AFL-CIO. Costs Have Been Eating Up More and More of Our PAYCHECKS.
Data Analytics - Chapters Site - Home...Payroll Common Schemes • Ghost employees • Terminated...
Transcript of Data Analytics - Chapters Site - Home...Payroll Common Schemes • Ghost employees • Terminated...
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Data Analytics
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Why Internal Audit Needs Analytics
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We Have a Problem
Source: Accounting Today, August 2015
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© 2016 Association of Certified Fraud Examiners, Inc.
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©2016 Association of Certified Fraud Examiners, Inc.
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© 2016 Association of Certified Fraud Examiners, Inc.
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Our Focus is the Problem
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The Initial Key Challenge
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…analysis methods designed to extract useful information for answering
strategic questions...
The Solution is Analytics
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Most useful areas to start
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Payables & Disbursements
Common Schemes• Shell companies• Expense reimbursements• Personal purchases on P-card• Check tampering• Circular cash flows (“Roundtrip”)• Bribes and kickbacks• Inflated / duplicate invoices
Example Analytics Vendor-Employee attribute matching Time-series analysis of activity
(Spikes, valleys, acceleration, etc.) Frequently rounded invoices Amounts “just under” thresholds Mail drop or PO addresses Departures from “normal” baselines Holiday/weekend activity Account setup employee same as only
processor Invoice date on or after payment date
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Sales & Receivables
Common Schemes• Circular cash flows• Bill and hold schemes• Payment lapping• Fraudulent write-offs/discounts• “Refreshing” receivables• Fictitious sales• Bonus & incentive fraud• Debiting old/fake accounts• Pocketing discounts for early payment
Example Analytics Sales with no corresponding CGS Customer-Employee attribute matching Use of dormant/old accountsWrite-offs and discounts by processor Correlation with vendor activity Bad debts trending (acceleration) Customers with no attributes Sales held until beginning of incentive
period
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Payroll
Common Schemes• Ghost employees• Terminated employees• Timecard manipulation• Off-cycle paychecks (extra)• Overtime manipulation• Misclassified employees
Example Analytics Analysis of adjustment notes Payments after termination date No sick/vacation time Obscure employee attributes or none Timecard activity “just before/after” Shared direct deposit information
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Others
Common Schemes• Corruption (“Buddy networks”)• Conflicts of Interest• Big rigging• Inventory theft• Bribes/kickbacks in construction
Example Analytics Plot bid rotation by date Plot contract $ value by vendor Comparison of rates across vendors Verify dates bids received Compare contractor to invoice payee
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Fraud analytics examples
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Master file example (attributes)
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Enhancing your data
Cross Reference Against: Postal contractors database Correctional facilities database High-risk ZIP codes Unexpected / unusual addresses
The UPS Store1221 East KearneySpringfield, MO
Internet search returns no evidence of company, nor does Secretary of State website
“Devon Clark” set up vendor and is only processor
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Enhancing your data
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Visualization
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Patterns in Retail
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Word of Caution
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Data Visualization
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Data Visualization
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Patterns (Acceleration)
Vendor: JLM Plumbing Authorized: Janice L. McPhearson
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Expenses
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Duplicate Invoices
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Fun with Names
1. Acronym / Initials
2. Anagrams
3. Fictitious Names
4. Others
Janice Linda McPhearsonJLMJLM Plumbing
David Cash Chad DavisDennis Carroll Darren CollinsRobert Mullican Unami, LLC
Mick E. MowsePrincess ArielGeorge RuthCheatum, Inc.
SubstitutionInsertion or OmissionTranspositionNumb3r Subst1tut10n
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Bid Rigging
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Cash Receipts Theft
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Conflicts of Interest
Vendor (A)Vinny’s Salvage, 501 East 5th, Saint Louis, MO (Total Payments = $250,000)
Employee (B)Ronald Townsend, CFO4300 Oak Street, Saint Louis, MO
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The Future
Employee in procurement or other key position, embezzled for 12 months before getting caught.18-24 months before…• Email indicates dispute with spouse, hints
of financial pressures• Internet history – research debt relief,
payday loan locations, debt consolidation, credit cards, and gambling
• Social media reveals living beyond means• Incoming phone calls indicate debt
collections
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The Future
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Future Data for Internal Auditors
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Expanding the Risk “Detection Horizon”
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Where to Start
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Do you need one of these? Nope…
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Success Requires a Shift in Mindset
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Guide to Achieving Your Strategic Objectives
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Steps to Building a Program
1. Ask strategic question2. Define your objectives3. Obtain the data4. Develop, apply procedures5. Analyze results6. Manage results
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In Plain English…
Pick an area to start with Understand common schemes
and their red flags What data is related to the area? Pick beginning red flag(s) Develop and test the analytic Incorporate the analytic routinely Consider automation, grouping
common procedures
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Creativity is Critical
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Think Simplicity First
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Know your Technologies
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Assess What You Have
Tool
sStandard Analysis
(Excel, Access)
Data Analytics (ACL, IDEA, SQL,Arbutus)
Data Visualization (Tableau, etc.)
Artificial Intelligence(Machine Learning, Social Media, Sentiment)
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Get Your Team Involved
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“ ”An analytic that doesn’t achieve it’s goal is not a failure. It is an opportunity to design and implement a better analytic.
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Resources
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Hotlines
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Hotlines
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Hotlines
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Maintaining Proper Focus
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“ ”The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate SilverFive Thirty-Eight
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Challenges to Overcome
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“ ”Success requires making analytics part of your culture, not an additional task to be completed.
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Lanny Morrow, EnCE, CTFI | Senior Data Scientist | BKD, LLP
E: [email protected]: http://bkd.com/bigdataT: @LannyMorrowP: 816.701.0225
Thank You