Crosstabs WBUR General 0824-0831

8/11/2019 Crosstabs WBUR General 0824-0831

1/24

Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 700 Likely Votersin November 2014 General Election

Field Dates: August 24-31, 2014WBUR Tracking Poll

OVERAL

L

Overall

Democra

t

Republic

an

Unenroll

ed /

Other Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+

UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700 251 85 364 341 359 90 180 223 207

Favorable 36% 28% 61% 36% 43% 30% 24% 33% 39% 42%

Unfavorable 18% 22% 13% 16% 17% 19% 25% 18% 15% 19%

Heard of / undecided 29% 31% 18% 31% 29% 30% 27% 32% 33% 24%

Never heard of 16% 19% 8% 16% 12% 19% 24% 17% 13% 15%

Refused 1% % 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 47% 65% 23% 41% 41% 53% 53% 52% 43% 46%

Unfavorable 30% 17% 62% 32% 38% 22% 19% 31% 30% 34%


Never heard of 3% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 8% 2% 3% 2%Refused % 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% % 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 26% 35% 19% 22% 31% 23% 25% 20% 22% 37%

Unfavorable 10% 7% 24% 9% 11% 10% 7% 6% 12% 14%


Never heard of 29% 29% 31% 28% 25% 32% 43% 36% 23% 22%

Refused 1% % 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% % 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 10% 16% 3% 8% 10% 10% 12% 8% 9% 13%

Unfavorable 5% 5% 11% 5% 7% 4% 5% 4% 5% 8%

Heard of / undecided 22% 21% 23% 22% 24% 19% 22% 21% 23% 21%Never heard of 62% 59% 63% 65% 59% 65% 61% 67% 64% 58%

Refused % 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% % 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4% 2% 5% 5%

Unfavorable 4% 6% 4% 3% 5% 4% 10% 5% 3% 3%


Never heard of 68% 67% 69% 69% 68% 69% 59% 71% 68% 69%

Refused % % 0% 1% % 1% 0% 0% % 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorables - Martha Coakley

Favorables - Steve Grossman

Favorables - Don Berwick

Favorables - Jeff McCormick

Favorables - Charlie Baker

PARTY REGISTRATION GENDER AGE CATEGORIES

Conducted for WBUR byMore information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 1 of 24


2/24



OVERAL

L

Overall

UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700

Favorable 36%

Unfavorable 18%

Heard of / undecided 29%

Never heard of 16%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 47%

Unfavorable 30%


Never heard of 3%Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 26%

Unfavorable 10%


Never heard of 29%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 10%

Unfavorable 5%

Heard of / undecided 22%Never heard of 62%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 4%


Never heard of 68%

Refused %

Total 700






Men age

18-49

Women

age 18-

49

Men age

50+

Women

age 50+

White /

Caucasia

n All others

169 154 172 205 604 73

35% 29% 49% 32% 38% 26%

18% 21% 16% 17% 19% 16%

30% 34% 28% 27% 30% 26%

18% 17% 7% 22% 14% 31%

0% 0% 0% 2% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

42% 59% 40% 49% 47% 52%

35% 19% 41% 25% 32% 14%

17% 20% 17% 21% 18% 22%

5% 2% 2% 4% 2% 10%0% 0% 0% 1% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

29% 16% 32% 29% 29% 14%

7% 7% 14% 13% 11% 4%

33% 37% 33% 33% 35% 28%

29% 40% 22% 25% 25% 52%

2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

8% 9% 12% 11% 11% 8%

6% 3% 7% 5% 6% 1%

26% 20% 22% 19% 23% 15%60% 67% 59% 64% 61% 74%

0% 0% 0% 1% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

3% 2% 6% 5% 4% 6%

6% 6% 4% 2% 5% 3%

23% 24% 22% 22% 23% 27%

68% 68% 67% 69% 69% 62%

0% 0% 1% 1% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

AGE AND GENDER RACE



3/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 36%

Unfavorable 18%


Never heard of 16%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 47%

Unfavorable 30%



Total 700

Favorable 26%

Unfavorable 10%


Never heard of 29%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 10%

Unfavorable 5%


Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 4%


Never heard of 68%

Refused %

Total 700






Less

than

$25k $25-$75k

$75-

$150k

More

than

$150k

High

School or

less

Some

college,

no

degree

College

graduate

(BA/BS)

Advance

d degree

39 178 193 106 131 179 247 137

15% 32% 45% 45% 24% 33% 43% 40%

17% 19% 18% 17% 14% 19% 18% 21%

24% 32% 30% 30% 38% 30% 26% 28%

44% 18% 8% 8% 24% 18% 12% 11%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

53% 47% 46% 48% 44% 41% 51% 53%

14% 26% 39% 35% 24% 30% 31% 34%

18% 24% 15% 17% 22% 24% 16% 13%

15% 4% % 0% 8% 5% 2% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% % 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

17% 29% 29% 28% 22% 22% 31% 30%

8% 7% 10% 14% 9% 12% 8% 13%

33% 34% 38% 34% 32% 32% 34% 37%

41% 31% 22% 25% 36% 33% 26% 19%

0% 0% 1% 0% 1% % 1% 1%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

10% 10% 9% 13% 6% 8% 12% 14%

5% 3% 7% 9% 6% 5% 4% 8%

15% 22% 25% 23% 15% 20% 26% 24%70% 64% 59% 54% 72% 67% 58% 54%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% % 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

2% 5% 4% 1% 7% 4% 6% 1%

0% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 5%

23% 27% 24% 21% 17% 26% 22% 24%

73% 64% 66% 71% 70% 65% 69% 70%

3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% % 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

INCOME RANGES EDUCATION LEVEL



4/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 36%

Unfavorable 18%


Never heard of 16%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 47%

Unfavorable 30%



Total 700

Favorable 26%

Unfavorable 10%


Never heard of 29%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 10%

Unfavorable 5%


Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 4%


Never heard of 68%

Refused %

Total 700






FAV -

BAKER

FAV -

COAKLE

Y

FAV -

GROSS

MAN

FAV -

BERWIC

K

Western

/ Central

MA

Southeas

t MA

Outer

Boston

Suburbs

Boston /

Inner

Suburbs

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

193 84 252 171 249 332 190 75

35% 41% 36% 35% 100% 31% 48% 38%

16% 9% 20% 22% 0% 25% 29% 44%

26% 28% 32% 29% 0% 26% 16% 13%

22% 22% 11% 13% 0% 18% 7% 5%

2% 0% 0% % 0% % 1% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

50% 46% 46% 47% 41% 100% 62% 69%

29% 32% 32% 27% 52% 0% 29% 22%

17% 19% 18% 21% 7% 0% 9% 9%

3% 2% 3% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0%1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

20% 22% 28% 33% 35% 35% 100% 66%

13% 8% 8% 13% 16% 6% 0% 11%

33% 33% 38% 29% 28% 33% 0% 17%

34% 37% 25% 25% 21% 26% 0% 6%

1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

10% 1% 8% 18% 11% 15% 26% 100%

6% 3% 6% 5% 8% 4% 6% 0%

16% 19% 26% 22% 20% 21% 23% 0%66% 77% 60% 55% 61% 61% 46% 0%

1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

6% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 8%

6% 3% 3% 5% 5% 4% 8% 7%

18% 27% 27% 20% 20% 23% 20% 19%

69% 67% 67% 70% 71% 67% 66% 66%

2% 0% 0% 0% 0% % 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

REGIONS



5/24


6/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 36%

Unfavorable 18%


Never heard of 16%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 47%

Unfavorable 30%



Total 700

Favorable 26%

Unfavorable 10%


Never heard of 29%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 10%

Unfavorable 5%


Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 4%


Never heard of 68%

Refused %

Total 700






Don

Berwick

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other

Votes for

1+ Indy

Votes for

no Indy

139 256 46 235 55 645

19% 68% 13% 18% 19% 38%

37% 6% 20% 19% 16% 18%

23% 20% 29% 42% 28% 30%

19% 6% 36% 21% 34% 14%

1% % 3% 0% 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

74% 32% 41% 48% 40% 48%

15% 51% 20% 20% 22% 31%

8% 14% 27% 28% 25% 18%

3% 3% 9% 4% 10% 3%0% % 3% 0% 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

38% 27% 24% 19% 24% 27%

10% 16% 5% 6% 11% 10%

25% 31% 31% 42% 29% 34%

27% 24% 38% 33% 33% 28%

1% 1% 3% 0% 3% 1%

136 260 43 239 52 648

33% 5% 4% 4% 4% 11%

2% 9% 8% 2% 7% 5%

18% 21% 19% 25% 17% 22%46% 64% 65% 68% 70% 62%

0% % 3% 0% 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

4% 3% 11% 4% 12% 4%

5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4%

17% 21% 31% 27% 33% 22%

74% 71% 49% 64% 48% 70%

0% % 3% % 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

GOV HORSERACE - BAKER V

BERWICK

VOTES FOR AN

INDEPENDENT IN

ANY MATCHUP



7/24



OVERAL

L

Overall

Democra

t

Republic

an

Unenroll

ed /

Other Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+

UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700 251 85 364 341 359 90 180 223 207


Favorable 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 6% 2% 3% 6%

Unfavorable 7% 8% 3% 7% 6% 7% 16% 6% 4% 6%


Never heard of 74% 72% 86% 72% 76% 72% 60% 75% 81% 70%

Refused % 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% % 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 6% 6% 11% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 8% 5%

Unfavorable 6% 9% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 5% 6% 8%


Never heard of 64% 64% 59% 64% 64% 63% 70% 65% 61% 62%Refused 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Favorable 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3%

Unfavorable 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3%


Never heard of 77% 77% 76% 77% 77% 77% 78% 73% 79% 78%

Refused 1% % 0% 1% % 1% 0% 0% % 2%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Martha Coakley 40% 63% 8% 32% 35% 45% 49% 43% 38% 37%

Charlie Baker 31% 11% 71% 36% 39% 25% 22% 29% 33% 36%

Evan Falchuk 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% % 1% 1%Jeff McCormick 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 2%

Scott Lively 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Another candidate 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%

Wouldn't vote 1% 1% 0% 1% % 1% 0% 1% 1% 1%

Don't Know / Refused 21% 18% 15% 25% 19% 23% 18% 23% 22% 20%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Democrat Martha Coakley, Republican

Charlie Baker, independent Evan Falchuk

and independent Jeff McCormick, for

whom would you vote?

Favorables - Scott Lively

Favorables - Evan Falchuk

Favorables - Mark Fisher



8/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 7%


Never heard of 74%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 6%

Unfavorable 6%


Never heard of 64%Refused 1%

Total 700

Favorable 2%

Unfavorable 3%


Never heard of 77%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Martha Coakley 40%

Charlie Baker 31%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 1%

Another candidate 2%

Wouldn't vote 1%

Don't Know / Refused 21%

Total 700








Men age

18-49

Women

age 18-

49

Men age

50+

Women

age 50+

White /

Caucasia

n All others

169 154 172 205 604 73

AGE AND GENDER RACE

3% 3% 3% 6% 4% 3%

9% 9% 4% 5% 6% 7%

17% 16% 13% 15% 16% 8%

71% 72% 79% 73% 73% 80%

0% 0% 0% 1% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

4% 4% 6% 8% 5% 12%

5% 6% 6% 8% 6% 7%

25% 25% 23% 23% 24% 19%

66% 65% 63% 60% 64% 60%0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%

4% 1% 2% 4% 3% 1%

19% 21% 15% 14% 17% 14%

75% 76% 79% 78% 77% 79%

0% 0% 1% 2% % 1%

151 172 185 192 589 93

39% 46% 32% 45% 38% 58%

35% 22% 42% 27% 34% 12%

2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0%

2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%

4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%

0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0%

17% 25% 21% 21% 21% 23%

151 172 185 192 589 93



9/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 7%


Never heard of 74%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 6%

Unfavorable 6%



Total 700

Favorable 2%

Unfavorable 3%


Never heard of 77%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Martha Coakley 40%

Charlie Baker 31%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 1%


Total 700








Less

than

$25k $25-$75k

$75-

$150k

More

than

$150k

High

School or

less

Some

college,

no

degree

College

graduate

(BA/BS)

Advance

d degree

39 178 193 106 131 179 247 137


9% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4%

5% 4% 7% 13% 4% 7% 6% 9%

6% 14% 19% 12% 15% 11% 17% 18%

81% 79% 71% 72% 76% 78% 71% 69%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% % 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

8% 11% 4% 2% 5% 6% 6% 5%

0% 3% 6% 12% 4% 5% 5% 12%

18% 27% 27% 13% 26% 25% 21% 24%

71% 59% 63% 72% 64% 63% 67% 58%3% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% % 1%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

6% 3% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1%

0% 2% 5% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2%

11% 19% 20% 12% 18% 15% 18% 19%

80% 76% 74% 83% 76% 78% 76% 78%

3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

50% 43% 36% 40% 37% 36% 41% 50%

13% 30% 38% 36% 28% 33% 36% 26%

2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% % 1%

3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2%

0% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0%

3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1%

0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0%

29% 19% 19% 18% 24% 23% 17% 21%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146



10/24



OVERAL

L

Overall


Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 7%


Never heard of 74%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 6%

Unfavorable 6%



Total 700

Favorable 2%

Unfavorable 3%


Never heard of 77%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Martha Coakley 40%

Charlie Baker 31%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 1%


Total 700








FAV -

BAKER

FAV -

COAKLE

Y

FAV -

GROSS

MAN

FAV -

BERWIC

K

Western

/ Central

MA

Southeas

t MA

Outer

Boston

Suburbs

Boston /

Inner

Suburbs

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

193 84 252 171 249 332 190 75

REGIONS

3% 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 6% 15%

5% 2% 7% 9% 7% 7% 9% 13%

12% 13% 18% 15% 13% 17% 21% 18%

78% 80% 71% 72% 73% 71% 64% 54%

1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

10% 8% 2% 5% 8% 5% 7% 10%

3% 5% 7% 9% 9% 6% 10% 17%

21% 27% 26% 23% 21% 23% 21% 21%

64% 60% 64% 64% 61% 66% 62% 51%2% 0% 0% 0% 0% % 0% 2%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

4% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 5%

5% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4%

15% 22% 18% 16% 12% 19% 15% 15%

75% 73% 79% 80% 81% 75% 78% 76%

2% 0% 0% % 0% % 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

42% 42% 40% 39% 23% 73% 50% 63%

32% 39% 30% 29% 61% 14% 31% 19%

1% 0% 1% 1% % 1% 1% 0%

2% 5% 2% 2% 3% % 1% 1%

2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0%

1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1%

2% 0% % 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

19% 14% 22% 26% 12% 10% 11% 16%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71



11/24



OVERAL

L

OverallUNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700

Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 7%


Never heard of 74%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 6%

Unfavorable 6%



Total 700

Favorable 2%

Unfavorable 3%


Never heard of 77%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Martha Coakley 40%

Charlie Baker 31%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 1%


Total 700








Martha

Coakley

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Undecide

d / other

Steve

Grossma

n

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other286 220 31 157 208 235 28 210


COAKLEY


GROSSMAN

3% 4% 15% 5% 4% 4% 14% 3%

8% 8% 3% 4% 7% 7% 3% 6%

18% 10% 13% 17% 19% 9% 27% 16%

71% 79% 65% 74% 70% 79% 51% 75%

0% % 4% 0% 0% % 5% 0%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

5% 7% 11% 4% 6% 8% 3% 3%

7% 7% 4% 5% 8% 7% 4% 5%

24% 25% 23% 23% 24% 23% 25% 25%

63% 61% 57% 68% 61% 62% 62% 67%% % 4% 1% 1% % 5% %

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

3% 2% 7% 1% 2% 2% 7% 2%

3% 3% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3%

21% 11% 19% 17% 18% 11% 31% 22%

73% 82% 64% 79% 76% 83% 54% 73%

0% 1% 4% 1% 0% % 5% 1%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

100% 0% 0% 0% 79% 12% 17% 33%

0% 100% 0% 0% 7% 81% 11% 5%

0% 0% 24% 0% % 0% 20% %

0% 0% 50% 0% 3% 1% 24% 1%

0% 0% 27% 0% 1% 0% 24% 0%

0% 0% 0% 8% 2% 0% 0% 4%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%

0% 0% 0% 92% 7% 6% 3% 56%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214



12/24



OVERAL

L


Favorable 4%

Unfavorable 7%


Never heard of 74%

Refused %

Total 700

Favorable 6%

Unfavorable 6%



Total 700

Favorable 2%

Unfavorable 3%


Never heard of 77%

Refused 1%

Total 700

Martha Coakley 40%

Charlie Baker 31%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 1%


Total 700








Don

Berwick

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other

Votes for

1+ Indy

Votes for

no Indy139 256 46 235 55 645


BERWICK

VOTES FOR AN

INDEPENDENT IN

ANY MATCHUP

3% 4% 11% 3% 9% 4%

8% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7%

16% 11% 22% 17% 21% 15%

72% 78% 57% 73% 62% 75%

0% % 3% 0% 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

5% 7% 8% 4% 8% 5%

8% 6% 5% 6% 4% 6%

22% 23% 27% 25% 25% 24%

64% 64% 57% 64% 60% 64%1% % 3% % 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

1% 2% 9% 3% 7% 2%

3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%

17% 13% 22% 20% 20% 17%

79% 82% 63% 74% 67% 78%

0% % 3% % 3% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

84% 17% 34% 39% 30% 41%

6% 76% 6% 3% 7% 33%

0% 0% 15% % 14% 0%

1% 1% 21% 1% 29% 0%

0% 0% 19% 0% 15% 0%

2% % 0% 4% 0% 2%

% 0% 3% 1% 2% 1%

6% 6% 4% 52% 3% 23%

136 260 43 239 52 648



13/24



OVERAL

L

Overall

Democra

t

Republic

an

Unenroll

ed /

Other Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700 251 85 364 341 359 90 180 223 207


Steve Grossman 29% 49% 6% 21% 28% 30% 28% 31% 26% 31%

Charlie Baker 34% 13% 75% 38% 39% 29% 23% 32% 37% 37%

Evan Falchuk 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 3% % 1% 1%

Jeff McCormick 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1%

Scott Lively 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%


Wouldn't vote 3% 2% 0% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3%


Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Don Berwick 19% 38% 3% 11% 17% 22% 21% 22% 16% 20%Charlie Baker 37% 18% 76% 41% 44% 31% 28% 34% 40% 41%

Evan Falchuk 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 5% % 1% 2%

Jeff McCormick 2% 2% 0% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Scott Lively 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1%


Wouldn't vote 3% 2% 0% 5% 2% 4% 2% 2% 4% 4%


Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Selected 1+ independent

candidate in horserace questions

7% 7% 2% 9% 7% 8% 12% 7% 7% 6%

Did not select any independentcandidates

93% 93% 98% 91% 93% 92% 88% 93% 93% 94%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Democrat Steve Grossman, Republican




Democrat Don Berwick, RepublicanCharlie Baker, independent Evan Falchuk



VOTES FOR AN INDEPENDENT IN ANY

MATCHUP



14/24



OVERAL

L


Steve Grossman 29%

Charlie Baker 34%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 1%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700

Don Berwick 19%Charlie Baker 37%

Evan Falchuk 2%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 2%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700



7%


93%

Total 700









MATCHUP

Men age

18-49

Women

age 18-

49

Men age

50+

Women

age 50+

White /

Caucasia

n All others169 154 172 205 604 73

AGE AND GENDER RACE

32% 28% 25% 31% 28% 40%

33% 26% 44% 31% 37% 13%

2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0%

2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4%

3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 7%

2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2%

24% 34% 23% 29% 26% 33%

151 172 185 192 589 93

18% 23% 16% 20% 18% 32%39% 27% 47% 35% 39% 23%

3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1%

3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4%

2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3%

7% 4% 4% 1% 3% 7%

2% 2% 3% 5% 4% 0%

25% 38% 26% 32% 30% 31%

151 172 185 192 589 93

9% 8% 6% 7% 7% 11%

91% 92% 94% 93% 93% 89%

151 172 185 192 589 93



15/24



OVERAL

L


Steve Grossman 29%

Charlie Baker 34%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 1%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700


Evan Falchuk 2%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 2%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700



7%


93%

Total 700









MATCHUP

Less

than

$25k $25-$75k

$75-

$150k

More

than

$150k

High

School or

less

Some

college,

no

degree

College

graduate

(BA/BS)

Advance

d degree39 178 193 106 131 179 247 137


37% 34% 26% 35% 32% 20% 31% 37%

21% 31% 41% 37% 29% 37% 37% 29%

2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% % 1%

0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2%

0% 1% 2% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1%

4% 1% 2% 2% 1% 5% 3% 1%

4% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3%

31% 29% 22% 23% 29% 31% 24% 26%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

34% 22% 20% 22% 19% 12% 21% 28%24% 38% 42% 44% 33% 39% 42% 32%

4% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1%

3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 4% % 3%

2% 1% 3% 0% 4% 1% 2% 1%

0% 3% 2% 3% 2% 7% 4% 1%

1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 2%

31% 28% 26% 28% 31% 33% 25% 33%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

9% 8% 9% 2% 14% 7% 5% 6%

91% 92% 91% 98% 86% 93% 95% 94%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146



16/24



OVERAL

L


Steve Grossman 29%

Charlie Baker 34%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 1%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700


Evan Falchuk 2%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 2%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700



7%


93%

Total 700









MATCHUP

FAV -

BAKER

FAV -

COAKLE

Y

FAV -

GROSS

MAN

FAV -

BERWIC

K

Western

/ Central

MA

Southeas

t MA

Outer

Boston

Suburbs

Boston /

Inner

Suburbs

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable193 84 252 171 249 332 190 75

REGIONS

31% 24% 26% 35% 19% 42% 51% 54%

33% 41% 38% 26% 66% 21% 31% 21%

2% 1% 1% % % 1% 2% 0%

1% 4% 1% % 1% 1% % 1%

2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0%

2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 8%

4% 1% 3% 2% 1% 5% % 4%

26% 26% 27% 30% 11% 26% 11% 12%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

22% 16% 15% 25% 10% 30% 28% 64%35% 43% 40% 32% 69% 25% 38% 18%

2% 1% 1% 1% % 2% 1% 0%

3% 6% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3%

3% 2% 1% 3% % 2% 2% 0%

3% 4% 4% 5% 2% 5% 6% 4%

3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 2%

30% 27% 32% 31% 15% 29% 19% 10%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

9% 12% 6% 7% 4% 6% 7% 3%

91% 88% 94% 93% 96% 94% 93% 97%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71



17/24



OVERAL

L


Steve Grossman 29%

Charlie Baker 34%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 1%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700


Evan Falchuk 2%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 2%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700



7%


93%

Total 700









MATCHUP

Martha

Coakley

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Undecide

d / other

Steve

Grossma

n

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other286 220 31 157 208 235 28 210


COAKLEY


GROSSMAN

57% 7% 26% 11% 100% 0% 0% 0%

10% 87% 6% 9% 0% 100% 0% 0%

1% % 15% % 0% 0% 30% 0%

1% % 20% 0% 0% 0% 32% 0%

% 1% 26% 0% 0% 0% 38% 0%

4% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 9%

6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

21% 4% 7% 74% 0% 0% 0% 91%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

41% 4% 7% 6% 53% 2% 8% 8%15% 90% 9% 10% 16% 92% 0% 4%

1% 0% 24% 1% 1% 0% 31% 1%

3% % 25% 0% 4% 0% 27% 1%

1% 1% 28% 0% 2% 0% 34% 0%

7% 0% 0% 5% 5% % 0% 8%

6% 1% 0% % 3% 1% 0% %

26% 4% 7% 78% 17% 4% 0% 79%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

5% 2% 100% 1% 8% 1% 100% 2%

95% 98% 0% 99% 92% 99% 0% 98%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214



18/24



OVERAL

L


Steve Grossman 29%

Charlie Baker 34%

Evan Falchuk 1%

Jeff McCormick 1%

Scott Lively 1%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700


Evan Falchuk 2%

Jeff McCormick 2%

Scott Lively 2%


Wouldn't vote 3%


Total 700



7%


93%

Total 700









MATCHUP

Don

Berwick

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other

Votes for

1+ Indy

Votes for

no Indy139 256 46 235 55 645


BERWICK

VOTES FOR AN

INDEPENDENT IN

ANY MATCHUP

79% 12% 30% 19% 31% 29%

4% 84% 0% 4% 3% 36%

1% 0% 17% 0% 16% 0%

0% 0% 20% 0% 17% 0%

1% 0% 21% 0% 19% 0%

3% 0% 2% 6% 1% 3%

2% 1% 5% 0% 4% 3%

10% 3% 5% 71% 9% 29%

136 260 43 239 52 648

100% 0% 0% 0% 8% 20%0% 100% 0% 0% 5% 40%

0% 0% 26% 0% 22% 0%

0% 0% 41% 0% 33% 0%

0% 0% 33% 0% 27% 0%

0% 0% 0% 11% 0% 4%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%

0% 0% 0% 89% 4% 32%

136 260 43 239 52 648

3% 1% 100% 1% 100% 0%

97% 99% 0% 99% 0% 100%

136 260 43 239 52 648



19/24



OVERAL

L

Overall

Democra

t

Republic

an

Unenroll

ed /

Other Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 700 251 85 364 341 359 90 180 223 207


Yes 37% 40% 33% 36% 38% 37% 35% 28% 41% 43%

No 52% 49% 59% 52% 51% 52% 51% 58% 50% 48%

Don't Know / Undecided 10% 10% 8% 12% 11% 10% 14% 13% 8% 9%

Refused % 1% 0% 0% % % 0% % 1% 0%

Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

A great deal 8% 7% 12% 7% 9% 7% 9% 6% 6% 10%

A fair amount 20% 24% 18% 17% 23% 16% 14% 18% 18% 26%

Not too much 39% 40% 33% 40% 37% 41% 34% 40% 38% 40%

Nothing at all 33% 30% 34% 36% 30% 36% 43% 36% 37% 23%

Don't Know / Refused 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

Support 50% 48% 64% 48% 62% 39% 49% 44% 48% 57%

Oppose 25% 25% 21% 26% 20% 30% 33% 24% 24% 25%

Both / Neither / Depends (not

read)

8% 9% 4% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 7%


Total 700 252 84 364 336 364 84 182 231 203

....Knowing this, would you support or

oppose this new pipeline?

If the election for this [casino repeal]

measure were held today, would you vote

yes or no? How are you leaning as of

today?

How much have you heard or read about

the proposal to build a new natural gas

pipeline across Massachusetts?



20/24



OVERAL

L


Yes 37%

No 52%

Don't Know / Undecided 10%

Refused %

Total 700

A great deal 8%

A fair amount 20%

Not too much 39%

Nothing at all 33%

Don't Know / Refused 1%Total 700

Support 50%

Oppose 25%


read)

8%


Total 700






today?




Men age

18-49

Women

age 18-

49

Men age

50+

Women

age 50+

White /

Caucasia

n All others169 154 172 205 604 73

AGE AND GENDER RACE

34% 32% 41% 41% 38% 33%

53% 56% 50% 49% 53% 50%

12% 12% 10% 9% 10% 16%

1% 0% 0% 1% % 2%

151 172 185 192 589 93

9% 4% 8% 9% 8% 6%

19% 15% 27% 17% 21% 11%

37% 43% 37% 39% 38% 45%

35% 39% 26% 35% 33% 37%

0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%151 172 185 192 589 93

56% 35% 66% 42% 51% 44%

25% 29% 17% 30% 26% 24%

9% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10%

10% 28% 8% 19% 16% 22%

151 172 185 192 589 93



21/24



OVERAL

L


Yes 37%

No 52%


Refused %

Total 700

A great deal 8%

A fair amount 20%

Not too much 39%

Nothing at all 33%


Support 50%

Oppose 25%


read)

8%


Total 700






today?




Less

than

$25k $25-$75k

$75-

$150k

More

than

$150k

High

School or

less

Some

college,

no

degree

College

graduate

(BA/BS)

Advance

d degree39 178 193 106 131 179 247 137


27% 34% 40% 40% 41% 35% 37% 38%

54% 56% 55% 53% 52% 54% 51% 51%

19% 9% 5% 8% 7% 11% 11% 11%

0% % 0% 0% 0% % 1% 0%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

5% 7% 8% 7% 5% 7% 8% 10%

19% 19% 23% 20% 19% 17% 19% 25%

40% 39% 35% 41% 42% 37% 41% 36%

35% 34% 34% 32% 32% 38% 33% 28%

0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1%38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146

36% 47% 56% 52% 50% 53% 47% 50%

37% 27% 24% 19% 26% 26% 28% 22%

10% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 9%

17% 17% 12% 20% 16% 14% 17% 19%

38 177 196 107 125 202 222 146



22/24



OVERAL

L


Yes 37%

No 52%


Refused %

Total 700

A great deal 8%

A fair amount 20%

Not too much 39%

Nothing at all 33%


Support 50%

Oppose 25%


read)

8%


Total 700






today?




FAV -

BAKER

FAV -

COAKLE

Y

FAV -

GROSS

MAN

FAV -

BERWIC

K

Western

/ Central

MA

Southeas

t MA

Outer

Boston

Suburbs

Boston /

Inner

Suburbs

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable

Total

favorable193 84 252 171 249 332 190 75

REGIONS

40% 38% 36% 37% 36% 40% 44% 50%

52% 49% 53% 51% 54% 51% 49% 42%

7% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 8%

1% 0% 0% % 0% % 0% 0%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

13% 10% 5% 5% 7% 7% 7% 12%

25% 17% 19% 16% 22% 20% 26% 31%

39% 34% 41% 38% 39% 40% 39% 38%

22% 38% 36% 41% 32% 32% 27% 19%

1% 1% % 1% 1% % 1% 0%184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71

50% 62% 48% 47% 61% 47% 55% 43%

32% 21% 25% 20% 23% 28% 24% 35%

7% 3% 9% 11% 6% 8% 5% 7%

11% 13% 17% 22% 10% 17% 16% 14%

184 75 266 175 253 332 185 71



23/24



OVERAL

L


Yes 37%

No 52%


Refused %

Total 700

A great deal 8%

A fair amount 20%

Not too much 39%

Nothing at all 33%


Support 50%

Oppose 25%


read)

8%


Total 700






today?




Martha

Coakley

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Undecide

d / other

Steve

Grossma

n

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other286 220 31 157 208 235 28 210


COAKLEY


GROSSMAN

37% 41% 37% 34% 46% 38% 41% 30%

54% 52% 50% 47% 47% 55% 49% 51%

9% 7% 10% 19% 7% 7% 7% 19%

0% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 3% 1%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

7% 9% 6% 7% 7% 7% 11% 9%

20% 19% 22% 19% 24% 20% 20% 15%

44% 37% 25% 34% 44% 37% 24% 36%

29% 35% 47% 38% 26% 35% 45% 39%

0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2%283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214

41% 70% 63% 36% 45% 66% 60% 37%

34% 16% 25% 24% 31% 19% 31% 26%

8% 5% 7% 12% 6% 6% 7% 12%

16% 9% 6% 28% 18% 10% 2% 25%

283 220 30 161 204 237 27 214



24/24



OVERAL

L


Yes 37%

No 52%


Refused %

Total 700

A great deal 8%

A fair amount 20%

Not too much 39%

Nothing at all 33%


Support 50%

Oppose 25%


read)

8%


Total 700






today?




Don

Berwick

Charlie

Baker

Independ

ent

candidat

e

Don't

know /

other

Votes for

1+ Indy

Votes for

no Indy139 256 46 235 55 645


BERWICK

VOTES FOR AN

INDEPENDENT IN

ANY MATCHUP

45% 37% 36% 34% 37% 37%

47% 56% 54% 48% 52% 52%

8% 6% 8% 18% 9% 11%

0% 0% 2% 1% 2% %

136 260 43 239 52 648

11% 7% 9% 7% 7% 8%

22% 19% 22% 18% 22% 19%

41% 39% 26% 38% 30% 40%

26% 35% 43% 36% 41% 33%

0% % 0% 1% 0% 1%136 260 43 239 52 648

39% 67% 52% 37% 58% 49%

39% 17% 39% 24% 32% 25%

6% 6% 4% 11% 6% 9%

16% 10% 4% 27% 3% 17%

136 260 43 239 52 648


Crosstabs WBUR General 0824-0831

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Transcript of Crosstabs WBUR General 0824-0831