Delft University of Technology Modeling aircraft ... · 80% for most of the velocity parameters,...

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Delft University of Technology Modeling aircraft performance parameters with open ADS-B data Sun, Junzi; Ellerbroek, Joost; Hoekstra, Jacco Publication date 2017 Document Version Final published version Citation (APA) Sun, J., Ellerbroek, J., & Hoekstra, J. (2017). Modeling aircraft performance parameters with open ADS-B data. 12th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, Seattle, United States. Important note To cite this publication, please use the final published version (if applicable). Please check the document version above. Copyright Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download, forward or distribute the text or part of it, without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license such as Creative Commons. Takedown policy Please contact us and provide details if you believe this document breaches copyrights. We will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. This work is downloaded from Delft University of Technology. For technical reasons the number of authors shown on this cover page is limited to a maximum of 10.

Transcript of Delft University of Technology Modeling aircraft ... · 80% for most of the velocity parameters,...

Page 1: Delft University of Technology Modeling aircraft ... · 80% for most of the velocity parameters, 98% for range parameters 90% for other parameters. Distributions Normal distribution

Delft University of Technology

Modeling aircraft performance parameters with open ADS-B data

Sun, Junzi; Ellerbroek, Joost; Hoekstra, Jacco

Publication date2017Document VersionFinal published versionCitation (APA)Sun, J., Ellerbroek, J., & Hoekstra, J. (2017). Modeling aircraft performance parameters with open ADS-Bdata. 12th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, Seattle, UnitedStates.

Important noteTo cite this publication, please use the final published version (if applicable).Please check the document version above.

CopyrightOther than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download, forward or distribute the text or part of it, without the consentof the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license such as Creative Commons.

Takedown policyPlease contact us and provide details if you believe this document breaches copyrights.We will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim.

This work is downloaded from Delft University of Technology.For technical reasons the number of authors shown on this cover page is limited to a maximum of 10.

Page 2: Delft University of Technology Modeling aircraft ... · 80% for most of the velocity parameters, 98% for range parameters 90% for other parameters. Distributions Normal distribution

Modeling Aircraft Performance Parameters with Open ADS-B Data

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Twelfth USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar

Junzi Sun, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco Hoekstra

Delft University of Technology

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Content

● Background

● Objective

● Method

○ Parameters

○ Flight phases

● Results

● Discussions

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Objective

● Open data

● Operational performance in all flight phases

○ takeoff, initial climb, climb, cruise, descent, final

approach, landing

● Direct performance parameters

○ Speed, vertical rate, distance, etc

● Hidden Performance Parameters

○ Different speed and vertical rate under constant

CAS/Mach profile

● As many aircraft types as possible

● Used for kinematic modeling

● Results are reproducible and open-source

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Why another model ?

Open data, open models.

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Background (Open-source application)

Bluesky - The open-source air traffic simulator

5https://github.com/ProfHoekstra/bluesky

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Background (Data)

Large amount of air traffic data from ADS-B

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Background (Tool)

pyModeS - the Python ADS-B and Enhanced Mode-S decoder

7https://github.com/junzis/pyModeS

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Background (Tool)

Well designed, automatic, flight phase extraction tools

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takeoff > initial climb > climb > cruise > descent > final approach > landing

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Global Forecast System

Updated every 6 hours

All vertical levels, except surface

Smooth wind data from GFS model

Background (Open wind data / model)

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Integrated Surface Data

Typically updated every hour

Only surface data

Real time wind measurements

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Background (Statistical model)

Parametric / non-parametric analysis

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How is it constructed ?

Flight phase and statistics.

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Terms and definitions

● Optimal, minimum, and maximum value

● Confidence intervals

○ 80% for most of the velocity parameters,

○ 98% for range parameters

○ 90% for other parameters.

● Distributions

○ Normal distribution (prefered)

○ Gamma distribution

○ Beta distribution

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Takeoff

● Approximate the takeoff moment

● Parameters

○ Takeoff distance

○ Liftoff speed

○ Mean ground acceleration

Aircraft: Airbus A32013

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Initial climb

● To altitude 1500 ft

● Parameters

○ Speed

○ Vertical speed

Std. at each flight ->

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Climb

Identification of constant CAS/Mach profiles

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Climb

Identification of constant CAS/Mach profiles

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Climb

Parameters

● Speeds

○ CAS

○ Mach

● Vertical rates

○ At different parts

● Transition altitude

● Range of climb

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Cruise

● Parameters○ Operational and maximum cruise speed○ Operational and maximum cruise altitude○ Cruise range

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Descent

Identification of constant Mach/CAS profiles

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Descent

Identification of constant CAS/Mach profiles

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Descent

Parameters

● Speeds

○ CAS

○ Mach

● Vertical rates

● Transition altitude

● Range of descent

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Final approach

● From altitude 1500 ft

● Parameters

○ Speed

○ Vertical speed

Std. at each flight ->

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Landing

● Parameters

○ Landing distance

○ Approach speed

○ Mean ground deceleration

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Results

Open sourced

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Performance Database

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Performance Database

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https://github.com/junzis/ofe

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Discussions

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1. Comparison with BADA

10 parameters on 14 different aircraft

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2. Comparison with EuroControl aircraft performance database

17 parameters on 14 different aircraft

29https://contentzone.eurocontrol.int/aircraftperformance/

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3. CDA vs Non-CDA

Influence of performance parameter due to continuous descent approach

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4. Take-off moment

Locating the take-off moment, limitation in dataset.

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Conclusions

● Performance of 31 most common aircraft types

○ 17 included in the paper

● Accurate models based on 1.7 million of flights

● Comparison with BADA and Eurocontrol database

● Open source database

● Future work to improve the number of aircraft types in the database

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Take away

● Best suit for kinematic ATM studies

● Flight envelop

○ Optimal, minimum, and maximum value

● Stochastic simulation

○ Parametric probability distribution functions

● [Future] kinetic performance model

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Thanks!

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Junzi [email protected]

Delft University of Technology