DANICEDANUBE RIVER BASIN ICE CONVEYANCE INVESTIGATION AND ICY FLOOD MANAGEMENT – PROJECT PROPOSAL

Preparation phase : 0.1

29th of September in 2015

Károly Gombás (ICPDR FP-EG chairman)

DANICE

DANube river basin ICE conveyance investigation and icy flood managementby ICPDR FP-EG

Project initiative

• Original idea was developed in 2013 by HU experts• Officially presented first in the beginning of 2014 for the

ICPDR FP-EG and some immidiate support was raised• Listed in Annex 2 of the Danube Flood Risk Manegement

Plan, approved by the FP-EG and STWG (14 countries)• HU announced the will to form consortium and submit the

project – if possible – in the first cycle of the Danube Transnational Fund (DTF) in Autumn, 2015

• The basic idea was already discussed with the DTF secretariat in Budapest – in principal supported, but further development is needed

• ICPDR national HoDs and FP-EG members will soon receive the invitation to take part in the project

Background of the project

• Ice is a water scarcity and its effects are less predictable• The climate change/alteration scenario analyses point

out that the extremities will be more frequent. The „lower end” is the freezing zone and icy condition, where permanent ice cover, ice jams and ice floods can appear on the rivers

• Because of the modest focus on the topic, the knowledge about handling such ice cases is disappearing. Even the skills are reserved somewhere, the experienced crew is donwcreasing and loosing the personal impressions, that could be utilized in a havaria situation.

• Attenion is needed and preparation is necessary on basin level, since the ice transport is such a case as discharge propagation in the riverbed

Reason of the project focus

• The ice transport and permanent cover itself blocks navigation, harm structures and occupy their operation

• If the ice mass conveyance is obstructed, ice jams can occur which can lead to elevated peak flood water levels

• The natural dilatation of the ice cover and especially the impulse of the floating ice plates can remarkably effect the manmade structures and the natural habitats as well in the riverbed, along the banks and generally in the floodplain

• The „deep” winter conditions are hard to handle due to the frozen circumstances and low temperature, so special equipments needed; human resources are limited to utilize and performance capacity is far less than in the summer

Project details

• Acronym: DANICE• Duration: 30 months• Possible time frame: June/2016-December/2018• Financing source: Danube Transnational Fund (DTF)

2 round application

Pillar: PA2 – 5d/6b

10-12 partner

6-8 countries

6 months cycles

Starts 23/09/2015

Submit deadline 03/11/2015

Project details

• Acronym: DANICE• Duration: 30 months• Possible time frame: June/2016-December/2018• Financing source: Danube Transnational Fund (DTF)• Partners:

• ?...• Consortium + partners

• Observers:• ICPDR, Danube Strategy PA5/4/1• Danube Commission, navigation institutes, hydropower segment• NeWaDa project, FAIRway project, CEF projects

CORE ouputs and sub-tasks (work packages)

1. Project management

2. PR and dissemination

3. Danube Basin Ice Management Plan

4. Danube Basin Ice tracing platform

5. Handbook of good practices with lecture course material for ice hazard mitigation

6. Long-term horizontal ice-management strategy of the Danube Basin

WP1 project management

• Steering group• Expert panel• Meetings 6 months period and if necessary• Kick-off and closing event, best practice workshop• Discussion forums• Lectures• ….? To be discussed with partners.

WP2 - PR and dissemination

• Events might be organised for winter season (out of the „conference season”) and for summer conditions

• The meetings should be held on ice breaker ships and manouvering could be presented with features

• Ships with the operative crew will be reserved in photos• PR gift could be laser engarvired glass keyholder (ice cube) and

silicone ice maker with letter „D” or „DANICE”, monthly calendar with photoes etc.

• Metal calendar with date/month magnet ice plates

WP3

3. Danube Basin Ice Management Plan• 3.1. Textual information of the ice situation in the basin• 3.2. Procedures and locations of monitoring ice in the Danube basin (knowledge sharing and

status quo)• 3.3. Map of ice-threat hot spots in the Danube basin with operative intervention possibilities• 3.4. Effects of the ice conveyance

• 3.4.1. tributaries-main riverbed ice volume share, upstream-downstream countries relations• 3.4.2. ecological consequences• 3.4.3. structure operation (dams, bridges, controlling structure, mobile defense elements etc.)

• 3.5. List of applied international and national legislation with institutional background• 3.6. Living agreements between countries for capacity share• 3.7. Basin-wide operative resource management plan for icy flood or other certain situations

• 3.7.1. Introducing the types of interventions: mechanical, termic, blasting etc.• 3.7.2. Collection of local ice management plans with short event descriptions, • 3.7.3. Catalogue of the ice-breaker fleet and terms of duty

WP4

4. Danube Basin Ice tracing platform• 4.1. List of national ice codes and setup of a converter among them,

construct basin-wide universal indicators• 4.2 Understanding the development and accumulation method of the ice

conditions• 4.2.1 Collection of known cases• 4.2.2 Numerical and physical investigation possibilities, pilot analyses• 4.2.3 Definition of proper methodology for planning and investigation for new structures

• 4.3. Improvement of an objective, universal ice observation method• 4.3.1. Horizontal overview of the applied methods in the basin, draw

conclusions• 4.3.2. Generation of a new method or apply a combined one based on state-

of-the-art technology to have objective result (software development, pilot implementation of webcams and aerial observations)

• 4.4. GIS based platform integrated to “Danube Fis Portal”• 4.4.1. Horizontal plot of icy conditions, jams or ongoing works• 4.4.2. Table and longitudinal profile schemes with ice indication• 4.4.3. Smartphone application development with visualization of situation

• 4.5. Forecasting module development to EFAS

WP5

5. Handbook of good practices with lecture course material for ice hazard mitigation

• 5.1. Harmonization of ice management planning methods, recommendation for common standards

• 5.2. Inventory of existing literature of ice management, “ice-jargon” dictionary in English and the partners languages

• 5.3. International good practices and guidance for ice handling (some parts translated to national language)• 5.3.1. List and detailed description of former events with background

materials (photos, maps, video etc.)• 5.3.2. Lessons learnt and suggestions for capacity management in

winter conditions• 5.3.3. Resource mobility suggestions, strategy for effective use of the

available tools

• 5.4. Study course material for future educational purposes with online modules, courses for crew during the project

WP6

6. Long-term horizontal ice-management strategy of the Danube Basin

• 6.1. Collection and results of ice-related former studies /research activities, especially focusing on climate change

• 6.2. Discover and phrase suggestions for further investigation of the ice phenomena for research institutes

• 6.3. Definition of the probable long-term development of ice hazard with frequency analysis

• 6.4. Ice management master plans for Danube and main tributaries (Tisza, Sava etc.) for reducing adverse effects

DANICETHANK YOU FOR YOUR INTEREST!

Preparation phase : 0.1

29th of September in 2015

Károly Gombás (ICPDR FP-EG chairman, OVF-HU)

EMAIL: gombas.karoly@eduvizig.hu

TEL: 00 36 30 760 2912