Derivatives for MMS_1
Transcript of Derivatives for MMS_1
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
1/40
Different Asset ClassesDifferent Asset Classes
EquityEquity
DebtDebt
Gold & other commoditiesGold & other commodities Real EstateReal Estate
Foreign Exchange & CurrencyForeign Exchange & Currency
DerivativesDerivatives
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
2/40
What do you mean by Risk ?What do you mean by Risk ?
How do you measure Risk?How do you measure Risk?
How do you reduce risk ?How do you reduce risk ?
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
3/40
DerivativesDerivatives
Derivative is a product whose value isDerivative is a product whose value is
derived from the value of the underlyingderived from the value of the underlying
asset.asset. Underlying asset can be equity, forex,Underlying asset can be equity, forex,
commodity, or any other asset.commodity, or any other asset.
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
4/40
History of DerivativesHistory of Derivatives
Chicago Board of Trade (1848) is the firstChicago Board of Trade (1848) is the first
recognised Futures Exchangerecognised Futures Exchange
Next 100 years Futures Exchanges wereNext 100 years Futures Exchanges weredominated by trading in futures ofdominated by trading in futures of
Agricultural commoditiesAgricultural commodities
1970 saw the introduction of futures on1970 saw the introduction of futures onFinancial instruments (equity, bonds &Financial instruments (equity, bonds &
currency)currency)
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
5/40
Features:Features: Defined & limited lifeDefined & limited life
Bilateral AgreementBilateral Agreement
Purpose:Purpose: Price DiscoveryPrice Discovery
Risk Management /Risk Management /
HedgingHedging
Making Markets moreMaking Markets more
efficientefficient
Lowering TransactionLowering Transaction
costscosts
Derivatives are often criticised as being Dangerous for
unknowledgeable investors & have been inappropriately linked
to Gambling
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
6/40
Classification of DerivativesClassification of Derivatives
Derivatives
Contingent Claims Forward Commitment
Exchange Traded OTCExchange Traded OTC
Standard Options
Int Rate Options
Warrants
Options on Futures
Callable Bonds
Convertible Bonds
Standard Options
Int Rate Options
Convertible Bonds
Exotic Options
Warrants
Asset Backed Sec
Forward Contract
Swaps
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
7/40
Forward ContractForward Contract
A Forward Contract is an agreementA Forward Contract is an agreementbetween two parties in which one party,between two parties in which one party,the buyer, agrees to buy from the otherthe buyer, agrees to buy from the other
party, the seller, an underlying asset orparty, the seller, an underlying asset orother derivative, at a future date at a priceother derivative, at a future date at a priceestablished at the start of the Contract.established at the start of the Contract.
The buyer is often called the long & theThe buyer is often called the long & theseller is often called the short.seller is often called the short.
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
8/40
FeaturesFeatures
Delivery & Settlement of a ForwardDelivery & Settlement of a Forward
ContractContract
Default RiskDefault Risk
Termination of a Forward ContractTermination of a Forward Contract
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
9/40
Types of Forward ContractTypes of Forward Contract Equity ForwardsEquity Forwards::
Forward Contracts on Individual StockForward Contracts on Individual Stock
Forward Contracts on Stock PortfoliosForward Contracts on Stock Portfolios
Forward Contracts on Stock IndicesForward Contracts on Stock Indices
Bond & Interest Rate Forward ContractsBond & Interest Rate Forward Contracts:: Forward Contracts on Individual Bonds & BondForward Contracts on Individual Bonds & Bond
PortfolioPortfolio
Forward Contracts on Interest Rates: Forwards RateForward Contracts on Interest Rates: Forwards Rate
AgreementsAgreements
Currency Forward ContractsCurrency Forward Contracts
Commodity ForwardsCommodity Forwards
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
10/40
Pricing a Forward ContractPricing a Forward Contract
We use the principle of NoWe use the principle of No--arbitrage for pricing aarbitrage for pricing aForward contract. The principle assumes theForward contract. The principle assumes thefollowingfollowing
Transaction cost is ZeroTransaction cost is Zero
There are no restrictions on short sales or onThere are no restrictions on short sales or onuse of short sales proceedsuse of short sales proceeds
Borrowing & Lending for unlimited amount at riskBorrowing & Lending for unlimited amount at riskfree ratefree rate
Forward price = price that would not permitForward price = price that would not permitrisk less arbitrage in frictionless marketrisk less arbitrage in frictionless market
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
11/40
FP = SFP = S00 x (1+Rx (1+Rff))TT
FP = Forward price of an assetFP = Forward price of an asset
SS00 = Spot price= Spot price
RRff= Risk free rate= Risk free rate
T = Forward Contract term in yearsT = Forward Contract term in years
SS00 = FP / (1+R= FP / (1+Rff))TT
Price of a Forward ContractPrice of a Forward Contract
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
12/40
Valuation of a Forward ContractValuation of a Forward Contract
Value of the Long Forward Contract at Zero dayValue of the Long Forward Contract at Zero day
VV00 = S= S00 FP / (1+RFP / (1+Rff))TT
Value of the Long Forward Contract at any day tValue of the Long Forward Contract at any day t
VVtt = S= Stt FP / (1+RFP / (1+Rff))(T(T--t)t)
Value of the Long Forward Contract at ExpiryValue of the Long Forward Contract at Expiry
VVtt = S= Stt FPFP
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
13/40
Valuation of a Forward ContractValuation of a Forward Contract
Value of the short Forward Contract at Zero dayValue of the short Forward Contract at Zero day
VV00 = FP / (1+R= FP / (1+Rff))TT SS00
Value of the short Forward Contract at any day tValue of the short Forward Contract at any day t
VVtt = FP / (1+R= FP / (1+Rff))(T(T--t)t) SStt
Value of the short Forward Contract at ExpiryValue of the short Forward Contract at Expiry
VVtt = FP= FP SStt
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
14/40
Equity Forward ContractEquity Forward Contract
FPFP(on an equity security)(on an equity security)= (S= (S00 PVD) x (1+RPVD) x (1+Rff))TT
FPFP(on an equity security)(on an equity security)= [S= [S00 x (1+Rx (1+Rff))TT]] -- FVDFVD
PVD = Present Value of Expected DividendsPVD = Present Value of Expected Dividends
FVD = Future Value of Expected DividendsFVD = Future Value of Expected Dividends
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
15/40
Value of Equity Forward ContractValue of Equity Forward Contract
For a long contractFor a long contract
VVtt = [S= [Stt PVDPVDtt]] [FP / (1+R[FP / (1+Rff))(T(T--t)t) ]]
For a short contractFor a short contract
VVtt= [FP / (1+R= [FP / (1+R
ff)) (T(T--t)t) ]] [S[S
tt PVDPVD
tt]]
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
16/40
Pricing a Equity Index ForwardPricing a Equity Index Forward
ContractContract Equity index has multiple stocksEquity index has multiple stocks
Rather than taking the present value ofRather than taking the present value of
dividends each individual stock, we makedividends each individual stock, we makethe calculations, as if dividends are paidthe calculations, as if dividends are paid
continuously at dividend yield on the Indexcontinuously at dividend yield on the Index
FPFP(on an equity index)(on an equity index)= S= S00 xx ee(R(Rcc cc) x T) x T
= (S= (S00 xx ee ccx Tx T ) x e) x eRR
ccxTxT
RRcc = continuous compounded risk free rate= continuous compounded risk free rate
cc = continuous compounded dividend yield= continuous compounded dividend yield
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
17/40
Forward contracts on Fixed IncomeForward contracts on Fixed Income
Securities & RatesSecurities & Rates Forward price on a coupon paying bond isForward price on a coupon paying bond is
similar to dividend paying stocksimilar to dividend paying stock
FPFP(fixed income security)(fixed income security)= (S= (S00 PVC) x (1+RPVC) x (1+Rff))TT
For a long contractFor a long contract
VVtt = [S= [Stt PVCPVCtt]] [FP / (1+R[FP / (1+Rff))(T(T--t)t) ]]
PVC = Present Value of Expected Coupon paymentsPVC = Present Value of Expected Coupon payments
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
18/40
Forward Rate Agreements (FRA)Forward Rate Agreements (FRA)
Today 3m
1m 4mToday
FRA
initiation
FRA
Expiration
& Loan
Initiation
Loan
Maturity
FRAFRA 1x41x4
Forward price in a FRA is actually a forwardForward price in a FRA is actually a forwardinterest rateinterest rate
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
19/40
Currency ForwardsCurrency Forwards
Consider a importer who has to make a USDConsider a importer who has to make a USDpayment 12 months from nowpayment 12 months from now
Thus, he would have to buy USD exactly 12Thus, he would have to buy USD exactly 12months from nowmonths from now
However, he is not sure what the USD/INRHowever, he is not sure what the USD/INR
rate would be???rate would be???
Hence, he can enter into aHence, he can enter into a Forward contractForward contractto buy USD 12 months from now at a preto buy USD 12 months from now at a pre--
determined ratedetermined rate
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
20/40
Calculated as follows: Combination of spotCalculated as follows: Combination of spot
exchange rate and interest rates over a period ofexchange rate and interest rates over a period of
time in the futuretime in the future
Forward rate: 45,687,500 / 1,020,000 = 44.79Forward rate: 45,687,500 / 1,020,000 = 44.79
Forward premium: 2.29Forward premium: 2.29
Bank buys USD at 42.50
Gets USD 1,020,000
Places Deposit @ 2.00%
Borrows INR 42,500,000
Pays INR 45,687,500
Borrows at 7.50%
USD / INR: 42.50, US Int rates: 2.00%, Indian Interest rates: 7.50%
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
21/40
Futures and stockFutures and stock
FPFP(currency forward contract )(currency forward contract ) ==
SS00 x [(1+Rx [(1+RDCDC))TT/(1+R/(1+RFCFC))
TT]]
F and S are quoted in domestic currency perF and S are quoted in domestic currency per
unit of foreign currencyunit of foreign currency
RRDCDC = Domestic currency interest rate= Domestic currency interest rate
RRFCFC = Foreign currency interest rate= Foreign currency interest rate
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
22/40
FuturesFutures
Similarity to Forwards:Similarity to Forwards:
Deliverable contracts obligate the long toDeliverable contracts obligate the long tobuy & short to sell a certain quantity of anbuy & short to sell a certain quantity of anasset for a certain price on specified futureasset for a certain price on specified futuredatedate
Cash settlements are settled in cash onCash settlements are settled in cash on
expiration dateexpiration date Both futures & forwards are priced to haveBoth futures & forwards are priced to have
zero value at the time of initiationzero value at the time of initiation
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
23/40
Futures Vs ForwardsFutures Vs Forwards
CriterionCriterion FuturesFutures ForwardsForwards
BuyerBuyer--SellerSeller
InteractionInteraction
Via ExchangeVia Exchange DirectDirect
Contract TermsContract Terms StandardisedStandardised Tailor madeTailor made
UnilateralUnilateral
ReversalsReversals
PossiblePossible Not PossibleNot Possible
Default risk borneDefault risk borne
byby
ExchangeExchange Individual PartiesIndividual Parties
Default ControlledDefault Controlled
byby
Margin AccountsMargin Accounts CollateralsCollaterals
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
24/40
Payoff profile of futures contractsPayoff profile of futures contracts
-100
-50
0
50
100
5000 5050 5100 5150 5200
Price
Gain/Loss
Buyer
Seller
Profit
Loss
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
25/40
Future Margins & MTMFuture Margins & MTM
Initial Margin RequirementInitial Margin Requirement
Maintenance MarginMaintenance Margin
Variation MarginVariation Margin
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
26/40
Calculation of Margin for a Long positionCalculation of Margin for a Long position
Day Beginning
Balance
(Margin)
Funds
Deposited
Settlement
Price
Futures
Price
Change
Gain /
Loss
Ending
Balance
(Margin)
0 0 50 100.00 50.00
1 50 0 99.20 -0.80 -8.00 42.00
2 42 0 96.00 -3.20 -32.00 10.00
3 10 40 101.00 5.00 50.00 100.00
4 100 0 103.50 2.50 25.00 125.00
5 125 0 103.00 -0.50 -5.00 120.00
6 120 0 104.00 1.00 10.00 130.00
Initial Futures prices: Rs.100; Initial Margin: Rs.5;Maintenance Margin Requirement: Rs.3; No of Contracts:10
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
27/40
Monetary & Non Monetary benefitsMonetary & Non Monetary benefits
& costs of holding the Underlying& costs of holding the Underlying
Recall:Recall: FP = SFP = S00 x (1+Rx (1+Rff))TT
Any positive costs associated with holdingAny positive costs associated with holding
the asset in a cash & carry arbitrage willthe asset in a cash & carry arbitrage willincrease the no arbitrage Futures priceincrease the no arbitrage Futures price
A monetary benefit from holding the assetA monetary benefit from holding the assetwill decrease the no arbitrage Futureswill decrease the no arbitrage Futurespriceprice
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
28/40
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
29/40
BackwardationBackwardation: refers to a situation: refers to a situation
where the futures price is below the spotwhere the futures price is below the spot
price.price.
For this to occur, there must be significantFor this to occur, there must be significant
benefit to holding the asset, eitherbenefit to holding the asset, either
monetary or nonmonetary or non--monetary.monetary.
ContangoContango: refers to a situation where the: refers to a situation where the
futures price is above the spot pricefutures price is above the spot price
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
30/40
Consider an asset priced at Rs.50. Risk freeConsider an asset priced at Rs.50. Risk freeinterest rate is 8% & the futures contract expiresinterest rate is 8% & the futures contract expiresin 45 days.in 45 days.
a.a. Find the appropriate futures price if theFind the appropriate futures price if theunderlying asset has no storage cost, cash flowsunderlying asset has no storage cost, cash flowsor convenience yieldor convenience yield
b.b. Find the appropriate futures prices if the futureFind the appropriate futures prices if the futurevalue of storage cost on the underlying at thevalue of storage cost on the underlying at the
futures expiration equals Rs.2.25futures expiration equals Rs.2.25c.c. Find the appropriate futures price if the futureFind the appropriate futures price if the future
value of positive cash flow on the underlyingvalue of positive cash flow on the underlyingasset equals Rs.0.75asset equals Rs.0.75
d.d. Find the appropriate futures price if the futureFind the appropriate futures price if the futurevalue of the net overall cost of carry on thevalue of the net overall cost of carry on theunderlying asset equals Rs.3.55underlying asset equals Rs.3.55
e.e. Using Part D above, illustrate how an arbitrageUsing Part D above, illustrate how an arbitragetransaction could be executed if the futurestransaction could be executed if the futures
contract is trading at Rs.60contract is trading at Rs.60
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
31/40
OptionsOptions
CallCall OptionsOptions
AA callcall optionoption givesgives thethe holderholder (buyer/(buyer/ oneone whowho isislonglong call),call), thethe rightright toto buybuy specifiedspecified quantityquantity ofof
thethe underlyingunderlying assetasset atat thethe strikestrike priceprice onon or orbeforebefore expirationexpiration datedate..
TheThe sellerseller (one(one whowho isis shortshort call)call) however,however, hashas
thethe obligationobligation toto sellsell thethe underlyingunderlying assetasset ifif thethebuyerbuyer ofof thethe callcall optionoption decidesdecides toto exerciseexercise hishisoptionoption toto buybuy..
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
32/40
AnAn investorinvestor buysbuys OneOne EuropeanEuropean callcall optionoption ononInfosysInfosys atat thethe strikestrike priceprice ofof RsRs.. 25002500 atat aa premiumpremiumofof RsRs.. 100100.. IfIf thethe marketmarket priceprice ofof InfosysInfosys onon thethe dayday
ofof expiryexpiry isis moremore thanthan RsRs.. 25002500,, thethe optionoption willwill bebeexercisedexercised..
TheThe investorinvestor willwill earnearn profitsprofits onceonce thethe shareshare priceprice
crossescrosses RsRs.. 26002600 (Strike(Strike PricePrice ++ PremiumPremium ii..ee..25002500++100100))..
SupposeSuppose stockstock priceprice isis RsRs.. 28002800,, thethe optionoption willwill bebe
exercisedexercised andand thethe investorinvestor willwill buybuy 11 shareshare of ofInfosysInfosys fromfrom thethe sellerseller ofof thethe optionoption atat RsRs 25002500 andandsellsell itit inin thethe marketmarket atat RsRs 28002800 makingmaking aa profitprofit ofof RsRs..200200 {(Spot{(Spot priceprice -- StrikeStrike price)price) -- Premium}Premium}
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
33/40
PutPut OptionsOptions
AA PutPut optionoption givesgives thethe holderholder (buyer/(buyer/ oneone whowho isislonglong Put),Put), thethe rightright toto sellsell specifiedspecified quantityquantity ofof
thethe underlyingunderlying assetasset atat thethe strikestrike priceprice onon or orbeforebefore anan expiryexpiry datedate..
TheThe sellerseller ofof thethe putput optionoption (one(one whowho isis shortshort
Put)Put) however,however, hashas thethe obligationobligation toto buybuy thetheunderlyingunderlying assetasset atat thethe strikestrike priceprice ifif thethe buyerbuyerdecidesdecides toto exerciseexercise hishis optionoption toto sellsell..
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
34/40
An investor buys one European Put option onAn investor buys one European Put option onReliance at the strike price of Rs. 2300/Reliance at the strike price of Rs. 2300/-- , at a, at apremium of Rs. 125/premium of Rs. 125/--. If the market price of. If the market price of
Reliance, on the day of expiry is less than Rs. 300,Reliance, on the day of expiry is less than Rs. 300,the option can be exercised as it is 'in the money'.the option can be exercised as it is 'in the money'.
The investor's BreakThe investor's Break--even point is Rs. 2175/ (Strikeeven point is Rs. 2175/ (StrikePricePrice -- premium paid) i.e., investor will earn profits ifpremium paid) i.e., investor will earn profits if
the market falls below 2175.the market falls below 2175.
Suppose stock price is Rs. 2160, the buyer of theSuppose stock price is Rs. 2160, the buyer of thePut option immediately buys Reliance share in thePut option immediately buys Reliance share in themarket @ Rs. 2160/market @ Rs. 2160/-- & exercises his option selling& exercises his option selling
the Reliance share at Rs 2300 to the option writerthe Reliance share at Rs 2300 to the option writerthus making a net profit of Rs. 15 {(Strike pricethus making a net profit of Rs. 15 {(Strike price --Spot Price)Spot Price) -- Premium paid}Premium paid}
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
35/40
Position of Call option buyerPosition of Call option buyer
Traders rightsTraders rights-- Buy underlying at strike price.Buy underlying at strike price.
Traders obligationsTraders obligations-- Nil.Nil.
Premium paid or receivedPremium paid or received -- Paid.Paid.
Margin requirementsMargin requirements -- No.No.
Risk profileRisk profile -- Limited, to the extent of theLimited, to the extent of the
premium paid.premium paid.
Profit potentialProfit potential -- Unlimited, if prices go up.Unlimited, if prices go up. Breakeven pointBreakeven point -- Strike price + Premium.Strike price + Premium.
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
36/40
Position of Call option sellerPosition of Call option seller
Traders rightsTraders rights-- Nil.Nil.
Traders obligationsTraders obligations-- Sell underlying at strikeSell underlying at strike
price.price.
Premium paid or receivedPremium paid or received -- Received.Received.
Margin requirementsMargin requirements -- Yes.Yes.
Risk profileRisk profile -- Unlimited, if prices go up.Unlimited, if prices go up.
Profit potentialProfit potential -- Limited , to the extent of theLimited , to the extent of thepremium received.premium received.
Breakeven pointBreakeven point -- Strike price + Premium.Strike price + Premium.
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
37/40
Payoff profile of Call optionsPayoff profile of Call options
tri e Pre i
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
90 95 100 105 110 115 120
Price
Profit/Loss
Buyer
Writer
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
38/40
Position of Put option buyerPosition of Put option buyer
Traders rightsTraders rights-- Sell underlying at strike price.Sell underlying at strike price.
Traders obligationsTraders obligations-- Nil.Nil.
Premium paid or receivedPremium paid or received -- Paid.Paid.
Margin requirementsMargin requirements -- No.No.
Risk profileRisk profile -- Limited, to the extent of theLimited, to the extent of thepremium paid.premium paid.
Profit potentialProfit potential -- Unlimited*, if prices go downUnlimited*, if prices go down(BEP = Strike price(BEP = Strike price -- Premium).Premium).
Practically, Put option buyers profit is limited asPractically, Put option buyers profit is limited asthe price of the asset can not go below zerothe price of the asset can not go below zero(Max. profit = Strike price(Max. profit = Strike price Premium paid)Premium paid)
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
39/40
Position of Put option sellerPosition of Put option seller
Traders rightsTraders rights-- Nil.Nil.
Traders obligationsTraders obligations-- Buy underlying at strike price.Buy underlying at strike price.
Premium paid or receivedPremium paid or received -- Received.Received.
Margin requirementsMargin requirements -- Yes.Yes. Risk profileRisk profile -- Unlimited*, if prices go down.Unlimited*, if prices go down.
Profit potentialProfit potential -- Limited, to the extent of theLimited, to the extent of thepremium received (BEP = Strike pricepremium received (BEP = Strike price -- Premium)Premium)
Practically, Put option sellers risk is limited as thePractically, Put option sellers risk is limited as theprice of the asset can not go below zeroprice of the asset can not go below zero(Maximum loss = Strike price(Maximum loss = Strike price Premium received)Premium received)
-
8/8/2019 Derivatives for MMS_1
40/40
Payoff profile of Put optionsPayoff profile of Put options
Strike : 100 & Premium :5
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
85 90 95 100 105 110 115
Price
P
rofit/Loss
Buyer
Writer