Demographic, Diversity and Socio- economic Profile of ...€¦ · Demographic, Diversity and...

Demographic, Diversity and Socio-economic Profile of Havering’s Population

January 2013

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Table of Contents

I. Havering’s Demographic Profile ................................................................. 3

II. Havering’s Diversity Profile ......................................................................... 4

1. Age ........................................................................................................... 4 2. Disability ................................................................................................... 6 3. Ethnicity .................................................................................................... 7

Ethnic profile ............................................................................................ 7 Country of Birth ........................................................................................ 8 Passports held ......................................................................................... 8 Migrant Population ................................................................................... 9 Language ................................................................................................. 9

4. Religion .................................................................................................. 10 5. Sex / Gender .......................................................................................... 11 6. Sexual Orientation, Marriage and Civil Partnership ................................ 11

III. Havering’s Socio-economic Profile .......................................................... 13

1. Economic and social inclusion ............................................................... 13 Labour market ........................................................................................ 13 Social inclusion ...................................................................................... 15

2. Deprivation ............................................................................................. 15 3. Child Poverty .......................................................................................... 16 4. Education ............................................................................................... 16 5. Housing .................................................................................................. 17

Household composition .......................................................................... 17 Tenure .................................................................................................... 18 Private and Social Rented Sector .......................................................... 18 Homelessness ........................................................................................ 19

6. Health and Well-being ............................................................................ 20 7. Crime...................................................................................................... 23 8. Community Cohesion ............................................................................. 23

IV. Conclusion .................................................................................................. 24

Appendices ....................................................................................................... 26

Appendix 1: Why we collect and monitor customer profile data ...................... 26 Appendix 2: How we collect customer equal opportunities data ...................... 28

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Demographic, Diversity and Socio-economic Profile of Havering’s Population

Key statistics and data

January 2013 The 2013 Report on the Demographic, Diversity and Socio-economic Profile of Havering’s Population is the second report since the implementation of the Public Sector Equality Duty and Specific Duties under the Equality Act 2010. As part of its specific duties, the Council is required to publish an up-to-date diversity profile of Havering’s population to help our decision-makers to make informed decisions based on the needs of our communities. This information is also useful to local Voluntary and Community Sector organisations, current and potential contractors and other partners we work closely with. This report outlines the key demographic, diversity and socio-economic changes in Havering and analyses main implications of the changes and future trends. Where it is not otherwise stated, the data is taken from 2011 Census releases1 for England and Wales (E&W) as of January 2013. However, the report also incorporates key data and statistics from other relevant and reliable sources of information listed as footnotes. Further data is available at the Havering’s Data Intelligence Hub.

1 On 11

th December 2012 the Office for National Statistics released the first detailed results from

the 2011 Census. Household response rate in Havering was 95%.

http://www.haveringdata.net/

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I. Havering’s Demographic Profile

Havering is the third largest London borough, covering some 43 square miles. It is located on the northeast boundary of Greater London. To the north and east the Borough is bordered by the Essex countryside, to the south by a three mile River Thames frontage, and to the west by the neighbouring boroughs of Redbridge and Barking & Dagenham.

The 2011 Census2 total population estimate is 237,900.

Havering’s population is predicted to rise by 13.5% (32,029 people) by 20213 compared to England projection of 9%4

The population increased by 6% since the 2001 Census (see table below)

2001 Census – 2011 Census Changes: Population summary

Havering London England

All people (2001) 224,248 7,172,091 49,138,831

All people (2011) 237,232 8,173,941 53,012,456

Percentage change from 2001 5.79 13.97 7.88

Households with at least one usual resident (Census) (2001) 91,722 3,015,997 20,451,427

Households with at least one usual resident (Census) (2011) 97,199 3,266,173 22,063,368

Percentage change from 2001 5.97 8.29 7.88

As the above table illustrates, the number of households with at least one usual Havering resident5 is 97,200 compared to 91,722 (2001 Census)

Havering and Bromley are London’s least diverse boroughs. However, of all London boroughs, Havering has had the highest percentage increase between 2001 Census and 2011 Census as the percentage of ethnic minority population has more than doubled, with the following ethnic groups seeing the highest increase: White and Black Caribbean, Pakistani, Caribbean and African.

2 ONS Mid-year Population Estimates 2011, released in 2012

3 2011 Interim Subnational Population Projections

4 These figures are based on trend-based projections, which mean assumptions for future levels

of births, deaths and migration these were published by the ONS in September 2012 5 Usual resident is anyone who, on census day, was in UK/Havering and had stayed or intended

to stay in the UK/Havering for a period of 12 months or more, or had a permanent UK/Havering address and was outside the UK/Havering and intended to be outside the UK/Havering for less than 12 months

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II. Havering’s Diversity Profile

1. Age

The average age of Havering residents is 40.4 years. Havering has a higher average age compared to England (39.4) and London (35.6)

Just below 23.9% of Havering’s population are children and young people aged between 0 and 19 years old. This percentage is slightly below the average for London (24.5%) and average for England (24%)

The table below shows the 0-19 population in Havering compared to London and England by five year age bands:

2011 Census: 0-19 population breakdown of Havering residents


All people (2011) 237,232 8,173,941 53,012,456

People aged 0-4 (census) (% of total population) (2011)

5.76 7.24 6.26


5.58 5.91 5.61


6.06 5.59 5.81


6.47 5.77 6.3

A quarter (24.8%) of Havering’s population are aged between 20 and 39 years old. This percentage is below the average for London (35.8%) and slightly below the average for England (27%)

Over one in three (33.5%) of Havering’s population are aged between 40 and 64 years old. This percentage is above the average for London (28.7%) and slightly above the average for England (32.7%)

17.8% of the population are aged 65 and over. This percentage is above the average for London (11.1%) and slightly above the average for England (16.3%)

The table below shows the population in Havering, London and England by five year age bands:

http://www.haveringdata.net/metadata/view/indicatorinstance?id=248320&norefer=true









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2011 Census: Population (5 year age bands)


All people (2011) 237,232 8,173,941 53,012,456

People aged 0-4 (census) (% of total population) (2011) 5.76 7.24 6.26


















People aged 90 and over (census) (% of total population) (2011) 0.78 0.52 0.76

Havering has the highest proportion of adult social care users aged 65+ compared to all London boroughs. Three quarters (74.2%) of Havering adult social care clients were aged 65 or older in 2010/11, compared to England (67.6%) and London (61.7%).The projected growth in the numbers of residents 65+ in Havering, suggests that the demand on social care services from people aged 65+ will continue to increase

The 65+ population in Havering is expected to grow the fastest overall in the future, increasing by 16% by 2021. The fastest growth is in the 90+ age, expected to increase by 70% by 2021

The population of Havering is growing at a faster rate than the England average, particularly the 65+ population which means that the demand on health and social care services will be disproportionately high compared to the rest of London and E&W

The number of children and young people (0-19) in Havering is also expected to rise, growing by almost 25% by 2021. The fastest increase is expected to be in the single year of age eight and nine (44% each by 2021). This means that the demand for education, social care and health services will increase dramatically.

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2. Disability6

It is estimated that 49% of older people (aged 65 and over) in Havering have a long term limiting illness where long term illness is considered to last 12 months or longer

More than 1,100 residents are registered as being blind or partially sighted in Havering

It is estimated that more than 14,000 adults (aged 18 - 64) in Havering have a moderate or severe disability. The number of those with moderate or severe disabilities will rise by around 7% in the next ten years, with more than 15,000 adults in Havering having a physical disability by 2021

There are approximately 20,000 adults in Havering who have a common mental health issue. Around 43% residents with a common mental health issue claim Incapacity Benefit. It is estimated that there are more than 600 adults in Havering with a Borderline Personality Disorder, nearly 600 people with Psychotic Disorder and around 500 people with Antisocial Personality Disorder. Predicted future population growth means that the number of adults (aged 18-64) experiencing each of these mental illnesses is expected to increase by 6% in the next ten years (by 2021) in Havering

Adults in Havering that are receiving treatment for severe mental health problems are less likely to be in employment or in stable accommodation: less than 4% are in employment and less than 50% are in stable accommodation. These percentages are below the average in England and London

10.4% of adults in Havering have identified themselves as carers, compared to 8.5% in London. At the same time, a very small proportion of carers in Havering receive support than is the average nationally. Support given to carers includes advice services or receiving a carer’s break

It is estimated that the number of adults (aged 18 – 64) in Havering with moderate or severe disabilities will increase by 7% in the next ten years (by 2021), with the number of adults with learning disabilities increasing by roughly the same amount

The number of children in Havering with learning difficulties and disabilities (LDD) will increase, most significantly among primary school age children. Current projections suggest an overall increase of 7.5% across all categories of LDD by 2017. The most common categories of LDD are Moderate Learning Disability (30%), Behaviour, Emotional and Social Difficulties (19%) Speech, Language and Communication Needs (17%). The latest School Census (January 2012) identified that there were 1,966 pupils in Havering receiving some sort of Special Educational Needs (SEN) provision. The most common presentations were speech, language and communication needs (546 cases), moderate learning difficulty (458 cases) and behaviour, emotional and social difficulties (401 cases).

6 The section on disability is mainly informed by 2011/12 Joint Strategic Needs Assessment data.

http://www.haveringdata.net/research/jsna.htm

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3. Ethnicity

Ethnic profile

Havering has the highest percentage (83.3%, 207,815 people) of White English/ Welsh/ Scottish/ Northern Irish/ British compared to London (44.9%) and E&W (80.5%)

The ethnic minority population in Havering is 12.4% (29,417 people). This percentage is well below the London average (52.9%) and the average for England (19.2%)

Of the ethnic minority population in Havering, 4.8% are Black or Black British, 3.2% are Asian or Asian British, 2.1% are from Mixed origin

Within the ethnic categories7, the largest ethnic groups in Havering are Black African (3.2%) followed by Other White (3%) and Indian (2.1%)

Although it is one of the least diverse boroughs in London, Havering has had the highest percentage increase between 2001 Census and 2011 Census of all London boroughs, - the percentage of BME communities has more than doubled, - with the following ethnic groups seeing the highest rise: African (451%, 6,204 people), Pakistani (226%, 1,035 people), White & Black (Mixed origin) Caribbean (138%, 1,143 people) and Caribbean (86%, 1,331 people)

2001 Census – 2011 Census Changes Ethnic group percentage increase

Havering London

White British -4 -14

Irish -12 -20

Other White 100 75

Mixed White & Black Caribbean 138 68

White & Black African 215 92

White & Asian 64 69

Other mixed 103 95

Asian or British Asian Indian 82 24

Pakistani 226 57

Bangladeshi 351 44

Other Asian 295 20

Black or Black British Caribbean 86 0

African 451 51

Other Black 388 182

Chinese or other ethnic group Chinese 65 55

Other ethnic group 218 149

The latest School Census (January 2012) reported that nearly a quarter (23%) of school pupils in Havering8 were from non-White ethnic groups, with the most common ethnic group being Black or Black British (9%).

7 Note: Ethnic Group categories changed between 2001 and 2011 with the addition of the groups Arab and Gypsy & Irish

Traveller. For the purposes of comparison Gypsy & Irish Traveller has been added to the Other White Category while Arab included under Other Ethnic Group

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Country of Birth

Country of birth has nine broad categories (England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, UK not otherwise specified, Ireland, Other EU Member countries in March 2001, Other EU Accession countries April 2001 to March 2011 and Other countries). These nine broad categories consist of over 50 smaller categories

In terms of the broad country of birth categories, Havering has:

o the highest percentage of residents born in England (88.4%) compared to E&W (80%) and London (60.1%)

o the lowest percentage of residents being born in Northern Ireland, Other EU Member countries in March 2001, Other EU Accession countries April 2001 to March 2011 and Other countries9

The biggest percentage increase for Havering in terms of the country of birth broad categories was Other Countries (136%, 11,537).

2011 Census: Country of birth percentage increase

England Northern Ireland

Scotland Wales Republic of Ireland

EU (Member countries in March 2001)

Other countries

Havering 1 -11 -21 -34 -7 31 136

London 0 -4 -27 -48 -17 56 61

Passports held10

Havering has the second highest percentage (82.1%) of all London boroughs to hold a UK passport.

Havering residents’ top four categories in passports held are:

o UK – 82.1%

o No passport – 12.3 %

o EU countries – 2.3%

o Middle East and Asia - 1.1%.

8 This category refers to pupils who go to schools in Havering and reside in and out of the borough

9 The 2011 EU Accession countries category is grouped with the Other Countries category and is compared to the 2001

category ‘Elsewhere’. The 2001 Other EU Countries is compared with the 2011 category EU Member Countries in March

2001

10 Passports held consist of 12 categories (no passport, UK, Republic of Ireland, EU countries, Non-EU countries, Africa,

Middle East and Asia, North America and the Caribbean, Central America, South America, Antarctica and Oceania and

British Overseas Territories).

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Migrant Population

Year of arrival for Havering residents highlights that 89.7% are born in the UK - the highest percentage compared to London (63.3%) and E&W (86.6%)

Havering has the lowest percentage for those who arrived between 1961 and 2011 compared to all other areas

Age of arrival in the UK consists of four year age bands, Havering has the lowest percentage of each category compared to London and E&W (although some of the age ranges find a number of boroughs all having the lowest percentage)

Length of residence in the UK (for those not born in the UK) highlights Havering as having the lowest percentage of all categories compared to London and E&W (see table below):

2011 Census: Length of residence percentage breakdown

Resident in UK: Less than 2 years

Resident in UK: 2 years or more but less than 5 years

Resident in UK: 5 years or more but less than 10 years

Resident in UK: 10 years or more

England and Wales 1.7 2.1 2.8 6.8

England 1.8 2.2 2.9 7.0

London 4.5 5.6 7.6 19.0

Inner London 6.2 6.8 8.5 20.7

Outer London 3.4 4.8 7.0 17.8

Havering 0.7 1.2 2.2 6.1

Language

Household language consists of four categories (see table below)

2011 Census: Household language percentage breakdown

All people aged 16 and over in household have English as a main language (English or Welsh in Wales)

At least one but not all people aged 16 and over in household have English as a main language (English or Welsh in Wales)

No people aged 16 and over in household but at least one person aged 3 to 15 has English as a main language (English or Welsh in Wales)

No people in household have English as a main language (English or Welsh in Wales)


England 90.9 3.9 0.8 4.4

London 74 10.4 2.6 12.9

Inner London 70.3 11.7 2.7 15.3

Outer London 76.7 9.5 2.5 11.2

Havering 94.4 2.6 0.7 2.3

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Havering has the highest percentage (94.4%) of people aged 16 and over who have English as a main language within the household compared to E&W (91.2%) and London (74%)

Havering has the lowest percentage in all other categories compared to London and E&W

The percentage of ‘no people in household have English (or Welsh in Wales) as a main language’ is 2.3%

The latest School Census (January 2012) reported that 9.4% of school-aged children11 in Havering speak a language other than English, with 10 most spoken languages (after English) in Havering being: Yoruba, Lithuanian, Bengali, Punjabi, Urdu, Polish, Albanian, Chinese, French and Tagalog/Filipino.

4. Religion

2011 Census: Religion, percentage breakdown

Religion % Havering % London % E&W

Christian 65.6 48.4 59.3

No religion 22.6 20.7 25.1

Religion not stated 6.7 8.5 7.2

Muslim 2.0 12.4 4.8

Hindu 1.2 5 1.5

Sikh 0.8 1.5 0.8

Jewish 0.5 1.8 0.5

Other religion 0.3 0.6 0.4

Buddhist 0.3 1 0.4

Over 65% of Havering’s population stated that they are Christian, followed by over a fifth (22.6%) with no religion and just below 7% who preferred not to state their religion

Other religions in the borough are: Muslim (2%), Hindu (1.2%), Sikh (0.8%), Jewish (0.5%) and Buddhist (0.3)

When comparing 2001 to 2011 Census results, Havering has the biggest percentage increase in Sikh (106%, 992 people) as a religion and those who stated No religion (81.1%, 23,982 people) compared to all London boroughs (see table below).

2001 Census – 2011 Census Changes: Religious percentage change

Christian Buddhist Hindu Jewish Muslim Sikh Other religion

No religion

Religion not stated

Havering -8.9 88.1 72.8 3.2 168.3 106.0 52.1 81.1 -10.0

London -5.2 51.1 40.9 -0.8 66.8 21.0 31.2 49.9 11.5

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This category refers to pupils who go to schools in Havering and reside in and out of the borough.

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5. Sex / Gender

Of Havering’s population, 52% (123,023 people) are girls and women and 48% (114,209) are boys and men. The percentage of girls and women in Havering is slightly above the average for London (50%) and England (51%)

2011 Census: Gender breakdown of population


All people (2011) 237,232 8,173,941 53,012,456

All Males (2011) 114,209 4,033,289 26,069,148

All Females (2011) 123,023 4,140,652 26,943,308

The greater number of women than men in Havering’s population may in part be explained by the longer female life expectancy: 83.3 years for women compared to 79.2 years for men12

Female disability free life expectancy in Havering (68.1 years) is also higher than male disability free life expectancy (65.6 years). However, disability free life expectancy rates are slightly higher than London and national trends13.

6. Sexual Orientation, Marriage and Civil Partnership

There is no reliable information on sexual orientation at local or national levels. To date, the only information we hold is on same-sex civil partners (see table below):

2011 Census: Marital / Civil partnership status percentage breakdown

Single (never married or never registered a same-sex civil partnership)

Married In a registered same-sex civil partnership

Separated (but still legally married or still legally in a same-sex civil partnership)

Divorced or formerly in a same-sex civil partnership which is now legally dissolved

Widowed (including surviving partner from a same-sex civil partnership)

England and Wales

34.6 46.6 0.2 2.6 9.0 7.0

England 34.6 46.6 0.2 2.7 9.0 6.9

London 44.1 39.8 0.4 3.2 7.4 5.0

Havering 33.0 48.5 0.1 2.4 8.0 7.9

Havering has the lowest percentage for registered same-sex civil partnerships (0.1%) compared to London (0.4%) and E&W (0.2%)

Havering has the highest percentage (7.9%) of widowed (including surviving partner from a same-sex partnership14) compared to E&W (7%) and London (5%)

12 Office for National Statistics 2007-2009(ONS), released 2012

13 Office for National Statistics 2007-2009 (ONS), released 2012

14 This category refers to the legal binding of a couple so that they are either married or in a civil partnership.

12

Over half (57.6%) described their living arrangements as ‘living in a couple’. Of those, the majority (47.5%) are either married or in a Civil Partnership and further 10% are co-habiting (see table below):

2011 Census: Living arrangement percentage breakdown

Living in a Couple: Married or in a registered same-sex civil partner-ship

Living in a Couple: Co-habiting

Not Living in a Couple: Single (never married or never registered a same-sex civil partner-ship)

Not Living in a Couple: Married or in a registered same-sex civil partner-ship

Not Living in a Couple: Separated (but still legally married or still legally in a same-sex civil partner-ship)

Not Living in a Couple: Divorced or formerly in a same-sex civil partnership which is now legally dissolved

Not Living in a Couple: Widowed (including surviving partner from a same-sex civil partnership)

England and Wales

45.9 11.9 25.8 1.4 2.1 6.6 7.0

England 45.9 11.9 25.8 1.5 2.1 6.5 6.9

London 37.4 10.8 35.4 2.9 2.7 6.1 5.0

Havering 47.5 10.1 25.9 1.2 2.0 6.0 7.9

For further information on the diversity profile of Havering’s population, please visit our Data Intelligence Hub.


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III. Havering’s Socio-economic Profile

1. Economic and social inclusion

Labour market

Of Havering’s population who are economically active (almost 64% or 109,522 people in total), 39.7% are economically active full-time which is higher than E&W (38.5%) and only slightly less than London (39.8%). The percentage of part-time employees mirrors that of E&W and is higher than London (see table below):

2011 Census: Economically active percentage breakdown

Area Economically active: Employee: Part-time

Economically active: Employee: Full-time

Economically active: Self-employed

Economically active: Unemployed


England 13.7 38.6 9.8 4.4

London 10.9 39.8 11.7 5.2

Inner London 9.4 41.1 11.6 5.6

Outer London 11.9 39 11.7 4.9

Havering 13.7 39.7 10.5 4.5

In terms of those who are economically active but unemployed (4.5% or 7,701 people), Havering has seen an 82% increase since 2001 (Havering saw the second highest percentage increase after Barking & Dagenham at 83%, whilst London had a 38% increase)

Of those who are economically inactive, the percentage (14.3%) of retired residents within Havering is greater than all other areas (see table below):

2011 Census: Economically inactive percentage breakdown

Area Economically inactive: Retired

Economically inactive: Student (including full-time students)

Economically inactive: Looking after home or family

Economically inactive: Long-term sick or disabled

Economically inactive: Other

England and Wales

13.8 5.8 4.3 4.2 2.2

England 13.7 5.8 4.4 4.0 2.2

London 8.4 7.8 5.2 3.7 3.2

Inner London 6.2 9.0 4.9 4.2 3.6

Outer London 9.9 7 5.5 3.3 2.9

Havering 14.3 4.6 4.9 3.2 2.0

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Compared to 2001 Census all categories above have seen a decrease with exception of students which saw a 72% increase - these results mirror the London trend

Havering’s 16-24 year age range for unemployment remains at a higher percentage than all other areas but only by 0.1 of a per cent (see table below):

2011 Census: Unemployment percentage breakdown

Area Unemployed: Age 16 to 24

Unemployed: Age 50 to 74

Unemployed: Never worked

Long-term unemployed


England 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.7

London 1.2 0.9 1.1 2.0

Inner London 1.2 0.9 1.2 2.2

Outer London 1.2 0.9 1 1.9

Havering 1.3 0.8 0.7 1.8

Compared to the 2001 Census all categories above experienced an increase. Of all the London boroughs Havering had largest increase in Unemployed age 16 - 24 (103% or 1,162 people) compared to London (44%) and Never Worked (274% or 842 people) compared to London (123%)

7% (7,207 households) of households are lone-parent households

43.9% of Havering’s lone parent households are considered to be lone parents not in employment which is higher than E&W at 40.6%

The majority of lone parents in Havering are women (92.1% or 6,638 female lone parents), compared to 7.9% or 569 male lone parents

Women still earn much less than men at local, London-wide and national levels

In 2011 the weekly average (mean) earning rate for people living in the area15 was £566.6, which was significantly higher than the weekly average for England (£500.5) but significantly lower than the weekly average for London (£643.7). For comparison, in 2011 the weekly average (mean) earning rate for people working in the local area was £503.4, which was slightly higher than the weekly average for England (£500) but much lower than the weekly average for London (£708)

In 2011 the weekly median (middle amount earned) earning rate for people living in the area was £511.19, which was significantly higher than the weekly median for England (£410.5) but lower than the weekly median for London (£518.5). For comparison, in 2011 the weekly median (middle amount earned) earning rate for people working in the local area for the same period was £427.7, which was higher than the median for England (£410.2) but significantly lower than the median for London (£566.5).

15 This also includes people who commute out to work outside the local area.

15

Social inclusion16

According to the Regional Labour Market Survey (March 2012)17, 3.9% of residents were on Jobseekers’ Allowance (JSA) which is a lower rate than national or regional averages. Department for Work and Pensions data from 2010 identifies that 3.1% of Havering’s population claim Incapacity Benefits (IB), of which 81.8% have been on IB for over five years, which is 1.5% more than the London average but lower than IB claimants nationally.

13% (18,875 people) of the working-age population in Havering were claiming benefits, which is slightly lower than the average for London (15%) and England (15%). Of these, 37% (7,335 people) of benefit claimants receive IB, nearly three in ten (29% or 5,640 people) receive JSA and 8% (1,645) receive Carers Allowance

53% (10,410 people) of working-age benefit claimants are women, compared to 47% (9,180 people) men who are working-age claimants

Over one in five (21% or 8,845 people) are in receipt of Pension Credit, which is below the average for London (32%) and England (26%)

Of people on low income, 15% are Housing Tax Benefit claimants and 21% are Council Tax Benefit claimants. These rates are lower than the average for London and England

Women comprise: 78% of Carers Allowance Claimants (1,560– higher than London (76%) and England (73%) average, 72.4% of Income Support claimants, 65.6% of Pension Credit claimants and 64% of Housing and Council Tax Benefit claimants.

2. Deprivation18

Overall, Havering is ranked 177th out of 326 local authorities for deprivation (1st being most deprived, 326th being least deprived)

Havering does not appear in the top 50 most deprived local authorities for any of the seven summary measures that make up the Indices of Multiple Deprivation. However, there are pockets of deprivation, with two small areas of Havering falling into the 10% most deprived areas in England (an area in Gooshays and an area in South Hornchurch), and 11 small areas in Havering falling into the 20% most deprived areas in England

Overall, Gooshays remains the most deprived ward in Havering, with Hylands ward being the least deprived.

Currently there are 106 families identified as families with multiple complex needs by one or more of the following criteria19:

16 Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), released 2012

17 Regional Labour Market Survey 2012, Office for National Statistics, released 2012

18 Index of Multiple Deprivation, Communities and Local Government, released 2011

19 Troubled Families Team, Nov 2012 It is expected that by March 2013 the number of identified families will increase to 138 for year

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Criteria Number (of 106)

School exclusion 26

School absence 27

Unemployment 98

Offending behaviour 89

ASB 28

Mental health 10

Substance misuse 15

Domestic Violence 9

Housing 37

3. Child Poverty20

When compared to other London boroughs, Havering had a relatively small proportion of children living in poverty in 2009 (the sixth smallest proportion of children living in poverty in London)21

However, when looking at the overall change in child poverty between 2006 and 2009, Havering showed an overall increase in the proportion of children living in poverty. In London overall during this time period, trends were mixed. All inner London and half of outer London boroughs showed a decrease in the levels of child poverty, apart from four boroughs that showed an overall increase (Havering, Bexley, Kingston upon Thames and Sutton).

19% of children were still estimated to be living in poverty in Havering in 200922. When breaking down this percentage further, 19% of children live in out-of-work families23 and 13% of pupils are eligible for free school meals24.

4. Education25

In 2011 80.5% of pupils achieved 5 or more GCSE passes at A*-C, a 3.5% increase from 2010

In 2008 2,825 (15%) of pupils were with Special Education Needs (SEN) but without statements. In 2012 599 (1.4%) of SEN pupils were with statements26

In 2010 nearly 4% of young people between 16 and 18 years of age were not in education, employment or training (NEET)

In 2010 nearly a quarter (24.4%) of pupils have experienced bullying, which is a significant decrease from 2009 (42.6%)27

16% of working-age (23,800) people have no qualifications28.

20 Children in Poverty Intelligence Update, Greater London Authority, released 2011

21 Children in Poverty Statistics, Her Majesty’s Revenues and Customs, released 2009 22 According to DWP (2008) – 22% of children in Havering live in families in receipt of IS/JSA or whose income is <60% median income 23 HM Revenue and Customs (Q04), 2011 24 Department for Education School Census, 2010 25 Department for Education (DofE) / School Census, 2010

26 Department for Education (DofE) , released 2008-12 27 Tell Us Once Survey, Ofsted, 2010 28 Annual Population Survey, 2010

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5. Housing

Household composition

Havering's household composition is mainly pensioners and married couples with dependent children

98% of Havering households have central heating (second highest percentage, sharing with three other boroughs) compared to London (97.2%) and E&W (97.3%)

2.8 is the average number of bedrooms per household, this is the highest percentage compared to London (2.5) and E&W (2.7)

Households with ‘3 cars or more’ have increased significantly in the City of London (76%), with Havering and Bexley seeing the biggest increase of over 50% in ‘4 cars or more’.

13.9% of our 65+ population are one person households (the highest in London). Our data shows that older residents living alone are much more likely to have contact with social services and use services such as home help and meals on wheels, and generally require much more support than those not living alone

There are 53.4% (40,722) of households in Havering where all adults are working and 16% (12,256) of households where no adults are working. These rates are similar to the average for London and England29

2011 Census reports that 9.4% (9,137) of households in Havering are living in poor conditions: do not have central heating and/or live in overcrowded housing

The Centre for Sustainable Energy reported that in 2010 12.5% (11,370) of households in Havering were living in fuel poverty30

According to 2008 Office for National Statistics data, based on income figures, 19% (17,347) of households in Havering are living in poverty31, which is below the average for London (25%) and England (21%)32

In 2011 the Communities and Local Government reported that 6% of homeless households (513 households) live in temporary or hostel accommodation (rate per 1,000 households)33.

29 Annual Population Survey (APS), released 2011

30 Centre for Sustainable Energy, released 2010 Fuel poverty occurs when in order to heat its home to an adequate standard of warmth a household needs to spend more

than 10% of its income on total fuel use.

31 The proportion of households living in poverty is the proportion of households whose mean weekly equivalised income

is below 60% of the England and Wales after housing costs (estimated to be a net income of less than £199 a week)

32 Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 2008

33 Communities and Local Government, 2011

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Tenure

Havering has the highest percentage of owner-occupiers with 73.7% owning their own property in London

Havering’s largest owner-occupiers category is ‘owned with a mortgage or loan’ at 38.1% (third highest of all London boroughs)

Havering’s second largest owner-occupiers category is ‘owned outright as tenure’ at 35.6% - the highest percentage in this category compared to London and E&W, as illustrated in the table below:

2011 Census: Tenure percentage breakdown

Owned: Owned outright

Owned: Owned with a mortgage or loan

Shared ownership (part owned and part rented)

Social rented: Rented from council (Local Authority)

Social rented: Other

Private rented: Private landlord or letting agency

Private rented: Other

Living rent free

England and Wales

30.8 32.7 0.8 9.4 8.2 15.3 1.4 1.4

England 30.6 32.8 0.8 9.4 8.3 15.4 1.4 1.3

London 21.1 27.1 1.3 13.5 10.6 23.7 1.3 1.3

Inner London

14.1 19.4 1.5 18.8 14 29.2 1.6 1.5

Outer London

26.2 32.7 1.1 9.7 8.2 19.9 1.2 1.2

Havering 35.6 38.1 0.6 10.8 3.4 9.9 0.8 0.8

Private and Social Rented Sector

As seen from the table below, the (non-LA) social rented sector in Havering has seen a significantly higher increase (104% compared to London at 26%) which means that the demand has significantly increased for the past ten years and will continue to increase in the future

The private rented sector (private landlord or letting agency) has increased over the same time period by 113% compared to London’s 49% which shows that it has been and will continue to be under increasingly severe pressure

2001 Census - 2011 Census Changes: Tenure percentage change

Owned Social Rented Private Rented Other

Owned outright

Owned with a mortgage or loan

Shared ownership (part owned and part rented)

Rented from council (LA)

Other social rented

Private landlord or letting agency Other

Living rent free

Havering 9 -9 66 -8 104 113 35 -25

London 4 -12 45 -15 26 79 108 -21

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Private rented accommodation forms a small proportion of the housing stock in Havering. According to the 2011 Census, only 9.9% of the households in Havering rent from a private landlord, against the Outer London average of 19.9% and the London-wide average of 23.7. This is the lowest percentage in London, (excluding the City of London). This translates into the lowest actual number of private rented properties in London, at just 9,601

Average rent in Havering is £863 per month - the 3rd cheapest rent compared to all other London boroughs34 This is likely to mean that our local housing market will be put under significant pressure, and subsequently place a real strain on housing services, more so than in the inner London boroughs.

Homelessness

Each London borough collects and London Councils tracks the number of homeless households placed in the private rented sector out-of-borough by each borough, and the number of such households received from other boroughs

In the 12 months to September 2012, Havering was one of the fourteen boroughs experiencing net inward migration of homeless households into private rented properties

Over this period, Havering received 111 homeless households

Havering does not make out-of-borough placements but the rate of inward migration of homeless households is increasing: in July – September 2011 other boroughs placed 13 homeless families in the Havering, for the same quarter in 2012 this figure had increased markedly to 34.

34

Private Rental Market Statistics Published by VOA in December 2012

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6. Health and Well-being35

Of all London boroughs, Havering has the highest percentage of long-term health problems – both limited a little and limited a lot, - 17.3% (see table below):

2011 Census: Long term health problems percentage breakdown

Day-to-day activities limited a lot: All persons

Day-to-day activities limited a little: All persons

Day-to-day activities not limited: All persons

Day-to-day activities limited a lot: Age 16 to 64

Day-to-day activities limited a little: Age 16 to 64

Day-to-day activities not limited: Age 16 to 64

England and Wales

8.5 9.4 82.1 3.7 4.7 56.3

England 8.3 9.3 82.4 3.6 4.6 56.5

London 6.7 7.4 85.8 3.4 4.2 61.5

Inner London 6.7 6.9 86.4 3.8 4.4 64.8

Outer London 6.8 7.7 85.5 3.1 4.1 59.2

Havering 8.2 9.1 82.7 3.1 4.1 56.2

Since the 2001 Census the rate for all persons fell in every London borough except Bexley (where it rose 0.4 percentage points from 15.6% to 16%) and Havering (up 0.1 points from 17.2 to 17.3 per cent)

Of respondents with very good health, Havering has the lowest percentage of residents with very good health (46%) compared to London and E&W but the highest percentage of residents with good and fair health, respectively at 35.5% and 13.3% (see table below):

2011 Census: Health percentage breakdown

Very good health

Good health

Fair health

Bad health

Very bad health

England and Wales 47.1 34.1 13.2 4.3 1.3

England 47.2 34.2 13.1 4.2 1.2

London 50.5 33.3 11.2 3.7 1.2

Inner London 52.6 31.6 10.5 3.9 1.4

Outer London 49.1 34.5 11.7 3.6 1.1

Havering 46 35.6 13.3 4 1.2

Between 2001 Census and 2011 Census there has been a 23.8% increase in the number of Havering residents who believe they are in good health, compared to London’s (34.9% increase). Those stating fair health saw a decrease of 36.1% between 2001 and 2011, compared to London (39%). Havering also saw a percentage decrease in those considered in bad health (34.2%) compared to London (37.1%)

35 Apart from the 2011 Census data, this section refers to other key sources of information, all of which are listed as

footnotes

21

Havering has the highest percentage of unpaid care compared to London and E&W, with 6.8% of people providing between 1 and 19 hours and further 2.5% of people providing 50 hours of more (see table below)

2011 Census: Unpaid care percentage breakdown

Provides no unpaid care

Provides 1 to 19 hours unpaid care a week

Provides 20 to 49 hours unpaid care a week

Provides 50 or more hours unpaid care a week


England 89.8 6.5 1.4 2.4

London 91.6 5.3 1.3 1.8

Inner London 92.6 4.5 1.2 1.6

Outer London 90.9 5.8 1.4 2

Havering 89.4 6.8 1.4 2.5

As illustrated in the table below, compared to the 2001 Census all categories above experienced an increase with the exception of 1-19 hours of unpaid care which saw a slight decrease of 1%. The largest percentage increase for both Havering (40%) and London (45%) was in the category of 20 – 49 hours.

2001 Census – 2011 Census Changes: Unpaid care percentage change

Provides no care

Provides 1-19 hours care a week

Provides 20-49 hours care a week

Provides 50 hours care a week

Havering 5 -1 40 24

London 14 4 45 25

In 2010, the number of live births in Havering had increased by 14% (up to 2,817) since 200536

The total fertility rate37 in Havering has fluctuated over the years but, in line with national trends, is now higher than it was in 2005 (1.75% in 2005 compared to 1.91% in 2010)38

Teenage conception rate (per 1,000 16-18 years old)39 in Havering remains very high (37.6% for 2008) and is almost unchanged since 1998 (38.3%). Teenage conception rate (per 1,000 13-15 years old) 40 is also relatively high – 6.7%41

36 Number of Live Births by Area of Usual Residence 2005 to 2010, Office of National Statistics, released 2011 37 The total fertility rate is the average number of children a woman would have if she was subject to fertility rates in a

given year, and survived throughout all of her childbearing years

38 Total Fertility Rate, Office of National Statistics, released 2011

39 Teenage conception rate is the proportion of babies conceived by females aged under 18 (as a proportion of 1,000 15-

17 year olds) in the local and comparator areas

40 Teenage conception rate is the proportion of babies conceived by females aged under 16 (as a proportion of 1,000 13-

15 year olds) in the local and comparator areas


22

Female life expectancy in Havering (83.3) remains higher than male life expectancy (79.2), which is in line with the national trends42. Longer life expectancies may result in increased burden of disease if extended survival is accompanied by longer average period of morbidity

Female disability free life expectancy in Havering (68.1) is higher than male disability free life expectancy (65.6). However, disability free life expectancy rates are slightly higher than London and national trends43

In 2009 the death rate decreased by over 3% from 200844. Population ageing and increases in the older old (ages over 80) is contributing to increases in diseases such as dementia45, and in mortality and hospitalisations resulting from illnesses of the frail elderly e.g. pneumonia and bronchitis. By contrast, mortality from heart disease is likely to fall46

13.9% of our 65+ population are one person households (the highest in London). Our data shows that older residents living alone are much more likely to have contact with social services and use services such as home help and meals on wheels, and generally require much more support than those not living alone

Havering has a greater number of residents with dementia than the majority of other London boroughs. Due to Havering’s aging profile, mental health services are and will continue to experience a significant strain

The significant growth in ethnic diversity in the borough means that the demand for specific healthcare services will increase as different ethnic groups are more inclined to experience particular health issues.

There are new illness patterns among the population relating to ethnicity (e.g. increased diabetes, sickle cell anaemia, etc), sexual orientation (e.g. higher rates of breast cancer amongst gay women) and other equality groups.

For further health and well-being information, please visit JSNA page.




45 B James, J Schneider (2010) Increasing incidence of dementia in the oldest old: evidence and implications.

Alzheimer's Research & Therapy, 2010

46 Office of National Statistics. Statistical Bulletin. Births and Deaths in England and Wales, 2010 3. Tromans N, Natamba

E and Jefferies J (2009), Have women born outside the UK driven the rise in UK births since 2001? Population Trends

136, pp 28–42


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7. Crime47

In 2012 the total number of offences in the borough was 16,769, a 3.8% decrease compared to the total number of offences in 2011 (17,436)

In 2012 the total number of racial and religious hate crime offences was 208, no significant difference compared to 2011(208)

Havering is the safest borough in London for homophobic crimes and 16th safest borough in London for racial crimes (by volume or per 1,000 people48)

In 2012 the total number of homophobic offences was six, a slight decrease compared to the total number of homophobic offences in 2011 (eight) but a significant decrease since 2010 (25).

8. Community Cohesion

According to the Place Survey49:

70% of people in Havering believe people from different backgrounds get on well together in their local area

57% of people in Havering feel they belong to their immediate neighbourhood

A quarter (25%) of people in Havering agree that they can influence decisions in their local area

73% of people in Havering are satisfied with their area as a place to live

In Your Council, Your Say Survey50 our residents told us that they:

were satisfied with your local area as a place to live (75%)

believe people get on well together in their neighbourhood (70%)

felt informed about what the Council does (44%).

According to respondents, the most important factors in making the local area a good place to live were:

Health services (55%)

Level of crime (51%)

Clean streets (49%)

Road and pavement repairs (40%)

Public transport (33%)

47 Performance Information Bureau data from the Metropolitan Police for crimes, December 2012

48 Per 1,000 people of Havering population

49 Place Survey, Communities and Local Government, 2008

50 Your Council, Your Say Survey, The London Borough of Havering, 2011

http://www.havering.gov.uk/Documents/Council-democracy-elections/Your%20Council%20Your%20Say%20Report.pdf

24

The issues that respondents felt most need improving in the local area were:

Road and pavement repairs (64%)

Level of traffic congestion (34%)

Activities for teenagers (31%)

Clean streets (29%)

Level of crime (29%)

We undertook a comprehensive qualitative analysis on residents’ views and used the findings to inform our corporate planning and budget setting, and to better target the needs of our residents.

IV. Conclusion In addition to the changing demographic, diversity and socio-economic profile of Havering’s population, the economic downturn has both exacerbated existing issues the borough faces and introduced new challenges such as local government and third sector funding cuts.

As outlined in the Council’s Corporate Plan 2011 – 2014, since 2008, the country has changed significantly. Currently all councils have much less money to spend so we have to make difficult decisions in order to bridge a funding gap of £40 million by 2014. This is in addition to responding to the challenges of a more culturally diverse borough and growing elderly population, placing new pressures on our services. Yet, despite these challenges, our Living Ambition for Havering hasn’t changed. We want our residents to enjoy the highest possible quality of life and we are determined to be a borough that thrives on its links to the heart of the capital, without ever losing the natural environment, historic identity and local way of life that makes Havering unique. We are adapting to our changing role and finding new and innovative approaches to delivering our Living Ambition. We are radically transforming the way we work and moving towards becoming a ‘mixed economy’ council. This means that we will:

Continue to identify efficiencies in the way we work by streamlining back office functions, merging service areas and investing in technology to reduce costs

Develop new ways of delivering services, including through commissioning and sharing services with other local authorities


http://www.havering.gov.uk/Pages/Campaigns/living-ambition-our-20-year-vision.aspx

25

Work in partnership with other public agencies and third sector bodies to outsource and co-deliver services

Promote personal responsibility and civic pride to reduce demand for services and increase community-led projects

Seek and secure external funding to support programmes of work.

These changes are based on some clear principles:

We will do the right thing by our residents by cutting our running costs first to protect frontline services where we can

We will focus our efforts and target resources where they will do the most good for the communities and individuals we support to make the best use of taxpayers’ money

We will allow those individuals and communities that are able and willing to help themselves to do so without unnecessary interference from the Council

We will be fair to those people who rely on our help and provide more choice, freedom and flexibility in the services they receive.

Together, these form the basis of a new understanding with our residents as we set out in our Corporate Plan 2011 – 201451 what they can expect from the Council and how they can get involved in improving the their quality of life. We recognise that we have some gaps in information about our residents. Further 2011 Census releases will give us a more accurate picture and will provide us with more comprehensive information of the borough make up. Our Data Intelligence, robust Equality Analyses and Joint Strategic Needs Assessments, as well as our Equal Opportunities Monitoring process will enable us to get to know our communities even better, adequately asses and address their needs and target our resources where they are most needed.

51

See also the supporting Annual Report 2011/12 and updated Corporate Plan 2013 – 2014.

http://www.havering.gov.uk/Pages/Campaigns/living-ambition-our-20-year-vision.aspx





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Appendices

Appendix 1: Why we collect and monitor customer profile data

Why we want to know more about you

Frequently Asked Questions

This leaflet explains why the Council asks for details about you, where this information goes and how it is used.

1. Why do you want to know more about me?

We are committed to building a community where everyone can flourish and achieve their full potential and the information you give us will help us achieve our commitment of being fair to all.

We value diversity and acknowledge that our customers come from different backgrounds and have different needs, experiences and interests. It’s really important we get to know you better so that we can plan and deliver fair and inclusive services that are tailored to your specific needs.

The information you give us will enable us to:

check whether or not our services are equally accessible to everyone who is entitled to them;

identify and address any barriers to accessing (information about) our services;

continually improve the services we deliver.

2. What is Equal Opportunities Form?

Havering Council monitors the age, disability, gender and race of our service users. For some relevant services we may also ask information about your religion/belief and your sexual orientation.

We collect this information by asking you to fill in an Equal Opportunities Form. The form is very straightforward and should only take a minute to complete.

3. Who chooses the questions listed on the Equal Opportunities Form?

The questions in the Equal Opportunities Form are based on:

legislation (Equality Act 2010); advice from advisory bodies (Equality and Human Rights Commission);

best practice by other local authorities.

4. Is it just Havering Council that carry out equal opps monitoring?

No. All local authorities across the country monitor the age, gender, disability, ethnic origin of those who use their services. Where relevant they also ask about their customers’ religion/belief and sexual orientation.

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5. What will you do with this information?

We use this information to:

make sure that you are being properly catered for;

ensure that you get the right slice of what you’re paying for;

shape our services to meet your specific needs and changing circumstances.

6. Is this information confidential?

Yes. The information you give us is absolutely confidential and anonymous.

The Equal Opportunities Form does not ask about your name or address (apart from your postcode). When we receive the completed form, we keep it separate from any other information that could link it to you.

The information you give us will remain strictly confidential and will be used for monitoring purposes only, in accordance with the Data Protection Act 1998.

7. Do I have to give you this information?

No. All questions in the Equal Opportunities Form are voluntary. If you feel uncomfortable giving us this information, simply tick the ‘prefer not to say’ box or do not answer the question. However, we can’t get things right without your help so we ask you to help us by completing this form.

8. I've already given you this information, why do you want it again?

We recognise that people’s circumstances change all the time and we want to make sure that our services are reflective of people’s changing circumstances.

9. Still have questions?

If you have further questions or want more information about this form, please contact us on [insert the contact name and details of the service/officer collecting this form].

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Appendix 2: How we collect customer equal opportunities data

Equal Opportunities Form We want to know you better…

… so that we can continue to plan and deliver fair and inclusive services that are tailored to your specific needs.

The information you give us will remain strictly confidential and will be used for monitoring purposes only, in accordance with the Data Protection Act 1998.

What is your postcode?

Are you… Male Female

What is your age?

Under 18 18 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54

55 - 64 65 - 74 75 - 84 85 - 89 90+

What is your ethnic group?

A. White D. Black or Black British

British African

Irish Caribbean

Any other white background Any other black background

If other, please state below If other, please state below

B. Mixed E. Other ethnic group

White and Black Caribbean Arab

White and Black African Any other ethnic background

White and Asian If other, please state below

Any other mixed background

If other, please state below Prefer not to say

C. Asian or Asian British

Indian

Pakistani

Bangladeshi

Chinese Any other Asian background

If other, please state below

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Is English your first language? Yes No

If no, please specify

Do you consider yourself to have a disability? Yes No Unsure

The Equality Act 2010 defines disability as "a physical or mental impairment which has a substantial and long-term adverse effect on (a person's) ability to carry out normal day-to-day activities".

If yes, which of the following best describes your disability? (tick all that apply) Mobility difficulties (wheelchair user) Mental health needs

Mobility difficulties (non wheelchair) user)

Long-term illness or health condition

Sight difficulties Unseen disability (e.g. diabetes, cancer, epilepsy, asthma)

Speaking difficulties

Hearing difficulties Other

Learning difficulties If other, please specify below

Prefer not to say

Thank you!

All information will be kept strictly confidential and will be used for monitoring purposes only

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