Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...
Transcript of Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A ...
International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences
Vol. 5, No. 4, 769-786, 2020
https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.4.061
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Controlling Pest by Integrated Pest Management: A Dynamical
Approach
Vandana Kumari
Department of Mathematics,
Amity Institute of Applied Science,
Amity University, Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India.
E-mail: [email protected]
Sudipa Chauhan Department of Mathematics,
Amity Institute of Applied Science,
Amity University,Sector-125, Noida, U.P., India.
Corresponding author: [email protected]
Joydip Dhar Mathematical Modelling and Simulation Laboratory,
Atal Bihari Vajpayee Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management,
Gwalior, M.P., India.
E-mail: [email protected]
(Received August 28, 2019; Accepted January 28, 2020)
Abstract
Integrated Pest Management technique is used to formulate a mathematical model by using biological and chemical
control impulsively. The uniform boundedness and the existence of pest extinction and nontrivial equilibrium points is
discussed. Further, local stability of pest extinction equilibrium point is studied and it has been derived that if π β€ ππππ₯,
the pest extinction equilibrium point is locally stable and for π > ππππ₯ , the system is permanent. It has also been
obtained that how delay helps in eradicating pest population more quickly. Finally, analytic results have been validated
numerically.
Keywords- Plant-pest-natural enemy, Boundedness, Local stability, Permanence.
1. Introduction Plants as we all know conflict between and pests has been a root cause of concern in our ecology
from almost two decades. Rescuing crops from predator pests such as insects has become a tedious
task for farmers. With the advent in science and technology, effective measures have been
discovered to deal with predator pest effectively like introducing natural enemies and chemical
pesticides in relevent environment. It is a well known fact that excessive use of chemical pesticide
such as organochlorine (DDT and toxaphene) is hazardous both for animals and human being as
studied by authors (James, 1997). Therefore, Integrated pest management came into scenario in
which selective pesticides control pests as natural predators when regulation through biological
means fails. Many biological food web models to control pests have been discussed by many
scholars (Changguo et al., 2009; Liu et al., 2013; Jatav et al., 2014; Song et al., 2014) where they
took assumptions of either impulsive release of natural enemies or chemical pesticides. Authors
(Jatav and Dhar, 2014) studied a model in which they formulated a mathematical model and
obtained a threshold value below which pests gets eradicated. Later, many more IPM approach
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inclined models were proposed where impulsive control strategies for pest eradication were
introduced and to name a few are (Tang et al., 2005; Akman et al., 2015; El-Shafie, 2018; Paez
Chavez et al., 2018). They studied various prospect of IPM method and its application. Scholars
(Zhang et al., 2004) did comparison between IPM method and classical method for pest control and
obtained that IPM strategy is better than any classical method to control pests. Recently, Yu et al.
(2019) introduced IPM method for predatorβprey model with Allee effect and stochastic effect
respectively where they obtained thresholds based on biological and chemical control. However,
in all the papers discussed above no-one discussed significanlty about delays, in particularly
gestation delay which in a real situation always exist.
Hence, keeping in mind the above alma matter, we have formulated our model in reference to the
previous models and studied the dynamics of the new system with delay. The highlight of the paper
is that how delay parameter helps in reducing the pest population more quickly in comparison to
the system without delay. The results would be extremely beneficial for those crops where pest
population are growing exponentially due to favourable habitable condition. A relevent biological
example to our model is as follows:
Australian herb is always at the verge of being attacked by green Lacewing Larvae, which is a well
known pest. Encapsulating biological controls like mealy bugs followed by chemical control such
as chlorothalonil has shown remarkable results which advocates our approach of hybrid technique.
The organisation of the paper is as follows: In Section 2, 3 model formulation and preliminary
lemmas are discussed. In Section 4, local stability of pest extinction is achieved followed by
permanence in Section 5. Finally, in the last two sections numerical simulation is done for
validation of analtical results with conclusion.
2. Mathematical Model We have proposed our mathematical model by the following set of differential equations:
ππ
ππ‘= π(π β π) β π1ππ
ππ
ππ‘= π1π1ππ β π2π(π‘ β π)π2(π‘ β π)π
βπ1π β π·π
ππ1
ππ‘= π2π2π(π‘ β π)π2(π‘ β π)π
βπ1π β (π·3 + π0)π1
ππ2
ππ‘= π0π1 β π·3π2
}
π‘ β ππ (1)
π(π‘+) = π
π(π‘+) = (1 β πΏ)π
π1(π‘+) = π1 + π1
π2(π‘+) = π2 + π2
}
= ππ (2)
The model completes with the following initial conditions:
π(π) = π1(π), π(π) = π2(π), π1 = π1(π), π2 = π2(π) , ππ(0) > 0 , ππ(0) > 0 , π β [βπ, 0] ,
(π = 1,2) , where (π1, π2, π1, π2) β πΆ([βπ, 0], β+4 , the Banach space of continuous
functions mapping on the interval [βπ, 0]into β+4 . The graphical representation of the model is
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as follows in Figure 1. Negative and positive sign represents outgoing and incoming rates.
Figure 1. Graphical representation of model
The parameters/variables used in the model are explained in detail in Table 1 mentioned below and
for convenience π‘ is removed from the variables throughout the paper.
Table. 1 Meaning of parameters /variables
Parameters/Variables Meaning
π1(π‘) Immature natural enemy
π growth rate of plant population
π2(t) Mature natural enemy
π Time delay
π(π‘) Plant population
π1 Rate at which plant population is decreasing to pest population
π1 Growth rate of pest population
D Mortality Rate
π2 Rate at which pest population is decreasing
π2 Rate at immature natural enemy population
π0 Mortality rate of immature natural enemy
π·3 Mortality rate of mature natural enemy
π Period of impulse
π1 Amount of pulse release of immature natural enemy
π2 Amount of pulse release of mature natural enemy
0 β€ πΏ < 1 harvesting rate of pest through chemical pesticide
π(π‘) Pest population
3. Preliminary Lemmas In this section, we have given a few Lemmas, which will be useful for our main result.
Lemma 3.1 Let us consider the system
π€β²(π‘) = π β ππ€(π‘), π‘ β ππ,
(3)
π€(π‘+) = π€(π‘) + π, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3β¦. (4)
Then the system has a positive periodic solution οΏ½ΜοΏ½(π‘)and for any solution π€(π‘) of the system
(3),we have,
|π€(π‘) β οΏ½ΜοΏ½(π‘)| β 0,
for π‘ β β, where, for
π‘ β (ππ‘, (π + 1)π], οΏ½ΜοΏ½(π‘) =π
π+πππ₯π(βπ(π‘βππ))
1βππ₯π(βππ) with οΏ½ΜοΏ½(0+) =
π
π+
π
1βππ₯π(βππ).
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The boundedness is given lemma 3.2.
Lemma 3.2 There exists a constant π > 0 s.t π(π‘) β€ π, π(π‘) β€ π, π1(π‘) β€ π, π2(π‘) β€ π, for (1 β 2) with t being sufficiently large where
π =π0
οΏ½ΜοΏ½+(π1 + π2)ππ₯π(οΏ½Μ οΏ½π‘)
ππ₯π(οΏ½Μ οΏ½π‘) β 1> 0.
Now, we will discuss the pest extinction case and our impulsive system (1 β 2) reduces to:
ππ1(π‘)
ππ‘= β(π·3 + π0)π1(π‘)
ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= π0π1(π‘) β π·3π2(π‘)
}
π‘ β ππ, (5)
π1(π‘+) = π1 + π1
π2(π‘+) = π2 + π2 } π‘ = ππ, (6)
For the system (5 β 6), we integrate it over the interval (ππ, (π + 1)π] , and by means of
stroboscopic mapping we get, π1((π + 1)π+) = ππ₯π( β (π·3 + Β΅0)π) π1(ππ
+) + π1
Thus the corresponding periodic solution of (5 β 6) in π‘ β (ππ, (π + 1)π] is,
οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘) =π1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)
with
οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(0+) =
π11 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)
and is stable globally. Substituting οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘) into (5 β 6), we obtain the following subsystem:
ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= π0οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘) β π·3π2(π‘), π‘ β ππ
π2(π‘+) = π2 + π2, π‘ = ππ
} (7)
Further, integrating (7) in the interval (ππ, (π + 1)π], we get,
οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘) =βπ1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)+(π1 + π2)ππ₯π(βπ·3(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(βπ·3π),
with initial value
οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(0+) =
βπ11 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)
+(π1 + π2)
1 β ππ₯π(βπ·3π),
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which is stable globally.
Moreover, due to the absence of pest, the subsystem of (1 β 2) can also be considered as follows:
ππ(π‘)
ππ‘= π(π β π) (8)
With π = 0 as unstable equilibrium and π = π as globally stable. Therefore, the two periodic
solutions of (1 β 2) are (0,0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜοΏ½2) and (π, 0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜοΏ½2).
4. Local Stability of Pest Extinction Case
This section will discuss the local stability analysis of the equilibrium point with pest population.
Theorem 4.1 Let (π, π, π1, π2) be a solution of (1 β 2), Then
(i) (0,0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜοΏ½2) is unstable.
(ii) (π, 0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1, οΏ½ΜοΏ½2) is locally asymptotically stable iff π β€ ππππ₯, where
ππππ₯ =1
(π1π1 β π){πππ
1
(1 β πΏ)+ πβπ1ππ2(
π·3π2 + π0(π1 + π2)
π·3(π·3 + π0))}, π1π1 > π (9)
Proof: (i) Here, we define,
π = π1 , π = π2 , π1 = οΏ½ΜοΏ½1 + π3, π2 = οΏ½ΜοΏ½2 + π4
where, π1(π‘), π2(π‘), π3(π‘), π4(π‘)are perturbation in π, π, π1, π2 then the systemβs linearized
form becomes:
ππ1(π‘)
ππ‘= βππ1(π‘)
ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= β(π· + π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)π
βπ1π)π2(π‘)
ππ3(π‘)
ππ‘= π2π2π2(π‘)οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)π
βπ1π β (π·3 + π0)π3(π‘)
ππ4(π‘)
ππ‘= π0π3(π‘) β π·3π4(π‘)
}
π‘ β ππ (10)
π1(π‘+) = π1(π‘)
π2(π‘+) = (1 β πΏ)π2(π‘)
π3(π‘+) = π3(π‘) + π1
π4(π‘+) = π4(π‘) + π2
}
= ππ (11)
Let π(π‘) be the fundamental matrix of (10 β 11), then π(π‘) must satisfy,
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ππ(π‘)
ππ‘=
[ π 0 0 00 β(π· + π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)π
βπ1π) 0 0
0 π2π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)πβπ1π β(π·3 + π0) 0
0 0 π0 βπ·3]
π(π‘) = π΄π(π‘) (12)
Thus, the monodromy matrix of (10 β 11) is
π =
[ 1 0 0 00 1 β πΏ 0 00 0 1 00 0 0 1
]
π(π‘)
From (12), we get π(π‘) = π(0)ππ₯π (β«π
0π΄ππ‘), where π(0) is an identity matrix and hence
the eigen values corresponding to matrix π are as follows:
π3 = ππ₯π (β(π·3 + π0))π < 1, π4 = ππ₯π(βπ·3π) < 1, π1 = ππ₯π(ππ) > 1,
π2 = (1 β πΏ)ππ₯πβ«π
0
(β(π· + π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)πβπ1π)) ππ‘ < 1.
Therefore, according to the Floquet theory (Bainov and Sineonov, 1993) the pest eradication
periodic solution is unstable as |π1| > 1.
Remark 1: The effect of delay can be easily seen in the value of ππππ₯ which helps in reducing its
value.
(ii) The local stability of (π, 0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘), οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)) is proved in the similar fashion. We define π = π +π1(π‘), π = π2(π‘), π1 = οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘) + π3(π‘), π2 = οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘) + π4(π‘) and the system (1 β 2)β²π linearized
form is as follows:
ππ1(π‘)
ππ‘= βππ1(π‘) β π1π2
ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= (π1π1 β π· β π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)π
βπ1π)π2(π‘)
ππ3(π‘)
ππ‘= π2π2π2(π‘)οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)π
βπ1π β (π·3 + π0)π3(π‘)
ππ4(π‘)
ππ‘= π0π3(π‘) β π·3π4(π‘)
}
π‘ β ππ (13)
π1(π‘+) = π1(π‘),
π2(π‘+) = (1 β πΏ)π2(π‘)
π3(π‘+) = π3(π‘) + π1
π4(π‘+) = π4(π‘) + π2
}
π‘ = ππ (14)
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Let π(π‘) be the fundamental matrix of (13 β 14), then π(π‘) must satisfy
ππ(π‘)
ππ‘=
[ βπ βπ1 0 0
0 π1π1 β π· β π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)πβπ1π 0 0
0 π2π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)πβπ1π β(π·3 + π0) 0
0 0 π0 βπ·3]
π(π‘)
ππ(π‘)
ππ‘= π΄π(π‘) (15)
Thus, the monodromy matrix of (13 β 14) is
π =
[ 1 0 0 00 1 β πΏ 0 00 0 1 00 0 0 1
]
π(π‘).
From (15) , we get π(π‘) = π(0)ππ₯π(β«π
0π΄ππ‘), whereπ(0) is an identity matrix. Then the
characteristic values obtained for π are as follows:
π1 = ππ₯π(βππ) < 1, π2 = (1 β πΏ)ππ₯πβ«π
0
(π1π1 β π· β π2οΏ½ΜοΏ½2(π‘)πβπ1π) < 1,
π3 = ππ₯π((β(π·3 + π0) β π)π) < 1, π4 = ππ₯π(βπ·3π) < 1.
Therefore, pest eradication periodic solution of (1 β 2) is locally asymptotically stable as per
Floquet theory (Bainov and Sineonov, 1993) if and only if |π2| β€ 1 which implies π β€ ππππ₯.
Hence, the theorem is proved.
5. Permanence In this section, we will discuss permanence of system (1 β 2).
Theorem 5.1 The system (1-2) is permanent if π > ππππ₯.
Proof. Suppose (π, π, π1, π2) is the solution of the system (1 β 2), π‘ being removed for
convenience, We have already proved that π(π‘) β€ π, π(π‘) β€ π, π1(π‘) β€ π and π2(π‘) β€ π β
π‘. From, (1 β 2) we have ππ
ππ‘β₯ π(π β π1πβ π) which implies that π(π‘) > π β π1π β π1
for all large t. For small π4 > 0, we choose π1 = 1 β π > 0 and also define,
π2 =βπ1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)β π4 > 0,
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π3 =βπ1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)+(π1 + π2)ππ₯π(βπ·3(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(βπ·3π)βπ4π0π·3
β π4 > 0.
Now, the system (1 β 2) can be rewritten as:
ππ1(π‘)
ππ‘= β(π·3 + π0)π1(π‘)
ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= π0π1(π‘) β π·3π2(π‘)
}
π‘ β ππ, (16)
π1(π‘+) = π1 + π1
π2(π‘+) = π2 + π2 } π‘ = ππ. (17)
The system (16 β 17) is same as (5 β 6), using same technique, we can easily find that π1(π‘) >π2 and π2(π‘) > π3 β t. Hence, for proving the permanence we have only have to prove π4 >0, such that π(π‘) β₯ π4β t which will be done in two steps.
Step 1: Let π(π‘) β₯ π4 is false β a π‘1 β (0,β) s.t π(π‘) < π4 β π‘ > π‘1. Using this
supposition, we get subsystem of (1 β 2):
ππ1(π‘)
ππ‘β€ π2π2ππ4π
βπ1π β (π·3 + π0)π1, π‘ β ππ
π1(π‘+) = π1(π‘) + π1, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3β¦β¦.
Let us assume the comparison system:
ποΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘)
ππ‘β€ π2π2ππ4π
βπ1π β (π·3 + π0)οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘), π‘ β ππ
οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘+) = οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘) + π1, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3. . . .
} (18)
Using lemma 3.1, equation (18) has periodic solution
(π‘)οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1 =π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3 + π0+π1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)
which is globally asymptotically stable. Then, β an π5 > 0 s.t
π1(π‘) β€ οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1(π‘) <π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3 + π0+π1 exp(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β exp(β(π·3 + π0)π)+ π5 > 0.
For sufficiently large π‘. Thus we find the following subsystem of (1 β 2):
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ππ2(π‘)
ππ‘= π0 (
π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3 + π0+π1 exp(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β exp(β(π·3 + π0)π)+ π5) β π·3π2, π‘ β ππ
π2(π‘+) = π2 + π2, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3. . . . . . .
}
(19)
Consider the comparison system (19) as follows:
ποΏ½Μ οΏ½ 2(π‘)
ππ‘= π0(
π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3 + π0+π1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)+ π5)(π‘) β π·3οΏ½Μ οΏ½2(π‘), π‘ β ππ
οΏ½Μ οΏ½2(π‘+) = οΏ½Μ οΏ½2(π‘) + π2, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3. . . . . . .
}
(20)
Similarly, system (20) also has a periodic solution
π2(π‘) < οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) <βπ1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)+(π1 + π2)ππ₯π(βπ·3(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(βπ·3π)
+π0π·3(π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
(π·3 + π0)+ π5)
οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) <βπ1 exp(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β exp(β(π·3 + π0)π)+(π1 + π2) exp(βπ·3(π‘ β ππ))
1 β exp(βπ·3π)
+π0
π·3(π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
(π·3 + π0)π5) (21)
which is globally asymptotically stable and β an π6 > 0 s.t
π2(π‘) < οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) <βπ1ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)π)+(π1 + π2)ππ₯π(βπ·3(π‘ β ππ))
1 β ππ₯π(βπ·3π)
+π0π·3(π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
(π·3 + π0)+ π5) + π6.
It shows that β a π1 > 0 s.t for ππ < π‘ β€ (π + 1)π, we are having the following subsystem of
(1 β 2): ππ(π‘)
ππ‘β₯ [π1π1π1 β π2(οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) + π6)π
βπ1π β π·]π, π‘ β ππ
π(π‘+) = (1 β πΏ)π(π‘), π‘ = ππ, πππ, π‘ > π1} (22)
Integrating the system, (22) on (ππ, (π + 1)π], π β₯ π1 (here,π1 is the nonnegative integer and
π1π β₯ π1), then we obtain that,
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π((π + 1)π) β₯ (1 β πΏ)π(ππ+)ππ₯π(β«(π+1)π
ππ
(π1π1π1 β π2(οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) β π6)πβπ1π βπ·)ππ‘)
= π(ππ+)οΏ½Μ οΏ½
where, οΏ½Μ οΏ½(1 β πΏ)π(ππ+)ππ₯π(β«(π+1)π
ππ(π1π1π1 β π2(οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) β π6)π
βπ1π β π·)ππ‘) > 1, as, π >
ππππ₯, therefore, forπ5 > 0, we obtain that,
(π1π1π1 β π2π6ππ₯π(βπ1π) β π·)π βπ2π0ππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3(π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
(π·3 + π0)β π5) β
π2(π1
(π·3 + π0)
(π1 + π2) exp(βπ1π)
π·3) β πππ(
1
1 β πΏ) > 1.
Thus, π((π1 + π)π) β₯ π(π1π+)οΏ½Μ οΏ½π β β as π β β, which violoates our assumption π(π‘) <
π4, for every π‘ > π‘2. Hence there exists a π‘2 > π‘1 s.t π(π‘2) β₯ π4.
Step 2: If π(π‘) β₯ π4 β π‘ β₯ π‘2, then our aim will be fulfilled. On the contrary let us assume
that π(π‘) < π4 for some π‘ > π‘2. Let π‘β = inf{π‘|π(π‘) < π4, π‘ > π‘2}, then there will be two
cases:
Case 1: Letπ‘β = π1π, π1 β π+ . In this case π(π‘) β₯ π4 for π‘ β [π‘2, π‘
β) and (1 β πΏ)π4 β€π(π‘β+ = (1 β πΏ)π(π‘β) < π4) . Let π2 = π2π + π3π, where π2 = π2
β² + π2β²β², π2
β² , π2 β²β² and π3
satisfy these inequalities:
π2β²π > β1
π·3 + π0ππ
π5π + π1
,
π2β²β²π > β1
π·3 + π0ππ
π6π+ π2
,
(1 β πΏ)π2+π3exp (ππ2π)exp (π3π) > 1,
π = π1π1π1 β π2π6ππ₯π(βπ1π) β π· < 0. Now, we claim that β a time π‘2β² β (π‘β, π‘β + π2) such
that π(π‘2β² ) β₯ π4, if it is not true, then π(π‘2
β² ) < π4, π‘2β² β (π‘β, π‘β + π2). If the system (18) is taken
with initial value οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘β+) = π1(π‘
β+), then from lemma (3.1) for π‘ β (ππ, (π + 1)π],
we have
οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘) = (οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘β+) β
π2π2π4πππ₯π(βπ1π)
π·3+π0+
π1
1βππ₯π(β(π·3+π0)π))ππ₯π(β(π·3 + π0)(π‘ β π‘
β)) + οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1(π‘),
for π1 β€ π β€ π1 + π2 + π3 which shows that |οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘) β οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1(π‘)| β€ (π + π1)ππ₯π(β(π·3 +
π0)(π‘ β π1π)) < π5, and π1(π‘) β€ οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘) < οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1(π‘) + π5 for π‘β + π2
β² π β€ π‘ β€ π‘β + π2.
Now, from the system (18) with initial values οΏ½Μ οΏ½2(π‘β + π2
β² π) = π2(π‘β + π2
β² π) β₯ 0 and again from
lemma (3.1), we have |οΏ½Μ οΏ½1(π‘) β οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½1(π‘)| < (π + π2)ππ₯π(π·3(π‘ β (π1 +π2β²)π)) <
π6, and π2(π‘) β€ οΏ½Μ οΏ½2(π‘) < οΏ½ΜΜ οΏ½2(π‘) + π6 for π‘β + π2
β² π + π2β²β²π β€ π‘ β€ π‘β + π2, which shows that
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system (22) holds for [π‘β + π2π, π‘β + π2].
Integrating equation (22) on [π‘β + π2π, π‘β + π2], we have
π((π1 + π2 + π3)π) β₯ π((π1 + π2)π)(1 β πΏ)π3ππ₯π(π3π) (23)
In addition from the system (1 β 2), we have
ππ(π‘)
ππ‘= (π1π1π1 β π2ππ
βπ1π β π·) π(π‘) = ππ(π‘), π‘ β ππ
π(π‘+) = (1 β πΏ)π, π‘ = ππ, π = 1,2,3. . . .} (24)
On integrating (24) in the interval [πβ, (π1 + π2)π], it is obtained that
π((π1 + π2)π) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)π2ππ₯π(ππ2π) (25)
Now substitute (25) into (24), we get that
π((π1 + π2 + π3)π) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)π2+π3ππ₯π(π3π)ππ₯π(ππ2π) > π4 (26)
which contradicts to our supposition, so there exists a time π‘2β² β [π‘β, π‘β + π2] such thatπ2
β² β₯
π4. Let οΏ½ΜοΏ½ = inf{π‘|π‘ β₯ π‘β, π(π‘) β₯ π4} ,since 0 < πΏ < 1, π(ππ+) = (1 β πΏ)π(ππ) <
π(ππ)andπ(π‘) < π4, π‘ β (π‘β, οΏ½ΜοΏ½). Thus,π(οΏ½ΜοΏ½) = π4.
Supposeπ‘ β (π‘β + (π β 1)π, πβ + ππ] (πis a positive integer) and π β€ π2 + π3, from the system
(24), we have
π(π‘) β₯ π(π‘β + (π β 1)π)ππ₯π(π(π‘ β π‘β β (π β 1))π)
π(π‘) β₯ π(ππ+)ππ₯π(ππ(π β 1))(1 β πΏ)πβ1ππ₯π(ππ)
π(π‘) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)πππ₯π(πππ)
π(π‘) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)(π2 + π3)ππ₯π((π2 + π3)ππ) β οΏ½Μ οΏ½4
for π‘ > οΏ½ΜοΏ½. The same argument can be continued since π(οΏ½ΜοΏ½) β₯ π4. Hence π(π‘) β₯ οΏ½Μ οΏ½4βπ‘ > π‘2.
Case 2: If π‘β β ππ, then π(π‘β) = π4 and π(π‘) β₯ π4, π‘ β [π‘2, π‘β]. Suppose π‘β β (π1
β²π, (π1β² +
1)π], we are having two subcases for π‘ β [π‘β, (π1β² + 1)π] as given below:
Case a: π(π‘) β€ π4, π‘π[π‘β, (π1
β² + 1)π], we claim that there exists a π‘3ν[(π1β² + 1)π, (π1
β² +
1)π + π2] s.t π(π‘3) > π4. Otherwise, integrating system (24) on the interval [(π1β² + 1 +
π2)π, (π1β² + 1 + π2 + π3)π] , we have, π((π1
β² + 1 + π2 + π3)π) β₯ π((π1β² + 1 + π2)π)(1 β
πΏ)π3ππ₯π(π3π)
Since π(π‘) β€ π4, π‘ β [π‘β, (π1
β² + 1)π], therefore, (13) holds on [π‘β, (π1β² + π2 + π3)π].
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Thus,
π((π1β² + 1 + π2)π) = π(π‘
β)(1 β πΏ)π2ππ₯π(π(π1β² + 1 + π2)π β π‘
β)
π((π1β² + 1 + π2)π) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)
π2ππ₯π(ππ2π)
and
π((π1β² + 1 + π2 + π3)π) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)
π2+π3ππ₯π(ππ2π)ππ₯π(π3π) > π4
which negates the assumption. Let οΏ½ΜοΏ½ = inf {π‘|π β₯ π4, π‘ > π‘β}, then π(οΏ½ΜοΏ½) = π4 and π < π4, π‘ β
(π‘β, οΏ½ΜοΏ½). Choose π‘ β (π1β²π + (πβ² β 1)π, π1
β²π + πβ²π] β (π‘β, οΏ½ΜοΏ½), πβ² is a positive integer and πβ² < 1 +
π2 + π3, we have
π(π‘) β₯ π((π1β² + πβ² β 1)π+)ππ₯π(π(π‘ β (π1
β² + πβ² β 1)π))
π(π‘) β₯ (1 β πΏ)πβ²β1π(π‘β)ππ₯π(π(π‘ β π‘β))
π(π‘) β₯ π4(1 β πΏ)π2+π3ππ₯π(π(π2 + π3 + 1)π).
Hence, π β₯ οΏ½Μ οΏ½4 for π‘ β (π‘β, οΏ½ΜοΏ½). For π‘ > οΏ½ΜοΏ½, we can proceed in the same manner since π(οΏ½ΜοΏ½) β₯ π4.
Case b: If β a π‘ β (π‘β, (π1β² + 1)π) s.t π(π‘) β₯ π4. Let οΏ½ΜοΏ½ = inf (π‘|π(π‘) β₯ π4, π‘ > π‘
β), then
π(π‘) < π4 for π‘ β [π‘β, π‘Μ ) and π(π‘Μ ) = π4. For π‘ β [π‘β, π‘Μ ) (24) holds. On integrating (24) on
π‘β, οΏ½ΜοΏ½, we obtain
π β₯ π(π‘β) β₯ ππ₯π(π(π‘ β π‘β) β₯ π4ππ₯π(ππ) > οΏ½Μ οΏ½4
Since, π(οΏ½ΜοΏ½) β₯ π4 for π‘ > οΏ½ΜοΏ½, we can proceed in the same manner. Hence, we have π(π‘) β₯ οΏ½Μ οΏ½4 for
all π‘ > π‘2. Therefore we can conclude that π(π‘) β₯ οΏ½Μ οΏ½4 for all π‘ β₯ π‘2 in both cases.
6. Numerical Section For the intended process, we have taken data per week in view of the short term life cycle of the
insect population under investigation. Our aim is to validate the analytical results numerically. We
have considered numerical values for the following set of parameters in reference to (Jatav and
Dhar, 2014) as mentioned in Table 2.
Table 2. Parametric values
Parameters π0 r a1 b1 d1 π a2 b2 D D3
Values 50 1 1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.03 25
Using the above parametric values, we obtained the threshold value ππππ₯ for the parameters per
week as 0.8 . It is proved that (π, 0, οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘), οΏ½ΜοΏ½1(π‘))is locally asymptotically stable if π = 0.5 <ππππ₯ as stated above in the theorem 4.1 (Figure 2-5). Further, it is also verified that the system
(π΄ β π΅) is permanent if π = 4 > ππππ₯(Figure 6-9) which is inline with theorem 5.1. It is also
shown that if there is no biological control, that is, π1 = 0 and π2 = 0, π1 = 0 and π2 >0 or π1 > 0 and π2 = 0, then both plants and pest population survives.This concludes, that
solely using chemical pesticide cannot eradicate pest population (Figure 10-14).
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Figure 2. Plant population (π(π‘)) existing
Figure 3. Pest population (π(π‘)) vanishes
Figure 4. Periodic behaviour of π1(π‘)
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Figure 5. Periodic behaviour of (π2(π‘))
Figure 6. Plant population (π(π‘)) exists
Figure 7. Pest population (π(π‘)) survives
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Figure 8. Immature natural enemies (π1(π‘)) exists
Figure 9. Behaviour of mature natural enemies (π2(π‘))
Figure 10. Existence of the pest population(π(π‘)) for π1, π2 = 0
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Figure 11. Immature natural enemy (π1(π‘)) vanishes forπ1, π2 = 0
Figure 12. Mature natural enemy (π2(π‘)) for π1, π2 = 0
Figure 13. Plant population (π(π‘)) is stable forπ1 = 100, π2 = 50
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Figure 14. Pest population (π(π‘)) declines forπ1 = 100, π2 = 50
7. Conclusion In this paper, we have examine the effects of hybrid approach to control the pests by release of
natural enemies and pesticides impulsively. It is evident that pest population can become extinct
when large amount of the natural enemies are released impulsively. Thus, integrated pest
management reduces pest quickly rather than using any one of the methods. Hence, in this paper,
we have shown that by incorporating delay in the pests, we are able to control the pest population
but to a lower threshold value which in a way is helpful as it is leading to early reduction in the pest
which is not only economic but it also prevents pest resistance to crops. Incorporating delay
lowered the threshold level from to ππππ₯ = 7 to ππππ₯ = 0.8 for the same set of parameters as in
(Jatav & Dhar, 2014). Thus, we can conclude that various control measures should be applied
collectively for the eradication of pest. Such a practice improves economy as it is cost effective and
synonymous with sustainable development.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.
Acknowledgements
The first author would like to express her sincere thanks to her guide, co-guide for their constant guidance and support
and special thanks to all the reviewers and editor.
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