Contributions of CIMO toContributions of CIMO toNatural Disaster Prevention and MitigationNatural Disaster Prevention and Mitigation

Agenda item 7.2Agenda item 7.2

Doc. 7.2Doc. 7.2

Jointly Presented by:Jointly Presented by:Maryam Golnaraghi, Chief of DPM ProgrammeMaryam Golnaraghi, Chief of DPM ProgrammeRainer Dombrowsky, CIMO DPM Focal PointRainer Dombrowsky, CIMO DPM Focal Point

Friday December 8, 2006 Friday December 8, 2006

Issues in This Presentation

• Why WMO and NMHS are critical in Disaster Risk Management (DRM) and vice versa

• International Movement in DRM and Hyogo Framework for Action– Relevance of HFA to NMHS and WMO => Five Strategic Thrusts

of WMO DPM

• Progress with WMO DPM Programme implementation

• Role of CIMO in support of DRM

Number of Disasters (Global, 1980-2005)

Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium

Nearly 90% of disasters are related to hydro-meteorological factors.

Slides 4%

Flood 35%

Extreme Temperature

11%Drought4%

Earthquake11%

Windstorm 22%

Wild Fires 8%

Epidemic, famine, insects

5%

Volcano0.5%

Loss of Human Life (Global, 1980-2005)

Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium

Nearly 70% of loss of life are related to hydro-meteorological factors

Volcano2.5%

Tsunami11%

Epidemic, famine, insects19%

Wild Fires 0.06%Windstorm

13%

Earthquake14%

Drought28%

Extreme Temperature3.4%

Flood 9%

Slides 0.9%

Economic Losses (Global, 1980-2005)

Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database - www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium

Nearly 75% of economic losses are related to hydro-meteorological factors

Slides 0.4%

Flood 28%

Extreme Temperature

1.8%

Drought5%

Earthquake24%

Windstorm 38%

Wild Fires 2.45%

Tsunami1%

At the core of NMHS and WMO missions is protection of lives and livelihoods of the communities.

WMO and NMHSs provide critical infrastructure and information to

support decision processes for disaster risk reduction at international, regional

and national levels

• World Conference on Disaster Reduction (Kobe, Japan, January 2005)– 168 countries participated in the drafting and adopted Hyogo

Framework for Action 2005 - 2015(HFA)– Shifting the paradigm of DRM towards planning and preventions– Development planning is an integral part of DRM– HFA provides outcomes that needs to be achieved at international,

regional and national levels

• G8 Summit and UN General Assembly (2005, 2006)– Need for strengthening EWS in support of disaster risk management

• Reform of the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR) System– Will ensure stronger coordination and collaborations among the

international and regional agencies in support of national capacities.– WMO is a critical player through the new ISDR Management

Oversight Board and Global Platform for Disaster Reduction

• Third International Early Warning Conference– Global Early Warning Survey (Co-chaired by WMO and OCHA)

International Developments in DRM

Strengthened International Strategy for Disaster Risk Reduction (ISDR) System

• Coordinated efforts for mainstreaming disaster risk management at the national level, – by international ISDR System partners, such as UNDP, the World

Bank, OCHA, IFRC, UNEP and regional agencies

• WMO is a critical player in the strengthened ISDR System– ISDR Management Oversight Board and Global Platform for

Disaster Reduction

• WMO is proactively working with ISDR partners to ensure role of WMO and NMHS in disaster risk management are properly reflected for implementation of HFA – International and national level activities

Latest Developments in Disaster Risk Management and HFA Aim to Shift

Paradigm from Post Disaster Response to a Comprehensive Approach with Strong focus on Prevention and Preparedness

Hyogo Framework for Action 2005 – 2015 Provide Framework for Implementation of DRM at the

National level• Provides priorities for action 2005 – 2015

for entire DRM

• Five Priority areas specified– Key activities outlined for each of the five priority

areas

• Implementation and Follow up – States

– Regional Organizations

– International Organizations

– ISDR Process

– Resource Mobilization

Five Priority Areas of HFA

1) Governance: organizational, legal and policy frameworks

2) Risk identification, assessment, monitoring and early warning

3) Knowledge management and education

4) Reducing underlying risk factors

5) Preparedness for effective response and recovery

Mapping WMO and NMHS Role (active, contributing) on HFA to determine main strategic thrusts of WMO DPM Programme

Strategic Priorities of WMO DPM Programme

ST1 Improving systems for monitoring, data management, forecasting and warnings, and telecommunications

ST2 Strengthening of hazard databases, analysis and assessments capacities in support of all risk assessment applications, planning and Warning Systems

ST3 Strengthening capacities in support of end-to-end early detection and warning systems and provision of meteorological services in support of pre- and post-disaster relief operations

ST4 Strengthening mechanisms for service delivery, information and knowledge sharing

ST5 Mainstreaming of NMHSs in DRM through strengthening of organizational partnerships and enabling mechanisms vertically and horizontally

– International, Regional, National, Local

Note: Capacity development is a critical component of all these strategic priorities

Implementation of HFA provides significant opportunities for mainstreaming

WMO and NMHS national disaster management and development planning…

Opportunity and a challenge to WMO and NMHSs

Opportunity to Raise the Importance of

Observing Systems as a Critical Investment in Development and DRM Planning

Progress with WMO Disaster Prevention and Mitigation

Programme

Implementation of DPM Programme

• Congress XIV established the WMO Crosscutting DPM Programme (June 2003)

• EC Advisory Group on DPM (EC AG DPM) established by EC-LVI (June 2004)

• First Meeting of EC AG DPM (March 2005)

• DPM Crosscutting framework approved by EC – LVIII

• Preparations for Congress XV underway

Preparations for Congress XV (May 2007)

• Policy recommendations for governance, operational and Member Interventions aspects of WMO structure to facilitate crosscutting activities– Roles, responsibilities and structuring of TCs, RAs,

Programmes, PTC, Secretariat in this new crosscutting framework

• WMO DPM Programme Implementation Plan

NMHSNMHS

USERS(Disaster Risk Management)

Coordination Capacity BuildingEducation and Training

Regional Issues &Activities

Scientific andTechnical Innovation

TechnicalCommissions

ProgrammesDepartments

Regional Associations & Regional Committees

WMO DPM Crosscutting FrameworkStrategic Partnerships

User Driven Strengthened Coordination

Regional DPM Working Groups DPM Focal PointsDPM Focal Points

DPM Focal Points

CIMO

Consultation Process for Development of DPM Operating Plan and Preparations for Congress XV

April –August2006

June 200729 -31January 2007

4-6 December 2006

October 2006

Complete surveys &develop databases

Analyse, develop reports and recommendations

Prepare report of outcomes of EC AG DPM

Prepare documentation for Congress XV

2nd EC AG DPM Congress XV

First DPM CoordinationMeeting with Programmes, TC, RA, and Focal Points

Coordinate and consult closely with Programmes, Technical Commissions, Regional Associations and

Strategic Partners

Consultation for Drafting and Finalization of WMO DPM Operating Plan for Submission to Congress XV

Survey of Countries, Technical

Commissions and

Programmes Launched

Regional Associations

Survey Launched

Activate all DPM focal points and Working

Groups

Four Level Surveys Conducted to Benchmark …

• Members Capacities, Gaps and Needs– Country-level DPM Surveys– 139 responses received

• Regional Capacities, Gaps and Needs– Regional-level DPM Surveys– Underway by Regional Associations DPM Working Groups

• Mapping of WMO Technical Commissions Projects and Activities, expertise– Completed

• Mapping of Programme Departments Projects and Activities– Completed

Limiting factors of NMHSs in their contribution to disaster risk management

Most critical factors limiting contributions of NMHSs to disaster risk management (number of positive responses / number of responses)

GLOBAL (out of 139 responses)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

(out of 85 responses)

LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

(out of 25 responses)

Africa - RA I (out of 28

responses)

Asia - RA II (out of 25

responses)

South America - RA

III (out of 10

responses)

Central and North

America and the

Caribbean - RA IV

(out of 18 responses)

South-West Pacific -

RA V (out of 14

responses)

Europe - RA VI

(out of 44 responses)

Visibility and recognition of NMHSs within the Government as one of the main contributing agencies to disaster risk reduction

108/134 67/83 19/24 24/26 16/24 8/10 15/18 10/14 35/42

Understanding at the ministerial level of the socio-economic benefits of hydrometeorological products and services

124/132 80/83 23/24 26/26 21/24 10/10 18/18 12/14 37/40

National disaster risk reduction organizational structures 49/132 27/82 10/24 4/26 9/24 2/10 11/18 6/13 17/41

Lack of understanding by governmental authorities of the value that NMHSs provides

82/130 53/80 16/23 18/24 11/24 6/9 13/18 9/14 25/41

Legislation or policies regarding the role of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Service in DRR

72/131 51/81 15/23 16/24 12/24 6/10 12/18 6/14 20/41

Observing networks for hydro-meteorological conditions 91/129 64/80 19/22 21/24 15/24 10/10 15/16 10/14 20/41

Resources for the maintenance of the observing networks 95/131 66/82 21/23 23/25 14/24 9/10 17/18 8/14 24/40

Value-added services in support of hydrometeorological risk assessment

114/127 74/79 20/21 24/25 17/23 9/9 17/17 13/13 34/40

Resources and infrastructure to deliver products and services

105/114 71/75 21/21 26/27 17/19 7/8 15/15 11/12 29/33

Operational forecasting and warning services 119/128 78/79 22/23 26/26 21/23 9/9 16/16 12/13 35/41

Readiness level system to ensure appropriate response by authorities to the levels of information issued by NMHSs

106/126 73/81 20/23 21/24 20/24 9/10 16/17 11/13 29/38

Collaboration and coordination with the WMO Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres

100/130 71/81 22/24 26/27 20/24 8/9 11/16 9/14 26/40

Linkages with other organizations involved in disaster risk reduction

68/133 52/82 17/24 23/27 9/23 4/10 11/17 7/14 14/42

Coordination with neighboring or adjacent countries 115/132 77/82 22/23 26/27 18/22 10/10 16/18 11/14 34/41

Forecaster training 74/131 57/80 18/24 19/25 12/24 8/10 12/17 8/14 15/41

Joint training between NMHS staff and disaster risk managers

91/132 66/83 22/24 26/26 13/24 8/10 13/17 8/14 23/41

Joint training between NMHS staff and media 90/135 66/84 20/24 26/27 11/24 7/10 15/18 8/14 23/42

Joint training between NMHS staff and emergency authorities and managers

89/133 65/83 20/24 25/26 15/24 8/10 12/17 8/14 21/42

Educational modules that NMHSs could target at Media, Public, disaster risk reduction authorities

117/134 77/84 22/24 27/27 18/24 9/10 18/18 12/14 33/41

Public understanding of the effects of hazards 111/133 73/83 21/23 25/26 18/24 9/10 15/18 12/14 32/41

public understanding of warnings 109/133 71/83 22/23 25/26 18/24 8/10 15/18 12/14 31/41

Overall Analysis of TC and Programme Projects

Technical Commission /Programme

CBS 1 3 1 4 4 5 8 1

CIMO 1 1 1

CAS 2 2 2

CCl 2 1 2 1 1 2

CHy 9 2 7 9

JCOMM 1 4 1 6 2 1 3

CAgM 1 2 1 2 3

CAeM 2 2 1 1

TCP 4 3 1 1 1 2

AREP 3 1 3 1 1 3

DPM 1 4 5 2 3

Grand Total 1 17 12 18 31 17 26 4 1 17

Regional National Combination

Status Crosscutting Scope

On-going Program

meImple-

mentation

Work Plan

Development

Concept Phase Yes No Global

First WMO DPM Coordination Meeting (Dec 4 – 6, 2006)

Preparations for EC AG DPM and PTC Meetings (Jan/Early Feb 2007)

• Review Gap analysis, activities of TCs and Programmes

• Provide input to drafting of the WMO DPM Implementing Plan

• Provide Recommendations for policy recommendations for Congress to facilitate organizational structures for Project development:– Based on understanding of Members Needs and requirements– Crosscutting Coordination among TCs and Programmes – Progress Monitoring

Policy recommendations for Congress’ consideration

• Governance, operational aspects and Members’ interventions for implementation of crosscutting projects

• Criteria for project prioritisation and implementation within WMO Network (TCs, RAs, Programmes) and with partners– Members needs and requirements

• Mechanisms for monitoring progress

• How to optimize WMO resources for project implementation through integrated planning, and extra-budgetary fundraising

CIMO Contributions to 7 Gap Areas of WMO DPM Programme

Enhancement and utilisation of NMHSs products and services indecision-making processes through cooperation with other agencies

CIMO OPAGs

CIMO ContributionsProject areas of DPM

AllCIMO supports public outreach by assisting NMHSs in providing greater public understanding of how instruments and systems perform in monitoring of hazards

Public outreach programmes and materials

AllOur primary stakeholders are NMHSs and we provide training and prepare guidelines for maintaining optimum instrument performance

Education and training programmes with stakeholders (risk management authorities, emergency operators, media)

AllIdentify, develop, and certify sustainable instruments based on user identified needs and requirements

Meteorological services for pre- and post-disaster response and relief operations

All• Develop guidelines for the operation and calibration of instruments used in monitoring and detection hazards.

• Work with Industry in developing robust instruments able to sustain severe natural hazard events and harsh environments.

Operational hazard early detection and warnings (next hour to longer climate timeframes)

AllContribute to hazard monitoring by insuring performance of instruments through proper maintenance and calibration. Data quality is paramount to a quality historical data base

Hazard monitoring, databases and analysis => Risk Identification (historical and forward looking analysis of trends)

AllProviding guidance needed to insure sustainable and high performing monitoring instruments & networks

Mainstreaming NMHS services in national disaster risk management plans

Enhancement and utilisation of NMHSs products and services indecision-making processes through cooperation with other agencies

CIMO OPAGs

CIMO ContributionsProject areas of DPM

AllCIMO supports public outreach by assisting NMHSs in providing greater public understanding of how instruments and systems perform in monitoring of hazards

Public outreach programmes and materials

AllOur primary stakeholders are NMHSs and we provide training and prepare guidelines for maintaining optimum instrument performance

Education and training programmes with stakeholders (risk management authorities, emergency operators, media)

AllIdentify, develop, and certify sustainable instruments based on user identified needs and requirements

Meteorological services for pre- and post-disaster response and relief operations

All• Develop guidelines for the operation and calibration of instruments used in monitoring and detection hazards.

• Work with Industry in developing robust instruments able to sustain severe natural hazard events and harsh environments.

Operational hazard early detection and warnings (next hour to longer climate timeframes)

AllContribute to hazard monitoring by insuring performance of instruments through proper maintenance and calibration. Data quality is paramount to a quality historical data base

Hazard monitoring, databases and analysis => Risk Identification (historical and forward looking analysis of trends)

AllProviding guidance needed to insure sustainable and high performing monitoring instruments & networks

Mainstreaming NMHS services in national disaster risk management plans

P

Proposed CIMO Inter-Commission and WMO program Collaborations

CBS • Develop guidelines for future observing instruments & systems • Enhancement of Regional Instrument Centers• Support Evolution of the Global Observing System• Identify & validate performance of interoperable instruments & systems• Standardization of instruments and platforms where feasible• Standardization of Codes• Assist NMHSs in optimizing their hazards monitoring capabilities

CCl, CAgM, CHy, CAgM, and JCOMM

• Assist in eliminating the gaps between manual and automatic monitoring systems • Validate Performance of Next Generation of Instruments• Develop Guidelines for Future Observing Systems • Validate Performance of the Next Generation of Instruments

CAS • Assist in developing guidelines and procedures for taking atmospheric composition measurements; monitoring UV Radiation, ozone and other gases and particulates

GCOS • Assist in preparing guidelines for the development of the future Global Reference Upper-air Network (GRUAN)• Involving Regional Instrument Centers in assisting the GUAN and GSN networks in maintenance and calibration activities

Thank you