Day 1 neno kukuric igrac - methodology

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Almaty - July 2014 Pretashkent Aquifer Case Study Technical Workshop on Project Implementation Project Methodology Neno Kukuric - IGRAC

description

Day 1 neno kukuric igrac - methodology

Transcript of Day 1 neno kukuric igrac - methodology

Page 1: Day 1 neno kukuric   igrac - methodology

Almaty - July 2014

Pretashkent Aquifer Case StudyTechnical Workshop on Project Implementation

Project Methodology

Neno Kukuric - IGRAC

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GGRETA project at glance

• Multi-disciplinary assessment• Hydrogeology• Environmental• Socio-economic• Legal & Institutional

• Existing data

•Target group for outputs is non-technical:

Managers, Decision makers, Stake holders incl. general Public

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Groundwater assessment in general

Environmental issues

Socio-economic aspect Institutional setting Legal framework

Hydrogeological aspect Delineation and description Static data and time-variable Classification, diagnostic analysis and zoning Data harmonisation and information management

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K Kalahari BedsB Kalkland BasaltDo Karoo DoleriteR Rietmond MemberA Auob MemberM Mukorob MemberN Nossob Member

P.E. Pre-Ecca Group

Geological Cross Section-6

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Section-3 Section-4

Section-2Section-1

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TBA assessment: What’s so special ?

• Sharing knowledge and data between countries

• Harmonising information

• Focus on transboundary issues

And ultimately to agree on: • Most important issues (priorities)• the priority actions to be taken

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A q u ifer A ssessm en t - a d efi n iti o n

a consideration of all the facts about it (=the aquifer) and

a judgement or opinion of the position and of

what is likely to happen.

source: Collins – English language dictionary

Projections

This project: Data

IndicatorsAssessment report

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Aquifer Assessment - 1: a consideration of all the facts about the aquifer and a judgement or opinion of the position and

of what is likely to happen.

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Data A Physiography and Climate

– Temperature**– Precipitation**– Evapo-transpiration– Land use**

• Groundwater-fed agricultural land• Groundwater irrigated land• Groundwater supported wetlands and ecosystems• Areas with land subsidence

– Topography: Elevation data (incl. slopes) **– Surface water network

**: global data sets available

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Data B Aquifer Geometry

– Hydrogeological map– Geo-referenced boundary of the Transboundary

Aquifer– Depth of water table/piezometric surface– Depth to top of aquifer formation– Vertical thickness of the aquifer– Degree of confinement– Aquifer's cross section

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800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

(m ASL)

NW SE

50 100 150 200 250 3000 (Km)

K Kalahari BedsB Kalkland BasaltDo Karoo DoleriteR Rietmond MemberA Auob MemberM Mukorob MemberN Nossob Member

P.E. Pre-Ecca Group

Geological Cross Section-6

N

N

P.E.

P.E.

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P.E.

Do

P.E.

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Hoachanas

StamprietGochas

Auob R. TweeriverAuob R.

Section-3 Section-4

Section-2Section-1

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Data C Hydrogeological Characteristics

– Aquifer recharge• Natural recharge• Return flows from irrigation• Managed aquifer recharge• Induced recharge• Extent recharge zones• Sources of recharge

– Aquifer lithology– Soil types– Porosity– Transmissivity and vertical connectivity– Total groundwater volume– Groundwater depletion– Natural discharge mechanism– Discharge by springs

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Data D Environmental aspects

– Suitability for human consumption (natural groundwater quality)

– Groundwater pollution– Solid Waste and waste water control• Waste water being collected in sewerage systems • Waste water treated• Solid waste being stored in controlled land fields

– Shallow groundwater table

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Data E Socio-economic aspects

– Population (total and density)**– Groundwater use

• Total volume groundwater abstraction• Groundwater abstraction for domestic use• Groundwater abstraction for us in agriculture and livestock• Groundwater abstraction for commercial and industrial use

– Surface water use **• Total volume of surface water use• Surface water for domestic use• Surface water use for agriculture / livestock• Surface water for commercial and industrial use

– Dependence of industry and agriculture on groundwater– Percentage of population covered by public water supply– Percentage of population covered by public sanitation

**: global data sets available

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Data F Legal & Institutional

A new methodology has been developed to analyse the existence, scope and implementation of:

• Transboundary legal and institutional framework• Domestic legal and institutional framework including elements like:

– Ownership of groundwater– Water resources planning– Groundwater abstraction and use– Abatement and control of groundwater pollution– Other water resources protection measures– Government and non-government (incl. informal) water institutions– Implementation, administration and enforcement of the legislation on the

statute books

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Aquifer Assessment - 2: a consideration of all the facts about the aquifer and a judgement or opinion of the position and

of what is likely to happen.

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H o w to ju d ge o r give an o p in io n ?

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U sin g in d icato rs

To simplifycomplex systems

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2 0 in d icato rs in 6 catego ries

1. Defining or constraining the value of aquifers and their potential functions

2. Role and importance of groundwater for humans & environment

3. Changes in groundwater state4. Drivers of change and pressures5. Enabling environment for

TBA/SIDS resource management

6. Implementation of groundwater resources management measures

The indicators presented are used in a

parallel world-wide assessment - TWAP.

For Pretashkent they can be modified to

aquifer specific needs/relevance!

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Long term mean groundwater recharge, incl. man-made components.

1. Very low: < 2 mm/yr2. Low: 2 -20 mm/yr3. Medium: 20-100 mm/yr4. High: 100-300 mm/yr5. Very high: > 300 mm/yr

1.1 RechargeRate

Indicator group 1: Defining or constraining the value of aquifers and their potential functions

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1.2 Renewable groundwater per

capita

Long term mean gw recharge volume, incl. man-made components, divided by inhabitants on aquifer.

1. Low: < 1000 m3/yr/capita2. Medium: 1000 – 5000 m3/yr/capita3. High: > 5000 m3/yr/capita

Indicator group 1: Defining or constraining the value of aquifers and their potential functions

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Percentage of aquifer area with natural groundwater quality satisfying local drinking water standards.

1.3 Natural Background Quality

freshSaline Arsenicfresh

1. Very low: < 20%2. Low: 20 - 40%3. Medium: 40-60%4. High: 60-80%5. Very high: > 80%

Indicator group 1: Defining or constraining the value of aquifers and their potential functions

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Percentage of groundwater in total water abstraction for all human water uses.

Groundwater

Lake waterRiver water

Groundwater

GroundwaterGroundwater

2.1 Human dependancy on Groundwater

1. Very low: < 20%2. Low: 20 -40%3. Medium: 40-60%4. High: 60-80%5. Very high: > 80%

Indicator group 2: Role and importance of groundwater for humans & environment

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1. Absent to very low: < 2 mm/yr2. Low: 2 -20 mm/yr3. Medium: 20-50 mm/yr4. High: 50-100 mm/yr5. Very high: > 100 mm/yr

Current rate of long term decrease of groundwater storage averaged over aquifer area.

3.1 Groundwater depletion

Indicator group 3: Changes in groundwater state

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Observed polluted zones as percentage of total aquifer.

3.2 Groundwater Pollution

1. Very low: < 5%2. Low: 5 – 10% 3. Medium: 10-25%4. High: 25-50%5. Very high: > 50%

Indicator group 3: Changes in groundwater state

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Number of people on top of aquifer per unit of area.

4.1 Population Density on Transboundary Aquifer

Very low: < 1 p/km2

2. Low: 1-10 p/km2

3. Medium: 10-100 p/km2

4. High: 100-1000 p/km2

5. Very high: > 1000 p/km2

Indicator group 4: Drivers of change and pressures

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Total annual groundwater abstraction divided by long-term mean annual recharge.

1. Very low: < 2%2. Low: 2-20%3. Medium: 20-50%4. High: 50-100%5. Very high: > 100%

4.2:

Indicator group 4: Drivers of change and pressures

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Aquifer Assessment - 3: a consideration of all the facts about the aquifer and a judgement or opinion of the position and

of what is likely to happen.

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Results from TWAP – WaterGAP modelling:Indicative Projections for 2030 and 2050

Groundwater

Rain waterRiver water

• Annual amount of renewable groundwater resources per capita (indicator 1.2)

• Human dependency on groundwater (indicator 2.1)• Population density (indicator 4.1)• Groundwater development stress (indicator 4.2)

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Additional building blocks for the assessment:

THEMATIC MAPS

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Additional building blocks for the assessment:

Cross-sections

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• Illustrative graphs of time dependent data• Overview tables• Block-diagrams• Assessment report

– Current situation – Outlook for the future– Root-cause analyses of issues– Suggestions for action

Additional building blocks for the assessment:

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Project workflow and outputs

• Information Management System

• Structured and harmonised data sets (excel tables)

• Indicators• Thematic maps• Overview tables and images• Illustrative graphs (time dependent

data)• Conceptual model (cross-sections

etc)• Assessment report

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1. Data collection (incl. data entry and digitising of relevant information)

2. Taking stock (which data are available and which

not) and fine-tuning of methodology (data & indicators)

3. Structuring of data4. Harmonising data5. Producing outputs: Indicators, thematic maps,

overview tables, illustrative graphs, conceptual model, assessment report

Project workflow / tasks

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Thank you