Creditor Monitoring versus shareholder monitoring: …...shareholders of borrowing firms, we examine...
Transcript of Creditor Monitoring versus shareholder monitoring: …...shareholders of borrowing firms, we examine...
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Creditor Monitoring versus shareholder monitoring: Evidence
from bank financing of Mergers and Acquisitions
Abstract
We examine a set of bank financed mergers and acquisitions that are either partly or
completely financed by cash. Comparing those mergers that are financed by a bank versus
those that are paid for internal cash, we find that bidder abnormal returns for M&A that are
financed by banks versus other M&A are similar. Next, we find that loans that finance M&A
are significantly different from other sets of loans in terms of having a higher collateral
requirement and higher number of covenants. Lastly, bank financed M&A are more likely to
be completed relatively to other M&A, and value losing M&A are less likely to be financed
by banks. Overall, our results are more consistent with the notion that creditor monitoring is
different from shareholder monitoring. Our results are robust to a variety of controls for the
endogeneity of bank financing.
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1. Introduction
Theories have long suggested that banks screen/monitor borrowers, which
certifies/enhances borrowers’ value (e.g., Diamond, 1984; Ramakrishnan and Thakor, 1984).
Consistent with this, there is a long literature on relationship lending that documents the
specialness of banks (James, 1987). While the earlier studies on the value of bank lending
focus on the event study methodology, later studies focused on loan contract terms (eg
Petersen and Rajan, 1994; Berger and Udell, 1995). Generally, the finding is that firms
benefit in price and non-price terms due to bank lending, and this is interpreted as evidence in
favor of the specialness of banks. On the other hand, recent event study evidence by Maskara
and Mullineaux (2011) calls into question the specialness of banks based on a larger sample
and argues that firms would only announce loans that are likely to generate positive
announcement returns.
So, on one hand, we have several papers with large sample evidence on benefit of
bank lending in terms of loan rates and collateral for small businesses as well as large
publicly traded firms. On the other hand, we have a lack of evidence for the benefits of bank
lending based on a more recent larger sample event study.
To further investigate this question on the value effects of bank loans for the
shareholders of borrowing firms, we examine the impact of bank financing on mergers and
acquisitions. Specifically, we examine the impact of bank financing in cash M&A in terms of
announcement returns, as well as examining the contract terms of the loans used to finance
M&A. Focusing on mergers and acquisitions has several advantages. First, there is a large
literature that documents that mergers often create zero or even negative value for acquiring
firms. Thus, if banks monitoring were to add value to shareholders, then mergers would be
one where the scope for adding value is quite high. Second, an important limitation with the
loan announcement studies is that it is often difficult to identify the loan announcement
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dates.1 In contrast, we have a relatively comprehensive of mergers and acquisitions where
announcement is required due to regulatory reasons. Third, by employing both the event
study methodology as well as the resulting loan contract terms for the same event, we can
link the returns to the acquiring firms to the loan contract terms used for financing the
acquisition, which can more sharply test the value addition from banks.
The hypotheses we test are two fold. On one hand, going by earlier results in the
literature, bank financing should add value, as banks can monitor and potentially block value
reducing acquisitions by withholding financing. Thus, bank financing should be linked to
positive CAR’s for the acquiring firms, which may arise either due to the certification
benefits that a bank is willing to finance the deal, or due to potential monitoring of the
management of the combined firm after the merger. In fact, to the extent that a merger or
acquisition is a large corporate investment, and often a negative value event from an
acquiring firm’s perspective, bank involvement may be viewed as an even positive event
relative to bank financing for other reasons. Henceforth, we refer to this hypothesis as the
‘bank monitoring hypothesis’.
On the other hand, banks may substitute for due diligence and monitoring by
changing the price of loan contract terms. In particular, the model by Manove, Padilla and
Pagano (2001) suggests a model of lazy banks where banks may substitute monitoring by
increasing covenants and collateral whereby they are protected from downside risk by
collateralizing a loan. In this case, banks should not be associated with any positive value
creation for acquiring firm shareholders. Rather, one should observe loan contract terms to be
significantly different for bank loans that finance acquisitions relative to other banks loans.
Further, to the extent that banks may obtain fees for related investment banking services, this
may incentivize them even further to provide financing even if they perceive the merger as
1 This is why even the relatively large sample event study by Maskara and Mullineaux (2011) uses around 1000
observations which is significantly smaller than the universe of loans in the LPC Dealscan data set.
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value reducing from the shareholders perspective. Henceforth, we refer to this as the ‘lazy
bank hypothesis.’
Note that these two hypotheses are not necessarily mutually exclusive. Banks could
be monitoring in ways that increase the value for shareholders, but at the same time, also
changing loan contract terms in a way that protects themselves from downside risk.
Ultimately, it is an empirical question as to whether either or both of these effects has an
economically important effect.
To test these hypotheses, we use a set of loans made to acquiring firms using the LPC
Dealscan database and the Thomson Financial SDC database for mergers and acquisitions.
First, we obtain a base sample of mergers and acquisitions from the SDC database where the
method of payment involves at least some cash payment (thus we exclude all stock deals).
We need this restriction as bank financing would be relevant only if the acquiring firm
requires cash financing. Next, we identify all loans taken by the acquiring firm from one year
prior to the announcement of the loan to the deal completion date. We treat these loans as
being related to finance the acquisition, the underlying economic logic being that cash
borrowed, no matter what the stated purpose, could be used for financing the M&A. We treat
all such loan transactions as acquisition related loans.
Our tests use three approaches. First, we test for impact of bank financing on
abnormal returns for acquiring firms. Second, we test if the price and non-price terms of loan
contract terms (loan rate, collateral and covenants) differ significantly between acquisition
related loans and other loans. Lastly, we examine if the likelihood of completion of the deal
differs significantly across bank financed mergers and other mergers.
Abnormal returns would measure potential benefits to shareholders from bank
monitoring and certification. On the other hand, significant differences in loan contract terms
between acquisition related loans and other loans, in the absence of any abnormal return
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effects, would measure the extent to which the lazy bank hypothesis is valid. Lastly, a higher
likelihood of deal completion may be a positive result if bank financed deals have a positive
wealth effects while a higher likelihood of deal completion may be symptomatic of conflicts
between banks and the firm’s shareholders if such deals have negative value effects on
average. If the wealth effects are zero, then there is no effect of the higher likelihood of deal
completion on shareholders.
Our main results are as follows: First, bank financed mergers and acquisitions do not
have a significant difference from CAR relative to the M&A that are financed using cash
from the firm’s internal funds. Thus, bank involvement in the financing of M&A is not a
positive event from the acquiring firm shareholders perspective.
Next, we examine differences in loan contract terms between the loans we classify as
bank financing of M&A and all the remaining loans in the LPC database. When we examine
loan contract terms, we find several important differences between acquisition related loans
and other loans. Specifically, a loan made for acquisition financing has a significantly higher
likelihood of collateral and higher number of covenants reflecting potential risk shifting
problems due to an increase in leverage post merger. In contrast, the loan rate for acquisition
loans is similar to non-acquisition loans. This evidence is strongly consistent with the fact
that banks protect themselves from events post M&A, rather than screening or monitoring
loans.
We examine a number of subsamples of observations based on firms that are likely to
be credit constrained, banks with high reputation and relationship banks. We find that banks
do not add value in any of these circumstances. We also account for potential endogeneity of
bank financing using a variety of methods such as instrumental variables and propensity
score matching, and generally find that the original results continue to hold, both for
abnormal returns and for loan contract terms.
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The evidence thus far implies that bank financing does not result in any benefits to
the acquiring firm’s shareholders consistent with the recent event study by Maskara nad
Mullineaux (2010) and less consistent with value creation for shareholders from bank
financing. However, the results so far are conditional on the deal being completed.
One possible unobservable benefit of bank financing is that banks may prevent the
firm from even embarking on an acquisition that results in a large destruction of value, by
refusing to finance the deal. In particular, does the likelihood of bank financing reduce the
likelihood that the acquiring firm completes a value reducing deal, conditional on the deal
being announced? While the answer to this question is affirmative, once endogeneity of the
bank financing decision is accounted for, there is no incremental difference in the likelihood
of a value reducing deal being less likely to be completed due to bank financing. However, a
benefit to the acquiring firm is that bank financed deals are (in an unconditional sense) more
likely to be completed.
To summarize, our results are consistent with the theoretical arguments in Seward
(1990) and Besanko and Kanatas (1993) who argue that bank monitoring incentives differ
significantly from monitoring incentives of shareholders. Further, banks also change the loan
contract terms of a way that limits their losses due to potential value loss in M&A. We
believe our results highlight an important limitation of the evaluating the benefits of bank
lending using stock price data. Thus, creditor monitoring is significantly different from
shareholder monitoring.
A related paper by Bharadwaj and Shivdasani (2004) examines a similar question in
the context of tender offers. They find that bank financing adds value and interpret this as
evidence that banks monitor and certify the deals. We reexamine this question for all mergers
(not just tender offers) for two reasons. First, the banking industry has undergone a dramatic
change from the time period of their sample (1990-1996). In particular, there has been a large
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change in the competitive landscape in banking, especially in terms of development of the
syndicated loan market. Second, by having a relatively longer time series but with a different
data set, we can reexamine the robustness of their results. We find that we can replicate
several of their results for the time period between 1990 and 1996, but these results do not
continue to hold in later time periods. We attribute this difference to a large change in the
lending market. In particular, this market has seen a large growth in the late 90’s and the first
part of 2000’s with several non banks becoming active lenders in this market.
2. Sample selection
The sample of acquisitions comes from the Securities Data Company’s (SDC) U.S.
Merges and Acquisitions Database. We select domestic mergers and acquisitions with the
announcement date between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 2009. The above time frame
is chosen because the LPC data set does not have very many loans prior to 1990. We consider
only acquisitions in which acquiring firms purchase all the shares of the acquired firm or
subsidiary, and we require the acquiring firm to control less than 50% of the shares of the
target firm before the announcement. We exclude divestitures, repurchases and M&A’s done
by financial firms (SIC code between 6000 and 6999) and utility firms (SIC code between
4900 and 4949). We further require that (1) the deal value is greater than US$ 1million, (2)
the deal value is at least 1% of the acquirer’s market value of equity measured on the 11th
trading day prior to the announcement date, (3) the target firms is a public U.S. firm or a non-
public subsidiary of a US public or US private firm, and (4) the acquirer has annual financial
statement information available from Compustat and stock return data (210 trading days prior
to acquisition announcements) from Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP).
Our base sample takes all M&A that satisfy the above criteria and one more important
criterion that the merger needs to be paid for either partly or completely by cash. The reason
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is that only these mergers would require banks financing. The total number of mergers with
these sample selection criteria is 2918. Next, we need to identify the mergers that were
financed with bank financing. We define a merger as being bank financed if the acquiring
firm took any loans between one year prior to the announcement of the loan to the completion
date of the loan. The rationale for this choice is that companies in general most loans have a
stated purpose of ‘General Corporate Purposes’ that can be broadly used. Using this
definition of bank financing, 563 M&A are classified as being bank financed and the
remainder are not financed by banks.
2.1 Hypotheses development
As mentioned in the introduction, there are two principal hypotheses that we test – bank
monitoring versus lazy bank. We test the implications of these hypotheses on the following
variables – merger announcement return, loan rates, likelihood of the loan being
collateralized, an index that measures the intensity of covenants in the loan, as well as the
likelihood of completion of the merger conditional on the deal being completed, conditional
on being announced.
2.1.1 Implications on merger announcement returns
The bank monitoring hypothesis implies that merger announcement returns should be
positive if any bank agrees to finance the deal. This can be rationalized based on a long
theoretical literature in banking based on information frictions starting with Diamond (1984)
and Ramakrishnan and Thakor (1984). These theories posit that banks have special
informational advantages relative to capital markets in financing firms. If outside investors
see a bank financing a merger, the resulting certification benefit should result in higher
abnormal returns for bank financed acquisitions relative to other mergers and acquisitions.
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In contrast, the lazy bank hypothesis as in Manove, Padilla and Pagano (2003) implies
that banks would not monitor the mergers and acquisitions, rather they would substitute
monitoring with increasing collateral that would protect themselves in the event of default,
and increasing covenants that would allow them to call the loan if the borrower’s financial
condition worsens. In this case, bank financing should not result in any positive abnormal
return to the acquiring firm shareholders.
2.1.2 Implications on loan contract terms used to finance the merger
The bank monitoring hypothesis implies that loan rates acquisition related loans and other
loans should not differ significantly from each other as banks price each of these loans
consistent with their risk. In this case, there should be no difference between loans used to
finance acquisitions and other types of loans.
In contrast, the lazy bank hypothesis as mentioned above implies that banks should
substitute loan contract terms in place of monitoring. In this case as well, we should observe
that banks increase the collateral requirements as well as the covenants.
2.2.3 Implications on likelihood of completion of merger
To the extent that firms require cash to complete the merger (for example, if target firms do
not want complete stock payment), the availability of bank financing should unconditionally
increase the likelihood of merger completion. However, the two hypotheses do have different
implications for value reducing mergers and acquisitions. To the extent that banks monitor,
value reducing mergers should be less likely to be completed with bank financing. On the
other hand, with the lazy bank hypothesis, the likelihood of value reducing M&A should not
be impacted by the presence of bank financing.
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2.2 Definitions of key variables
We estimate the abnormal percentage returns over the three-day event window (-1, +1)
using market model benchmark returns with the CRSP equally-weighted index returns. The
market model parameters are estimated over the 200-day period from event day -210 to event
day -11, where event day 0 is the acquisition announcement date. Although not provided here,
we also calculate the abnormal returns using (-2, +2) event window as robustness check and it
does not change our result.
We use the all in spread drawn variable from the LPC data as the measure of the
interest rate of the loan. We make a dummy variable for collateral that takes a value of 1 if
the loan is classified as secured and 0 otherwise. We construct an index that sums up all the
covenants present in the loan, and we construct two sub-indices that sum up the total number
of financial and general covenants. These four variables (abnormal return, loan rate, collateral
and covenants) form the principal dependent variables on which the empirical analysis is
done. Other control variables used in the multivariate tests are defined in Appendix A.
3. Summary statistics
Table 1 presents summary statistics for firm characteristics of the acquiring firms in
terms of commonly used accounting and governance variables. In panel B, we present results
for firm characteristics stratified by whether or not the merger is bank financed. Several
differences for the type of firms that undertake bank financed mergers versus remaining firms
are different in a statistical sense, although the differences in magnitude are not economically
significant in all cases. Bank financed firms have a leverage of 40% leverage versus 43%
leverage for non-bank financed firms. Likewise, bank financed acquiring firms have a mean
free cash flow to asset ratio of 4% versus 6% for the converse sample. Bank financed
acquiring firms also have lower tangibility and lower profitability versus non-bank financed
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firms. Bank financed deals also have larger relative deal size (size of the M&A relative to the
market value of the acquiring firm prior to the merger). Thus, the univariate comparison
across acquiring firms that take bank financing for their merger or acquisition versus those
that do not seem consistent with the notion that bank financing is chosen to mitigate possible
cash shortfalls. Corporate governance (number of independent directors, executive ownership,
GIM index) do not appear to differ significantly in economic terms.
Panel B presents differences in the loan contract terms for M&A loans (recall M&A
loans are loans made in a time window better one year prior to the announcement date and
the completion date of the merger) and the remaining loans to public firms in the LPC
Dealscan database. There are a total of 1556 M&A loans, thus, there are around 3 loans per
bank financed merger. In terms of loan rates, M&A loans have a much lower spread relative
to non M&A loans with the difference being almost 30 basis points relative to the average
loan spread of around 192 basis points over LIBOR. This may possibly be due to a reduction
in credit risk associate with diversifying mergers, on the other hand, several mergers also
result in an increase in leverage which should result in higher spreads for M&A loans. Other
loan contract terms also show large differences – the average number of covenants in a non
M&A loan is 1.15 versus 3.15 for an M&A loan. Thus, on average, an M&A loan has two
more covenants, which is large economically significant difference between these two sets of
loans. However, loan maturity of M&A loans and non-M&A loans do not differ significantly
from one another.
Thus, banks appear to recognize that the loan given is likely for a merger and are
protecting themselves from potential downside risk by increasing covenants which allow
them to call back the loan in the event of a covenant violation. M&A loans are also
significantly more like to be collateralized (39% versus 25% for non M&A loans). Thus, the
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univariate results on loan contract terms are consistent with the notion that banks change both
the price and non-price terms of loan contract terms for M&A loans.
Panel C reports the CAR (-1, +1) for the deals in our sample. The literature
documents positive CARs for the cash deal. Similarly, in our sample, both the bank financed
and non-financed deals on average have positive and statistically significant CAR, but the
difference in mean CAR’s between these two groups is statistically insignificant with a p-
value 0.59. The univariate analysis shows the bank financed deals are not favored by the
market.
In summary, the univariate results of CAR and loan terms suggest that there is no
significant association between bank involvement in financing the deal and the quality of the
deals. Although the banks don’t charge higher spread for M&A loans, they secure themselves
by imposing collateral and more covenants. Next we proceed with multivariate analyses to
isolate the effect of bank involvement on CAR and the effect of the M&A purpose on the
loan contract.
4. Multivariate tests
In the previous section, we examined differences in merger returns across acquiring
firms that used bank financing versus those that did not, and found no significant difference.
However, loan contract terms for M&A loans differed significantly from loan contract terms
for non M&A loans. Since the acquiring firm characteristics are significantly different for
M&A and non M&A loans, some of these differences could be driven by differing borrowing
firm characteristics. In this section, we examine if these differences continue to persist after
accounting for such differences. We also spend significant time accounting for potential
endogeneity in the bank financing decision.
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4.1 Bidder Announcement Returns
In Table 3, we present regressions with the acquirer abnormal return on the bank
financed dummy variable and other variables that have been shown to be significant in
explaining bidder returns. The key independent variable of interest is the bank-financed
dummy. Other control variables, motivated by prior studies include size (natural log of
bidder market capitalization at 11 trading days before the announcement, Asquith et al.,
1983), target status (private, public, subsidiary, Fuller et al., 2002), a dummy for diversifying
acquisition (target is outside of the bidder’s 48 Fama-French industries, Morck et al., 1990),
equity or cash payment, relative size of the acquisition (total value of consideration paid by
the bidder divided by the bidder’s equity market capitalization at 11 trading days before the
announcement), bidder Tobin’s Q, bidder book leverage, and bidder profitability (operating
cash flow scaled by assets). In model 1 of Table 2, we find that bank financing has no effect
on abnormal returns, similar to the univariate results. In all the regressions henceforth, we
control include year and industry fixed effects to account for potential differences in the time
period and industry on acquiring firm returns.
In model 2, we, we control the asymmetric information of the bidder using the earning
residual, defined as the standard deviation of all three-day cumulative abnormal returns
around earnings announcements from I/B/E/S using the market model over the 5-year period
preceding the acquisition announcement (Moeller, Schlingemann, and Stulz (2007)). This
does not make any difference to the results on the irrelevance of bank financing.
Next, in model 3, following Masulis, Wang, and Xie (2007), we also include
corporate governance measure (GIM index) to control for the possibility that public scrutiny
of some firms provides sufficient monitoring to ensure that these firms make better
acquisitions. Datta, Iskandar-Datta, and Raman (2001) find a significantly positive relation
between bidder managers’ equity-based compensation (EBC) and bidder announcement-
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period abnormal returns. Similar to Datta et al. (2001), we define EBC as the percentage of
equity-based compensation in a CEO’s annual compensation package, with equity-based pay
defined as the value of stock options and restricted stock grants. None of these make much
difference to the main result that we observe, namely that bank financing is not relevant for
acquiring firm returns.
In Table 4, we further investigate this question. We test if there are any differences
between acquisition loans given by relationship versus outside banks. This is motivated by
theories and empirical studies of relationship banking (Boot and Thakor, 1993; Berger and
Udell, 1995; Boot, 2000) that postulate that relationship banks have more information relative
to outside banks on their borrowers. Thus, if relationship banks monitor the firms more,
perhaps, a positive result should only be observed if relationship banks provide the
acquisition financing. To test this, in model 1, we include an interaction between bank-
financed and relationship bank, an indicator that equals one if the deal is financed by
relationship bank. The interaction term is insignificant which suggests that the involvement
of relationship bank in financing M&A also does not add value to the borrowing firm’s
shareholders.
Next, we investigate if more reputable banks have a greater incentive to monitor,
where a reputable bank is defined as a bank that has a market share greater than the median in
the previous year. The result shows that no marginal effect from bank-financed dummy and
reputable bank dummy, which suggest no difference between normal bank and reputable
bank in the M&A deal.
Thus, far, we investigated if the merger is impacted by the bank or deal characteristics
and find no significant difference in the basic result that bank monitoring does not have an
effect on bidder returns. Next, we investigate if the bidder characteristics have any impact on
abnormal returns. In particular, bank financing might be a valuable certification device only
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for bidders that are capital constrained or for bidders that have a high degree of information
asymmetry with respect to the capital market. In Table 4B, we investigate this by interacting
the bank financed dummy variable with dummy variables for firms that are unrated, firms
below investment grade as well as dividend paying firms. However, interactions of the bank-
financed dummy with each of these variables is consistently insignificant from 0, suggesting
that firms that are more informationally opaque or firms that have greater credit constraints
also do not benefit from bank financing of their mergers or acquisitions.
4.2 Loan contract term regression
Given the earlier results that bank financing have no wealth effects of average, the
next question that we examine is whether the loan contract terms of acquisition related loans
differ significantly from other loans in price (interest rate) and non-price terms. With the
bank monitoring hypothesis, there should be no difference from acquisition related and other
loans, after adjusting for other borrower and loan characteristics. On the other hand, with the
lazy bank hypothesis, loan contrast terms for acquisition related loans may have higher
interest rate and/or higher collateral requirement and/or higher covenant number of covenants,
the last two which the bank uses to protect itself from downside risk, while at the same time,
not exerting effort on monitoring.
We use several firm-specific characteristics to control for their impact on loan spread.
We use the logarithm of market capitalization Log(assets) as a measure of firm’s size. Larger
firms tend to be more established and thus have easier access to both internal and external
financing. In addition, since a firm’s age and size are positively correlated, larger firms are
likely to have developed a reputation over time. Therefore, larger firms are likely to borrow
from banks on better terms. Another important firm-level characteristic for loan pricing is
profitability, since firms with higher current profits should be able to borrow at better terms
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from the banks. We define profitability as a ratio of EBITDA to Sales. We include the firm’s
leverage ratio in our model since highly levered firms face a higher probability of default, all
else remaining equal. We expect a positive association between leverage and loan spread. We
use Book to Market, the ratio of the book value of assets to market value of assets (market
value of equity plus book value of debt) to proxy for a firm's growth opportunities. All else
equal, a firm recognized as having better growth opportunities can have a lower borrowing
cost. On the other hand, growth firms may be vulnerable to financial distress or subject to
information asymmetry, thus subject to higher costs of loan. Thus, the expected effect of
market to book on loan rates is ambiguous. Tangibility is defined as the ratio of tangible
assets to total assets. Because lenders may recover tangible assets should the firm default, we
expect firms with more tangible assets to have lower borrowing costs. Cash flow volatility,
measured as the standard deviation of quarterly cash flows from operations over the 16 fiscal
quarters prior to the loan initiation year, scaled by total debt, is used to proxy for a firm's
earnings risk and is expected to be positively correlated with the cost of debt.
We control for Log(Maturity) the natural logarithm of loan maturity in months,
because the lender requires a liquidity premium for longer term debt and this liquidity
premium translates into a higher loan spread. We also include Log (Loan Size), the natural
logarithm of the amount of a loan, which may capture economies of scale in bank lending and
thus is expected to be inversely related to the loan rate. Alternatively, this same negative
relation might occur if riskier borrowers are granted smaller loans with higher interest rates.
Performance pricing is a dummy variable equal to one if a loan contract has the performance
pricing feature.2 This is to control for the possibility that lenders price loans differently if they
contain performance pricing clauses.
2 The performance pricing feature makes the loan interest rate step up in the event of adverse shocks to the
borrower’s credit risk. This feature has been shown to have a significant effect on the loan interest rate (Asquith
et. al., 2005).
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The results also show that larger loans and loans with shorter maturity have smaller
spreads, while performance pricing is not significantly related to the loan spread.
Macroeconomic conditions can affect debt pricing. We use three different variables to control
for macroeconomic cycles. Credit spread is the difference between the yields of BAA and
AAA corporate bonds. Term spread is the difference between the yields of 10 year treasury
bonds and 2 year treasury bonds. The literature suggests that credit spread and term spread
are good proxies of macroeconomic conditions and help explain stock and bond returns
(Chen, Roll, and Ross, 1986; Fama and French, 1993). Specifically, credit spreads tend to
widen in recessions and to shrink in expansions (Collin-Dufresne, Goldstein, and Martin,
2001). This is because investors require more compensation for increased default risk in bad
economic times. High (low) term spreads are often used as an indicator of good (bad)
economic prospects. In the regressions, we measure credit spread and term spread one month
before the time the loan becomes active. The results show that credit spread is positively
related to loan spread, suggesting that market-wide default risk is reflected in the individual
loan rate. Finally, we control for loan type, loan purpose, and industry effects. Loans are of
different types, such as 364-day loans, term loans, and revolving loans. Loans can also be
declared for different uses like corporate purposes, debt repayment, takeovers, working
capital, etc. Because loans with different types and purposes are associated with different
risks, they may be priced differently. In addition, we employ 2 digit SIC dummies to control
for the potential differences in risks and debt pricing structures across industries.
Table 5 presents our regression analyses on the loan contract terms for loan in M&A
deals. Model 1 shows the results for the loan rate. Most of the control variables yield a
similar result to Graham, Li, and Qiu (2008). Larger firms have lower loan rates. In addition,
firms with high ebitda/sales pay lower interest rate. However, unlike the univariate results,
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bank financing has no impact on the loan rate. Thus, bank loans that finance mergers are not
different from other loans in terms of loan interest rate.
Non-price terms of the loan contract are equally important in explaining the cross
section of loan spreads. The performance pricing dummy is negative and significant in
explaining the variation in loan spreads. Interestingly, the negative (and significant)
coefficient for maturity and the positive (significant) coefficient for collateral are inconsistent
with the notion that these non-price terms can be used as trade-off features for price terms.3
We find that the banks don’t charge higher spread for M&A loans which are
conceptually considered as higher risk. However, the banks do protect themselves by
imposing collateral and more covenants. In Table 6, we investigate the subsamples for the
bidders are no ratting firms, small firms and dividend paying firm. These kinds of firms are
more likely to be bank-dependent and banks might have more inside information so that they
don’t need to impose more restrictions. Overall, the results partial validate our conjectures.
The interaction term are all negative but insignificant, which means the bank-dependent firms
get less spread, less collateral, less covenant comparing to other firms.
4.3 Endogeneity problem in bank-financing decision
The results so far imply that M&A loans are different from other loans in non-price terms
such as collateral and covenants, and that the CAR of bank financed M&A is not significantly
different from CAR of M&A’s not financed by banks. However, to the extent that such bank
financing decision are correlated with other observable or unobservable firm characteristics
that lead firms to choose bank financing in the first place, then this coefficient may be biased.
3 Paper such as Stultz and Johnson (1985) and others model the collateral decision as one where higher quality
borrowers signal their decision by pledging collateral. On the other hand, models of collateral based on risk
shifting have riskier borrowers pledging collateral. Empirically, several papers starting with Berger and Udell
(1990) and Jimenez et. al. (2006) find that collateral has a positive impact on loan rate, more consistent with the
risk shifting model rather than the signaling models of collateral.
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To account for this several approaches have been proposed in the literature which we employ
here.
4.3.1 Instrumental variable estimation
A potential source of endogeneity is that there may be a common unobserved factor
that drives both the bank financing decision as well as the CAR. For example, only the value
creating deal can be financed by the banks and these deals will get a positive CAR. One
solution is to use the instrument variables that are correlated with bank financing decision but
not correlated with the CAR. We use three instrumental variables which we justify
economically: Our first instrumental variable is a bank availability dummy which equals 1 if
the bidder has obtained any loan that is recorded in the LPC database from any bank in the (-
4, -1) years prior to the merger. The idea here is that a bidder which has accessed this market
before is more like to get a bank loan subsequently, and this should not be related to the
likelihood of positive or negative abnormal returns on the acquisition. A second related
instrument we use is relationship bank dummy which equals 1 if the bidders have a
relationship bank prior to the acquisition, which capture the idea that the bidders can get the
bank funding easier from relationship bank; Our last instrumental variable is credit bubble
period dummy which equals 1 if the merger happened during year 2005 to 2007. Since this
was a time period when banks had access to low cost credit, they should unconditionally be
more likely to make loans, including acquisition loans. However, there is no a-priori reason
to believe that this should be correlated with merger announcement returns for such bidders.
Table 7 gives the results of the IV regressions for the CAR. These 3 IVs yield similar
results that the first stage F-statistics are all larger than 10 and reject the null that the
coefficient on the instruments are insignificantly different from 0 at the 1% level. Also the
second step estimation all get the insignificant coefficient for the bank-financed dummy.
20
Overall, the IV regression result is consistent with the OLS and suggest that banks don’t
screen or monitor the M&A deal.
4.3.2 Treatment effect model
An alternative way of accounting for endogeneity is via the treatment effect model
proposed by Heckman (1979). Here the endogeneity arises because of the binary nature of the
bank-financed dummy which could result in a biased estimate of this variable on the
dependent variables. In this model, the method of adjusting for this bias would be to add the
Heckman’s λ as an additional second stage independent variable in the control regression.
While the treatment effect model does not specifically require an excluded variable, as
identification comes from the non-linearity of the first stage regression, most estimations
would include some excluded variables in the first stage regression. We use the same
variables we used before namely credit bubble period dummy, relationship bank dummy, and
bank availability dummy. As shown in Table 7B, the treatment effect models also gives
insignificant results for bank-financed dummy.
4.3.3 Propensity score matching model
A third method of accounting for selection on observables that has been commonly
used in the literature is propensity score matching, the key econometric difference being from
the instrumental variables and the treatment effect models being that the difference in the
treatment group, here the acquiring firms that obtained bank financing, and the control group,
those acquirers that did not get bank financing, is based on a set of observable characteristics.
Thus, the key econometric methodology here would be to match each treatment observation,
an acquiring firm that obtained bank financing with another acquiring firm that was equally
likely to have obtained bank financing, but in fact did not. The differences between these two
21
samples would reflect the additional value created from bank financing, and the differences in
loan contract terms between these two samples would reflect the incremental effect of
acquisition related loans. We estimates the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT)
using nearest neighbor matching; The nearest neighbors are not determined by comparing
treated observations to every single control, but by first sorting all records by the estimated
propensity score and then searching forward and backward for the closest control unit(s); if
for a treated unit forward and backward matches happen to be equally good, this program
randomly draws either the forward or backward matches; The ATT is computed by averaging
over the unit-level treatment effects of the treated where the control(s) matched to a treated
observation is/are those observations in the control group that have the closest propensity
score; if there are multiple nearest neighbors, the average outcome of those controls is used.
Table 7C shows the result. We find that the average effect of being bank-financed is
insignificantly different from 0.
4.4 Deal completion regression
Lastly, we examine the impact of bank financing on the likelihood of merger
completion. To the extent that bank financing mitigates any credit constraints, and viewing
the merger as a large investment decision, one should expect bank financing to increase the
likelihood of merger completion, conditional on being announced, independent of whether
banks are monitoring or banks are lazy. A secondary test that will distinguish the above two
would be the interaction of bank financing with value losing acquisitions. If banks were
monitoring, then bank financing should reduce the likelihood of value reducing acquisitions.
We conduct a probit analysis of bid completion, where the dependent variable is a
dummy variable equal to 1 if the announced deal is completed, and 0 otherwise. The control
variables are same as that in table 3. The independent variables of interest are the bank-
22
financed dummy, value-losing dummy and the interaction term of bank-financed and value-
losing. The value-losing dummy equals 1 if the CAR is less than 0. In Table 8, we report the
results that the bank-financed deals are more likely to complete. Also when there is a bank-
involvement and the stock price reaction upon initial announcement is negative, the bidding
firm is under pressure to call off the deal. Thus, in this sense, we do find evidence for bank
financing being associated with lower likelihood of completion of value reducing deals,
which benefits the shareholders of the acquiring firm.
5. Conclusion
Our study started from a large base literature that banks add value to borrowing firms and
examined the impact of bank financing on bidder value creation in M&A. There were strong
theoretical and empirical reasons to believe that bank financing should add value to bidding
firm shareholders. Nevertheless, we found scant evidence for this, in fact, to the contrary, we
found that bank loan contracts react in ways that are consistent with bank’s protecting their
own interests by changing loan contract terms in terms of more stringent covenants and more
strict collateral requirements. Further research would examine the circumstances under which
bank financing would add value for shareholders and where it does not add value.
23
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25
Table 1: Summary statistics of mergers
A bank financed deal is defined as a loan made to an acquiring firm between 1 year prior to the announcement
date of the merger to the completion date of the merger. See Appendix A for a detailed definition of all variables.
Significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level is indicated by *, **, and ***, respectively.
Panel A: Acquirer characteristics
Mean Median Standard
Deviation
Number of
observations
Total assets
($ million) 6812 698.49 21486 2783
Tangibility 0.25 0.18 0.22 2779
Profitability 0.13 0.14 0.12 2783
Current ratio 2.75 1.99 2.62 2683
Asset maturity 7.51 5.53 7.05 2663
Book to market 0.48 0.39 0.36 2779
Leverage 0.4 0.41 0.19 2783
Free Cash Flow 0.04 0.06 0.12 2733
GIM index 9.14 9.00 2.62 1450
No. of directors 9.19 9.00 2.75 1044
Managerial
Ownership 0 0.000006 0 1507
Independent board 0.79 0.00 0.4 1039
Z score (modified) 6.27 4.02 8.32 2774
26
Table 1: Summary statistics of mergers (continued)
Panel C: Target type
Bank-
financed Joint Venture Private Public Subsidiary Deal size Total
0 24 909 1,152 270 0.358 2,355
1 2 191 306 64 0.458 563
Total 26 1,100 1,458 334 2,918
Panel D: Diversifying deal
Diversifying Deal
Bank-financed 0 1 Total
0 1383 972 2355
1 334 229 563
Total 1717 1201 2918
Panel B:Differnce of acquirer characteristics
Bank financed mergers
Mergers not financed
by banks
mean median mean median
Difference of
Means
Difference of
Medians (chi2)
Total asset 6950 628 624 1042 705.90 16.60***
Tangibility 0.24 0.17 0.28 0.18 -0.034** 1.34
Profitability 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.16 -0.036*** 28.29***
Current ratio 2.90 2.04 2.14 1.75 0.75*** 18.73***
Asset maturity 7.51 5.48 7.52 5.68 -0.01 1.07
Book to
market 0.48 0.40 0.46 0.37 0.03 7.38***
Leverage 0.40 0.40 0.43 0.43 -0.034*** 5.99**
Free Cash
Flow 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.07 -0.025*** 16.86***
GIM index 9.17 9.00 9.04 9.00 0.12 0.9
No. of
directors 9.22 9.00 9.07 9.00 0.15 0.27
Managerial
Ownership 3.45e-5 5.72e-6 3.21e-5 5.05e-6 2.4e-6 0.18
Independent
board 0.265 0.000 0.357 0.000 -0.092*** 18.79***
Z score
(modified) 6.520 3.968 5.232 4.108 1.29** 1.85
27
Table 2: Summary statistics of loan facilities This table presents summary statistics of loan facilities in the loan sample. An M&A loan is defined as a loan
that is taken by an acquiring firm between 1 year prior to the announcement date to the completion date of the
merger. A Bank financed merger is a merger paid for partly or completely by cash, and the acquiring firm took a
loan from the LPC database that was in a time window from 1 year prior to the announcement date of the
merger to the completion date of the merger. CAR(-1,1) is the abnormal return computed between -1 to +1 days
relative to the merger for the acquiring firm. Standard errors in parentheses. See Appendix A for detailed
definitions of variables. *, ** and *** represent significance at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively.
Panel A
M&A
loan Frequency Percent
0 32,350 95.41
1 1,556 4.59
Total 33,906 100
Panel B: Loan characteristics.
Overall sample Non M&A
loan M&A loan
Test for
difference
of Means
Loan Spread 192.2 194.4 163.4 31.07***
Collateral 0.249 0.242 0.389 -0.147***
Maturity in months 47.24 47.29 46.24 1.055
Number of Financial
Covenants 0.185 0.173 0.416 -0.243***
Number of General
Covenants 1.059 0.978 2.743 -1.765***
Total number of
covenants 1.244 1.152 3.159 -2.008***
Panel C: Announcement return for acquiring firms
Number of observations CAR (-1,+1)
Not bank financed merger 2355 0.9%
(0.1%)
Bank financed merger 563 0.8%
(0.3%)
Total 2918 0.9%
(0.1%)
Difference of means 0.1%
(0.4%)
28
Table 3 Effect of bank-financing on Acquiring firm return The dependent variable in all specifications is the abnormal return of the acquiring firm in a time
window from -1 to +1 day relative to the announcement date of the merger. A Bank financed merger is
a merger paid for partly or completely by cash, and the acquiring firm took a loan from the LPC
database that was in a time window from 1 year prior to the announcement date of the merger to the
completion date of the merger. A detailed definition of all variables is reported in Appendix A. All
models have year and industry fixed effects that are not reported in the table. Standard errors are
reported in parentheses. Significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level is indicated by *, **, and ***,
respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Bank financed 0.0027 -0.00034 0.00037 -0.0048
(0.0039) (0.0042) (0.0047) (0.0056)
Deal size 0.0042* 0.0023 -0.020*** -0.0061
(0.0023) (0.0030) (0.0060) (0.0096)
Target is Private 0.018*** 0.022*** 0.014*** 0.0053
(0.0039) (0.0045) (0.0051) (0.0062)
Target is a Subsidiary 0.023*** 0.024*** 0.015** 0.0034
(0.0052) (0.0060) (0.0071) (0.0081)
Tender Offer 0.0070 0.0084* 0.0043 -0.0023
(0.0043) (0.0046) (0.0049) (0.0057)
Diversifying merger 0.0015 0.00013 -0.0024 -0.00014
(0.0032) (0.0036) (0.0041) (0.0048)
Log (Market Capitalization) -0.0036*** -0.0034*** -0.0034** -0.0025
(0.00097) (0.0012) (0.0015) (0.0018)
Tobin’s q -0.000071 -0.00027 0.00054 0.00020
(0.0011) (0.0015) (0.0018) (0.0020)
Leverage 0.0019 0.0022 0.011 0.017
(0.0086) (0.011) (0.013) (0.016)
Free Cash Flow -0.011 0.016 0.051* 0.073**
(0.013) (0.023) (0.028) (0.036)
Earnings residual -0.11* -0.034 0.012
(0.057) (0.071) (0.088)
Independent Board -0.0015 0.0034
(0.0048) (0.0058)
GIM index -0.00077 -0.00069
(0.00079) (0.00096)
Managerial ownership 20.4 -27.7
(21.0) (40.3)
Constant 0.091*** 0.073*** 0.076** 0.040
(0.023) (0.026) (0.036) (0.042)
Number of observations 2709 1652 1052 674
adj. R-sq 0.047 0.064 0.035 0.011
29
Table 4: Subsample analysis of acquiring firm abnormal return
The dependent variable in all specifications is the abnormal return of the acquiring firm in a time
window from -1 to +1 day relative to the announcement date of the merger. A Bank financed merger is
a merger paid for partly or completely by cash, and the acquiring firm took a loan from the LPC
database that was in a time window from 1 year prior to the announcement date of the merger to the
completion date of the merger. A detailed definition of all variables is reported in Appendix A. All
models have year and industry fixed effects that are not reported in the table. Standard errors are
reported in parentheses. Other control variables in Table 3 are also used in the empirical estimation but
not reported to conserve space. Significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level is indicated by *, **, and
***, respectively.
Panel A: Effect of bank reputation and bank relationship
(1) (2) (3)
Bank financed 0.0030 -0.00077 -0.0089
(0.0092) (0.0048) (0.0097)
Bank Financed * Reputable bank
dummy -0.0033
(0.0100)
Bank Financed * Relationship
Bank Dummy 0.012
(0.014)
Bank financed * Earnings
Residual 0.14
(0.13)
N 1052 1052 1052
adj. R-sq 0.035 0.035 0.036
30
Table 4 (continued)
Panel B: Subsample analysis of CAR
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
Bank-financed 0.0036 -0.0011 0.0011 -0.0019 -0.00059 -0.0025 0.00043 0.0036
(0.0055) (0.0065) (0.0049) (0.0059) (0.0055) (0.0068) (0.0049) (0.0051)
No rating 0.0013 -0.0016
(0.0052) (0.0046)
Bank financed * No rating 0.0094 0.005
(0.0083) (0.0076)
Not investment grade -0.0034 -0.011**
(0.0055) (0.0051)
Bank financed * Not Investment Grade 0.0012 0.0064
(0.0084) (0.0082)
Small Firm 0.012** 0.0019
(0.01) (0.01)
Bank financed * Small firm -0.0057 0.0044
(0.01) (0.01)
Dividend payer 0.0041 0.0091**
0 0
Bank financed * Dividend payer 0.0026 -0.0048
(0.01) (0.01)
N 1652 1652 1652 1652 2575 2575 2575 2575
adj. R-sq 0.065 0.063 0.066 0.064 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.055
31
Table 5: Differences of M&A loans from other loans in contract terms The dependent variable in each regression is reported at the top of the column. A detailed definition of all variables is reported in Appendix A. All models have
year, industry, loan type and loan purpose fixed effects that are not reported in the table. Standard errors are reported in parentheses.. Significance at the 10%, 5%,
and 1% level is indicated by *, **, and ***, respectively.
Loan Spread
(1)
Collateral
(2)
Log (maturity)
(3)
Financial Covenants
(4)
General Covenants
(5)
All covenants
(6)
M&A loan 0.0036 0.69*** -0.037* 0.071 0.11*** 0.11***
(0.019) (0.11) (0.021) (0.070) (0.027) (0.025)
Collateral 0.25*** 0.039** 0.93*** 1.03*** 1.02***
(0.017) (0.017) (0.055) (0.025) (0.023)
Log(asset) -0.12*** -0.67*** 0.017 -0.11*** -0.023* -0.031**
(0.014) (0.043) (0.015) (0.026) (0.013) (0.013)
Book to Market 0.17*** 0.67*** -0.026 -0.15*** 0.042* 0.0071
(0.017) (0.080) (0.018) (0.046) (0.022) (0.020)
Leverage 0.68*** 2.14*** -0.045 0.36** 0.16** 0.16**
(0.060) (0.24) (0.063) (0.15) (0.071) (0.067)
Profitability -0.799 -1.02 0.23 0.365 0.194 0.168
(0.103)*** (0.356)*** (0.101)*** (0.234) (0.124) (0.115)
Log(maturity) -0.060*** 0.19*** -0.015 -0.0093 -0.014
(0.012) (0.067) (0.043) (0.019) (0.018)
Log(loan size) -0.060*** -0.060 0.040*** 0.00070 0.085*** 0.064***
(0.0070) (0.039) (0.0071) (0.025) (0.011) (0.010)
Performance pricing -0.059*** 2.34*** 0.087*** 0.95*** 1.14*** 1.10***
(0.015) (0.100) (0.016) (0.053) (0.023) (0.022)
Relationship Dummy -0.015 0.32*** -0.031** 0.18*** 0.11*** 0.10***
(0.013) (0.082) (0.014) (0.048) (0.020) (0.018)
Credit spread 0.17*** 0.14 -0.054 0.076 0.057 0.098**
(0.041) (0.22) (0.041) (0.095) (0.057) (0.050)
Term spread 0.037 0.22 -0.030 -0.16 0.00090 -0.0011
(0.023) (0.14) (0.024) (0.13) (0.034) (0.033)
Constant 6.16*** -0.79 3.98*** -0.37 -0.75*** -0.32
(0.19) (0.89) (0.30) (0.42) (0.24) (0.21)
adj. R-sq 0.57 0.246
32
Table 6: Loan contract analysis - subsample The dependent variable in each regression is panel at the top of the column. A detailed definition of all
variables is reported in Appendix A. All models have year, industry, loan type and loan purpose fixed
effects that are not reported in the table. In addition, all control variables for firm and loan characteristics in
Table 5 are used in the estimation but not reported to conserve space. A detailed definition of all variables
is reported in Appendix A. Standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance at the 10%, 5%, and
1% level is indicated by *, **, and ***, respectively.
Panel A: Loan Spread
M&A loan 0.76 1.34 -0.081
(4.40) (4.21) (4.41)
No rating -1.53
(4.71)
M&A loan* no rating -2.77
(6.47)
Small firm 5.48
(5.29)
M&A loan*small firm -4.56
(6.66)
Dividend payer -3.55
(4.89)
M&A loan* dividend payer -0.87
(6.55)
Panel B: Collateral
M&A loan 0.82*** 0.63*** 0.66***
(0.17) (0.16) (0.13)
No rating -0.28**
(0.13)
M&A loan* no rating -0.24
(0.22)
Small firm 0.43***
(0.14)
M&A loan* small firm 0.14
(0.22)
Dividend payer -0.81***
(0.11)
M&A loan* dividend payer -0.0046
(0.24)
33
Table 6: Loan contract analysis – subsample (continued)
Panel C: All covenants
M&A loan 0.13*** 0.086** 0.14***
(0.04) (0.03) (0.03)
No rating -0.021
(0.03)
M&A loan* no rating -0.05
(0.05)
Small firm 0.0058
(0.04)
M&A loan*small firm 0.051
(0.05)
Dividend payer -0.00097
(0.03)
M&A loan* Dividend Payer -0.085
(0.05)
34
Table 7: Controlling endogeneity of bank financing Bank Available is defined as 1 if the firm has any loan outstand in the year (-4,-1) to the announcement. Relationship is defined as 1 if the deal gets funding at
least partially from relationship bank. Credit bubble is defined as 1 if the loan is issued between years 2005 and 2007. A detailed definition of all variables is
reported in Appendix A. Standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level is indicated by *, **, and ***, respectively.
Panel A: IV regression
First Stage
Bank financed
Second Stage
CAR
First Stage Bank
financed
Second stage
CAR
First Stage
Bank Financed
Second stage
CAR
Bank Available 0.51***
(0.023)
Relationship Bank 0.53***
(0.022)
Credit Bubble 0.14***
(0.023)
Bank financed 0.0016 0.0070 -0.0037
(0.0088) (0.0082) (0.028)
Deal size 0.044*** 0.0022 0.040*** 0.0020 0.052*** 0.0026
(0.016) (0.0030) (0.015) (0.0030) (0.018) (0.0034)
Target is private -0.019 0.022*** -0.013 0.022*** -0.0036 0.022***
(0.023) (0.0045) (0.023) (0.0045) (0.027) (0.0044)
Target is a subsidiary 0.014 0.024*** 0.022 0.024*** 0.057 0.024***
(0.031) (0.0060) (0.031) (0.0060) (0.036) (0.0062)
Tender offer 0.038 0.0082* 0.034 0.0079* 0.042 0.010**
(0.024) (0.0046) (0.024) (0.0046) (0.027) (0.0045)
Diversifying Merger 0.0056 0.00011 -0.0011 0.000068 0.0055 0.00023
(0.019) (0.0036) (0.018) (0.0036) (0.022) (0.0036)
Log (market capitalization) 0.0025 -0.0034*** 0.0037 -0.0034*** 0.0094 -0.0034***
(0.0060) (0.0012) (0.0059) (0.0012) (0.0067) (0.0012)
Tobin’s q 0.000027 -0.00026 -0.0000047 -0.00025 -0.0036 -0.00022
(0.0078) (0.0015) (0.0076) (0.0015) (0.0087) (0.0015)
Leverage 0.010 0.0021 -0.037 0.0016 0.067 0.0015
(0.055) (0.011) (0.054) (0.011) (0.062) (0.011)
35
Table 7 (continued)
First Stage
Bank financed
Second Stage
CAR
First Stage Bank
financed
Second stage
CAR
First Stage
Bank Financed
Second stage
CAR
Free Cash Flow 0.35*** 0.015 0.33*** 0.013 0.47*** 0.018
(0.12) (0.023) (0.12) (0.023) (0.13) (0.026)
Earnings Residual 0.074 -0.11* 0.077 -0.11* 0.0052 -0.12**
(0.30) (0.057) (0.29) (0.057) (0.32) (0.054)
First stage residual -0.0025 -0.010 0.0032
(0.010) (0.0096) (0.028)
Constant -0.19 0.073*** -0.22 0.073*** -0.082 0.074***
(0.14) (0.026) (0.13) (0.026) (0.15) (0.024)
N 1652 1652 1652 1652 1652 1652
adj. R-sq 0.305 0.064 0.333 0.064 0.083 0.066
F-value in first stage 479.985 565.912 36.7211
P-value for the IV test 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
36
Panel B: Heckman treatment-effect model
Bank financed CAR Bank financed CAR Bank financed CAR
Bank financed 0.003 0.001 0.006
(0.07) (0.008) (0.007)
Bank Available 0.453
(0.076)***
Relationship Bank 1.554
(0.087)***
Credit Bubble 1.626
(0.085)***
Deal size 0.002 0.002 0.002
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
Target is private 0.021 0.021 0.021
(0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.004)***
Target is a subsidiary 0.024 0.024 0.023
(0.005)*** (0.005)*** (0.005)***
Tender offer 0.008 0.008 0.008
(0.004)* (0.004)* (0.004)*
Diversifying Merger 0.000 0.000 0.000
-0.003 (0.003) (0.003)
Log (market
capitalization) 0.019 -0.003 0.009 -0.003 0.007 -0.003
(0.020) (0.001)*** (0.022) (0.001)*** (0.022) (0.001)***
Tobin’s q -0.043 -0.000 -0.005 -0.000 0.000 -0.000
(0.032) (0.001)*** (0.034) (0.001) (0.034) (0.001)
Leverage 0.592 0.001 0.384 0.001 0.193 0.000
(0.209)*** (0.015) (0.228)* (0.010) (0.234) (0.010)
Free Cash Flow 1.566 0.015 1.389 0.015 1.484 0.013
(0.512)*** (0.034) (0.546)** (0.022) (0.560)*** (0.022)
37
Panel B (continued)
Earnings Residual -0.595 -0.108 0.822 -0.108 0.956 -0.107
(1.080) (0.056)* (1.144) (0.055)* (1.161) (0.055)*
Constant -1.434 0.072 -1.630 0.072 -1.623 0.071
(0.321)*** (0.025)*** (0.351)*** (0.025)*** (0.358)*** (0.025)***
Lambda -0.001 -0.000 -0.004
(0.040) (0.005) (0.004)
Panel C: Propensity score matching method
Here we estimates the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) using nearest neighbor matching; The nearest neighbors are not determined by comparing
treated observations to every single control, but by first sorting all records by the estimated propensity score and then searching forward and backward for the
closest control unit(s); if for a treated unit forward and backward matches happen to be equally good, this program randomly draws (hence the letters "nd" for
Nearest neighbor and random Draw) either the forward or backward matches; The ATT is computed by averaging over the unit-level treatment effects of the
treated where the control(s) matched to a treated observation is/are those observations in the control group that have the closest propensity score; if there are
multiple nearest neighbors, the average outcome of those controls is used.
Treatment (bank financed = 1) Control Average Treatment effect Std. Err. T - statistic
354 291 -0.004 0.006 -0.773
38
Table 8: Likelihood of Deal completion
The dependent variable (completion dummy) is a dummy variable that takes a value of 1 if the merger is
successfully completed and 0 otherwise. . A Bank financed merger is a merger paid for partly or completely
by cash, and the acquiring firm took a loan from the LPC database that was in a time window from 1 year
prior to the announcement date of the merger to the completion date of the merger. A detailed definition of
all variables is reported in Appendix A. All models have year and industry fixed effects that are not
reported in the table. Standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1%
level is indicated by *, **, and ***, respectively.
Completion
Dummy
Completion
Dummy
Completion
Dummy
Bank financed 0.22* 0.22* 0.56***
(0.11) (0.11) (0.19)
Value losing -0.15* -0.066
(0.083) (0.090)
Bank financed* value losing -0.56**
(0.24)
Deal size -0.14*** -0.14*** -0.13**
(0.051) (0.051) (0.051)
Target is private 1.16*** 1.14*** 1.16***
(0.12) (0.12) (0.13)
Target is a subsidiary 0.88*** 0.87*** 0.88***
(0.16) (0.16) (0.16)
Log (market capitalization) 0.090*** 0.095*** 0.099***
(0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
Tobin’s q -0.0092 -0.010 -0.012
(0.032) (0.032) (0.032)
Leverage 0.13 0.13 0.13
(0.24) (0.24) (0.24)
Free Cash flow 0.34 0.30 0.28
(0.37) (0.37) (0.37)
Tender offer 0.18* 0.18* 0.19*
(0.10) (0.10) (0.10)
Constant -0.56 -0.57 -0.63
(0.55) (0.55) (0.55)
N 2579 2579 2579
39
Appendix A: Variable definition
Variable Names Variable Definitions and Corresponding Compustat Data Items
Firm Characteristics
Leverage (Long Term Debt + Debt in Current Liabilities)/Total
Assets=(data9+data34)/data6
Log(Assets) Natural log of Total Assets=log(data6)
Tangibility Net Property, Plant and Equipment/Total assets=data8/data6
Profitability EBITDA/Total Assets=data13/data6
Market to Book (Market value of equity plus the book value of debt)/Total
Assets=( data25*data199+data6-data60)/data6
Z-score Modified Altman’s (1968) Z-score=(1.2working capital+1.4retained
earnings+3.3EBIT+0.999Sales)/Total
Assets=(1.2data179+1.4data36+3.3data170+0.999data12)/data6
Asset Maturity Asset maturity is the book value-weighted maturity of long-term assets
and current assets, where the maturity of long-term assets is computed as
gross property, plant, and equipment divided by depreciation expense, and
the maturity of current assets is computed as current assets divided by the
cost of goods sold (see Barclay and Smith (1995) and Billet, King, and
Mauer (2007)). In other words, asset maturity = [PPE
/(CA+PPE)]×[PPE/Depreciation] + [CA/(CA+PPE)]×[CA/COGS] =
[data7/(data4+data7)]×[data7/data14] +
[data4/(data4+data7)]×[data4/data41], where PPE=gross property, plant,
and equipment, CA=current assets, and COGS=cost of goods sold
Small firm Dummy variable equal to one if the acquirer has a deflation total asset
equal to or less than that of the median of all firms in the sample.
Earnings Residual
The standard deviation of all three-day cumulative abnormal returns
around earnings announcements from I/B/E/S using the market model
over the 5-year period preceding the acquisition announcement.
Idiosyncratic Volatility
the standard deviation of the market-adjusted residuals of the daily stock
returns measured during the period starting from 205 to six days prior to
the acquisition announcement.
Free cash flow
Operating income before depreciation (item13) – interest expenses
(item15) – income taxes (item16) – capital expenditures (item128), scaled
by book value of total assets (item6).
Market capitalization Number of shares outstanding multiplied by the stock price at the 11th
trading day prior to announcement date.
Managerial equity ownership Bidder managers' percentage ownership of the firm, including both stock
and stock options.
Board size Number of directors on bidder’s board.
Independent board Dummy variable: 1 if over 50% of bidder directors are independent, 0
otherwise.
GIM index Taken from GIM (2003), based on 24 antitakeover provisions. Higher
index levels correspond to more managerial power.
40
Deal Characteristics
Bank financed Dummy variable: 1 for there is at least one loan issued during (-12 month,
deal completion) M&A event window.
Public target Dummy variable: 1 for public targets, 0 otherwise.
Target is private Dummy variable: 1 for private targets, 0 otherwise.
Target is a subsidiary Dummy variable: 1 for subsidiary targets, 0 otherwise.
All-cash deal Dummy variable: 1 for purely cash-financed deals, 0 otherwise.
Diversifying merger Dummy variable: 1 if bidder and target do not share a Fama–French
industry, 0 otherwise.
Relative deal size Deal value (from SDC) over bidder market value of equity defined above.
CAR(–1,+1) Denotes the three-day cumulative abnormal return (in percent) measured
using market model residuals.
Loan Characteristics
M&A loan Dummy variable: 1 for the loan is issued during (-12 month, deal
completion) M&A event window.
Loan Spread Loan spread is measured as all-in spread drawn in the Dealscan database.
All-in spread drawn is defined as the amount the borrower pays in basis
points over LIBOR or LIBOR equivalent for each dollar drawn down.
(For loans not based on LIBOR, LPC converts the spread into LIBOR
terms by adding or subtracting a differential which is adjusted
periodically.) This measure adds the borrowing spread of the loan over
LIBOR with any annual fee paid to the bank group.
Log(Maturity) Natural log of the loan maturity. Maturity is measured in months.
Log(Loan Size) Natural log of the loan facility amount. Loan amount is measured in
millions of dollars.
Collateral dummy A dummy variable that equals one if the loan facility is secured by
collateral and zero otherwise.
Covenant Number of Covenants is the total number of covenants included in the
debt agreement. Number of General (Financial) Covenants is the total
number of general (financial) covenants in the debt agreement
Log (Maturity) Natural logarithm of debt maturity measured in months.
Performance Pricing dummy A dummy variable that equals one if the loan facility uses performance
pricing.
Number of Lenders Total number of lenders in a single loan.
Loan Type Dummies Dummy variable for loan types, including term loan, revolver greater than
one year, revolver less than one year, and 364 day facility.
Loan Purpose Dummies Dummy Variable for loan purposes, including corporate purposes, debt
repayment, working capital, etc.
Macroeconomic Factors
Credit Spread The difference between BAA corporate bond yield and AAA corporate
bond yield. (Data source: Federal Reserve Board of Governors.)
Term Spread The difference between the 10 year treasury yield and the 2 year treasury
yield. (Data source: Federal Reserve Board of Governors.)