Development of Counter Improvised Explosive Device (C-IED) Metrics Simon Crabtree Counter-IED...

Development of Counter Improvised Explosive Device (C-IED) MetricsSimon Crabtree

Counter-IED Effects Team

ISMOR 2011

Dstl is part of the Ministry of Defence

Contents• Aim

• Background

• Reason for Development

• Purpose of Metrics

• The C-IED Approach

• Campaign Level MOE

• Operational Level MOE

• Offensive C-IED Metrics

• Defensive C-IED Metrics

• Afghan C-IED Metrics

• Summary

• Discussion


Aim

• To discuss the rationale behind the Measures of Effect (MoE) developed by the C-IED Effects Team (CET) to assess C-IED capability.

Crown Copyright Dstl 2011


Background

• IEDs were and are the predominant threat to UK forces in Afghanistan.

• In recent years there has been much investment in improving the UK Counter-IED (C-IED) capability by MOD, with the goal of reducing the number and severity of casualties resulting from IEDs.



Reason for Development

• Prime Minister and senior MOD leadership requested a team was set-up to provide a measurement of the UK’s progress in the C-IED battle.

• CET was set up to provide analysis on the effectiveness of the UK C-IED capability.

– Metrics are briefed into all levels up to the National Security Council – chaired by current PM.



Purpose of Metrics

• Metrics were developed to brief senior MOD leadership on a regular basis and help to inform decisions on future C-IED capability investment.

• The metrics do not act as a substitute for military judgment and experience, nor are they intended to…



The C-IED Approach

• The C-IED approach is broadly divided into:

– Offensive activity (to PURSUE the IED networks and to PREVENT Local Nationals and Insurgent involvement with IEDs);

– Defensive activity (to DETECT IEDs and to PROTECT UK forces against those that we cannot).

• As such the MOE have been designed to assess each of these capability areas.



Campaign Level MOE

• Overarching Campaign measure is the proportion of UK casualties from differing insurgent weapon types.

• This measure drives strategy and tactics by allowing the identification of the greatest threat to UK forces within the campaign.



Operational Level MOE

• Freedom Of Manoeuvre (FOM).

– Considered key to Counter Insurgency (COIN) operations.

– The ability to move unimpeded around the area of operations may indicate that insurgent capability is weakened.

– Increased FOM allows increased interaction of ISAF with local nationals.




• Number of UK IED Casualties.

– Indicates how well all C-IED capabilities have combined to protect UK forces from the threat of IEDs.

– Compound effect of :

• IEDs encountered,• Detection capability, • Protection of troops.

– Can be viewed as a useful measure of C-IED progress, but context must be considered.




• The number of ANSF IED casualties.

– Key measure as Afghanistan prepares itself for transition.

– This measure has been designed to assess ANSF ability to deal with the IED threat.



Offensive C-IED Metrics

• Offensive C-IED covers PREVENT and PURSUE. Offensive C-IED is concerned with restricting IED emplacement and focuses on the insurgents.

• It aims to measure the effect of Offensive C-IED operations on the ability of the insurgents to devise, construct and emplace IEDs.



Defensive C-IED Metrics

• Defensive C-IED concerns itself with DETECT and PROTECT.

• DETECT capability affords coalition troops a greater degree of safety, relatively independent of the number of devices within an area.



Defensive C-IED Metrics

• PROTECT is concerned with improving the safety of troops in the event of a device exploding.

– Primarily concerned with developing technologies for improved survivability of troops (mounted or dismounted) and vehicles.



Afghan C-IED Metrics

• Aim to measure Afghan progress in developing robust C-IED processes as Transition approaches.

– Mainly concerned with Defensive C-IED capability.

– Offensive C-IED tends to be joint activity, and so is not measured specifically for the ANSF.



Summary

• C-IED Assessment is divided into Offensive and Defensive strands.

• MOE have been developed at Campaign and Operational levels.

• MOE have been developed in order to allow assessment of ANSF progress in C-IED.



Discussion

• Any questions?


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