COVID-19 Data Summary DAILY LOS ANGELES · 2020. 12. 25. · COVID-19 Data Summary Prepared by City...
Transcript of COVID-19 Data Summary DAILY LOS ANGELES · 2020. 12. 25. · COVID-19 Data Summary Prepared by City...
Response Day 287Thursday December 24, 2020
DAILY LOS ANGELES
COVID-19 Data Summary
Prepared by City of Los Angeles, Mayor Garcetti’s Innovation Team
Current Regional Stay Home Order Status
Legend
COVID-19 restrictions: Regional Stay Home Order(Southern California Order in Effect as of Dec 6, 2020, 11:59 PM)
Statewide Metrics
• 63.9 New COVID-19 Positive Cases Per Day Per 100k Residents• 11.3% 7-Day Positivity Rate• 2.0% ICU Availability
Source: State of California
The Regional Stay Home Order, announced December 3, 2020, and a supplemental order, signed December 6, 2020, will go into effect at 11:59 PM the day after a region has been announced to have less than 15% ICU availability.
• The supplemental order clarifies retail operations and goes into effect immediately;
• They prohibit private gatherings of any size, close sector operations except for critical infrastructure and retail;
• And require 100% masking and physical distancing in all others.
Once triggered, these orders will remain in effect for at least 3 weeks. After that period, they will be lifted when a region’s projected ICU capacity meets or exceeds 15%. This will be assessed on a weekly basis after the initial 3 week period.
*Surge capacity beyond these numbers may be possible based on individual hospital’s bed and staff surge plans
Source: COVID19.CA.GOV
Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation TeamPage 2
ICU Availabilities as of 12/24/20
Region ICU Availability Order
Northern California 27.5% Does not apply
Bay Area 9.2% Threshold met
Greater Sacramento 15.3% Threshold met
San Joaquin Valley 0.0% Threshold met
Southern California 0.0% Threshold met
New reopening metrics and tier assignment were previously announced on Tuesdays. On November 16, the State announced that they may start reporting metrics more frequently and on days on than Tuesdays.
All metrics are evaluated on a 7-day lagCurrent data range: 12/6/20 - 12/12/20
New COVID-19 positive cases per 100K7-Day average new positive cases per 100K residents
Adjusted case rate for tier assignmentAn adjustment factor for counties that are testing above or below the state average. This adjusted rate is used for “new case” metric rather than the raw case rate
Positivity Rate7-day average of positive lab- confirmed COVID-19 cases divided by total tests
Health Equity MetricThe test positivity rate in the Lowest Healthy Places Index Quartile Census Tracts.
COVID-19 Los Angeles County | Ny State Cases Per 100k Residents As of May 26, 2020, 3:00 PM
STATE REOPENING METRICS
METRICS As of Dec 22, 2020, 1 PM REPORTING DATE RATE
% DIFF VS LAST METRICS
LAST REPORTING
DATE LAST METRICS
New COVID-19 positive cases per 100K 12/22 106 +25.6% 12/15 84.4
Adjusted case rate for tier assignment 12/22 53 +25.6% 12/15 42.2
Positivity Rate 12/22 14.3% +2.9%(% Point Difference) 12/15 11.4%
Health Equity Metric(starting 10/6)* 12/22 20.3% +3.3%
(% Point Difference) 12/15 17.0%
Source: California Department of Public Health
Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation TeamPage 3
CURRENT LOS ANGELES COUNTY RISK LEVEL: WIDESPREAD
COVID-19 Los Angeles County | Ny State Cases Per 100k Residents As of May 26, 2020, 3:00 PM
LOS ANGELES COUNTY KEY METRICS
Key Takeaways:The following metrics have seen undesirable movement over the past seven days for which data are available: New Cases, New Deaths, 7-Day COVID Positive Test Rate, New Hospitalizations, Acute Care Bed Capacity, ICU Bed Capacity, and LA City Unemployment Insurance Claims
The following metrics have seen desirable movement over the past seven days: LA City Crime
*Unless otherwise noted, the baseline period is the week of 4/18/20-4/24/20, our highest week in the month of April, first full month of reporting on record**As of 12/23/20
METRICS As of December 24, 2020, 1 PM
TODAY’S AVERAGES
CURRENT TREND VS LAST
WEEK% CHANGE VS
LAST WEEK
CURRENT TREND VS BASELINE
% CHANGE VSBASELINE
New Cases (7-day avg.) 14,000(7-day avg) +4.9% +1242.3%
New Deaths (7-day avg.) 93(7-day avg) +24.5% +83.9%
COVID 7-Day Positive Test Rate (as of one week ago) 16.6%
(overall) +2%+2%
COVID+ Test Rate is% Point Difference w/
baseline
New Hospitalizations (7-day avg)*
612(7-day avg) +16.9% +293.1%
Acute Care Bed Capacity(7-day avg)**
286(7-day avg) -11.6% -74.4%
ICU Bed Capacity(7-day avg)**
37(7-day avg) -45% -84.7%
LA City Crime (7-day avg)baseline = 2019 YTD
412 daily crimes(7-day avg)
as of 12/19/2020-10.1% -34.1%
LA City Unemployment Ins. Claims (includes PUA)baseline = equivalent 2019 week
7,572as of 12/5/2020 +45.6% +293%
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health, COVID Tracking Project
Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation TeamPage 4
Undesired Trend
Desired Trend
Desired Change
Undesired Change
No Change
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The past seven days have seenan average daily increase of 14,000 new cases
The past seven days have seen an average daily increase of 93 new deaths
Legend:
Note: The reported cases on 12/14 were artificially low due to backlogs from certain labs
Source: Los Angeles County New Cases and New Deaths, 7-Day Average
HOTLINE SERVICES
LA County New Cases and New Deaths, 7-Day Average All metrics last updated at 1 PM, December 24, 2020
7-DAY AVG OF CASES & DEATHS
Page 5Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
Safer At Home (SAH) Restriction LiftedSAH Restriction Reinstituted
CASES DAILY UPDATE DEATHS DAILY UPDATE
1.11 13,678 677,299Infection RateIdeal < 1.0
New Cases Total Cases
1.4% 148 9,299Mortality Rate New Deaths Total Deaths
KEY TAKEAWAYS
• LA County accounts for 33.8% of cases in CA with an average of 14,000 new cases reported from 12/17 to 12/24 (2.4% increase)
CUMULATIVE CASES
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, LA County Department of Public Health, COVIDTracking.com, and the LA Times.
1.11 13,678 677,299 39,070 2M 204,883 18.6M 722,831 79.2MInfection RateIdeal < 1.0
New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases
LA County Case Updates
3/2
LA COUNTY DAILY CASES
Page 6Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES GLOBAL
All metrics last updated at 1 PM, December 24, 2020
12/24
KEY TAKEAWAYS
• LA County accounts for 39.3% of deaths in CA with an average of 93 new deaths reported from 12/17 to 12/24 (1.1% increase)
CUMULATIVE DEATHS
Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, LA County Department of Public Health, COVIDTracking.com, and the LA Times.
HOTLINE SERVICES
LA County Mortality Updates
DAILY MORTALITY IN LA COUNTY
Page 7Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
All metrics last updated at 1 PM, December 24, 2020
LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES GLOBAL
1.4% 148 9,299 351 23,635 2,998 328.1K 12,777 1.7MMortality Rate New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths
3/11 12/24
KEY TAKEAWAYS
•At least 3,155,779 tests have been performed at City of Los Angeles since 3/20
• On average, 38,422 tests were performed each day from 12/17 to 12/23
•269,235 of the 3,022,032 tests for which results were received were positive (9%)
Source: City of Los Angeles
LA City Testing Updates
TESTING IN LA CITY
Cumulative Positivity Rate - Tests
DAILY TESTS
All metrics as of December 23, 2020
Page 8Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
TESTS COMPLETED AVAILABILITY
40.3K 3.16M 10 0.8KCity TestsSince last report
City TestsSince 3/20
Total City SitesAvailable Today
Avail. City Testing Capacity Today
*Public test registration.It does not include registration of critical city employees, first responders, and health care providers.
9.0%
COUNTY POSITIVITY RATE (7-day lag)
Legend:
Source: City of Los Angeles
KEY TAKEAWAYS
•LA County has tested a total of at least 4,502,552 people and a total of 10,030,000 specimens (tests)
LA Testing Updates • Positivity Rate
12/173/11
City positive rate as of December 22/23, 2020County metrics as of December 17, 2020
POSITIVITY RATE IN CITY OF LA (1-day lag for cumulative/2-day for 7-day rate )
Page 9Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
TESTS COMPLETED AVAILABILITY POSITIVITY RATE
40.3K 3.16M 10 0.8K 9.0% 8.0% 14.2% 16.6% 19.42% *Public test registration.It does not include registration of critical city employees, first responders, and health care providers.
City TestsSince last report
City TestsSince 3/20
Total City SitesAvailable Today
Avail. City Testing Capacity Today
CumulativeCity - Tests
CumulativeCounty - Tests
CumulativeCounty - People
County's 7-day RateFor Tests (1 week lag)
City's 7-day RateFor Tests (2 day lag)
KEY TAKEAWAYS
• At least 36,931 people have been hospitalized since 3/18
CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED: +3.2%INCREASE IN ICU: +3.8%
Legend (for graph on left)
Source: New Hospitalizations data from County HavBed Bed Tracking. County Hospitalization data from CA Open Data Portal
The Regional Stay Home Order went into effect on 12/6 at 11:59 PM, the day after the Southern California region dipped below 15% ICU availability. This order prohibits private gatherings of any size, closes sector operations except for critical infrastructure and retail, and requires 100% masking and physical distancing in all others.
LA Hospitalization Updates
NEW HOSPITALIZATIONS IN LA COUNTY
All metrics as of December 23, unless otherwise noted
Page 10Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team
12/233/31
LOS ANGELES EQUIPMENT AVAILABILITY
ICU
SO-CAL REGIONAL ICU CAPACITY
0.0%As of 12/24
644 6,708 37.6K 331 289 42 906NewHospitalizations
Current Hospitalizations
TotalHospitalizations
Total BedsAvailable
Acute CareBeds Available
ICU BedsAvailable
VentilatorsAvailable
End of ReportDecember 24, 2020