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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 1

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Education Sector AnalysisADEA Working Group on

    Education Sector Analysis (ESA)

    Presented by:

    Richard SACK

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    Objectives A brief, one-day overview of the purposes,

    uses and utility of ESA

    Participants are expected to gain a generalunderstanding of why ESA is useful and

    how it is done

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 3

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Context & background

    Sector analysis = policy analysis, which has beenaround for years

    Underlying assumptions:

    Effective policy needs empirical grounding & rationalanalyses

    ESA can produce framework for assigning objectives,targets, criteria, priorities

    This will promote stakeholder confidence, including

    that of external financing agencies Ideally, ESA is a process that develops both

    knowledge & capacity, together (I.e., the process ispart of the product) return

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 4

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Ambitions & objectives

    Promote dialogue on goals, objectives, needs,

    methods, resources & constraints

    Provide thorough knowledge of status of thesector & the impact of government policies

    Identify strengths & weaknesses, resources &

    constraints, demands & needs

    Establish database & methodology for planning

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 5

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Ambitions & objectives

    Specify (i) areas for investments & (ii)reallocations of existing resources for improvedcost-effectiveness & performance

    Monitor system performance

    Provide basis for long-term improvements inplanning, implementation & monitoring of thesystem

    Identify methods & means for improvedmanagement & implementation

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 6

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Who promotes ESA

    In Africa, mostly the development agencies

    Models for ESA have, largely, come from

    the World Bank

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 7

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Issues

    Are assumptions realistic?

    How & by whom is the ESA agenda

    determined?

    Who benefits?

    Capacity building: for doing ESA & for

    policy formulation

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 8

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Tools and skills: data

    First of all, identify, find & exploit the rawinformationthe DATA on

    Numbers of: students (attendance, age) by grade;

    teachers; schools, classrooms Costs: teacher salary & career structure; books &

    other materials; buildings; other

    Financing: who pays what & how much; who =parents, students, communities, local & nationalgovernments

    Outcomes: learning results

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 9

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Tools and skills: data

    Where to find the data?

    Is there an EMIS?

    Is there an assessment system (e.g.,SACMEQ)?

    What do you know about the quality of the

    data? Level of disaggregation?

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 10

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    Flows & quantities

    Student flow analyses projections, forecasting

    This is the traditional tool of education planners(cohort analyses, etc.)

    Financial (computer) simulation models projections, forecasting

    Same starting logic as flow analyses, but capable ofsimulating costs, depending of assumptions & data

    quality Its all quite mechanicalconceptually

    straightforward & mathematically complex

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 11

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Demand for education

    Assessing demand using household

    surveys

    Identifying factors that influence demand This will be very helpful for developing

    policies aimed at increasing demand

    Policies forEFA, girls could benefit fromthis

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 12

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Learning outcomes & improving quality

    Learning assessment studies, such as

    SACMEQ

    Quantitative approaches that assessachievement levels & contributing factors

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 13

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Processes: Management &

    implementation Ifpolicy is as implementation does

    Andimplementation depends on ability

    (capacity, willingness) to get the work

    done

    Then, attainment of policy goals willgreatly depend on the existing institutionalcapacities

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    and, Therefore Institutional capacities are crucial for

    successful implementation of the complex

    tasks (processes) of the education system

    Successful implementation requires

    capable institutions

    Which requires understanding how they

    work, or dont (their dysfunctionalities)

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 15

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    OperationalConclusion

    Careful analysis of

    institutional capacitiesis key to

    getting the policy right

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 16

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Issues

    Data reliability, quality

    Accessibility of the tools

    Building capacities, learning-by-doing

    Who does the work

    Replicability

    Usability by policymakers

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 17

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Finding the information The usual places

    Within the education system: Statistics on

    enrollments, teachers, examination results Elsewhere: Ministry of Finance for salary

    information; Civil service commission for

    teacher career info.

    Unusual places: Faculties of education &

    libraries for research

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 18

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Issues

    What is valued knowledge, what information &knowledge have currency?

    Locally developed research? Research done by

    external bodies & people, by powerful institutions? Does some knowledge/information have greater

    legitimacy than other?

    What/whose knowledge speaks to power?

    What/whose knowledge does power listen to? Is there knowledge that is overlooked and

    undervalued?

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    Capacity building

    Two major issues:

    Capacity to do/perform ESA (the supply

    side). Capacity to use it in policy formulation (the

    demand side).

    Capacity is required on each side

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 20

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    Skills for ESA:

    on the supply side Quantitative skills

    Statistics: understanding data collection,

    quality & analysis

    Research design

    Qualitative skills

    Functional analysis of institutions

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 21

    IIEP/WGESA/2002/INF. 4

    Skills for ESA:

    on the demand side Willingness to base policy on empirical

    analysis

    Ability to absorb the logic and rationale ofESA analyses

    Ability to reconcile technical analyses and

    political imperatives and pressures

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 22

    Skills for ESA:

    between the supply & demand sidesCommunication capabilities that include

    Presentational skills (writing, graphics,

    avoiding presentations that nobodyunderstands)

    Willingness & ability to make the analytical

    results known to, and understood by, all

    stakeholders

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    Windhoek, 21 Nov. 02 Education Sector Analysis 23

    Strategic options for

    Capacity building From the beginning, ESA conceived as a capacity

    building exercise

    External experts focus on capacity building &

    skills development

    Extensive use of local expertise linked toeducation sector (I.e., avoid the commandoapproach)

    Learning-by-doing

    Tools & methods that are not overly sophisticated