Dec 6 power point mclaughlin asn 12-3-10

Smart Program Investments! Keeping Truant, Suspended & Expelled Students In School! Re-Enrolling Students Who Have Dropped Out of School

Le#BehindintheLaborMarket:TheCon4nuedDeteriora4onofEmploymentOpportuni4esfor

YoungHighSchoolDropoutsintheU.SandIllinois

JosephMcLaughlinCenterforLaborMarketStudies

NortheasternUniversityBoston,MassachuseKs

December2010

Changes in Civilian Employment in the U.S. from November-December 2007 – September-October 2010 by Major Age Group

(Seasonally Adjusted*)

Age Group

November-December

2007 September-

October 2010

Change in Employed

Persons

16+ 146,328 139,226 (7,102)

16-24 19,727 17,097 (2,630)

25-29(1) 16,432 15,476 (956)

16-29 36,159 32,573 (3,586)

55+ 26,209 28,039 1,830 (1)The25‐29yearoldagewasseasonallyadjustedusingthesameadjustmentfactorforallworkers16andolder.

Percentage Point Changes in the Employment/Population Ratios of U.S. Adults By Age Group, January-August 2000 to January-

August 2010 (Not Seasonally Adjusted)

Age Group

(A)

Jan.-Aug. 2000

(B)

Jan.-Aug. 2010

(C) Percentage Point

Change

16+ 64.4 58.5 -5.9

16-19 46.1 26.6 -19.5

20-24 72.2 60.4 -11.8

25-29 81.1 73.0 -8.1

30-34 82.0 74.7 -7.3

35-44 82.1 76.3 -5.8

45-54 80.5 74.8 -5.7

55-64 57.7 60.4 2.7

65+ 12.4 16.1 3.7

Employment/Population Ratios of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Olds in Illinois and the U.S. By Educational Attainment,

2009 Annual Average

44.5%

62.8%

76.3%

86.6%

40.5%

61.9%

75.1%

88.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

<12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma

H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Diploma

Bachelor's or Higher Degree

U.S. Illinois

Full-Time Employment/ Population Ratios of 16-24 Year Olds By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009 Annual Average

25.9%

39.9%

51.8%

59.6%

21.0%

35.1%

47.6%

59.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Bachelor's or Higher Degree

U.S. Illinois

Employment Rates of 16-29 Year Old Dropouts in the U.S. By

Race-Ethnic Group, 2007 and 2010

Race-Ethnic Group

(A)

2007

(B)

Jan.-Oct. 2010

(C)

Percentage Point Change

All 55.5 45.7 -9.8

Black 39.7 29.4 -10.3

Hispanic 63.5 56.5 -7.0

White 53.1 41.8 -11.3

Percent of 16-24 Year Old High School Dropouts Who Were Jobless At the Time of 2009 Survey By Race-Ethnic Group, City

of Chicago and Illinois, 2009

56.8%

79.6%

55.7%

66.8%

57.0%

82.4%

49.4%

62.3%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

White Black Hispanic Total

Chicago Illinois

Mean Annual Earnings of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Old Males By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009

(Including Zero Earners)

9,475

14,019

19,095

27,541

7,328

12,516

18,776

26,354

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

<12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Diploma Bachelor's or Higher Degree

Earnings

U.S. Illinois

Mean Annual Earnings of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Old Females By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009

(Including Zero Earners)

4,626

9,153

14,022

23,903

4,689

9,351

13,466

24,254

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

<12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Diploma Bachelor's or Higher Degree

Earnings

U.S. Illinois

Mean Lifetime Earnings of 18-64 Year Olds (Excluding 18-22 Years Old Students) in the U.S. by Educational Attainment,

1979-2009 (Earnings in 2009 Dollars)

Educational Attainment 1979 2009

Absolute Change, 1979-2008

Percent Change, 1979-2009

<12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma 885,161 652,277 -232,884 -26.3 H.S. Diploma/GED 1,226,563 1,050,306 -176,257 -14.4 Some College, No Diploma 1,497,003 1,377,944 -119,059 -8.0

Bachelor Degree 2,110,084 2,247,568 137,484 +6.5 Master's or Higher Degree 2,708,079 3,163,556 455,478 +16.8

Total 1,359,523 1,556,761 197,237 +14.5

Percent of 16-24 Years Old Men Who Were Incarcerated by Educational Attainment, Illinois and U.S., 2009 Annual Average

10.1

2.1

0.4 0.2

2.1

9.2

2.5

0.7 0.1

2.5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0



BA or Higher Degree Total

Illinois U.S.

Percent of 16-24 Years Old Male High School Dropouts Who Were Incarcerated in Illinois and U.S., 2009 Annual Average

5.4

21.7

3.6

10.1

5.7

22.5

6.2

9.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

White Black Hispanic Total

Illinois U.S.

85.8

95

89.991.2

87.1

75.5

70.3

77.879.3

70

80

90

100

Change in Statewide High School Graduation Rates in Four States That

Implemented the National Governors Association's

4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate

40

50

60

Michigan North Carolina Indiana Connecticut Illinois

Before NGA Cohort Rate NGA Cohort Rate

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

F F, S F, S, J F, S, J, S F, S, J, S

7,708 13,613 19,629 27,663 27,663

F F, S F, S, J F, S, J, S

6,356 12,273 18,528 25,001

F F,S F, S, J

6,815 13,958 18,631

F F, S

6,428 12,831

F

4,732Estimated total youth

out of school in 200988,858

Source: Estimates built from ISBE End of Year Reports "High School Dropouts by Grade, Gender, and Racial/Ethnic

Category," 2004 - 2009. the most recent data available. ASN compiles ISBE dropout data by class and grade in school (9th -

12th) over the course of 5 years to estimate the total number of students, ages 15 - 20, in a given year. ASN estimates that

freshman are 15 - 16 yrs old, sophomores are 16 - 17, juniors are 17 - 18, and seniors are 18 - 19.

Estimated Illinois Dropouts,

Ages 15-20, in 2009

Class of 2008

Class of 2009

Class of 2010

Class of 2011

Class of 2012

Funding for Illinois’ High-Risk Students Provides a Strong�

“Return on Investment”

EachGradua*ngHigh‐RiskStudent

OverTheirLife*me:•  Earns$400,000moreinwagesvs.ahighschooldropout

•  Saves$292,000fortaxpayers

RESTOREANDEXPANDFUNDING•  $30Million—Truants’Alterna*veOp*onalandEduca*onProgram(TAOEP)

•  $30Million—RegionalSafeSchoolsProgram(RSSP)

•  $25Million—IllinoisHopeandOpportunityPathwaysthroughEduca*on(IHOPE)

Closing the Gap For High-Risk Students

Dec 6 power point mclaughlin asn 12-3-10

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