Department of Agriculture Grain · • EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies...

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1

1.5

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2005 2006 2007

0

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10

2005 2006 2007

Thai Exports SurgeMMT

250

300

350

400

450

1/4/05 5/24/05 10/11/05 2/28/06 7/18/06 12/5/06

US$

Price Spread Widens

$110

U.S.

Thailand

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

World rice supplies are expected to be tight in 2007, but despite this ample supplies in Thailand will allow it to widen its lead as the world’s largest exporter. Intervention stocks are currently at high levels and the government has signaled that it intends to reduce them by selling more for export. This will allow Thai exporters to profit from strong Philippine and Indonesian demand. Exports to the EU could also increase given the need to replace U.S. rice sales which have been effectively banned. Vietnam’s exports are expected to improve, despite press reports to the contrary, as a consequence of Indonesia’s increased demand. U.S. exports are forecast to slightly decline due to tighter supplies and higher prices,despite strong world demand.

Global import demand will be driven by Indonesia, where imports are forecast to triple. A weak El Nino has led to dry conditions during sowing periods, impacting area rather than yield. Other factors also contributing to the falling area include seed and fertilizer problems and to pressures from land conversion to non-agricultural uses.

Global Rice Trade in 2007: Thailand to Expand Lead as World’s Largest Exporter

$/Ton Fob

Indonesian Imports Jump

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 01-07January 07

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 11 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 17 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 40 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 65 Circular Modifications:

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) will update its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, grains and pulses along with its downloadable data sets at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular will be released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day. This is an effort to speed up FAS information dissemination to more closely coincide with the release of the WASDE. FAS will evaluate this earlier release process to determine if it should be made permanent in 2007.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2007

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

January 2007

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/05

Production

United States (Jun-May) 58.7 57.3 49.3 7.5 7.1 6.2 299.9 282.3 267.6

Other 570.1 562.5 541.4 393.0 408.4 408.9 412.4 413.3 419.6

World Total 628.8 619.8 590.8 400.5 415.5 415.0 712.3 695.6 687.2

Domestic Consumption


Other 577.0 586.7 585.9 401.7 407.9 412.1 459.2 468.2 480.9

World Total 608.8 617.9 617.2 405.7 411.7 416.0 683.9 700.0 722.5

Ending Stocks


Other 136.7 131.9 109.0 76.9 79.1 76.8 77.1 75.0 67.3

World Total 151.4 147.4 121.8 78.1 80.4 77.7 130.8 125.0 86.4

TY Imports


Other 108.2 108.3 106.1 26.5 25.2 26.6 76.0 79.6 80.3

World Total 110.2 110.6 109.2 26.9 25.8 27.3 76.3 79.9 80.6

TY Exports


Other 84.6 86.2 87.1 25.1 24.2 25.5 31.1 26.9 26.5

World Total 113.1 113.7 111.6 29.0 27.7 28.9 76.5 83.1 83.0

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

January 2007

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: U.S. Monthly Wheat Grain Imports Surge

TMT

0

50

100

150

200

250

Dec05

Feb06

Apr06

Jun06

Aug06

Oct06

Dec06

U.S. Imports From Canada Continue to Climb: U.S. imports this month were revised up to the highest level in 13 years. Canada has a large, better quality crop this year and imports into the U.S. are allowed to come in duty free. In recent months, Hard Red Spring and Durum wheats have primarily been imported. The United States is forecast to be a net importer of durum and products this year as production has fallen to a nearly 20-year low. Spring wheat supplies are also tight, with production down as a result of dryness in the Plains states. U.S. Winter Wheat Area Jumps: The total U.S. winter wheat seeding area is expected to rise 9 percent from the previous year because of elevated prices (10-year highs). Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Winter (SRW) are expected to rise 9 and 13 percent respectively from last year. SRW particulary had ideal planting conditions. Australian Government Grants Two Wheat Export Permits: Agriculture Minister Peter McGauran announced on December 22, 2006 that he granted 2 permits for the export of 300,000 MT of wheat to Iraq by Wheat Australia and 500,000 MT to Indonesia by Cooperative Bulk Handling (CBH) Group, a grower owned and operated cooperative. The government stated that it chose these two because: 1) CBH Group will offer a price premium to Western Australian farmers and 2) Wheat Australia keeps the Iraqi market open for Australian wheat since Iraq will not import wheat from the Australian Wheat Board (AWB) due to its involvement in the UN Oil-for-Food scandal. Currently, supporters of the single-desk believe it was unfair to authorize these export permits because it effectively dismantles the single-desk even before consultations begin between the government and industry over marketing options. Others argue that the decision merely perpetuates the single-desk. The Australian government expects a solution to the single-desk dilemma in May 2007.

3 0

3 5

4 0

4 5

5 0

5 5

9 3 9 5 9 7 9 9 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 7

Mil. Acres

Source: NASS Note: Years refer to harvest

U.S. Winter Wheat Planted Area

Note: November and December are estimates



January 2007

PRICES: Domestic: For December, wheat prices for all classes dropped during the month on very sluggish export sales and shipments as well as expectations for much larger global production in 2007. For the month, Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices fell $25, Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $23, Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $17, and Soft White (SWW) prices fell $4.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27 11/3 11/10 11/17 11/24 12/1 12/8 12/15 12/22 12/29 1/5

$/M

T

U.S. No.1 HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf) U.S. No.1 SWW (PNW) US No.1 DNS 14% (PNW)

TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million on very strong old crop exports.

• EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies and sluggish exports

licenses which are 1.5 million tons (20%) behind last year’s pace to date.

• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million on higher production and very strong pace of exports to date.

• Ukraine is down 700,000 tons to 2.8 million on the imposition of government export

quotas. • United States is down 1.0 million tons to 24.5 million as high prices have resulted in

laggard export sales and shipments to date.



January 2007

Selected Importers

• Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 million on sluggish buying patterns. • Pakistan is down 400,000 tons to 200,000 becoming a net exporter as a result of sizeable

domestic supplies.

• United States is up 300,000 tons to 3.1 million tons as a result of very large shipments from Canada.



January 2007

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

10,0009,5008,30113,5027,3466,276 Argentina

12,00012,00015,21315,82615,09610,946 Australia

1,2001,0001,2001,100401,107 Bulgaria

20,50020,50015,64415,14215,5269,393 Canada

2,5002,5001,3971,1712,8241,718 China, Peoples Republic of

15,50016,00015,03214,36710,93119,940 EU-25

5,0005,0003,0002,7004,1106,238 Kazakhstan, Republic of

9,5008,50010,6647,9513,11412,621 Russian Federation

2,0002,0002,9002,217854839 Turkey

2,8003,5006,4614,351666,569 Ukraine

6,0655,9406,4146,31812,32011,655 Others

87,06586,44086,22684,64572,22787,302 Subtotal

24,50025,50027,42428,46432,29522,834 United States

111,565111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,8004,8005,4695,3983,9336,079 Algeria

2,1002,1002,0092,0581,9451,335 Bangladesh

7,5007,5006,1945,3095,5596,631 Brazil

1,3501,3501,3141,2481,2461,166 Colombia

7,0007,0007,7718,1507,2956,327 Egypt

6,8006,8007,6097,3935,91213,921 EU-25

6,0006,00011814819 India

4,8004,8004,9814,6614,5353,984 Indonesia

3,0003,5004,8783,0101,9251,579 Iraq

1,2001,2001,5421,5499511,691 Israel

5,5005,5005,4695,7445,7515,579 Japan

3,6003,6003,8843,5913,4344,052 Korea, Republic of

1,5001,5001,6391,5081,0571,421 Libya

1,3501,3501,2161,4121,3291,195 Malaysia

3,6003,6003,5493,7173,6443,161 Mexico

1,9001,9002,4182,2722,4142,720 Morocco

3,6003,6003,6563,0142,3832,304 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,6561,4491,4881,157 Peru

2,7002,7002,9542,5932,9753,230 Philippines


1,6001,6001,6591,522995860 Sudan

1,2001,2001,1741,0811,139895 Thailand

1,6001,6001,6911,5041,538961 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,1811,226830875 Vietnam

1,9001,9002,1431,8531,6351,772 Yemen

27,52027,92030,80335,75035,02931,814 Others

106,120107,020108,259108,22399,976105,773 Subtotal

2,3452,1203,0822,9402,7862,405 Unaccounted

3,1002,8002,3091,9461,7601,958 United States

111,565111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136 World Total


January 2007

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

14,20014,20013,80016,00014,50012,300 Argentina

10,50010,50024,50022,60026,13210,132 Australia

27,30027,30026,77525,86023,55216,198 Canada


8,2008,2008,1847,1776,4436,300 Egypt

117,927117,237122,685136,778106,878124,829 EU-25

68,00068,00068,64072,15065,10071,810 India

14,00014,00014,50014,00013,50012,450 Iran


6,1006,1003,0435,5405,1473,357 Morocco

21,70021,70021,50019,50019,18318,227 Pakistan


18,00018,00018,00018,50016,80016,800 Turkey

14,30014,30018,70017,5003,60020,556 Ukraine

5,8005,8006,0505,5005,4005,000 Uzbekistan, Republic of

55,51055,41059,96161,70652,95652,539 Others

541,437539,247562,488570,111490,781523,938 Subtotal

49,31649,31657,28058,73863,81443,705 United States

590,753588,563619,768628,849554,595567,643 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,7007,7007,5007,3006,8006,650 Algeria

6,9006,9006,4006,2005,9566,178 Australia

10,40010,40010,80010,2009,8009,890 Brazil

9,2009,2009,1339,3007,6378,181 Canada


15,60015,60014,80014,20013,30012,800 Egypt

116,600116,000119,500115,200107,900118,100 EU-25

72,70072,50069,97172,83868,25874,294 India

15,20015,20014,80014,50014,30014,350 Iran


7,4007,4007,1006,9006,4006,220 Morocco

21,90022,00021,50020,00019,10018,380 Pakistan


16,80016,80016,10016,80016,80016,800 Turkey

11,50011,20012,50011,7009,02514,500 Ukraine

128,097128,447129,809125,047116,600115,388 Others

585,026583,903592,570578,288555,971573,311 Subtotal

31,32531,29831,19131,82332,50730,448 United States

616,351615,201623,761610,111588,478603,759 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,3653,3653,6703,5062,8142,712 Algeria

7,5937,5939,7437,9226,0805,725 Canada


3,5963,5964,0062,8611,7441,316 Egypt

13,59512,95420,96825,20610,60216,643 EU-25


5,2335,2335,4835,2525,2125,072 Syria

36,80437,27948,83649,51044,28557,669 Others

108,974108,808131,879136,718117,807153,188 Subtotal

12,85211,92715,54514,69914,87213,374 United States

121,826120,735147,424151,417132,679166,562 World Total


January 2007

Thousand Metric Tons

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

5,501 North America 5,630 5,910 6,136 6,650 6,950

1,381 Central America 1,500 1,510 1,514 1,575 1,575

1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905

11,394 South America 11,207 10,826 12,687 13,440 13,440

13,921 European Union 5,912 7,393 7,609 6,800 6,800

1,971 Other Europe 4,229 1,836 1,593 1,500 1,500

4,601 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,260 4,548 4,679 4,040 4,040

11,507 Middle East 8,813 10,202 13,099 10,925 10,425

18,714 North Africa 15,480 18,407 18,441 16,400 16,400

9,603 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,713 12,091 13,006 12,200 12,200

12,236 East Asia 15,320 18,357 12,830 12,050 12,050

3,569 South Asia 3,008 4,881 4,374 9,880 9,480

10,663 Southeast Asia 11,177 11,429 11,923 11,775 11,775

896 Oceania 648 745 751 680 680

107,731 Total 101,736 110,169 110,568 109,820 109,220

Production none

63,133 North America 90,066 87,018 87,075 79,716 79,716

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

17,903 South America 23,632 25,261 21,749 19,473 19,473

124,829 European Union 106,878 136,778 122,685 117,237 117,927

12,642 Other Europe 7,564 15,538 13,198 12,105 12,205


37,991 Middle East 39,486 41,463 42,020 41,300 41,300

11,704 North Africa 16,285 17,166 15,178 18,325 18,325


91,468 East Asia 87,750 93,193 98,724 104,795 104,795

95,303 South Asia 90,966 97,696 96,300 95,950 95,950

96 Southeast Asia 107 130 150 148 148

10,434 Oceania 26,453 22,856 24,793 10,777 10,777

567,643 Total 554,595 628,849 619,768 588,563 590,753

Domestic Consumption none

44,529 North America 46,044 47,123 46,424 46,698 46,725

1,221 Central America 1,354 1,410 1,406 1,476 1,476

1,774 Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,905

22,305 South America 23,240 23,493 24,461 23,852 23,802

118,100 European Union 107,900 115,200 119,500 116,000 116,600

13,359 Other Europe 12,870 14,128 13,507 13,030 12,830


46,701 Middle East 46,708 48,958 49,912 50,735 50,635

29,666 North Africa 30,082 32,608 33,789 34,975 34,975


117,757 East Asia 116,539 114,061 113,570 113,165 113,165

101,320 South Asia 96,891 102,188 100,941 104,200 104,300

10,440 Southeast Asia 10,438 11,029 11,677 11,818 11,818

7,083 Oceania 6,831 7,122 7,341 7,755 7,755

603,499 Total 581,183 608,808 617,904 616,145 617,222

Ending Stocks none

19,849 North America 21,695 22,997 25,600 19,832 20,757

190 Central America 185 185 185 185 185

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

3,170 South America 2,992 2,856 3,280 2,221 2,196

16,643 European Union 10,602 25,206 20,968 12,954 13,595

3,335 Other Europe 2,110 3,949 3,267 2,257 2,107


13,375 Middle East 12,487 12,002 12,136 10,926 10,526

5,959 North Africa 7,467 10,220 9,835 9,370 9,370


63,218 East Asia 46,249 41,934 37,916 38,461 38,461

17,915 South Asia 9,200 7,250 5,833 6,413 6,113

1,572 Southeast Asia 2,030 2,052 1,989 1,614 1,614

3,328 Oceania 5,548 7,265 9,431 2,613 2,613

166,562 Total 132,679 151,417 147,424 120,735 121,826


January 2007

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.


January 2007

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:

Nominal Rice Quotes – 2002 to Present International: Export prices in Thailand remain high given the strength of the baht and buying interest from Middle East and Asian countries. There are no quotes out of Vietnam due to the export ban though there are reports that state owned exporting firms will be allowed to respond to tenders from Indonesia and the Philippines.

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

9/3/02

2/10/04

7/19/05

1/9/07

Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%

Indi 5% Paki 15/20

Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes remain unchanged from last month at $434 per ton, FOB despite advances in late December. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice is $113 per ton compared to $55 per ton this time last year. U.S. medium grain prices have retreated from last month’s highs of $575 per ton price to $565 per ton, FOB. TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007 Selected Exporters

• Pakistan is up 100,000 tons to 3.0 million in expectation of greater demand.

• Thailand is up 450,000 tons to 8.7 million due to increased regional demand and strong prices.

• Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 4.9 million also due to increased regional demand and

strong prices.

• United States is up 200,000 tons to 3.4 million on the expectation of greater demand from major trading partners.


11


January 2007


12

Selected Importers

• Indonesia is tripled to 1.8 million tons as the prolonged dry season has delayed plantings and harvest in major producing areas.

• Philippines is up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million in anticipation that the government will

build stocks.


January 2007

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

400400400345249170 Argentina

10010030052131141 Australia

1001003002723719 Brazil

15015075190130388 Burma, Union of

45045035020030010 Cambodia

1,0001,0001,1006568802,583 China, Peoples Republic of

9009001,0001,095826579 Egypt

150150175201187220 EU-25

170170170182243200 Guyana

4,3004,3003,8004,6873,1724,421 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,0002,9003,0003,0321,9861,958 Pakistan

8,7008,2507,3007,27410,1377,552 Thailand

625625800762804675 Uruguay

4,9004,7004,8005,1744,2953,795 Vietnam

365365421825517830 Others

25,51024,76024,19125,14724,09423,741 Subtotal

3,4003,2003,5003,8623,0903,834 United States

28,91027,96027,69129,00927,18427,575 World Total

none

TY Imports

6006007007858011,112 Bangladesh

8008005505477621,063 Brazil

300300275350275250 Cameroon

350350335321285242 Canada

8008007006091,122258 China, Peoples Republic of

800800850867740750 Cote d'Ivoire

700700600736639371 Cuba

9259259259681,079950 EU-25

450450400450425357 Ghana

350350400328269345 Haiti

315315315315309307 Hong Kong

1,8006006005006502,750 Indonesia

9009001,200983950900 Iran

1,2001,2001,200786889672 Iraq

650650650787706654 Japan

850850850751700500 Malaysia

600600600553521582 Mexico

350350350350375232 Mozambique

1,7001,7001,6001,7771,3691,448 Nigeria

1,8501,6501,9001,8901,1001,300 Philippines

375375375350350385 Russian Federation

1,0001,0001,0001,3571,5001,150 Saudi Arabia

8508507501,200850750 Senegal

375375375375346375 Singapore

800800800850818725 South Africa, Republic of

6,9567,3066,9117,7417,0056,713 Others

26,64625,59625,21126,52624,83525,141 Subtotal

1,6391,7391,8802,0641,8721,976 Unaccounted

625625600419477458 United States

28,91027,96027,69129,00927,18427,575 World Total

Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.


January 2007

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Milled Production

29,10029,10028,75825,60026,15225,187 Bangladesh

7,7007,7007,8748,9968,7097,050 Brazil

10,50010,50010,4409,57010,73010,788 Burma, Union of

3,0253,0252,8352,3302,9602,400 Cambodia


4,1404,1404,1304,1283,9003,705 Egypt

91,00091,00091,04083,13088,53071,820 India

33,70035,08834,95934,83035,02433,411 Indonesia

7,9407,9408,2577,9447,0918,089 Japan


2,8002,8002,7002,3002,2002,200 Nigeria

5,6005,6005,5474,9204,8484,479 Pakistan

10,00010,0009,8209,4259,2008,450 Philippines

18,25018,25018,20017,36018,01117,198 Thailand

22,53622,53622,00022,71622,08221,527 Vietnam

29,90129,88330,65729,40029,01927,558 Others

408,872410,242408,399393,012385,369370,969 Subtotal

6,1516,1377,1137,4626,4206,536 United States

415,023416,379415,512400,474391,789377,505 World Total

none

Total Consumption

29,75029,75029,00026,90026,70026,100 Bangladesh

8,9508,9508,9748,8608,6878,100 Brazil

10,50010,50010,40010,30010,20010,100 Burma, Union of


3,3003,3003,2753,2503,2253,200 Egypt

87,50087,50085,22080,74385,63079,860 India

35,85035,80035,80035,85036,00036,500 Indonesia

3,2253,2253,1753,1253,1003,075 Iran

8,2008,2008,2508,3008,3578,742 Japan


2,8152,8152,8182,8672,9832,755 Nepal

4,4504,4504,3504,2504,0003,750 Nigeria

11,30011,25011,00010,40010,2509,550 Philippines

9,5709,5709,5009,4809,4709,460 Thailand

18,50018,50018,25018,00017,85017,500 Vietnam

45,57045,92545,00844,24543,57241,941 Others

413,832414,287409,406403,787409,261403,836 Subtotal

3,9053,9053,8093,9353,6563,534 United States

417,737418,192413,215407,722412,917407,370 World Total

none

Ending Stocks


9,7209,72010,5208,50010,80011,000 India

2,8573,0953,2073,4484,0184,344 Indonesia

2,6162,6162,4261,9191,7002,466 Japan

5,8425,7925,2924,5724,0473,807 Philippines

3,8424,2923,7622,3121,7063,302 Thailand

2,9003,1003,4644,1644,3024,065 Vietnam

12,05812,10913,45713,08914,14513,398 Others

76,78077,66979,07376,93584,633105,693 Subtotal

9499351,3701,211761829 United States

77,72978,60480,44378,14685,394106,522 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


January 2007


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

1,282 North America 1,283 1,293 1,535 1,575 1,575

416 Central America 463 531 480 500 500

820 Caribbean 1,084 1,213 1,215 1,205 1,205

1,449 South America 1,111 966 885 1,200 1,200

950 European Union 1,079 968 925 925 925

209 Other Europe 230 220 220 205 205

540 Former Soviet Union - 12 526 526 551 551 551

3,970 Middle East 4,510 4,485 4,630 4,430 4,430

238 North Africa 225 261 225 225 225


2,166 East Asia 2,948 2,556 2,415 2,655 2,305

1,351 South Asia 1,169 1,051 1,015 910 910

5,063 Southeast Asia 3,202 4,236 4,360 4,110 5,510

244 Oceania 238 256 225 225 225

25,599 Total 25,312 26,945 25,811 26,221 27,271

Production none

6,669 North America 6,620 7,657 7,294 6,318 6,332

574 Central America 553 466 507 511 511

865 Caribbean 838 666 736 730 730

12,614 South America 14,667 15,346 14,180 13,805 13,805

1,731 European Union 1,728 1,868 1,730 1,659 1,677

15 Other Europe 21 22 21 20 20


2,151 Middle East 2,483 2,611 2,737 2,803 2,848

3,746 North Africa 3,941 4,169 4,171 4,181 4,181


137,917 East Asia 126,628 140,858 142,072 143,214 143,214

106,556 South Asia 124,689 118,781 130,548 130,950 130,950

96,639 Southeast Asia 101,066 99,267 101,255 102,410 101,022

313 Oceania 395 231 749 93 93

377,505 Total 391,789 400,474 415,512 416,379 415,023


4,476 North America 4,666 5,006 4,919 5,055 5,055

950 Central America 976 1,025 1,056 1,063 1,063

1,610 Caribbean 1,877 1,870 1,855 1,970 1,970

12,876 South America 13,535 13,837 14,097 14,168 14,168

2,597 European Union 2,509 2,529 2,550 2,600 2,600

224 Other Europe 236 227 231 235 235


6,694 Middle East 6,697 6,625 6,997 7,107 7,107

3,429 North Africa 3,491 3,552 3,541 3,566 3,566


153,015 East Asia 148,454 147,042 144,293 144,306 143,956

113,800 South Asia 120,469 115,642 122,244 125,375 125,375

89,449 Southeast Asia 90,493 90,597 91,810 92,521 92,621

535 Oceania 540 545 550 550 550

404,900 Total 410,393 405,667 411,682 416,281 416,026

Ending Stocks none

998 North America 940 1,385 1,550 1,096 1,110

410 Central America 441 383 332 270 270

220 Caribbean 157 206 168 193 193

2,107 South America 3,010 3,668 2,911 2,235 2,253

960 European Union 974 1,138 1,068 878 920

45 Other Europe 40 50 60 65 65


1,299 Middle East 1,170 1,719 2,406 2,482 2,527

870 North Africa 719 502 357 297 297


67,047 East Asia 46,764 42,005 40,649 40,812 40,812

11,848 South Asia 12,189 8,933 11,503 10,793 10,693

17,070 Southeast Asia 15,952 15,520 16,805 17,354 16,516

632 Oceania 550 412 511 154 154

106,522 Total 85,394 78,146 80,443 78,604 77,729


January 2007

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07



January 2007

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: Taiwan Seeks Chinese Corn: Recently, Taiwan's livestock industry has shown interest in purchasing up to 500,000 tons of Chinese corn due to high U.S. prices. However, trade sources expect perhaps 50,000 tons will be purchased and delivered by the end of February, when the current Taiwanese government authority expires. Strong domestic demand is keeping Chinese corn out of the export market, and there is little history to suggest large sales to Taiwan that would significantly impact U.S. dominance in that key corn market. Taiwan is expected to import 4.5 million tons of corn this year, nearly all from the United States.

U.S. Gulf Export Bids

8090

100110120130140150160170

Sep

-03

Dec

-03

Mar

-04

Jun-

04

Sep

-04

Dec

-04

Mar

-05

Jun-

05

Sep

-05

Dec

-05

Mar

-06

Jun-

06

Sep

-06

Dec

-06

$/M

T

PRICES:

omestic: December export bids for U.S. #2 yellow corn dropped for the first time in 6 months

RADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007

Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn

Dand averaged $160. Prices remain high with strong domestic and foreign demand, and slack competition from China and Argentina. T

elected Exporters

United States corn is up 1.0 million tons to 56.5 million. Huge outstanding sales, a rapid

Brazil corn is raised 1.0 million this month to 4.5 million because of ample exportable

Ukraine corn is cut in half to 1.0 million tons and Ukraine barley is lowered 300,000

• Argentina sorghum is up 350,000 tons to 600,000 based on early export registrations,

S

•

shipment pace to date, and continued limited competition have combined to push exports to a 12-year high despite soaring prices.

•supplies and strong shipments in recent months.

•tons to 4.0 million because of export quotas that are restricting trade.

increased exportable supplies (largest crop in 7 years), and strong shipments to Japan.



January 2007

• U.S. sorghum is down 200,000 tons to 4.2 million based on the slow pace of sales, especially to Mexico. This is the lowest level of exports in over 20 years.

Selected Importers

• EU-25 corn is raised 500,000 tons again this month to 4.0 million based on the pace of import licenses. This is more than double from last year and the accession of Bulgaria and Romania will likely increase corn trade to the EU-25.

• Mexico corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.8 million because of rapid purchases and shipments. • China barley is lowered 200,000 tons to 2.0 million as a result of tightness in key

suppliers such as Australia and Canada as well as a large domestic crop.



January 2007

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

12,90512,55511,24314,37110,83413,055 Argentina

2,5452,5455,6324,9966,7522,472 Australia

4,5503,5502,8261,4576,1913,246 Brazil

3,5503,5504,0103,2173,4741,712 Canada


4,2054,2053,2295,0782,3429,736 EU-25

70070045489593243 Romania


1,2051,2051,27959363366 Serbia and Montenegro

5,0006,3007,4446,4653,8113,420 Ukraine

3,6653,5356,2955,1795,6155,167 Others

44,95044,77047,71851,40248,66558,247 Subtotal

61,23560,43561,54850,69254,07846,394 United States

106,185105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1552,1552,0432,1741,7881,696 Algeria

1,0001,0001,099745596935 Brazil

2,3702,3702,0292,3392,0814,098 Canada

1,7151,5151,6621,1891,1481,110 Chile


3,5253,3253,3802,5162,2322,428 Colombia

700650687569583514 Costa Rica

1,1501,1501,0681,031824906 Dominican Republic

4,8204,8204,4175,4053,7474,867 Egypt

4,7704,1953,6943,7667,3536,721 EU-25

1,3001,3001,4435411,4361,633 Indonesia

3,1003,1003,1003,8492,5182,157 Iran

1,5751,5751,5681,7002,0121,382 Israel

19,49519,49519,76719,70919,98220,321 Japan

1,0001,0001,200938771820 Jordan


2,6002,6002,5172,4062,4012,408 Malaysia

9,4009,1009,9418,9758,8738,766 Mexico

1,9051,9052,0101,9891,3261,212 Morocco

1,4001,4001,5671,3661,114992 Peru

7,5007,5008,4727,6447,1308,927 Saudi Arabia

8258251,034277612750 South Africa, Republic of

2,3002,3001,9912,2811,5411,198 Syria

4,6504,6504,6144,7575,1144,829 Taiwan

1,1501,1501,2001,2288831,046 Tunisia

9,4109,40511,56310,65210,90010,838 Others

100,81599,685102,91998,82997,485101,265 Subtotal

2,9203,0704,0471,0233,002833 Unaccounted

2,4502,4502,3002,2422,2562,543 United States

106,185105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641 World Total


January 2007

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

23,57323,39819,22324,90218,59619,445 Argentina

7,7557,75513,75911,57314,8616,652 Australia

44,75944,75944,47437,87444,88147,097 Brazil

23,49123,52026,03626,44726,32619,892 Canada


9,4259,4259,0857,5656,5604,775 Ethiopia

126,386127,224131,750150,209122,183137,892 EU-25

33,70033,70034,39033,57037,81025,660 India

29,13029,13025,83328,94730,27726,420 Mexico

24,20024,20023,70022,30020,30019,050 Nigeria

9,6759,67511,83913,8057,9658,365 Romania


10,53810,5387,31112,20910,36310,126 South Africa, Republic of

11,04511,04511,94511,04510,0409,960 Turkey

19,95019,95018,14023,00015,60017,110 Ukraine

127,003126,808125,965123,337120,573114,770 Others

682,270683,267678,746694,635640,788631,339 Subtotal

280,112285,722298,763319,417275,098243,719 United States

962,382968,989977,5091,014,052915,886875,058 World Total

none


10,37310,5739,4239,0587,4077,427 Argentina

42,90942,90941,97241,55838,91338,585 Brazil

24,55624,58523,95623,80423,82622,816 Canada


11,68011,68011,28012,36410,27711,989 Egypt

134,475134,475132,445138,817134,584135,386 EU-25

33,60033,60034,23033,24036,00026,750 India

19,89519,89519,99219,87820,73720,475 Japan

38,58038,28037,60538,27637,33235,533 Mexico

24,05024,05023,45022,05020,25019,000 Nigeria

10,80510,80511,10511,0058,9558,205 Romania



11,35011,35011,55211,40411,18610,674 Turkey

14,05013,50011,99015,20014,00013,262 Ukraine

189,253188,953187,703177,558172,488161,102 Others

757,887757,400744,063735,542719,887687,637 Subtotal

253,463255,149244,726240,216225,958214,667 United States

1,011,3501,012,549988,789975,758945,845902,304 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,7474,2474,0474,3808,0456,360 Brazil

4,0874,0876,3326,3414,0763,135 Canada


15,70816,09422,65723,68712,62221,646 EU-25

3,2643,2643,3145,3955,7673,973 Mexico

2,8882,8883,1982,7082,4342,645 Saudi Arabia

3,0872,2372,4172,6741,6202,653 Ukraine

29,94930,05734,40437,22331,12232,169 Others

95,70996,853112,178119,425111,167138,950 Subtotal

22,26827,28254,76758,80028,76430,940 United States

117,977124,135166,945178,225139,931169,890 World Total


January 2007


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

15,407 North America 13,210 13,556 14,270 13,920 14,220

1,980 Central America 2,178 2,405 2,734 2,500 2,550

1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,085

6,606 South America 6,383 6,460 8,688 8,140 8,540

6,721 European Union 7,353 3,766 3,694 4,195 4,770

1,196 Other Europe 1,563 658 709 645 650

756 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,440 1,080 1,157 980 980

16,952 Middle East 16,162 17,864 17,643 16,940 16,940

9,143 North Africa 8,275 11,489 10,345 10,630 10,630


36,109 East Asia 35,786 35,611 35,584 35,595 35,395

10 South Asia 32 44 10 0 0

4,726 Southeast Asia 4,046 3,499 4,776 4,280 4,280

97 Oceania 14 23 40 20 20

103,808 Total 99,741 101,071 105,219 102,135 103,265

Production none

290,031 North America 331,701 374,811 350,632 338,372 332,733

3,060 Central America 3,206 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,146

540 Caribbean 535 505 456 456 456

75,291 South America 72,953 72,662 73,567 78,216 78,391

137,892 European Union 122,183 150,209 131,750 127,224 126,386

22,146 Other Europe 18,710 29,052 26,796 23,770 23,965


17,508 Middle East 17,717 18,496 19,186 18,286 18,286

9,612 North Africa 11,757 11,786 9,299 11,692 11,692


133,039 East Asia 126,244 140,589 150,079 153,680 153,680

30,464 South Asia 42,245 38,130 38,950 38,263 38,263

18,264 Southeast Asia 19,543 21,740 22,543 22,700 22,700

7,317 Oceania 15,472 12,198 14,406 8,402 8,402

875,058 Total 915,886 1,014,052 977,509 968,989 962,382


273,016 North America 287,116 302,296 306,287 318,014 316,599

4,935 Central America 5,070 5,455 5,500 5,775 5,825

2,056 Caribbean 2,112 2,350 2,433 2,618 2,518

59,512 South America 60,528 65,467 67,464 70,015 70,165

135,386 European Union 134,584 138,817 132,445 134,475 134,475

20,986 Other Europe 21,270 24,964 24,906 24,054 24,054


30,736 Middle East 34,351 33,889 36,224 36,265 36,265

19,162 North Africa 18,746 21,891 20,720 21,715 21,715


172,991 East Asia 175,783 177,183 183,348 187,465 187,265

31,524 South Asia 40,573 37,815 38,790 38,163 38,163

22,160 Southeast Asia 21,818 24,140 26,133 26,340 26,340

5,936 Oceania 7,245 7,525 7,815 7,890 7,890

901,194 Total 943,033 975,305 986,057 1,009,382 1,008,117

Ending Stocks none

38,048 North America 38,607 70,536 64,413 34,633 29,619

379 Central America 700 541 607 470 578

74 Caribbean 131 199 201 223 224

8,820 South America 10,829 8,233 7,321 7,853 6,287

21,646 European Union 12,622 23,687 22,657 16,094 15,708

2,981 Other Europe 1,698 4,115 4,215 2,320 2,246


6,467 Middle East 6,457 8,178 8,237 6,952 6,898

1,019 North Africa 2,288 3,327 2,317 2,924 2,924


71,188 East Asia 49,780 41,221 39,780 37,565 37,565

826 South Asia 1,231 1,116 961 836 836

1,228 Southeast Asia 1,988 2,075 2,642 2,519 2,547

1,303 Oceania 2,330 2,402 3,363 1,350 1,350

169,890 Total 139,931 178,225 166,945 124,135 117,977


January 2007

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07



January 2007

World Corn Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

12,00012,00010,70713,75210,43912,349 Argentina

4,5003,5002,8261,4315,8183,181 Brazil

45030040050081191 Bulgaria

300300250150144113 Burma, Union of


5005001,314386548733 Paraguay

60060027158793144 Romania

1,2001,2001,27458957353 Serbia and Montenegro

5005001,4061,5177971,141 South Africa, Republic of

1,0002,0002,4642,3341,238811 Ukraine

1,4251,4252,2512,3053,6623,249 Others

26,47526,32526,89031,14030,43037,509 Subtotal

56,50055,50056,18145,34748,80940,924 United States

82,97581,82583,07176,48779,23978,433 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1002,1001,9892,0461,7651,643 Algeria

850850931481459639 Brazil

2,3002,3001,9622,2372,0333,846 Canada

1,6001,4001,5871,0811,043933 Chile

3,3003,1003,1512,2561,9992,112 Colombia

700650687569583514 Costa Rica

1,1501,1501,0681,031824906 Dominican Republic

4,8004,8004,3975,3983,7434,848 Egypt

4,0003,5003,1382,9665,5094,327 EU-25

600600751641513513 Guatemala

1,3001,3001,4435411,4361,633 Indonesia

2,5002,5002,3002,5581,8572,157 Iran

1,2001,2001,1281,2421,377776 Israel

16,50016,50016,61916,48516,78116,863 Japan


2,6002,6002,5172,4062,4012,408 Malaysia

6,8006,3006,7875,9455,7395,269 Mexico

1,5001,5001,4741,4231,1831,054 Morocco

1,3001,3001,4671,3011,041917 Peru

1,5001,5001,4721,2241,6211,424 Saudi Arabia


1,6001,6001,1911,781941919 Syria

4,5004,5004,4644,5624,9514,681 Taiwan

650650600714784734 Tunisia

600600900731233625 Zimbabwe

6,8606,9558,2347,6138,2208,260 Others

80,31078,95579,63675,99676,30977,399 Subtotal

2,4152,6203,2212102,574660 Unaccounted

250250214281356374 United States

82,97581,82583,07176,48779,23978,433 World Total


January 2007

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

19,00019,00015,80020,50015,00015,500 Argentina

42,00042,00041,70035,00042,00044,500 Brazil

9,3009,3009,4618,8409,6008,999 Canada


5,8705,8705,8605,8405,7406,000 Egypt

43,93044,38548,61852,96839,87649,360 EU-25

14,50014,50015,09014,18014,72011,100 India

6,6006,6006,9007,2006,3506,100 Indonesia

22,00022,00019,50022,05021,80019,280 Mexico

7,5007,5007,0006,5005,5005,200 Nigeria

5,8005,8005,9005,0504,9004,430 Philippines

8,5008,50010,30012,0007,0207,300 Romania

6,6006,6006,6006,5693,8005,585 Serbia and Montenegro


6,5006,5007,1508,8006,8504,180 Ukraine

68,50068,40067,08664,85560,72656,698 Others

419,600419,955413,265412,358369,412375,207 Subtotal

267,598272,931282,311299,914256,278227,767 United States

687,198692,886695,576712,272625,690602,974 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,0007,0006,2005,2004,4004,100 Argentina

40,00040,00039,00038,50036,30035,800 Brazil

11,80011,80010,93710,31411,22812,576 Canada


10,60010,60010,20011,3009,20010,900 Egypt

50,30049,80048,70051,70046,81449,526 EU-25

14,50014,50014,60013,90013,20012,000 India

8,0008,0008,2507,9007,3507,500 Indonesia

16,60016,60016,60016,50017,20016,800 Japan


28,80028,30027,90027,90026,40024,700 Mexico

7,4007,4006,8006,3005,5005,200 Nigeria

5,9005,9005,8005,1504,9504,650 Philippines

9,5009,5009,7009,5007,9007,200 Romania


111,599110,749109,071105,71998,76391,215 Others

484,188482,173469,675460,325436,006426,596 Subtotal

241,565243,597231,722224,648211,644200,748 United States

725,753725,770701,397684,973647,650627,344 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,6424,1423,8924,1927,8786,258 Brazil

1,6011,6012,0011,8021,1431,111 Canada


7,4207,9469,9407,0082,9384,826 EU-25


2,6662,6662,6664,5294,4613,327 Mexico


16,10615,72518,44518,45713,61113,721 Others

67,33468,97975,02377,11579,17697,870 Subtotal

19,10223,76049,96853,69724,33727,603 United States

86,43692,739124,991130,812103,513125,473 World Total


January 2007


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

9,489 North America 8,128 8,463 8,963 8,850 9,350

1,980 Central America 2,178 2,401 2,734 2,500 2,550

1,509 Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,085

5,629 South America 5,805 5,738 8,056 7,515 7,915

4,327 European Union 5,509 2,966 3,138 3,500 4,000

872 Other Europe 1,084 459 413 310 315


7,668 Middle East 7,901 8,039 7,341 8,225 8,225

8,413 North Africa 7,673 10,013 8,935 9,450 9,450


30,602 East Asia 30,682 30,044 29,978 30,150 30,150

7 South Asia 32 40 10 0 0

4,721 Southeast Asia 4,021 3,492 4,766 4,275 4,275

84 Oceania 8 3 20 0 0

77,773 Total 76,665 76,277 79,850 79,205 80,560

Production none

256,046 North America 287,678 330,804 311,272 304,231 298,898

2,676 Central America 2,874 2,552 2,582 2,820 2,820

415 Caribbean 407 377 328 328 328

66,971 South America 64,550 63,302 65,436 69,066 69,066

49,360 European Union 39,876 52,968 48,618 44,385 43,930

17,767 Other Europe 15,130 23,699 22,183 19,610 19,810


3,763 Middle East 4,382 4,732 5,432 4,932 4,932

6,202 North Africa 5,942 6,042 6,062 6,072 6,072


123,074 East Asia 117,679 132,145 141,277 144,789 144,789

14,707 South Asia 17,875 17,300 18,210 17,620 17,620

17,972 Southeast Asia 19,246 21,380 22,183 22,340 22,340

459 Oceania 550 482 572 572 572

602,974 Total 625,690 712,272 695,576 692,886 687,198


238,024 North America 249,272 262,862 270,559 283,697 282,165

4,570 Central America 4,735 5,100 5,190 5,450 5,500

1,931 Caribbean 1,984 2,222 2,305 2,490 2,390

51,041 South America 52,555 56,033 58,840 61,090 61,440

49,526 European Union 46,814 51,700 48,700 49,800 50,300

16,906 Other Europe 17,270 20,174 20,339 19,660 19,660


10,642 Middle East 12,208 12,221 12,978 13,331 13,331

14,334 North Africa 13,298 15,702 14,875 15,550 15,550


158,247 East Asia 161,385 163,078 169,004 173,091 173,091

15,573 South Asia 16,493 17,034 17,720 17,620 17,620

21,896 Southeast Asia 21,515 23,797 25,788 26,000 26,000

465 Oceania 555 465 580 555 555

626,117 Total 646,648 683,897 699,959 722,646 722,464

Ending Stocks none

32,041 North America 29,941 60,028 54,635 28,027 23,369

333 Central America 658 525 590 452 560

74 Caribbean 131 199 201 223 224

8,008 South America 9,763 7,249 6,717 6,977 5,438

4,826 European Union 2,938 7,008 9,940 7,946 7,420

2,462 Other Europe 1,175 3,404 3,612 1,821 1,802


1,976 Middle East 1,985 2,400 2,047 1,927 1,873

338 North Africa 805 996 1,105 1,077 1,077


68,847 East Asia 48,338 39,901 38,425 36,273 36,273

379 South Asia 536 392 592 392 392

1,220 Southeast Asia 1,983 2,049 2,616 2,493 2,521

45 Oceania 38 37 29 26 26

125,473 Total 103,513 130,812 124,991 92,739 86,436


January 2007

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07



January 2007

World Barley Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

300300309338167101 Argentina

2,3002,3005,2314,4816,1042,159 Australia

15015020040020154 Bulgaria

1,5001,5001,8761,4761,937304 Canada

3,5003,5002,4943,8819846,307 EU-25

300300100100613542 Kazakhstan, Republic of

100100183308099 Romania


5554613 Serbia and Montenegro

50505050320446 Syria

250250550260504 Turkey

4,0004,3004,9263,9922,5572,334 Ukraine

00302183 Others

14,95515,25517,42716,54414,44616,212 Subtotal

500500357771384552 United States

15,45515,75517,78417,31514,83016,764 World Total

none

TY Imports

150150153182128296 Brazil


200200198234181226 Colombia

3503503875546721,443 EU-25

6006008001,2916610 Iran

300300300313508448 Israel

1,4001,4001,4171,5221,3591,399 Japan

600600800607400414 Jordan

20020020021462116 Kuwait

200200200261333188 Libya

400400500565143156 Morocco


6,0006,0007,0006,4205,5087,502 Saudi Arabia

700700800500600279 Syria

50050060051499312 Tunisia

1,1801,1801,2611,1841,4961,411 Others

15,03015,23017,08316,67614,10716,257 Subtotal

125225577482226225 Unaccounted

300300124157497282 United States

15,45515,75517,78417,31514,83016,764 World Total


January 2007

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

1,4501,4504001,3141,220416 Algeria

4,2004,2009,8697,70810,3873,865 Australia

1,3501,3501,8002,0001,8001,681 Belarus

10,00010,00012,48113,18612,3287,489 Canada


1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia

54,81754,86352,76961,72754,82656,509 EU-25

1,4001,4001,0801,3101,4101,500 India

2,9002,9002,9002,9002,9003,085 Iran

1,2501,2501,2501,2501,1501,000 Iraq


2,5002,5001,1022,7602,6201,669 Morocco


7,2007,2007,6007,4006,9007,200 Turkey

11,80011,8009,00011,1006,85010,364 Ukraine

10,61510,54510,64311,95110,2299,707 Others

134,382134,758133,379148,103136,847129,907 Subtotal

3,9203,9204,6136,0916,0594,940 United States

138,302138,678137,992154,194142,906134,847 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,7003,7003,6503,4503,0502,700 Australia

1,5001,5001,9751,9001,7501,700 Belarus

10,20010,20010,41410,7679,8937,905 Canada


1,8001,8001,7851,5751,4101,200 Ethiopia

54,80054,80052,50052,90056,87754,400 EU-25

1,4001,4001,1001,3001,4001,500 India

4,1004,1003,9003,5003,1002,900 Iran

1,6501,6501,6501,6501,6301,600 Japan

2,6002,6002,4502,7002,3002,000 Morocco


6,3106,3106,5105,4107,0105,810 Saudi Arabia

1,4501,4501,4501,3501,2501,100 Syria

7,1007,1007,3007,3007,1006,800 Turkey

6,9006,9004,9006,4006,2007,400 Ukraine

16,21816,21816,07016,64414,92514,216 Others

140,820141,620137,771137,832142,557131,204 Subtotal

4,4644,2464,5715,6724,9905,179 United States

145,284145,866142,342143,504147,547136,383 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

954954554876611291 Algeria

1,0031,0032,8031,8841,887948 Australia

1,6391,6393,2893,4352,1021,475 Canada

5,4495,6698,08210,6804,2878,488 EU-25

1,0841,0849342,1102,2274,706 Russian Federation

2,8522,8523,1622,6722,3992,611 Saudi Arabia

1,8321,4321,2129915961,424 Ukraine

5,5175,4996,5157,8075,8335,749 Others

20,33020,13226,55130,45519,94225,692 Subtotal

1,5891,8072,3502,7962,6191,510 United States

21,91921,93928,90133,25122,56127,202 World Total


January 2007


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

514 North America 567 291 220 400 400

772 South America 440 538 534 535 535

1,443 European Union 672 554 387 350 350

235 Other Europe 384 141 171 240 240


9,081 Middle East 8,112 9,619 10,160 8,635 8,635

721 North Africa 601 1,473 1,370 1,170 1,170

97 Sub-Saharan Africa 69 102 100 100 100

3,340 East Asia 3,047 3,768 3,775 3,750 3,550

2 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

1 Oceania 6 20 20 20 20

16,539 Total 14,604 16,833 17,207 15,530 15,330

Production none

13,166 North America 19,469 20,209 17,847 14,820 14,820

1,399 South America 2,039 2,058 1,827 2,020 2,095

56,509 European Union 54,826 61,727 52,769 54,863 54,817

3,208 Other Europe 2,395 4,119 3,381 2,937 2,932


12,438 Middle East 12,116 12,540 12,530 12,130 12,130

2,430 North Africa 4,795 4,719 2,212 4,595 4,595


3,839 East Asia 3,136 3,678 3,845 3,925 3,925

1,995 South Asia 1,970 2,025 1,795 2,118 2,118

4,306 Oceania 10,765 8,088 10,269 4,600 4,600

134,847 Total 142,906 154,194 137,992 138,678 138,302


13,884 North America 15,833 17,389 15,935 15,396 15,614

1,950 South America 2,189 2,330 2,220 2,225 2,225

54,400 European Union 56,877 52,900 52,500 54,800 54,800

2,810 Other Europe 2,700 3,495 3,205 3,075 3,075


18,627 Middle East 20,750 20,232 21,875 21,630 21,630

3,839 North Africa 4,427 5,164 4,780 5,130 5,130


6,949 East Asia 6,719 7,457 7,601 7,710 7,510

1,998 South Asia 1,960 2,015 1,815 2,118 2,118

3,125 Oceania 3,450 3,850 4,050 4,125 4,125

136,810 Total 146,185 144,368 141,275 145,724 145,342

Ending Stocks none

3,027 North America 4,921 6,470 5,731 3,538 3,320

267 South America 404 331 186 218 291

8,488 European Union 4,287 10,680 8,082 5,669 5,449

455 Other Europe 470 660 556 453 398


4,448 Middle East 4,429 5,742 6,154 4,989 4,989

640 North Africa 1,442 2,291 1,172 1,807 1,807


1,388 East Asia 850 839 855 820 820

24 South Asia 34 44 24 24 24

1,017 Oceania 1,939 1,936 2,875 1,070 1,070

27,202 Total 22,561 33,251 28,901 21,939 21,919



January 2007

World Sorghum Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

600250226279228604 Argentina

10010019037042575 Australia

505002437164 Brazil

2525262816888 China, Peoples Republic of

25252524426 India

505050505050 Nigeria


355528143665 Others

9105805688251,3611,001 Subtotal

4,2004,4004,9704,5414,8454,877 United States

5,1104,9805,5385,3666,2065,878 World Total

none

TY Imports

656542716258 Chile

252525815550 Eritrea

4003251592261,139439 EU-25

5050383410469 Israel

1,3501,3501,3931,3741,4341,562 Japan

2,5002,7003,0292,9313,0023,384 Mexico

505050505025 Niger

2525751801 Somalia

2001002111601515 Sudan

505050616164 Taiwan

7070308227235210 Others

4,7854,8105,3805,2336,1575,877 Subtotal

325170158132490 Unaccounted

000101 United States

5,1104,9805,5385,3666,2065,878 World Total


January 2007

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

3,1003,0002,2002,9002,2002,800 Argentina

2,1002,1002,0192,1772,0091,465 Australia

1,9001,9001,8502,0512,1031,900 Brazil

1,6001,6001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,9002,9002,8002,1501,7001,100 Ethiopia

563480477492380701 EU-25

7,8007,8007,7907,2407,3307,060 India

6,1506,1505,5005,8907,3006,338 Mexico

675675750500720700 Niger

10,50010,50010,50010,0009,0007,850 Nigeria

3,7003,7004,3802,7005,1902,930 Sudan

700700890820500835 Tanzania, United Republic

490490450400420425 Uganda

4,4314,4314,2734,3144,3864,064 Others

50,08949,90649,16246,26248,52343,655 Subtotal

7,0507,3279,98111,52310,4469,163 United States

57,13957,23359,14357,78558,96952,818 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,3002,5002,2002,6002,0002,250 Argentina

2,0052,0051,8551,9051,4051,405 Australia

1,9001,9001,9002,1001,6501,850 Brazil

1,6001,6001,8371,4001,5201,260 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

3,0003,0002,2002,1501,7001,105 Ethiopia

1,0258755507001,966677 EU-25

7,7007,7007,7007,2007,3507,150 India

1,4001,4001,4001,4001,5001,575 Japan

8,7008,9008,6009,3009,8009,900 Mexico

700700750550750725 Niger

10,45010,45010,4509,9508,9507,800 Nigeria

4,0004,0004,2503,5004,5003,500 Sudan

700700890820500860 Tanzania, United Republic

5,1705,1705,1945,1005,0624,817 Others

54,08754,23653,39152,07252,57348,797 Subtotal

3,9383,8104,8146,2555,6384,939 United States

58,02558,04658,20558,32758,21153,736 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

328428128328379370 Argentina


500500600000 Ethiopia

2202201458061123 India

5035035536241,103601 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

547404652313958263 Sudan

800763901948837682 Others

3,3043,2243,3652,6493,7852,786 Subtotal

8439811,6681,4468521,093 United States

4,1474,2055,0334,0954,6373,879 World Total


January 2007


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

3,385 North America 3,002 2,932 3,029 2,700 2,500



123 South America 104 158 67 65 65

439 European Union 1,139 226 159 325 400

34 Other Europe 24 7 10 10 10

71 Middle East 105 34 38 50 50

1 North Africa 0 0 35 0 0


1,632 East Asia 1,526 1,450 1,468 1,420 1,420

1 South Asia 0 4 0 0 0

5 Southeast Asia 25 7 10 5 5

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

5,878 Total 6,157 5,234 5,380 4,810 4,785

Production none

15,501 North America 17,746 17,413 15,481 13,477 13,200

384 Central America 332 330 307 326 326

125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,473 South America 5,075 5,777 4,890 5,751 5,851

701 European Union 380 492 477 480 563

5 Other Europe 5 5 5 5 5

553 Middle East 485 485 485 485 485

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


3,344 East Asia 2,882 2,348 2,566 2,600 2,600

7,263 South Asia 7,560 7,470 8,020 8,030 8,030

132 Southeast Asia 137 200 200 200 200

1,465 Oceania 2,009 2,177 2,019 2,100 2,100

52,818 Total 58,969 57,785 59,143 57,233 57,139


14,839 North America 15,438 15,555 13,414 12,710 12,638

365 Central America 335 355 310 325 325

125 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,988 South America 4,509 5,594 4,981 5,326 5,126

677 European Union 1,966 700 550 875 1,025

39 Other Europe 29 12 15 15 15

610 Middle East 590 527 523 535 535

916 North Africa 915 915 950 915 915


4,484 East Asia 4,603 3,886 3,985 4,025 4,025

7,354 South Asia 7,580 7,431 7,930 7,930 7,930

104 Southeast Asia 143 183 185 180 180

1,405 Oceania 1,405 1,905 1,855 2,005 2,005

53,538 Total 58,191 58,230 57,990 58,160 58,038

Ending Stocks none

1,694 North America 1,955 2,070 2,221 1,484 1,346



447 South America 558 535 304 544 444

68 European Union 32 43 63 34 71


43 Middle East 43 36 36 36 36

40 North Africa 40 39 39 39 39

530 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,375 773 1,668 1,325 1,468

826 East Asia 463 347 370 340 340

123 South Asia 61 80 145 220 220

8 Southeast Asia 5 26 26 26 26

54 Oceania 63 130 144 139 139

3,879 Total 4,637 4,095 5,033 4,205 4,147


January 2007

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07



January 2007

World Oats Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

551201 Argentina

125125191137210145 Australia

1,7001,7001,7541,3749841,058 Canada

252527294412 Chile

250250229354443794 EU-25


00521129 Others

2,1102,1102,2121,9221,6982,020 Subtotal


2,1402,1402,2511,9531,7362,059 World Total

none

TY Imports

554217 Algeria

555655 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202021161949 Canada


252526262328 Colombia

1010861111 EU-25

707059676783 Japan

505075519182 Mexico

551101 Morocco

202048221 Norway


505048263834 Switzerland

0057275 Others

305305343265324332 Subtotal

35357759110-50 Unaccounted

1,8001,8001,8311,6291,3021,777 United States

2,1402,1402,2511,9531,7362,059 World Total


January 2007

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production

400400350508348500 Argentina

1,0001,0001,4161,3212,018957 Australia

550550600770500575 Belarus

475475517433413390 Brazil

3,6003,6003,4323,6833,6912,911 Canada

380380420425425420 Chile


7,6227,4687,4098,7538,6239,280 EU-25


349349349359333279 Norway

350350350350350350 Romania


120120120120110125 Serbia and Montenegro

290290290290285290 Turkey

9009008001,000925943 Ukraine

557557559547555495 Others

22,23322,17921,90224,24924,47623,915 Subtotal

1,3611,3611,6671,6792,0961,684 United States

23,59423,54023,56925,92826,57225,599 World Total

none

Total Consumption

400400350500359525 Argentina

1,0751,0751,2001,1751,705800 Australia

550550650700500600 Belarus

475475515425410382 Brazil

2,0502,0502,1152,1942,1871,870 Canada

350350400400380430 Chile


7,3507,2007,3508,3308,2768,287 EU-25


130130155126182133 Mexico

370370400360340280 Norway

350350350350350350 Romania


290290290290288290 Turkey

9009008001,000950950 Ukraine

780780773760747743 Others

20,74920,59920,72822,33223,20422,692 Subtotal

3,1893,1893,2873,2973,3893,480 United States

23,93823,78824,01525,62926,59326,172 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

777782837777 Argentina

115115315299290187 Australia

742742872974788524 Canada


7787557469128341,010 EU-25

303031343338 Norway


130130123183123156 Others

2,1692,2462,4662,8342,4352,674 Subtotal

716716763841941723 United States

2,8852,9623,2293,6753,3763,397 World Total


January 2007


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

1,908 North America 1,412 1,696 1,927 1,870 1,870

30 South America 34 26 31 25 25


41 Other Europe 47 34 101 75 75


0 Middle East 5 0 0 0 0



90 East Asia 76 80 77 90 90

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,109 Total 1,626 1,894 2,174 2,105 2,105

Production none

4,660 North America 5,882 5,437 5,179 5,041 5,041

1,331 South America 1,221 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,285

9,280 European Union 8,623 8,753 7,409 7,468 7,622

963 Other Europe 981 1,028 1,026 1,026 1,026


290 Middle East 285 290 290 290 290

65 North Africa 105 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,032 Oceania 2,093 1,396 1,491 1,075 1,075

25,599 Total 26,572 25,928 23,569 23,540 23,594


5,483 North America 5,758 5,617 5,557 5,369 5,369

1,390 South America 1,207 1,382 1,326 1,280 1,280

8,287 European Union 8,276 8,330 7,350 7,200 7,350

1,015 Other Europe 1,042 1,064 1,129 1,102 1,102


290 Middle East 288 290 290 290 290

73 North Africa 106 110 115 120 120


685 East Asia 677 677 683 690 690

875 Oceania 1,780 1,250 1,275 1,150 1,150

26,120 Total 26,368 25,552 23,990 23,764 23,914

Ending Stocks none

1,250 North America 1,732 1,818 1,638 1,461 1,461

98 South America 104 118 114 114 114

1,010 European Union 834 912 746 755 778

63 Other Europe 52 50 47 46 46





108 East Asia 109 114 110 112 112

187 Oceania 290 299 315 115 115

3,397 Total 3,376 3,675 3,229 2,962 2,885



January 2007

World Rye Trade


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

TY Exports

5050505050150 Belarus

15015014112318644 Canada

300300381676452624 EU-25

004912242687 Others

5005006219717301,505 Subtotal


5055056229737321,507 World Total

none

TY Imports

101021422501 EU-25

25251021112389 Israel

175175279261341414 Japan

10107811431 Korea, Republic of

55413168 Norway


559272 Switzerland

552611643 Turkey

50500032222 Ukraine

0016121190 Others

3853854776595881,400 Subtotal

20201414043-2 Unaccounted

100100131174101109 United States

5055056229737321,507 World Total


January 2007

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

2006/07Jan

none

Production


1,1001,1001,1501,4001,2001,600 Belarus

300300359420327134 Canada

6,5936,6727,6459,9666,9079,190 EU-25


240240240240240255 Turkey

6006001,0501,6006251,511 Ukraine

215215227223221225 Others

12,10311,98214,32616,78813,75720,145 Subtotal

183183191210219165 United States

12,28612,16514,51716,99813,97620,310 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,1001,1001,1001,3251,2001,300 Belarus

215215187211138106 Canada

7,3007,4008,60010,0758,7009,310 EU-25

175175279261340415 Japan


505050505050 Romania


245245247299283269 Turkey

8508501,0501,3009001,300 Ukraine

160160268270298305 Others

13,34113,24115,47317,29717,69419,404 Subtotal

307307332344297321 United States

13,64813,54815,80517,64117,99119,725 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

114114164164139199 Belarus

1051051701304325 Canada

8548641,8513,1563,8346,177 EU-25

202020202019 Japan

7676126773551,805 Russian Federation

6767267336140325 Ukraine

000111 Others

1,2361,2462,5983,8844,5328,551 Subtotal


1,2541,2642,6163,9044,5478,562 World Total


January 2007


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

2006/07Jan

2006/07

TY Imports none

111 North America 101 174 131 100 100

52 South America 0 0 0 0 0


14 Other Europe 24 17 14 10 10


132 Middle East 39 172 104 30 30


445 East Asia 455 269 286 185 185

12 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,509 Total 689 833 608 485 485

Production none

299 North America 546 630 550 483 483

85 South America 42 94 64 61 61

9,190 European Union 6,907 9,966 7,645 6,672 6,593

147 Other Europe 143 145 145 136 136


255 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

20,310 Total 13,976 16,998 14,517 12,165 12,286


427 North America 435 555 519 522 522

111 South America 42 94 64 61 61

9,310 European Union 8,700 10,075 8,600 7,400 7,300

160 Other Europe 173 163 162 146 146


358 Middle East 306 410 349 270 270


446 East Asia 454 269 286 185 185

31 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

19,665 Total 17,788 17,574 15,818 13,557 13,657

Ending Stocks none

36 North America 58 150 188 123 123

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

6,177 European Union 3,834 3,156 1,851 864 854


2,329 Former Soviet Union - 12 634 577 557 257 257



19 East Asia 20 20 20 20 20

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

8,562 Total 4,547 3,904 2,616 1,264 1,254



January 2007

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 41 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 42 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 43 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 44 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 51 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 53 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 55 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 56

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 57 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 59 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 60 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 62 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 64



January 2007

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

114.7 106.551.219.45.15.222.0 1999/00 15.0

124.2 111.154.216.84.75.323.5 2000/01 16.0

113.6 110.153.414.210.75.122.3 2001/02 15.9

124.8 118.158.419.913.95.423.1 2002/03 16.6

106.9 107.950.810.95.94.822.0 2003/04 10.6

136.8 115.256.714.47.45.923.2 2004/05 25.2

122.7 119.560.515.07.65.422.5 2005/06 21.0

117.9 116.657.615.56.85.322.1 2006/07 13.6

Coarse Grains

133.5 126.795.015.24.84.629.1 1999/00 21.1

132.7 131.099.510.75.44.629.0 2000/01 17.6

140.3 134.4101.28.05.94.729.5 2001/02 21.4

137.9 135.4102.18.66.44.828.8 2002/03 21.6

122.2 134.6101.14.47.84.328.6 2003/04 12.6

150.2 138.8106.54.03.75.129.2 2004/05 23.7

131.8 132.4100.33.83.54.728.3 2005/06 22.7

126.4 134.5102.13.74.84.528.0 2006/07 15.7

Wheat and Coarse Grains

248.3 233.2146.234.59.94.951.1 1999/00 36.1

256.9 242.1153.727.510.24.952.5 2000/01 33.6

253.8 244.5154.622.216.64.951.8 2001/02 37.3

262.7 253.5160.528.620.35.151.9 2002/03 38.3

229.1 242.5151.915.313.74.550.7 2003/04 23.2

287.0 254.0163.218.411.15.552.4 2004/05 48.9

254.4 251.9160.818.911.15.050.8 2005/06 43.6

244.3 251.1159.719.211.64.950.1 2006/07 29.3

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. Data for years 1994-1999 represents EU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.


January 2007


China: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

102.2 106.53.20.512.53.528.9 1995/96 76.5

110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.6 1996/97 81.2

123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.9

103.5 101.04.02.50.74.423.4 2006/07 35.6

Coarse Grains

124.5 115.478.40.23.04.627.3 1995/96 101.1

141.3 121.082.64.02.14.929.1 1996/97 119.5

114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.4

124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.5

138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.0

147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.1 2005/06 35.8

151.4 151.4105.04.02.15.129.9 2006/07 34.0


226.7 221.981.60.715.54.056.2 1995/96 177.6

251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.7 1996/97 200.7

238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2

253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.7

210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 88.8

230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.8 2004/05 75.8

245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.9 2005/06 70.7

254.9 252.4109.06.52.84.853.3 2006/07 69.6

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


January 2007


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

16.6 14.23.32.81.23.35.1 1995/96 3.7

8.9 12.63.00.62.22.33.9 1996/97 1.7

16.0 14.43.21.11.53.25.0 1997/98 3.6

14.5 14.33.11.11.23.14.6 1998/99 3.9

11.9 13.33.21.61.83.13.9 1999/00 2.6

12.1 12.82.80.91.92.84.4 2000/01 2.9

14.7 13.63.32.02.02.95.1 2001/02 4.0

12.6 13.43.21.92.02.74.7 2002/03 3.3

7.6 12.92.50.14.22.23.5 2003/04 2.1

15.5 14.13.51.41.83.84.1 2004/05 3.9

13.2 13.53.12.01.63.14.3 2005/06 3.3

12.2 12.82.62.01.53.13.9 2006/07 2.1

Coarse Grains

25.8 25.221.20.90.73.47.6 1995/96 1.8

23.4 23.519.51.00.93.07.7 1996/97 1.5

29.4 27.022.91.20.73.97.5 1997/98 3.5

22.8 23.819.81.00.63.17.3 1998/99 2.1

26.5 25.821.80.90.83.67.3 1999/00 2.7

15.2 17.513.50.31.42.36.6 2000/01 1.4

21.1 20.516.61.01.13.16.8 2001/02 2.2

22.1 21.017.21.71.33.46.6 2002/03 3.0

18.7 21.317.90.31.52.86.6 2003/04 1.7

29.1 25.019.82.30.64.27.0 2004/05 4.1

26.8 24.919.32.50.73.96.9 2005/06 4.2

24.0 24.118.62.50.73.86.3 2006/07 2.2


42.4 39.424.43.81.83.312.7 1995/96 5.6

32.3 36.122.51.63.02.811.6 1996/97 3.2

45.4 41.426.12.32.23.612.4 1997/98 7.1

37.3 38.223.02.11.83.112.0 1998/99 6.0

38.4 39.125.02.52.53.511.1 1999/00 5.3

27.3 30.316.31.33.32.511.0 2000/01 4.3

35.8 34.019.93.03.13.011.8 2001/02 6.1

34.8 34.320.53.53.33.111.3 2002/03 6.3

26.3 34.120.40.45.82.610.1 2003/04 3.8

44.6 39.123.33.72.54.011.1 2004/05 8.1

40.0 38.422.44.52.33.611.2 2005/06 7.5

36.2 36.921.24.62.23.510.2 2006/07 4.4

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


January 2007

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan, Republic of

2.2 1.91.80.50.01.31.8 2002/03 0.9

2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.8 2003/04 0.4

1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.7 2004/05 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.30.00.91.6 2006/07 0.0

Russian Federation

18.7 15.510.73.10.31.810.3 2002/03 4.7

18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.5 2003/04 2.2

17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.0 2004/05 2.1

15.8 15.510.91.70.31.79.2 2005/06 0.9

18.1 15.711.12.50.31.810.1 2006/07 1.1

Ukraine

10.4 7.45.52.90.02.54.2 2002/03 1.4

6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.6 2003/04 0.6

11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.5 2004/05 1.0

9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2

11.8 6.95.24.30.02.35.2 2006/07 1.8

Uzbekistan, Republic of

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2002/03 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.1 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.1 2006/07 0.0

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

2.6 2.61.90.00.02.41.1 2002/03 0.3

2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.2 2003/04 0.5

3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.2 2004/05 0.8

2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.7

2.5 2.72.00.00.12.21.1 2006/07 0.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

34.1 27.620.06.50.32.017.3 2002/03 7.4

29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.3 2003/04 3.7

33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.5 2004/05 4.2

29.4 25.117.85.80.51.816.3 2005/06 3.1

34.1 26.919.77.10.31.918.1 2006/07 3.6


January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




0.4 0.40.30.00.03.20.1 2002/03 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2003/04 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2004/05 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

Russian Federation

1.6 1.61.20.00.12.80.6 2002/03 0.1

2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.7 2003/04 0.2

3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.9 2004/05 0.2

3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1

3.6 3.73.20.10.33.61.0 2006/07 0.2

Ukraine

4.2 3.52.80.80.03.51.2 2002/03 0.8

6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.0 2003/04 0.8

8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.3 2004/05 1.3

7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9

6.5 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.2


0.2 0.10.10.00.04.30.0 2002/03 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.0 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.0 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0


2.2 2.32.00.00.12.80.8 2002/03 0.5

2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.7 2003/04 0.3

2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.9 2004/05 0.6

2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.8 2005/06 0.5

2.3 2.52.20.00.23.10.7 2006/07 0.5


8.5 7.96.40.90.23.22.7 2002/03 1.5

11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.6 2003/04 1.4

15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.2 2004/05 2.2

13.1 11.810.12.50.63.93.4 2005/06 1.6

12.8 11.910.31.10.53.63.6 2006/07 1.9


January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




12.6 6.82.76.20.01.111.5 2002/03 3.7

11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.3 2003/04 3.8

10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.8 2004/05 3.6

11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.8 2005/06 4.3

11.5 7.62.75.00.00.912.2 2006/07 3.2

Russian Federation

50.6 39.316.012.61.02.025.7 2002/03 6.1

34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.2 2003/04 2.6

45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.2 2004/05 3.9

47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8

44.9 37.314.19.51.21.923.7 2006/07 3.1

Ukraine

20.6 14.54.06.60.83.06.8 2002/03 3.3

3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.5 2003/04 1.1

17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.9 2004/05 2.6

18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4

14.3 11.52.12.80.12.65.4 2006/07 2.5


5.0 4.90.80.00.34.21.2 2002/03 0.9

5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.5 2003/04 0.9

5.5 5.40.80.10.23.91.4 2004/05 1.1

6.1 5.60.80.10.24.21.5 2005/06 1.7

5.8 6.00.80.10.24.51.3 2006/07 1.6


8.2 9.81.30.32.52.63.2 2002/03 2.5

6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.9 2003/04 2.5

8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.2 2004/05 3.0

8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.3 2005/06 3.4

7.6 10.81.30.12.52.53.0 2006/07 2.7


96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.2

92.2 75.223.020.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6

84.1 73.221.017.54.01.845.6 2006/07 13.1


January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



January 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

63.1 64.016.25.05.21.543.1 2000/01 5.1

91.3 70.221.113.93.82.045.7 2001/02 16.0

96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.2

92.2 75.223.020.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.6

84.1 73.221.017.54.01.845.6 2006/07 13.1

Coarse Grains

49.1 45.328.82.51.11.631.0 2000/01 6.0

61.8 50.833.36.61.01.932.6 2001/02 11.5

60.7 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 12.0

55.4 56.739.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

62.9 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.3

55.1 49.533.58.51.21.928.3 2005/06 5.6

58.9 51.235.58.31.02.029.9 2006/07 6.0

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains.


January 2007

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

13.3 4.90.08.60.02.55.4 1998/99 0.7

16.4 4.90.111.60.02.76.2 1999/00 0.6

16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

13.8 5.00.18.80.02.75.2 2005/06 0.6

14.2 4.90.19.50.02.75.2 2006/07 0.4

Australia

21.5 4.51.816.50.11.911.5 1998/99 2.8

24.8 5.22.517.80.12.012.2 1999/00 4.6

22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.23.59.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.1

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

22.6 6.23.514.70.11.613.8 2004/05 7.1

24.5 6.43.716.00.11.912.6 2005/06 9.3

10.5 6.94.210.50.10.911.3 2006/07 2.4

Canada

24.1 8.14.314.70.22.310.7 1998/99 7.4

26.9 8.14.119.20.22.610.4 1999/00 7.3

26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7

20.6 7.63.716.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.7

16.2 8.24.19.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.6 7.63.415.80.22.310.5 2003/04 6.1

25.9 9.35.115.00.22.69.9 2004/05 7.9

26.8 9.15.016.10.32.79.8 2005/06 9.7

27.3 9.24.820.50.32.610.6 2006/07 7.6

Total Wheat Competitors

58.8 17.56.139.70.22.127.6 1998/99 11.0

68.1 18.26.648.60.32.428.7 1999/00 12.5

64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8

60.4 17.96.542.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.9


January 2007


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


38.6 19.57.625.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

64.2 18.86.743.20.32.229.2 2003/04 12.8

64.5 20.58.741.50.32.229.7 2004/05 15.6

65.1 20.58.840.90.42.427.6 2005/06 19.6

52.0 21.09.140.50.31.927.1 2006/07 10.4

India

66.4 63.70.40.02.22.526.7 1998/99 9.9

70.8 68.80.40.21.42.627.4 1999/00 13.1

76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

68.0 72.70.30.36.02.725.0 2006/07 3.0

Turkey

18.0 16.91.02.61.92.18.6 1998/99 2.6

16.5 16.81.02.21.51.98.7 1999/00 1.6

18.0 16.71.01.60.52.18.7 2000/01 1.7

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.5

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.0 16.10.43.20.12.18.6 2005/06 0.6

18.0 16.80.82.00.72.18.6 2006/07 0.5

Notes: Wheat trade statistics are on July/June year.


January 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

13.5 6.54.97.90.05.22.6 1998/99 0.7

17.2 5.54.011.90.05.53.1 1999/00 0.5

15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.1

19.0 7.05.112.00.07.02.7 2006/07 1.1

China, Peoples Republic of

133.0 113.986.53.30.35.325.2 1998/99 122.9

128.1 117.389.59.90.14.925.9 1999/00 123.8

106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

143.0 141.0103.04.00.15.327.0 2006/07 33.4

South Africa, Republic of

7.9 7.93.70.50.62.23.6 1998/99 0.9

11.5 8.94.11.40.03.03.8 1999/00 2.0

8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.94.40.81.03.42.0 2005/06 1.5

10.0 9.04.50.80.53.13.2 2006/07 2.2

Brazil

32.4 33.228.20.01.22.712.1 1998/99 2.1

31.6 33.528.50.21.62.512.6 1999/00 1.7

41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9


January 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.032.54.01.03.212.9 2005/06 3.9

42.0 40.033.54.00.83.312.7 2006/07 2.6

Total Corn Competitors

186.8 161.5123.211.82.04.343.5 1998/99 126.6

188.4 165.2126.123.51.74.145.4 1999/00 128.0

171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 191.1142.318.02.14.743.7 2005/06 41.7

214.0 197.0146.120.81.44.745.6 2006/07 39.3

Notes: Corn Trade Statistics are on an Oct/Sept year.


January 2007


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Australia

6.0 2.11.34.20.01.93.2 1998/99 0.5

5.0 2.61.72.60.01.92.6 1999/00 0.4

6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.9 3.72.75.30.02.14.7 2005/06 2.8

4.2 3.72.82.30.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

Canada

12.7 11.310.11.10.03.04.3 1998/99 2.7

13.2 11.49.91.70.03.24.1 1999/00 2.8

13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.3 9.98.51.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

13.2 10.89.31.20.13.34.1 2004/05 3.4

12.5 10.48.92.30.03.23.9 2005/06 3.3

10.0 10.28.71.50.12.93.4 2006/07 1.6

EU-25

57.5 51.637.310.41.14.113.9 1999/00 11.6

58.8 54.940.47.71.14.313.6 2000/01 9.0

57.0 53.939.03.81.64.213.5 2001/02 9.9

56.5 54.438.75.01.54.213.3 2002/03 8.5

54.8 56.941.02.80.64.113.4 2003/04 4.3

61.7 52.937.52.90.54.713.1 2004/05 10.7

52.8 52.537.23.10.24.113.0 2005/06 8.1

54.8 54.839.53.00.44.213.1 2006/07 5.4

Notes: Barley trade statistics are on October/September year.


January 2007


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

3.2 2.62.50.60.04.40.7 1998/99 0.7

3.4 2.52.40.90.04.60.7 1999/00 0.7

2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.2 2.22.00.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.1

3.1 2.32.10.60.05.00.6 2006/07 0.3

Australia

1.9 1.41.40.50.03.20.6 1998/99 0.1

2.1 1.31.30.90.03.40.6 1999/00 0.1

1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.2 1.91.90.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

2.0 1.91.90.20.02.30.9 2005/06 0.1

2.1 2.02.00.10.02.60.8 2006/07 0.1

Notes: Sorghum trade statistics are on October/September year.


January 2007

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Area Harvested

Yield Rough Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

Wheat

21,15032,4344,95326,27026,1902,9532,92753,001nr319,616 2001/02

13,37430,4483,15022,83423,1391,9582,10643,705nr218,544 2002/03

14,87232,5075,52132,29531,5241,7601,71563,814nr321,474 2003/04

14,69931,8234,95528,46429,0091,9461,92158,738nr320,234 2004/05

15,54531,1914,16827,42427,4672,3092,22457,280nr320,283 2005/06

12,85231,3253,94624,50023,8143,1003,13049,316nr318,943 2006/07

Corn

40,551200,941148,95847,27148,383254258241,377nr927,830 2001/02

27,603200,748141,30340,92440,334374367227,767nr828,057 2002/03

24,337211,644147,19748,80948,258356358256,278nr928,710 2003/04

53,697224,648156,42845,34746,181281275299,914nr1029,798 2004/05

49,968231,722155,99056,18154,545214227282,311nr930,399 2005/06

19,102241,565151,77256,50057,153250254267,598nr928,590 2006/07

Sorghum

1,5496,4275,8426,1356,1420013,057nr43,472 2001/02

1,0934,9394,3284,8774,681119,163nr32,883 2002/03

8525,6384,6244,8455,0490010,446nr33,156 2003/04

1,4466,2554,8604,5414,6751111,523nr42,637 2004/05

1,6684,8143,5454,9704,945009,981nr42,321 2005/06

8433,9382,7944,2003,937007,050nr41,998 2006/07

Barley

2,0065,6612,2725175755385215,407nr31,729 2001/02

1,5105,1791,8195526592824024,940nr31,669 2002/03

2,6194,9901,6173844094974496,059nr31,913 2003/04

2,7965,6722,2387715061572646,091nr41,627 2004/05

2,3504,5711,1313576051241174,613nr31,323 2005/06

1,5894,4641,0895005443003273,920nr31,194 2006/07

Oats

9173,4592,41337411,4971,6541,707nr2773 2001/02

7233,4802,43539381,7771,6401,684nr2833 2002/03

9413,3892,33038361,3021,5472,096nr2898 2003/04

8413,2972,22331391,6291,5571,679nr2723 2004/05

7633,2872,21339301,8311,5721,667nr2738 2005/06

7163,1892,10030291,8001,8101,361nr2638 2006/07

Rye


January 2007

Area Harvested


Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

143127545164126175nr2101 2001/02

113218523109156165nr2106 2002/03

15297622110183219nr2129 2003/04

2034410724174143210nr2121 2004/05

183329610131139191nr2113 2005/06

183077153100127183nr2111 2006/07

Rice, Milled

1,2163,850nr3,2952,9544204196,7149,76471,341 2001/02

8293,534nr3,8343,8604584716,5369,57071,298 2002/03

7613,656nr3,0903,3104774786,4209,06871,213 2003/04

1,2113,935nr3,8623,4964194197,46210,54081,346 2004/05

1,3703,809nr3,5003,6896005447,11310,12571,361 2005/06

9493,905nr3,4003,2396255726,1518,78781,142 2006/07

Notes: Wheat trade year statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats trade year statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice trade year statistics are for subsequent calendar year.


January 2007

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks


1,068.9 233.21,076.8511.7158.31.9570.7 1977/78

1,183.1 278.21,138.1556.8161.82.1569.7 1978/79

1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80

1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.2588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 339.91,253.6609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.51,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 468.91,299.5644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.0 422.01,329.8655.2202.22.4544.7 1987/88

1,218.0 337.41,302.6618.2203.32.2542.2 1988/89

1,327.7 318.71,346.4643.1208.92.4548.4 1989/90

1,416.7 365.81,369.6666.9190.12.6548.8 1990/91

1,355.4 356.41,364.7649.8207.52.5545.4 1991/92

1,431.0 395.01,389.5662.2205.22.6549.3 1992/93

1,356.2 362.41,388.8654.0188.22.5540.5 1993/94

1,392.4 358.61,396.2666.5200.12.6537.8 1994/95

1,338.8 317.11,380.3636.0187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,491.6 366.11,442.6669.1198.42.7553.6 1996/97

1,491.2 412.91,444.5680.0190.32.8539.6 1997/98

1,480.9 445.51,448.2678.5198.72.8533.6 1998/99

1,463.4 441.11,467.3685.2217.52.8515.1 1999/00

1,443.8 416.61,468.3692.8208.52.8514.3 2000/01

1,474.8 399.81,491.6707.0213.62.9516.1 2001/02

1,442.7 336.51,506.1707.8214.82.8507.6 2002/03

1,470.5 272.61,534.3711.0207.32.8516.8 2003/04

1,642.9 329.61,585.9747.8215.23.2519.3 2004/05

1,597.3 314.41,612.6745.7222.93.1519.6 2005/06

1,553.1 239.81,627.7743.7217.83.0514.8 2006/07

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


January 2007


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

377.8 109.2396.085.571.71.7227.2 1977/78

438.9 134.8413.389.871.31.9228.9 1978/79

417.5 120.5431.994.085.51.8227.8 1979/80

435.9 112.7444.191.293.21.8236.9 1980/81

445.0 112.5445.190.6100.51.9238.9 1981/82

472.7 129.9455.692.897.72.0238.4 1982/83

484.3 145.3468.995.6101.22.1229.9 1983/84

508.9 168.0486.299.9104.72.2231.7 1984/85

494.8 178.3484.597.283.62.2229.8 1985/86

524.1 191.1511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87

497.9 158.6530.3113.6114.12.3219.7 1987/88

495.0 134.0519.6104.0104.32.3217.4 1988/89

533.2 136.2531.0103.7103.92.4225.8 1989/90

588.0 170.5553.7130.1101.32.5231.4 1990/91

542.9 162.0551.5113.8111.42.4222.5 1991/92

561.6 175.7547.6110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.0 181.4552.4108.0101.72.5222.1 1993/94

523.2 162.1542.499.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.9 155.3544.891.999.22.5218.8 1995/96

582.6 164.5573.496.7104.02.5230.2 1996/97

610.0 197.1577.3101.0104.52.7228.4 1997/98

590.0 208.1579.0103.7102.02.6225.1 1998/99

585.8 208.9585.099.7112.72.7215.4 1999/00

581.5 206.5583.9104.0104.12.7217.6 2000/01

581.1 202.7585.0106.6110.82.7214.7 2001/02

567.6 166.6603.8112.7110.12.6214.6 2002/03

554.6 132.7588.596.7104.52.6209.9 2003/04

628.8 151.4610.1106.6113.12.9218.9 2004/05

619.8 147.4623.8111.2113.72.8218.3 2005/06

590.8 121.8616.4105.3111.62.8211.5 2006/07

Coarse Grains

691.0 124.0680.8426.286.62.0343.5 1977/78

744.1 143.3724.8467.090.52.2340.8 1978/79

735.5 153.2725.6479.997.12.2341.1 1979/80

723.5 142.6735.1471.4107.42.1340.7 1980/81

759.0 168.4733.2482.996.42.2348.9 1981/82

775.3 202.2741.5500.692.02.3338.6 1982/83

678.2 133.1747.3492.792.02.0333.9 1983/84

806.1 171.9767.4510.098.92.4335.3 1984/85

833.7 242.2763.4515.981.62.4341.1 1985/86

823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87

787.1 263.3799.5541.688.12.4325.0 1987/88

723.0 203.4782.9514.299.02.2324.9 1988/89

794.5 182.5815.4539.4105.02.5322.6 1989/90

828.6 195.2815.9536.888.92.6317.5 1990/91

812.5 194.4813.3536.096.22.5322.8 1991/92

869.3 219.3841.9551.291.92.7326.4 1992/93

798.1 181.1836.4546.086.52.5318.4 1993/94

869.2 196.5853.8567.098.62.7323.5 1994/95

800.9 161.8835.5544.188.22.5314.7 1995/96

909.0 201.7869.2572.494.42.8323.4 1996/97


January 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

881.2 215.8867.2578.985.82.8311.2 1997/98

890.9 237.4869.2574.896.72.9308.5 1998/99

877.6 232.2882.4585.5104.82.9299.7 1999/00

862.3 210.1884.4588.9104.42.9296.7 2000/01

893.7 197.1906.6600.4102.73.0301.4 2001/02

875.1 169.9902.3595.0104.63.0293.0 2002/03

915.9 139.9945.8614.3102.73.0306.9 2003/04

1,014.1 178.2975.8641.3102.13.4300.4 2004/05

977.5 166.9988.8634.5109.33.2301.3 2005/06

962.4 118.01,011.4638.4106.23.2303.3 2006/07

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. 'Stocks as a Percent of Consumption' represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


January 2007


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Corn

365.4 77.3356.5226.763.62.9125.8 1977/78

392.1 91.4378.0247.067.13.1126.0 1978/79

425.6 111.2405.8277.173.23.3127.3 1979/80

408.7 102.5417.9279.277.83.1131.2 1980/81

441.8 127.2417.1286.166.93.3133.0 1981/82

439.9 149.8417.3293.563.23.5125.2 1982/83

348.3 89.0409.1271.161.12.9119.7 1983/84

458.4 118.2429.2289.566.13.6129.0 1984/85

479.0 177.7419.5284.353.83.7131.0 1985/86

475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87

451.0 197.5458.3316.558.83.5127.2 1987/88

400.9 145.2453.2306.866.03.2126.3 1988/89

462.0 132.8474.4324.874.53.6127.5 1989/90

482.1 141.2473.6318.358.83.7129.4 1990/91

493.2 140.9493.6334.363.03.7132.7 1991/92

536.1 162.5512.5348.662.64.0133.4 1992/93

476.0 129.3509.2342.057.43.6130.9 1993/94

559.0 152.9535.3371.171.94.1135.3 1994/95

515.9 132.5536.3364.864.83.8134.9 1995/96

592.6 165.3559.8387.366.74.2141.6 1996/97

573.8 165.7573.3400.963.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.7 190.4581.1404.268.74.4139.2 1998/99

607.5 192.9605.0422.373.54.4139.0 1999/00

590.5 173.2610.2427.776.44.3137.1 2000/01

599.7 149.8623.1435.974.64.4137.8 2001/02

603.0 125.5627.3433.178.44.4137.7 2002/03

625.7 103.5647.7444.579.24.4141.9 2003/04

712.3 130.8685.0471.576.54.9144.7 2004/05

695.6 125.0701.4474.683.14.8145.6 2005/06

687.2 86.4725.8477.983.04.7146.1 2006/07

Barley

157.1 19.9158.9113.810.11.983.0 1977/78

175.6 24.3171.2123.910.62.280.9 1978/79

153.8 18.9159.2118.510.21.884.0 1979/80

157.4 18.3158.3111.213.52.078.6 1980/81

149.5 16.0151.8109.414.51.881.6 1981/82

161.2 21.5155.8113.416.02.078.8 1982/83

158.5 15.5164.5122.015.82.079.8 1983/84

170.5 23.1162.9122.417.42.279.2 1984/85

173.6 29.6167.2127.817.72.280.0 1985/86

178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87

175.3 33.4173.6129.718.32.278.7 1987/88

164.0 31.1166.2121.919.02.176.4 1988/89

166.1 26.7170.5126.218.52.373.6 1989/90

179.0 29.8175.9130.419.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 33.3166.3120.219.42.276.4 1991/92

166.2 33.3165.6118.916.42.373.4 1992/93

169.2 33.5168.9123.718.82.374.7 1993/94

160.7 28.5165.8121.115.32.273.2 1994/95

141.6 19.5150.6107.713.42.169.0 1995/96

153.6 23.6149.4106.217.92.366.5 1996/97


January 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

154.3 32.2145.8103.712.82.464.9 1997/98

135.7 28.9139.098.617.82.260.7 1998/99

127.5 24.0132.394.018.82.355.3 1999/00

132.8 22.8134.194.416.92.454.6 2000/01

142.3 28.7136.395.117.62.556.8 2001/02

134.8 27.2136.494.316.82.456.4 2002/03

142.9 22.6147.5102.614.82.460.1 2003/04

154.2 33.3143.5100.317.32.658.4 2004/05

138.0 28.9142.397.317.82.456.4 2005/06

138.3 21.9145.3101.015.52.457.4 2006/07

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


January 2007


World Rice: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Production TY Exports Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Rice, Milled

368.8 44.8244.79.5250.62.6143.4 1977/78

385.4 54.8252.311.8262.42.7143.6 1978/79

376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

481.9 103.3310.412.9316.03.3144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

491.0 111.7325.814.0332.23.4146.5 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.6 1989/90

518.9 126.7345.012.3351.03.5146.7 1990/91

522.9 126.8353.114.4353.33.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.3357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.5 119.1359.216.6355.03.6145.4 1993/94

539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.5 1994/95

547.2 118.4368.119.7368.73.7148.2 1995/96

564.5 120.6378.718.9380.93.8150.0 1996/97

574.4 127.9379.627.6386.93.8151.2 1997/98

586.5 134.3388.124.8394.63.8152.7 1998/99

608.0 145.1398.022.8408.83.9155.2 1999/00

593.2 149.2394.524.4398.73.9151.5 2000/01

593.9 136.4412.027.9399.13.9150.5 2001/02

562.1 106.5407.427.6377.53.9145.8 2002/03

584.3 85.4412.927.2391.83.9148.1 2003/04

595.7 78.1407.729.0400.54.0150.4 2004/05

618.7 80.4413.227.7415.54.1152.2 2005/06

618.1 77.7417.728.9415.04.1152.1 2006/07

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


January 2007

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Latin America: Central America, the Caribbean, South America. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,

France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Norway, Romania, Serbia and Montenegro, Switzerland, Yugoslavia.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Other Africa: all African countries except North Africa. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,

Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea. OTHER NOTESStocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in marketing year imports and marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. EU Consolidation: The trade figures for the EU-25 for the years 1999/00 through 2002/03 are inflated by the two-way trade between the two groups (EU-15 and acceding 10). Over the past 6 years, this “intra-trade” has averaged about 700,000 tons for wheat, 350,000 tons each for corn and barley, and 150,000 tons for rye. The trade figures also include intra-trade between members of the acceding 10. From 2003/04 onward, all intra-trade has been removed. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.



January 2007

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 12-06 December 2006. For further details on world grain production, see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 01-07 January 2007. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



January 2007

Department of Agriculture Grain · • EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies...

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