Demand and Value

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    Demand and valueDemand and value

    SituationsSituationsManish JantikarManish Jantikar

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    Since B2B marketers target only other

    businesses, they have considerably more

    targeted markets than B2C marketers.

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    The realities of business markets

    a reality of Business marketing per se is thatsuppliers face concentrated markets whereindividual customers may be critically important.These customers are not passive but actively

    search out and interact with selected suppliers,requiring customized products. These marketsare characterized by interaction, mutualdependency and trust. Negotiation is commonand business success is often determined by theability of individuals to manage the suppliercustomer relationships over considerableperiods of time.

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    These interactions may involve many

    people from different functions and levels

    in both supplier and customer companies.Although specific transactions (the focus

    of much consumer marketing literature)

    are often important, it is the overall

    relationship which is critical to success.Thus, relationship marketing becomes the

    new marketing management challenge.

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    Effectiveness in B2B marketsEffectiveness in B2B markets

    To be effective, marketers must address a number of keyquestions:

    _ How is buying behaviour different in business markets?

    _ Who are the key participants in purchasing?_ What process and procedures are followed in choosingand evaluating competitive offerings?

    _ What criteria are used in making buying decisions?

    _ What sources of information and influence are used?

    _ What organizational rules and policies are important?

    _ What key relationships exist with other suppliers andbuyers?

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    Organizational buying structuresOrganizational buying structures

    An organization is a group of people pursuing a common aimthrough co-ordinated activities. Organizations are characterized bystructure, activity and goals. By analysing organizational buying inthe light of these three factors, it is possible to highlight the essentialelements of organizational buying behaviour.

    A major characteristic of organizational buying is that it is a groupactivity. It is comparatively rare that a single individual within anorganization will have sole responsibility for making all the decisionsinvolved in the purchasing process, and commonly we find a numberof people from different areas of the business and of varying statusinvolved.

    This group is usually described as the decision-making unit or

    buying centre. Thus, a major challenge facing business marketersand sales people is the identification of these key individuals whoconstitute the buying centre, the roles of these individuals and thevarious factors that may influence its constitution, and the majorgoals being pursued.

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    Value in Business MarketsValue in Business Markets

    Value in Business markets is defined as

    the economic, technical, service andsocial

    benefits received

    by a customer firm inexchange for the price paid for a product

    or service offering.

    Another way to define is ratio betn what

    the customer gets to what he gives.

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    Value can be expressed in

    Monetary Terms

    Net Benefits Value is what a customer gets for the price he

    pays

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    Estimating CustomerValueEstimating CustomerValue

    Methods

    Focus Group

    Customer interview Internal test

    Conjoint Analysis

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    The Determinants of DemandThe Determinants of Demand

    Demand is the quantity of a product that purchasers

    are willing and able to purchase in a specified period

    It is determined by

    Own Price - Po

    Price of other products, especially close substitutes and

    complements, Pc,s

    Consumers disposable incomes, Yd

    Consumers tastes, T

    T

    he amount spent on advertising the product, Ao The amount spent on advertising complements and

    substitutes, A c,s

    Interest rates (i) and credit availability (C)

    Expectations of future prices and supply conditions(E)

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    These Relationships May beThese Relationships May be

    Represented As:Represented As: A demand function - the general

    mathematical form Qd = f(Po,Po,Ps,Yd,Ao,Ac,As,I,C,E)

    A demand curve

    Price

    Quantity Demanded

    The demand curve shows the quantity that would

    be bought at each price, for some fixed

    combination of all other factors

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    The Demand CurveThe Demand Curve

    D-curve shifts when anything except own-

    price changes

    Own Price

    Quantity Demanded

    A demand-curve shows the quantities sold at each

    price, assuming other things do not change.

    Assume here does not mean we believe this to be

    true but simply if. We know the other things

    change but we can only show two dimensions on a

    diagram.

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    Concepts ofElasticityConcepts ofElasticity

    Own price elasticity is:

    percentage change in quantity demanded, divided by percentage

    change in price:

    If demand isprice-elastic, revenue increases with lower prices.

    If demand isprice-inelastic, revenue decreases with lower prices Cross-price elasticityof demand between substitutes is positive Income-elasticitydetermines how demand changes with customers incomes.

    For most goods income-elasticity is positive. Advertising elasticityis important in deciding on advertising budgets. It is

    positive.As the level of advertising increases, we would expect advertisingelasticity to fall.

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    The DemandThe Demand--Curve:ExamplesCurve:Examples

    Zero-elasticity at all prices

    Price

    Quantity

    Ed = 0

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    The DemandThe Demand--Curve:ExamplesCurve:Examples

    Infinite elasticity at all prices

    Price

    Quantity

    Ed = g

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    The DemandThe Demand--Curve:ExamplesCurve:Examples

    Unitary elasticity at all prices

    Price

    Quantity

    Ed = -1

    This curve is a rectangular

    hyperbola such that price x quantity

    is a constant

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    The DemandThe Demand--Curve:ExamplesCurve:Examples

    A Linear Demand Curve

    Price

    Quantity

    Ed = -1

    Ed = 0

    Ed = -g

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    Demand and Marginal RevenueDemand and Marginal Revenue

    A Linear Demand Curve

    $

    Quantity

    Ed = -1

    Ed = 0

    Ed = -g

    Marginal Revenue

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    Industrial demandIndustrial demand

    Derived demand

    Fluctuating Demand acceleration effect

    Stimulating Demand- eg. Intel inside, SAIL

    Joint Demand eg. Cable jointing kit. 12 diff.items. One needs to be purchased if the otherhas to be used.

    Cross Elasticity of demand It is the reaction of

    sales of one product to a price change inanother product. Eg. Demand for Aluminiumdoors.

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    If the cross elasticity of the substitute

    products is high, it indicates that the

    products compete in the same market.

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    Determinants ofOtherDeterminants ofOther

    Elasticities

    Elasticities

    Income Elasticity

    Type of good

    necessities - salt, drinking water, zero elasticity

    luxuries, zero at low levels of income then high whenincome thresholds exceeded

    inferior goods - negative, purchase less as income rises -

    bus travel, low-grade margarine, paraffin

    Cross-price elasticity

    substitutes or complements,and how close?

    An industry is a group of firms producing products

    with high positive cross-elasticities

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    The Demand Curve for anThe Demand Curve for an

    Individual FirmIndividual Firm Depends on the conditions of competition For a monopoly, industry demand curve is the

    firms demand-curve

    Under perfect competition, demand is infinitely

    elastic at the market price

    Where competition is amongst a few firms it

    depends on each firms market share and rivalsreactions

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    Elasticity and the Power ofElasticity and the Power of

    BuyersBuyers Buyer power has two components price sensitivity of buyers (looser version of

    the elasticity concept)

    bargaining power of buyers

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    Bullwhip EffectBullwhip Effect

    With the Bullwhip effect demand order variability

    is amplified as one moves up the supply chain.

    This is because demand information is distorted

    as it is transmitted up the supply chain.

    Causes erratic shifts in orders up and down the

    supply chain.

    Proctor and Gamble Pampers Hewlett-Packard - Printers

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    Symptoms of the Bullwhip EffectSymptoms of the Bullwhip Effect

    Excessive Inventory

    Poor Forecasts

    Insufficient and/or excessive capacities Unavailable Products

    Long Backlogs

    Costs forExpedited Shipments and Overtime

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    Impact ofOrdering Strategies onImpact ofOrdering Strategies on

    Bullwhip EffectBullwhip Effect

    Nave forecast order only what is ordered

    Exponential smoothing at =0.1, 0.5, and 0.9

    Order what is ordered plus cumulative backlog

    Order what is ordered + cumulative backlog

    unless inventory is some amount more thanorder + cumulative backlog

    Order what is ordered + this period backlog

    (not cumulative)

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    Cross Elasticity of DemandCross Elasticity of Demand

    (CPed)(CPed) Cross price elasticity (CPed) measures theresponsiveness of demand for good X followinga change in the price of good Y (a related good)

    CPeD = % change in qty D of product A

    % change in price of product B

    With cross price elasticity we make an importantdistinction between substitute products andcomplementary goods and services.

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    Identify some SubstitutesIdentify some Substitutes

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    Identify some ComplementsIdentify some Complements

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    Cross Price Elasticity forCross Price Elasticity for

    SubstitutesSubstitutes

    Product Close

    Substitute

    Weak

    Substitute

    Good with no

    relationship

    Coca Cola

    Cheese

    Euro Star Journey

    from London to Paris

    Nescafe Filter Coffee

    Ticket to a film at the

    PVR Cinema in Saket

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    Complementary GoodsComplementary Goods

    Product Close

    Complement

    Weak

    Complement

    Good with no

    relationship

    Personal Computer

    A bottle of expensive

    white wine

    Short Break Weekend

    in Manali

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    Cross Elasticity of Demand (CPed)Cross Elasticity of Demand (CPed)

    + = Substitutes+ = Substitutes

    Substitutes: With substitute goods

    such as brands ofrazors, an increase in

    the price of one goodwill lead to anincrease in demandfor the rival product

    Weak substitutes inelastic CPed

    Close substitutes elastic CPed

    Cross price elasticity

    will be positive

    +

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    Cross Elasticity of Demand (CPed)Cross Elasticity of Demand (CPed)

    -- = Complements= Complements

    Complements:

    Goods that are in

    complementary demand

    Weak complements

    inelastic CPed

    Close complements

    elastic CPed

    The cross price

    elasticity of demandfor two

    complements is

    negative

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    Get your calculators readyGet your calculators ready

    CPeD = % change in qty D of product A

    % change in price of product B

    C l l t th CP D d t tC l l t th CP D d t t

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    Calculate the CPeD and stateCalculate the CPeD and state

    whether the goods arewhether the goods are

    complements or substitutes?complements or substitutes?1. A 10% rise in the price of fish may cause

    demand for chicken to increase by 2%.

    2. The fall in the price of paper by 20% causesthe demand for pens to increase by 5%.

    3. A 20% rise in the price of ice cream causesdemand for sweets to increase by 4%.

    4. A 12% fall in the price of air fares leads to a

    30% rise in the demand for foreign holidays.5. A 10% rise in bikes will leave the demand for

    cheese unaffected.

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    AnswersAnswers

    A 10% rise in the price of fish may cause demand for chicken to increaseby 2%.

    +2/+10 = +0.2

    The fall in the price of paper by 20% causes the demand for pens to

    increase by 5%.+5/-20 = -0.25

    A 20% rise in the price of ice cream causes demand for sweets toincrease by 4%.

    +4/+20 = +0.2

    A 12% fall in the price of air fares leads to a 30% rise in the demand for

    foreign holidays.+30/-12 = -2.5

    A 10% rise in bikes will leave the demand for cheese unaffected.

    0/+10 = 0

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    Importance of CPed forImportance of CPed for

    businessesbusinesses Firms can use CPed estimates to predict:

    The impact of a rivals pricing strategies on demand for

    their own products:

    Pricing strategies for complementary goods: Popcorn and cinema tickets are strong

    complements. Popcorn has a very high mark up

    i.e. popcorn costs pennies to make but sells for

    more than a poundIf firms have a reliable estimate for XED they can

    estimate the effect, say, of a two-for-one cinema

    ticket offer on the demand for popcorn

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    Applications of Cross ElasticityApplications of Cross Elasticity

    Effects of the national minimum wage on

    demand for younger and older workers

    (might younger workers be replaced?)

    Higher indirect taxes on goods such as

    tobacco the impact on demand for

    nicotine patches and other substitutes

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    Applications of Cross ElasticityApplications of Cross Elasticity

    Effect on demand for

    different modes of mass

    transport following

    introduction of road pricingschemes in urban areas (e.g.

    the London congestion

    charge and the M6 Toll

    Road)

    Rise in the price of natural

    gas effect on the demand

    for coal used in power

    generation