December, 2001 The Life After…. 2 International Terror Intifada NASDAQ How Bad Is it ?! Next Year...
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Transcript of December, 2001 The Life After…. 2 International Terror Intifada NASDAQ How Bad Is it ?! Next Year...
December, 2001
The Life After …
2
•International Terror•Intifada•NASDAQ
How Bad Is it ?!
Next Year We’ll make the big step
ahead…
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87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00
Bill
ion
sSupply / Demand Repealed
Shares of top five tech firms:Cisco Systems, Intel, Microsoft, Oracle, Sun Microsystems
The world has reached an absurd disparity between the number of outstanding shares of technology stocks and the number of people out there to chase them:
World population
Equity Capital Markets Update
The IPO Market will probably not gain much momentum in the last five weeks of 2001. According to Dealogic, there are only 51 IPOs in the pipeline. This is a considerable decline when compared to the same time last year when 187 companies were scheduled to go public.
The Pipeline
IPO Dollars in Backlog (millions of Dollars)
Technology represents
42% of the dollars in the IPO
pipelines Energy$600M
Financial$3,600M
Healthcare$1,100M
Other $1,700M
Consumer$800M
Tech$5,700M
Mutual Funds Flows
Money Markets: (as of November 20, 2001)
• Assets at an all-time record high of $2.29 trillion
• While money market yields have reached historical lows, they still offer institutional investors a higher return than treasury bills and commercial paper.
Mutual Funds Flows
Equity Funds: (as of November 20, 2001)
• Three consecutive weeks of hefty inflows-assets of $2.73 trillion
• Half of the week’s (November 13-20) inflows of $2.1 billion went into large cap growth funds and half went into small and aggressive growth funds
New Offerings are Trickling Back:
Follow-On Pricings
• Due to Deteriorated market conditions, supply of follow-ons is lighter and the appetite for properly positioned follow-ons is growing
• Although continuing to exhibit concerns about valuations and fundamentals, investors continue to seek growth opportunities
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“Cash Is King…”
• Much less money- 20-25 %
• Very little new investments (in new companies)
• New emphasis on profit, cash flow
• Different schedules- raising money takes a lot of time
• Different legal environment
Venture Capital
New reality in the next few years:
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Get down... New Economy
Old Economy
• Back to reality- sales and profit are “In” again!
• We are five years back…
• Planning of financing and fund raising, sales and profits
• It’s a new world- and we need to get used to it…
In The long run- “The New Economy”?!
What is the market looking for in a tech company?
• A strong management team
• Consistent growth
• A low cash burn rate
• A clear sign to profitability
• Avoid unnecessary hype
• Under promise and over deliver!
Key Take Aways
The New Tech World…