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    Mastering BreakoutsMastering Breakouts

    and Breakdownsand Breakdowns

    Dan GibbyDan Gibby

    Lead Moderator, Pristine.com Advanced Stocks and DerivativesLead Moderator, Pristine.com Advanced Stocks and DerivativesTrading Room, and Senior Pristine Certified TrainerTrading Room, and Senior Pristine Certified Trainer

    Copyright 2006, Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc.Copyright 2006, Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc.

    Pristine.com PresentsPristine.com Presents

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    DisclaimerDisclaimer

    It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in this book and seminar will be

    profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Examples in

    this book and seminar are for educational purposes only. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell.

    HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS.

    UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUALTRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES IN THIS BOOK and SEMINAR HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN

    EXECUTED, THE RESULTS WE STATE MAY HAVE UNDER OR OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT,

    IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING

    PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE

    BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS

    LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

    The authors and publisher assume no responsibilities for actions taken by readers. The authors and publisher are not

    providing investment advice. The authors and publisher do not make any claims, promises, or guarantees that any

    suggestions, systems, trading strategies, or information will result in a profit, loss, or any other desired result. All

    readers and seminar attendees assume all risk, including but not limited to the risk of trading losses.

    Day Trading can result in large losses and may not be an activity suitable for everyone.

    Copyright 1994-2006 by Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America.

    Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or

    distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without prior written permission of

    the publisher.

    2

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    Table of ContentsTable of Contents

    IntroductionIntroduction

    The Pristine Method

    Trading Style and Time Frames

    Trading Plan

    Basics and FoundationBasics and Foundation

    Initial Pristine Breakout/Down

    PBO/PBD from Wide Range Bars

    PBO/PBD from Gaps

    Retracement After Breakout/Down

    Secondary Breakout/Down

    Late Day Breakout/Down

    Gaps Negated in Morning

    Fluid moves vs. Congestion

    Wide Range Bars (WRB)

    Volume

    Quality Consolidation

    Pristine ESP

    Concluding ThoughtsConcluding Thoughts

    Breakout/down StrategiesBreakout/down Strategies

    3

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    What This Seminar isNot About

    4

    The intricacies of The Pristine Method (TPM)

    Tools, tactics, or setups taught in TPM Parts 1-2

    Trading Plan and Managing Your Trading Business

    Risk management, proper share size, psychological aspects

    Futures, options, commodities, and derivatives

    Classical, technical, macro, or fundamental analysis

    Level II analysis or direct access trading

    Other topics included at Pristine Trading University

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    Introduction toIntroduction toThe PristineThe Pristine

    MethodMethod

    5

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    Who is Pristine?Who is Pristine?

    Established in 1994 by Oliver Velez and Greg Capra,

    Pristine provides insight, intelligence and education for

    the self-directed trader

    Much more than stock tips and buy-sell-hold advice, The

    Pristine Method guides both new and experienced

    traders to a more intuitive understanding of the markets

    The Pristine educational system helps you understand the

    markets and prepare you to trade objectively

    Offer worldwide educational seminars, DVDs, trading

    software, real-time trading rooms, and trading newsletters6

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    ONSITE SEMINARS

    REAL TIME TRADING ROOMS

    DVD

    The BOOK

    ONLINESEMINARS

    NEWSLETTERS

    COACHING

    Eliminating The Barriers To Entry!

    Pristine Capital HoldingsPristine Capital Holdings

    7

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    RANKED # 1RANKED # 1 in Trading Education

    by: FEATURED by:

    Pristine Public RecognitionPristine Public Recognition

    8

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    Traits of a Successful TraderTraits of a Successful Trader

    Trading is a Business treat it like one!

    Choose a definedMethod

    Choose a time frame in which to trade from

    Choose which stocks and/or Futures you will trade

    Money Management

    Discipline and Patience to followyour Method 9

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    Pristine Successful Trader MatrixPristine Successful Trader Matrix

    COMPELLING TECHNICAL PATTERNTPM 1-2

    TRADING PLAN

    MANAGE IN BETWEEN

    ENTER AND SET PROTECTIVE STOP

    Wealth/Income

    Hardware/Software

    Setups

    Instruments

    Listed/OTC

    Reward-Risk

    Share Size and #

    Market Internals

    Management Rules

    Pivots For Exits

    Winning/losing

    Trade Review

    Continuing Education

    Demon elimination

    Discipline/Patience

    NO SETUP,

    NO TRADE!!

    StopTarget10

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    Trade Types

    The Pristine Method teaches specific Compelling Patterns

    These should be clearly highlighted in your Trading Plan

    PBS/PSS

    CBS/CSS

    Guerrilla Trades

    Breakouts and Breakdowns

    W and M Formations

    Pinch Play

    Failed Patterns

    Bearish Gap that Bullies11

    PBS

    +COG

    CBS

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    Breakout andBreakout andBreakdownBreakdownFoundationFoundation

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    13

    Introductory ConceptsIntroductory Concepts

    Bases and consolidations

    Types of breakouts and

    breakdowns

    Quality of setups

    Fluid versus choppy moves

    When to trade with or against

    the intended move

    Using Pristine ESP

    Congestion

    areas

    Fluid move

    leaves little

    congestion

    Concept Review

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    14

    Price CongestionPrice Congestion

    Prices move between areas of

    support and resistance

    Congestion areas have

    overlapping bars, tails, and

    gaps

    Fluid moves have consecutive

    bar moves with relatively equal

    openings and closings

    Prices retrace easier without

    congestion to the left

    Congestion

    areas

    Fluid move

    leaves little

    congestion

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    15

    IntraIntra--Day Pattern Into CloseDay Pattern Into Close

    Hourly EOD Base

    Opening price here

    has higher odds of

    retracementOpening Gap above

    Base has high odds

    of moving up

    15-Min.15-Min.

    15

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    Volume AnalysisVolume Analysis

    Volume = Money and represents commitment or lack thereof

    Price tells us what a stock is doing; Volume tells ushow

    > 500,000 average 30-day volume

    Volume increases should occur in the

    direction of the PBO/PBD; reduced

    Volume on Retracement

    Volume increase without price moving is a warning

    Volume is secondary to price . Price is King! 16

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    Proper Base or Consolidation

    Consolidation is aresting periodin an existing trend

    Want controlled, tight consolidation, with few to no

    overlapping bars or significant gaps and tails

    Base of at least 8 - 10 bars

    Provides the base of support for breakout, or base of

    resistance if break down

    Low risk, high-odds strategy using The Pristine Method

    17

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    Quality ConsolidationQuality Consolidation

    Tight arrangement of bars

    with few tails, overlapping

    bars, and gaps 18

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

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    Improper Basing/ConsolidationImproper Basing/Consolidation

    Poor consolidation: tails,

    overlapping bars, and gaps 19

    20MA 20MA

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    Pristine ESPPristine ESP

    Pristine ESP willsearch PBO/PBD in

    many time frames

    20

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    Breakouts and Breakdowns

    21

    Can be traded on any time frame and in any trend

    Every trade needs a compelling pattern and little congestion

    above (for longs) or below (for shorts)

    Increased Volume a plus

    Not all New High/Lows are Buyable/Shortable

    Apply other concepts from The Pristine Method

    Pristine ESP scans to find tradable candidates

    General Comments

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    Determining Targets and Stops

    22

    Need generous Reward (price target) to Risk (stop loss)

    Generally, targets will be:

    Resistance/Support for PBO/PBD

    Take after a multi-bar move

    At major moving average, if corresponds with congestion

    Stops are always placed slightly below the support area for

    longs, or slightly over the resistance area for shorts

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    Initial andInitial andSecondarySecondaryBreakoutBreakout

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    PBO to New Uptrend

    24

    The Pristine Method teaches various ways to trade

    PBO/PBD from a sideways trend to new trend. We will cover:

    Initial PBO

    First Retracement

    Secondary Breakout

    Wide Range Bar (WRB) out of a base

    Other bullish/bearish Retests

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    Breakout Types

    25

    11

    22

    33

    1.1. Initial BreakoutInitial Breakout:: The stock breaks above resistance after aQuality Consolidation.

    2.2. First RetracementFirst Retracement:: The stock retraces towards the Initial

    Breakout point, and reverses on support. This is thesafest entry

    point, provided it retraces in a compelling manner.

    3.3. Secondary BreakoutSecondary Breakout:: The stock moves above the Initial Breakout

    (prior high), after consolidating at the prior high.

    11

    22

    33

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    Initial bullish move,

    bullish consolidation inupper 1/3

    BuyPBO (Vol. a

    plus)

    Proper Initial Pristine BreakoutProper Initial Pristine Breakout

    Stop LossStop

    26

    20MA

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    Improper Pristine Breakout PlayImproper Pristine Breakout Play

    0

    40

    50

    60

    100

    Retracement analysis is

    used to objectively measure

    the Strength or Weakness of

    a move counter to the

    prevailing trend

    Some suggest buying over

    a prior high, irrespective of

    the Retracement level

    We sell into extended

    rallies over prior highs

    Incorrect PBO: Extended

    27

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    Secondary PBO/PBD

    We sell into that

    band wagon

    mentality of buyingnew highs if the

    stock is extended

    Secondary

    PBO/PBD are

    tradable if theyhave consolidated

    over time at the

    prior high28

    0

    40

    50

    60

    100

    Correct PBO: Consolidated at prior high

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    Buyable Secondary PBOBuyable Secondary PBO

    These were both

    recommended as breakout

    longs one day in a

    competitors newsletter

    Not a Pristine PBO since

    very extended to make new

    highs (also 5-day MA of

    TRIN a CBS under prior low)

    Is this Secondary

    PBO buyable? Why?

    PBO

    +WRB after

    failed PBD

    1.1. Initial BreakoutInitial Breakout

    2.2. First RetracementFirst Retracement

    3.3. Secondary BreakoutSecondary Breakout

    33

    2211

    29

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    Breakout Types

    1.1. Initial BreakoutInitial Breakout

    2.2. First RetracementFirst Retracement

    3.3. Secondary BreakoutSecondary Breakout

    11

    22

    2233

    22

    33

    33

    20MA

    30

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    Stops on Breakouts

    This is lowrisk entry

    Trail stop after

    two bars

    Buy First Retracement

    on support

    Trail stop after

    two bars

    Buy pull

    back20MA

    31

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    Poor Pristine BreakoutsPoor Pristine Breakouts

    Some traders wouldbuy these as breakouts

    What has to happen to

    make them buyable?

    Would you be a buyer or

    seller into strength here?

    32

    Buy

    PBO?

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    PBO From BasePBO From Base

    The stock builds

    support over time

    +WRB to the top of

    the base

    BuyPBO over+WRB out of base

    Manage in between

    What does the

    consolidation after

    the PBO imply?

    Buy over +WRB

    through resistance

    Stop Loss

    Could you add

    on this PBO?

    33

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    34

    PBO on PrePBO on Pre--Market Economic NumberMarket Economic Number

    Futures had bullish PBO at 8:30 Economic Number

    S&P Futures 5-Min. Nasdaq Futures 5-Min.

    QUIZ: Was the InitialPBO buyable? First

    Retracement? Second

    PBO?

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    Pristine Breakout AnalysisPristine Breakout Analysis

    Correct: Gap from

    consolidation

    Incorrect:

    Extended

    Correct: Pull back

    into +WRB

    Incorrect: Extended Factors

    Extended

    before PBO?

    Consolidate in

    a tight range

    before PBO?

    Congestion to

    the left?

    Tails,

    overlapping

    bars, and gaps?35

    Incorrect: Deep

    retracement

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    PBO and Retracement Quiz

    36

    QUIZ: Name the type of Setup

    at each letter and discuss

    whether or not buyable.

    C

    F

    EDB

    GH

    A 36

    20MA

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    PBO to New Uptrend

    Pull back to gap fill

    from 2x bottom; buyover prior bars high

    Buy retracement

    since extended

    Aggressive Pristine

    entry, stop under base

    PBO after

    2x bottom

    Stop

    buy

    37

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    38

    Patterns on Multiple Time FramesPatterns on Multiple Time Frames

    GOOG - Daily

    Daily Monthly

    Weekly

    Monthly

    Reverse H&S

    Failed

    breakdown

    38H

    SS

    PBO

    PBO

    PBO

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    PBO/PBD Stock ScanningPBO/PBD Stock Scanning

    Pristine ESP Scans

    39

    Swing Trading Module

    Narrow Range 7 Setup; Daily Basing; Daily Above Average

    Up/Down Volume

    Guerrilla Trading Module

    10/10 Buy/Sell Setup; Wide Range Up/Down Bars;

    Bullish/Bearish Engulfing Bars

    Micro Trading Module

    15-Min. Basing; Basing in Top 2% of Days Range; Gap Up and

    Strong; Gap Down and Strong; 30-Min. Gap Buy/Sell

    Basic Trading Module

    Above Average Up/Down Volume; 52-Week High/Lows; Top

    20% Gainers/Losers; One Month High

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    40

    Pristine ESPPristine ESP 3030--Min. Gap BuyMin. Gap Buy

    15-Min.

    Stocks that gap up/down and then make new highs/lows after

    the first 30-Min. session often ignite new moves

    Pro Gap and +WRB,

    consolidation at high

    Triggered

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    Initial &Initial &SecondarySecondary

    BreakdownBreakdown41

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    Breakdown Types

    42

    1.1. Initial BreakdownInitial Breakdown:: The stock breaks below support after aQuality Consolidation.

    2.2. First RetracementFirst Retracement:: The stock retraces towards the Initial

    Breakdown point. This is the safest entry point, provided itretraces in a compelling manner.

    3.3. Secondary BreakdownSecondary Breakdown:: The stock moves below its InitialBreakdown point, after consolidating at the prior low.

    11

    22

    33

    MRMR

    MSMS

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    Breakdown Types

    1.1. Initial BreakdownInitial Breakdown

    2.2. First RetracementFirst Retracement

    3.3. Secondary BreakdownSecondary Breakdown

    Initial PBD

    1 & 31 & 322

    22

    11

    33

    QUIZ: Which Secondary

    Breakdowns are quality?

    4343

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    44

    Gap Below Prior LowGap Below Prior Low

    Daily

    ISRG 5-Min.

    Gap under

    +WRB

    Short 5-

    Min. low

    Gap under

    support

    Add Secondary

    PBD. Why?

    Short first

    retracement

    stop

    44

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    30-Min. Low on Upgrade and Bear Gap

    45

    Morgan Stanley: Punk Ziegal

    analyst on CNBC says stock

    should be bought aggressively

    here; those selling making mistake

    5-Min.Short First Retracement

    or 30-Min. low

    Daily

    15-Min.

    Bear Gap, deep

    into Support

    Gaps undermuch support

    Stop

    loss

    45

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    Initial and Secondary PBD

    46

    Relentlessselling with

    weak bounces;

    short PBD and

    Retracements

    Gap and

    +WRB

    Buy FirstRetracement

    Short Initial

    PBD at d20ma

    Short

    Retracement

    20MA

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    Bear Flag BreakdownBear Flag Breakdown

    Measurement met at priormonthly major support

    Monthly

    Implied Measurement

    Met Near Support

    Price bounded by

    two parallel trend

    lines, against the

    prevailing trend

    Volume typically

    lighter in flag

    Short below

    trend line

    Stop over priorhigh

    Implied

    measurement47

    H d d Sh ld

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    48

    Head and ShouldersHead and Shoulders

    The left and right

    shoulders are

    opposite the higher

    headin both

    distance and time

    Short PPD of the

    neckline on

    expanding volume

    Implied

    measurement

    S

    Short PBD

    Stop

    Loss

    Target Area

    H

    S

    P i i B kd Q iP i ti B kd Q i

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    Pristine Breakdown QuizPristine Breakdown Quiz

    QUIZ: Identify the type and

    quality of each marked trade.

    E

    ID

    C

    B

    A

    H

    F

    G

    K

    JL

    M

    49

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    PBO/PBD FromPBO/PBD From

    Wide Range BarsWide Range Bars

    WRB Aft L V l tilitWRB Aft L V l tilit

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    WRB After Low VolatilityWRB After Low Volatility

    Many PBO/PBD fail

    If sloppy consolidation,

    wait for WRB that closes

    outside the consolidation

    The WRB shows

    commitment and has highodds of follow through if

    no congestion to left

    PBD

    PBO

    Stop Loss

    51

    B lli h WRB O t f BB llish +WRB O t of Base

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    Bullish +WRB Out of BaseBullish +WRB Out of Base

    Hourly

    Add pull back

    in +WRB

    +WRB

    PBO

    52

    15-Min.

    +WRB PBO

    with r20/40ma

    Daily

    PBD FromPBD From WRBWRB

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    PBD FromPBD From WRBWRB

    Short -WRB PBD, stop

    over consolidation

    Bearish, tight consolidation

    at bottom of WRB

    WRB/Engulfing

    after weak bounce

    Short Initial PBD; leavesoverhead congestion

    Add retracement

    53

    WRB PBDWRB PBD

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    --WRB PBDWRB PBD

    What do these tails tell us,

    particularly after the prior

    +WRB from base?

    Bearish action afterfailed buy setup

    Short PBD

    What does thisconsolidation imply?

    54

    Ri k f B i B f WRB C l t d

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    At A, the bulls were

    confident while the bar was

    being formed

    How would the bulls feel if

    the bar closed like B?

    AB

    +WRB becomes

    bearish TT at bars close

    Short under

    WRB/engulfing

    Risk of Buying Before +WRB Completed

    55

    Unhappy bulls

    PBO/PBD From Base Against TrendPBO/PBD From Base Against Trend

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    PBO/PBD From Base Against TrendPBO/PBD From Base Against Trend

    Stop Loss

    Stop Loss

    Wait for +WRB to

    close above base

    56

    Wait for -WRB to

    close below base

    Bullish +WRB Out of BaseBullish +WRB Out of Base

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    Bullish +WRB Out of BaseBullish +WRB Out of Base

    Buy Initial PBO;

    add over +WRBfrom base

    Sell on

    Novice Gap

    57

    20MA

    +WRB closed

    outside the base

    No congestion

    above, so odds ofcontinuation high

    Trail stop under a

    prior bars low or

    when far from 20ma

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    PBO After +WRB Through ResistancePBO After +WRB Through Resistance

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    PBO After +WRB Through ResistancePBO After +WRB Through Resistance

    Bullish gap

    after -Trap

    +WRB through 3 prior

    highs and trend line

    Stop

    loss

    59

    PBD From Bearish ConsolidationPBD From Bearish Consolidation

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    PBD From Bearish ConsolidationPBD From Bearish Consolidation

    -WRB undersupport; short PBD

    QUIZ: Where is

    stop and target? 60

    20MA

    Breakdown AfterBreakdown After --WRBWRB

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    Breakdown AfterBreakdown After WRBWRB

    15-Min.DailyDaily Daily

    60-Min.

    DailyDaily

    60-Min.

    60-Min.

    Short under support;

    no support below!Short under Support/-WRB

    Stop Loss (inside bars

    high made 2x top)

    61

    20MA

    20MA

    Breakdowns and ManagementBreakdowns and Management

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    62

    Buy setup failure

    -WRB shows

    bears in control

    Breakdowns and Managementea dow s a d a age e

    Short under WRB after

    close under support

    First Retracement shortable

    62

    +WRB PBO

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    63

    +WRB fromPBS on MS

    +123

    15-Min.Daily

    20MA

    20MA

    63

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    Breakout andBreakout andBreakdownBreakdownFrom GapsFrom Gaps

    Initial PBO From Pro GapInitial PBO From Pro Gap

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    65/101

    pp

    Initial bullish move,

    bullish consolidation

    in upper 1/3, thenProGap, has high odds

    Conflict resolved

    Stop Loss

    Pro Gap - one that ignites

    a new move up or down

    Novice Gap one in the

    same direction of an already

    extended move, andtypically ends the move

    Continuation Gap one

    that continues a move,

    typically at half-way points

    65

    Gap Questions Before TradeGap Questions Before Trade

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    66/101

    66

    Does the Gap create a compelling pattern?

    Where is the next area ofSupport or Resistance?

    Did it Gap from a consolidation or from an already extended move?

    Is the Gap too excessive to invalidate a favorable Reward-Risk?

    Does it set up a compelling pattern intra-day after the Gap?

    Is the Reward-Risk at least 3:1?

    If so, enter and manage in between per your Trading Plan

    Gap Under Bearish ConsolidationGap Under Bearish Consolidation

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    67/101

    67

    pp

    MORE EXAMPLESDaily

    Pro Gap, no bounce,

    short 5-Min. low

    Stop over

    bearish

    consolidation

    67

    Gap OverGap Over --WRBWRB

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    68/101

    Bullish pattern?

    Distance to next

    Resistance?

    Gap from

    consolidation?

    Gap too

    excessive?

    Bullish intra-day

    pattern?

    20MA

    Daily

    Gap overbearish bar

    68

    First target is

    prior high

    Gap Over Resistance, No CongestionGap Over Resistance, No Congestion

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    69/101

    5-Min.CNTF - DailyTARO - Daily 5-Min.

    Bear Pro Gap,

    shallow bounce

    Shorted bounce,

    stop high

    G

    A

    P

    5-Min.KLIC - Daily

    Gap over

    resistance

    Buy 5-Min. PBSBuy 5-Min. PBS

    Buy 5-

    Min. high

    5-Min.Gap over

    resistance

    Daily Add PBO

    Are Gap

    Questions

    satisfied? Stop

    PBO from Pro GapPBO from Pro Gap

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    70/101

    Daily

    Weekly

    Daily

    Daily5-Min. DailyDaily

    Pro Gap over

    WRB and resistance

    Buy bullish intra-

    day pull back

    Pro Gap

    Buy 5-Min. high

    70

    PBO Multiple Time FramePBO Multiple Time Frame

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    71/101

    Daily

    Weekly

    Daily

    5-Min. Pro Gap over resistance

    Weekly

    Daily

    Weekly

    Monthly

    71

    PBO after

    +WRB

    from base

    Pro Gap ExamplesPro Gap Examples

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    72/101

    72

    Gap over bullish

    consolidation

    Gaps out of multi-

    week consolidation

    Bullish gap

    after -Trap

    72

    Daily Daily

    Pro Gap PBO to New Uptrend

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    73/101

    Pro Gap

    from base

    Buy pullback

    Daily 5-Min.

    73

    Add

    PBO

    Pro Gap Over Prior HighPro Gap Over Prior High

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    74/101

    74

    Bullish gap

    after -Trap

    Gap overconsolidation

    Daily 5-Min.

    Tight bullish

    consolidation; buy

    high, stop low

    74

    PBD and PBO

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    75/101

    75

    Gap over

    resistance

    +WRB

    Target Area

    Short

    PBD

    Buy First

    Retracement

    +WRB

    75

    Daily

    Bearish Gap PBDBearish Gap PBD

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    76/101

    Daily

    TIP: A gap just under a

    +WRB with no support

    is powerful!

    Failed CBS/BT/+COG on MS

    20MA

    Weekly

    Failed buy setup atprior low, no support

    20MA

    76

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    77/101

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    78/101

    Late DayLate DayBreakouts andBreakouts andBreakdownsBreakdowns

    78

    Late Day Breakout (LDBO)

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    79/101

    Setup, Entry and Exit Guidelines

    8 - 10 bar base or consolidation in a tight range

    In the upper 1/3 of the preceding bullish move

    Above the 20MA on intra-day charts

    No significant resistance/congestion to the left

    Up on the day, and over the prior bars close

    Breakout over resistance, on Vol., after 2:15 ET

    Buy over resistance, with stop under base

    Sell under reversal bar; other far from 20MA, or

    congestion 79

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    80/101

    Late Day Breakout

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    81/101

    15-Min.

    Daily Daily 15-Min.

    30-Min.

    Daily 15-Min.

    60-Min.

    Buy LDBO

    Up on day and

    over prior close

    Tight bullish

    base near high,during doldrums,

    and into r20ma

    Bullish hourly

    consolidation

    81

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    82/101

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    83/101

    Late Day Breakouts

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    84/101

    15-Min.

    Daily Daily

    15-Min.

    Buy LDBO, stop

    under base

    Bullish

    +WRB PBO

    PBO

    84

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    15-Min.

    Buy LDBO

    Stop

    20MA

    Bullish Gap IntoBullish Gap Into --WRBWRB

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    85/101

    85

    PRX - Hourly

    Bullish gap

    after 15red bars

    5-Min.Daily

    Daily (at close)15-Min.

    Add LDBO

    Buy 30-

    Min. high

    85

    Gap

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    86/101

    Late Day Breakout Examples

    (B)

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    87/101

    (A)(B)

    (C) (D)

    87

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    Above Average Up/Down VolumeAbove Average Up/Down Volume

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    88/101

    88

    Volume shows the

    magnitude of interest

    Unusually highup/down volume in the

    opening Reversal

    Period is often

    associated with Proup/down moves

    Keep Pristine ESPalert box open and

    evaluate each issue on

    multiple time frames

    15-Min.

    +WRB out ofbase on Vol.

    LDBO Quiz

    Whether15 Mi

    D il ENG

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    89/101

    Whether15-Min.

    QUIZ: Rank

    each PBO

    A

    B

    C

    D

    Daily - ENG

    QUIZ: Rank

    each PBO

    15-Min.

    D

    Daily - ENG

    Daily

    QUIZ: Identify entry, stop,

    and target on each LDBO.

    15-Min.

    B

    C

    D

    E

    A20MA

    PBO

    F

    Late Day BreakdownLate Day Breakdown

    LDBD C it i

    60 Mi

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    90/101

    LDBD Criteria

    Target = Demand

    Increased volume onbreakdown

    Down on the day

    Below priordays close

    Basing at low

    Consolidation

    near low into

    d20ma

    Short

    breakdown, stop

    over base90

    60-Min.

    Stop

    20MA

    Bearish consolidation at

    low of WRB; short PBD

    Late Day Breakdown Examples

    (A) (B)

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    91/101

    (A) (B)

    20MA

    20MA

    (D)20MA

    20MA

    (C)

    91

    Whether

    Finding LDBD Using Pristine ESPFinding LDBD Using Pristine ESP

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    92/101

    Whether

    UnderMicro Trader

    Scan:

    15-Min. Basing

    Gap Down and

    Weak

    Last Trade atLow

    Stocks Near

    Lower 2% Daily

    Range92

    20MA

    20MA

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    93/101

    LDBO/LDBDLDBO/LDBDFrom MorningFrom Morning

    Gaps NegatedGaps Negated

    Bearish Gaps That Bully Resistance

    Oversold stock with little congestion to the left

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    94/101

    Oversold stock with little congestion to the left

    The stock gaps down significantly and then rallies strong at

    the open, on Increased Volume (Vol.)

    Bar closes with a +WRB on the 30-Min. chart, at or through

    intra-day resistance

    The +WRB should have a very small, if any, bottoming tail

    Look for a bullish intra-day entry, and manage in between

    Reverse applies for bullish gaps negated in morning94

    Bearish Gap That Bullies ResistanceBearish Gap That Bullies Resistance

    15-MinDaily

    5 MiD il

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    95/101

    Hourly

    15 Min.Daily

    +WRB close after

    gap, no BT

    Bullish basing

    through doldrums;

    buy LDBO

    Extended daily and Gap

    95

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    Retracement

    buyable

    Bearish Gap

    under Support

    5-Min.Daily

    G

    A

    P

    Add PBO

    95

    Bearish Gap That Bullies ResistanceBearish Gap That Bullies Resistance

    15-Min.Daily

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    96/101

    Hourly

    15 Min.Daily

    +WRB close after

    gap, no BT

    Extended daily and Gap

    96

    20MA

    20MA

    20MA

    Buy LDBO

    Bullish Gap That BuriesBullish Gap That Buries

    11 1130-Min.30-Min.

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    97/101

    1. Bullish Gap

    2. 100% Gap Fill in first 30-Min.

    3. Short PBD (or other bearish

    entry) on smaller time frame, if

    no congestion to left

    11 11

    22

    2233

    33

    97

    20MA

    Using Pristine ESP to Find Candidates

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    98/101

    98

    Go to Scans; Micro Trader; Gap Down and Strong (for

    longs), and Gap Up and Weak (for shorts)

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    99/101

    ConcludingConcluding

    ThoughtsThoughts

    Pristine Services and EducationPristine Services and Education

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    100/101

    Thank You For Joining Us!Thank You For Joining Us!

  • 8/6/2019 Dan Gibby - Mastering Breakouts and Breakdowns

    101/101

    At this point, you have the information to build on. Its up

    to you to work with the material and now make it yours.

    There are no secrets or proprietary indicators to makingmoney in the markets. Defining an opportunity, where the

    odds are in your favor, then having the discipline to

    follow your trading and money management rules is allthat you can do. Your job is to objectively monitor, then

    change as the market suggests you should.

    In closing, we at Pristine wish you great success!

    101