Crime and Insurgency

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    Crime andInsurgencyin the Tribal Areas ofAfghanistan and Pakistan

    HARMONY PROJECT

    AuthorGretchen Peters

    EditorDon Rassler

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    Finally, I want to thank my husband and daughters, who have endured without

    complaint the longhours Ihaveput into thisproject.Theyare the reason Iwant the

    worldtobeasaferplace.TambienagradezcoaSocorroEspinosaJimnez.Respetomuchosu

    manera

    de

    vivir

    la

    vida

    con

    amor

    y

    cario

    para

    todos.

    GretchenPeters

    Denver,CO

    October2010

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    LISTOFACRONYMS

    FATA FederallyAdministeredTribalAreas(Pakistan)

    HIG HizbeIslamiGulbuddin

    HQN HaqqaniNetwork

    HuJI HarakatulJihadalIslami

    IED ImprovisedExplosiveDevice

    IJU IslamicJihadUnion

    IMU IslamicMovementofUzbekistan

    ISI InterServicesIntelligenceDirectorate(Pakistan)

    JDQ JamaatudDawaalQuraniWalsunna

    KPP KhyberPakhtunkhwaProvince(Pakistan,formerlytheNWFP)

    LT LashkareTaiba

    LI LashkareIslami

    NATO NorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization

    NDS NationalDirectorateofSecurity(Afghanistan)

    PKR PakistaniRupees

    QST QuettaShuraTaliban

    QZG QariZiaGroup

    SIM ShuraIttihadulMujahideen

    TTP TehrikeTalibanPakistan

    TTS TehrikeTalibanSwat

    TNSM

    Tehrik

    e

    Nifaz

    e

    Shariat

    e

    Muhammadi

    UAE UnitedArabEmirates

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    TABLEOFCONTENTS

    EXECUTIVESUMMARY............................................ .............................................. ............................. iINTRODUCTION............................................ ............................................. ........................................... 1SECTIONI: AFGHANISTAN................................................. ........................................... ............ 11SOUTHERNAFGHANISTAN................................................ ............................................ ................... 15

    Kandahar,Helmand,Zabul,UruzganandOtherAreas ............................................ .... 15SOUTHEASTERNAFGHANISTAN .............................................. ........................................... ............ 34

    Paktika,Paktia,Khost,GhazniandLogar ........................................... ................................ 34NORTHEASTERN

    AFGHANISTAN............................................. ........................................... ............ 39

    KunarandNuristan ............................................. .............................................. ......................... 39NORTHERNAFGHANISTAN............................................... ............................................ ................... 43

    KunduzandOtherProvinces............................................ ........................................... ............ 43SECTIONII: PAKISTAN ........................................... ............................................ ........................... 51KHYBERPAKTUNKHWAPROVINCE................................................ ........................................... .... 58

    Swat,Dir,MalakandandBunerAgencies .................................................. ........................ 58FEDERALLYADMINISTEREDTRIBALAREAS ............................................... ................................ 69

    KhyberAgency ................................................ ............................................. ................................. 70 BajaurAgency ................................................. ............................................. ................................. 73 NorthWaziristan........................................... .............................................. ................................. 79 SouthWaziristan........................................... .............................................. ................................. 82 OtherMilitantEntities ............................................... ............................................ ................... 88

    CONCLUSION.................................................. ............................................. ......................................... 90APPENDIXA: SAMPLEHARMONYDOCUMENTS.............................................. ........ 94APPENDIXB: EXAMPLEOFTALIBANTAXRECEIPT ............................................ .... 98

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    i

    EXECUTIVESUMMARY

    Insurgentand terrorgroupsoperating in the tribalareasofAfghanistanandPakistan

    aredeepening their involvement inorganized crime, an aspectof the conflict that atoncepresentsenormouschallengesandalsopotentialopportunitiesforCoalitionforces

    tryingtoimplementapopulationcentriccounterinsurgency(COIN)strategy.Withina

    realmofpoorgovernanceandwidespreadstatecorruption,antistateactorsengage in

    andprotect organized crimemainly smuggling, extortion andkidnappingboth to

    raise funds and also to spread fear and insecurity, thus slowing the pace of

    development and frustrating attempts to extend the rule of law and establish a

    sustainable liciteconomy.Militantgroupsoneithersideof thefrontierfunction likea

    broad

    network

    of

    criminal

    gangs,

    not

    just

    in

    terms

    of

    the

    activities

    in

    which

    they

    engage,butalsointhewaytheyareorganized,howfundsflowthroughtheircommand

    chainsandhowtheyinteractandsometimesfightwitheachother.Thereisnodoubt

    thatmilitant groups have capitalized on certain public grievances, yet their ties to

    criminalprofiteering,alongwith thegrowingnumberofciviliancasualtiestheycause

    onbothsidesof the frontier,havesimultaneouslycontributed toawideningsenseof

    angerandfrustrationamonglocalcommunities.Throughaseriesoffocusedandshort

    anecdotalcasestudies,thispaperaimstomapouthowkeygroupsengageincriminal

    activity in strategic areas, track how involvement in illicit activity is deepening or

    changingand illustratehow insurgentand terrorgroups impose themselveson local

    communitiesas theyspread tonew territory. It ishoped thatacloserexaminationof

    this phenomenon will reveal opportunities for disrupting the problem, as well as

    illustrate how Coalition forces, the international community and moderateMuslim

    leaders might capitalize on an untapped public relations opportunity by better

    protectinglocalcommunitieswhoarethemainvictimsofit.

    MainFindings

    Organizedcrimefundsthemilitantsaswellasprofitingcorruptstateactorsandregional power brokersamplifying and sustaining the conflict by spreading

    insecurityandgraft,slowingdevelopmentand reinforcingperceptions that local

    governmentsareweakandineffectual.

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    ii

    The insurgencys involvement in organized crime presents an untappedopportunitywithin thewiderCOIN campaign.While there have been laudable

    efforts by the Coalition to reduce civilian casualties and to disrupt militant

    violence,military forces stand to further improvecommunity relationsbybetter

    protectinglocalsfromwidespreadcrime.

    Coupledwith increased levelsofviolence,militant ties to crimehavepromptedgrowingnumbersof localcivilians toquestion the stated religious,politicaland

    ideological motives of the insurgents. To the extent that Coalition and local

    security forces and officials are seen as improving governance, they could

    capitalizeonwideningdisillusionmentwithastrategiccommunicationscampaign

    thathighlightsthepredatorybehaviorofthemilitants.

    Aswithcriminalgangsandmobfamiliesinotherpartsoftheglobe,rivalriesovercriminalprofits create structuralweaknesseswithin and between insurgent andterror groups in theAfghanistan/Pakistan frontier. These structuralweaknesses

    could be exploited in order to disrupt funds reaching militant coffers and to

    degradelevelsofmilitantcooperation.

    Afghanistan

    TheAfghanTaliban,orQuettaShuraTaliban(QST),hasreshuffled itscommandstructure and issued a newCode ofConduct to exert control over unruly sub

    commanders,streamline

    the

    flow

    of

    drug

    and

    other

    criminal

    funds

    and

    attempt

    to

    improve relationswithAfghancivilians.These initiativeshavenotbeenentirely

    successful,althoughtheQSTdoesreceivewidespreadpraiseforitsshadowjustice

    system,andforitspracticeofpunishingitsowncommanders.

    TheQST increasingly behaves like a traditional drug cartel.Apparentlyseekinghigherprofitmargins, theQSTnowfocuses lesson taxingpoppy

    farmers,havingturneditsattentiontothemoreprofitableprocessingand

    exportingendofthebusiness.

    Taliban leaders now demand that money earned from extortion andnarcotics flows direct into central coffers instead of being controlled bydistrictlevelcommanders.

    TheHaqqaniNetwork (HQN) appears to collaborate closelywith the PakistaniTalibanandalQaida,both in termsof launching terrorattacksand, specifically

    with the Pakistani Taliban, engaging in illicit activity, particularly kidnapping.

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    iii

    Abductionmay be theHQNs largest revenueearner. The group also protects

    smugglersandextortsbusinessesinitscontrolzones.

    HezbeIslamiGulbuddin (HIG)protects the smuggling of lootable resources in

    theeast,competingforbusinessagainstlocalgroupstiedtoalQaida.

    All three insurgent factions launchedoperations inAfghanistansnorth in 2009.Themannerinwhichinsurgentssetaboutraisingfundsandfoughtoverrevenue

    streamsillustratesthefinancialmotivesbehindtheirtactics.

    Pakistan

    Aweb of interlocking strategic and economic bargainsprompt factions of theTehrikeTaliban Pakistan (TTP) to collaborate for the purposes of launching

    attacks and engaging in organized crime. However, internal squabbles haveprevented the TTP from presenting a unified front. Many intergroup

    disagreementswerereportedlyaboutmoney.

    While some factions appear to command powerful criminal empires,othersseemtobestrugglingforcash.

    There appears to be sporadic cooperation on organized crime betweenmembersoftheTTPallianceandothergroups,andindicationsthatsome

    criminal proceeds are sent up the command chain to the TTP emir.

    Moneyand

    technical

    expertise

    also

    flow

    between

    groups.

    The Afghan Taliban has tried to manage and shape the TTPs trajectory bysupporting alliances, such as the Shura IttihadulMujahidin, yet there are a

    number of indications that the TTPthrough its violent acts and criminal

    activityistarnishingandthreateningtheAfghanTalibanbrandname.

    EvidencethatPakistaniTalibanandAfghanactors,suchastheHaqqaniNetwork,arecooperatingoncriminalandmilitaryactivitiescontradictsPakistanieffortsto

    makeadistinctionbetweengoodandbadTaliban.

    AlQaidaappears tohave coopted somePakistani extremistgroupspreviouslyunderthewingofPakistansspyagency,theInterServicesIntelligence(ISI).While

    there is little evidence directly linking alQaida to criminal activities there are

    widespread indications thegroup isgaining influenceover localmilitantoutfits,

    includingtheTTP,whichoftenrelyuponcriminalenterprisesforfunding.

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    1

    INTRODUCTION

    Amideffortstodevelopapopulationcentricstrategy intheAfghanistanandPakistan

    war theaters,NorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization (NATO)commanders, localofficialsandmembersoftheinternationalcommunityworkingtostabilizetheregionroutinely

    overlook the extent to which local civilians are victimized and frustrated by illicit

    activitiescarriedoutbyinsurgents,extremistgroupsandthelocalgangsterswithwhich

    some radical Islamistsassociate.The tribalareasofAfghanistanandPakistanarenot

    thefirstconflictzonewhereorganizedcrimehasbecomeamajordestabilizing factor.

    Wartime networks in Bosnia, for example,morphed into political criminal networks

    thatwere tied to tax evasion, smuggling,andhuman trafficking,according toa2000

    U.S.

    government

    study.1

    Ties

    between

    the

    Kosovo

    Liberation

    Army

    and

    Balkan

    smuggling networks also slowed efforts to stabilizeKosovo.2 In amore recent case,

    organizedcrimeinpostBaathistIraqbecametheunrecognizedjokerinthepack,as

    PhilWilliamsputit,fundingalQaidaandJaishalMahdi,aswellasanumberofSunni

    tribesthatinitiallyfoughtU.S.forces.3Whetheritisdrugtrafficking,kidnapforransom,

    robbery, extortion, smuggling or protection rackets, organized crime not only helps

    fund antistate actors across the region, it is also a key element of their asymmetric

    warfarecampaign,spreading instabilityandfear.While the insurgencys ties tocrime

    createmanychallenges,theysimultaneouslypresentopportunitiesfortheInternational

    Coalitionand theAfghanandPakistanigovernments.4Abetterunderstandingof the

    criminalinsurgentrelationshipisthereforecriticalinordertodefineandtargetenemy

    networks,andtodisruptwhateverpoliticalcapitalinsurgentsgainfromthisactivity.5

    1U.S.HouseofRepresentatives,CommitteeinInternationalRelations,Bosnia:CrimeandCorruption

    ThreatenSuccessfulImplementationoftheDaytonPeaceAgreement,TestimonybyHaroldJ.Johnson,19July

    2000,pg.3.2Formoredetail,seeUnitedNationsOfficeofDrugsandCrime,CrimeanditsImpactontheBalkans

    andAffectedCountries(March2008),http://www.unodc.org/documents/dataand

    analysis/Balkan_study.pdf.

    3PhilWilliams,Criminals,MilitiasandInsurgents:OrganizedCrimeinIraq,StrategicStudiesInstitute

    (June2009),www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub930.pdf.4Scholarshavecharacterizedinsurgentinvolvementinillicitactivityasbeingadoubleedgesword.See

    JohnT.PicarelliandLouiseI.Shelley,OrganizedCrimeandTerrorism,inTerrorismFinancingandState

    Responses:AComparativePerspective,ed.JeanneK.GiraldoandHaroldA.Trinkhunas(PaloAlto,CA:

    StanfordUniversityPress,2007),3955.5QuotefromlettertotheNationalSecurityAdvisor,GeneralJamesJones,fromtheSenateSelect

    CommitteeonIntelligence,seeCatherineCollinsandAshrafAli,FinancingtheTaliban:Tracingthe

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    2

    Perhaps the most significant challenge is that the complex relationship between

    insurgentactorsandillicitactivityservestoamplifyandsustaintheinsurgencyinboth

    Afghanistanand

    Pakistan,

    seriously

    undermining

    the

    authority

    of

    both

    governments.

    Tounderstand the immense challenge that organized criminal activitypresents, it is

    important toacknowledgearelevantandgrowingbodyofacademic literatureon the

    roleoforganizedcrime inrecentcasesof insurgencyandcivilconflict.This literature

    probes the effectof illicit economiesonmilitary conflictandhow thevarious factors

    influencingcriminalitycanalterthetrajectoryofbelligerentgroups,suchastheFuerzas

    ArmadasRevolucionarias deColombia, or FARC. There is good reason to give this

    scholarship close attention and to examine themotives conflict actorsmay have for

    sustaining conflict. A wellknown World Bank study by James Collier and Anke

    Hoefflerprovidesreasons toquestion theassumption that insurgentactorsaredriven

    solelybypoliticalgrievances,showingthateconomicmotivationsalsoplayakeyrolein

    sustainingdisorder.6JamesFearons2004studyfoundthatconflictsinwhichtheactors

    dependeduponvaluablecontraband lastedfivetimes longerthanotherconflictson

    average.7AsthecurrentphaseofthewarinAfghanistanpushesintoitsninthyear,itis

    nowmorepertinentthanevertostudytheeconomicdriversofthisconflict.

    CollierandHoefflersanalysissuggeststhatgreedisacausalfactordrivingamajority

    ofcontemporarynonstatearmedactors,andthereisreasontoapplythisassessmentto

    theAfghanconflict.Historicalassessmentsof theTalibansrisenote thekey role that

    Pashtun truckinggroupsandsmugglersplayed infirstbankrolling thegroup,andby

    mostaccounts theTalibanweredeeply involved inprotecting theopium tradebefore

    foreigntroopsarrivedin2001.Thisreportdocumentsthecontinuationofthosetiesand

    explorestheintegratedrelationshipbetweenotherinsurgentandcriminalactorsinthe

    tribal areas ofAfghanistan andPakistan.While it is not alwayspossible to separate

    whethernonstatearmedactorsaremotivatedbygreedorgrievance, it isoftenclear

    DollarsBehindtheInsurgenciesinAfghanistanandPakistan,CounterterrorismStrategyInitiativePolicy

    Paper(April2010). 6PaulCollierandAnkeHoeffler,GreedandGrievanceinCivilWar,OxfordEconomicPapers56,no.4

    (August2004),563595.7JamesFearon,WhydoSomeCivilWarsLastsoMuchLongerthanOthers?,JournalofPeaceResearch

    41,no.3(May2004),275301.ThisfindingisconcerninggiventhattheAfghanwarisalreadyconsidered

    thelongestwarinU.S.history.

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    that thebalanceshiftsover time.Onecan findvarious indications in thisbattlespace

    and otherswhere an insurgent group thatwas firstmotivated to action forpolitical

    reasons laterfoundbenefits in illicitenterpriseand thereforeanadditionalreason to

    continuefighting.

    8The

    prevalence

    of

    organized

    crime,

    and

    the

    extent

    to

    which

    militant

    groupsappeartobedeepeningtheirinvolvementinit,raisesthepossibilitythatcertain

    factionsoftheinsurgencyinAfghanistanandPakistanaremotivatedmorebyprofit

    or,inotherwords,greedthanthepoliticalgrievancesoverwhichtheyclaimtofight.

    Scholarshavenotedhow themotivationof insurgentactorscanaffect thedurationof

    conflictandcomplicateeffortstopromotestability.9Militantgroupsonbothsidesofthe

    DurandLinehavecapitalizedon legitimatepolitical,ethnicandeconomiccomplaints

    heldbymembersofthelocalcommunity,andthereisscantevidencethatthelowrank

    membersof insurgentand terrorgroupsoperating in theAfghanistan/Pakistanregion

    takeuparms inorder toenrich themselves,orearnmuchonce theydo.At thesame

    time, however, there is clear evidence that the continued state of insecurity richly

    benefits a smallnumberof elites onboth sidesof thebattlefield,giving both corrupt

    stateactorsandmilitantleadersafinancialincentivetosustainthedisorder,regardless

    ofwhether theirwiderpoliticalandothergoalshavebeenmet.Buildingastablecivil

    societyandcapablegovernmentinstitutionsinsuchcontextswillnodoubtbedifficult.

    Attempts to eliminate illicit behavior often serve only to stoke the flames of the

    insurgency,especiallywhenthepopulacedependsoncriminalproceedstosurvive,and

    efforts tocombat the insurgencymayboostdemand forcriminalactors tosupply the

    insurgentsandbribecorruptlocalofficials.Thiscycleisdifficulttobreak.

    The presence of lootable resourcestypically narcotics, timber and gemstonesnot

    onlytendstogeneratesubstantialeconomicbenefitsforinsurgentgroups,butalsocan

    become a critical source of income for civilians in lethally uncertain conflict

    8

    Similar

    arguments

    have

    been

    made

    about

    other

    terrorist

    groups,

    for

    example

    Ryan

    Clarke

    and

    Stuart

    Lee,ThePIRA,DCompany,andtheCrimeTerrorNexus,TerrorismandPoliticalViolence20,no.3

    (Summer2008),376395.9Forexamplesee,Caroline Hartzell,Matthew Hoddie andDonald Rothchild,StabilizingthePeace

    AfterCivilWar:AnInvestigationofSomeKeyVariables,InternationalOrganization55,no.1(Winter

    2001),183208;DavidE.Cunningham,VetoPlayersandCivilWarDuration,AmericanJournalofPolitical

    Science50,no.4(October2006),875892;MatsBerdalandDavidM.Malone,eds.,GreedandGrievance:

    EconomicAgendasinCivilWar(Boulder,CO:LynneRienner,2000);andChrisDishman,Terrorism,

    Crime,andTransformation,StudiesinConflictandTerrorism24,no.1(2001),4358.

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    environments.10 All of these lootable resources are abundant in different regions of

    AfghanistanandPakistan,andthisreportconfirmstheirroleasanimportantsourceof

    fundingforinsurgents,especiallyastheymoveintonewterritory.Somescholarshave

    arguedthat

    control

    over

    such

    resources,

    or

    industries,

    provides

    insurgents

    with

    opportunitiestogainpoliticalcapital.11Forexample,byprotectingtheilliciteconomy,

    belligerents can protect the local populations livelihood from government efforts to

    suppress it.12 Such regulation can help an insurgent group to curry favor or gain

    legitimacy andadditionalpopular support,particularly from thosewhobenefit from

    the industries being protected. According to Vanda FelbabBrown, just how much

    politicalcapitalinsurgentsacquireisdependentuponanumberofconditions,suchas

    thenatureof the illiciteconomyand thegovernmentsresponse to it.Thisreportalso

    finds that thequalitative characterof the insurgents involvement in these industries

    canpositivelyornegativelyaffecthowthatactivityisperceivedbythecommunity.

    Insurgents in theAfghanistanPakistan region rely heavily on kidnapping, extortion

    androbberytosustaintheircoffersandalsotospreadfear.AsJohnPicarelliandLouise

    Shellypointout,suchactivitiesareattractivetoinsurgentsandterroristsbecausethey

    havelowbarrierstoentryandrequireforcebutlimitedskill.13Engaginginthistypeof

    illicit activity serves to reduce their risk by diversifying their income streams and

    increasing their financial liquidity.14At the same time,kidnapping,attackson supply

    convoys andwidespreadprotection racketshavedramatically increased security and

    other costs for the Coalition, local governments and international organizations

    working in the region, slowing the pace of development and reconstruction and

    spreadingtheperceptionthatlocalgovernmentsareweakandineffective. Thevicious

    cycle ofdevelopmentprojects andbusinesses thatpayprotection to insurgents,who

    thenusethefundstobuyexplosivesandattackCoalitiontroops,createsamoralhazard

    fortheinternationalcommunityandcontributestoaselfsustainingwar.

    10KarenBallentineandJakeSherman,eds.,ThePoliticalEconomyofArmedConflict:BeyondGreedand

    Grievance(Boulder,CO:LynneRiennerPublishers,2003);BerdalandMalone. 11VandaFelbabBrowndefinespoliticalcapitalasbeingcomprisedoflegitimacyandpopularsupport.

    SeeVandaFelbabBrown,ShootingUp:CounterinsurgencyandtheWaronDrugs(BrookingsInstitution

    Press,2010). 12Ibid.,17. 13PicarelliandShelley,3955.14Ibid.

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    thispathofstrifebetweenthetruthandtheeviltoobtainmaterialgoals.They

    haveloftyIslamicandnationalistaims.20

    Whatever

    legitimacy

    such

    claims

    may

    provide,

    there

    are

    growing

    indications

    that

    militantinvolvementinorganizedcrime,coupledwithhighlevelsofterroristviolence,

    haveunderminedpublicsupport,particularlysincelocalcommunitiesvirtuallyallof

    them fellowMuslimsare themainvictims.Whilemilitantsmayprotect some illicit

    economiesand,indoingso,gainpoliticalcapitalfromcommunitymemberswhoseek

    toprotect their incomesourcemilitant interactionwithcivilians isalsopredatory in

    nature,both in termsof the taxesandprotection fees themilitantscharge,and to the

    extentthattheinstabilitytheycreatehampersthedevelopmentoflicitalternatives.Put

    another way, members of the local community may at times cooperate with the

    militantsforeconomicreasons,oroutoffear,butthatcooperationdoesnotnecessarily

    indicate themilitants have been embraced as a popular force. Indeed, in a growing

    numberofdistrictsonbothsidesof theborder,wheremembersof thepublicopenly

    admit they initiallywelcomed the insurgents aspotential emancipators from corrupt

    and ineffective governments, themilitants are now perceived bymany community

    members as violent gangsters. Recent public surveys confirm these accounts and

    indicate that approval ratings for the insurgents are dropping on both sides of the

    DurandLine.Thirtypercent ofPakistanis had a favorable opinion of theTaliban in

    2009,downfrom67percentin2008,accordingtoaPewsurvey.21Meanwhile,90percent

    ofAfghanssurveyedinaJanuary2010ABC/BBCNewspollpreferredthegovernmentof

    President Hamid Karzai to the Talibanan increase of eight points over a figure

    providedayearearlierwhile69percent,anewhigh,describedtheinsurgentsasthe

    nationsgreatestthreat.22Althoughsomeanalystshavequestionedthehighfavorability

    ratesthattheKarzaigovernmentearnedintheABC/BBCpoll,lowanddeclininglevels

    ofpublicsupportfortheinsurgentscouldbetrackedacrossseveralpollstakenin2009

    20Forthefullstatement,seeTalibanDeputyAmirObamasNewStrategy,30October2009,

    http://www.nefafoundation.org/miscellaneous/nefaAkhund1109.pdf.21GrowingConcernsaboutExtremism,ContinuingDiscontentwithU.S.,PewResearchCenter,13

    August 2009,http://pewglobal.org/reports/pdf/265.pdf.22ViewsImproveSharplyinAfghanistan,ThoughCriticismsoftheU.S.RemainHigh,ABCNews,11

    January2010.ThispollwasconductedwiththeBBCandARDGermanTV.Pollresultscanbeseenat

    http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/afghanistanabcnewsnationalsurveypollshow

    support/story?id=9511961.

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    in both countries, reaffirming the general accuracy of the ABC/BBC poll.23 Afghan

    civilians justifiably blame the Karzai government for not protecting the populace

    againsttheTaliban,andreproachKabulforfailingtoprovidejobsanddevelopment.At

    thesame

    time,

    the

    publics

    hostility

    towards

    the

    militants

    was

    palpable

    in

    dozens

    of

    interviewsconductedforthispaper.Risinglevelsofpublicantipathymayaccountfor

    why theAfghanTalibanappear tobe trying to reduce theexploitationofcivilians in

    their control zones, and could explain late 2009 denials by the Pakistani Taliban of

    involvementinsuicideattacksthatclaimedhighnumbersofciviliancasualties.24

    U.S. forcesand theNATOCoalitionwhichalsoremainunpopularandaresimilarly

    blamed for widespread insecuritycould potentially improve levels of community

    supportandcapitalizeonpublicdisgusttowardsthemilitantsbydevelopingstrategies

    to protect civilians victimized by organized crime and violence.25 The Pakistan

    governmentandmilitary, forexample,wasable to takeadvantageofamajorshift in

    publicperceptiontowardtheTalibaninSwataspartofitssuccessfulefforttoretakethe

    valley.Localgovernments,widelyperceivedascorrupt,couldalsoimprovetheirimage

    bymakingeffortstostampoutcrimeandreducecorruption.Separately,rivalriesover

    criminalprofitscreatestructuralweaknesseswithinandbetween insurgentand terror

    groupsintheAfghanistan/Pakistanwartheater.Exploitingthoserivalriesandbreeding

    distrust could serve to degrade levels of militant cooperation and disrupt funds

    reachingmilitant coffers. This strategy is risky, however, to the extent that it could

    23JeanMacKenzie AreAfghansReallyHappy?,GlobalPost,23January2010.Thisarticlenotesthat

    thereislittleempiricalevidenceofoptimismamongmanyordinaryAfghans,suggestingthatthe

    numberscouldreflectasenseofhopethingswillimprove,ratherthanexpectations.Formoredetail,see

    http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/afghanistan/100118/afghanistanopinionpoll.A2009surveybythe

    AsiaFoundationalsofoundAfghanstobegrowingmoreoptimistic,butbyasmallermargin.That

    surveycanbeseenathttp://asiafoundation.org/resources/pdfs/2009AGpollKeyFindingsFINAL.pdf.A

    2009surveybythesameABC/BBC/ARDconglomeratetrackeddroppingconfidencelevels.Thatdatais

    foundathttp://abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1083a1Afghanistan2009.pdf. 24

    On

    17

    November

    2009,

    al

    Qaidas

    video

    production

    arm

    as

    Sahab

    issued

    a

    video

    statement

    by

    TTP

    spokesmanAzamTariqdenyingresponsibilityforrecentbombexplosionsinPeshawarandIslamabad,

    whichheblamedonPakistansInterServicesIntelligenceDirectorateandtheU.S.contractingfirmXe,

    formerlyknownasBlackwater. 25SixintenAfghansviewtheworkoftheU.S.andtheNATOCoalitionpoorly,accordingtotheABC

    Newspoll,althoughthatreflectsa10percentimprovementoverlastyearsrate.Meanwhile,64percentof

    thePakistanipublicregardstheU.S.asanenemy,accordingtoanAugust2009Pewsurvey,whileonly9

    percentdescribeitasapartner.SeeGrowingConcernsaboutExtremism,ContinuingDiscontentwith

    U.S..

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    8

    sparkinternecineviolenceandcontributetomoreciviliancasualties.

    Thereasonsforthelocalpopulationsupporting,toleratingoropposingillicitactivityin

    theregion

    are

    complex

    and

    varied,

    but

    they

    remain

    central

    to

    disrupting

    the

    criminal

    insurgent relationship.TheworkofFelbabBrown servesan important reminder that

    sometimesprogramsdesigned tostop the flowof funds to insurgents,suchaspoppy

    eradication campaigns, could endup strengthening them and the local support they

    derive.26 Effective solutions to these multifaceted challenges require an improved

    understanding of the criminalinsurgent nexus and the landscapes uponwhich this

    activitytranspires.Tothatend,andasafundamentalstartingpoint,thisreportaimsto

    mapouthowmilitantantistateactors located in the tribalareasofAfghanistanand

    Pakistanengage inandearnfromcriminalactivity.27Thismonographdoesnot intend

    to present an encyclopedic or empirical catalogue of how insurgents and extremist

    groups engage in organized crime, but rather aims to provide brief anecdotal case

    studies that are representative of key organizations operating in areas of strategic

    concern.Leveraging firsthandaccounts, this reportexamineshow theseactivitiesare

    perceived by local communitymembers who live in these areas. Lastly, using the

    northernAfghanprovinceofKunduzandPakistansSwatValleyandBunerDistrictas

    minicasestudies,thisreportexploreshowlocalTalibanandothermilitantsestablished

    theircriminalenterprisesandbegan toearnoff localcommunities immediatelyupon

    pushing into new territory. It is hoped that this studywill bring some clarity to an

    extremely complex phenomenon and prove useful to those developing policies and

    plansfortheAfghanistan/Pakistanregion.

    26FelbabBrown.27Foradditionalperspectives,seeCatherineCollinsandAshrafAli,FinancingtheTaliban:Tracingthe

    DollarsBehindtheInsurgenciesinAfghanistanandPakistan,CounterterrorismStrategyInitiativePolicy

    Paper(April2010);ArabindaAcharya,SyedAdnanAliShahBukhari,andSadiaSulaiman,Making

    MoneyintheMayhem: FundingTalibanInsurrectionintheTribalAreasofPakistan,StudiesinConflict

    andTerrorism32,no.2(2009),95108;ThomasH.Johnson,FinancingAfghanTerrorism:Thugs,Drugs,

    andCreativeMovementsofMoney,inTerrorismFinancingandStateResponses:AComparativePerspective,

    ed.JeanneK.GiraldoandHaroldA.Trinkhunas(PaloAlto,CA:StanfordUniversityPress,2007),93114.

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    9

    MethodologyandCaveats

    Informationpresented in thisreporthasbeencompiledmainlyfrom localcommunity

    members inareaswhere insurgentsandextremistsoperate.Thereareadvantagesand

    drawbacksto

    field

    based

    research

    in

    aconflict

    zone,

    and

    there

    are

    particular

    challenges

    associated with the Afghanistan/Pakistan border areas, many parts of which are

    inaccessibletoforeignandlocalresearchersalike.Membersofthecommunityareable

    toprovidealevelofimmediacyandintimacythatfewoutsiderswouldbeabletoattain

    on theirown,but relianceon their largelyanecdotal informationalsomakes thedata

    presentedhereinharder tocorroborate.Given this limitedaccess, it isalsodifficult to

    establish how representative the views expressed by those interviewed are of the

    broader population. Complicating matters further, examining illicit activity is a

    challenging prospect in any environment, since most crime goes unreported and

    criminalactorstendtolie.

    Thereisnowaytocompensatefortheseissuesentirely,buteachcasestudypresented

    inthisreporthaseitherbeencorroboratedbyAfghan,PakistaniandWesternofficialsor

    themediaandotheropensourcereporting,orwasrecountedbyenoughsourcestobe

    consideredgenerallyaccurate.Despite thefactthat tendifferent localresearchers,few

    ofwhomhadanycontactwitheachother,interviewedciviliansacrosstheconflictzone

    intwocountries,theyfoundastrikingsimilarityinresponses,bothintermsofthetypes

    of criminal exploitation civilians suffered, as well as their quiet state of rage and

    frustrationabouttheproblem.

    TheU.S.Militaryalsosharedwiththeauthoraraftofdeclassifieddocumentsseizedin

    Afghanistan and stored in theHarmony database,which also served to corroborate

    localreporting.Readersshouldbeawarethatanalyzingsuchdataisfraughtwithrisk.

    Documents intheHarmonydatabasewerecollectedonthebattlefieldunscientifically.

    ThereisnowaytoknowhowrepresentativedocumentscapturedbyU.S.forcesareof

    the largerbodyof informationproducedbytheTalibanorother insurgents.Likewise,

    the vast database inwhich they are stored is imperfect and virtually impossible to

    search systematically.Readers and researchers should therefore bewary of drawing

    conclusionssolelyfromthesedocuments.

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    10

    OrganizationoftheReport

    This report isdivided into twomain sectionsAfghanistanandPakistanwith each

    beingfurtherorganizedbysubgeographicareaandthemilitantgroupspredominately

    activein

    those

    specific

    regions.

    Such

    territorial

    boundaries

    are

    in

    no

    way

    confining

    in

    actuality,sincethesphereofoperationsofmilitantgroupscanneverbeconfinedtoone

    specificagency,districtorprovince.Casesofoverlappingmembership,foreignadvisors

    whooperatewithinlocalinsurgentfightingunitsandthecrossborder,intraprovincial

    relationsbetween thevariousmilitant factions furthercontribute to thecomplexityof

    the subjectmatter.This report isnotanexhaustiveexplorationofallmilitantgroups

    operatinginAfghanistanandPakistan;forthesakeofbrevityandanalyticalfocus,the

    report intentionallydisregardssmallerandlessactivemilitantentities.SectionIofthe

    report explores the criminal activities of the three main factions of the Afghan

    insurgency:theQuettaShuraTaliban(QST),theHaqqaniNetwork(HQN)andHizbe

    slamiGulbuddin(HIG).Itpaysparticularattentiontothesignificantwaysinwhichthe

    QSThasrevamped itscommandstructureandstreamlined thewaymoneyflows into

    centralcoffers.SectionIIreviewstheactivitiesofanumberofmilitantgroupsalongthe

    easternsideoftheDurandLine,includingthefivemainfactionsoftheTehrikeTaliban

    Pakistan,knownbyitsUrduacronymtheTTP.Toalesserextent,italsoexaminesother

    local,regionalandinternationalextremistgroups,includingTehrikeNifazeShariate

    Muhammadi (TNSM),HarakatulJihadalIslami (HuJI), theQari Zia Group (QZG),

    LashkareIslami (LI), the IslamicMovement ofUzbekistan (IMU), the Islamic Jihad

    Union(IJU),alQaidaandLashkareJhangvi.

    NoteonTransliteration

    TransliterationoftheshortvowelefollowsEncyclopaediaIranicaguidelines.28

    28Forreferenceseehttp://www.iranica.com/pages/guidelines.

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    11

    SECTIONI: AFGHANISTAN

    In parallel to U.S.led efforts to reshape NATO strategy in Afghanistan,29 Mullah

    MohammedOmar,

    the

    leader

    of

    the

    Quetta

    Shura

    Taliban

    (QST)

    also

    altered

    his

    tactics,

    orderinghis commanders to avoidkilling localsordamaging theirproperty inwhat

    could be seen as a populationcentric approach, Taliban style. Central to this new

    approachwasthe2009releaseoftheTalibansthirteenchapterCodeofConduct,which

    instructed its subcommanders to treat villagers fairly, broadened its shadow

    government and its Sharia court system that settles local disputes, and appointed

    provinciallevel commissions where civilians could bring complaints about local

    commanders.30TheCodeofConductrepresentedatacitacknowledgementbytheQST

    leadership that itsviolent tacticshadbecome a strategic risk for the insurgency.But

    whilethepopulationcentricaspectsoftheQSTsshadowgovernmenthavereceived

    attentionfromacademicandmilitarycircles,aswellasfromthemedia,therehasbeen

    lessfocusonaseparatemotivationMullahOmarmayhavehadforrevampingstrategy

    andtighteninghisgriponthesometimesfractiousinsurgencyhecommands.Asmuch

    astheTalibanCodeofConductcouldbeinterpretedasaheartsandmindscampaign,

    itcanalsobeseenasaneffortbyMullahOmartoincreasehiscontroloverfundsraised

    through illicitactivity. Indeed, inaddition toattempting tobringunrulyvillagelevel

    Talibancommanders into line, thenewstrategygives lowerranking insurgents fewer

    opportunities toearnmoneyat theground level, thusmaking thecommandersmore

    dependenton theTalibans tenmanrulingcouncil,orShuraMajlis (referred toas the

    Quetta Shura), for funding.Various chapters of thedecree appear aimed at limiting

    localcommandersfromtaking theirowndecisionsorearningfundsat the local level,

    instead ceding all authority to the provincial commissions and the Taliban supreme

    leadership.These initiatives appear to have been effectivedespite theFebruary 2010

    arrests of key Taliban officials in Pakistan,which briefly led to conjecture that the

    Talibansshadowgovernmentwouldbesignificantlydisrupted.Itisworthnotingthat

    theTalibans influenceandreachhasspreaddramatically in thepast18months,with

    30AnEnglishlanguagetranslationoftheCodecanbefoundat:

    http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/obamaswar/etc/mullahomar.pdf.

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    12

    some80percentofAfghanistanwitnessingatleastsomeinsurgentactivityandasmuch

    asonethirdofthecountryundertightTalibancontrolformuchof2009.31

    Inaddition

    to

    evaluating

    the

    Talibans

    streamlined

    system,

    this

    section

    also

    examines

    howvariouscomponentsof theQST,aswellasotherAfghan insurgentgroups,raise

    funds through organized crime. The three separately commanded factions of the

    Afghan insurgencythe QST, the Haqqani Network (HQN), and HizbeIslami

    Gulbuddin (HIG)appear to bewellfunded, and the array of criminal activities in

    which their fighters have participated in recent years have widened as fresh

    opportunities to raise funding presented themselves.While the opium trade likely

    provides the largest percentage of income for the QST in southern and western

    Afghanistan,wherethebulkofthecountryspoppycropiscultivatedandlaterrefined

    intonarcotics,insurgentsalsoappeartohavedeepenedtheirinvolvementinotherillicit

    activities,mainlykidnapping, taxing the trafficof legal commodities and extorting

    localbusinessesanddevelopmentprojects.InpartsofAfghanistanwherethereislittle

    ornopoppygrown,insurgentsseemtorelymoreheavilyonkidnapping,shakedowns

    andprotectingother smuggledgoods, ranging from timberandgemstones topeople

    andlegalgoodsliketiresandcookingoil.

    TheHaqqaniNetwork,basedinsoutheasternAfghanistanandnamedforthelegendary

    mujahidin leader Jalaluddin Haqqani, appears to depend heavily for funding on

    kidnapping schemes run incollaborationwith factionsof thePakistaniTaliban.32The

    HizbeIslami Gulbuddin, which operates mainly from eastern and northeastern

    Afghanistan, collaborates with traffickers and traders to protect licit and illicit

    commodities smuggled from its control zones, but there are fewer reports of HIG

    commandersengaginginabductionforransomschemes.33Insomeareas,theHQNand

    31PersonalinterviewbyauthorwithDavidKilcullen,WashingtonD.C.,27October2009.32

    Authors

    interviews,

    Arlington,

    VA,

    26

    October

    2009

    and

    by

    telephone,

    10

    November,

    2009;

    Ashraf

    Ali,

    PakistaniCriminals,TalibanSeeEasyCashinKidnapping,SanFranciscoChronicle,13July2008.Fora

    detailedaccountofanabductionontheAfghansideoftheborder,inwhichthevictimsweretakento

    PakistanandshiftedamongcompoundsbelongingtothePakistaniTalibanandtheHaqqaninetwork,see

    DavidRohde,HeldbytheTaliban,NewYorkTimes,17November2009,

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/18/world/asia/18hostage.html.33ForabreakdownofHQNandHiGspheresofinfluenceinsoutheasternAfghanistan,seeSebastien

    Trives,RootsoftheInsurgencyintheSoutheast,inDecodingtheNewTaliban:InsightsfromtheAfghan

    Field,ed.AntonioGuistozzi(NewYork:ColumbiaUniversityPress,2009),89100.

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    13

    HIG factions seem to operate alongside theQSTestablished shadow regime, neither

    opposing itnorworkingwithin it. Inotherareas, therearesignsof rivalryandcases

    wherethefactionshaveopenlybattledeachother.

    Partly in response to thearrivalof thousandsofU.S. troops insouthernAfghanistan,

    local and foreignmilitants have become active in greater numbers in the countrys

    northparticularly in provinces like Kunduz and Badghiswhere they have

    immediately set to earning from the localpopulation and collaboratingwith existing

    smuggling networks.34 The manner in which QST, HIG and HQN militants began

    interacting with the local communitycollecting taxes and extorting traders and

    businessesprovides awindow into how they operate, and also illustrates how the

    threefactionsinteract,cooperateandattimescompetefordominance.

    34Accountsofthenumbersofforeignfightersoperatinginthenorthvary.TheKunduzgovernor,for

    example,estimatedtherewereaboutfifteentotwentyUzbekfightersoperatinginhisprovince,but

    civiliansputthenumberatmorethanonehundred.Therewasnowaytoverifytheseparateclaims.

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    14

    Map1:GeneralBreakdownofTaliban/InsurgentAreasofActivityinAfghanistan

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    15

    SOUTHERNAFGHANISTAN

    Kandahar,Helmand,Zabul,UruzganandOtherAreas

    Overview: The strongest militant force in southern Afghanistan, the Quetta Shura

    Taliban, increasinglybehaves likea sophisticated criminalcartel,controlling complex

    extortionandprotectionracketsandexertinginfluenceoveranenormoussupplychain

    ofillicitnarcotics.Apparentlyseekinghigherprofitmargins,theQSThasalsoturnedits

    attention to themoreprofitableprocessingandexportingendof theopiumbusiness.

    Recently,theQSThastakennumerousstepstomanageitsimageandimproverelations

    with localcommunitymembers,mostnotably through the2009releaseof itsCodeof

    Conductand theestablishmentofprovincialcommissionsacrossmostof thecountry.

    Whiletheseinitiativesareviewedpositivelybysomelocals,theycanalsobeinterpreted

    as an effort by the leadership to gain control overmoney flow and key aspects of

    strategicdecisionmaking.

    Inthefirsthalfof2009,theQuettaShuraTalibanappearedtobeshoringupitspolitical

    position andmaking strategicpreparations for the surge ofU.S. troops. In the early

    monthsof theyear,MullahMohammadOmar, the reclusiveoneeyed founderof the

    movement,namednewregionalcommandersandshuffled the lineupof itsexecutive

    council.Later,inJune,heissuedanewCodeofConductinanapparentattemptbothto

    exert control over unruly Taliban subcommanders and to improve relations with

    ordinary Afghans by establishing a civilian shadow government at the local level.

    Underthenewstructure,theTalibanalsocreatedprovinciallevelcommissionswhere

    Afghans could present their requests or complaints to a local council of religious

    scholars,who thenansweredback to theexecutivecouncil.36Theoverhaulappears to

    TheactivitiesandinfluenceoftheQuettaShuraTalibancannotbeconfinedtoseveralprovinces,one

    geographicareaorregionalcommand,butinsteadarepervasivethroughoutAfghanistan. Atthesame

    time,whiletheQSTisthemostprominentandimportantactorinsouthernAfghanistan,itisnottheonly

    militantactoroperatinginthisarea.

    36TheQuettaShuraissonamedbecausetheTalibanleadershipiswidelybelievedtotakeoperatefrom

    thewesternPakistanicityofQuetta,inBaluchistanprovince.Inrecentmonths,therehavebeenopen

    sourcereportssuggestingthattheTalibanleadershiphasshiftedtothesouthernportcityKarachioutof

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    16

    havebeenbothtacticalandfinancialinmotive.Thereasontheychangedtheirtacticsis

    thattheywanttoprepareforalongtermfight,andforthattheyneedsupportfromthe

    people; they need local sources of income, saidWahidMuzhdah, a formerTaliban

    officialwho

    now

    tracks

    the

    insurgency

    on

    the

    Internet.

    37The

    command

    overhaul

    also

    appeared aimed at stamping out rivalries over local sources of funding, and

    streamlining howmoneymade its way back to the Quetta Shura, thus giving the

    leadership more control over subcommanders and other lowerranking fighters

    (discussed further below). Money is not a problem for them, said an Afghan

    provincialgovernor,buttheyarerealizingthattheyneedtocontrolitbetter.38

    AKinder,GentlerTaliban?

    Certainpassages in the 2009Code ofConduct, aswell as theupdated 2010version,

    provideguidelines thataim tominimize thevictimizationofordinaryAfghans.The

    Talibanmust treat civiliansaccording to Islamicnormsandmorality towinover the

    heartsandmindsof thepeople,says thenewsixtyninepageTalibanbooklet,which

    waspublished shortlybefore the topNATO commander in the country,Gen.David

    Petraeus, issued guidelines that also urged soldiers to avoid civilian casualties. All

    effortsmustbemade to avoidharming civilians in attacks.39While the hearts and

    mindspassageof theCodeofConducthas receivedwidespreadattention, therehas

    been less focusonaparallelmotivation for thenewTaliban rulebook:TheCodealso

    lays out strict instructions for field commanders on money matters, literally

    institutionalizinghowprofitsearnedfromorganizedcrimearetobedistributedwithin

    thecommandchain.Forexample,theCodesaysthatTalibansoldiersarepermittedto

    keepupto80percentofwhateverbootytheycapturefromaninfidelcombatantor

    Coalition base. But it says that onefifth of the value or property seized must be

    transferred to the shadowprovincialgovernor, inmuch the samewaymobstersand

    gangmembersmustkickaportionof theirearnings to theirboss.TheCodesimilarly

    fearthatanintensiveU.S.leddronecampaignintheFATAwouldbeextendedtoBaluchistantotarget

    QSTleaders.Seeforexample:ImtiazAli,KarachiBecomingaTalibanSafeHaven?CTCSentinel,

    January2010,p13.TheQSTnumbertwo,MullahBaradar,wascapturedinKarachiinFebruary2010,

    followedshortlythereafterbyasmanyasfourotherTalibanofficialsinotherpartsofthecountry.37AlissaRubin,TalibanOverhaulTheirImageinaBidtoWinAllies,NewYorkTimes,21January2010. 38Afghanofficial,inpersonalinterviewwithresearchassistant,LashkarGah,July2009.39MatiullahAchakzai,TalibanCodeofConductSeekstoWinHeart,Minds,AssociatedPress,3August

    2010.

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    17

    outlineshow tohandleshakedownsandextortionfees,banningprovincialordistrict

    level Taliban commanders from directly making deals with local businesses and

    companies.Disputesonissuesrelatedtobusinessesandcompaniesshouldbereferred

    tothe

    leadership,

    the

    Code

    insists.

    This

    would

    suggest

    the

    QST

    is

    evolving

    into

    an

    organization that more openly functions like a traditional mafia, with strict rules

    governing criminal earnings, and where the Shura has final say in all matters of

    collectingprotectionmoney.

    One of the architects behind these reformswasMullahAgha JanMutassim, a close

    confidantofMullahOmarwhochaired theTalibanspowerfulFinancialCounciluntil

    hewasarrestedbyPakistaniofficialsinthesouthernportcityofKarachiinMarch2010.

    According to local sources, it wasMutassim, along with the Taliban number two,

    MullahBarader(alsoarrestedbyPakistaniauthoritiesin2010),whoconvincedMullah

    OmaroftheneedtoreducethefinancialexploitationofthelocalpopulationbyTaliban

    fighters, arguing that the insurgents risked losing the cooperation of the civilian

    population.40Afghanofficialsand tribalsourcesclose to theTalibansaybothBarader

    andMutassim worried that internecine fighting between Taliban subcommanders,

    particularlyovermoneyandresources,hadbecomedetrimentaltotheoverallstrength

    and unity of themovement.41 ApparentlyMutassim feared a return of the kind of

    violence that occurred in the early 1990s,when rivalmujahidin commanders turned

    theirgunsoneachotherandterrorizedlocalcommunitiesacrosssouthernAfghanistan.

    Before his capture, Mutassim also pressed Omar to purge unruly commanders

    (discussedfurtherbelow)andtosplitfromthuggishcriminalgangswhocooperatewith

    the Taliban at the village level.42 Perhaps even more significantly, Mutassim

    implementedaseriesof reforms (discussed furtherbelow) thatstreamlinehow funds

    collectedatthelocallevelreachtheTalibanscentralcoffers,meaninghestandstohave

    significant intelligencevalue in termsof theTalibans finances.He is like theAshraf

    Ghani of the Taliban, said an Afghan official who tracks the Taliban leadership,

    referringtotheformerAfghanfinanceministerwhoranforpresidentonacampaignto

    stamp out graft and who was instrumental, until he resigned from the Karzai

    40Personalinterviewsbyresearchassistant,Kabul,JulyandAugust2009. 41Afghanofficials,inpersonalinterviewswithresearchassistants,KabulandKandahar,July2009. 42Ibid.

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    19

    The Taliban field commander also carried a document naming two insurgent

    commanderswhohadbeengiventheresponsibility tocollectdonations fromall the

    peoplethat

    have

    gardens

    Stay

    away

    from

    this

    job,

    otherwise

    you

    will

    be

    in

    trouble.

    46

    Inanothercase, theTalibancommission inHelmandcastigateda judge inMusaQala

    whomtheTalibanhadappointed.OnejudgewasfoundtakingabribeandtheTaliban

    putblackalloverhis faceand tiedhim toa tree,businessmanEitadullahKhanwas

    quotedassayingbytheAssociatedPress.47Whenhewasreleased,hewasfired.48

    Such behavior stands in stark contrast to theKarzai government,which has largely

    refused to investigate accusations ofwidespread corruptionwithin its ranks. Local

    community members interviewed for this paper praised the insurgents for their

    willingnesstodisciplinetheirownfighters.Butsomeciviliansalsosaidtheydecidedto

    utilize the Taliban justice system partially out of fear, apparentlyworried about the

    potential consequences of local Taliban finding they had turned to the local

    government.

    The provincial commissions are also a significant development from a financial

    management standpoint, having the power to issue decrees using the stamp of the

    IslamicEmirateofAfghanistan,theofficialtitleoftheTalibangovernment.49Theyhelp

    theQuettaShuramaintaincontroloverfundsraisedatanddispatchedtotheprovinces.

    Eachcommissionhasapoliticalandeconomiccommittee,accordingtolocalswhohave

    dealtwiththem,andeachgetsasetbudget,decidedbyandnegotiablewiththeQuetta

    Shura.Wardakprovince, for example, receivedabudgetofabout$36,000permonth

    through2009,whilemoreactivecombatzoneslikeGhazniandZabulreceivedasmuch

    as$107,000monthly,according toasenior InteriorMinistryofficial inKabulwhohas

    seeninterceptedTalibandocumentsoutliningthequantities.50Thecommissioncontrols

    46Ibid.47KathyGannon,TalibansShadowGovernmentPosesChallengetoElection,USTroops,Associated

    Press,18August2009. 48Ibid. 49Afghanofficials,inpersonalinterviewswithresearchassistant,Kabul,July2009.50Interviewbyresearchassistant,Kabul,August2009.Thisinformationwascorroboratedinpartbyan

    AfghanmilitaryintelligenceofficialinGhazniwhoconfirmedthatTalibancommandersinhiszonewere

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    20

    howmoney is earnedat thevillage level in eachprovince,yet theQuetta leadership

    shuffles commissionmembers on a frequent basis, inwhat appears to be a bid to

    preventanyoneindividualorgroupfrombecomingtoopowerful.Itremainstobeseen

    howthe

    February

    and

    March

    2010

    arrests

    of

    key

    members

    of

    the

    ruling

    Shura

    and

    provincialTalibanofficialswillaffectthisprocess.

    TalibanCommandPurge: BringingIndividualsinLine

    MullahOmaralsopurgedanumberofcommanders,mostnotablyMansoorDadullah,

    whowerenotfollowingorderssentdownbytheseniorleadership,andaccordingto

    somesourcesforpocketing too largeashareof themoney rather thansending it to

    Quetta.51 Several years ago, Omar also disciplinedMansoor Dadullahs notoriously

    violentelderbrother,MullahDadullah forsimilar transgressions.TheelderDadullah

    waskilledina2007firefightinHelmand,amidrumorsthatrivalriesovermoneyledto

    hisdeath.52AspokesmanfortheTalibancalledthemediainlate2007toannouncethat

    MansoorDadullah,whohadassumedmanyofMullahDadullahsresponsibilities,had

    beenfiredbecausehedisobeyedordersoftheIslamicEmirate.53

    The QST leadership also attempted to deal with was the fact that Taliban sub

    commanders routinely bickered among themselves over operational issues and

    competedforfundsraisedthroughorganizedcrimeatthevillagelevel.Researchersfor

    this paper heard ofmultiple cases where QST commanders across the south were

    disciplined, demoted, and shifted to new regions, or even pushed out of the group

    entirelyiftheywerefoundtobecollectingfundsinareasoutsidetheirassignedcontrol

    zones,oroverexploiting the localpopulace.Insomeareas, theTalibanalsodistanced

    itself from localcriminalgangsduring2009,although localsandgovernmentofficials

    alikesaythat insurgentscontinuetosubcontract localcriminalgangsonanasneeded

    basisinregionswheretheinsurgentsarelessdominantorwheretheyareattemptingto

    establishwidercontrol.

    receivingbudgetsworthmillionsofPakistaniRupeesmonthlyandbyaprovincialofficialoftheNational

    DirectorateofSecurity,whoconfirmedthe$36,000budgetforWardakprovince. 51Interviewbyresearchassistant,Kabul,August2009.52Formoreonthisepisode,seeGretchenPeters,SeedsofTerror(NewYork:StMartinsPress,2009),127.53TalibanSacksKeyRebelCommander,AgenceFrancePress,29December2007.

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    21

    There are tantalizing indications that efforts to reshuffle Taliban commanders and

    impose more control over their ability to earn funds independently has partially

    backfired for the QST leadership, possibly exposing a strategic weakness of the

    organization.Sources

    close

    to

    the

    movement

    told

    researchers

    that

    some

    QST

    commanders had rebelled against efforts to rein them in, sometimes violently. In a

    December 2009 Kabul press conference, Afghanistans National Security Council

    appearedtocorroborateatleastonereport,sayingtheKabulgovernmenthadreceived

    intelligenceindicatingthatMullahOmarhadsackedtwomoreTalibancommandersin

    the poppyrich districts ofArghandab inKandahar andGereshk inHelmand. Jamil

    Bahrami, director of strategy at the National Security Council said some of the

    command changes have triggered differences and oppositions among local Taliban

    commanders,accordingtoalocalnewsreport.54ThepossibilitythatQSTcommanders

    areresistingorevenrevoltingagainsteffortstocutthemofffromlocalfundingsources

    may indicate those specific commanders weremore driven by profitmotives than

    political allegiance to the Taliban, and that the new streamlined system could be

    threatening,ratherthanstrengthening,theShurasstrategiccontroloveritsnetworkin

    someareas.That said it is alsoa sign that theQST leadership ispositioning itself to

    governAfghanistan,andinsomepartsofthecountrymaybedoingamoreeffectivejob

    thantheKabulgovernment.

    AMixedRecord: LocalPerspectivesandEnforcementoftheCode

    WhileordinaryAfghanscomplainaboutcriminalvictimization,manynotethatcorrupt

    actors in the Afghan government engage in the same activities. In someways, the

    Talibanwinpraise from local communities,particularly for itsvillage justice system

    anditspracticeofpunishingitsownmembers.Yetitisimportanttorecognizethatthe

    Talibanhasneitherbeenentirelysuccessful in implementing itsCodeofConduct,nor

    entirely innocenton the chargeof attacking civilians. Indeed, theTalibans efforts to

    reachouttocivilianswereunderminedbyanincreaseinsuicidebombings,Improvised

    ExplosiveDevice(IED)attacksandtargetedkillingsbyinsurgentsthatwerecreditedby

    theUnitedNationswithcausing67percentof theciviliandeaths inAfghanistan that

    year.55Moreover,manyAfghanscontinuetofaceoratleastperceiveatangiblelevel

    54DarzHaBaineSofoofeTalibanGushaadTarMigardand,ArmaneMelli(inDari),23December2009. 55AJanuary2010reportbytheUNAssistanceMissioninAfghanistan(UNAMA)saidtheTalibankilled

    2.73timesmoreciviliansin2009thanprogovernmentforces.UNAMAblamedTalibaninsurgentsfor

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    22

    of threat if they do not abide by Taliban decrees. There seems to be no let up

    whatsoever, for example, in the vicious punishments handed out by the insurgents,

    withlocalsinthesouthsayingQSTcommanderscontinuetoholdpublicexecutionsof

    anyonesuspected

    of

    spying

    for

    the

    Coalition.

    56People

    cooperate

    with

    the

    Taliban

    outoffear,saidAbdulGhani,directoroftheAfghanNationalPolicesantiterrorism

    departmentinGhazniprovince.IftheTalibansensetheslightestwhiffofespionageby

    local individuals, they instantly kill those peoplewithout anymercy.57When U.S.

    Marinespushed intoMianPosteh inHelmandprovince,villagers initially refused to

    frequentthebazaartheAmericantroopscleared,sayingtheTalibanhadthreatenedto

    chopofftheirheadsiftheydid.ThereareTalibaneverywhere,villageelderHajiFada

    MohammedtoldtheMarines.IfItellyouwhotheyare,Iwillbeindanger.58

    ManagingtheirImage: TheTalibanasImpoverishedHolyWarriors?

    Tomanagepublicperceptionsandtominimizeassociationwithillicitactivity,Taliban

    membersroutinelycastthemselvesaspoormujahidin,livingoffthealmsofthepeople,

    withnoambitionotherthandrivingoutforeigninvadersandestablishingSharialaw.

    Inonestatement,postedona jihadiwebsiteinJuly2009,anallegedTalibanfighter in

    thesouthclaimed:Ifthepeoplefromthevillageswouldnothavefeduswewouldnt

    have the money to feed ourselves.59 This deliberate strategy may be intended to

    facilitatedonationsfromtheGulfandalsotodisguisemilitantinvolvementincrime.It

    isalsolikelygearedtogivetheperceptionthatpoliticalandideologicalgrievances,and

    notprofit,are themaingoalsof theresistance.Closer inspectionof theQSTactivities

    would appear to indicate greed plays a strong role in determining Taliban activity,

    however.

    The Taliban ferociously rejects any suggestions it is receiving funding from foreign

    1,630civiliandeaths(67percentofthetotalrecordeddeaths)in2009,a41percentincreaseon2008,when

    1,160

    deaths,

    or

    54

    percent,

    were

    attributed

    to

    the

    insurgents.

    For

    detail

    see

    Afghanistan:

    Over

    2,400

    civiliandeathsin2009UNAMA,IRIN,13January2010,

    http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=87716. 56Personalinterviewsbyresearchassistant,LashkarGahandKandahar,July2009.57Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Ghazni,July2009. 58AnnScottTyson,InHelmand,CaughtBetweenU.S.,Taliban,WashingtonPost,15August2009. 59Forthefullstatement,seeJihadiDiscussionForumPostingClaimsTalibaninDesperateNeedof

    Money,NEFAFoundation,7July2009,

    www.nefafoundation.org/miscellaneous/nefa_talibanmoney0709.pdf.

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    23

    governments,suchasPakistan,IranandGulfnations.Despitetheclearevidenceofthe

    QSTs close ties to drug smugglers in southern Afghanistan andwestern Pakistan,

    Talibanleadersalsopubliclydenytheirinvolvementinthecountrys$4billionpoppy

    trade.When

    asked

    by

    aWestern

    interviewer

    about

    massive

    opium

    stockpiles

    that

    were

    seized inMusaQala afterNATO forces retook the town from the Taliban in 2007,

    spokesmanZabiullahMujahidresponded:

    TheTalibanarenot trading inopium.TheTalibanwant to fight theirenemy

    anddefeat them.Thosewhoaredealing inopiumareothers,smugglerswith

    nothing todowith theTaliban.As tothosewhowerekeeping theopium,the

    Talibandidnothaveanyauthorityover them.TheTalibanareagainstdrugs.

    DuringtheTalibanregime,thewholeofAfghanistanwasdrugfree;atthetime,

    nobodywoulddaretokeepevenamon[7kilograms]ofdrugsintheirhouses.60

    Mujahidwaspartiallyaccurate.TheTalibanasanorganizationdidnotatfirsttradein

    opiumper se, but commanders haveprotected, taxed, and collaborated closelywith

    smuggling groups that do since the Taliban first emerged in the early 1990s. The

    spokesmansstatementalsoobscuredthefactthattheTalibanpermittedandtaxedthe

    cultivationand trade inopiumpoppy from1996 to1999,onlybanning farmers from

    growingpoppy in theyear2000.61Thatyear,Talibanofficialscontinued to taxopium

    marketssellingstockpilesofopiumgumandalsocollectedrevenueatdrugrefineries.

    QSTIncreasinglyEngagedinProcessingandExportingNarcotics

    Western estimates of theQSTs annual earnings fromnarcoticsvary byhundreds of

    millionsofdollars.Althoughmost analystsagree that it isnotpossible todetermine

    preciselyhowmuch theQSTearnsfromopium,norestimatewhatportionof its total

    budgetcomesfromnarcotics,seniorU.S.militaryintelligenceofficialsandmembersof

    theAfghanThreatFinanceCell,an interagencybody trackingTalibanfinance,believe

    theAfghan insurgency is now selffinanced and that narcotics likely represents the

    60Forthefullstatement,seeExclusiveInterviewwithTalibanSpokesman,NEFAFoundation,4January

    2008,www1.nefafoundation.org/miscellaneous/nefatalibanintvu0108.pdf. 61Forfurtherdetail,seeUnitedNationsInternationalDrugControlProgram,AfghanistanOpium

    Survey2001;Peters,Ch.3.

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    24

    largestportionofQSTfunding.62TheTalibanprofitsfromtheopiumtradeinfourmain

    sectors:bytaxingpoppyfarmers10percent(ushr)oftheirfarmoutput;bychargingfees

    toprotectopiumshipmentsandheroinrefineries;bytaxingand,increasingly,running

    theirown

    drug

    labs;

    and

    by

    collecting

    large

    cash

    payments

    made

    to

    the

    Quetta

    Majlis

    bymajor traffickinggroups.Of thesesums, taxcollected from the farmersappears to

    representthesmallestportionofthe insurgentstake,andtheseearningsbyand large

    remainatthevillagelevel.Subcommandersoftencollectopiuminkind,laterreselling

    whattheycollecttolocalagentsinordertocovertheirownoperationalcosts.

    Following the arrestsof anumberof leadingAfghandrug traffickers, seniorTaliban

    commandersinthesouthappeartobetakingabroaderroleinthedrugtrade,moving

    intothemoreprofitableprocessingandexportingendofthebusiness,andshiftingtheir

    focusoffoftaxingpoppyfarmersanddrugconvoys.Thisshiftinfocusfromfarmlevel

    taxationtotheprocessingandexportingendofthedrugtradeindicatesthattheQSTis

    behavingmore likeadrugcartel.U.S. lawenforcementandmilitaryofficialsarenow

    trackingmorethanthreedozenseparatesmugglingoperations,manyofwhichappear

    toanswerdirectlytotheQST.63Toseparatethedrugsmugglersfromtheinsurgencyin

    thesouth isnowalmost impossible,saidaU.S.officerwhoclosely tracks theopium

    trade.64

    Large,Pakistanbased smuggling rings thathave long collaboratedwith theTaliban,

    known collectively as theQuettaAlliance, appear to have lost adegree of influence

    following the arrests of a number of key drug kingpins. The Quetta Alliance has

    historicallyincludedfourclanrunsmugglingorganizations.HajiJumaKhan(HJK)ran

    thelargest,knownastheKhanOrganization,untilhisOctober2008arrestinIndonesia.

    HajiBashirNoorzai reportedly commanded another clanbased groupuntil his 2005

    arrest.The 2009 capture ofHajiBaghChagul, a.k.a.HajiBajcho,who arrived in the

    United States in June 2009, was another significant interdiction that illustrated the

    financialscaleofthesmugglingoperations.WhenU.S.agentsraidedBajchoslairthey

    found logbooks indicating that$169millionhadpassedthroughhishands inthepast

    62Personalinterviewsbyauthor,Washington,DC;seealsoAfghanistansNarcoWar,14. 63PersonalinterviewsbyauthorwithU.S.lawenforcementandmilitaryintelligenceofficials,Washington

    D.C.andbytelephoneAugustandSeptember2010.64Personaltelephoneinterviewbyauthor,September2009.

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    25

    ninemonths.65Meanwhile,Haji JumaKhansgangdominatedamajoropiummarket

    out ofMarjah, a town in theHelmand River floodplainswhere Coalition forces in

    February 2010 launched amajor operation to clear out the Taliban, andmaintained

    multiton

    storage

    depots

    and

    drug

    refineries

    in

    Baram

    Chah,

    adusty

    outpost

    that

    straddles the AfghanPakistan border. His organization appears to have continued

    functioningunderthecommandofKhansnephewandformerchiefofoperations,Haji

    HafizAkhtar,althoughTaliban commanders in somedistrictsofHelmandappear to

    havemuscledinonhisgroupsoperations.66

    TheimmensescaleofTalibandrugoperationsbecameclearinMay2009,whenNATO

    andAfghantroopslaunchedamajoroffensivetoclearmilitantsoutofanopiummarket

    based inMarjah ahead of a suspected assassination plot being launched from there

    againsttheHelmandgovernor.67Afterthreedaysof intensefighting,sixtyTaliban lay

    deadand the troopshadseizedastaggeringninetytwometrictonsofheroin,opium,

    hashish and poppy seeds, as well as hundreds of gallons of precursor chemicals,

    makingitthesecondlargestdrughaulinglobalhistory.Indicatinghowcloselyopium

    merchants and insurgents now work, themarket also housed a Taliban command

    center, completewith elaborate communications systems, suicide vests and a large

    weaponscache.68

    Reliablelocalmediareportshavealsoindicatedthatwiththedecliningfarmgateprice

    of raw opium, therehas been adramatic increase in thenumber of refineries inside

    Talibanheld regions of southernAfghanistan capable of refining opium into crystal

    heroin,thehighvalueandmostpotentversionofthedrug.AnOctober2009drugraid

    onaTalibanbase inHelmandrecoveredfortyfivemetrictonsofopium,alongwitha

    stunning 1.8metric tons of processed heroin, according to a press release from the

    65MichaelBraun,formerDrugEnforcementAgencyofficial,inpersonalinterviewwiththeauthor,

    August

    2009.

    66U.S.militaryintelligenceofficials,inpersonalinterviewwiththeauthor,October2009andSeptember

    2010. 67Foradetailedaccountoftheoffensive,confirmedbymilitaryofficialswhotookpartinit,see

    AfghanistansNarcoWar:AReporttotheCommitteeonForeignRelations,U.S.Senate(Washington,

    DC:GovernmentPrintingOffice,10August2009),19,http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi

    bin/getdoc.cgi?dbname=111_cong_senate_committee_prints&docid=f:51521.pdf.68Personalinterviewsbyauthor,byemail,July31,2009andSanDiego,August21,2009.HeidiVogt,

    TroopsMakeLargeDrugSeizureinAfghanistan,AssociatedPress,23May2009.

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    27

    role in ensuring that drug and other illicit shipments get through, supported by an

    elaboratewebofpayoffsmadeby thesmugglersdirectly toprovincialofficials,police

    andborderguards tomakesure that the roadsareclearand thatvehiclesdonotget

    intercepted.A

    colorful

    dispatch

    published

    in

    the

    December

    2009

    issue

    of

    Harpers

    Magazine illuminates the linksbetween theAfghanborderpolicecommanderand the

    drugtradeintheKandaharibordertownofSpinBoldak.74Studiesofotherpostconflict

    zoneshavefoundthattryingtotransformrebelswhoengagedincrimetosupporttheir

    wareffortintolawenforcementofficers,notsurprisingly,oftenresultsincorruptpolice

    operations.75

    OtherFeesCollectedbytheTaliban

    VillagelevelTalibansubcommandersdonot justcollectafarmtitheonpoppycrops,

    butdemandmonthlypaymentsfromvariousmembersof thecommunity,whichthey

    define as taxes or donations, butwhich are rarely amatter of choice.TheTaliban

    collect aportionofall farmoutput,whether licitor illicit,usually in the rangeof10

    percent,butnegotiabledependingonthewealthofthefarmerandthelevelofinfluence

    theTalibancommandsinagivenarea.Researchersforthisreportheardstoriesofpoor

    farmershanding the localTalibansubcommanderas littleasabagoffruitfromtheir

    annual harvest, but there were also reports that large landowners had to pay a

    significantlyhigheragriculturaltithe,asmuchas20percentincertaindistrictsofFarah

    province,forexample.Insomevillages, theTalibansubcommanderhas tosplitwhat

    hecollectsfifty/fiftywiththelocalMullah,andinmostzones,hemustsend10percent

    of his take to his provinciallevel commander.When villagelevel subcommanders

    collectacommodityforwhichtheyandtheirtroopshavenouse,theywilloftensellit

    toalocalbroker,knownasajalabinPashto.Althoughthispracticeisnotuniversal,in

    someareastheTalibanhavebegunhandingouttaxreceiptstoensurethatvillagersand

    shopkeepersarenotchargedmorethanonce(seeAppendixB).Thispracticehasbeen

    implemented in northern Kunduz province, where the QST has made significant

    inroads in thepastyear.76Localperceptionsof the taxation systemvary.While some

    74SeeMatthieuAikins,TheMasterofSpinBoldak,HarpersMagazine(December2009),

    http://www.harpers.org/archive/2009/12/0082754. 75JeremyMcMullin,OrganizedCriminalGroupsandConflict:TheNatureandConsequencesof

    Interdependence,CivilWars11,no.1(March2009),93. 76InformationforthisparagraphwascompiledbysixresearchersacrossAfghanistaninJulyandAugust

    2009.

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    privatelycomplainthattheydonotwanttohandovermoneytotheinsurgents,many

    alsogripeabouthavingtopayoffcorruptlocalofficials,sayingthatatleasttheTaliban

    have standardized their rates. In some areas, the Taliban does provide some

    rudimentarygovernment

    services,

    including

    its

    shadow

    justice

    system

    and

    other

    conflictresolutionservices.Italsoprovidessecurityforpoppyfarmersinsomeareas.

    Inruralareaswherethereislittleuseforhardcash,andwhereopiumisoftenusedasa

    form of currency, Taliban fighters often collect tax in kind, literally carting off 10

    percent of a farmers crop.This is one reasonwhyCoalition troops often find large

    opiumstashesatTalibanbases.Inadditiontothereceipts,recentseizuresindicatethat

    that Taliban and traffickers keep careful books to document their activities. It bears

    mentioning that when NATO forces capture or raid a Taliban hideout, the most

    valuablepieceofevidence in thatcompoundcouldverywellbe thegrubbynotebook

    full of numbers, which ordinarily might seem quite unimportant. One logbook,

    obtained byCoalition troops in 2009, appears to catalogue localmeasurements and

    values of opium either collected frommembers of the community or traded.77 It is

    unclearifthelogbookcamefromalocaltraffickerorrepresentsataxcollectionrecord,

    but the accountbooknoteswhen individualshad arrears topay off, and appears to

    havebeenupdatedincaseswhenanindividualpaidoffhisbalance.

    Coalition forces in Kandahar in 2009 captured another set of documents fromHaji

    Abdul Ghani Mohammad, a known Taliban financier and drug trafficker, which

    includeordinaryreceiptsforagriculturalequipment,fuel,motorcycles,and,inonecase,

    349bagsofopiumseed.78InadditiontoordinarycustomsreceiptspaidtotheAfghan

    government,Mohammadwasfoundwithalogbooklistinghisopiumsales,alongwith

    adetailed recordof thezakat,an Islamic tax, thathepaid to theTaliban.Whilesome

    logbooksmeasure quantities in kilograms, many employ traditional rural forms of

    measurementincludingchaharak(about1kilo),mons(about7kilos)andkharwars(about

    560kilos).TheysometimescomputethevalueusingPakistaniRupees,whichareoften

    referredtoasKaldars.OthertimesvalueiscalculatedinAfghani,theAfghancurrency,

    77HarmonydocumentAFGP2009K0000640.ThisdocumentandanEnglishlanguagetranslationcanbe

    viewedanddownloadedfromtheCTCswebsite,www.ctc.usma.edu. 78HarmonydocumentAFGP200939722613.ThisdocumentandanEnglishlanguagetranslationcanbe

    viewedanddownloadedfromtheCTCswebsite,www.ctc.usma.edu.

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    29

    or inTomans,an informal termforanIraniancurrencyunit.Some logbooksappear to

    incorporatecrudecodesorlocalslang,referringtoheroin,forexampleaspowderor

    simplywhite,andinsomeinstancesreferringtodrugsasgroceries.

    ExtortingLocalBusinessesforCommodities,notCash

    Shopkeepers and other small businesses, including pharmacies, teashops and

    automotive repair stations, are required to hand over a portion of their monthly

    proceedstotheTalibanusuallyintherangeof10percent,althoughthisfigureisoften

    dependent on total earnings. In many cases, Taliban will ask the shopkeepers for

    suppliesusefultotheirwareffort,ratherthanmoney.OnegrocerinGhaznidescribed

    having to supply local insurgents with cooking oil and rice in lieu of a monthly

    payment,andsaidhereceivedareceipt.79ResearchersforthispaperfoundthatTaliban

    fighters routinely requested tobepaid in the formof telephonehandsetsand topup

    cardsforairtimecredit,apparentlywanting tochange theirphonesregularlytoavoid

    surveillance.Shopkeepersalsoreported thatTalibanwillresellcommodities that they

    havecollectedastaxorconfiscatedfromlootedconvoys.Theywillcallupandsay,

    wehavesometelephonesorgeneratorsorwhatever,ifyouwanttobuythem,saida

    localbusinessman.80Shopkeepers interviewed for this reportalsodescribedhaving to

    onpassmessagesfortheTalibanastheymovedthroughtown.Someclaimedtheydid

    notwant toserveasmessengers,norhandoveramonthlyshareoftheirrevenue,but

    feared the consequencesofnothelping the insurgents.The apparent resentment that

    villagersharbor towards the insurgentscould representanuntappedopportunity for

    theCoalition,ifNATOforceswereabletoprotectlocalbusinessesfromthispractice.

    SeekingtoControltheProtectionRacket

    AlthoughQSTsubcommanderscontinuetotaxfarmersandsmalltimebusinessesat

    the local level, there isalsoevidence that theShuraMajlishasmoved toregulatehow

    protectionmoneyiscollectedfromlargerbusinesses,aidanddevelopmentprojects,as

    wellasthetruckingfirmsthatoperateonthebusyKandaharQuettacorridorandother

    southernhighways.Sourcesclose totheQST leadershipsaythisdecisionwasdirectly

    tiedtoMullahMutassimsconcernofareplayoftheanarchythatexistedontheroads

    insouthernAfghanistanintheearly1990s.Ahalfdozentruckdriversandtheowners

    79Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Ghazni,August2009. 80Telephoneinterviewbyauthor,November2009.

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    30

    oftwolargetruckingfirmsinterviewedforthispapersaidthatQSTforcesinthesouth

    no longer collect payments on theQuettaKandahar highway, for example. Instead,

    under a system Mutassim developed, trucking firms now must deposit protection

    paymentswith

    specified

    moneychangers

    in

    Quetta

    and

    Kandahar.

    The

    moneychangers

    record the licenseplatenumbersof the trucksanddetailsaboutwhatcargo theywill

    carry,andthemoneyishandedoverdirectlytoMutassimsFinancialCouncil.81Drivers

    reported receiving a code that they couldgive to armedmenwho stop themon the

    road.Thetigeriswoundedbutalive,wasacodeonedrivergaveasanexample.

    Truckscarryinggoodsforthelocalmarket,ortransitingacrossAfghanistan,canexpect

    topayabout10percentofthevalueoftheirshipment.Convoyscarryinggoodsforthe

    Coalitiongetchargedahigherrate,whichcanrangefrom25to40percentofthetotal

    valuebeingcarried,accordingtotruckersandofficialsattruckingfirms.82Amemberof

    theAchakzai tribe,whichhas longdominated the transport business on theQuetta

    Kandahar route, said he paid the Taliban between $95,000 and $130,000 every six

    months toprotect convoyshe sends to supply theKandaharAirField.This isvery

    organizedbetweenthe[Taliban]fightersandtheShura,hesaid.Yougivethenameof

    thedriverandthelicenseplate,andyourtruckissafe.LowrankingTalibanwhoply

    theroadsbetweenKandaharandthePakistanbordercontinuetohituppassengercars

    forprotectionpayments,butthelargesumsnowgodirecttoQuetta.83

    TheAfghan Taliban appear to rely on an elaborate network of informantsthe so

    calledvillageundergroundtohelp themdeterminehowmuch theycanchargeeach

    truckingfirmtheytarget,aswellasfamilies,businessesandaidgroups.Theinformants

    getpaidofffortheinformationtheyprovide,andlocalsourcessaytheybelievebusand

    taxidriversandmerchantswhohaveexcusesforleavingthevillageonaregularbasis

    areroutinelypartoftheinformationnetwork.Truckingfirmswhotrytoavoidpaying

    theTalibanusuallyenduppayingahigherprice.OnetruckerinKandaharrecalledthe

    storyofatraderwhoimportedsparepartsfromPakistan,andwhomadethemistakeof

    81Personalinterviewsbyresearchassistants,KabulandKandahar,August2009.82Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Kandahar,August2009.83Sofar,thissystemseemstooperateonlyinKandaharandHelmand.InotherpartsofAfghanistan

    wherethereisamixofinsurgentfactionsandcriminalgangs,truckerscanexpecttobehitupforcashon

    theroads.

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    31

    bragging ina teashopat theborder thathedidntplan topayoff the insurgents.His

    four vehicles barelymade it outside the governmentcontrolled border town of Spin

    BoldakbeforeTalibangunmenovertooktheconvoy,anditcosthimcloseto$200,000to

    buyhis

    equipment

    back.

    84It

    is

    not

    always

    clear

    if

    such

    tales

    are

    actually

    true.

    The

    importantthingisthattheyarewidelybelievedamongthetruckingcommunity,which

    doesnottakechances.TherehasbeendocumentedevidencethattheTalibanhastried

    toregularize itstaxcollectionsystem.In2009,theTaliban inHelmand issued its local

    representativewithanoticetoallKajakishopkeepersandtruckdriversThebearer

    ofthisletterisournewrepresentative.Pleasecooperatewithhimlikeeverbefore.85

    TheQuetta Shura also collectsprotectionmoney from larger businesses, notably the

    telecommunications sector and construction projects funded by international aid

    organizations and theCoalition. SargonHeinrich, aKabulbased businessman in the

    construction and service industrieswas quoted in a September 2009 Time Magazine

    reportassayingthat16percentofhisgrossrevenuewenttopayingfacilitationfees,

    mostly to protect shipments of valuable equipment coming from the border.86 The

    reportaptlydescribesthecircularnatureoftheproblem:theU.S.governmentprovides

    money to local contractors to build roads, schools and bridges as part of the

    counterinsurgency campaign, but the contractorsmust pay off insurgents to avoid

    having those projects attacked. The insurgents then spend themoney they raise to

    purchaseweaponsandexplosives,whichinturngetusedtokillAmericansoldiers.It

    becomesaselfsustainingwar,saysanadvisertotheAfghanMinistryofInterior.A

    selflickingicecream.87Inpartsofthecountrywherethereislittleornopoppygrown,

    especiallyindistrictswherethereismajorconstructionworkorcentralroadwayspass

    through,extortionisbelievedtobethelargestsourceofincomefortheinsurgents.This

    creates a moral hazard for the international community, which seeks to stabilize

    Afghanistan but inadvertently ends up financing the insurgency and the explosives

    rebels use to kill Coalition troops and Afghan civilians. The U.S. Agency for

    InternationalDevelopmenthasopenedan investigation intoallegations that its funds

    84Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Kandahar,August2009.85Harmonydocument,AFGP2009B0000598.ThisdocumentandanEnglishlanguagetranslationcanbe

    foundinAppendixAandviewedanddownloadedfromtheCTCswebsite,www.ctc.usma.edu.86ArynBaker,HowCrimePaysfortheTaliban,TimeMagazine(7September2009).87Ibid.

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    protectingthecommunityfromtheircriminalactivitiesandworkingwithlocalofficials

    toimprovegovernance.

    Cooperation

    with

    Other

    Insurgent

    Groups

    The QST appears to have made deals with the other two factions of the Afghan

    insurgency, theHQNand theHIG, tooperatealongsideeachotherand todivide the

    proceeds they earn in some zoneswheremore than one faction operates.A senior

    investigator with Afghanistans National Directorate of Security says that

    representatives of theQST,HQN andHIGmet at the beginning of 2009 to resolve

    differences that existed between them and [to settle on] the appointment of

    governors and other Taliban authorities.90 BothHaqqani andHekmatyarwere told

    theycouldoperateunder thebannerof the IslamicEmirateofAfghanistantheQST

    flagbut could no longer maintain their own command, according to Afghan

    intelligenceofficials.91Thisdealappearstohaveheldinsomeareas,buttherehavebeen

    reportsofsquabblingoverearningrightsamongthevariousfactionsoftheinsurgency

    in thenorthernprovinceofKunduz,andMarch2010 reportsof fightingbetween the

    HIG and QST forces in Baghlan province. In one particular instance, the Pashto

    languageAfghannewspaperHewadWrazpanareportedthatHIGandQSTfightershad

    battledover thecollectionoftaxfrom thepopulace.ThereportquotedMohammad

    AmeenMangal,aseniorpoliceofficer,assayingthatfortyfivemilitants,thirtyofthem

    fromHIG,werekilledinthefighting.92

    90Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Ghazni,August2009.91Personalinterviewbyresearchassistant,Kabul,July2009. 92WeekendFightingBetweenHizbiIslamiandTaliban,UrduPashtuMediaProject,SpecialDispatch

    2850,9March2010,http://memri.convio.net/site/R?i=2N5cMLtXbM5P8QPlWdupeA.

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    SOUTHEASTERNAFGHANISTAN

    Paktika,Paktia,Khost,GhazniandLogar

    Overview:Therearesigns theHQN isbecomingcloser toalQaidaand thePakistani

    Taliban under the command of Sirajuddin Haqqani, in terms of launching tactical

    operations and attacks and, specificallywith the TehrikeTaliban Pakistan (TTP), in

    smuggling, extorting protection money from local and regional businesses and

    kidnappingwealthyor influential individualsaround theKhostregionandnorthwest

    Pakistan.TheHQNcommandsasprawlingministateextendingfromPaktika,Paktia

    and Khost in southeast Afghanistan to its rear base in NorthWaziristan,where it

    appearstodependongoodrelationswithPakistansInterServicesIntelligence(ISI),or

    atleastanoninterferencepact.Althoughthegroupdoesnotappeartohavedeepties

    to the narcotics trade, the HQN behaves inmany ways like amafia organization,

    engaginginwidespreadsmuggling,abductionandshakedownstoraisefunds.

    TheHaqqaniNetwork,whichmainlyoperatesinthesoutheasternprovincesofPaktika,

    PaktiaandKhost(P2K),hasamuchcloserrelationshiptoforeignjihadistelementsthat

    theQST.Led by the ageingmujahidin commander JalaluddinHaqqani, a legendary

    fighter during the Soviet resistance, the HQN also maintains a close working

    relationshipwith the Pakistani Taliban and appears to collaboratewith the TTP in

    holdingkidnapvictimssnatchedonbothsidesoftheDurrandLine.

    With the elderHaqqani in poor health, his son Sirajuddin has assumed daytoday

    commandoftheHQNandisbelievedbyU.S.militaryintelligencetohaveeclipsedhis

    fatherintermsofbrutalityandreach.TheHQNhasbeencreditedwithmasterminding

    a series of sophisticated attacks inAfghanistan in the past two years, including the

    April2008assassinationattemptonPresidentHamidKarzai,theJanuary2009attackonthe SerenaHotel inKabul, the July 2009 car bomb attack on the IndianEmbassy in

    KabulandamultistagesuicideattackataU.S.militarybaseinKhostinAugust 2008.

    Although there has been no concerted effort to improve relations with the local

    community,aswiththeQST,theHQNisknowntopayitsoperatives,aswellaslocal

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    peoplewhotakeuparmsorlaunchattacksonitsbehalf,forsuccessfulmissionsagainst

    theAfghangovernmentandNATO.SecurityforcesinKhostsaylocalscanexpecttobe

    paid several hundred U.S. dollars to destroy a bridge or school or kill an Afghan

    policemanor

    soldier.

    Killing

    asenior

    provincial

    official,

    aU.S.

    soldier

    or

    destroying

    a

    Coalitionvehiclecanbring in$5,000ormore.Thefeesarenormallypaid inPakistani

    Rupees,andcangohigher if theattackersmanage tovideo theevent.93Thenetwork

    also issuesNightLetters instructing localsnot to collaboratewith theCoalition, and

    warningofdireconsequences if theydisobey. Inone2009NightLetterdistributed in

    Paktika,which carried the name of the Islamic Emirate but the logo of the former

    Haqqanimadrassa, thegroupprohibitedmembersofthe localcommunityfromusing

    roadsbeingbuiltbytheCoalition,barredcommunitymembersfromsendingtheirkids

    toschoolandsaidtribalmeetings thathavebeenestablishedby thegovernmentare

    alsoprohibited.94

    FamilialandTribalCommandStructure

    TheHQNcommandstructureremains looserandmore familial than thatof theQST,

    withmostmemberscoming fromHaqqanisownZadran tribe.Unlike theQST, there

    hasbeennodocumentedevidenceofaneffortbytheHQNleadershiptoassertcontrol

    over upward money flows over the past year. Afghan officials and locals in the

    southeastandinNorthWaziristansaytheorganizationdoesnotappeartosufferalack

    offunding.95NewYorkTimesreporterDavidRohde,whowaskidnappedandheldby

    theHQN formore than sevenmonthsalongwith twoAfghan colleagues,described,

    both in a newspaper series and in a conversationwith the author,Haqqaniswell

    suppliedoperation inNorthWaziristan,therearoperationsbaseforthenetwork,asa

    Talibanministate.96NarcoticsdonotappeartoplayamajorroleinHQNfinances

    since little if any poppy is cultivated in southeast Afghanistanand the network

    appearstodependfarmoreheavilyonkidnapping,protectionracketsandextortionto

    raisefundslocally,accordingtoWesternan