location of
development area determined by
zoning plan with the possibility of
developing of industrial zone
Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 21 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„BOAT inside the
pool“
➢ Construction of parking for ships at
vertical edge
➢ 3 positions for reloading in a length
of 500 m, 3 waiting positions in a
length of 300 m
➢ Assumption
➢ Peak time reloading max. 6
000 t/day, year performance of
the port 0,6 mil ton.
2
Option No. Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 22 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
➢ Construction of parking for ships at vertical
edge
➢ 3 positions for reloading in a total length of
500 m
➢ 3 waiting positions in a total length of 300 m
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„BOAT on the
river“
➢ At the bridging of the pool position Ro-
Ro for reloading of trucks
➢ Assumption
➢ Peak time reloading max. 6 000
tons/day, year performance of
the port 0,6 mil ton.
3a
Option No. Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 23 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
➢ Sub-option 3.a, which is in compliance with new municipal
plan of the city of Komárno (valid from 09/2018)
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„Municipal plan
compliance - EP “
3b
Option No. Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 24 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
➢ Construction of parking for ships at
vertical edge
➢ 6 positions for reloading with total
length of 600 m
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„West pool “
➢ Assumption
➢ Peak time reloading max. 12
000 t/day, year performance
of the port 1,8 mil ton.
4
Option No. Characteristic
Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 25 of 26
30 January 2019 | Budapest
Development options
Strategic options
➢ Construction of parking for ships at
vertical edge
➢ 2 positions for reloading in a total
length of 300 m
WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE
Option working
name:
„River Váh“➢ Assumption
➢ Peak time reloading max. 4 000
tons/day, year performance of
the port 0,6 mil ton.
5
Option No. Characteristic
EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory
About EY
EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities.
EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of themember firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com.
© 2018 Ernst & Young, s.r.o. | Ernst & Young Audit, s.r.o. | E & Y Valuations s.r.o.All Rights Reserved.
This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice.
ey.com