Determinants of bribery for infrastructure provision in East African manufacturing firms
Transcript of Determinants of bribery for infrastructure provision in East African manufacturing firms
This article was downloaded by: [Thammasat University Libraries]On: 04 October 2014, At: 22:59Publisher: RoutledgeInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registeredoffice: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
African Security ReviewPublication details, including instructions for authors and subscriptioninformation:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rasr20
Determinants of bribery forinfrastructure provision in East Africanmanufacturing firmsSheshangai Kaniki & Tendai GwatidzoPublished online: 30 Oct 2012.
To cite this article: Sheshangai Kaniki & Tendai Gwatidzo (2012) Determinants of bribery forinfrastructure provision in East African manufacturing firms, African Security Review, 21:4, 17-37, DOI:10.1080/10246029.2012.712874
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10246029.2012.712874
PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the“Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, ouragents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to theaccuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinions andviews expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are notthe views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not berelied upon and should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylorand Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs,expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly orindirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantialor systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply,or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of accessand use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions
ISSN 1024-6029 print / 2154-0128 online© 2012 Institute for Security StudiesDOI: 10.1080/10246029.2012.712874http://www.tandfonline.com
African Security Review 21.4, December 2012, 17–37
Tendai Gwatidzo is a senior lecturer at the School of Economic and Business Sciences, at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa ([email protected])
Sheshangai Kaniki is a senior researcher at Momentum Group in South Africa ([email protected])
Determinants of bribery for infrastructure provision in East African manufacturing fi rmsSheshangai Kaniki and Tendai Gwatidzo
Existing empirical evidence suggests that corruption in infrastructure is prevalent in developing countries. Using data on manufacturing fi rms in Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania, this study investi-gates what type of fi rms are asked to pay bribes by public offi cials in order to access infrastruc-ture. We fi nd that fi rms in Tanzania and Uganda face more severe problems with infrastructure than those in Kenya. Despite facing fewer infrastructure constraints, we fi nd that Kenyan fi rms are more likely to be asked for bribes than Ugandan and Tanzanian fi rms; suggesting that pay-ing bribes could be enabling Kenyan fi rms to access limited infrastructure. We also fi nd that larger fi rms are less likely to be asked for bribes, and that an effi cient court system reduces the propensity of public offi cials to ask for bribes. In addition, fi rms located in capital cities are more likely to be asked for bribe payments. These fi ndings provide policy makers with specifi c targets to aim for in the design of policies meant to address corruption in infrastructure provision.
Keywords corruption, bribery, infrastructure, East African Community, manufacturing fi rms
Introduction
A high incidence of corruption indicates a poor institutional environment. According to Aidt,
a weak institutional framework is a necessary condition for corruption to arise and persist.1 He
argues that corruption is found where incentives in political, administrative and legal institu-
tions lead to the exploitation of discretionary power for the extraction of rents. Ndikumana
explains that eradicating corruption in sub-Saharan Africa is a diffi cult undertaking that
requires a fundamental change to the incentive structures that regulate the interactions be-
tween bureaucrats and private agents.2 This involves modifying the payoffs and sanctions that
characterise these interactions.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
18 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
Like many countries in sub-Saharan Africa, three countries that are part of the East African
Community (EAC), namely Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, have a high incidence of corruption.
Out of 183 countries, Kenya was ranked 154th, Tanzania was ranked 100th and Uganda was ranked
143th on the Transparency International 2011 Corruption Perception Index (CPI).3 Although this
index can be questioned on the basis of its subjective nature, it still indicates that, relative to other
countries, corruption is a serious problem in the EAC. A 2009 study by Transparency International
on corruption in East Africa also found that the incidence of bribery was highest in Kenya (45 per
cent), followed by Uganda (35 per cent) and Tanzania (17 per cent).4 The three main power utility
companies in the EAC – TENASCO (from Tanzania), UMEME (from Uganda) and the Kenya
Power Lighting Company – were found to be some of the most corrupt institutions.5
Corruption can manifest as the diversion of public resources allocated to infrastructure
projects.6 When public resources are diverted from their intended use, it retards the quality
and quantity of infrastructure. This, argues Calderon and Serven, undermines the robust
positive relationship between infrastructure and growth in Africa.7 Given the low infrastruc-
ture endowment in Africa, it is essential that limited resources aimed at infrastructure devel-
opment are not stolen or poorly allocated. Yepes et al. investigate the infrastructure defi cit in
Africa and fi nd that Africa has the worst infrastructure endowment of any developing region.8
Within Africa they fi nd that the EAC has the lowest infrastructure endowment on a number
of measures, including access to electricity and density of fi xed line telephones.
Corruption that leads to suboptimal public investments in infrastructure is likely to result in
unmet demand among fi rms attempting to pursue productive investment opportunities. This
can lead to another form of corruption, namely payment of bribes by fi rms to public offi cials in
order to access the limited infrastructure. Paying bribes for infrastructure presents fi rms with an
additional cost to doing business. However, the large infrastructure defi cit in the EAC is likely
to be a motivator for fi rms to bribe public offi cials for infrastructure such as electricity, water
and fi xed telephone lines. Furthermore, the incentive to pay bribes is likely to be higher where
institutions such as courts are poorly equipped to discipline bribe payers and bribe takers.9
This study investigates what factors determine whether manufacturing fi rms in Kenya,
Tanzania and Uganda are asked to pay bribes for infrastructure. It deviates from previous
studies in two important ways. First, it focuses specifi cally on bribery for infrastructure.
Second, it covers three countries. Previous studies such as Fisman and Svenson, and Kimuyu
are single-country studies.10 This study also uses more recent data compared with earlier
studies, giving a more up-to-date assessment of the state of bribery in East Africa.
The rest of the article is organised as follows. The next section reviews the theoretical
and empirical literature on corruption. Within this substantial literature, an effort is made
to discuss studies that have focused specifi cally on bribery and on the role of corruption in
infrastructure. This is then followed by a section on methodology which sets out the empiri-
cal specifi cation, describes the data and interprets the results. Finally, conclusions and policy
implications are drawn in the last section.
Literature review
Factors that lead to corruption
■ Corporate governance: Wu explains that principles of good corporate governance such as re-
sponsibility, accountability and transparency can alleviate the problem of bribery by solving
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 19
principal-agent problems and information asymmetry.11 Additionally, good governance
reduces the incentive for public offi cials to pursue corrupt practices because it increases
the likelihood that they will be caught. Principles of good governance are more diffi cult to
implement in family-owned fi rms compared with other fi rms such as publicly held fi rms
because corrupt offi cials are less likely to be exposed when dealing with a few individuals.
Governance issues also differ between locally-owned fi rms and foreign-owned fi rms, affect-
ing the extent to which they are willing to participate in corruption activities.
■ Endogenous harassment theory: According to this theory, the predatory offi cials of utility
service providers can use observable information such as fi rm profi tability, growth and size
to differentiate among targeted fi rms based on their willingness to pay.12 In this framework
more profi table fi rms and fast-growing fi rms have a higher likelihood of participating in
bribery and of paying larger bribes.
■ Excess demand for public services: Private agents will be willing to pay bribes for public
services when their demand for these services is not being met.13 Excess demand can arise
from price ceilings or through inadequate public investment.14 As a result, employees of
public institutions such as utilities can demand bribes for connections, repairs, instal-
lations and other activities required for private agents to have access to public facilities.
Excess demand is a key feature of infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa.
■ Institutional environment: Corruption is partly a result of the poor quality of institutions.
According to Gray and Kaufmann corruption is more likely to arise where accountability
is weak and legal institutions are poorly prepared to enforce laws pertaining to ethics in
government.15 Lederman et al. argue that political institutions are particularly important
for corruption.16 They fi nd that democracies, parliamentary systems, political stability and
freedom of the press are associated with lower levels of corruption. Another important
aspect of the institutional environment is the design of regulations as contained in the
permit and licence system; with a more complicated system presenting greater opportuni-
ties for public offi cials to abuse their positions for private gain.17
■ Market competition: In a highly competitive environment delays in obtaining public ser-
vices could lead to a loss of market share.18 An increase in market competition may cause
fi rms to bribe public offi cials as a means of avoiding red tape.
■ Network effects: According to Ali and Isse the domination of one ethnic group in politics
leads to differential access to power.19 They explain that in societies that are ethnically di-
verse bureaucrats give preference sequentially, beginning with their close kin followed by
their ethnic group. These network effects based on ethnicity suggest that highly fragment-
ed societies will be more corrupt than homogenous societies. In the context of countries
in sub-Saharan Africa, this implies that corruption is likely to be higher among African
people given the diversity of their ethnic groups compared with white or Asian people,
who tend to be more homogenous. Wrong argues that in Kenya the Kikuyu do well in
business because of political support from the ruling party or government, which is also
dominated by people of that tribe.20
Empirical evidence on the relationship between corruption and infrastructure
The empirical literature on corruption is growing rapidly. This is largely a result of the strong
interest amongst academics, policy makers and the international community on the economic
effects of corruption, particularly in the developing world. The surveys conducted by the
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
20 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
World Bank have also supplied some fi rm-level data that can be used to understand better the
problem of corruption at the micro-level.21 In line with the objectives, literature that shows
the effect of corruption on infrastructure is reviewed.
Although the relationship between corruption and infrastructure is important, the empiri-
cal evidence is limited. Much of the empirical research on the economic effects of corrup-
tion in developed and developing countries is macro in nature and has tended to focus on
investment and economic growth.22 Corruption in these studies has been measured using
mainly country-level perception data. The studies show that corruption has a negative effect
on investment and economic growth.
Nevertheless, there is some evidence that shows that corruption affects infrastructure
provision. For example, Queiroz and Visser examine the relationship between corruption
and infrastructure provision and fi nd that countries perceived to be more corrupt have less
transport infrastructure.23 Tanzi and Davoodi, using a sample of 128 countries, fi nd that cor-
ruption is associated with poor infrastructure quality.24 This is further corroborated by Lovei
and McKechnie, whose fi ndings indicate that corruption diverts funds away from projects
that would directly benefi t the poor.25 In Estache and Kouassi, corruption is found to have
a negative impact on the operations of African water utilities.26 Estache et al. also show that
corruption leads to lower rates of access to electricity.27 Herrera and Rodriguez further show
that poor infrastructure contributes to high incidences of corruption.28
Previous studies on bribery in East Africa do not focus specifi cally on infrastructure.
Nevertheless, they still provide some important results that provide guidance to this study.
Svensson uses a sample of Ugandan manufacturing fi rms to investigate the factors deter-
mining whether fi rms pay bribes and how much they pay.29 He fi nds that exporting fi rms
and fi rms that pay higher taxes are more likely to pay bribes for customs, taxes, licences,
regulations and services. His results also show that more profi table and larger fi rms pay
bigger bribes, corroborating fi ndings by Clarke and Xu.30 Using data on Ugandan fi rms,
Fisman and Svensson fi nd that bribery and taxation are harmful to fi rm growth, with brib-
ery being more harmful than taxation.31 Supporting evidence was also found by Kimuyu
using Kenyan fi rm-level data.32 In Wu it is found that smaller fi rms, fi rms controlled by
individual owners and family, and fi rms in a highly competitive market environment are
more likely to pay bribes.33 Wu’s results also show that the legal and regulatory environ-
ment also affects the probability that fi rms pay bribes. Firms that view the court system
as honest are less likely to pay bribes, while fi rms that fi nd licensing requirements to be
problematic are more likely to pay bribes.
Herrera and Rodriguez test for the importance of fi rm characteristics in driving the pro-
pensity to pay bribes and fi nd that multinational fi rms tend to pay fewer total bribes than
local fi rms.34 Larger fi rms were also found to pay fewer bribes than smaller fi rms.
Data, hypotheses and model estimation
This section discusses the data used in the study and summarises the challenges associ-
ated with measuring corruption. It also specifi es the empirical models to be estimated
and presents the regression results. The empirical analysis will be undertaken based on
hypotheses that are guided by the theoretical and empirical literature review, as well as the
availability of data.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 21
Data
The main data sources for this study are the Investment Climate Assessment (ICA) surveys
of the manufacturing sectors in the EAC. The surveys were conducted by the World Bank’s
Regional Program on Enterprise Development (RPED). A broad range of topics are covered
in the ICA surveys, including investment, export participation, infrastructure, access to credit,
the use of courts to resolve disputes and corruption. The data are cross-sectional, having been
collected between 2006 and 2007. The surveys covered 396 Kenyan, 307 Ugandan, and 273
Tanzanian fi rms. The samples were drawn from censuses conducted by National Statistical
Bureaus in each country. To ensure representation of all types of fi rms, the samples were
stratifi ed across location, industry and size. The regions covered in the survey were selected
based on the relatively high concentration of manufacturing fi rms in these areas.
The surveys captured data on infrastructure. Firms were asked how many times in a
month they had (a) power outages and (b) insuffi cient water supply, and how long these oc-
currences lasted on average. They were also asked whether they think (a) telecommunications
and (b) electricity present an obstacle to their current operations. They were given the option
of fi ve responses: no obstacle, minor obstacle, moderate obstacle, major obstacle, and very
severe obstacle.
Data on corruption in general and bribery for infrastructure in particular was also cap-
tured in the surveys. Firms were asked whether they think corruption presents an obstacle
to their current operations. As with infrastructure, they were given the option of fi ve re-
sponses ranging from no obstacle to very severe obstacle. They were also asked whether an
informal payment was requested by public offi cials to obtain (a) a mainline telephone con-
nection, (b) an electrical connection, and (c) a water connection. No data on the amount of
bribes paid are available, making it diffi cult to test theories like the effi ciency enhancement
theory directly.
The measurement of corruption is particularly susceptible to data problems. First, it is a
subjective matter in the sense that the same corrupt activity may be considered as severely
constraining by one fi rm but as inconsequential by another. Second, fi rms may be unwilling
to report whether they have engaged in corruption. These problems are partly solved by the
questionnaire: it does not ask whether fi rms engaged in corruption but whether they made
unoffi cial payments for infrastructure services, which sounds less direct. Third, the meas-
urement of corruption has depended largely on perceptions. Perceptions about corruption in
infrastructure have been found to have only limited information about actual corruption and
to be biased by the underlying beliefs of those providing the information.35
Previous studies also acknowledge some of the problems associated with collecting data on
corruption.36 They agree, however, that the data should be collected by an institution or body
in which the fi rms or the private sector in general has confi dence. The data used in this study
were also collected by bodies that are largely trusted by the fi rms. The data collection exercise
was also helped by the fact that, thanks to organisations like Transparency International, the
World Bank and other international donors, corruption has been desensitised and fi rms are
more willing to talk about it. For example, a number of anti-corruption campaigns have been
carried out across Africa emphasising the effects of corruption and encouraging economic
agents to report on and desist from corruption.
It must also be pointed out that our results must be interpreted with caution since, even
after taking great care to collect the best possible data on bribery, the survey may still have
failed to capture the whole picture on this issue. However, we do not think that exclusion of
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
22 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
some of the fi rms that failed to provide information on bribery is systematic. For instance,
both small and large African-owned or non-African-owned fi rms can decide not to provide
the information.
Hypotheses
In line with the theoretical and empirical literature, Table 1 presents the hypotheses to be
tested in this study. Data availability is the other determining factor for the choice of hypoth-
eses to be tested.
Table 1 Hypotheses on the determinants of being asked for bribes for infrastructure
Basis for hypothesis Hypotheses
Endogenous harassmentH1: Small fi rms have a greater likelihood of being asked to pay bribes than large fi rms
Excess demandH2: Firms where infrastructure is a major obstacle have a higher propensity of being asked to pay bribes
Institutional environmentH3: Firms that perceive the court system to be corrupt are more likely to be asked to pay bribes
Network effectsH4: Firms that are owned by Africans have a higher propensity of being asked to pay bribes
Capital cities have the highest concentration of fi rms. The frequency with which public offi cials engage with fi rms will be higher in these cities
H5: Firms in capital cities have a higher propensity of being asked to pay bribes
Descriptive statistics
Table 2(a) shows the descriptive statistics for the sample countries. The data show that Kenyan
fi rms have a higher likelihood of being asked to pay bribes than either Ugandan or Tanzanian
fi rms. More Ugandan fi rms tend to face requests to pay bribes compared with Tanzanian
fi rms. This is despite the fact that Kenya has the smallest number of fi rms that stated they
faced infrastructure problems. About 33 per cent of the Kenyan fi rms stated that they faced
problems of infrastructure inadequacy, compared with Uganda’s 48 per cent and Tanzania’s
40 per cent. This is in line with fi ndings by Transparency International, which found that
bribery incidence was highest in Kenya (45 per cent), followed by Uganda (35 per cent) and
lastly Tanzania (17 per cent).37 About 32 per cent of Kenyan fi rms surveyed exported goods,
while about 12 per cent of Ugandan and 13 per cent of Tanzania fi rms exported goods. Most
of the fi rms in the sample were located in the capital cities of the respective countries. About
66 per cent of the Kenyan fi rms were located in Nairobi, while 82 per cent of the Ugandan
fi rms were located in Kampala and 69 per cent of the Tanzanian fi rms were located in Dar
es Salaam.
Table 2(b) shows that the average age of the fi rms surveyed is about 20 years in Kenya,
13 years in Uganda and 13 years in Tanzania. On average, Kenya had the biggest fi rms with
a mean size of 114 employees. Tanzanian and Ugandan fi rms had similar fi rm sizes at about
52 employees.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 23
More details on the data and variables used in the study can be gleaned from the appendix.
Table A1 in the appendix provides the full list of all variables used in the study.
Table 2(a) Descriptive statistics for binary variables
Variable
Kenya Uganda Tanzania
Obs. Mean(proportion) Obs. Mean
(proportion) Obs. Mean(proportion)
BRIBE 452 0.62 307 0.48 272 0.44
LOCATION 453 0.66 307 0.82 273 0.69
OWNER 453 0.9 307 0.88 273 0.89
ETHNIC 450 0.54 307 0.88 273 0.73
EXPORT 453 0.32 307 0.12 273 0.13
SOLETRADER 453 0.21 307 0.4 273 0.32
EXPORT PROCESSING ZONE 453 0.42 307 0.33 273 0.42
COURTS 453 0.49 307 0.63 273 0.64
COMPETITION 453 0.83 307 0.93 273 0.89
FOOD 453 0.25 307 0.29 273 0.26
GARMENT 453 0.2 307 0.02 273 0.19
TEXTILE 453 0.07 307 0.13 273 0.01
MACHINE AND EQUIPMENT 453 0.2 307 0.02 273 0.01
CHEMICAL 453 0.06 307 0.03 273 0.05
WOOD 453 0.11 307 0.3 273 0.22
NONMETAL 453 0.03 307 0.04 273 0.03
Notes BRIBE is a binary variable taking a value 1 if a bribe was requested, 0 otherwise.LOCATION is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is located in capital city, 0 otherwise.OWNER is a binary variable taking a value 1 if local ownership is above 50%, 0 otherwise.ETHNIC is a binary variable taking a value 1 if the principal shareholder(s) is African, 0 otherwise.EXPORT is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is exporting goods/services, 0 otherwise.COURTS is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm considers the courts to be effi cient and reliable, 0 otherwise.EPZ is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is located in an export processing zone, 0 otherwise.SOLETRADER is a binary variable taking a value 1 if the legal status of the fi rm is sole proprietorship, 0 otherwise. COMPETITION is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm faces competition, 0 otherwise.
Source Survey Data
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
24 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
Table 2(b) Descriptive statistics for continuous variables
Variable Obs. Mean SD Min Max
Kenya
AGE 453 20.03 15.55 0 86
SIZE 453 114.36 272.12 0 2 700
Uganda
AGE 307 12.83 10.12 1 79
SIZE 307 51.64 239.53 5 4 000
Tanzania
AGE 273 13.23 12.09 0 97
SIZE 273 51.99 108.39 5 1 118
Notes AGE is the number of years since fi rm’s inception;SIZE is the number of employees employed by the fi rm.
Source Survey Data
Table 2(c) Percentage of fi rms asked for a bribe
Description Kenya Uganda Tanzania
Percentage of fi rms located in the capital city that were asked for a bribe (Location) 47.17 41.43 40.43
Percentage of locally owned fi rms that were asked for a bribe (Owner) 44.46 42.59 43.21
Percentage of African-owned fi rms that were asked for a bribe (Ethnic) 44.75 41.26 39.50
Percentage of exporting fi rms that were asked for a bribe (Export) 47.00 36.24 51.43
Soletrader 40.42 38.71 34.44
Percentage of fi rms in the export processing zones that were asked for a bribe (EPZ)
45.71 34.95 43.36
Percentage of fi rms that fi nd the court system to be fair that were also asked for a bribe (Courts)
42.16 34.92 38.07
Percentage of fi rms that face competition that were also asked for a bribe (Competition)
43.80 41.18 46.91
Percentage of fi rms in the food sector that were asked for a bribe (Food) 13.91 35.56 44.93
Percentage of fi rms in the garment sector that were asked for a bribe (Garment) 14.13 33.33 31.37
Percentage of fi rms in the textile sector that were asked for a bribe (Textile) 8.82 0.00 0.00
Percentage of fi rms in the machine and equipment sector that were asked for a bribe (Machandequip)
22.22 40.00 50.00
Percentage of fi rms in the chemicals sector that were asked for a bribe (Chemical) 17.86 25.00 53.33
Percentage of fi rms in the wood sector that were asked for a bribe (Wood) 10.42 36.96 40.00
Percentage of fi rms in the nonmetal sector that were asked for a bribe (Nonmetal) 7.14 0.00 50.00
Source Survey Data
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 25
Infrastructure problems faced by fi rms in East Africa
This section looks at the extent of infrastructure inadequacy in the sample countries. This
is important as it helps us better understand the heterogeneity of fi rms when it comes to
paying bribes.
There are a number of infrastructural problems faced by fi rms in Kenya, Tanzania and
Uganda. Based on the data, we specifi cally focus on electricity and water provision. The
survey asked a number of questions around infrastructure (see section on data and survey
description).38 About 88,77 per cent of the fi rms in Kenya stated that they experienced power
outages. In Tanzania and Uganda about 79,12 per cent and 94,14 per cent, respectively, stated
that they experienced power outages. It is thus not surprising that a signifi cant number of
fi rms in the sample countries have their own generators. About 55 per cent of the fi rms
in Kenya owned a generator while about 49 per cent and 27 per cent owned a generator in
Tanzania and Uganda, respectively.39
The average number of power outages per month is 6,90 (Kenya), 12 (Tanzania) and 11
(Uganda). The average duration of each outage is 4,45 (Kenya), 7,88 (Tanzania) and 10,01
hours in Uganda. This implies that an average Kenyan fi rm goes without electricity for about
31 hours a month (about 1,3 days), compared with 95 hours in Tanzania (about 4 days) and
111 hours in Uganda (about 4,6 days; see Figure 1 and Table 3).
About 46 per cent of the fi rms in Kenya stated that they experienced incidents of water in-
suffi ciency. The fi gures are 27 per cent and 9 per cent in Tanzania and Uganda, respectively.
In Kenya the average number of such incidents in a month is 6,5, with each lasting for about
14,6 hours. This implies that an average Kenyan fi rm can go without suffi cient water for pro-
duction for about 95 hours a month (or about 4 days). In Tanzania the average number of such
incidents is 12,44, with each lasting for about 12,75 hours. Thus an average Tanzanian fi rm is
likely to go for 158,61 hours (or about 7 days) with insuffi cient water in any given month. The
average number of water insuffi ciency incidents is 3,92 in Uganda, with each lasting 10,66
Source Survey Data
Figure 1 Average duration of power and water interruptions (in hours) per month in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda
Hou
rs p
er m
onth
180
140
160
120
80
100
60
20
40
0Kenya Tanzania Uganda
Average duration of power outages per month Average duration of water outages per month
Kenya Tanzania Uganda
31
95
111
95
158
42
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
26 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
hours. This implies that, on a monthly basis, an average Ugandan fi rm can go for about 42
hours (or about 2 days) without suffi cient water (see Figure 1 and Table 3).
Figure 2 shows the indirect cost of power outages as a percentage of sales. Even though fi rms
in Uganda face the highest duration of power outages, most of the fi rms in that country do not
own private generators (only 27 per cent of the Ugandan fi rms owned generators, compared
with 55 per cent in Kenya and 49 per cent in Tanzania). It is thus not surprising that the cost of
power outages is highest in Uganda (10,23 per cent of sales). The respective costs for Kenya and
Tanzania are 6,35 per cent and 9,62 per cent of sales. According to the World Bank, the aver-
age cost due to power outages among sub-Saharan countries surveyed in the RPED surveys is
about 5,8 per cent and 4,9 per cent when other nonregional countries are considered.40
Firms were also asked to identify the key constraints to their operations. Among the con-
straints identifi ed, some related to infrastructure and corruption. Fifty-one per cent of the
fi rms in Kenya stated that electricity was a severe or major obstacle, compared with about 91
per cent in both Tanzania and Uganda. Corruption was also found to be a major or severe
Table 3 Water and power outages data for Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda
CountryNo. of power outages per
month
Ave. duration
per outage (hours)
Ave. duration of power outages month (hours)
No. of water insuffi ciency incidents per
month
Ave. duration
per incident (hours)
Ave. duration of water
insuffi ciency per month
(hours)
Kenya 6.90 4.45 30.71 6.50 14.60 94.90
Tanzania 12.00 7.88 94.56 12.44 12.75 158.61
Uganda 11.00 10.07 110.77 3.92 10.66 41.79
Source Survey Data
Figure 2 Indirect cost of power outages: value lost due to power outages (% sales)
Sale
s (%
)
12
Kenya
Countries
10
8
6
4
2
0Tanzania Uganda
6.35
9.6210.23
Source Survey Data
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 27
problem by 45 per cent of the fi rms in Kenya, 23 per cent of the fi rms in Tanzania and 21 per
cent of the fi rms in Uganda (see Table 4).
Empirical models
We test the study hypotheses by estimating probit models. An important limitation of probit
estimation by maximum likelihood, argues Greene, is that it requires a complete specifi cation
of the distribution of the observed random variable.41 In the event that the correct distribution
differs from what is assumed in the study, the likelihood function will be mis-specifi ed, and
the estimator will be misleading. With cross-sectional data, problems such as heteroscedastic-
ity can arise. To account for this the results are based on an estimator due to Huber and
White,42 which is robust to several forms of misspecifi cation error.43
Model
Firms were asked whether an informal payment was requested by public offi cials to obtain
(a) a mainline telephone connection, (b) an electrical connection, and (c) a water connection.
The dependent variable is whether or not fi rms received requests for unoffi cial payments for
any of these infrastructure services. It is a binary variable that equals 1 if fi rms were asked to
make an unoffi cial payment and equals 0 otherwise.44 Firms were not asked for the amount of
the bribe paid. A fi rm’s likelihood of facing a bribe request is estimated using a probit model.
The model is estimated by regressing the probability of being asked for a bribe as a function
of fi rm characteristics. That is,
Bribe propensity = F(age, size, ownership, ethnicity, export, courts, competition, location, sector dummies)
Probit coeffi cients cannot be interpreted in the same way as coeffi cients in standard linear regres-
sion models. They do not equal the marginal impact of the explanatory variables. To gain further
insight into the models, the marginal probability elasticity technique will be used. This gives the
marginal impact on the explanatory variable of a unit change in one variable while holding the
others constant at some value. In the case of discrete variables, marginal effects calculated as the
fi nite changes in these variables as their values change from 0 to 1 will be obtained.
Data analysis and empirical results
The main question we seek to address here is whether fi rms were asked to pay bribes given
that they have requested access to infrastructure.45 To address this question, we regressed
Table 4 Firms reporting major or very severe constraints (%)
Obstacle or constraint Kenya Tanzania Uganda
Telecommunications 22.74 5.13 8.47
Electricity 51.43 91.58 90.55
Transportation 51.88 17.95 30.62
Corruption 45.47 23.08 21.17
Source Survey Data
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
28 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
our measure of the propensity to be asked for bribes on fi rm characteristics. Firms that do
not request infrastructure connections do not have to pay bribes for infrastructure provi-
sion. Excluding such fi rms can result in sample selection bias. To correct for the problem
of self-selection we used the Heckman procedure. Since both dependent variables in the
selection equation and the equation of interest are dummy variables we used STATA 10’s
Table 5 Bribery results
Explanatory variables Kenya Uganda Tanzania
CONSTANT −13.56*** (−10.26) 2.319*** (3.10) 1.897*** (4.660)
LOCATION 2.09*** (3.61) −0.933** (−2.59) −0.021 (−0.07)
OWNER 11.452*** (7.89) 0.280 (1.02) −0.535* (−1.67)
ETHNIC 0.126 (0.33) −0.231 (−0.78) 0.242 (0.79)
AGE −0.412* (−1.67) −0.154 (−1.53) 0.035*** (2.61)
SIZE 0.278** (2.11) −0.001 (−0.63) −0.004*** (−3.34)
EXPORT −0.806* (−1.72) 0.580 (1.41) 0.882* (1.80)
EPZ 0.133 (0.39) 0.064 (0.29) −0.081 (−0.30)
SOLETRADER 0.321 (0.55) 0.039 (0.16) −0.116 (−0.44)
COURTS −0.874** (−2.52) −0.078 (−0.35) −0.968*** (−10.42)
COMPETITION 0.144 (0.19) 0.172 (0.36) −0.180 (−0.74)
FOOD −0.135 (−0.25) −0.351 (−1.24) 0.404 (1.30)
GARMENT 0.930** (2.22) −0.658 (−1.03) −0.159 (−0.66)
TEXTILE 6.132*** (3.10)
CHEMICAL 5.747*** (6.54) −1.008* (−1.77) 0.702** (1.73)
WOOD −0.324 (−0.37) −0.312 (−1.03) 0.171 (0.59)
NONMETAL 0.449 (0.69)
Observations 392 295 270
Censored 274 224 204
Uncensored 118 71 66
Wald chi2 (13) 21.89** 5963*** 42761.76***
Log pseudo-likelihood −248.08 −190.92 −170.15
t−statistics are in parenthesis and *, ** and *** show levels of signifi cance at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively. The dependent variable is BRIBE which is a binary variable taking a value 1 if a bribe was requested, 0 otherwise. LOCATION is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rms is located in capital city, 0 otherwise. OWNER is binary variable taking a value 1 if local ownership is above 50%, 0 otherwise. ETHNIC is a binary variable taking a value 1 if the principal shareholder(s) is African, 0 otherwise. AGE is the number of years since fi rm’s inception. SIZE is the number of employees employed by the fi rm. EXPORT is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is exporting goods/services, 0 otherwise. COURTS is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm considers the courts to be effi cient and reliable, 0 otherwise. EPZ is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is located in an export processing zone, 0 otherwise. SOLETRADER is a binary variable taking a value 1 if the legal status of the fi rm is sole proprietorship, 0 otherwise. COMPETITION is a binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm faces competition, 0 otherwise.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 29
heckprob command to run the regression. To ensure model identifi cation we also include some
variables that affect the decision to request for connection but need not affect the likelihood
of receiving bribe requests. We chose variables that capture the use of such technology as
internet and fi xed telephones. Firms that use such technology to communicate with clients
and suppliers are more likely to request connection than those that do not.46 The results are as
shown in Table 5. Table 6 shows the corresponding marginal effects.
The main variables that are important when it comes to whether public offi cials request
bribes are location, ethnicity, ownership, exports, courts, age and fi rm size. We fi nd mixed
results when it comes to the location variable: the parameter is positive for the case of Kenya
but negative for the case of Uganda. In the case of Kenya the results indicate that fi rms located
in the capital city are more likely to be asked for bribes compared with those that are located
in other cities or regions of the country. More specifi cally, the probability of fi rms located in
the capital city being requested to pay bribes, compared with those located elsewhere, is higher
by 0,69 (see Table 6, which shows the marginal effects). It is likely that fi rms located in the
capital city tend to interact more often with service providers; thus creating a fertile ground for
bribe solicitation and possibly bribe payments. This positive relationship is signifi cant at 1 per
cent. One possible reason why the location parameter is negative and signifi cant in Uganda is
that the infrastructure to deal with corruption may be more effi cient in the capital city than in
other cities. This may drive corruption out of the capital city of Kampala. The marginal effects
table shows that the probability of being asked to pay bribes by fi rms located in the capital city,
Table 6 Marginal effects
Explanatory variables Kenya Uganda Tanzania
LOCATION 0.691 −0.143 −0.004
OWNER 0.919 0.060 −0.077
ETHNIC 0.049 −0.045 0.048
AGE −0.162 −0.033 0.006
SIZE 0.109 −0.002 −0.001
EXPORT −0.313 0.097 0.109
EPZ 0.052 0.014 −0.015
SOLETRADER 0.123 0.008 −0.022
COURTS 0.332 −0.017 −0.154
COMPETITION 0.144 0.040 −0.031
FOOD −0.053 −0.082 0.067
GARMENT 0.327 −0.190 −0.032
TEXTILE 0.612
MACHINEANDEQUIP 0.707
CHEMICAL 0.584 0.320 0.087
WOOD −0.219 −0.071 0.030
NONMETAL 0.166
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
30 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
compared with those located elsewhere, is lower by 0,143. It must be noted that the variable of
location may fail to capture the interaction that may occur if most of the requests for infrastruc-
ture provision were made at regional offi ces, outside the capital city. It is possible, however, that
fi rms that fail to get timely access to infrastructure, as is expected in developing countries, can
still approach the headquarters, which are more likely to be located in the capital city.
It is not easy to state whether fi rms owned by locals are more or less likely to be asked
to pay bribes compared with foreign-owned fi rms (multinationals, for example). First, most
multinational fi rms are larger than local fi rms and are thus more visible and have reputational
capital to protect. They also have internal codes of conduct and comprehensive internal pro-
cedures that they can use to minimise corruption. But multinational fi rms are cash-rich and
have resources to pay bribes; they thus have higher willingness to pay.47 They may also be
naive when it comes to local customs and suffer from ‘a liability of foreignness’. It is thus pos-
sible that foreign fi rms may actually pay more bribes than local ones. It is therefore diffi cult
to state categorically what the expected relationship between ownership and bribe payments
would be. We fi nd mixed results on this variable: the OWNER coeffi cient is positive for
Kenyan and Ugandan fi rms but negative for Tanzanian fi rms. The coeffi cients are signifi cant
in the cases of Kenya and Tanzania.
We hypothesised that ethnicity has a potential role in an African setting. Firms that have
an African as a major shareholder are more likely to be asked to pay bribes than those owned
by non-Africans. This is in line with hypothesis 4, which states that Africans tend to know
how to approach other Africans on how to pay bribes. This is important since bribery is il-
legal, so the bribe takers are doing this at the risk of being caught. This implies that bribery
is more likely to occur among people speaking the same language or from the same tribe, for
example. However, we do not fi nd any evidence to support this from the data; the coeffi cient
of the ethnicity variable is insignifi cant across all the countries. This suggests that ethnicity is
not important when it comes to being asked for bribes and possibly payment of bribes.
We fi nd mixed results on the impact of age. Older Kenyan fi rms are less likely to be asked
to pay bribes; older Tanzanian fi rms are more likely to be asked for bribes; and for Ugandan
fi rms age does not seem to matter. An increase in age by 1 year reduces the probability of be-
ing asked to pay bribes by 16,2 per cent in Kenya and increases it by 0,6 per cent in Tanzania
(see the marginal effects in Table 6). The age coeffi cient is signifi cant in Kenya (at 10 per cent
level) and Tanzania (at 1 per cent level).
Size does matter when it comes to being asked to pay bribes. The results show an inverse
relationship between the likelihood of being asked to pay bribes and size in the case of Ugandan
and Tanzanian fi rms. The coeffi cients are however signifi cant in the case of Tanzanian fi rms
(at 1 per cent level). For Tanzanian fi rms, a unit increase in size reduces the probability of being
asked for bribes by 0,1 per cent. The results for Tanzanian fi rms corroborate fi ndings by Clarke
and Xu as well as those by Herrera and Rodriguez, suggesting that smaller fi rms were being
targeted for bribes. There are several reasons why smaller fi rms are more likely to be targeted
for bribes and why they are more likely to pay bribes. First, small fi rms are more likely to be
easily targeted by predatory offi cials seeking bribes. According to Wu, the small fi rms also lack
power to resist such offi cials’ demands.48 Second, argues Wu, smaller fi rms, because they are less
visible and do not ordinarily attract much attention from law enforcers, can easily participate
in bribery. Third, small fi rms, unlike larger fi rms that have comprehensive systems to control
fraud, are less likely to have such robust internal protocol.49 On the other hand, larger fi rms are
more likely to be infl uential and individually important in the economy so that they may actu-
ally be less vulnerable to the demands of predatory offi cials soliciting for bribes.50 According to
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 31
Clarke and Xu, the predatory offi cials use information on these fi rm characteristics to propose
incentive-compatible bribe levels to the targeted fi rms.51 We fi nd a positive relationship, how-
ever, between size and the probability of being asked to pay bribes in Kenya. The size coeffi cient
is positive and signifi cant at the 5 per cent level, indicating that bigger Kenyan fi rms are more
likely to be approached for bribes compared with smaller ones.
We also investigated whether improving the court system by making them fair and
impartial increases the likelihood that public offi cials will request bribes. Across all the
sample countries, improved and fair court systems tend to reduce the propensity to ask
fi rms for bribes; the coeffi cients of COURTS (a variable that takes a value 1 if the courts
Table 7 Pooled regression bribery payment
Explanatory variables 1 2 3
CONSTANT 0.929** (2.56) −1.849*** (−2.70) −2.221*** (−4.22)
TANZANIA‡ −0.492* (−1.85) −0.571*** (−2.77) −0.582*** (−2.74)
UGANDA −1.121*** (−3.51) −1.337*** (−4.83) −1.1952*** (−3.59)
LOCATION 0.787*** (3.49) 0.741*** (3.87)
OWNER 0.216 (0.71) 0.298 (0.96)
ETHNIC 0.085 (0.42) 0.151 (0.81)
AGE 0.005 (0.78) 0.003 (0.44)
SIZE −0.004 (−0.99) −0.0002 (0.44)
EPZ 0.138 (0.80) 0.32 (0.84)
SOLETRADER −0.041 −0.21 −0.068 (−0.39)
COURTS 0.159 (0.89) 0.187 (1.19)
COMPETITION 0.618 (1.65) 0.470 (1.36)
GARMENT 0.316 (1.27)
TEXTILE 6.572*** (10.88)
MACHINEANDEQUIP 5.356*** (4.82)
CHEMICAL 0.547* (1.66)
WOOD 0.249 (1.11)
NONMETAL −0.090 (−0.24)
Observations 962 962 962
Censored 697 697 697
Uncensored 265 265 265
Wald chi2 (13) 13.56*** 49.48*** 361.63***
Log pseudo-likelihood −699.82 −692.13 −680.30
t-statistics are in parenthesis and *, ** and *** show levels of signifi cance at 10%, 5% and 1%, respectively. The dependent variable is BRIBE, which is a binary variable taking a value 1 if a bribe was requested, 0 otherwise. ‡ Kenya is the reference country
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
32 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
are considered fair and impartial, but 0 if they are not) are all negative and signifi cant in the
case of Kenya and Uganda.52 The results, which confi rm our hypothesis that an improve-
ment in African court systems reduces the incidence of bribery, also corroborate fi ndings
by Wu.53 For all fi rms across the sample countries, we did not fi nd any evidence on the im-
portance of export-processing zones, competition and type of business ownership (whether
sole trader or not).
Table 7 shows the regression results for the pooled data. Column 1 shows the regression of
the likelihood to receive bribe requests on country dummies. The aim here is to use this as a
baseline equation. Can we, for example, tell a fi rm’s propensity to be asked for bribe payments
just by looking at its nationality? Column 2 shows the results of the regression of the depend-
ent variable on fi rm characteristics, excluding sectoral dummies. Column 3 shows the results
when all variables are included. The pooled results in column 1 show that compared with
Kenyan fi rms, Tanzanian and Ugandan fi rms are less likely to be requested to pay bribes.
More specifi cally, the probability that an average Kenyan fi rm will be asked to pay bribes
exceeds that of Tanzanian fi rms by 0,18 (see results in Table 7 and the marginal effects in
Table 8). The likelihood that Ugandan fi rms are requested to pay bribes is smaller than that
of Kenyan fi rms by 0,42. This is in line with the Transparency International survey, which
shows that corruption is higher in Kenya than in Tanzania and Uganda.54 The coeffi cients
on the country dummies are negative and signifi cant for both Tanzania and Uganda. Such
Table 8 Marginal effects (pooled regression)
Explanatory variables 1 2 3
TANZANIA −0.184 0.145 −0.158
UGANDA −0.415 −0.301 −0.297
LOCATION 0.190 0.195
OWNER 0.061 0.091
ETHNIC 0.024 0.045
AGE 0.001 0.001
SIZE −0.0001 0.0005
EPZ 0.040 0.040
SOLETRADER −0.011 −0.020
COURTS 0.045 0.056
COMPETITION 0.135 0.119
GARMENT 0.103
TEXTILE 0.838
MACHINEANDEQUIP 0.800
CHEMICAL 0.191
WOOD 0.080
NONMETAL −0.026
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 33
a relationship is stronger with the inclusion of other variables as shown in columns 2 and 3.
For example, in the case of Tanzania the country dummy was, as shown in column 1, nega-
tive and signifi cant at the 10 per cent level; after controlling for sectoral dummies and fi rm
characteristics the country dummy coeffi cient is now signifi cant at the 1 per cent level (as
shown in column 3).
The location of the fi rm tends to affect the propensity to be asked for bribes. Columns 2
and 3 show that being located in the capital city tends to increase the probability that fi rms
are asked to pay bribes. This may be due to the increased interaction between government
offi cials and fi rm representatives. Table 8 shows the marginal effects that correspond to the
pooled regression results.
Conclusion and policy implications
This paper investigated the type of fi rms that are requested to pay bribes in order to access
infrastructure. The paper started by accessing the problems of infrastructure that fi rms in
East Africa face. Firms that face severe problems when it comes to infrastructure can pay
bribes to jump the queue and quickly get access.55 The two main questions we tried to answer
are: Which fi rms are facing severe infrastructure problems? Are such fi rms being asked to pay
bribes to access infrastructure? Comparing the three sample countries, we found that Uganda
is the country where the problems of infrastructure are most severe, followed by Tanzania
and then Kenya. About 48 per cent of the fi rms in Uganda were considered to be facing severe
infrastructural problems, Tanzania had 40 per cent of the fi rms and Kenya had 33 per cent of
the fi rms.
The results indicate that Kenyan fi rms are more likely to be asked to pay bribes than
fi rms in Uganda and Tanzania. This is despite the fact that Kenyan fi rms do not have severe
infrastructure problems as compared with Tanzanian and Ugandan fi rms. The descriptive
statistics showed corruption to be more rampant in Kenya than the other sample countries.
One way of interpreting the less severe infrastructure constraints in Kenya is that the greater
incidence of corruption ensures better access to infrastructure. Corruption is playing a greater
part in raising the cost of doing business in Kenya, but at the same time allowing Kenyan
fi rms to have better access to infrastructure than their Tanzanian and Ugandan counterparts.
This supports the enhancement of effi ciency theory.
The results also indicate that fi rms that are located in the capital city, and thus close to the
bribe-takers, are more likely to be asked to pay bribes. This is probably because government
offi cials tend to interact more often with the offi cials of fi rms located closer to the capital city
than those in other areas; creating an environment conducive for corruption. We found that
ownership does not seem to affect the propensity to be asked for bribes. Whether a fi rm is
domestically owned or a multinational does not seem to matter when it comes to being asked
for bribes. Mixed results were obtained on the impact of age. Older fi rms in Tanzania are
more likely to be asked for bribes than younger ones. This may be explained by the fact that
older fi rms are better known by public offi cials than younger fi rms. However, in Kenya it is
younger fi rms that have a higher propensity to be asked to pay bribes.
We also fi nd mixed results when it comes to the relationship between being asked to pay
bribes and fi rm size. In the case of Kenyan fi rms, we fi nd a positive relationship between size
and the probability of being asked to pay bribes. Larger fi rms in Kenya are more likely to
have resources to pay bribe-takers. By contrast, Tanzanian fi rms have a negative relationship
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
34 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
between fi rm size and the probability of being requested to pay bribes. This supports the
endogenous harassment theory whereby bribe-takers view smaller fi rms as easier targets.
The fact that improved and effi cient court systems were found to reduce the likelihood of
public offi cials requesting bribes in East Africa suggests that there are economic benefi ts to im-
proving these institutions. An effi cient court system together with a professional police force,
by increasing the probability of catching the perpetrators of corruption, increases the expected
costs of participating in corrupt activities thus reducing the net payoffs of such activities.
It is important for the governments in the EAC to ensure that as the region becomes more
economically integrated there is no importation of corruption from one country where it is
rife to another where it is low. More important for Kenya, where corruption is highest, is
the fact that, if corruption is considered to be more harmful than taxes, as found by Fisman
and Svensson, it may be possible that fi rms may relocate to another country.56 For example,
multinational fi rms that would normally locate in Kenya may strategically locate in Tanzania,
produce goods and then export them to Kenya.
Corruption is a multifaceted problem requiring a multi-pronged approach to reduce it.
African governments – especially those in the sample countries – must therefore introduce
effective anti-corruption systems that punish corruption perpetrators while rewarding
whistleblowers. This is necessary if corruption is not to morph into an endemic problem.
The infrastructure defi cit in most African countries must also be reduced not only to lessen
corruption but also to spur economic growth. Findings by Clarke and Xu indicate that more
bribes are paid in countries with lower levels of competition in the utilities sector and where
utilities are state-owned. The defi cit and the concomitant corruption can thus be reduced by
introducing competition in the utilities sector as well as facilitating private–public partner-
ships in the provision of infrastructure. This can be done while still protecting society’s most
vulnerable, who may lose out from the profi t-motivated private entrants.
One limitation of the current study is that it is based on cross-sectional data and thus
fails to capture the dynamic relationship between the parties involved in bribery (the bribe-
taker and bribe-giver). Future research needs to address such data defi cits and better explore
such a relationship, with a view to breaking the umbilical cord that binds them in this odious
relationship. Also, to understand better the magnitude of the problem, future research should
focus on the amounts of bribes changing hands between bribe-takers and bribe-givers. The
study, because it uses cross-sectional data, fails to capture the dynamic interaction between
parties involved in bribery. For example, bribery that occurs after the provision of infrastruc-
ture is not captured. Hence, future research examining such dynamic interactions should be
conducted. This can be done by conducting more specifi c surveys. Panel data that use the
same World Bank survey instrument as used in this study can also facilitate a better under-
standing of this problem of corruption.
Finally, there are several additional areas of study that can be explored. For example, how
institutionalised are bribery practices in the EAC? Is corruption by bribe-takers competitive
or institutionalised? The extant literature argues that competitive corruption, unlike mo-
nopolised corruption in which the bribe-taker also cares of the goose that lays the eggs, tends
to be destructive so as to drive the fi rms underground or force them out of business. Also,
the prevalence of corruption in state-owned utilities inevitably reignites the debate around
privatisation. Can privatisation and the introduction of several fi rms offering infrastructural
services like water, electricity and telecommunications help reduce corruption? An increase
in the number of fi rms in the sector implies that consumers can rationally move away from
those fi rms demanding bribes for a service.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 35
Acknowledgements
Comments made during the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) conferences
are acknowledged. We also thank the AERC for funding the research project.
Appendix
Table A1 Data descriptions
Variable Description
BRIBE Binary variable taking a value 1 if a bribe was requested, 0 otherwise
OWNER Binary variable taking a value 1 if local ownership is above 50%, 0 otherwise
ETHNIC Binary variable taking a value 1 if the principal shareholder(s) is African, 0 otherwise
AGE Number of years since fi rm inception
SIZE Number of employees employed by the fi rm
EXPORT Binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is exporting goods/services, 0 otherwise
TANZANIA Country dummy
UGANDA Country dummy
COURTS Binary variable taking a value 1 if the courts are considered fair, impartial and uncorrupted, 0 otherwise
EPZ Binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is located in an export processing zone (EPZ), 0 otherwise
LOCATION Binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm is located in capital city, 0 otherwise
SOLETRADER Binary variable taking a value 1 if the legal status of the fi rm is sole proprietorship, 0 otherwise
COMPETITION Binary variable taking a value 1 if fi rm faces competition, 0 otherwise
FOOD Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the food sector, 0 otherwise
GARMENT Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the garment sector, 0 otherwise
MACHANDEQUIP Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the machinery and equipment sector, 0 otherwise
TEXTILE Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the textile sector, 0 otherwise
CHEMICAL Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the chemical sector, 0 otherwise
WOOD Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the wood sector, 0 otherwise
METALLIC Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the metallic sector, 0 otherwise
NONMETAL Industry dummy taking a value 1 if fi rm is in the nonmetallic sector, 0 otherwise
Bribe propensity = F(age, size, ownership, ethnicity, export, courts, competition, location, sector dummies)
Notes
1 T S Aidt, Economic analysis of corruption: a survey, Economic Journal, 113(491) (2003), 632–652.
2 L Ndikumana, Corruption and pro-poor growth outcomes: evidence and lessons from African countries, Research
Paper, University of Massachusetts, 2006.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
36 African Security Review 21.4 Institute for Security Studies
3 Transparency International, Corruption Perception Index, 2011, http://cpi.transparency.org/cpi2011/results/ (accessed 22
June 2012).
4 The fi gures were calculated as the proportion of those who interacted with a government organisation and a bribe was
expected of them divided by the total number that interacted with government organisation.
5 Transparency International, The East African bribery index, Kenya: Transparency International Kenya, 2009.
6 See, for example: P Bardhan, Corruption and development: a review of issues, Journal of Economic Literature 35 (1997),
1320–1346; V Tanzi and H Davoodi, Corruption, public investment and growth (Working Paper No. 97/139), International
Monetary Fund, Washington DC, 1997; B A Olken, Corruption perceptions vs corruption reality, Journal of Public
Economics 93(7) (2009), 950–964.
7 C Calderon and L Serven, Infrastructure and rconomic development in sub-Saharan Africa (Policy Research Working Paper No.
4712), Washington, DC: World Bank, 2008.
8 T Yepes, J R Pierce and V Foster, Making sense of Africa’s infrastructure endowment: a benchmarking approach (Policy Research
Working Paper No. 4912), The World Bank, Washington DC, 2009.
9 A M Herrera and P Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption (Working Paper), Department of Economics, Michigan
State University, 2003.
10 Jakob Svensson and Raymond J Fisman, Are corruption and taxation really harmful to growth? Firm-level evidence, November
2000 (Policy Research Working Paper No. 2485), World Bank, Washington DC. Peter Kimuyu, Corruption, fi rm
growth and export propensity in Kenya, International Journal of Social Economics, 34(3) (2007), 197–217.
11 X Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian fi rms: evidence from the World Business Environment Survey, Journal of
Business Ethics, 87(1) (2009), 75–88.
12 See G Myrdal, Asian drama: an inquiry into the poverty of nations, New York: Pantheon Books, 1968; D Kaufmann and S
J Wei, Does ‘grease money’ speed up the wheels of commerce? (Policy Research Working Paper No. 2254), Washington, DC:
World Bank, 1999.
13 Kaufmann and Wei, Does ‘grease money’ speed up the wheels of commerce?
14 It is also possible that public institution employees can deliberately undersupply some services or create bottlenecks in
the system. For example, in the 1980s in Indonesia’s Jakarta there were 1200 taps serving water to 2.5 million people
(Charles Kenny, Infrastructure governance and corruption: where next?, 1 August 2007 (World Bank Policy Research Working
Paper No. 4331), The World Bank, Washington DC). According to Kenny, it is possible that such a small number of taps
was aimed at increasing rents for corrupt utility staff.
15 C W Gray and D Kaufman, Corruption and development, Finance and Development (1998), 7–10.
16 D Lederman, N V Loayza and R R Soares, Accountability and corruption: political institutions matter, Economics and
Politics 17(1) (2005), 1–35.
17 Bardhan, Corruption and development.
18 Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian fi rms.
19 A M Ali and H S Isse, Determinants of economic corruption: a cross-country comparison, Cato Journal 22 (2003), 449–466.
20 M Wrong, It’s our turn to eat: the story of a Kenyan whistleblower, London: Fourth Estate, 2009.
21 The campaign against corruption has also gained momentum. For example, in 1993 Transparency International was
formed. This was followed by an anti-corruption convention by the OECD in 1997 (The OECD Convention on
Combating Bribery of Foreign Offi cials in International Business Transactions in 1997). In 2003, the United Nations
came up with the United Nations Convention Against Corruption.
22 See, for example: Paolo Mauro, Corruption and growth, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(3) (1995), 681–712; Philip
Keefer and Stephen Knack, Does social capital have an economic payoff? A cross-country investigation, Quarterly Journal
of Economics, 112(4) (1997), 207–227; Aymo Brunnetti, Gregory Kisunko and Beatrice Weder, Credibility of rules and
economic growth: evidence from a worldwide survey of the private sector (Policy Research Working Paper Series 1760), World
Bank; Kwabena Gyimah-Brempong, Corruption, economic growth and income inequality in Africa, Economics of
Governance, 3(3) (2002): 183–209.
23 C Queiroz and A Visser, Corruption, transport infrastructure stock and economic development (Research Paper), World Bank,
Washington DC, 2001.
24 Tanzi and Davoodi, Corruption, public investment and growth.
25 L Lovei and A McKechnie, The costs of corruption for the poor: the energy sector (Note No. 207, Public Policy for the Private
Sector), World Bank, Washington DC, 2000.
26 A Estache and E Kouassi, Sector organization, governance, and the ineffi ciency of African water utilities (Policy Research Working
Paper Series 2890), World Bank, Washington DC, 2002.
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014
Features 37
27 A Estache, A Goicoechea and L Trujillo, Utilities reforms and corruption in developing countries, Utilities Policy 17(2)
(2009), 191–202.
28 Herrera and Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption.
29 J Svensson, Who must pay bribes and how much? Evidence from a cross-section of fi rms, Quarterly Journal of Economics
118(1) (2003), 207–230.
30 G R G Clarke and L C Xu, Privatization, competition, and corruption: how characteristics of bribe takers and payers
affect bribes to utilities, Journal of Public Economics 88(9–10) (2004), 2067–2097.
31 R Fisman and J Svensson, Are corruption and taxation really harmful to growth? Firm level evidence, Journal of
Development Economics 83(1) (2007), 63–75.
32 Kimuyu, Corruption, fi rm growth and export propensity in Kenya.
33 Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian fi rms.
34 Herrera and Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption.
35 Olken, Corruption perceptions vs corruption reality.
36 See, for example, Kimuyu, Corruption, fi rm growth and export propensity in Kenya; Fisman and Svensson, Are
corruption and taxation really harmful to growth?
37 Transparency International, The East African bribery index.
38 The questions asked included whether the fi rms experienced power outages in the previous year, how many times this
occurred and how long each occurrence lasted, as well as the annual losses due to the power outage (as a percentage
of sales). When it comes to water supply, the questions asked include: Did the establishment experience incidents of
insuffi cient water supply for production? How many times in a typical month did the fi rm experience these incidents of
water insuffi ciency? How long did each occurrence last?
39 For policy-making purposes the presence of a private generator or private borehole should be considered to be a sign of
infrastructural constraints.
40 World Bank, An assessment of the investment climate in Kenya, Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009.
41 W H Greene, Econometric analysis, 5th ed, Upper Saddle, NJ, Prentice Hall, 2003.
42 H White, A heteroscedasticity – consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroscedasticity,
Econometrica 48(4) (1980), 817–838.
43 P Huber, The behaviour of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions, in Lucien M. Le Cam and
Jerzy Neyman, Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium in Mathematical Statistics Vol. 1, Berkeley, CA: University of
California Press, 1967, 221-233.
44 The dummy variable takes a value 1 if a fi rm was asked for an informal payment to get connected to at least one of the
following services: mainline telephone connection, electrical connection and water connection. It takes a value 0 if no
request for a payment was made.
45 First, fi rms were asked whether they had requested for water, electricity or telephone connection. Second, they were
asked whether a bribe was requested.
46 We also ran a regression of the propensity to pay bribes on the variables that capture internet and website usage and
found them not to affect signifi cantly the decision to pay bribes.
47 See, for example, Herrera and Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption, and Clarke and Xu, Ownership, competition,
and corruption.
48 Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian fi rms.
49 For more details, see: Herrera and Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption; Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian
fi rms.
50 Herrera and Rodriguez, Bribery and the nature of corruption.
51 Ibid.
52 It must be noted that the COURTS variable may endogenous, so the results should be interpreted with caution.
53 Wu, Determinants of bribery in Asian fi rms.
54 Clarke and Xu, Privatization, competition, and corruption: how characteristics of bribe takers and payers affect bribes to
utilities.
55 Lui, An equilibrium queuing model of bribery, Journal of Political Economy 93(4) (1985), 760–781.
56 Fisman and Svensson, Are corruption and taxation really harmful to growth?
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Tha
mm
asat
Uni
vers
ity L
ibra
ries
] at
22:
59 0
4 O
ctob
er 2
014