Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0

7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0

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www.whiteboardadvisors.com

EducationInsider:TrackingMeasures,

AssessmentConsortia,StudentSurveys,and

MultiStateAdvocacyGroups

December2012

www.whiteboardadvisors.com

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2/23

WhyEducationInsider

INTRODUCTION

TheValue

Weharnessthe

wisdomof

wellconnected

influentialsto

provide

insights

andpredict

policyoutcomes

forstakeholders

inthe

education

debate.

Whiteboard Advisors is a policyoriented consulting practice. We provide

proprietary research and strategic support to investors and philanthropicdonors, government leaders, and entrepreneurs who seek unparalleledunderstanding of the education policy and business environment.

Education Insider helps those who need quality information to make highstakes decisions about the direction of federal policy. Education Insider

combines the wisdom of informed crowds with expert analysis to offerunparalleled information, analysis, and forecasting on a range of federaleducation policy issues and likely outcomes.

Education Insider conducts an anonymous survey of a small group of keyeducation influentials (policymakers, thought leaders, and association

heads) to get their thoughts and commentary about the context of thecurrent debate and possible outcomes. This helps surface the underlyingdynamics that can affect the trajectory of policies, positively or negatively,and go deeper than the conventional wisdom and rhetoric.

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3/23

WhyEducationInsider

INTRODUCTION

TheProcess

Education Insider is a monthly report that cuts through the noise and

provides realtime insights on national education policy trends, debates,

and issuesfrom the handful of decision makers that are really driving the

process. We combine a survey of key education influencers with our own

analysis to provide a unique perspective on the current state of debate.

Who Are The Insiders?

Influential leaders who are shaping federal education reform, includingindividuals who have or are currently serving as key policy and political

insiders, such as:

Current and former White House and U.S. Department of Educationleaders

Current and former Congressional staff State education leaders including state school chiefs and former

governors

Leaders of major education organizations, think tanks and other keyinfluentials

SurveyInsiders

AnalyzeResults

Report

Insights

Drive

Action

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4/23

InsiderscontinuetobeskepticaloftheCommonCoreassessmentconsortiaespeciallytheSmarterBalancedAssessmentConsortium.Inaddition,67percentofInsidersthinkthatthePARCCconsortiumwillnotsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreacrossstatesonitsassessmentsand76percentofInsidersbelievethesamethingaboutSBAC.

Insidersarenotveryfamiliarwiththeresearchaboutusingstudentsurveysasacomponentofteacherevaluationbutsee

promisein

the

idea.

AmongstateadvocacygroupsInsidersgiveespeciallyhighmarkstoEducationTrust,theFoundationforExcellenceinEducation,and50CANacrossseveraldimensions.

Onregular

tracking

issues

Insiders

are

pessimistic

about

the

prospectsforESEAreauthorization.InsidersremainsplitonjobapprovaloftheObamaAdministrationoneducation.ApprovalforCongressremainsverylow.

72%ofInsidersfeelthat

studentsurveysmaybea

valuablecomponentof

teacherevaluations.

Just15%ofInsidersbelieve

thatESEAreauthorization

willhappenbeforethistime

nextyear.

Anewlowofjust52%of

InsidersthinkthatPARCCis

ontherighttrack.

AmajorityofInsidersthink

thatneither

PARCC

or

SBAC

willsucceedinestablishing

acommoncutscoreonnew

CommonCoreassessments

acrossstates.

ExecutiveSummary

INTRODUCTION

4


5/23

TableofContents

INTRODUCTION

5

TRACKING MEASURES 6

ASSESSMENT CONSORTIA 11

STUDENT SURVEYS 15

MULTI-STATE ADVOCACY GROUPS 19


6/23

CongressionalDisapprovalRisesAgain,AdministrationDisapproval

Steadyat

50

50

Split

TRACKINGMEASURES

Questions(askedseparatelyonInsidersurvey):DoyouapproveordisapproveofthewayCongress/theAdministrationishandlingeducation?

JobApprovalonEducation

26 32 2023 3240

19 3310 5 6

18 146

0 0 8 412

5

74 6880 77

6860

81

6790

95

94

82

86

94

100

100

9296

88

95

6

5%

95%

Approve Disapprove

Congress

50% 50%

Approve Disapprove

WhiteHouse

8064 59 65

55

68

48 46 40 45

59

35

5750 52

45

50 46 50 50

20 3641

3545

32

52 5460

55

41

65

4350 48

55

5054 50 50


7/23

7

TRACKINGMEASURES

ESEAReauthorization:TrackingTimeline

Question: AboutwhendoyoubelieveafinalESEAbillwillbesignedintolaw?

7

Date of Insider Survey

5% 4%12%

33%10% 12% 18%

8% 15%

29%

5%

10%20% 18%

9%10%

24% 33%

35%

32% 36%

33% 20%

35% 29% 40%32% 29%

50% 55%

Apr.'12 Jun.'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12 Nov.'12 Dec.'12

TimingofESEAReauthorization

ByJune

2013 By

Dec.

2013 By

Jun.

2014 By

Dec.

2014 After

Jan.

2015

Insidersremain

dividedonthe

timelinefor

ESEA

reauthorization,

but,asinthelast

survey,none

thinkthat

it

will

happenbefore

latenextyear.


8/23

Why?

BecausetheAdministrationwillhavenoincentivetodoanythingotherthanwaivers

and

will

tell

Miller

and

Harkin

to

back

off

cooperating

so

they

can

continue

to

be

kingmakers.

Thisisaqualifiedresponse.ESEAreauthorizationhasachanceifmembersbegintoworkhonestlyonissues.Ifthefiscalcliffstandoffbecomesprotracted,expectESEA

tohappenafterthenextelectionsin2014.

Allthe

incentives

to

do

it

are

still

missing.

Waivers

just

made

it

more

of

along

shot.

Never.TheywillsoonermoveittotheSmithsonianasanationalrelicthanreauthorizeit.

TheresnoappetitetodoanythingonK12.

At

some

point

the

Obama

Administration

is

going

to

realize

that

waivers

are

not

a

longtermsolutionandtheywantthistohappenontheirwatchratherthanunderthe

nextAdministration(PresidentBushIII?).

Toomuchontheplate.Nointerestorpressuretodosoatthepresenttime.

TomHarkinisnotcapableofreachingadealandCarmelMartindoesntwantone.

8

TRACKINGMEASURES

InsiderInsight:ReauthorizationTiming


9/23

Question:Aretheassessmentcoalitionsontherighttrackorwrongtrack?

Aretheassessmentcoalitionsonthe

righttrackorwrongtrack?

CommonCoreAssessments RightTrackorWrongTrack?

TRACKINGMEASURES

9

Insiders

viewsof

SBACremain

steady.

Theirconcern

aboutPARCC

seemstobe

growing.

73%83% 85%

65% 69% 62%52%

27%17% 15%

35% 31% 38%

49%

Apr.'12 June'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12Nov.'12 Dec.'12

PARCC

RightTrack WrongTrack

29%44% 42%

27%33% 33% 29%

71%56% 58%

73%67% 67% 71%

Apr.'12 June'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12Nov.'12 Dec.'12

SBAC

RightTrack WrongTrack


10/23

10

InsiderInsight:RightTrack/WrongTrack

TRACKINGMEASURES

WhydoyoubelievePARCCandSBACareontherightorwrongtrack?

Theassessmentconsortiacontinuetoworkinearnestontheirdeliverables.

People

seem

to

be

waking

up

that

this

could

be

a

train

wreck

so

thats

a

reason

for

someoptimism,butnotarighttracknod.

PARCCassessmentsaretrulynextgenerationandgetmuchmoreatproblemsolvinganddemonstrationofhowstudentsgottoanswers.Nomoredrillandkillbecauseit

wontworkwiththese.

Imskeptical

that

either

will

actually

launch

with

more

than

ahandful

of

states

apiece.

Itlooksliketheyaregoingtopostponeorcantheuseoftechnologyfortheassessments.

Slowdribblesofinformationsuchastheshortenedtestsorthechoicebetweenlongandshortformatsarentinspiringconfidencethattheconsortiaaremakingdecisionsstrategicallyorwithanypurpose.Justsortoflearningastheygoalongandmaking

publicannouncementsbecausetheyfeelliketheyhaveto.


11/23

MostInsiders

donotbelieve

thatPARCC

will

succeedin

establishinga

commoncut

scorethat

will

beusedbyall

states.

PARCCandCommonCutScores

ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA

11

Question: WillthePARCCassessmentconsortiumsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreonitsteststhatallparticipatingstateswill

use?

11

33%

67%

WILLPARCCsucceedinestablishing

acommoncutscore?

Yes

No


12/23

Insidersare

evenless

certainthat

SBACwill

succeedin

establishinga

commoncut

scoreforits

tests.

SBACandCommonCutScores

ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA

12

Question: WilltheSBACassessmentconsortiumsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreonitsteststhatallparticipatingstateswilluse?

12

24%

76%

WILLSBACsucceedinestablishing

acommoncutscore?

Yes

No


13/23

13

InsiderInsight:CutScores

ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA

Why?

TheymaybeabletogetGovernorstosignon,buttheywill

neverget

State

Boards

to

agree

to

acommon

cut

score.

Thiswillbehardtodowithintheconsortium,butathirdparty

mayestablishasetofperformancebenchmarks.

Maybe

at

first,

but

at

some

point

when

people

see

how

horriblethingslookfortheirchildrenseducation,theincentive

forpeopleonthelocalleveltolobbyforgamingcutscoresto

makethemappearbetterthantheyarewillprobablytakehold.

Whynot.


14/23

14

InsiderInsight:CutScores(cont.)

ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA

Why?

Iammystifiedbythisquestion.Itisafundamentaldeliverable.

Theymay

hang

tough

on

this,

so

yes,

but

its

going

to

cost

them

somestates.

No.Comparabilityonlysoundsgoodintheoryandwhen

billions

of

ARRA

money

is

on

the

table. Stateswilloppose.

Thisisthepointoftheactivitywehavetoholdontothis.


15/23

Insiders

familiaritywith

theuse

of

student

surveysforthe

purposesof

teacher

evaluation

varies,

althoughmost

areat

least

somewhat

familiar.

StudentSurveysasaToolforTeacherEvaluation

STUDENTSURVEYS

15

Question: Howfamiliarareyouwiththeresearchandevidenceonusingstudentsurveysasatoolinteacherevaluationsforelementaryand

secondaryschools?

15

18%

9%

36%

23%

14%

1(Not

at

all

familiar)

2 3(Somewhat

familiar)

4 5

(Very

familiar)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Familiaritywithstudentsurveysfor

teacherevaluationpurposes


16/23

Asignificant

majorityofInsiders

thinkthatteacher

evaluationsshould

includestudent

surveyresults,

thoughsome

qualified

their

responsewitha

suggestionthat

suchdatashould

begiven

appropriate

weights.

StudentSurveysasaToolforTeacherEvaluation

STUDENTSURVEYS

16

Question: Howbeneficialdoyouthinkthisstudentsurveydatawouldbe,intermsofinformingteacherevaluations?

16

5%

24%29%

19%24%

1(Not

at

all

beneficial)

2 3(Somewhat

beneficial)

4 5(Very

beneficial)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Howbeneficialwouldsuch

surveydatabe?


17/23

17

InsiderInsight:StudentSurveys

STUDENTSURVEYS

WhyorWhyNot?

Ithinkstudentswillbegoodpredictorsofeffectivenessifonlyfromtheengagementside.Thebiggerhurdlewillbeteachertrustofthemeasure.

Studentsarerefreshinglyhonestandtheiropinionsmatter.Theirdatashouldbeweightedappropriately,butshoulddefinitelybeused.

Teenagers!

This

was

some

big

news

in

the

Gates

work.

Lost

in

all

their

spin

about

multiplemeasuresandlanguagetosoothetheunionswereafewimportant

findingsandthisisoneofthem.Whoknows,thekidsmayturnouttobe

betteratthisthanthegrownups!

AlthoughIbelievethefieldwillbeslowtoadaptstudentssurveysintotheteacher

evaluation

processit

is

already

overloaded

with

procedures

and

datathedatatheyprovideareusefulandpredictiveofstudentandteacher

successonothermeasures.


18/23

18

MultiStateAdvocacyGroups

MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS

Howeffectivearemultistateadvocacygroupsat

influencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers,inthe

followingareas?

Statepolicyadvocacy Coalitionbuilding Persuasivepolicy/dataanalysis


19/23

MultiStateAdvocacyGroups StatePolicyAdvocacy


1919

Question:Usingthedropdownmenusbelow,pleaserateeachofthefollowingmultistateadvocacygroupsbasedontheireffectivenessat

thestatelevel(intermsofinfluencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers),onascaleof1to5.

Organization Don'tknow

Very

effective Effective

Neither

ineffective

noreffective Ineffective

Very

ineffective

Total

Effective

Total

Ineffective

EdTrust 5% 32% 32% 11% 11% 11% 63% 21%

FoundationforExcellencein

Education 11% 11% 47% 11% 5% 16% 58% 21%

DemocratsforEducation

Reform(DFER) 0% 0% 53% 21% 16% 11% 53% 26%

50CAN 16% 0% 53% 11% 16% 5% 53% 21%StandforChildren 21% 16% 21% 16% 11% 16% 37% 26%

StudentsFirst 11% 5% 21% 32% 16% 16% 26% 32%

BlackAlliancefor

EducationalOptions 32% 0% 16% 16% 16% 21% 16% 37%

StudentsForEducation

Reform(SFER) 42% 0% 5% 11% 32% 11% 5% 42%


20/23

MultiStateAdvocacyGroups CoalitionBuilding


2020




Very

effective Effective

Neither

ineffective


Very

ineffective

Total

Effective

Total

Ineffective


Education 11% 0% 50% 11% 11% 17% 50% 28%

EdTrust 6% 22% 28% 17% 11% 17% 50% 28%

50CAN 28% 0% 44% 11% 11% 6% 44% 17%


Reform

(DFER) 6% 6% 28% 28% 17% 17% 33% 33%StandforChildren 28% 0% 22% 11% 22% 17% 22% 39%

BlackAlliancefor



Reform(SFER) 44% 0% 6% 17% 17% 17% 6% 33%

StudentsFirst 17% 0% 0% 28% 17% 39% 0% 56%


21/23

MultiStateAdvocacyGroups PersuasivePolicy/DataAnalysis


2121




Very

effective Effective

Neither

ineffective


Very

ineffective

Total

Effective

Total

Ineffective

EdTrust 0% 47% 42% 0% 0% 11% 89% 11%

50CAN 17% 6% 50% 0% 22% 6% 56% 28%


Education 17% 6% 33% 6% 22% 17% 39% 39%


Reform

(DFER) 0% 6% 22% 44% 17% 11% 28% 28%StandforChildren 33% 0% 28% 22% 11% 6% 28% 17%

StudentsFirst 17% 0% 11% 28% 22% 22% 11% 44%

BlackAlliancefor



Reform(SFER) 39% 0% 0% 22% 28% 11% 0% 39%


22/23

22

InsiderInsight:ReformAdvocacyGroups

Arethereanysingleormultistateeducationreform

advocacygroupsnotlistedherethatyouthinkare

especiallyeffective?

CenterforEducationReform,NewSchoolsVentureFund

IthinkthePIEnetworkhasbroughtthesegroupstogetherinaninterestingwaythatishelpful.

PIENetwork[2votes]

AdvanceIllinoisand ColoradoSucceeds.TraditionallyEdVoicehasbeen.TerryRyaninOhio(animportantonemanbandfor

schoolreformoutthere).AndallthegroupsinWAstatethat

helpedfinallygetacharterlawthroughthere.The

Massachusettsbusinessgroupcangetitdone.

ConnCAN,PritchardCommittee,CenterforEdReform

Councilof

Great

City

Schools

stands

alone

as

an

effective

organization.

TeachPlushashadsomebigedreformwinsatthedistrictlevelandisstartingtobuildmoreofastateandnationalpresence.

IwanttoemphasizehoweffectiveTheEducationTrustisthemodelforfederaleducationadvocacy.



23/23

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Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0

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Transcript of Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0