Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85...

107
© 2019 Darling Consulting Group, Inc. 260 Merrimac Street Newburyport, MA 01950 Tel: 978.463.0400 DarlingConsulting.com Risk Management Strategy & Solutions FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings Spring 2019 Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on Both Sides of the Balance Sheet

Transcript of Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85...

Page 1: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc bull 260 Merrimac Street bull Newburyport MA 01950 bull Tel 9784630400 bull DarlingConsultingcom

Risk Management Strategy amp Solutions

FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings

Spring 2019

Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on Both Sides of the Balance Sheet

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 2

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

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Todayrsquos Focus

Deposits Expect costs to continue to increase

Lending

Activity slowing while spreads tightening Institutions rethinking growth at thinner margins

Interest Rate Risk

Uncertainty abounds donrsquot lose sight of rates falling Market expects a rate cut before a rate hike

Regulatory

All eyes on liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 4 Page 4 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus

1 Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

2 Overcome Regulatory Pressures on PVL

3 Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

4 Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

5 Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 5 Page 5 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns

Potentially volatile funding sources Understand your concentrations High rate deposits Uninsured deposits Single source concentrations

Liquid asset pressure

Dynamic forecasting and stress testing No one is immune

ldquoThe declining liquid asset cushions and increased use of potentially non-stable liquidity sourceshellipsuggest that small banks as a group are increasing their liquidity risk profileshelliprdquo ndash FDIC Supervisory Insights

Summer 2017

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

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Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

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Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

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Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

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ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

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Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

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Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

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Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

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Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

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High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

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High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

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Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

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Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

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Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

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Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

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Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

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Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

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Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

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Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

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Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

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Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

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The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

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Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

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DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

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Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

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Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

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Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

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Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

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Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

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Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

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Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

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Next Move on MMDAs

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MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

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A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

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Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

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Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

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OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

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Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

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Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

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What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

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New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

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Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

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Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

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CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

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Lending Strategies

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Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

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Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

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Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

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Loan Repricing Schedule

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CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

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Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

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Interest Rate Risk

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Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

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Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

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5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

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Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

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Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

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Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

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Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

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Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

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IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

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IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 2: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 2

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 3 Page 3 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Todayrsquos Focus

Deposits Expect costs to continue to increase

Lending

Activity slowing while spreads tightening Institutions rethinking growth at thinner margins

Interest Rate Risk

Uncertainty abounds donrsquot lose sight of rates falling Market expects a rate cut before a rate hike

Regulatory

All eyes on liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 4 Page 4 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus

1 Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

2 Overcome Regulatory Pressures on PVL

3 Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

4 Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

5 Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 5 Page 5 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns

Potentially volatile funding sources Understand your concentrations High rate deposits Uninsured deposits Single source concentrations

Liquid asset pressure

Dynamic forecasting and stress testing No one is immune

ldquoThe declining liquid asset cushions and increased use of potentially non-stable liquidity sourceshellipsuggest that small banks as a group are increasing their liquidity risk profileshelliprdquo ndash FDIC Supervisory Insights

Summer 2017

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 3: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 3 Page 3 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Todayrsquos Focus

Deposits Expect costs to continue to increase

Lending

Activity slowing while spreads tightening Institutions rethinking growth at thinner margins

Interest Rate Risk

Uncertainty abounds donrsquot lose sight of rates falling Market expects a rate cut before a rate hike

Regulatory

All eyes on liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 4 Page 4 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus

1 Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

2 Overcome Regulatory Pressures on PVL

3 Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

4 Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

5 Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 5 Page 5 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns

Potentially volatile funding sources Understand your concentrations High rate deposits Uninsured deposits Single source concentrations

Liquid asset pressure

Dynamic forecasting and stress testing No one is immune

ldquoThe declining liquid asset cushions and increased use of potentially non-stable liquidity sourceshellipsuggest that small banks as a group are increasing their liquidity risk profileshelliprdquo ndash FDIC Supervisory Insights

Summer 2017

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 4: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 4 Page 4 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus

1 Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

2 Overcome Regulatory Pressures on PVL

3 Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

4 Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

5 Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 5 Page 5 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns

Potentially volatile funding sources Understand your concentrations High rate deposits Uninsured deposits Single source concentrations

Liquid asset pressure

Dynamic forecasting and stress testing No one is immune

ldquoThe declining liquid asset cushions and increased use of potentially non-stable liquidity sourceshellipsuggest that small banks as a group are increasing their liquidity risk profileshelliprdquo ndash FDIC Supervisory Insights

Summer 2017

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 5: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 5 Page 5 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns

Potentially volatile funding sources Understand your concentrations High rate deposits Uninsured deposits Single source concentrations

Liquid asset pressure

Dynamic forecasting and stress testing No one is immune

ldquoThe declining liquid asset cushions and increased use of potentially non-stable liquidity sourceshellipsuggest that small banks as a group are increasing their liquidity risk profileshelliprdquo ndash FDIC Supervisory Insights

Summer 2017

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 6: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 6 Page 6 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Loan growth continues to outpace deposit growth

Institutions have shifted cash flows from investments into loans

Source SampP Global

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 7: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 7

Identify Your Liquid Asset Cushion

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 8: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 8 Page 8 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify Liquid Asset Cushion

TOTAL ASSETS =Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations)

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of SecuritiesLess Securities Pledged to

FHLBFed DiscountOther Secured

Wholesale ReposRetail ReposSweeps

Municipal DepositsOther

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Total Unpledged Securities

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 102

0

Pct Of Assets0

122500

0

35000 47500 0

82500

0 0 00 -25000 00 -10000 0

0 0 00 0 0

0 0 0

35000 85000 0

MunisCollateral Value 100 95 90

UST amp Agency MBS CMOsAgency Backed

I LIQUID ASSETS

400001200000

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 9: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 9 Page 9 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Strategy Considerations

Define liquid asset cushion

May have to be more offensive in deposit pricing strategies

Consider alternative pledging options

Maximize alternative funding sources

Defend with ldquoTotalrdquo liquidity (next slide)

If ldquotighterrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

Keep cash to work Identify ability to shift

liquidity into loans Consider more of a

defensive deposit strategy

Maximize alternative funding sources

Develop a strong contingency funding plan

If ldquostrongerrdquo liquid asset cushion then consider

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 10: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 10

Availability of Wholesale Funding Channels

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 11: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 11 Page 11 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized

ldquoAn institution should diversify available funding sources in the short- medium- and long-term Funding should also be diversified across a full range of retail as well as secured and unsecured wholesale sources of funds consistent with the

institutions sophistication and complexityrdquo

ndash Interagency Policy Statement on Liquidity Spring 2010

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 12: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 12 Page 12 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Total Liquidity Focus

Reserve based on funding concentrations

Available borrowing capacity vs wholesale reliance

Brokered capacity

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coveragesof CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

1200000

120000

385000 321

265000 221

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

325000105000

220000

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

420000325000

77500

45000 38

30 500010 65000

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

5000

25 2500

Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

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Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

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Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
I LIQUID ASSETS OTHER LIQUIDITY ITEMS
TOTAL ASSETS = 1200000 Mkt Value Pledged Available
Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) 40000 Corporate Securities 0 0 0
Municipal Securities 27876 0 0
UST amp Agency MBS CMOs Equity Securities 0 0 0
Security Collateral Agency Backed Munis Other 0 0 0
Collateral Value 100 95 90
Total Market Value of Securities 35000 85000 0 UNSECURED BORROWING LINES
Less Securities Pledged to Line Outstanding Available
FHLB 0 0 0 Fed Funds Lines 0 0 0
Fed DiscountOther Secured 0 0 0
Wholesale Repos 0 0 0 SECURED BORROWING LINES
Retail ReposSweeps 0 -10000 0 Line Outstanding Available
Municipal Deposits 0 -25000 0 Fed BIC Lines 0 0 0
Other 0 0 0 Fed DiscountOther 0 0 0
Available Unencumbered Security Collateral 35000 47500 0 Total 0 0 0
Total Unpledged Securities 82500 of Assets
BASIC SURPLUS - EXCL FED BIC amp OTHER SECURED LINES
Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position 0 of Assets
No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above 0
Pct Of Assets No Change to Basic Surplus NA NA
Other Liquid Assets 0
TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS 122500 102
II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES AVAILABLE BORROWING CAPACITY (PER POLICY)
Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days) 5000
Deposit Coverages Current Outstanding Borrowings (Exc SweepsRet Repos) 0
25 of CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 2500
30 of Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days 5000 Policy Limits (Min) Maximum Borrowing Capacity is Not Available
10 of Other Deposits 65000
Well Capitalized lt Well Capitalized
OTHER NOTES
TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES 77500
BASIC SURPLUS 45000 38
III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL
A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB 420000
B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut) 325000
C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)
Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B) 325000
Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit 105000
REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY 220000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB 265000 221
IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS
Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets) 120000
Current Brokered Deposit Balances 0
REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS 120000
BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS 385000 321
Page 13: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 13

Revitalize Your Risk Monitor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 14: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 14

Revisit Your Risk Monitor

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 15: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 15

Management Response

Potential volatile liabilities have increased to 29 and have triggered Risk Level 1 Management has applied a low stress level response as the total liquidity position (on-balance sheet as well as access to wholesale funding) remains strong Additionally the high concentration of volatile deposits have been analyzed and defended based on the strong core relationship with the customers Management will continue to closely monitor changes to liquidity levels moving forward

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 16: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 16 Page 16 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration (Potentially Volatile Liabilities)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 17: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 17

High Rate Deposits (eg reference point = national rate caps)

Uninsured Deposits

Concentrations (eg depositors Funding Types amp Potential Risk Municipal Public Funding Reciprocal Depositors Large Single Source Relationships (eg gt=2 of total deposits)

Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 18: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 18

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 010 085

Checking 006 081

MMDA 018 093

6M CD 038 113

12M CD 065 140

24M CD 085 160

36M CD 098 173

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 009 084

6M CD 017 092

12M CD 029 104

24M CD 044 119

36M CD 059 134

Product National Rate

Rate Cap

Savings 006 081

Checking 004 079

MMDA 008 083

6M CD 013 088

12M CD 022 097

24M CD 036 111

36M CD 049 124

Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits

December 2016 December 2017 March 2019

Fed Funds 75 FHLB 1 Year 115

Brokered CD 1 Year 110

150 205 190

225 270 245

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 19: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 19 Page 19 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps

SampP Global

FDIC High Rate Deposit levels (as of 3419)

FHLB Dividend Adjusted Rates (3419)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 20: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 20

High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 21: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 21

Uninsured Deposits Relationships

50 of Total Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 22: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 22

Uninsured Customer Segmentation

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 23: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 23

Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 24: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 24

Develop a Dynamic Forecast amp Stress Test Framework

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 25: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 25

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

$40MM loan growth $34MM deposit growth

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 26: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 26

Dynamic Liquidity Forecast

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 27: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 27 Page 27 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Liquidity Stress Testing

bull Collateral haircuts bull Loan Cash Flows (NPAs ProductionGrowth) bull Deposit Runoff bull Below well-capitalized (low probabilityhigh risk)

Contracting Economy

bull Loan growth gt deposit growth bull Collateral Valuations (ie depreciation) bull Higher wholesale levels

Expanding Economy

bull Deposit concentrations (Potential Volatility) bull ICSCDARs bull Loan concentrations

Institution-Specific

bull Industry specific bull Environmental threats Regional

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 28: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 28

Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components

Deposit runoff (from study) Increased haircuts (last crisis)

Remove unsecured funding lines How long until we feel the pressure

Moderate Stress Scenario

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 29: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 29

Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan Severe Stress Scenario

Severe Stress Scenario Remediation Plan

Source Liquidity360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 30: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 30

Deposit Strategies to Improve Liquidity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 31: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 31 Page 31 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Industry Deposit Pricing Trends

Beta Beta Historical Regression Analysis Recent Regression AnalysisFull Rise +425bps Q1 04 - Q2 07 46 Full Recent Rise +225bps Q3 15 - Q4 18 16

First 125bps Q1 04-Q4 04 9 First 125bps Q3 15 - Q4 17 8Next 100bps Q4 04 -Q2 05 31 Last 100bps Q4 17 - Q4 18 30Next 100bps Q2 05-Q4 05 47Last 100bps Q4 05-Q2 07 103

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 32: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 32

The Attrition Concern

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trend

2018 Trend

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 33: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 33

Better to Be Offensive or Defensive Cannibalization

Benchmark Wholesale

Costs

20 Attrition replaced 275 80 Retention 050

NEW FUNDS COST ANALYSIS

Term FHLB (Net Stock Dividend)

90-Day 246

1 256

2 259

3 261

4 265

5 269

7 296

10 319

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 34: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 34 Page 34 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Monitoring and Managing Attrition

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 35: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 35

Analyzing Attrition

2017 Trend 2018 Trend

2017 Trends 2018 Trends Source Deposits360degtrade

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 36: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 36

Watch List Top 10 Outflows

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 37: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 37

Watch List Declining Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

Relationships at Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 38: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 38

Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 39: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 39

Customer Segmentation

Single Source Customers

Core Customers

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 40: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 40

Customer Profile OpportunityRisk

Savings = $850k 1 Account

Savings Rate = 015

No Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 41: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 41

Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk

Savings = $2M NOW = $25k

4 Accounts

Savings Rate = 005

Additional Services with the Institution Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 42: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 42 Page 42 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Next Move on MMDAs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 43: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 43

MMDA Current Tiers $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalRate (on Bank website) 010 015 020 020 030 030 030 027Balance $4345018 $23776345 $63923061 $99616061 $82027208 $66224769 $418691192 $758603654 of Total MMDA 1 3 8 13 11 9 55 100Annual Interest Expense $434502 $3566452 $12784612 $19923212 $24608162 $19867431 $125607358 $206791729

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalRate 020 020 030 030 030 030 027Balance $92044423 $99616061 $148251977 $116543910 $132505579 $169641704 $758603654 of Total MMDA 12 13 20 15 17 22 100Annual Interest Expense $18408885 $19923212 $44475593 $34963173 $39751674 $50892511 $208415048

Alternative TierPricing Adjustments to Maintain Current Cost of Funds

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments

of Balance Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 44: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 44

A change in tier structure could Provide incentives for largest customers Allow more pricing flexibility as rate rise Entice lower-balance customers to increase wallet share

MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility

Incremental Interest Expense as Rates Rise (Per +25bp)Fed Funds Increase 025MMDA Current Tier $0-$25k $25-$10K $10k-$25k $25k-$50k $50k-$75k $75k-$100K $100k+ TotalBeta 25 25 50 50 75 75 80 71Balance $434501800 $2377634500 $6392306100 $9961606100 $8202720800 $6622476900 $41869119200 $75860365400Additional Expense $271564 $1486022 $7990383 $12452008 $15380102 $12417144 $83738238 $133735460

A lternat ive Tiers $0-$25K $25k-$50K $50k-$100k $100k-$150k $150k-$250MM $250K+ TotalBeta 25 50 50 75 100 100 71Balance $9204442300 $9961606100 $14825197700 $11654391000 $13250557900 $16964170400 $75860365400Additional Expense $5752776 $12452008 $18531497 $21851983 $33126395 $42410426 $134125085

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 45: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 45

Introducing New MMDA Product

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 46: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 46

Legacy MMDA Trends

Lost just $10MM Retained $30MM through promotional MMDA amp CDs Maintain $100MM at just 30 bps

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 47: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 47 Page 47 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellip Deposit Promotions and Campaigns

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 48: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 48

Key Questions on Deposit Promotions What drives pricing decisions competition or liquidity needs

How much are the promotions really costing me

Will I have more success on a CD or NMD promotion

What hurdles (ie requirements) should be included

Should I target-market (vs ldquobillboardrdquo campaign)

Is my front-line staff prepared

Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 49: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 49

Unsuccessful CD Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 50: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 50

What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion

MMDA Special Source Deposits360degreg

11 Month CD Special

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 51: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 51

New Market Promotion

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 52: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 52

Indexed MMDA New Money Match

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 53: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 53

Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 54: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 54

CD Specials Post Maturity

Retained 87 of CD Special Balances

Source Deposits360degreg

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 55: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 55 Page 55 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Lending Strategies

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 56: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 56

Fixed Rate Lending ldquoWhatrsquos the Buzzrdquo The ldquoMatched Fundingrdquo Myth Pressures to Extend Some Negotiation Strategies Revisiting Adjustable CRE Repricing TermsConditions Front Running Refinancing Risk Prepayment Penalties ldquoThe Great Giveawayrdquo Relationship Managers vs Lenders Whatrsquos in a Name Loan Pricing Models Why Changes in Derivatives Accounting Matter Some Comments on ResidentialConsumer Lending

Lending Discussion Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 57: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 57

Pricing Interest Rate RiskhellipSwap Benchmarking

Start with Floating Rate Reference Quote (based on credit premium) Example - Prime + 050

ldquoConvertrdquo Floating to Fixed Quotes Using Swap Rates

Loan Pricing

Borrower Bank CU BrokerDealer Receive Fixed Rate (5yrs)

Receive Variable Rate Pay Variable Rate

Interest Rate Swap Mechanics

WSJP = 550

529

WSJP + 050 = 600

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 58: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 58

Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges Some Discussion Itemshellip

As of March 2019

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 59: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 59

Loan Repricing Schedule

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 60: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 60

CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity Merit to pro-actively renegotiating prior to contractual reset

Could any of these loans go elsewhere at reset Can we pro-actively lock in at a higher rate (albeit lower

than contractual reset) and recast prepayment penalties additional fees

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 61: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 61 Page 61 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Awareness Varies

Appetites Vary

Biases ldquoGet In The Wayrdquo

Liability Sensitive Asset Sensitive

Few ldquoDo Not Haverdquo Fixed Rate Capacity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 62: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 62 Page 62 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Interest Rate Risk

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 63: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 63

Challenges of a Flattening Yield Curve

Asset Yields

Funding Costs

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 64: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 64

Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 65: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 65

5 Common Missteps Short-term simulations (1-2 years) Focus specifically on rising rates Focus on shocks vs ramps Statistical review vs graphical analysis Industry standard assumptions

FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position

Asset Sensitive

A Little of Both

Liability Sensitive

No ldquoOne Size Fits All ndash Depends on Your Risk Profile

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 66: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 66

Strategy Considerations Asset Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Extend cashpre-invest Consider buying call protection Mismatched leverage Understand capacity to extend

assets (ldquocore fundingrdquo utilization)

Flexibility with commercial deals and structures

Hold portion of fixed rate mortgages

Positioning of wholesale funding and deposit specials

Understand role of derivatives (floors receive fixed swaps etc)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 67: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 67

Liability Sensitive

Risk Profile Presentation MattershellipGreatly

BASE SIMULATION AS OF 6302018

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

BASE SIMULATION

025

225

425

625

825

025

Net Interest Income ($000)

1 Year Simulation 2 Year Simulation 5 Year Simulation

Base Down 100BP Up 200BP

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 68: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 68

Strategy Considerations Liability Sensitive IRR Profile

Considerations Balancing exposure to both rising

and falling rates If extending Understanding how

far and how much of protection Cost of insurance Understand

most effective options Should be able to extend assets if

disciplined with funding Deposit strategy new money

focus SwapsCaps (last of layer

approach)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 69: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 69 Page 69 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

New Derivatives Hedging Accounting Highlights

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Assets) Swapping Prime Floating Loans to

Fixed Rate Credit Spreads No Longer Matter Greater flexibility in establishing pools

Interest Rate Floors Straight Line Premium Amortization

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Liabilities) Swapping Fixed Rate Debt to

Floating Can Hedge Partial Term vs Entire Term

Asset Sensitive Considerations

Fair Value Hedge (Shorten Assets) Swap Pool of Fixed Rate Assets to

Floating ldquoLast-Of-Layerrdquo Method Allows for Partial Term hedging

Cash Flow Hedge (Lengthen Liabilities) Interest Rate Caps Straight Line Premium

Amortization Extend funding with same annual insurance cost

Liability Sensitive Considerations

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 70: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 70 Page 70 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 1

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 71: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 71

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

20001000

3000

800 405 421 408

66 65400 305 321 308 288 287

66 72 58

337

510000 00 00 00

41 38

41 38 38 48 51

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

38 48

388

Policy Guidelines

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 72: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 72

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Overnight Funds Sold amp Short-Term Investments (avg balance if wide daily fluctuations) TOTAL ASSETS =

Security Collateral

Total Market Value of Securities Less Securities Pledged to

FHLB On-Balance Fed DiscountOther Secured Sheet Liquidity =

Wholesale Repos Retail ReposSweeps

Municipal Deposits Other

Available Unencumbered Security Collateral

Over Collateralized Securities Pledging Position

Government Guaranteed Loans

Cash flow (lt 30 Days) from Securities not listed above

Other Liquid Assets (Int Bearing Deposits MM Mutual Funds etc)

TOTAL LIQUID ASSETS

47554 43689

-1493 0

0 0

0

0

0

00 0

000

0

000

1059061

Pct Of Assets

120

Pct OfAmount Assets147090 139

0

91243

478

1397

0

126603

49524 45988

-478 0

I LIQUID ASSETS

33486

UST amp Agency

Collateral Value 100 90

MBS CMOsPrivate LabelAgency Backed

950

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 73: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 73

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

Maturing Unsecured Liabilities (lt 30 Days)

Deposit Coverages of Regular CDs Maturing lt 30 Daysof Jumbo CDs Maturing lt 30 Days of Other Deposits

TOTAL SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

BASIC SURPLUS

A Maximum Borrowing Line at FHLB (Up to 50 of Assets)B Qualifying Loan Collateral at the FHLB (net of haircut)C Excess Loan Collateral (if A lt B)

Maximum Borrowing Capacity (Lesser of A or B)Collateral Currently Encumbered by Outstanding AdvancesLetters of Credit

REMAINING FHLB LOAN BASED BORROWING CAPACITY

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB

Maximum Board Authorized Brokered Deposit Capacity (10 of Total Assets)Current Brokered Deposit Balances

REMAINING CAPACITY TO UTILIZE BROKERED DEPOSITS

BASIC SURPLUS W FHLB amp BROKERED DEPOSITS

105906

of Total Deposits63

253210

296714

56323

529530296714

429395

0

105906

IV BROKERED DEPOSIT ACCESS

Well Capitalized

lt Well Capitalized

Policy Limits (Min)

43504

III QUALIFYING FHLB LOAN COLLATERAL

10 53179

25 129430

II SHORT TERM POTENTIALLY VOLATILE LIABILITIES amp COVERAGES

0

1850

323489

405 80

66 20

305

70280

40 80

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 74: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 74

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $25MM

Net Deposit Flows $5MM

Net Cash Flow $-20MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $38MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $10MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 75: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 75

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 76: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 76

Strategy Discussion

Deposit Trends

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 77: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 77

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Origination Yields Since Last Fall

467 496 455 446 428

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 78: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 78

Strategy Discussion

Loan Pricing

How has pricing changed given recent yield curve movements Falling rate protection remains critical

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 79: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 79

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Year 2 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)Base

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailP i t th 11302018 i th d i t D 100BP i

-1000

700

-1562

548

494

10121255

249

-61

12571148

-22

-73

-24

-25-21-29 -24 -22 -21

-27 -29

-89-21 -21 04 -06 -35

-6125 14 25 21 -02

12531266

-123-16611301176

-90

477

-2284 -768-638-2000

1068

-453-243 -109

468

488

1234

516397 345

429359

485

431 407285

-62

-100-200 -100 -100 +400

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 80: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 80

IRR Overview

Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 81: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 81

IRR Overview

EVE Analysis Deposit Study vs Shorter Life Bias

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

00

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

00

20

40

60

80

100

120

EVE Ratio (EVEEVA)

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

00

100

200

EVE ($) - Pct Chg from 0 Shock

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Economic Value of Equity ($000s)

65 year life (Study) 25 year life (Stress)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 82: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 82

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOSTier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)Capital Ratios are based upon the 9302018 call report

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans AssetsNet Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

1682 1631 1595 1570 1572

793 775 802

$1624$10536306 301

$10493 $10415298

$8437$1510$1782 $1597

$10591296

$1585

$8861 $8849

1000500

17531083

1700

1638 16401033

16631052 10351057

$10531297

$8879$398$395

951 953

$8485$8203 $8352 $8223$8589

$500792 786

$8733$535$435

057 058

057946 922

955056058

11302018 8312018 5312018 2282018 11302017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 83: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 83 Page 83 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss growth expectations for 2019

o Differentiate offensive and defensive strategies - Discuss recent pricing trendshellip How much more can we lag on the NMD base - Review balance migration and retention trendshellip What were differences in 14 and 16 Month Special

activity - Discuss wholesale funding game plan Lending - Discuss growth expectations for 2019 $25 million of quarterly fixed rate growth (see simulation) - Discuss pricing and structurehellip Can we keep pushing yields higher - Review capacity for adding duration within the portfolio - Protect against falling rateshellip If cannot include at origination can we explore synthetic avenues via

derivatives

Investments - Discuss plan for upcoming cash flow and any excess cash - Discuss on-balance sheet liquidity cushion and future ability to shift cash flow towards loans

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 84: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 84 Page 84 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Increase near-term

exposure to rising rates

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Rates increase greater

than expected over the long-term

Prepayment risk if rates fall

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 85: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 85

Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 86: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 86 Page 86 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold $25 million fixed rate loans - $15MM CRE - $10MM Res

Funded with ST FHLB advances Incorporate 2 Year Interest Rate Swap

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Neutralize exposure to

rising rates over next two years

Earnings Higher run rate of

income

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall Accounting risk Counterparty risk Price risk

Potential Strategy

$25MM Loan Growth Funded Short and Interest Rate Swap

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 87: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 87

CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $795 $852 $552 $309

2 $1011 $1129 $552 $102

3 $970 $1095 $552 $152

Total $2776 $3076 $1656 $563

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 88: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 88 Page 88 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Case Study 2

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 89: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 89

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

LIQUIDITYBasic Surplus (Min)Basic Surplus w FHLB (Min)

Basic Surplus w FHLB amp Brokered (Min)

Borrowings Assets (Max)

Brokered Deposits Assets (Max)

Total Wholesale Funds Assets (Max)

25001500

1500 422 430 336

55 691000 272 280 243 228 241

82 95 61

340

465100 00 57 73

14 19

14 19 89 111 96

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

32 38

305

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 90: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 90

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 91: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 91

Liquidity Overview Basic Surplus

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 92: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 92

90-Day Liquidity Forecast

Net Loan Growth $5MM

Net Deposit Flows $10MM

Net Cash Flow $5MM

CashInvestment Cash Flow Due $15MM

Wholesale Funding Maturities $0MM

How Much Liquidity Do We Need

What is the strategy with the cash surplus How aggressive do we need to be with deposit pricing How can increase loan activity

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 93: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 93

Strategy Discussion Loan Pricing

Originations falling Why Accelerated refinancing activity Losing deals on price

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 94: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 94

Deposit Pricing vs Local Market

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 95: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 95

INTEREST RATE RISKEarnings at Risk (Max)

Pct() Change in Net Interest Income with+- 200bps ramp (12 Mths)Year 1 NII ( Change from Year 1 - Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

24 Month NII ( Change from Base)

Down 200BP

Up 200BP

Core Funding Utilization (Max)BaseDown 200BPUp 200BP

EVE AnalysisPre-shock EVE ratioPost-shock EVE ratio

Basis Point Change in EVEPercentage Change in EVE

Policy Guidelines are for -200 scenario See EVE report for detailPior to the 10312018 review the down scenario represents a Down 100BP scenario

1000

1500

800

-1083

456

390

11831381

285

-71

05

-32

-02

-06-09-20 -13 -08 -09

-15 03

-3318 36 31 14 35

-31

1270

-130 1140

414

-861 -2000

-198

374

424

443325 304

348301

380

352 307261

-31

-100-200

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 96: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 96

IRR Overview Base +200BP (Parallel amp Flat) -200BP (Parallel amp Steep)

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 97: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 97

IRR Overview Core Funding Utilization

Assets ( gt 60 Months)

Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative CumulativeCore Liabilities ( gt 60 Months) Volume Volume Volume Volume

Equity

Other Liabilities

DDA

NOW

Savings

Utilization

Excess

8997

74303

132849 130877

Excess

244348

285

7025

7233165306

58546

65306

58546

464

244348

456

111499

49611

6386

64499

149136

244348

244348

390

Up 400BP 24M

113471

49611

64499

69529

49611

6386 6386

64499

Excess

64499

65306 65306

25284

90590

6386

Down 200BP Up 200BP

Excess

INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS

95212

49611

Base

50967

116273

17481958546 58546

Discuss in terms of capacity to add fixed rate assets

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 98: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 98

Liquidity Interest Rate Risk amp Capital

Executive Summary

CAPITAL RATIOS

Tier 1 Leverage (Min)

Total Risk Based (Min)

Common Equity Tier 1 (Min)

Capital ratios are from 9302018 call report data

OTHER BALANCE SHEET INFORMATIONBalance Sheet SpreadTotal Assets (Millions)Investments (Millions)Gross Loans (Millions)Deposits (Millions)Borrowings (Millions)Net Loans Assets

Net Loans DepositsLoan Loss Loans

800 1551 1558 1536 1519 1532

8000 724 717 753

$845$4606323 342

$4572 $4546329

$3527$814$1010 $775

$4840312

$978

$4171 $3922

1200800

16321051

1639

1600 16161048

16181077 10581091

$4820306

$4214$148$92

898 886

$3493$3480 $3492 $3398$3807

$172758 742

$3863$207$67

070 071

070831 828

884070071

10312018

7312018 4302018 1312018 10312017

Policy Guidelines

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 99: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 99 Page 99 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Elements of Strategies Funding - Discuss pricing strategy given Fed pause and liquidity needs - Review CD special activityhellipnew money vs cannibalization - Discuss next steps for MMDA pricing - Discuss strategy for upcoming CD special maturities - Update on municipal deposit activity and pricing strategy - Reviewdiscuss potentially volatile liabilities High-rate deposit and uninsured deposit

concentrations Lending - Discuss capacity for fixed rate lending - Discuss loan pricing activity given market rally - Review upcoming loan repricingsmaturities InvestmentsOther - Revisit hedging opportunities to protect against falling rates - Discuss strategy for excess cashhellipreview bond extension strategy and call protection securities

Strategy Formulation

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 100: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 100 Page 100 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Execute $25MM at-the-money floor Recent FASB rule

changing on hedge accounting allows for a macro-level hedge strategy that did not exist before

Liquidity

Need to post collateral No material change

IRR

Protects against worst case scenario falling rates

Earnings Initial cost today

Accounting risk Price risk Counter-party risk Rates increase

Keys to execute Update policy ALCOBoard education Accounting understanding

Potential Strategy

$25MM Interest Rate Floor

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 101: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 101

Loan Floor

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base

1 $524 $559 $552

2 $511 $589 $552

Total $1035 $1148 $1104

Year -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $186 $-87 $-87

2 $415 $-87 $-87

3 $415 $-88 $-88

Total $1016 $-262 $-262

$25MM At-the-Money Floor

Pricing reflective of Q4 levelshellipprice of ATM floor much higher today

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 102: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 102 Page 102 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Purchase $15MM of Jumbo MBS 30Y (GNMA)

Funded with cash

Liquidity

Liquid Assets Neutral Total Liquidity Neutral

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings

Higher run rate of income immediately (donrsquot have to wait for growth to materialize)

Rates rise faster than expected (although IRR position holds asset sensitive posture)

Opportunity cost if rates rise

Price risk Prepayment optionality if

MBS Premium risk

Potential Strategy

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 103: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 103

Cash Extension

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $325 $359 $174 $25

2 $503 $586 $157 $-129

3 $369 $486 $158 $-109

Total $1197 $1431 $489 $-213

$15MM Cash Extension into Bonds

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 104: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 104 Page 104 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Originate and hold fixed rate mortgages - $15MM 30Y resi next

90 days

Funded with 1 month amp 1 Year FHLB advances

Liquidity Liquid Assets

NeutralSlight Decline Total Liquidity Down

Marginally Liquidity Assessment

Still Strong

IRR Protect against falling

rates Still maintain asset

sensitive posture

Earnings Higher run rate of

income in all scenarios modeled

Credit Prepayment risk if rates

fall

Potential Strategy $15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 105: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 105

Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $524 $559 $552 $580

2 $511 $589 $552 $602

Total $1035 $1148 $1104 $1182

Year -200 bps -200 Stpn Base +200 bps

1 $248 $284 $200 $152

2 $428 $517 $222 $16

3 $411 $512 $218 $24

Total $1087 $1313 $640 $192

$15MM Loan Growth Funded Short

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 106: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 106

Investments

Loans

Deposits

Wholesale

Other

ALCO Action Items

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts
Page 107: Conquering the Liquidity and Pricing Dilemma on … Resources...Annual Interest Expense $184,088.85 $199,232.12 $444,755.93 $349,631.73 $397,516.74 $508,925.11 $2,084,150.48 Alternative

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc Page 107 Page 107 copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

Closing Thoughts

Let Your Balance Sheet Talk Squeeze More Out of Your Lending Success by Looking Through

Different Lenses

Maximize Availability at FHLB (and donrsquot forget the dividend impact)

Be Prepared for Your Next Exam (Liquidity)

Deposit Strategies that Make Sense Given Your Liquidity Position

Derivatives for Community ldquoBankingrdquo A Game Changer

Donrsquot Forget About Declining Rates

ALCO as a Profit Center for Strategic Decision Making

copy 2019 Darling Consulting Group Inc

  • FHLB Des Moines Regional Member Meetings
  • Slide Number 2
  • Todayrsquos Focus
  • Liquidity Management 5 Areas of Focus
  • FirsthellipAddressing Regulatory Concerns
  • Liquidity Trends
  • Slide Number 7
  • Identify Liquid Asset Cushion
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 10
  • Wholesale FundingEncouraged not Villainized
  • Total Liquidity Focus
  • Slide Number 13
  • Revisit Your Risk Monitor
  • Management Response
  • Identify At-Risk Customer Concentration(Potentially Volatile Liabilities)
  • Areas of PVLshellipRegulatory Focus
  • Regulatory Concerns High Rate Deposits
  • Local Deposit Rates vs FDIC Rate Caps
  • High Rate Deposit (per National Rate Caps)
  • Uninsured Deposits Relationships
  • Uninsured Customer Segmentation
  • Potentially Volatile Uninsured Customer Base
  • Slide Number 24
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Dynamic Liquidity Forecast
  • Liquidity Stress Testing
  • Liquidity Stress Testing amp Key Components
  • Worst Case Scenario amp Remediation Plan
  • Slide Number 30
  • Industry Deposit Pricing Trends
  • The Attrition Concern
  • Better to Be Offensive or DefensiveCannibalization
  • DEFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipMonitoring and Managing Attrition
  • Analyzing Attrition
  • Watch List Top 10 Outflows
  • Watch List Declining Balances
  • Canrsquot Afford to Lose Top Customers Today
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Customer Profile OpportunityRisk
  • Customer Profile High Value amp Low CosthellipRisk
  • Next Move on MMDAs
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Alternative Adjustments
  • MMDA Tier Analysis ndash Pricing Flexibility
  • Introducing New MMDA Product
  • Legacy MMDA Trends
  • OFFENSIVE DEPOSIT TACTICShellipDeposit Promotions and Campaigns
  • Maximize New Money amp Minimize Cannibalization
  • Unsuccessful CD Promotion
  • What Works Better CD vs MMDA Promotion
  • New Market Promotion
  • Indexed MMDA New Money Match
  • Successfully CD Promotion New Money Minimum
  • CD Specials Post Maturity
  • Lending Strategies
  • Lending Discussion Items
  • Loan Pricing
  • Lower Rates Opportunities amp Challenges
  • Loan Repricing Schedule
  • CRE Repricing Risk Opportunity
  • Slide Number 61
  • Interest Rate Risk
  • Slide Number 63
  • Donrsquot Fall into the Flat Yield Curve Trap
  • FirsthellipUnderstand Your IRR Position
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Liability Sensitive
  • Strategy Considerations
  • Slide Number 69
  • Case Study 1
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Lending Initiative Fixed Growth w Rising Rate Exposure
  • Potential Strategy
  • CRE Growth w 2 Year Swap
  • Case Study 2
  • Executive Summary
  • Liquidity Overview
  • Liquidity Overview
  • 90-Day Liquidity Forecast
  • Strategy Discussion
  • Deposit Pricing vs Local Market
  • Executive Summary
  • IRR Overview
  • IRR Overview
  • Executive Summary
  • Strategy Formulation
  • Potential Strategy
  • Loan Floor
  • Potential Strategy
  • Cash Extension
  • Potential Strategy
  • Hold Fixed Rate Mortgages
  • ALCO Action Items
  • Closing Thoughts