Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

18
International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020 https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061 769 Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A Dynamical Approach Vandana Kumari Department of Mathematics, Amity Institute of Applied Science, Amity University, Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India. E-mail: [email protected] Sudipa Chauhan Department of Mathematics, Amity Institute of Applied Science, Amity University,Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India. Corresponding author: [email protected] Joydip Dhar Mathematical Modelling and Simulation Laboratory, Atal Bihari Vajpayee Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Gwalior, M.P., India. E-mail: [email protected] (Received August 28, 2019; Accepted January 28, 2020) Abstract Integrated Pest Management technique is used to formulate a mathematical model by using biological and chemical control impulsively. The uniform boundedness and the existence of pest extinction and nontrivial equilibrium points is discussed. Further, local stability of pest extinction equilibrium point is studied and it has been derived that if ≀ , the pest extinction equilibrium point is locally stable and for > , the system is permanent. It has also been obtained that how delay helps in eradicating pest population more quickly. Finally, analytic results have been validated numerically. Keywords- Plant-pest-natural enemy, Boundedness, Local stability, Permanence. 1. Introduction Plants as we all know conflict between and pests has been a root cause of concern in our ecology from almost two decades. Rescuing crops from predator pests such as insects has become a tedious task for farmers. With the advent in science and technology, effective measures have been discovered to deal with predator pest effectively like introducing natural enemies and chemical pesticides in relevent environment. It is a well known fact that excessive use of chemical pesticide such as organochlorine (DDT and toxaphene) is hazardous both for animals and human being as studied by authors (James, 1997). Therefore, Integrated pest management came into scenario in which selective pesticides control pests as natural predators when regulation through biological means fails. Many biological food web models to control pests have been discussed by many scholars (Changguo et al., 2009; Liu et al., 2013; Jatav et al., 2014; Song et al., 2014) where they took assumptions of either impulsive release of natural enemies or chemical pesticides. Authors (Jatav and Dhar, 2014) studied a model in which they formulated a mathematical model and obtained a threshold value below which pests gets eradicated. Later, many more IPM approach

Transcript of Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

Page 1: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

769

Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A Dynamical

Approach

Vandana Kumari

Department of Mathematics,

Amity Institute of Applied Science,

Amity University, Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India.

E-mail: [email protected]

Sudipa Chauhan Department of Mathematics,

Amity Institute of Applied Science,

Amity University,Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India.

Corresponding author: [email protected]

Joydip Dhar Mathematical Modelling and Simulation Laboratory,

Atal Bihari Vajpayee Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management,

Gwalior, M.P., India.

E-mail: [email protected]

(Received August 28, 2019; Accepted January 28, 2020)

Abstract

Integrated Pest Management technique is used to formulate a mathematical model by using biological and chemical

control impulsively. The uniform boundedness and the existence of pest extinction and nontrivial equilibrium points is

discussed. Further, local stability of pest extinction equilibrium point is studied and it has been derived that if 𝑇 ≀ π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯,

the pest extinction equilibrium point is locally stable and for 𝑇 > π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ , the system is permanent. It has also been

obtained that how delay helps in eradicating pest population more quickly. Finally, analytic results have been validated

numerically.

Keywords- Plant-pest-natural enemy, Boundedness, Local stability, Permanence.

1. Introduction Plants as we all know conflict between and pests has been a root cause of concern in our ecology

from almost two decades. Rescuing crops from predator pests such as insects has become a tedious

task for farmers. With the advent in science and technology, effective measures have been

discovered to deal with predator pest effectively like introducing natural enemies and chemical

pesticides in relevent environment. It is a well known fact that excessive use of chemical pesticide

such as organochlorine (DDT and toxaphene) is hazardous both for animals and human being as

studied by authors (James, 1997). Therefore, Integrated pest management came into scenario in

which selective pesticides control pests as natural predators when regulation through biological

means fails. Many biological food web models to control pests have been discussed by many

scholars (Changguo et al., 2009; Liu et al., 2013; Jatav et al., 2014; Song et al., 2014) where they

took assumptions of either impulsive release of natural enemies or chemical pesticides. Authors

(Jatav and Dhar, 2014) studied a model in which they formulated a mathematical model and

obtained a threshold value below which pests gets eradicated. Later, many more IPM approach

Page 2: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

770

inclined models were proposed where impulsive control strategies for pest eradication were

introduced and to name a few are (Tang et al., 2005; Akman et al., 2015; El-Shafie, 2018; Paez

Chavez et al., 2018). They studied various prospect of IPM method and its application. Scholars

(Zhang et al., 2004) did comparison between IPM method and classical method for pest control and

obtained that IPM strategy is better than any classical method to control pests. Recently, Yu et al.

(2019) introduced IPM method for predator–prey model with Allee effect and stochastic effect

respectively where they obtained thresholds based on biological and chemical control. However,

in all the papers discussed above no-one discussed significanlty about delays, in particularly

gestation delay which in a real situation always exist.

Hence, keeping in mind the above alma matter, we have formulated our model in reference to the

previous models and studied the dynamics of the new system with delay. The highlight of the paper

is that how delay parameter helps in reducing the pest population more quickly in comparison to

the system without delay. The results would be extremely beneficial for those crops where pest

population are growing exponentially due to favourable habitable condition. A relevent biological

example to our model is as follows:

Australian herb is always at the verge of being attacked by green Lacewing Larvae, which is a well

known pest. Encapsulating biological controls like mealy bugs followed by chemical control such

as chlorothalonil has shown remarkable results which advocates our approach of hybrid technique.

The organisation of the paper is as follows: In Section 2, 3 model formulation and preliminary

lemmas are discussed. In Section 4, local stability of pest extinction is achieved followed by

permanence in Section 5. Finally, in the last two sections numerical simulation is done for

validation of analtical results with conclusion.

2. Mathematical Model We have proposed our mathematical model by the following set of differential equations:

𝑑𝑝

𝑑𝑑= 𝑝(π‘Ÿ βˆ’ 𝑝) βˆ’ π‘Ž1π‘π‘ž

π‘‘π‘ž

𝑑𝑑= π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘π‘ž βˆ’ π‘Ž2π‘ž(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝜏)π‘Ÿ2(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝜏)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ π·π‘ž

π‘‘π‘Ÿ1

𝑑𝑑= π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘ž(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝜏)π‘Ÿ2(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝜏)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ (𝐷3 + πœ‡0)π‘Ÿ1

π‘‘π‘Ÿ2

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0π‘Ÿ1 βˆ’ 𝐷3π‘Ÿ2

}

𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇 (1)

𝑝(𝑑+) = 𝑝

π‘ž(𝑑+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ1 + πœ‡1

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ2 + πœ‡2

}

= 𝑛𝑇 (2)

The model completes with the following initial conditions:

𝑝(πœƒ) = πœ™1(πœƒ), π‘ž(πœƒ) = πœ™2(πœƒ), π‘Ÿ1 = πœ“1(πœƒ), π‘Ÿ2 = πœ“2(πœƒ) , πœ™π‘–(0) > 0 , πœ“π‘–(0) > 0 , πœƒ ∈ [βˆ’πœ, 0] ,

(𝑖 = 1,2) , where (πœ™1, πœ™2, πœ“1, πœ“2) ∈ 𝐢([βˆ’πœ, 0], ℝ+4 , the Banach space of continuous

functions mapping on the interval [βˆ’πœ, 0]into ℝ+4 . The graphical representation of the model is

Page 3: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

771

as follows in Figure 1. Negative and positive sign represents outgoing and incoming rates.

Figure 1. Graphical representation of model

The parameters/variables used in the model are explained in detail in Table 1 mentioned below and

for convenience 𝑑 is removed from the variables throughout the paper.

Table. 1 Meaning of parameters /variables

Parameters/Variables Meaning

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) Immature natural enemy

π‘Ÿ growth rate of plant population

π‘Ÿ2(t) Mature natural enemy

𝜏 Time delay

𝑝(𝑑) Plant population

π‘Ž1 Rate at which plant population is decreasing to pest population

𝑏1 Growth rate of pest population

D Mortality Rate

π‘Ž2 Rate at which pest population is decreasing

𝑏2 Rate at immature natural enemy population

πœ‡0 Mortality rate of immature natural enemy

𝐷3 Mortality rate of mature natural enemy

𝑇 Period of impulse

πœ‡1 Amount of pulse release of immature natural enemy

πœ‡2 Amount of pulse release of mature natural enemy

0 ≀ 𝛿 < 1 harvesting rate of pest through chemical pesticide

π‘ž(𝑑) Pest population

3. Preliminary Lemmas In this section, we have given a few Lemmas, which will be useful for our main result.

Lemma 3.1 Let us consider the system

𝑀′(𝑑) = 𝑏 βˆ’ 𝑐𝑀(𝑑), 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇,

(3)

𝑀(𝑑+) = 𝑀(𝑑) + πœ‡, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3…. (4)

Then the system has a positive periodic solution οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½(𝑑)and for any solution 𝑀(𝑑) of the system

(3),we have,

|𝑀(𝑑) βˆ’ οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½(𝑑)| β†’ 0,

for 𝑑 β†’ ∞, where, for

𝑑 ∈ (𝑛𝑑, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇], οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½(𝑑) =𝑏

𝑐+πœ‡π‘’π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘(π‘‘βˆ’π‘›π‘‡))

1βˆ’π‘’π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘π‘‡) with οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½(0+) =

𝑏

𝑐+

πœ‡

1βˆ’π‘’π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘π‘‡).

Page 4: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

772

The boundedness is given lemma 3.2.

Lemma 3.2 There exists a constant 𝑀 > 0 s.t 𝑝(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, π‘ž(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, for (1 βˆ’ 2) with t being sufficiently large where

𝑀 =𝑀0

οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(�̅�𝑑)

𝑒π‘₯𝑝(�̅�𝑑) βˆ’ 1> 0.

Now, we will discuss the pest extinction case and our impulsive system (1 βˆ’ 2) reduces to:

π‘‘π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

π‘‘π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

}

𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇, (5)

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ1 + πœ‡1

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ2 + πœ‡2 } 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, (6)

For the system (5 βˆ’ 6), we integrate it over the interval (𝑛𝑇, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇] , and by means of

stroboscopic mapping we get, π‘Ÿ1((𝑛 + 1)𝑇+) = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝( βˆ’ (𝐷3 + Β΅0)𝑇) π‘Ÿ1(𝑛𝑇

+) + πœ‡1

Thus the corresponding periodic solution of (5 βˆ’ 6) in 𝑑 ∈ (𝑛𝑇, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇] is,

οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑) =πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)

with

οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(0+) =

πœ‡11 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)

and is stable globally. Substituting οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑) into (5 βˆ’ 6), we obtain the following subsystem:

π‘‘π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3π‘Ÿ2(𝑑), 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ2 + πœ‡2, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇

} (7)

Further, integrating (7) in the interval (𝑛𝑇, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇], we get,

οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑) =βˆ’πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇),

with initial value

οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(0+) =

βˆ’πœ‡11 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)

+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇),

Page 5: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

773

which is stable globally.

Moreover, due to the absence of pest, the subsystem of (1 βˆ’ 2) can also be considered as follows:

𝑑𝑝(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= 𝑝(π‘Ÿ βˆ’ 𝑝) (8)

With 𝑝 = 0 as unstable equilibrium and 𝑝 = π‘Ÿ as globally stable. Therefore, the two periodic

solutions of (1 βˆ’ 2) are (0,0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2) and (π‘Ÿ, 0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2).

4. Local Stability of Pest Extinction Case

This section will discuss the local stability analysis of the equilibrium point with pest population.

Theorem 4.1 Let (𝑝, π‘ž, π‘Ÿ1, π‘Ÿ2) be a solution of (1 βˆ’ 2), Then

(i) (0,0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2) is unstable.

(ii) (π‘Ÿ, 0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2) is locally asymptotically stable iff 𝑇 ≀ π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯, where

π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ =1

(π‘Ž1𝑏1 βˆ’ 𝑑){π‘™π‘œπ‘”

1

(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)+ π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1πœπ‘Ž2(

𝐷3πœ‡2 + πœ‡0(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)

𝐷3(𝐷3 + πœ‡0))}, π‘Ž1𝑏1 > 𝑑 (9)

Proof: (i) Here, we define,

𝑝 = πœ™1 , π‘ž = πœ™2 , π‘Ÿ1 = οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1 + πœ™3, π‘Ÿ2 = οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2 + πœ™4

where, πœ™1(𝑑), πœ™2(𝑑), πœ™3(𝑑), πœ™4(𝑑)are perturbation in 𝑝, π‘ž, π‘Ÿ1, π‘Ÿ2 then the system’s linearized

form becomes:

π‘‘πœ™1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= βˆ’π‘Ÿπœ™1(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= βˆ’(𝐷 + π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)πœ™2(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™3(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= π‘Ž2𝑏2πœ™2(𝑑)οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ (𝐷3 + πœ‡0)πœ™3(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™4(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0πœ™3(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3πœ™4(𝑑)

}

𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇 (10)

πœ™1(𝑑+) = πœ™1(𝑑)

πœ™2(𝑑+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)πœ™2(𝑑)

πœ™3(𝑑+) = πœ™3(𝑑) + πœ‡1

πœ™4(𝑑+) = πœ™4(𝑑) + πœ‡2

}

= 𝑛𝑇 (11)

Let πœ™(𝑑) be the fundamental matrix of (10 βˆ’ 11), then πœ™(𝑑) must satisfy,

Page 6: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

774

π‘‘πœ™(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑=

[ π‘Ÿ 0 0 00 βˆ’(𝐷 + π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏) 0 0

0 π‘Ž2𝑏2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0) 0

0 0 πœ‡0 βˆ’π·3]

πœ™(𝑑) = π΄πœ™(𝑑) (12)

Thus, the monodromy matrix of (10 βˆ’ 11) is

𝑀 =

[ 1 0 0 00 1 βˆ’ 𝛿 0 00 0 1 00 0 0 1

]

πœ™(𝑑)

From (12), we get πœ™(𝑑) = πœ™(0)𝑒π‘₯𝑝 (βˆ«π‘‡

0𝐴𝑑𝑑), where πœ™(0) is an identity matrix and hence

the eigen values corresponding to matrix 𝑀 are as follows:

πœ†3 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝 (βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0))𝑇 < 1, πœ†4 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇) < 1, πœ†1 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(π‘Ÿπ‘‡) > 1,

πœ†2 = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑒π‘₯π‘βˆ«π‘‡

0

(βˆ’(𝐷 + π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)) 𝑑𝑑 < 1.

Therefore, according to the Floquet theory (Bainov and Sineonov, 1993) the pest eradication

periodic solution is unstable as |πœ†1| > 1.

Remark 1: The effect of delay can be easily seen in the value of π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ which helps in reducing its

value.

(ii) The local stability of (π‘Ÿ, 0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑), οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)) is proved in the similar fashion. We define 𝑝 = π‘Ÿ +πœ™1(𝑑), π‘ž = πœ™2(𝑑), π‘Ÿ1 = οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑) + πœ™3(𝑑), π‘Ÿ2 = οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑) + πœ™4(𝑑) and the system (1 βˆ’ 2)′𝑠 linearized

form is as follows:

π‘‘πœ™1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= βˆ’π‘Ÿπœ™1(𝑑) βˆ’ π‘Ž1πœ™2

π‘‘πœ™2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= (π‘Ž1𝑏1 βˆ’ 𝐷 βˆ’ π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)πœ™2(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™3(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= π‘Ž2𝑏2πœ™2(𝑑)οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ (𝐷3 + πœ‡0)πœ™3(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™4(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0πœ™3(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3πœ™4(𝑑)

}

𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇 (13)

πœ™1(𝑑+) = πœ™1(𝑑),

πœ™2(𝑑+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)πœ™2(𝑑)

πœ™3(𝑑+) = πœ™3(𝑑) + πœ‡1

πœ™4(𝑑+) = πœ™4(𝑑) + πœ‡2

}

𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇 (14)

Page 7: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

775

Let πœ™(𝑑) be the fundamental matrix of (13 βˆ’ 14), then πœ™(𝑑) must satisfy

π‘‘πœ™(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑=

[ βˆ’π‘Ÿ βˆ’π‘Ž1 0 0

0 π‘Ž1𝑏1 βˆ’ 𝐷 βˆ’ π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 0 0

0 π‘Ž2𝑏2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0) 0

0 0 πœ‡0 βˆ’π·3]

πœ™(𝑑)

π‘‘πœ™(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= π΄πœ™(𝑑) (15)

Thus, the monodromy matrix of (13 βˆ’ 14) is

𝑀 =

[ 1 0 0 00 1 βˆ’ 𝛿 0 00 0 1 00 0 0 1

]

πœ™(𝑑).

From (15) , we get πœ™(𝑑) = πœ™(0)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ«π‘‡

0𝐴𝑑𝑑), whereπœ™(0) is an identity matrix. Then the

characteristic values obtained for 𝑀 are as follows:

πœ†1 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘Ÿπ‘‡) < 1, πœ†2 = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑒π‘₯π‘βˆ«π‘‡

0

(π‘Ž1𝑏1 βˆ’ 𝐷 βˆ’ π‘Ž2οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½2(𝑑)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏) < 1,

πœ†3 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝((βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0) βˆ’ πœ†)𝑇) < 1, πœ†4 = 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇) < 1.

Therefore, pest eradication periodic solution of (1 βˆ’ 2) is locally asymptotically stable as per

Floquet theory (Bainov and Sineonov, 1993) if and only if |πœ†2| ≀ 1 which implies 𝑇 ≀ π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯.

Hence, the theorem is proved.

5. Permanence In this section, we will discuss permanence of system (1 βˆ’ 2).

Theorem 5.1 The system (1-2) is permanent if 𝑇 > π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯.

Proof. Suppose (𝑝, π‘ž, π‘Ÿ1, π‘Ÿ2) is the solution of the system (1 βˆ’ 2), 𝑑 being removed for

convenience, We have already proved that 𝑝(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, π‘ž(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀, π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀 and π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) ≀ 𝑀 βˆ€

𝑑. From, (1 βˆ’ 2) we have 𝑑𝑝

𝑑𝑑β‰₯ 𝑝(π‘Ÿ βˆ’ π‘Ž1π‘€βˆ’ 𝑝) which implies that 𝑝(𝑑) > π‘Ÿ βˆ’ π‘Ž1𝑀 β‰œ π‘š1

for all large t. For small πœ–4 > 0, we choose π‘š1 = 1 βˆ’ πœ– > 0 and also define,

π‘š2 =βˆ’πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)βˆ’ πœ–4 > 0,

Page 8: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

776

π‘š3 =βˆ’πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇)βˆ’πœ–4πœ‡0𝐷3

βˆ’ πœ–4 > 0.

Now, the system (1 βˆ’ 2) can be rewritten as:

π‘‘π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

π‘‘π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

}

𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇, (16)

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ1 + πœ‡1

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ2 + πœ‡2 } 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇. (17)

The system (16 βˆ’ 17) is same as (5 βˆ’ 6), using same technique, we can easily find that π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) >π‘š2 and π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) > π‘š3 βˆ€ t. Hence, for proving the permanence we have only have to prove π‘š4 >0, such that π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4βˆ€ t which will be done in two steps.

Step 1: Let π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4 is false βˆƒ a 𝑑1 ∈ (0,∞) s.t π‘ž(𝑑) < π‘š4 βˆ€ 𝑑 > 𝑑1. Using this

supposition, we get subsystem of (1 βˆ’ 2):

π‘‘π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑≀ π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘€π‘š4𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ (𝐷3 + πœ‡0)π‘Ÿ1, 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) + πœ‡1, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3…….

Let us assume the comparison system:

𝑑�̅�1(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑≀ π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘€π‘š4𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ (𝐷3 + πœ‡0)οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑), 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑+) = οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑) + πœ‡1, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3. . . .

} (18)

Using lemma 3.1, equation (18) has periodic solution

(𝑑)οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1 =π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3 + πœ‡0+πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)

which is globally asymptotically stable. Then, βˆƒ an πœ–5 > 0 s.t

π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) ≀ οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1(𝑑) <π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3 + πœ‡0+πœ‡1 exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+ πœ–5 > 0.

For sufficiently large 𝑑. Thus we find the following subsystem of (1 βˆ’ 2):

Page 9: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

777

π‘‘π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0 (

π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3 + πœ‡0+πœ‡1 exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+ πœ–5) βˆ’ 𝐷3π‘Ÿ2, 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑+) = π‘Ÿ2 + πœ‡2, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3. . . . . . .

}

(19)

Consider the comparison system (19) as follows:

𝑑�̅� 2(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= πœ‡0(

π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3 + πœ‡0+πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+ πœ–5)(𝑑) βˆ’ 𝐷3οΏ½Μ…οΏ½2(𝑑), 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

οΏ½Μ…οΏ½2(𝑑+) = οΏ½Μ…οΏ½2(𝑑) + πœ‡2, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3. . . . . . .

}

(20)

Similarly, system (20) also has a periodic solution

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) < οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) <βˆ’πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇)

+πœ‡0𝐷3(π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)+ πœ–5)

οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) <βˆ’πœ‡1 exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ exp(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2) exp(βˆ’π·3(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ exp(βˆ’π·3𝑇)

+πœ‡0

𝐷3(π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)πœ–5) (21)

which is globally asymptotically stable and βˆƒ an πœ–6 > 0 s.t

π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) < οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) <βˆ’πœ‡1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)𝑇)+(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛𝑇))

1 βˆ’ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π·3𝑇)

+πœ‡0𝐷3(π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)+ πœ–5) + πœ–6.

It shows that βˆƒ a 𝑇1 > 0 s.t for 𝑛𝑇 < 𝑑 ≀ (𝑛 + 1)𝑇, we are having the following subsystem of

(1 βˆ’ 2): π‘‘π‘ž(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑β‰₯ [π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2(οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) + πœ–6)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ 𝐷]π‘ž, 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

π‘ž(𝑑+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž(𝑑), 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, π‘Žπ‘›π‘‘, 𝑑 > 𝑇1} (22)

Integrating the system, (22) on (𝑛𝑇, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇], 𝑛 β‰₯ 𝑁1 (here,𝑁1 is the nonnegative integer and

𝑁1𝑇 β‰₯ 𝑇1), then we obtain that,

Page 10: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

778

π‘ž((𝑛 + 1)𝑇) β‰₯ (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž(𝑛𝑇+)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(∫(𝑛+1)𝑇

𝑛𝑇

(π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2(οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) βˆ’ πœ–6)π‘’βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’π·)𝑑𝑑)

= π‘ž(𝑛𝑇+)οΏ½Μ…οΏ½

where, οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž(𝑛𝑇+)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(∫(𝑛+1)𝑇

𝑛𝑇(π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2(οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) βˆ’ πœ–6)𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ 𝐷)𝑑𝑑) > 1, as, 𝑇 >

π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯, therefore, forπœ–5 > 0, we obtain that,

(π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2πœ–6𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏) βˆ’ 𝐷)𝑇 βˆ’π‘Ž2πœ‡0𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3(𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)βˆ’ πœ–5) βˆ’

π‘Ž2(πœ‡1

(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)

(πœ‡1 + πœ‡2) exp(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3) βˆ’ π‘™π‘œπ‘”(

1

1 βˆ’ 𝛿) > 1.

Thus, π‘ž((𝑁1 + π‘˜)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘ž(𝑁1𝑇+)οΏ½Μ…οΏ½π‘˜ β†’ ∞ as π‘˜ β†’ ∞, which violoates our assumption π‘ž(𝑑) <

π‘š4, for every 𝑑 > 𝑑2. Hence there exists a 𝑑2 > 𝑑1 s.t π‘ž(𝑑2) β‰₯ π‘š4.

Step 2: If π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4 βˆ€ 𝑑 β‰₯ 𝑑2, then our aim will be fulfilled. On the contrary let us assume

that π‘ž(𝑑) < π‘š4 for some 𝑑 > 𝑑2. Let π‘‘βˆ— = inf{𝑑|π‘ž(𝑑) < π‘š4, 𝑑 > 𝑑2}, then there will be two

cases:

Case 1: Letπ‘‘βˆ— = 𝑛1𝑇, 𝑛1 ∈ 𝑍+ . In this case π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4 for 𝑑 ∈ [𝑑2, 𝑑

βˆ—) and (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘š4 β‰€π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ—+ = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ—) < π‘š4) . Let 𝑇2 = 𝑛2𝑇 + 𝑛3𝑇, where 𝑛2 = 𝑛2

β€² + 𝑛2β€²β€², 𝑛2

β€² , 𝑛2 β€²β€² and 𝑛3

satisfy these inequalities:

𝑛2′𝑇 > βˆ’1

𝐷3 + πœ‡0𝑙𝑛

πœ–5𝑀 + πœ‡1

,

𝑛2′′𝑇 > βˆ’1

𝐷3 + πœ‡0𝑙𝑛

πœ–6𝑀+ πœ‡2

,

(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛2+𝑛3exp (πœ‚π‘›2𝑇)exp (𝑛3𝜎) > 1,

πœ‚ = π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2πœ–6𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏) βˆ’ 𝐷 < 0. Now, we claim that βˆƒ a time 𝑑2β€² ∈ (π‘‘βˆ—, π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2) such

that π‘ž(𝑑2β€² ) β‰₯ π‘š4, if it is not true, then π‘ž(𝑑2

β€² ) < π‘š4, 𝑑2β€² ∈ (π‘‘βˆ—, π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2). If the system (18) is taken

with initial value οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(π‘‘βˆ—+) = π‘Ÿ1(𝑑

βˆ—+), then from lemma (3.1) for 𝑑 ∈ (𝑛𝑇, (𝑛 + 1)𝑇],

we have

οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑) = (οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(π‘‘βˆ—+) βˆ’

π‘Ž2𝑏2π‘š4𝑀𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏)

𝐷3+πœ‡0+

πœ‡1

1βˆ’π‘’π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3+πœ‡0)𝑇))𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 + πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑

βˆ—)) + οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1(𝑑),

for 𝑛1 ≀ 𝑛 ≀ 𝑛1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3 which shows that |οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑) βˆ’ οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1(𝑑)| ≀ (𝑀 + πœ‡1)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(βˆ’(𝐷3 +

πœ‡0)(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑛1𝑇)) < πœ–5, and π‘Ÿ1(𝑑) ≀ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑) < οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1(𝑑) + πœ–5 for π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2

β€² 𝑇 ≀ 𝑑 ≀ π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2.

Now, from the system (18) with initial values οΏ½Μ…οΏ½2(π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2

β€² 𝑇) = π‘ž2(π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2

β€² 𝑇) β‰₯ 0 and again from

lemma (3.1), we have |οΏ½Μ…οΏ½1(𝑑) βˆ’ οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½1(𝑑)| < (𝑀 + πœ‡2)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(𝐷3(𝑑 βˆ’ (𝑛1 +𝑁2β€²)𝑇)) <

πœ–6, and π‘Ÿ2(𝑑) ≀ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½2(𝑑) < οΏ½ΜƒΜ…οΏ½2(𝑑) + πœ–6 for π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2

β€² 𝑇 + 𝑛2′′𝑇 ≀ 𝑑 ≀ π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2, which shows that

Page 11: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

779

system (22) holds for [π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2𝑇, π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2].

Integrating equation (22) on [π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑛2𝑇, π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2], we have

π‘ž((𝑛1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘ž((𝑛1 + 𝑛2)𝑇)(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛3𝑒π‘₯𝑝(𝑛3𝜎) (23)

In addition from the system (1 βˆ’ 2), we have

π‘‘π‘ž(𝑑)

𝑑𝑑= (π‘Ž1𝑏1π‘š1 βˆ’ π‘Ž2𝑀𝑒

βˆ’π‘‘1𝜏 βˆ’ 𝐷) π‘ž(𝑑) = πœ‚π‘ž(𝑑), 𝑑 β‰  𝑛𝑇

π‘ž(𝑑+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž, 𝑑 = 𝑛𝑇, 𝑛 = 1,2,3. . . .} (24)

On integrating (24) in the interval [π‘‡βˆ—, (𝑛1 + 𝑛2)𝑇], it is obtained that

π‘ž((𝑛1 + 𝑛2)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛2𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘›2𝑇) (25)

Now substitute (25) into (24), we get that

π‘ž((𝑛1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛2+𝑛3𝑒π‘₯𝑝(𝑛3𝜎)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘›2𝑇) > π‘š4 (26)

which contradicts to our supposition, so there exists a time 𝑑2β€² ∈ [π‘‘βˆ—, π‘‘βˆ— + 𝑇2] such thatπ‘ž2

β€² β‰₯

π‘š4. Let οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½ = inf{𝑑|𝑑 β‰₯ π‘‘βˆ—, π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4} ,since 0 < 𝛿 < 1, π‘ž(𝑛𝑇+) = (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘ž(𝑛𝑇) <

π‘ž(𝑛𝑇)andπ‘ž(𝑑) < π‘š4, 𝑑 ∈ (π‘‘βˆ—, οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½). Thus,π‘ž(οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) = π‘š4.

Suppose𝑑 ∈ (π‘‘βˆ— + (𝑙 βˆ’ 1)𝑇, π‘‡βˆ— + 𝑙𝑇] (𝑙is a positive integer) and 𝑙 ≀ 𝑛2 + 𝑛3, from the system

(24), we have

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ— + (𝑙 βˆ’ 1)𝑇)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑑 βˆ’ π‘‘βˆ— βˆ’ (𝑙 βˆ’ 1))𝑇)

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘ž(𝑛𝑇+)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘‡(𝑙 βˆ’ 1))(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘™βˆ’1𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘‡)

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑙𝑒π‘₯𝑝(π‘™πœ‚π‘‡)

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)(𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑒π‘₯𝑝((𝑛2 + 𝑛3)πœ‚π‘‡) β‰œ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4

for 𝑑 > οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½. The same argument can be continued since π‘ž(οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) β‰₯ π‘š4. Hence π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4βˆ€π‘‘ > 𝑑2.

Case 2: If π‘‘βˆ— β‰  𝑛𝑇, then π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ—) = π‘š4 and π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4, 𝑑 ∈ [𝑑2, π‘‘βˆ—]. Suppose π‘‘βˆ— ∈ (𝑛1

′𝑇, (𝑛1β€² +

1)𝑇], we are having two subcases for 𝑑 ∈ [π‘‘βˆ—, (𝑛1β€² + 1)𝑇] as given below:

Case a: π‘ž(𝑑) ≀ π‘š4, π‘‘πœ–[π‘‘βˆ—, (𝑛1

β€² + 1)𝑇], we claim that there exists a 𝑑3νœ€[(𝑛1β€² + 1)𝑇, (𝑛1

β€² +

1)𝑇 + 𝑇2] s.t π‘ž(𝑑3) > π‘š4. Otherwise, integrating system (24) on the interval [(𝑛1β€² + 1 +

𝑛2)𝑇, (𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇] , we have, π‘ž((𝑛1

β€² + 1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘ž((𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2)𝑇)(1 βˆ’

𝛿)𝑛3𝑒π‘₯𝑝(𝑛3𝜎)

Since π‘ž(𝑑) ≀ π‘š4, 𝑑 ∈ [π‘‘βˆ—, (𝑛1

β€² + 1)𝑇], therefore, (13) holds on [π‘‘βˆ—, (𝑛1β€² + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇].

Page 12: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

780

Thus,

π‘ž((𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2)𝑇) = π‘ž(𝑑

βˆ—)(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛2𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2)𝑇 βˆ’ 𝑑

βˆ—)

π‘ž((𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)

𝑛2𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘›2𝑇)

and

π‘ž((𝑛1β€² + 1 + 𝑛2 + 𝑛3)𝑇) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)

𝑛2+𝑛3𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘›2𝑇)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(𝑛3𝜎) > π‘š4

which negates the assumption. Let οΏ½Μ†οΏ½ = inf {𝑑|π‘ž β‰₯ π‘š4, 𝑑 > π‘‘βˆ—}, then π‘ž(οΏ½Μ†οΏ½) = π‘š4 and π‘ž < π‘š4, 𝑑 ∈

(π‘‘βˆ—, οΏ½Μ†οΏ½). Choose 𝑑 ∈ (𝑛1′𝑇 + (𝑙′ βˆ’ 1)𝑇, 𝑛1

′𝑇 + 𝑙′𝑇] βŠ‚ (π‘‘βˆ—, οΏ½Μ†οΏ½), 𝑙′ is a positive integer and 𝑙′ < 1 +

𝑛2 + 𝑛3, we have

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘ž((𝑛1β€² + 𝑙′ βˆ’ 1)𝑇+)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑑 βˆ’ (𝑛1

β€² + 𝑙′ βˆ’ 1)𝑇))

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ (1 βˆ’ 𝛿)π‘™β€²βˆ’1π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ—)𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑑 βˆ’ π‘‘βˆ—))

π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4(1 βˆ’ 𝛿)𝑛2+𝑛3𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑛2 + 𝑛3 + 1)𝑇).

Hence, π‘ž β‰₯ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4 for 𝑑 ∈ (π‘‘βˆ—, οΏ½Μ†οΏ½). For 𝑑 > οΏ½Μ†οΏ½, we can proceed in the same manner since π‘ž(οΏ½Μ†οΏ½) β‰₯ π‘š4.

Case b: If βˆƒ a 𝑑 ∈ (π‘‘βˆ—, (𝑛1β€² + 1)𝑇) s.t π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4. Let οΏ½Μ†οΏ½ = inf (𝑑|π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ π‘š4, 𝑑 > 𝑑

βˆ—), then

π‘ž(𝑑) < π‘š4 for 𝑑 ∈ [π‘‘βˆ—, 𝑑̅) and π‘ž(𝑑̅) = π‘š4. For 𝑑 ∈ [π‘‘βˆ—, 𝑑̅) (24) holds. On integrating (24) on

π‘‘βˆ—, οΏ½Μ†οΏ½, we obtain

π‘ž β‰₯ π‘ž(π‘‘βˆ—) β‰₯ 𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚(𝑑 βˆ’ π‘‘βˆ—) β‰₯ π‘š4𝑒π‘₯𝑝(πœ‚π‘‡) > οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4

Since, π‘ž(οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) β‰₯ π‘š4 for 𝑑 > οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½, we can proceed in the same manner. Hence, we have π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4 for

all 𝑑 > 𝑑2. Therefore we can conclude that π‘ž(𝑑) β‰₯ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½4 for all 𝑑 β‰₯ 𝑑2 in both cases.

6. Numerical Section For the intended process, we have taken data per week in view of the short term life cycle of the

insect population under investigation. Our aim is to validate the analytical results numerically. We

have considered numerical values for the following set of parameters in reference to (Jatav and

Dhar, 2014) as mentioned in Table 2.

Table 2. Parametric values

Parameters πœ‡0 r a1 b1 d1 𝜏 a2 b2 D D3

Values 50 1 1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.03 25

Using the above parametric values, we obtained the threshold value π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ for the parameters per

week as 0.8 . It is proved that (π‘Ÿ, 0, οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑), οΏ½ΜƒοΏ½1(𝑑))is locally asymptotically stable if 𝑇 = 0.5 <π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ as stated above in the theorem 4.1 (Figure 2-5). Further, it is also verified that the system

(𝐴 βˆ’ 𝐡) is permanent if 𝑇 = 4 > π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯(Figure 6-9) which is inline with theorem 5.1. It is also

shown that if there is no biological control, that is, πœ‡1 = 0 and πœ‡2 = 0, πœ‡1 = 0 and πœ‡2 >0 or πœ‡1 > 0 and πœ‡2 = 0, then both plants and pest population survives.This concludes, that

solely using chemical pesticide cannot eradicate pest population (Figure 10-14).

Page 13: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

781

Figure 2. Plant population (𝑃(𝑑)) existing

Figure 3. Pest population (π‘ž(𝑑)) vanishes

Figure 4. Periodic behaviour of π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)

Page 14: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

782

Figure 5. Periodic behaviour of (π‘Ÿ2(𝑑))

Figure 6. Plant population (𝑝(𝑑)) exists

Figure 7. Pest population (π‘ž(𝑑)) survives

Page 15: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

783

Figure 8. Immature natural enemies (π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)) exists

Figure 9. Behaviour of mature natural enemies (π‘Ÿ2(𝑑))

Figure 10. Existence of the pest population(π‘ž(𝑑)) for πœ‡1, πœ‡2 = 0

Page 16: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

784

Figure 11. Immature natural enemy (π‘Ÿ1(𝑑)) vanishes forπœ‡1, πœ‡2 = 0

Figure 12. Mature natural enemy (π‘Ÿ2(𝑑)) for πœ‡1, πœ‡2 = 0

Figure 13. Plant population (𝑝(𝑑)) is stable forπœ‡1 = 100, πœ‡2 = 50

Page 17: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

785

Figure 14. Pest population (π‘ž(𝑑)) declines forπœ‡1 = 100, πœ‡2 = 50

7. Conclusion In this paper, we have examine the effects of hybrid approach to control the pests by release of

natural enemies and pesticides impulsively. It is evident that pest population can become extinct

when large amount of the natural enemies are released impulsively. Thus, integrated pest

management reduces pest quickly rather than using any one of the methods. Hence, in this paper,

we have shown that by incorporating delay in the pests, we are able to control the pest population

but to a lower threshold value which in a way is helpful as it is leading to early reduction in the pest

which is not only economic but it also prevents pest resistance to crops. Incorporating delay

lowered the threshold level from to π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ = 7 to π‘‡π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯ = 0.8 for the same set of parameters as in

(Jatav & Dhar, 2014). Thus, we can conclude that various control measures should be applied

collectively for the eradication of pest. Such a practice improves economy as it is cost effective and

synonymous with sustainable development.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

Acknowledgements

The first author would like to express her sincere thanks to her guide, co-guide for their constant guidance and support

and special thanks to all the reviewers and editor.

References

Akman, O., Comar, T.D., & Hrozencik, D. (2015). On impulsive integrated pest management models with

stochastic effects. Frontiers in Neuroscience, 9,119. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2015.00119.

Bainov, D.D., & Simeonov, P. (1993). Impulsive differential equations: periodic solutions and application.

Pitman Monographs and Surveys in Pure and Applied Mathematics, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press,

ISBN 9780582096394.

Page 18: Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...

International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences

Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020

https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061

786

Changguo, L., Yongzhen, P., & Xuehui, J. (2009). Dynamic behavior of a multiple species prey-predator

system with impulsive chemical and biological control. In 2009 Fifth International Conference on

Natural Computation (Vol. 5, pp. 477-481). IEEE. Tianjin, China.

El-Shafie, H. (2018). Integrated insect pest management. Pests - Insects, Management, Control [Working

Title].

James, D.G. (1997). Imidacloprid increases egg production in Amblyseius victoriensis (Acari:

Phytoseiidae). Experimental & Applied Acarology, 21(2), 75-82.

Jatav, K.S., & Dhar, J. (2014). Hybrid approach for pest control with impulsive releasing of natural enemies

and chemical pesticides: a plant–pest–natural enemy model. Nonlinear Analysis: Hybrid Systems, 12,

79-92.

Jatav, K.S., Dhar, J., & Nagar, A.K. (2014). Mathematical study of stage-structured pests control through

impulsively released natural enemies with discrete and distributed delays. Applied Mathematics and

Computation, 238, 511-526.

Liu, B., Xu, L., & Kang, B. (2013). Dynamics of a stage structured pest control model in a polluted

environment with pulse pollution input. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2013.

doi.org/10.1155/2013/678762.

PΓ‘ez ChΓ‘vez, J., Jungmann, D., & Siegmund, S. (2018). A comparative study of integrated pest management

strategies based on impulsive control. Journal of Biological Dynamics, 12(1), 318-341.

Song, Y., Wang, X., & Jiang, W. (2014). The pest management model with impulsive control. Applied

Mechanics and Materials, 519, 1299-1304. doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.

Tang, S., Xiao, Y., Chen, L., & Cheke, R.A. (2005). Integrated pest management models and their dynamical

behaviour. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 67(1), 115-135.

Yu, T., Tian, Y., Guo, H., & Song, X. (2019). Dynamical analysis of an integrated pest management predator–

prey model with weak Allee effect. Journal of Biological Dynamics, 13(1), 218-244.

Zhang, Y., Liu, B., & Chen, L. (2004). Dynamical behavior of Volterra model with mutual interference

concerning IPM. ESAIM: Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Analysis, 38(1), 143-155.

Original content of this work is copyright Β© International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences. Uses

under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license at https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/