Developing integrated sustainable mobility solutions for India · 2018. 9. 14. · India clocks...
Transcript of Developing integrated sustainable mobility solutions for India · 2018. 9. 14. · India clocks...
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Developing integrated sustainable mobility solutions for India
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Crude Import (mn Ton)
India clocks world's fastest GDP growth in Q4 2017 @ 7.7% - and has among the highest numbers of young people entering the work force over the next two decades.
Source: Ministry database
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India has 61 cities with populations greater than San Francisco’s (850,000 population), and 50 cities
with populations of more than 1 million – will have 7 megacities with +10mn people by 2030
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City C, IndiaCity A, India City B, India City D, India City E, IndiaCity C, India
India is home to nine of the 10 most polluted cities in the world
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BEVs are Significantly Cleaner Even After Counting the CO2 Emission from Power Generation
Source : M&M Data, Industry Information
e2o+(Battery EV)
Equivalent Petrol Veh.
Equivalent Diesel Veh.
Equivalent CNG Veh.
CO2 (g/km) 98 ~135 ~125 ~118
Tail pipe Emission (for a new BS IV vehicle)
CO (g/km)
ZERO
~1.000 ~0.500 ~0.400
HC (g/km) ~0.075 -
NOx (g/km) ~0.080 ~0.250 ~0.080
PM (g/km) ~0.002 ~0.025 ~0.002
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BEVs will Only Become Cleaner with Cleaner Power Generation
2016 2021-22 2026-27
CO2 emission from Power generation in India (kg/kWh)
0.732 0.581 0.522
CO2 g/km of BEV 98.4 78.1 70.2
Source : M&M Estimates, National Electricity plan - 2016”- CEA published by Central Electricity Authority, Ministry of Power, Govt. of India
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Growth paths of global markets
Growth in US
Premium vehicle route
People Led – Govt. supported
Growth in China
Already largest EV market by volume
Mass vehicle route thro’ subsidy Government led – People supported
Growth in Norway
Largest EV market by Market share
Premium vehicle route thro’ mix of incentives and fees
Government led – People supported
Region wise growth
Forecasted BEV fleet penetration
EV growth in India
Mass vehicle route – with improving total cost of operations of EVs
(Government led – People supported)
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India : Poised for the EV Revolution
Low PV penetration Rise in public infra
Rise in RenewablesCongestion & Pollution
High Oil import bill
Last mile mobility
ElectricMobility
Shared Mobility with Fleets
However there exists a high level of …
Being offset by … Leading to high requirement of …
By 2030, shared
miles to reach
35% of all the
miles travelled in
India
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Without FAME subsidy
With FAME subsidy With lowering Battery prices
3W eRick + eAuto
4WPersonal application
4WFleet Application
4WCommercial Application
Buses
TCO Economy of Using EVsBased on more than 80 Million kms on road in India across applications
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Key questions we need to answer
India has the opportunity to leapfrog and lead – how do we capitalise it?
How do we bring global technologies within Indian context?
How do we make charging infrastructure work for different segments?
What can be done to encourage investment in energy storage?