COWEN TECHNOLOGY CONFERENCEs22.q4cdn.com/718573125/files/doc_presentations/Investor...MSAN 1st VDSL...
Transcript of COWEN TECHNOLOGY CONFERENCEs22.q4cdn.com/718573125/files/doc_presentations/Investor...MSAN 1st VDSL...
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COWEN TECHNOLOGY CONFERENCE Roger Shannon
Senior Vice President and CFO
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Safe Harbor Statement During the course of this meeting, ADTRAN representatives expect to make forward-looking statements, which reflect management’s best judgment, based on factors currently known. However, these statements involve risks and uncertainties, including the successful development and market acceptance of core products, the degree of competition in the market for such products, the product and channel mix, component cost, manufacturing efficiencies, foreign exchange rate variations and other risks detailed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, which may be made during this meeting.
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© 2015 ADTRAN, Inc. All rights reserved.
COMPANY HISTORY
FOR THE PAST THREE DECADES, ADTRAN HAS BEEN ENABLING A FULLY CONNECTED WORLD.
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
INNOVATION TIMELINE
DIVESTITURE ERA
INTERNET ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
GIGABIT ERA
SDN ERA
Created T1 Access Market
Broke $1000 Economic Barrier with HDSL, 95%
market share
Disrupted Western Electric Monopoly Redefined Economics for D4 channel cards
Drove Innovation in DSL and Converged Services
Repeater-less break-thru
Total Reach ISDN
Redefined economics for SONET Fiber Access (OPTI-3, OPTI-6100)
1st Converged Voice & Data
Business Gateways
1st All Ethernet MSAN
1st VDSL Deployment Based on IP DSLAM
1st demo of VDSL2 825Mbps
w/ phantom, bonding, vectoring
Global Leader in OSP
broadband solutions
Market Leader in DSL and
Converged Services
200 Gig Communities by YE2015
Frequency Division
Vectoring (FDV)
1st Edged Optimized Packet-Optical
Networking Platform
Market Leadership
In G.fast innovation
Breakthrough In 10G PON (XGS)
Economics
1st Deployment of System Level Vectoring (SLV) (US)
1st converged,
Multi-service Gigabit
enterprise and MTU gateways
1st Cloud-based WLAN
ProCloud Wi-Fi services
Leading SDN/NFV Access in
Broadband Forum
CPE Automation for Service Activation
1st Open Platform for G.fast DPU
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
INTERNET ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
GIGABIT ERA
SDN ERA
DIVESTITURE ERA
Created T1 Access Market
Broke $1000 Economic Barrier with HDSL, 95% market share
Disrupted Western Electric Monopoly Redefined Economics for D4 channel cards
INNOVATION TIMELINE
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
DIVESTITURE ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
GIGABIT ERA
SDN ERA
INTERNET ERA
Drove Innovation in DSL and Converged Services
Redefined economics for SONET Fiber Access (OPTI-3, OPTI-6100)
Repeaterless breakthru Total Reach ISDN
1st Converged Voice & Data Business Gateways
INNOVATION TIMELINE
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
DIVESTITURE ERA
INTERNET ERA
GIGABIT ERA
SDN ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
1st All Ethernet MSAN
1st VDSL Deployment Based on IP DSLAM
Global Leader in OSP broadband solutions
1st demo of VDSL2 825Mbps
w/ phantom, bonding, vectoring
Market Leader in DSL and Converged
Services
INNOVATION TIMELINE
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
DIVESTITURE ERA
INTERNET ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
SDN ERA
GIGABIT ERA
250 Gig Communities by YE2015
Frequency Division
Vectoring (FDV)
1st Edged Optimized Packet-Optical Networking Platform
Market Leadership In G.fast
innovation
Breakthrough In 10G PON (XGS)
Economics
1st Deployment of System Level
Vectoring (SLV) (US)
1st converged, Multi-service
Gigabit enterprise and MTU gateways
INNOVATION TIMELINE Breakthrough In Tunable Optics
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
DIVESTITURE ERA
INTERNET ERA
IP TRANSITION ERA
GIGABIT ERA
SDN ERA
1st Cloud-based WLAN
ProCloud Wi-Fi
services
Leading SDN/NFV Access in Broadband Forum
CPE Automation
for Service Activation
1st Open Platform for G.fast DPU
INNOVATION TIMELINE
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
TOP 3 GLOBAL SUPPLIER
BROADBAND ACCESS
68 COUNTRIES Approx 30% OF SALES INTERNATIONAL in
FY2015
2000 EMPLOYEES Huntsville HQ, Munich, Berlin, Greifswald, Sydney, Melbourne,
London, Hyderabad
$600M 2015 REVENUE
250 GIGABIT COMMUNITIES ENABLED BY YE2015
AND GROWING
SDN/NFV NETWORK AUTOMATION
USER-ENABLED SERVICES
R&D – 21% OF REVENUE
60% MORE PATENTS PER $ THAN
INDUSTRY AVERAGE
$272M UNRESTRICTED CASH
AND MARKETABLE SECURITIES
INDUSTY’S 1ST CLOUD WI-FI
SOLUTION
#1 IP BUSINESS GATEWAYS
NORTH AMERICA
TOP 2 BRANCH OFFICE
ROUTERS NORTH AMERICA
#1 SIP TRUNKING & VOIP
ACCESS NORTH AMERICA
AT A GLANCE
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© 2015 ADTRAN, Inc. All rights reserved. © 2015 ADTRAN, Inc. All rights reserved.
FROM THE WORLDS LARGEST SERVICE PROVIDERS TO THE SMALL BUSINESS DOWN THE STREET.
WHO WE SERVE
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
All names and logos on this slide are properties of the respective owners
Enterprise Distribution
BROAD CUSTOMER BASE Communications Service Providers
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
NEED FOR SPEED
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
SOFTWARE DEFINED
NETWORK TRENDS DRIVING GROWTH
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
NEED FOR SPEED
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
SOFTWARE DEFINED
NETWORK TRENDS DRIVING GROWTH
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
BROADBAND USE ACCELERATING
37% of d/s traffic (up 2 pts in 6 months)
Social Media reaches 30% of world’s online population (2.2 billion active users)
iPhone was first released on
June 29, 2007
Global Active Internet Users now totals 3.175 Billion
(Half of the world’s population)
Demand Drivers
iPad was first released on April 3, 2010
Facebook, Snapchat & Instagram account for 25%
internet traffic
85Mbps required for quality 8K experience
30%-35% increase in Netflix traffic on
Sunday nights
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
TRANSFORMATIVE EFFECTS OF GIGABIT
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
BROADBAND INVESTMENT CYCLE • Traditional operators are facing increasing pressure…
• Drivers: Pace of change, OTT threats, constant increase in demand for bandwidth • Needs: Service agility, more revenue, less (fixed) expense, new business models
• Forcing them to… • Streamline their OSS/IT and deployment processes • Scrutinize their network assets • Out-source wherever possible • Seek breakthrough technologies
• Resulting in increased investments • Government subsidies and commitments • Fixed broadband cited as a strategic priority
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
ACCELERATING PACE OF FTTH & �1 GIG ANNOUNCEMENTS �(2010–2015)
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
NEED FOR SPEED
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
SOFTWARE DEFINED
NETWORK TRENDS DRIVING GROWTH
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Shift to Data Center Architectures
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Future Network State
§ Fiber connectivity everywhere
§ Multi-service points
§ Open and Cloud controlled
§ Virtualized network functions
§ Highly automated, programmable
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Applying Data Center Architectures to Access § Utilize SDN to create
highly automated and programmable networks
§ Apply NFV to create agile, software-centric networks
§ Disaggregate monolithic, proprietary systems
§ Implemement open networking architectures
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc. 23
Open, Programmable, Scalable Networks § Assuring Consumer Quality of
Experience
§ Enabling the Rapid Creation of Differentiated Services
§ Eliminating the High Cost of Network Overhead
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Enabling the Self-Directed Consumer § Moving at the speed of Service
Provider Dev-Ops Teams § Micro Software Release Schedules § Balancing Service Velocity with
Network Growth Rate
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
ADTRAN IS A SOFTWARE COMPANY § 82% of R&D are working software-based designs
§ Agile Development Process § Pilots in 2011 § Implemented companywide in January 2012
§ India – IT Epicenter § ADTRAN started with contractors in 2009 § ADTRAN India opened in 2013
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Innovation & Leadership
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Broadband Access Leadership § Market leader in 10 Gigabit optical
access innovation § XGS PON – commercial deployments § NGPON2 – industry breakthrough in
tunable optics § Europe’s (and World’s) largest
deployment of Vectoring and SuperVectoring
§ Over 300 Gigabit Communities § Leader in CAF2 solutions
SDN Access Leadership § 1st CORD demonstration in a Tier 1
customer lab § 1st system level vOLT demonstration
in a Tier 1 customer lab § Over 60 G.fast trials announced on
6 continents § Industry’s only working SDN Access
solution in NIA interoperability test
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc. 27
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Nokia Huawei ZTE Calix ADTRAN
2015CYMarketShare(revenue)
DSLAgg FixedBB
* Fixed Broadband includes GPON, Ethernet FTTH & DSL Aggregation ** All markets (EMEA, North America and CALA regions, excluding APAC)
Source: IHS
#4
#2
BROADBAND MARKET LEADERSHIP
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Product Portfolio Strategy
Fiber Access & Aggregation First vOLT with open/DC arch 10G optics innovation
Integrated optical transport
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FTTN & DPUs Super-vectoring G.Fast portfolio breadth
SDN control, multi-PHY arch
Residential & Business CPE Universal ONTs & vRG options Leading VNFs & SD-WAN
Modern API’s for SDN control
WiFi APs & Infrastructure Lead with Wave 2 APs WLAN continuous improvement
10G aggregation switch
Value-added software & services across all product segments
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
NEED FOR SPEED
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
SOFTWARE DEFINED
NETWORK TRENDS DRIVING GROWTH
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Connecting Rural America § 34M Americans do not have access
to fixed broadband (25/3 Mbps) § 19.9M don’t have 10/1 Mbps § 16.1M don’t have 4/1 Mbps
§ ADTRAN is the top turnkey access supplier for CAF projects § Sole or primary supplier for the
majority of Price Cap Carriers with CAF projects
§ Complete turnkey services and solutions designed for Rate-of-Return Carrier CAF projects
Source: FCC
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
$9B - 3.6M homes - 6 Years
$3B
$2.6B
$1B
$224M
$2B
CAF2 Construction Schedule • Funds accepted 8/27/15, retroactive to 1/1/15 • 40% complete by 2017 • 60% complete by 2018 • 80% complete by 2019 • 100% complete by 2020
Other Price Cap Carriers (annual funding) • Consolidated - $13,9M (24,698) • Hawaiian Tel - $4.4M (11,181 homes) • Micronesian Tel - $2.6M (11,143 homes) • Cincinnati Bell - $2.2M (7084 homes)
CONNECT AMERICA FUND – PRICE CAP
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
CONNECT AMERICA FUND – RATE-OF-RETURN
$2B per year for 10 years • Two Path Approach • Existing Mechanisms
- Legacy Investments – 11.25% Return (capped at defined date) - New Investments – 9.75% Return
• Model Based Alternative - Similar to Price Cap CAF2 model - 10 year support cycle
• Elections – RoR or Model
$20B over 10 years CONNECT AMERICA FUND – RATE-OF-RETURN
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Digital Agenda for Europe § Pillar IV: Fast and ultra-fast Internet access § By 2013: basic broadband (2 Mbps) to all ü (claimed) § By 2020:
• All Europeans (100%) have access to > 30 Mbps (Next Generation Access) • 50% or more European have access to > 100 Mbps (ultra-fast)
Target 2: 50% subs with 100 Mbps Target 1: 100% with 30 Mpbs
Source: HIS and VVA in EC connectivity report 2015
60 Bn€ to achieve
100% 270 Bn€
to achieve 50%
EUROPEAN BROADBAND INITIATIVES
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc. 34
Company Financial Performance
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Financial Stability § Over 25 Years of
Continuous Profitability § Ongoing Strong Balance
Sheet and Cash Flow § Publicly Traded for 21 Years
with Full Transparency (NASDAQ-ADTN)
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Q1 – 2016 Results ADTRAN Chief Executive Officer Tom Stanton stated, “ADTRAN delivered a solid performance this quarter resulting in earnings coming in ahead of initial expectations.” § Domestic revenue was up over 39% YoY § Operating income was up 181% YoY
“Longer term, we expect further improvement in the carrier environment as customers accelerate investments in upgrading their network infrastructure to meet customer demand.”
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
1st Quarter 2016
Corporate Financial Performance
(US$M) 1Q16 Y/Y Q/Q
Revenue $ 142.20 0% 2%
Gross Profit $ 65.79 0% 5%
OpEx $ 136.68 -3% 0%
Op. Income $ 5.52 181% 97%
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
Changes to Financial Reporting Operating Segments: § Network Solutions § Services & Support Revenue Categories: § Access & Aggregation § Customer Devices § Traditional & Other Products
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Network Solutions
Services & Support
Acc
ess
& A
ggre
gatio
n
Cus
tom
er D
evic
es
The two Segments have the three Categories within.
Categories
Segm
ents
Trad
ition
al &
Oth
er
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
1st Quarter 2016 § Total Sales were $142.2M
§ 1Q16 Network Solutions = $123.9M § Up $8.2M from 4Q15
§ 1Q16 Services & Support = $18.3M § Down $5M from 4Q15
§ 1Q16 Access & Aggregation = $93.9M § Down $3.8M from 4Q15
§ 1Q16 Customer Devices = $32.4M § Up $3.4M from 4Q15
§ 1Q16 Traditional/Other = $16M § Up $1.9M from 4Q15
§ GM = 46.3% [vs 44.9% in 4Q15] § OpEx = $60.3M [Down $3.3M y/y]
REVENUE ANALYSIS
Segments
Revenue Categories
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
2nd Quarter 2016 Guidance
Corporate Financial Performance
• REVENUE: up on a percentage basis in the low-to-mid teens
• GROSS MARGIN: flattish with our Quarter 1 results (46.3%)
• OpEx: consistent with Q1 adjusted for sales commissions based on increases in revenue
• TAX RATE: mid to high 30% range
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Summary • Strong history and well positioned
• Leader in SDN Accessü Open, scalable and standards-based
• Ramping broadband investment cycleü Emerging technologies in fiber & copper
ü Imperative for service agility & automation
ü Global operator proof points
• Leader in fixed broadband access
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2015 © ADTRAN, Inc.
ADTRAN IS BRINGING THE WORLD TOGETHER
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Thank you
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