Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a...

29
Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy William A Matthews Project Scientist, University of California Agricultural Issues Center National Honey Board Annual Fall Meeting October 19, 2018 Denver, Colorado Co-authors: Daniel A. Sumner and Tristan Hanon

Transcript of Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a...

Page 1: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the

U.S. Economy William A Matthews Project Scientist, University of California Agricultural Issues Center

National Honey Board Annual Fall Meeting October 19, 2018 Denver, Colorado

Co-authors: Daniel A. Sumner and Tristan Hanon

Page 2: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Objectives for Today

• Provide overview of current US honey industry

• Understand how and to what degree the US honey industry contributes to the US economy

Page 3: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Core Facts about US Honey Industry in 2017 US Honey Production: • Number of honey producing colony: 2.7 million • Total pounds of honey produced: 147.6 million • Pounds of honey per colony: 55.3

US Honey Trade: • Pounds of honey imported 447.5 million

• Pounds organic honey 62.8 million • Pounds of non-organic 384.7 million

• Pounds of honey exported 9.9 million US Honey Consumption: • Total US honey supply 585.2 million • Pounds of honey per capita 1.80

Page 4: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Index of Annual U.S. Honey Production, Number of Colonies and Yield per Colony, 2007-2017

Pounds Honey Production

Number of Colonies 1.25 Yield per Colony

1.20

1.15

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

Inde

x Va

lue

(200

7=1)

0.90 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 5: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Annual Honey Production, Number of Colonies and Yield per Colony for 2007, 2012 and 2017

2007 2012 2017

Honey Production (million lbs.) 148.3 142.3 147.6

Number of Hives (1,000) 2,443 2,539 2,669

Yield (lbs./colony) 60.7 56.0 55.3

Page 6: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Average Share of Annual Beekeeper Revenue by Source, 2015-2017

Honey Sales 38%

Pollination Services

43%

Other Apiary Products Sales

19%

Page 7: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Average Maximum Number of Bee Colonies per Quarter and Number of Honey Producing Colonies for Top Five Honey Producing States, 2015-2017

Share of Number of Honey April- Oct-Jan-March July-Sept Honey Producing to State June DecColonies Colonies Producing Maximum Colonies Colonies Colonies2 Number of

Colonies 1,000 colonies

California 1,528 1,095 763 1,263 307 0.20 N. Dakota 120 465 513 358 477 0.93 Texas 300 331 131 282 126 0.38 Florida 283 248 207 267 213 0.76 S. Dakota 63 200 215 154 275 1.28

Page 8: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

U.S. Food and Beverage Use by Product, 1997-2017

Inde

x of

Del

iver

ies

1.50

1.40

1.30

1.20

1.10

1.00

0.90

0.80

0.70

0.60

Comparison of Changes in Annual Per Capita U.S. Sweetener Deliveries for

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Refined Sugar Corn Sweetners

Honey Edible Syrups

Page 9: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Annual Per Capita Deliveries of Sweeteners for U.S. Food and Beverage Use by Product in 1997, 2007 and 2017

1997 2007 2017

Lbs. per year

Refined Sugar

Corn Sweetener

Honey

Edible Syrups

64.94 61.19 69.17

81.80 72.57 55.78

0.95 0.93 1.43

0.60 0.62 0.68

Page 10: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Total Annual Honey Consumption, 1997-2017 To

tal H

oney

Con

sum

ptio

n (m

illio

n lb

s.) 600

550

500

450

400

350

300

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Page 11: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Vo

lum

e of

Hon

ey (1

mill

ion

lbs.)

350

300

250

200

150

100

Total Annual US Production and Import of Honey, 1997-2017 450

400

Production Imports

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Page 12: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Share of US Supply (%)

Source of US Honey Supply in 2017

Volume of Honey Source of Honey (million lbs)

US Production 147.6 25.2 India 99.6 17.0 Vietnam 80.0 13.7 Argentina 78.0 13.3 Brazil 53.0 9.1 Ukraine 42.7 7.3 Canada 34.8 5.9 Mexico 10.5 1.8 Rest of World 49.0 8.4 Total Imports 447.5 76.5 Total US Exports -9.9 -1.7 Total US Supply 585.2 100.0

Page 13: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Understanding the Economic Contributions of Honey

• The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy.

• Per capita honey consumption in the US is increasing faster than other sweetener options

• US honey industry meets US demand through efforts of beekeepers, honey packers and services of honey importers.

• The economic impact of honey extends well beyond direct industry output into supporting industries.

• Our study evaluates the full economic impact of the industry on the US economy.

Page 14: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

The Bottom Line

The US honey industry meets market demand through the efforts of beekeepers, honey importers and honey packers, which collectively contribute:

• $1.96 billion of output to US economic activity, including purchases from supporting industries.

• $718 million of value added to the US Gross Domestic Product

• 12,502 jobs to US employment opportunity

Page 15: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Where do these numbers come from: • Our task was to dig further than the value of production

and other industry-specific data to trace the influence of the honey industry on the rest of the economy.

• In addition to direct employment, value of honey production, and net contribution within the honey industry, we measure:

(1) indirect impacts through demand for inputs to honey production, importing and packing.

(2) Induced impacts through how honey income allows consumption of other goods and services in the US.

Page 16: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

We base our calculations on:

• A massive and complex set to data on the employment and purchases of every industry in the US.

- This demonstrates how honey production, importing and packing links to other industries in the US economy.

• We surveyed beekeepers, honey packers and honey importers and conducted interviews with beekeepers to collect data on costs and revenues for 2017.

• We used the information collected to calibrate the data linkages and provide estimates that more closely resemble the honey industry.

Page 17: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Cash and Non-cash Beekeeper Inputs

Labor Insurance

Fuel Office Expense

Lube and Repairs

Materials

Custom/Rent

Fees and Taxes

Buildings

Hives

Fuel Tanks

Land

Equipment

U.S. Beekeeping

Honey Imports

Honey Packers

US Honey Sales

Pollination Services

Beekeeping Byproducts (beeswax, queens, nucs, etc.)

Cash and non-cash Honey Packer Inputs

Page 18: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Costs of Production by Category

Beekeeper

Cost categories are areas that US beekeepers interact with US economy through input purchases, capital investments and labor

Hive Materials

3% Bee Feed and Medication

18%

Other Operating

Inputs 13%

Cash Overhead

16%

Labor 50%

Page 19: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Honey Packing Costs of Production by Category

Cost categories are areas that US honey packers interact with US economy through input purchases, capital investments and

Labor 31%

Honey from U.S. beekeepers

26%

Other Operating Inputs 14%

labor

Cash Imported honey

27% Overhead

2%

Page 20: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Classification of Impacts: • DIRECT EFFECTS: Direct effects are impacts directly within the affected

industry. For example, hiring 50 workers to move beehives has a direct employment effect of 50 jobs.

• INDIRECT EFFECTS: Indirect effects are the changes in supporting industries through purchases of input goods and services. For example, an increase in honey demand would entail increased volume of honey packaging materials purchased from suppliers, and these input suppliers have purchases of their own that ripple further.

• INDUCED EFFECTS: Induced effects are economic ripples that result from added consumption generated by the added income spent by those with income from the direct and indirect effects. For example, beekeepers, packers and their employees spend their incomes at local grocery stores, auto dealerships and barbershops and these local firms have workers of their own.

Page 21: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Economic Measures of Impact: • VALUE OF OUTPUT: The value of direct output of an industry. For example,

the direct value of beekeeper output is simply the sum of market values of honey and honey byproducts produced and pollination services offered. For honey packers it’s the total market value of processed and packaged honey and includes the value of honey coming from beekeepers. Can include double counting.

• VALUE ADDED: Value added is the measure of salaries and wages, proprietor income and profit minus business taxes. It is that proportion of value of output contributed by labor and capital within the sector. This is the industry’s contribution to GDP.

• EMPLOYMENT: Employment is the number of jobs including part-time or seasonal employment supported by industry activity.

Page 22: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Now on to the numbers: DIRECT EFFECTS

DIRECT Value of Industry Output = $1.958 billion

$318

$57

$1,583

Beekeeping

Honey Import

Honey Packing

Page 23: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Impact on US GDP:

DIRECT Value Added of Industry= $718 million

$169

$38

$511 Beekeeping

Honey Import

Honey Packing

Page 24: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Impact on US Jobs:

DIRECT Jobs supported by Industry= 12,502

7,642

236

4,624

Beekeeping Honey Import Honey Packing

Page 25: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

FULL EFFECTS on US Output (in $millions):

DIRECT+INDIRECT+INDUCED =$4.74 billion

$1,583

$1,770

$1,388

Direct Indirect Induced

Page 26: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

FULL EFFECTS on US GDP (in $millions):

DIRECT+INDIRECT+INDUCED =$2.09 billion

$511

$800

$776

Direct Indirect Induced

Page 27: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

FULL EFFECTS on US Jobs:

DIRECT+INDIRECT+INDUCED =22,084 jobs

4,624

8,879

8,581

Direct Indirect Induced

Page 28: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Forward Effects: Impacts of Honey in Food Processing

Food Processing Impact Measure Value Value of Output

Value Added

Employment

Direct Output $737 Total Output $2,160

Direct Value Added $277 Total Value Added $939

Direct Employment 2,192 Total Employment 7,968

Page 29: Contributions of the U.S. Honey Industry to the U.S. Economy · • The US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture and contributes to the US economy. • Per capita honey

Concluding Remarks: • US honey industry is a dynamic part of US agriculture.

• The focus of many US beekeepers on managing colonies to provide pollination services contributes to lower honey yield per hive in the US

• Meanwhile, honey demand per capita is growing in the US.

• Increased demand is met through increased honey imports

• Providing honey to US consumers requires the assembly of capital, labor and inputs on the part of US beekeepers, honey packers and honey importers that make up the US honey industry.

• The actions of US honey industry contributes to the US economy.