County Profile Template Booklet

36
Data SnapShot Series 1.0 October 2014 DATA SNAPSHOT Lake County

description

This booklet demonstrates an example of the Purdue Center for Regional Development's county demographic and economic profiles.

Transcript of County Profile Template Booklet

Page 1: County Profile Template Booklet

Data SnapShot Series 1.0

October 2014

DATA SNAPSHOTLake County

Page 2: County Profile Template Booklet

Table of contents

Introduction

01Demography

02

Economy

03Labor Market

04

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Purpose

About Lake County

01introduction

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4

Purpose

This document provides information

and data about Lake County that can

be used to guide local decision-

making activities.

The Data SnapShot showcases a variety of

demographic, economic and labor market

information that local leaders, community

organizations and others can use to gain a

better perspective on current conditions

and opportunities in their county.

To strengthen the value and usability of the

information, we showcase the data using a

variety of visual tools such as charts, graphs

and tables. In addition, we offer key points

about the data as a way of assisting the

user with the interpretation of the

information presented.

Finally, short takeaway messages are

offered at the end of each section in order

to highlight some of the more salient

findings.

Introduction

section 01

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About Lake County

Introduction

section 01

County Background

Established 1837

County

Seat

Crown Point

Area 627 sq. mi.

Neighboring

Counties

Jasper, IN

Newton, IN

Porter, IN

Cook, IL

Kankakee, IL

Will, IL

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Population pyramids

Population change

Race

Ethnicity

Educational attainment

Takeaways

02demography

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Population change

Components of Population Change, 2000-2012

Total Change 5,572

Natural Increase 26,367

International Migration 4,436

Domestic Migration -22,404

The total population is

projected to increase

by 2.9 percent

between 2012 and

2020.

Demography

Sources: STATSIndiana, U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census, 2010 Decennial Census, 2012 Estimates, Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change

section 02

The total population increased by 1.9 percent between

2000 and 2012. The major contributor to that expansion

was natural increase (births minus deaths over that span

of time) with a net growth of nearly 26,000 persons.

Data on domestic migration (the difference between the

number of people moving out of the county versus moving

in) shows that out-migration outpaced in-migration by

nearly 22,000 people. On the other hand, international

migration had a net increase of over 4,400, indicating that

the county experienced an influx of new people from

outside the U.S.

484,564

496,005 493,618

507,724

2020201220102000

Total population

projections

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9 6 3 0 3 6 9

0-9

10-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Percent of the PopulationA

ge

Co

ho

rt

Population pyramidsPopulation pyramids are visual representations of the age distribution of the population by gender.

While the male to female ratio of the population did not

change dramatically between 2000 and 2012, the

distribution of people across the various age categories

did change over the two periods of time.

Demography

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2012 Annual Population Estimates

section 02

The percent of people under 50 years old has decreased

for both males and females over the 2000-2012 period.

Also, the number of 50 and over now stands at nearly

169,000 people (about 34 percent of the population, up

from 28 percent in 2000).

Male Female

2012

9 6 3 0 3 6 9

00-09

10-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Percent of the Population

Age

Co

ho

rt

2000

Male Female

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Race

The number of non-white

residents in Lake County

increased by five percentage

points between 2000 and

2012.

While every race other than white

experienced a numerical increase,

the population of Asian, Other and

Mixed Descent races gained the

most people, expanding from 33

percent to 38 percent of the total

population between 2000 and

2012.

Demography

Race Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2012 ACS

section 02

White

67%Other

33%

2000

Black

Asian

Native

Other

Mixed

White

62%

Other

38%

2012

Black

Asian

Native

Other

Mixed

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Ethnicity

Hispanics are individuals of

any race whose ancestry is

from Mexico, Puerto Rico,

Cuba, Spain, the Dominican

Republic or any other Spanish-

speaking Central or South

American country.

There were 59,128 residing in

Lake County in 2000. This figure

expanded to 82,652 by 2012—a

39.7 percent increase.

As a result, Hispanics now make

up 17 percent of the overall

population (versus 12 percent in

2000).

Demography

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2012 ACS

section 02

17%

12%

Hispanics - 2000

Hispanics - 2012

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Educational attainment

Educational attainment for adults

over 18 in Lake County is

increasing.

The proportion of adults (18 years of

age and older) with a high school

education or more improved from 80

percent in 2000 to 86 percent by 2012.

The percent with less than a high school

education fell by six percent over the

2000-2012 period (from 20 percent to

14 percent). On the other hand, those

with some college education grew from

28 percent to 32 percent.

The number of adults with a bachelor’s

degree or more stood at 18 percent in

2012, a slight increase compared to

2000.

Demography

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2012 ACS

section 02

No High

School

14%

High

School

36%Some

College

32%

College

18%

2012

No High

School

20%

High

School

37%

Some

College

28%

College

15%

2000

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Takeaways

The population of Lake County is expected

to grow modestly over the next few years,

and if past trends hold, that increase will

be largely due to natural increase (more

births than deaths).

While Lake County’s population has been

growing over the 2000-2012 period, it has

also been aging. In addition, its domestic

migration has declined by nearly 22,000,

suggesting that young individuals and

those of prime working age (20-39 years

of age) are moving out of the county at a

faster pace than they are moving in.

The educational level of the population has

increased and the county has become more

diverse by race and ethnicity since 2000.

In order to achieve a balanced ratio of

working-age individuals and

dependents (minors and elderly), Lake

County should explore what mix of

services and amenities will retain and

attract educated young adults.

Demography

section 02

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Establishments

Industries

Occupations

Income and poverty

Takeaways

03economy

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Establishments

Components of Change for Establishments

Total Change (2000-11) 16,143

Natural Change (births minus

deaths)15,755

Net Migration 388

The number of establishments in Lake

County doubled between 2000 and 2011.

The rapid growth of establishments was largely

due to natural change. That is, 35,600

establishments were launched in the county

between 2000-2011 while 19,800 closed,

resulting in a gain of 15,755 establishments.

Economy

Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2011 Database

section 03

An establishment is a

physical business location.

Branches, standalones and

headquarters are all

considered types of

establishments.

Definition of Company Stages

0 12 3

4

Self-

employed

2-9

employees

10-99

employees

100-499

employees

500+

employees

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Number of establishments by stage/employment category

Economy

Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2011 Database

section 03

2000 2011

Stage Establishments Proportion Establishments Proportion

Stage 0 3,256 20% 10,058 30%

Stage 1 9,314 57% 18,911 58%

Stage 2 3,501 21% 3,260 10%

Stage 3 257 1% 256 1%

Stage 4 46 1% 32 1%

Total 16,374 100% 32,517 100%

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Number of jobs by stage/employment category

Economy

Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2011 Database

section 03

2000 2011

Stage Jobs Proportion Jobs Proportion

Stage 0 3,256 1% 10,058 4%

Stage 1 35,916 16% 56,994 25%

Stage 2 87,716 39% 82,048 36%

Stage 3 43,486 19% 42,370 19%

Stage 4 56,055 25% 36,882 16%

Total 226,429 100% 228,352 100%

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Amount of sales by stage/employment category

Economy

Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2011 Database

section 03

2000 2011

Stage Sales Proportion Sales Proportion

Stage 0 $319,631,826 1% $673,636,676 3%

Stage 1 $4,008,852,759 15% $4,719,109,243 21%

Stage 2 $9,024,364,231 34% $7,949,058,309 35%

Stage 3 $5,158,581,200 20% $5,877,793,166 26%

Stage 4 $7,734,249,838 29% $3,526,973,814 16%

Total $26,245,679,854 100% $22,746,571,208 100%

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Top five industries in 2012

55.6 percent of jobs are

tied to one of the top five

industries in Lake County

Health Care and Social Assistance

is the largest industry sector

(34,824 jobs).

Accommodation and Food

Services is the smallest of the top

industry sectors with 18,124 jobs.

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – Complete Employment

section 03

Health Care & Social

Assistance

14.4%

Government

11.9%

Retail Trade

11.3%

Manufacturing

10.5%

Accommodation

& Food Services

7.5%

All Other Industries

44.4%

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Industry distribution and changeNAICS Code Description Jobs 2012 % Change (2002-2012) Earnings 2013

11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 639 -10.9% $18,551

21 Mining, Quarrying and Oil and Gas Extraction 176 -27.9% $107,293

22 Utilities 1,730 1.7% $126,479

23 Construction 17,788 25.1% $85,919

31-33 Manufacturing 25,290 -11.7% $107,534

42 Wholesale Trade 6,076 -13.3% $66,946

44-45 Retail Trade 27,407 -4.9% $26,118

48-49 Transportation and Warehousing 10,842 20.7% $53,948

51 Information 1,935 -23.3% $43,244

52 Finance and Insurance 7,201 3.1% $42,461

53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 8,339 23.7% $23,385

54 Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 8,829 4.4% $46,116

55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 1,793 36.8% $99,665

56 Administrative and Waste Management 11,827 1.0% $27,577

61 Educational Services (Private) 4,541 56.9% $26,907

62 Health Care and Social Assistance 34,824 20.1% $48,699

71 Arts, Entertainment and Recreation 7,652 -17.1% $28,730

72 Accommodation and Food Services 18,134 17.4% $15,376

81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 18,049 25.9% $20,526

90 Government 28,830 -3.7% $48,730

99 Unclassified Industry <10 - $54,835

All Total 241,901 - $48,711

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2013.2 Complete Employment

section 03

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Industry distribution and change

The largest employment gains

in Lake County occurred in:

Private Educational Services (+56.9

percent)

Management of Companies and

Enterprises (+36.8 percent)

The largest employment losses

occurred in:

Mining, Quarrying and Oil and Gas

Extraction (-27.9 percent)

Information (-23.3 percent)

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2013.2 Complete Employment

section 03

Employment Increase Employment Decrease

Changes in the top five industry sectors (2002-

2012):

Health Care and

Social Assistance

Accommodation

and Food Services

Government

Retail Trade

Manufacturing

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Office &

Administrative

Support

13%

Sales & Related

12%

Food Preparation

& Serving Related

8%

Transportation &

Material Moving

7%

Production

7%

All Other Occupations

53%

Top five occupations in 2012

The top five occupations in

Lake County represent 47.3

percent of all jobs.

Office and Administrative Support and

Sales and Related are the occupations

with the largest number of workers.

The Production occupation cluster is the

smallest of the top five clusters in the

county (seven percent of jobs).

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2013.2 Complete Employment

section 03

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SOC Description Jobs 2012 % Change (2002-2012) Hourly Earnings 2013

11 Management 10,733 7.4% $33.50

13 Business and Financial Operations 7,811 12.3% $26.86

15 Computer and Mathematical 1,903 -2.0% $28.88

17 Architecture and Engineering 2,882 -3.4% $35.56

19 Life, Physical and Social Science 1,440 16.7% $28.99

21 Community and Social Service 3,070 9.1% $19.00

23 Legal 1,730 1.9% $45.03

25 Education, Training and Library 12,273 11.0% $20.72

27 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports and Media 4,752 7.3% $14.79

29 Health Care Practitioners and Technical 14,845 12.4% $32.61

31 Health Care Support 7,494 25.0% $12.47

33 Protective Service 5,396 -8.8% $17.47

35 Food Preparation and Serving Related 19,388 9.6% $9.68

37 Building and Grounds Cleaning Maintenance 8,978 11.4% $11.18

39 Personal Care and Service 15,346 42.0% $10.15

41 Sales and Related 30,286 -0.6% $14.22

43 Office and Administrative Support 30,468 -4.8% $15.13

45 Farming, Fishing and Forestry 224 -10.4% $11.51

47 Construction and Extraction 14,682 18.1% $25.89

49 Installation, Maintenance and Repair 11,186 3.1% $22.67

51 Production 15,967 -8.9% $20.78

53 Transportation and Material Moving 18,194 1.0% $18.01

55 Military 1,672 4.1% $19.39

99 Unclassified 1,181 25.5% $11.18

All Total 241,901 100% $18.91

Occupation distribution and change

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2013.2 Complete Employment

section 03

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Occupation distribution and change

Economy

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2013.2 Complete Employment

section 03

The largest percentage gains in

jobs in Lake County occurred in:

Personal Care and Service (+42

percent)

Health Care Support (+25 percent)

The largest percentage loss in

employment occurred in:

Farming, Fishing and Forestry (-10.4

percent)

Production (-8.9 percent)

Changes in the top five occupations (2002-

2012):

Food Preparation

and Serving

Transportation

and Material

Moving

Sales and

Related

Office and

Administrative

Production

Employment Increase Employment Decrease

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Income and poverty

2000 2006 2012

Total Population in

Poverty11.1% 16.7% 19.6%

Minors (up to age

17) in Poverty15.6% 26.5% 31.3%

Real Median

Income (2012)$53,734 $52,327 $48,015

The median income in

Lake County dipped by

$5,700 between 2000

and 2012.

Both the total population in

poverty and the number of

minors in poverty increased.

The number of minors in

poverty doubled between

2000 and 2012.

Economy

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)

section 03

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Income and povertyMedian income in Lake County has decreased in recent years, while poverty has continued to increase.

Economy

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)

section 03

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

Po

pu

lati

on

in

Pove

rty

(pe

rce

nt)

Re

al M

ed

ian

In

co

me

in

20

12

(d

olla

rs)

Median Income

Minors in Poverty

All Ages in

Poverty

Page 26: County Profile Template Booklet

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Takeaways

All establishment growth in Lake County

occurred in businesses having fewer than

10 employees. So, focusing on the needs

of the self-employed (Stage 0) and start-

ups (Stage 1) establishments may be

worthwhile.

The food industry, health care, management,

education and transportation are employment

growth areas for Lake County. These are

industries and occupations that demand

workers with varying educational levels.

Median income has decreased and poverty has

increased in Lake County since 2000.

Lake County might focus on policies and programs

that strengthen high-growth Stage 2 firms since

they employ several people and capture sizable

sales.

Promoting job growth for occupations requiring

educated workers could help retain adults with

higher educational attainment and help increase

median income.

Services targeted to poverty-stricken individuals

should be considered given the dramatic rise in

poverty, especially among children under 18 years

old.

Economy

section 03

Page 27: County Profile Template Booklet

Labor force and

unemployment

Laborshed

Commuteshed

Takeaways

04labor

market

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28

Labor force and unemployment

2002 2012

Labor Force 227,989 220,793

Unemployment

Rate6.4% 9.2%

The labor force in Lake County

decreased by 3.1 percent

between 2002 and 2012.

This decrease is likely due to a rise

in the number of individuals who

are either officially unemployed or

who have given up looking for a

job.

Labor market

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics

section 04

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Unemployment rateBetween 2002 and 2012, the unemployment rate in Lake County peaked at 10.9 percent in 2010.

Labor market

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics

section 04

3.6%

6.4%

5.2%

10.9%

9.2%

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Un

em

plo

yme

nt

Ra

te (

%)

Year

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30

Commuteshed

A county’s commuteshed is

the geographic area to which

its work force travels to work.

Forty-one percent of employed

residents in Lake County commute

to jobs located outside of Lake

County.

The top commuteshed counties for

Lake County residents who work

outside of the county are Cook

County, Illinois, and Porter County,

Indiana.

Labor market

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD)

section 04

83,806

Out-Commuters

120,585

Same Work/

Home

Commuters Proportion

Cook, IL 39,960 19.6%

Porter, IN 11,061 5.4%

Marion, IN 5,295 2.6%

Will, IL 3,341 1.6%

DuPage, IL 3,156 1.5%

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Laborshed

Commuters Proportion

Porter, IN 25,554 13.2%

Cook, IL 14,026 7.2%

La Porte, IN 4,685 2.4%

Jasper, IN 3,131 1.6%

Marion, IN 2,527 1.3%

Labor market

Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD)

section 04

72,982

In-Commuters

120,585

Same Work/

Home

A county’s laborshed is the

geographic area from which it

draws employees.

Thirty-eight percent of individuals

working in Lake County commute from

another county for work. Porter County,

Indiana, and Cook County, Illinois, are

the biggest sources of outside labor for

Lake County.

Sixty-four percent of in-commuters

reside in counties adjacent to Lake

County; however, the fifth largest

laborshed county is the Indianapolis

metropolitan area (Marion County,

Indiana).

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Commuteshed in 2011

Labor market

section 04

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD

Eighty percent of Lake County’s

working residents are employed

either in Lake or Cook Counties.

Another five percent commute to

Porter, while an additional five

percent travel to jobs in DuPage,

Will, LaPorte or Marion Counties.

Collectively, these seven

counties represent 90 percent of

the commuteshed for Lake

County.

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Laborshed in 2011

Labor market

section 04

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD

The bulk (80 percent) of Lake

County’s workforce is drawn from

Lake and Porter Counties.

Another five percent is drawn from

LaPorte County in Indiana and

Cook County in Illinois. An

additional five percent comes

from Will County in Illinois and

Saint Joseph, Jasper and Marion

Counties in Indiana. Combined,

the eight counties represent 90

percent of Lake County’s

laborshed.

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Takeaways

Lake County’s unemployment rate has increased

since 2002. The majority of this increase

occurred during the period of the Great

Recession (approximately 2009—10).

Despite population increases, the county’s labor

force has decreased since 2002, indicating that

there may be an increasing number of individuals

who are unemployed or are discouraged workers

(workers who have given up trying to find a job).

Employees that work but do not live in Lake

County tend to commute from surrounding

counties. People who commute out of the county

for work tend to travel to other metropolitan

areas.

Lake County should assess if a major workforce

development training effort should be targeted

to the growing number of working age adults

struggling to find jobs.

The laborshed and commuteshed

data offer solid evidence of the value

of pursuing economic and workforce

development on a regional (multi-

county) basis.

Labor market

section 04

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Report ContributorsThis report was prepared by the Purdue Center for Regional Development in partnership with Purdue University Extension.

Labor market

section 04

Data AnalysisIndraneel Kumar, PhD

Ayoung Kim

Report AuthorsElizabeth Dobis

Bo Beaulieu, PhD

Report DesignTyler Wright

Adeline Jackson

Page 36: County Profile Template Booklet

For more information,

please contact PCRD

at

[email protected]

765-494-7273The Purdue Center for Regional Development (PCRD) seeks to pioneer

new ideas and strategies that contribute to regional collaboration,

innovation and prosperity.