“Developing Our Energy Future: Residential Heating With Wood in Hancock County, Maine”
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Transcript of “Developing Our Energy Future: Residential Heating With Wood in Hancock County, Maine”
“Developing Our Energy Future: Residential Heating With Wood in
Hancock County, Maine”
1.Are there ecological, economic and/or social reasons to burn more local wood for residential heating?
2.If so, how might a community based approach to this best be undertaken?
Motivating questions
Some Initial Hypotheses:
• Use of local wood could increase economic security – especially for low income folks – and economic development
• Use of local wood could increase energy security – locally, regionally and nationally
• Use of local wood could reduce carbon footprint and help with climate change
1. Background research
2. Ethnography
3. Risk analysis
4. Economic analysis
Research methods
•Hancock County •is ~1,000,000 acres•~450,000 acres = hardwoods
•It has 52,000 people in 22,000 households
•If 50% use 4cord/yr & harvest ½ cord/acre/yr, you’d need to manage ~100,000 acres•This is ~10% of the county or ~23% of hardwood land
The US census reports ~11% of county residents now use wood for heat
1. Background research
2. Ethnography
3. Risk analysis
4. Economic analysis
Research methods
a) House to house survey
Add a picture of survey team
b) Focus groups and informal polls
a picture?
Date Setting #
October Acadia Senior College 34
NovemberHancock County Planning Commission
27
February
Ellsworth Rotary Club 29
Public Forum Ellsworth Town Hall
22
DownEast RC&D 13
March
Bar Harbor Rotary Club 28
State EPSCOR ??
Hancock Cty Soil & Water Conservation
??
April Society for Human Ecology ??
The H.C.F.P. and Local Schools: Helping To Inspire The Helping To Inspire The Innovators Of TomorrowInnovators Of Tomorrow
The H.C.F.P will present lesson plans on energy, efficiency, and local home heating.
Students will also collaborate with the H.C.F.P by creating a survey that will be used to collect data throughout the Hancock County.
The H.C.F.P, through it’s interactive classroom workshops dedicated to forest ecology, management, and sustainability will inspire Maine’s energy innovators of tomorrow.
This is much higher than the census data It suggests that demand for wood may be relatively elastic
Preliminary Results:
Role of Economic Reasons in fuel choice (sample of 67):
• 29 have things other than economy as first reason
• Of the 25 who mention cost as first reason, 14 use at least some wood, 11 heat exclusively with other fuels
Important Conclusion: Choice of heat is often tied strongly to culture, values and identity
•This may make demand less elastic for some
Next steps
Develop:•Public Lands Wood Supply Project •Neighborhood Forests Project
Complete: •Household Survey•In-depth Ethnographic Interviews•School Collaborations
The Airline School, Aurora Possible Neighborhood Forest
1. Background research
2. Ethnography
3. Risk analysis
4. Economic analysis
Research methods
FACTOR
infrastructure
fire safety
Aesthetics
element cycling
hydrology
wildlife
other vegetation
soils
harvester health
REASONS PROBABLY OK
local harvest should decrease impacts on highways & fuel use
Clearing undergrowth = smaller fires
Managed forests are nicer
effects on flow minimal with <20% harvest
harvest spreads out snowmelt less flooding
selective harvest more diverse habitats more diverse wildlife
may increase value of what is not harvested
can decrease fire danger
most nutrients are in unharvested tree parts
weathering can replace those removed
2007 injury rates: logging only~4% vs wood products~9%, paper~10%
REASONS TO WORRY
Un-managed forests are nicer
N, Si runoff may eutrophy, red tide…
unclear effects of faster element cycling
must beware of vernal pools
May spread insects & pathogens
Unsure about invasive species
not sure about injuries at smaller scales
Harvesting
FACTOR
Air emissions
Ash
Actual Burning
Home transport
Wood storage
REASONS PROBABLY OK
Rustic appeal
Nutrient sourceDecrease acidification
Exercise
Rustic appeal
REASONS TO WORRY
Adverse health effects
May contain toxins (Cd)
May increase Al & nitrate leaching
Stove accidents
Chimney fires
Injury
Insects? Rodents?
Lyme disease?
Started looking at
Burning
2002
County
Ton/yr
Fire place
Non-catalyst
stove
Catalytic stove
Pellet Oil
CO X 37345 10.2 7.9 6.0 0.54 .014
Non- methane organics
X X 9800 23 3.1 2.34 0.95 .004
NOx X 4272 0.85 1.03 0.47 0.84 0.749
SO2 X 1621 0.34 0.17 0.37 0.25 2.653
PM
<2.5 X 1447 37.8 42.3 16.6 2.5 0.27
CH4 X X 897 17.8 29.4 13.4 0.45 .045
PAH
(soot)X .1003 877 29910 2392 89.7 50
Dioxin &furans (gTEQ)
X .65 50 152 ? 0.18 1.3
Estimated emissions as %s of current emissions (if 50% use the BTU equivalent of 4 cords/yr)
smo
g
toxi
city
GH
G
>100%41-100%
1-40%<1%
So we’ve been measuring levels of particles throughout the county
MDI EAST WEST
Particle levels vary from week to week in Hancock County:
Average levels of <.25 particles over 9 weeks
2170
22721917
18702092
1797
1441
2120
26671279
1403 1176
1629
11391522
13691483
2549
1472
1423
2012
2397
2758
2572
2621
2633
22222628
1626
17821761
2246
1385
1618
2852
2852
1932
>25002001-25001500-2000
<1500
Condition % morbidity increase per
“2000” particle units
Asthma 1.05
Pneumonia 1.25
COPD 1.9
•Current Maine asthma rate is ~15%
•15% of 55,000 = 8250
•Current particle levels of ~”2000” could account for ~1% or ~80 cases
•An increase of “2000” particle units could cause an additional ~80 cases
So what?
To assess impacts of different heating methods, we’re trying to model local air using STELLA
Next steps:
Collect particles Assess their toxicity(MICROTOX method)
1. Background research
2. Ethnography
3. Risk analysis
4. Economic analysis
Research methods
•Economic Development Approaches•Demand side: self-development approaches such as RMI’s Economic Renewal•Supply side: economic gardening, technical assistance approaches
• Successful economic development requires:•assets within the community, mobilized through self-interest, awareness, leadership, and volunteer commitment (bonding and bridging social capital)•assets from outside the community, in the form of grants, technical assistance, and other resources (linking social capital)
Background
Current and next steps
• Determine the industrial structure of local firewood production – number and size of firms– ease of entry and exit– level of investment, technology– cost structures, pricing power, profit levels
• Determine cross price elasticity of demand for firewood: how much does demand for firewood change with the price of heating oil?
• Use this information to assess opportunities for expanded local production
Where are we headed?
One person is economically distressed and in need of heating assistance. Paying bills is a struggle each month and work is hard to find. They would be interested in switching away from oil to wood or other options, if they had the money to do it. “If I had the money I would put up a wind turbine & solar panels.”
Another person is moderately wealthy, owning a large home outside of town. This person grew up locally, heating with firewood. Throughout their childhood they had to cut wood in they forest and haul it to the house to be dried and stored. They heat with 100% oil now. “I heat with oil because I can afford it”
A third person heats almost exclusively with wood, notes that it involves lots of hard work -- but enjoys the family activities associated with harvesting, splitting and burning and comments, “The nice thing about wood is that it heats you three times. Once when you cut it, once when you split it, and once when you burn it.”
A fourth says: “I don’t heat with wood. My time is worth more than that!”