Current+State+of+Equity+Market+in+India+2003
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Transcript of Current+State+of+Equity+Market+in+India+2003
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CURRENT SCENARIO OF EQUITY
MARKET IN INDIA SIZE/STATISTICS
MAJOR PLAYERS
FACTORS DRIVING EQUITY MARKET IMPACT OF FII/FDI
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CURRENT SCENE
BSE SENSEX RANGE BOUND AT 16500-17000LEVELS
NSE NIFTY AROUND 5100-4900 LEVELS
NSE + BSE trading summary of FII/DII FII PURCHASES FY 0900- Rs.391794 cr
FII sales FY 0900-Rs.361675 cr
FII Net Investment FY 0900 Rs.30118 cr
DII purchases FY 0900 Rs.192516 cr DII sales FY 0900 Rs.181613 cr
DII net investment FY 0900 Rs.10903 cr
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RBI POLICY
CURRENT RBI Policy: Repo rate (Bank borrowing from RBI) is at 4.75%, Reverse repo (Bank
placing funds with RBI) at 3.25%, CRR at 5%.
2. RBI placed the growth projection for GDP for 2009-10 at 6.0 per centwith an upward bias.
Expected that Fiscal and monetary stimulus measures will supplement
domestic demand in 2009-10. On balance, an uptrend in the growth
momentum is unlikely before the middle of 2009-10, the Bank said.
3. The Bank projects the WPI inflation for end-March 2010 at around 5.0
per cent higher than the projection of 4.0 per cent made in the Annual
Policy Statement of April 2009.
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RBI POLICY 4. Monetary Policy Stance: On the basis of the above
overall assessment, the stance of monetary policy of
the RBI for the remaining period of 2009-10 will be to :
Manage liquidity actively so that the credit demand ofthe Government is met while ensuring the flow of
credit to the private sector at viable rates. Keep a vigil on the trends and signals of inflation, and
be prepared to respond quickly and effectively throughpolicy adjustments.
Maintain a monetary and interest rate regimeconsistent with price stability and financial stabilitysupportive of returning the economy to the highgrowth path.
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FAVOURABALE FACTORS
INDICES MOVING UP SHARPLY IN INDIANMARKET DURING LAST 6 MONTHS-VALUATION OFINDIAN MARKETS
INTRA DAY VOLATILITY GROWTH STIMULAI OF VARIOUS COUNTRIES
WORLD ECONOMY REVIVING-INDUSTRIALPRODUCTION UP
INTENT TO KEEP STIMULAI ON
INDIAN GDP EXPECTED AROUND 6%
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION OF INDIAN ECONOMY
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CURRENT ECONOMIC SENARIO
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UP BY 6% IN JULY 2009IN INDIA (MFG AND MINING)
AUTO SECTOR ,CEMENT,TELECOM LOOKING UP
THRUST ON INFRASTRUCTURE NREPG HAVING SOME EFFECT IN RURAL AREAS
ADVANCE TAX FIGURES LOOK ENCOURAGING
MFS INVESTED TO THE EXTENT OF 90% OF THEIR
FUNDS REAL ESTATE LOKING UP IN AFFORDABALE
SEGMENT
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CURRENT ECONOMIC SENARIO
AUTO SECTOR LOOKING UP
IT INDUSTRY LOOKING UP MARGINALLY
NO UNFAVOURABLE IMPACT ON IT FROM
ADVANCED COUNTRIES UID MAY GIVE A FILLIP TO IT INDUSTRY
REAL ESTATE COMPANIES LOOKING OUT FOR IPO
WATCH FOR QUARTERLY RESULTS AND DEMAND
REVIVAL TIGHTENING MONETARY POLICIES TO BE
AWAITED
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NEW DEVELOPMENTS BY SEBI
Grading of IPOs made mandatory
Relaxation in case of QIP
Anchor Investors Relaxation for Government Companies in
Infrastructure Sector
SEBI introduced (i) mini contracts in equityindices, (ii) options contracts with longer
life/tenure
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NEW DEVELOPMENTS BY SEBI
Trading hours to be increased
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Capitalisation/GDP Ratio
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TRENDS IN THE SECONDARY MARKET
Apr 2009-jun 2009
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NSE Turnover Jun08-Jul09
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Major Indicators of stock market-
comparision-2006 to June 2009
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Trends in Derivatives Market at NSE
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SENSEX,NIFY,NASDAQ-FY0708
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TRENDS IN PRIMARY MARKET
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TRENDS IN PRIMARY MARKET
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QIP
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RESOURCE MOBILISATION BY MF
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GAIN IN BSE/NSE INDICES IN JUNE 2009
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INSTITUTIONAL INVESTMENT
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NET INVESTMENT BY FIIS
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FII Investments Trend
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FII Investments-debt and equity
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Size of the market-NSE
NSE turnover figures shows a substantial risefrom Rs. 1,805 crore (US $ 574.29 million) in theyear 1994-95 to Rs. 2,752,023 crore (US $540,141.59 million) in 2008-09.
The average daily trading volume increased fromRs. 17 crore during 1994-95 to Rs. 11,325 crore(US $ 2,223 million) during 2008-09.
During 2008-09 the volumes decreased by 22.50
% to Rs. 2,752,023 crore (US $ 540,142 million)from Rs. 3,551,038 crore (US $ 888,426 million)during 2007-08.
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NSE Trading Size Graph
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NSE-Cash Market
The total market capitalisation under CMsegment increased from Rs. 363,350 crore (US$ 115,606 million) as at end March 1995 to Rs.
2,896,194 crore (US $ 568,439 million) as atend March 2009.
Decrease in Market capitalization of 40.38 %during 2008-09 as compared to the marketcapitalization of Rs.4,858,122 crore (US $1,215,442 million) in 2007-08.
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NSE INDICES FY 2008-09
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Derivative/CM turnover
The total turnover in the derivative segments
surpassed the combined turnover in the cash
segment of both BSE and NSE since early
2004.
During 2007-08, the turnover of derivatives
market was higher by 259.9 per cent of the
combined cash market turnover of BSE andNSE
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MF/FII Investment trend
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FY 07-08
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Secondary Market turnover
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Stock Exchange Turnover
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NIFTY 07-08