Density Data Gap Filling

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Marine Mammal Density Data Gap Assessments and Update for the Phase III AFTT Study Area. Density Data Gap Filling. Workshop objectives. Marine Geospatial Ecology Lab Duke University November 14 – 16, 2012. Workshop Objectives. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Density Data Gap Filling

Density Data Gap FillingMarine Geospatial Ecology LabDuke UniversityNovember 14 16, 2012Marine Mammal Density Data Gap Assessments and Update for the Phase III AFTT Study Area

Workshop objectivesWorkshop ObjectivesThis workshop will explore the current state of the Navy Marine Species Density Database (NMSDD), the Navy Acoustic Effects Model (NAEMO), current animal density modeling efforts, and outline next steps for future marine animal density modeling.

General ObjectivesThe purpose of this effort is to develop & implement methods to fill data gaps from the CetMap products to cover the remaining areas in the AFTT study area. The primary focus of this task will be to develop and implement a quantitative approach to extrapolate the data from the CetMap working group, both spatially and temporally for all marine mammal species present within the AFTT area.These marine density data will be the most up-to-date definitive data for acoustic effect analysis in the upcoming Phase III AFTT EIS.Workshop ObjectivesDiscuss making project outputs publically available and re-usable through the web and web services.Build consensus on next generation modeling approaches or ensembles for the USN Atlantic Testing and Training Range (AFTT).Discuss data gap assessment, gap filling methods, and creating a hierarchy of data quality Discuss the future beyond this modeling effort including data standards and model processes that enable repeatability of existing models.Workshop ObjectivesAdditional objectivesSet the stage for potential parallel efforts to be conducted for Pacific training areasBegin the process of adding sea turtle density assessments more fully into the process

Atlantic Fleet Testing & Training AFTT study area

Atlantic & Gulf of MexicoFilling Density Data Gaps Density of protected species ship & aircraft surveys

Atlantic Fleet Testing & Training Area??????The offshoredistant data-gap problem.

Filling Density Data Gaps Density of protected species ship & aircraft surveys ?The port & pier-side data-gap problem.8Workshop processModerated discussions Question driven; Solutions focused; Product oriented;

The outcomes of this workshop are intended to directly inform future priorities and activities Workshop Objectives (1)Build consensus on next generation modeling approaches or ensembles for the USN Atlantic Testing and Training Range (AFTT).General Discussion Topics:Appropriate types of modeling approaches;Error & uncertainty;Model validation & testing;Merging different models and information;Workshop Objectives (2)Discuss data gap assessment, gap filling methods, and creating a hierarchy of data quality.

General Discussion Topics:Gaps in space & time;Available data types and priorities;Role of expert knowledge;Hierarchy of data quality.Workshop Objectives (3)Discuss the future beyond this modeling effort including data standards and model processes that enable repeatability of existing models.General Discussion Topics:Data standards and classification of data types;Best practice standards for models;Ensemble models;Workshop Objectives (4)Discuss making project outputs publically available and re-usable through the web and web services.General Discussion Topics:Data and model delivery: clients & users;Product types;Discovery metadata services;Data & model development, delivery & archival process.agendaDay 1, Wednesday November 14 Problem Overview(Executive Classroom)

10:00 AMIntroduction Welcome / Meeting Objectives (Pat)Logistics (Ben D)Introductions10:30 AMContext and Programmatic NeedsNavy AFTT density modeling needs (Anu)NOAA remarks (Jolie)

Updates on ongoing projectsCetMap progress (discussion leads: Jolie, Pat)AMAPPS (discussion leads: Debi, Lance)Atlantic/GoMex modeling update (discussion leads: Pat, Ben B, Jason)Pacific modeling update (discussion leads: Karin/Elizabeth)12:00 PMLunch Thomas Center dining room

Context & UpdatesagendaDay 1, Wednesday November 14 1:00 PM Extending density modelsOverview of the problem (Pat)Extent, seasonality, port/piersideNavy Acoustic Effect model - NAEMO (discussion lead: TBD)Sea Mammal Research Unit (SMRU) approaches and guidance (TBD)2:00 PMData Availability: Moderated DiscussionHierarchy of TypesLine Transect SurveysPassive AcousticsPlatforms of Opportunity, new and non-traditional data sourcesData Sources & Future data collectionNavy NOAA AMAPPS 3:00 PM Coffee Break/Free discussion3:30 PMStatistical Approaches: Moderated Discussion Overview of existing modeling approaches (Pat)Model types, Feasibility and implementation, Error and uncertainty, Selection and validation, Edge matching4:45 PMEnd of day wrap up5:00 PMBreak for the dayProblem definition& discussionagendaDay 2, Thursday, November 15 Model Details9:00 AMDay 2 overview and goals9:30 AMModel approach brainstormingStatistical approaches for data poor regions Ensemble approaches and model averaging10:30 AMCoffee Break/Free Discussion11:00 AMExtrapolation and Gap fillingSpatial gaps Navy Ports / PiersideCoastalPelagicTemporal gapsSeasonal GapsTaxonomic gapsguilds, surrogatesRole of Expert OpinionValidation of gap filling

12:00 PMLunch Thomas Center dining room

Potential solutions & approachesagendaDay 2, Thursday, November 15 Model Details

1:00 PM Addressing error, uncertainty and standardsWhat is possible? What is required?Creating an hierarchy of data qualityStandards to streamline incorporating new data into existing models3:00 PM Coffee Break3:30 PM Implementation TimelinesMilestone map for implementationNMSDD update processPublic and interagency accessWeb services and upcoming technologiesPlan for third party guidance and review

4:45 PM End of day wrap upModify and approve agenda for final day

5:00 PMBreak for the day

Reality check: error, uncertainty, standards, requirements & timelinesagendaDay 3, Friday, November 16 Next Steps9:00 AMReview and next stepsReview responsibilitiesApprove timeline10:30 AMCoffee Break10:45 AMDiscussion and wrap upPrioritiesNext steps 12:00 PMLunch Thomas Center dining room1:00 PMMeeting adjourns

Path forward & next stepsLogistics