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Transcript of Corporate presentation September 2007. Corporate presentation September 2007 2 Comstar at a Glance ...
Corporatepresentation
September 2007
2
Corporate presentation September 2007
Comstar at a Glance The leading combined fixed-line telecommunications company in Moscow - MGTS incumbent & Moscow AltNet with >5 million active lines & > 11,000 km fiber-optic network
Owner of “last mile” access to 3.6 million Moscow households & 98% market share - Last mile is not unbundled and > 90% ADSL compatible
Number 1 residential broadband provider in Moscow - > 426k subscribers & 33% market share
Integrated operator providing full spectrum of fixed-line services - local, long distance through sister company MTT, broadband Internet, WiFi, WiMax, VPN etc
Owner of 25% + 1 share in state-owned Svyazinvest national fixed line incumbent - Financial investment with upside as strategic player in privatization process
Regional expansion - Focus on priority regions with expansion through selective M&A & cooperation with Sistema companies
3
Corporate presentation September 2007
Combined Telecom Operator
52% ownership
Broadband Moscow
100% subsidiary
Fixed Line Moscow
Regions & International
56% economic interest
Moscow City telephone
(MGTS)
Svyazinvest
25% +1 share
100% subsidiaries
ILECMoscow fixed line incumbent4.3 million active linesProvider of basic services to mass market
CLEC0.6 mln active linesProvider of multi-service solutions to corporate &developers
CLEC#1 broadband provider inMoscow with 33% marketshare 426,400 residential subscribers23% double-play penetration(data & pay-TV)
CLEC92,000 subscribersProvider of voice services to corporate &developers
STATE HOLDING7 ILECs, Rostelecom, Central Telegraph32 million installed lines covering 90% of Russia
Multiregional Transit
Telecom
50% owned by Sistema
ILD/DLD OPERATOROwner and operator of a digital multi-service national-scale network whose nodes are installed in all 88 subjects of RFCooperation with Comstar-UTS: DLD/ILD services to Comstar-UTS clients
Comstar-UTS Sister companies
Mobile Tele- Systems
MOBILE OPERATORThe largest mobile operator in Russia and the CISCooperation with Comstar-UTS: joint use of network infrastructure, convergent projects, joint sales efforts
52.8% owned by Sistema
4
Corporate presentation September 2007
122,6 147,2 167,1
266,8
354,968,3
89,584,6
94,8
77,1
-3,4-2,7-1,8-1-1
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
US
$ m
ln.
303 385.7480.8
639.7801.0164.4
249282.4
372.8
426.3
-28.7 -45.5 -68.1 -104.9 -107-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
US
$ m
ln.
Proven Track Record
Revenues
438.8
589.2695.1
907.6
1,120.2
189.9235.7 249.9
358.8
428.6 *CAGR = 26%
CAGR = 23%
MGTS Alternative operators Inter-company eliminations* Excluding US$ 62.1 million non-recurring stock bonus awards
OIBDA
By 2011 revenue growth will be driven by the development of broadband fixed-line services to residential and corporate users
5
Corporate presentation September 2007
Markets with Still Low Penetration Levels
94,6%86,3%
78,3% 75,8%
57,6% 54,3%58,7%
Moscow WEAverage
Hungary Poland Ukraine Russia CzechRepublic
39,4%
25,6%
16,7% 16,7% 15,2%
0,8%3,5%
WEAverage
Moscow Hungary Poland CzechRepublic
Russia Ukraine
Fixed Voice Penetration (2006)
Broadband Penetration (2006)
PC Penetration (2006)
Source: Company data, Pyramid Research, stats agencies, Direct INFONote: Penetration in all charts calculated as % of households
Internet Penetration (2006)
74,6% 69,0%
43,7%35,0%
16,4%7,8%
21,1%
WEAverage
Moscow CzechRepublic
Hungary Poland Russia Ukraine
59,6%54,6% 51,3%
41,1% 40,6%
6,2%12,8%
CzechRepublic
WEAverage
Poland Hungary Moscow Russia Ukraine
6
Corporate presentation September 2007
Strategic Objectives
“Creating a World Class Integrated Full Service Telecommunications Provider& the Pan-Russian Wire-line Champion”
● Leveraging incumbent infrastructure & unique last mile access through network upgrade & co-marketing
● Increasing broadband market share & ARPU through subscriber acquisition & expanded service offering
● Driving regional and CIS expansion through cooperation and acquisition
● Unlocking operational potential by enhancing efficiency levels through integration, restructuring & extracting synergies
● Simplifying structure by streamlining management & eliminating cross holdings & minority interests
● Capitalising on Svyazinvest stake as a financial investment and through participation in privatization
7
Corporate presentation September 2007
Leveraging Incumbent Infrastructure & ‘Last Mile’ Access
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1999 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2005 2006
June 30, 2007
Time-based tariff plan
(RU 125 + RU 0.28 per minute) 26%
Combined tariff plan
(RU 229 for 370 minutes then RU 0.23 per minute)
22%
Unlimited time tariff plan
(RU 380 per month)52%
Growth in Regulated Tariffs (US$)• MGTS IS the infrastructure provider:
• network development & modernization
• network support
• Management by processes
• Strategic activities will be transferred to Comstar
• Significant headcount reduction
• Growing number of lines per employee and productivity
• Control over the split of subscriber base between three tariff plans- client oriented approach
• Refocused investment program
• Selective modernization of the last mile (FTTx) will lead to increased speeds for premium clients and increased capacity
• Digitalization: 45% of lines are digital at the end of the 1H2007 - transition to Next Generation Network, financed by disposal of freed up real estate, is a technological necessity, will decrease opex & capex per line
8
Corporate presentation September 2007
Moscow’s Leading Alternative Network Solution Provider for Corporate Clients
• Services to large and medium-sized clients
•Individual approach
•Introduction of standards for VIP clients
•Addition of long-distance services to provide full-scale of integrated services
•VPNs for clients with regional branches
•Cross sell of Comstar-Moscow services to MGTS corporate client special tariffs
• Services to Small and Medium Enterprizes
•Bundled products
•Development of sales channels
•Active promotion
• Services to developers
•Multi-service solutions for business-centers
•Segmentation of client base (Comstar-Moscow- premium & business segment, MGTS & Comstar-Direct- low segment, large-scale development
Rostelecom, 11%
Golden Telecom, 19%
Comstar-UTS, 19%
Sinterra, 5%
Equant, 3%
Other (>400), 44%
Moscow Corporate Market, 2006 (US$)
Bundle of services, coordination of tariff policy and marketing initiatives will lead to an increase in ARPU & client base, decrease in churn outside the Group
Source: Direct INFO, in terms of sales
9
Corporate presentation September 2007
16%26%
73%
8% 12%
44%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2005 2006 2011E
Broadband Penetration Pay-TV Penetration
Increasing Broadband Market Share & ARPU
493.2
343.7
11004.4
102.5249.5
360426
70
182.4
1500
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2Q2007 2011
• #1 provider with 33% market share in Moscow• Objective of >50% market share in Moscow by 2011 • > 90% of MGTS lines are ADSL compatible• 42% year on year growth in customer base• 23% double play penetration
• Measures to boost broadband net adds
• Enhancing sales channels:•Optimization of sales channels•Direct marketing/sales to MGTS subscribers
• Investing into future development:•‘Fibre to the Curb/Home’, WiFi, WiMax initiatives
• Client orientation•Call center capacity > doubled, IVR
(‘000s)
Source: Company data, Direct INFO, Pyramid ResearchNote: CAGR represents growth in projected users. Penetration calculated as % of households
Moscow Broadband & Pay-TV Penetration
Comstar Direct Residential Subscribers
Moscow Residential Broadband Market, 2Q2007
Total: 1.3 mn subs
426 thousand subs
Broadband
Dial up
AKADO; 10%
Golden Telecom; 17%
Qwerty (Centel); 8%
Others; 32% Comstar UTS; 33%
10
Corporate presentation September 2007
Driving Regional Expansion
Comstar- UTS34%
SCTN12%
Renet Com10%
Others24%
Volgatrans telecom
20%
• Development of operating clusters around regional branches through
• M&A targeting leading regional CLECs to complement Svyazinvest presence and increase footprint
• Cooperation with sister companies
• Upside of engagement in Svyazinvest privatisation process
Saratov region alternative fixed-line market**
Ygratel-Surguttel18%
Others44%
RTC9%
Seversvyaz3%
Comstar- UTS24%
Komintel2%
Tyumen region alternative fixed-line market**
**Source: Direct INFO, in terms of sales, 2006
Sochi alternative fixed-line market*
Comstar-UTS, 68%
Golden Telecom, 31%
Other, 1%
*Source: Сomstar-UTS estimates, in terms of sales, 2007. excl. ILECs and Transtelecom
Current presence of Comstar-UTS
• Tyumen region
• Saratov region
• Volga region
• South region
• Saint Petersburg
• Armenia
• Ukraine
11
Corporate presentation September 2007
Unlocking Operational Potential● Digitalization of MGTS network - transition to Next Generation Network, financed by disposal
of freed up real estate, is a technological necessity, will decrease opex & capex per line● Optimization of the Group’s structure- separating core functions from non-telecom-related,
reduction in headcount ● Outsourcing of non-core functions● Management by processes● Integration of newly acquired operations & expansion of margins
161719
3
100%
41%31%22%0
5
10
15
20
31/12/04 31/12/05 31/12/06 31/12/11
0%20%40%60%80%100%
employees % of lines digitalized
Number of MGTS Employees
(‘000s)
Lines / Employees
Source: Deutsche UFG
12
Corporate presentation September 2007
Simplifying Organizational Structure
JSC Sistema• Setting KPIs & overseeing execution
• Assisting with M&A / negotiations
Board of Directors
9 Members
3 non-executive independent Directors
Audit Committee
Remuneration & Nomination Committee
Strategy Committee
Corporate Governance Committee
Management Board
MGTS
Budget & Investment Committee
Technical 띸mmitteeٲ
Tariffs CommitteePurchasing Committee
51% Ownership
Free Float incl. GDRs
14% Ownership35% Ownership
Shareholder Meeting
13
Corporate presentation September 2007
Simplifying Ownership Structure
51%
52%
48%
Other
14%
Free float
35%
Regional branches & subsidiaries
56%
23%
17.3%
21%
Now
7.7%
Objective
• Elimination of cross ownership between MGTS and Comstar
• Consolidation of MGTS minorities
• Integration of Comstar Direct
• Participation in restructuring / privatization of Svyazinvest
14
Corporate presentation September 2007
Capitalizing on Svyazinvest Investment
Svyazinvest companies: Center Telecom North-West Telecom Uralsvyazinform VolgaTelecom SibirTelecom South Telecom Far East Telecom Rostelecom
• 25% plus one share stake acquired for US$ 1.3 billion in December 2006
- Comstar acquired 17.3% & MGTS Finance acquired 7.7%
• Call (by December 2007) and put (2 year) option agreement with seller for 11% of Comstar shares currently held by MGTS Finance
• Represented by 2 seats on Board of Directors
• Successful financial investment with >50% increase in combined market cap of listed assets from US$ 5.8 billion in December 2006 to US$ 8.8 billion in July 2007
• Upside option as Strategic Player in privatization process
+28% economic interest / 23% voting interest in MGTS
2006 highlights
•Revenue US$ 7.7 billion
•EBITDA US$ 2.3 billion
•Net income US$ 0.2 billion
•Employees 273.4 thousand
15
Corporate presentation September 2007
Combining Growth & Profitability
Source: Company reports
Comstar
Magyar
FastwebLiberty Global
Telenet
Tele2
Telefonica O2 CZOTE
Golden Telecom
TP
Comcast
Cable & Wireless
Eesti Telecom
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
2006 Sales Growth
20
06
EB
ITD
A M
arg
in
16
Corporate presentation September 2007
The Investment Opportunity
Comstar Market Cap
21.6% of Svyazinvest
USD 4.26 billion
Comstar Market Cap ex
Svyazinvest
Comstar
EV
USD 1.79 billion
USD 2.48 billion
USD 3.15 billion
EV/EBITDA 20071 5.2x
Valuation at ILEC
Multiples
USD 3.66 billion
EV/EBITDA 2007 6.0x
¹Source: Consensus (Morgan Stanley, URALSIB, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche UFG, Troika Dialog, Aton Capital, Alfa Bank, ING, Renaissance Capital, DrKW, Credit Suisse, FIM)
All data as at 07 September 2007
Valuation at BroadbandMultiples
USD 5.36 billion
EV/EBITDA 2007 8.8x
Valuation at Altnet
Multiples
USD 5.18 billion
EV/EBITDA 2007 8.5x
17
Corporate presentation September 2007
Investment Case
● Scale player with market leading positions & track record of balancing growth & profitability - > US$ 1.1 billion revenue fixed-line operator with > 20% revenue growth & ~ 40% OIBDA margin
● Well positioned convergence play on incumbent infrastructure, alt net development & increasing broadband penetration in high growth markets
● Expanding service offering & geographical footprint
● Substantial synergies and efficiency gains to be extracted from integration of the companies of the Group
● Simplification of structure unlocks significant value
● Upside potential from:
- Buying out minorities in key assets (MGTS, Comstar Direct)
- Svyazinvest privatisation
- Addition of LD service to corporate service package
- Realisation of property portfolio
18
Corporate presentation September 2007
Summary Financials
19
Corporate presentation September 2007
Income Statement
Half Year Highlights● 32% year on year revenue growth ● 42.9% OIBDA margin● US$ 14.5 million change in fair value of call and put option
(US$ Million) 2004 2005 2006 1H2006 1H2007
Revenues 695,1 907,6 1 120,2 536,4 708,0Y-o-Y Growth 18,0% 30,6% 23,4% 27,9% 32,0%
OIBDA (excl. Stock Bonus Awards) 249,9 358,8 428,6 217,3 303,6Margin 35,9% 39,5% 38,3% 40,5% 42,9%
Operating Income (excl. Stock Bonus Awards) 173,7 268,4 297,7 163,5 228,5Margin 25,0% 29,6% 26,6% 30,5% 32,3%
Net Income (excl. Stock Bonus Awards and change in fair value of call and put option less minority share)
76,1 105,9 178,1 97,4 75,3
Margin 11,0% 11,7% 15,9% 18,2% 10,6%
Capex 228,5 232,3 316,1 135,0 148,1% of Revenues 32,9% 25,6% 28,2% 25,2% 20,9%
20
Corporate presentation September 2007
Q2 2007 Results
(US$ Million)Q2 2007 Q2 2006
Growth (Year on Year)
Q1 2007Growth
(Quarter on Quarter)
1H 2007 1H 2006Growth
(Year on Year)
Revenues 379,2 286,6 32% 328,9 15% 708,0 536,4 32%
OIBDA 173,2 115,0 51% 130,4 33% 303,6 217,3 40%
Margin 45,7% 40,1% 39,6% 42,9% 40,5%
Operating Profit 135,7 88,1 54% 92,8 46% 228,5 163,5 40%
Margin 35,8% 30,8% 28,2% 32,3% 30,5%
Net income before non-comparable items
39,2 58,2 -33% 36,1 8% 75,3 97,4 -23%
Margin 10,3% 20,3% 11,0% 10,6% 18,2%
Change in fair value of call and put option less minority share
-22,0 - 7,5 -14,5 -
Net income 17,2 58,2 -71% 43,7 -61% 60,8 97,4 -38%Earnings per share - basic and diluted (US$)
$0,05 $0,16 $0,12 $0,17 $0,29
Cash flow from operations 112,4 79,6 41% 89,1 26% 201,5 158,8 27%
Total CAPEX 68,5 82,2 -17% 79,6 -14% 148,1 135 10%
CAPEX as % of revenue 18,1% 28,7% 24,2% 20,9% 25,2%
Total Assets 3 762,5 2 745,9 37% 3 671,5 2% 3 762,5 2 745,9 37%
21
Corporate presentation September 2007
Segmental Breakdown
* Excluding US$ 62.1 million Stock Bonus Awards
Revenue (US$ Million) Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006* FY 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007
MGTS 175,6 209,7 208,4 208,4 802,2 247,3 291,4
Comstar Moscow 62,4 67,9 68,6 64,6 263,4 65,0 70,1
Comstar Direct 30,4 32,4 32,9 34,3 130,0 37,2 38,9
Comstar Regions & International 7,5 7,0 8,2 16,6 39,2 11,6 11,6
Intersegment Sales -26,1 -30,4 -26,3 -31,8 -114,6 -32,2 -32,8
Total Revenue, net of intersegment transactions
249,8 286,6 291,8 292,1 1120,2 328,9 379,2
OIBDA (US$ Million)
MGTS 82,9 101,8 87,3 84,1 356,0 114,4 151,1
Comstar - Moscow 14,2 13,0 19,1 9,2 55,5 12,5 13,5
Comstar - Direct 4,9 1,0 6,8 6,5 19,2 4,6 9,0
Comstar - Regions & International 1,3 1,4 1,7 -0,4 4,0 0,7 1,4
Effect of eliminations and other consolidations adjustments
-1,0 -2,1 -1,0 -2,0 -6,1 -1,8 -1,8
Total OIBDA 102,3 115,0 113,9 97,4 428,6 130,4 173,2
22
Corporate presentation September 2007
Cash Flow Statement
(US$ Million) 2004 2005 2006 1H2007
Net cash provided by operations 225,2 271,2 288,7 201,5
Net cash used in investing activities -187,2 -255,2 -1 767,0 -165,6
Net cash provided by / (used in) financing activities -19,5 -20,3 1 550,9 -24,9
Effects of foreign currency translation of cash and cash equivalents
2,0 -1,0 2,0 0,6
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 47,0 67,4 62,0 136,6
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 67,4 62,0 136,6 148,2
23
Corporate presentation September 2007
Balance Sheet
Half Year Highlights
● US$ 675 million 6 month loan facility arranged in December 2006 with ABN AMRO Bank N.V.● Refinanced in June 2007 with 5 year RUR 26 billion credit facility from Sberbank● Total debt of US$ 823.5 million● Net debt of US$ 675.3 million
(US$ Million) 2004 2005 2006 1H2007
Assets 1 418,4 1 641,4 3 537,6 3 762,5
Current Assets 335,6 405,2 445,1 574,2
Long-term assets 1 082,8 1 236,2 3 092,5 3 188,3
Liabilities 586,4 645,8 1 470,6 1 573,1
Current Liabilities 223,2 274,4 1 140,9 543,6
Long-term liabilities 363,2 371,4 329,7 1 029,5
Minority Interests 450,6 516,1 496,7 530,0
Shareholder's equity 381,4 479,5 1 570,2 1 659,5
24
Corporate presentation September 2007
Contacts
For additional information please visit
www.comstar-uts.com
or contact Masha Eliseeva
Head of Investor Relations
Phone: +7 985 997 08 52
E-mail: [email protected]