CONNECT 25,000 · VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013 CONNECT S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G...
Transcript of CONNECT 25,000 · VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013 CONNECT S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G...
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 1
INDIA ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Indian economy has grown at its
slowest this decade; Rupee slumped
to a historic low of 68.80 against the
US Dollar in Q3 2013
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of India grew
at 4.4% in Q2 2013; the lowest recorded quarterly
rate in the past one decade. The GDP growth has
been primarily driven by the finance, insurance,
business services and real estate at 8.9% and by
community & social services at 9.4% during Q3
2013. Agriculture, manufacturing and mining
sectors grew at 2.7%, -1.2% and -2.8%
respectively this quarter, decelerating the
economic growth. Construction sector took a
setback due to the change in government policies
and grew at 2.8% in Q3 2013 compared to 4.4%
in previous quarter. Index of Industrial Production
improved by 2.75% in July and by a further 0.6%
in August this year.
As the Indian Rupee continues to depreciate
against the US Dollar, it hit an all time low of
68.80 this quarter. Unfavorable macro-economic
conditions have adversely affected export-import
activity, investment activity and have created a
high current account and subsequent fiscal deficit.
Figure 1: GDP, Inflation & Index of Industrial
Production
The Inflation rate rose to 6.14% in Q2 2013 from
4.84% recorded last quarter. The rise in inflation is
mainly due to increase in the Index of food prices.
Table 1: Key Policy Rates
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased the
repo rate and reverse repo rate by 25 basis points
in Q3 2013. However, the Cash Reserve Ratio
(CRR) and the Prime Lending Rates (PLR) remain
unchanged.
The BSE Realty also declined by 22% quarter-
over-quarter. Due to the depreciating value of
rupee against dollar, it fell to 1,126.8 points in
August 2013, lowest record for this year. However
it recovered in September, 2013 and reached
1,170 points.
Figure 2: Performance of BSE Sensex
Figure 3: Performance of BSE Realty Index
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Jul-12
Aug
-12
Sep
-12
Oct-
12
No
v-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
Mar-
13
Ap
r-13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug
-13
Sep
-13
Perc
en
tag
e
Inf lation GDP IIP
Source: www.tradingeconomics.com, www.economictimes.com
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Po
ints
Sensex
Source: www.bseindia.com
Q3 2013
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Po
ints
Realty Index
Source: www.bseindia.com
Q3 2013
Key Rates Jul -13 Aug-13 Sep-13
PLR* 14.45% 14.45% 14.45%
Repo Rate 7.25% 7.25% 7.50%
Reverse Repo Rate 6.25% 6.25% 6.50%
CRR 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Source: www.rbi.org.in
*Source: www.sbi.co.in
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 2
Business Optimism and Employment
Outlook in Q3 2013
Figure 4: Net Employment Outlook11
Dun and Bradstreet’s (D&B) Composite Business
Optimism Index declined by 4.2% year-on-year (y-
o-y). However, this is a marginal improvement
when compared to the previous quarter. The
decline in business optimism can be accounted to
the prevailing macro-economic challenges.
Figure 5: Net Employment Outlook: Sector Wise
Comparison
1 According to manpower Employment Outlook Survey “Net
Employment Outlook” figure is derived by the percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage expecting to see a decrease in employment at their locations in the next quarter.
According to Manpower survey report, Net
Employment Outlook for Q4 2013 stood at 40%
q-o-q and at 22% y-o-y. However, the hiring
prospects in all four regions improved both q-o-q
by 14% and y-o-y by 22%. The most optimistic
hiring plans are anticipated in the North region
with a Net Employment Outlook of 52% followed
by the South region at 44%. Net employment
Outlook in the West and the East region are
reported 36% and 33% respectively.
Overall hiring prospects improved in all seven
industry sector compared to the previous quarter
with highest Net Employment Outlook recorded
46% and 45% in the Wholesale & Retail Trade
sector and the Service sector respectively. The
most momentous growth in hiring prospect has
been recorded in Construction & Mining sector
and Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector with
an increase of 25% and 22% respectively over
previous quarter.
FDI in Real Estate
According to the data available from the
Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion
(DIPP), in Q2 2013 the total FDI inflow stood at
USD 5,396 million and FDI inflow in Construction
Development Sector2 stood at USD 167 million.
The FDI inflow in Construction sector has declined
by 30% q-o-q. However, the sector is recuperating
as of Q3 2013 and has subsequently witnessed
FDI inflow of USD 245 million in the months of
July and August. The overall FDI inflow for Q3
2013 stands at USD 3,065 million.
2 Construction development includes the sub sectors
Housing, Township, Built-up Infrastructure and Construction Development projects.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Net Employment Outlook
Source: Manpower India, Q3 2013
30
43
40
40
42
38
38
30
46
43
37
45
42
42
0 20 40 60
Transportation & Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
Mining & Construction
Public Administration & …
Services
Manufacturing
Finance, Insurance and Real Estate
Percentage (%)
Seasonally Adjusted Outlook Net Employment Outlook
Source: Manpower India, Q4 2013
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 3
PE deals in Real Estate declined by
50% on Y-o-Y basis in Q3 2013
7 major investments amounting to USD 199
million occurred through Private Equity deals in
Real Estate sector. However, the total PE
investment value dropped by 18% to USD 2.8
billion in Q3 2013 when compared to USD 3.4
billion of investments in Q3 2012.
Major PE deal announced this quarter includes:
Blackstone Real Estate Partners to invest
USD 415 million in Gurgaon based IT
SEZ project of Unitech Corporate Parks.
Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) likely to
invest USD 300 million in Bangalore
based Developer RMZ Corp.
Table 2: Key PE Investments in Real Estate Sector, Q3 2013
Table 3: Key PE Exits in Real Estate Sector, Q3 2013
PE Firm Developer Project / Stake Location Internal Rate of
Return (in %)
HDFC Nitesh Housing 10% Stake Bangalore 0.24
Deutsche Bank Golden Gate Properties 30% Stake Bangalore 0.3
Source: www.vccircle.com
PE Firm Developer Project Location Amount
(in USD million)
Standard Chartered Mahindra Lifespace Development Ltd
Residential Gurgaon & Bangalore
13.5
Red Fort Capital Lotus Green Developers Residential Gurgaon 58.8
Avenue Venture Rohan Builders Residential Bangalore 9
Reliance Capital PMS Omkar Realtors Commercial & Residential Bangalore 13.3
Source: www.vccircle.com
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 4
INDIA REAL ESTATE MARKET
OVERVIEW
In Q3 2013, real estate activity in
office, retail and residential sectors
across the four major cities was
comparable to the previous quarters
Office: Office market in the four cities
reported a total supply of 4.72 million sqft in Q3
2013, a drop of around 15% since the last
quarter. Bangalore was the leading contributor
with 3.16 million sqft of fresh supply of office
space and subsequently witnessed 50%
increase as compared to the last quarter.
Mumbai saw a steep decline with 0.32 million
sqft of fresh supply. Although Chennai office
market recorded a fresh supply of 0.6 million
sqft, this was a decrease by 30% compared to
the last quarter. But Hyderabad witnessed an
increase of 8% compared to Q2 2013 with a
fresh supply of 0.64 million sqft. Total
absorption in the four cities was 4.01 million sqft
in Q3 2013. Bangalore accounted for highest
absorption at 2.05 million sqft followed by
Mumbai at 1.01 million sqft. The overall office
leasing activity observed a drop of 20% as
compared to Q3 2012.With subdued fresh
supply and drop in absorption; the office rental
values also did not witnessed any significant
change in the four major cities.
Figure 6: Supply and Absorption of Office space
in Q3 2013 and expected supply in 20133
3 Office rentals mentioned are for Warm Shell spaces
Retail: Q3 2013 did not witness completion of
new mall space across the four major cities.
Leasing activity in malls remained subdued due
to limited availability of mall space. However,
high street locations continued to witness
healthy leasing activities in these cities. Rental
values for mall spaces remained unchanged
while select high street locations saw an
appreciation.
Residential: The three southern cities
Bangalore, Chennai and Hyderabad together
witnessed launch of around 19,500 residential
units in Q3 2013. Bangalore accounted for
highest number of new launches of 13,500
residential units, which was distributed across
all the micro-markets except the CBD region of
the city.
Chennai witnessed a moderate decline in
residential activity with 4,000 units launched in
Q3 2013, majority of which fall under mid-
segment category. Hyderabad saw a passive
residential activity with 2,000 new units being
launched this quarter. OMR and GST in
Chennai, Madhapur and Gachibowli in
Hyderabad continue to be the attractive
locations for residential activity.
Owing to festive season, the quarter was
expected to witness a healthy residential
activity, however cautious approach of home
buyers resulted in low absorption. Also, there
was a 20% drop in new launches of residential
units in the three southern cities compared to
the previous quarter
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Bangalore Chennai Hyderabad Mumbai
in m
illio
n s
qft
Supply Q3 2013 Absorption Q3 2013 Supply 2013 (E)
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
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Page 5
BANGALORE
Office: Bangalore witnessed a fresh supply
of 3.16 million sqft of Grade A office space in
Q3 2013 of which 0.7 million sqft was SEZ
space. Nearly 65% of this supply was along
ORR, which includes the total SEZ space
supply. The Electronics City and the micro-
locations of CBD & Off- CBD witnessed 21%
and 14% of the total supply respectively. Key
Buildings commissioned during this quarter
included Prestige Khodays Tower in CBD,
Manyata Tech Park – Mountain Ash Block,
Prestige Tech Park Phase II & III and Mantri
Commercio in ORR.
Q3 2013 witnessed 2.05 million sqft of Grade A
office space absorption of which approximately
0.30 million sqft was SEZ space. ORR also
contributed to the highest absorption of 52%
Grade A office space this quarter followed by
SBD and Whitefield with 16% each of the total
absorption.
Select Grade A buildings across CBD locations
witnessed an appreciation in rental values.
However other locations did not witness any
significant change in the rentals.
Table 4: Bangalore Office Rental Values4, Q3 2013
Retail: Bangalore did not witness completion
of any malls in Q3 2013. Under-construction
malls include Vaishnavi Sapphire Mall (0.25
million sqft), Embassy Galaxy Mall (0.18 million
sqt) and Elements Mall (0.33 million sqft) all are
expected to be completed in Q4 2013. Key
brands that expanded this quarter include Titan,
Turtle, Pantaloon, I am in by Future Group,
Biba and Mc Donald’s.
4 Office rentals mentioned are for Warm Shell spaces
Rental values witnessed a nominal increase by
2 – 5% across a few high street micro-locations,
while unaltered across for other locations.
Table 5: Bangalore Retail Rental Values
5,
Q3 2013
Residential: Bangalore saw an addition of
13,500 Grade A residential units in Q3 2013,
which is 10% lower than the number of units
launched in Q2 2013. The residential micro-
market did not witness any significant
appreciation of in capital values.
Table 6: Bangalore Residential Capital Values,
Q3 2013
5 Retail rental values mentioned are for Ground floor
store of 1,000 sqft on carpet with an efficiency of 80% for high streets and 65% for malls.
Micro-Location Capital Values (INR/sqft)
Central 7,000 - 25,000
Off-Central 5,000 - 1,100
Bannerghatta Road 2,100 - 6,300
Hosur Road 3,300 - 5,290
Sarjapur Road 4,000 - 9,000
Whitefield 4,000 - 8,000
Bangalore North 3,800 - 11,500
Tumkur Road 2,800 - 5,000
Mysore Road 4,200 - 6,600
Kanakapura Road 2,100 - 6,300
Old Madras Road 3,000 - 6,000
Brigade Road 480 - 500 Magrath Rd 300 - 350 Commercial Street 310 - 330 Cunningham Rd 175 - 185
Church Street 175 - 235 Vittal Mallya Rd 395 - 440
MG Road 225 - 250
Indiranagar 100 ft Rd 220 - 235
Jayanagar 11 th Main Rd 225 - 280
Sampige Rd 120 - 130
New BEL Rd 135 - 145
Kamanahalli Main Rd 140 - 170 ORR (Marathahalli - Sarjapur Junction)
90 - 110 Mysore Rd 105 - 120
Bannerghatta Rd 90 - 100
Yelahanka Main Rd 90 - 100
Rajararajeshwari Nagar
Koramangala
115 - 140
Bannergatta Rd 190 - 200
Whitefield 170 - 180
450 - 485
High Street Location
Rental Value
(INR/sqft /month)
Mall Spaces Location
Rental Value
(INR/sqft /month)
Grade A Grade B
CBD 90 - 110 80 - 85
SBD 70- 75 60 - 65
ORR 48 - 55 40 - 50
PBD 26 - 28 20 - 24
Bangalore North 45 - 55 35 - 40
Micro-location
Rental Value (INR/sqft/month)
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Page 6
Table 7: Bangalore - Key Office Lease Transactions, Q3 2013
Table 8: Bangalore - Key Residential Project Launches, Q3 2013
Project Developer Location Type No. of Units
Mantri Blossoms Mantri Developers Lalbagh Road Apartments 145
Sobha Concordia Sobha Developers Old Airport Road Apartments 230
Century Ethos Century Real Estate Hebbal Apartments 308
Ajmera Stone Park Ajmera Group Electronics City Apartments 280
Mantri Lithos Mantri Developers Hebbal Apartments 552
Century Breeze Century Real Estate Jakkur (Off NH7) Apartments 304
Mantri Courtyard Mantri Developers Off Kanakapura Road Row Houses 47
Sterling Ascentia Sterling Developers Bellandur Apartments 392
Aspire Salarpuria Sattva Hennur Main Road Apartments 119
Shriram Sameeksha Shriram Properties Jalahalli Apartments 1,008
Company Building Location Developer Area (in sqft)
Juniper Networks Prestige Tech Park Bellandur Prestige Group 7,16,384
Samsung India Pvt Ltd Bagmane Constellation BusinessPark Outer Ring Road Bagmane Group 3,50,000
JDA Software Group, Inc Mantri commercio Outer Ring Road Mantri Group 2,89,000 Microchip Technology Designs India Pvt Ltd First Face Technology Park Whitefield Renaissance Group 1,42,777
Synopsys RMZ Infinity Old Madras Road RMZ Corp 36,135
Safran Engineering Services Pritech IT Park Outer Ring Road Primal Projects Pvt Ltd 1,27,670
MetricStream AMR Tech Park Building Hosur Road Independent Building 60,000
Genpact Pritech IT Park Outer Ring Road Primal Projects Pvt Ltd 1,20,000 Maxim India Integrated Circuit Design PVT Ltd. Mantri Commercio Outer Ring Road Mantri Group 35,400
Fiberlink software Fortuna Towers Hosur Road Independent Building 36,000
Radisys India Pvt Ltd Prestige Exora Business Park Outer Ring Road Prestige Group 40,369
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
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Page 7
CHENNAI
Office: Chennai witnessed a fresh supply of
0.6 million sqft of Grade A office space in Q3
2013. Nearly 50% of this supply was located in
the Off-CBD locations. Chennai office market
witnessed an absorption of 0.54 million sqft.
DLF Info Park in Manappakkam saw major
leasing activity in the city during the quarter.
Rental values did not witness any change
across the micro-locations of the city.
Table 9: Chennai Office Rental Values6, Q3 2013
Retail: Chennai retail market did not witness
completion of any new mall space in Q3, 2013.
However with completion of the Forum Vijaya
Mall (1.6 million sqft) in Vadapalani and the Ten
Square Mall (0.15 million sqft) in Koyambedu,
healthy leasing activity was seen in malls. High
street micro-locations also witnessed healthy
leasing activity with expansion of key brands
like Reliance Digital, Woodland, Nilgiris,
Samsung and Khazana Jewellery.
Rental values across mall spaces and high
street locations did not witness any significant
change.
6 Office rentals mentioned are for Warm Shell spaces
Table 10: Chennai Retail Rental Values7, Q3 2013
Residential: Chennai residential market saw
an addition of 4,000 residential units of which
around 90% of new launches were seen to fall
in the mid-segment category. OMR and GST
continued to be most active micro-markets for
residential activity in the city.
Capital values across all the residential micro-
market did not change this quarter.
Table 11: Chennai Residential Capital Values,
Q3 2013
7 Retail rental values mentioned are for Ground floor
store of 1,000 sqft on carpet with an efficiency of 80% for high streets and 65% for malls
Micro-location Capital Value (INR/sqft)
Central 10,000 - 26,000
Off-Central 4,500 - 12,000
OMR 5,000 - 6,000
GST 3,500 - 5,000
NH-4 2,500 - 4,500
Khadar Nawaz Khan Rd 200 Whites Rd 300
Nungambakkam High Rd 200 R K Salai 175
R K Salai 155 Mount Road 175
Usman Rd – South 125 Nelsanmanickam Rd 230
Usman Rd – North 130 Velachery 375
Pondy Bazaar 185 Vadapalani 230
Adyar Main Rd 175
Annanagar Second Avenue 135
Velachery 100
Purusuvakam High Rd 80
Rental Value
(INR/sqft/ month)
High Street
Rental Value
(INR/sqft/ month)
Mall Spaces
Grade A Grade B
75 60 55 40 40 30
OMR 30 18 GST 35 - 25 -
SBD
PBD
Micro-location Rental Value
(INR/sqft/month)
CBD Off CBD
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
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Page 8
Table 12: Chennai – Key Office Lease Transactions, Q3 2013
Table 13: Chennai – Key Residential Project Launches, Q3 2013
Project Developer Location Type No. of Units
KG Earth Homes KG Developers & Promoters Siruseri Apartments 412
Color Gates Colorhomes Developer Perumbakkam Apartments 84
Royal Woods Marutham Group Urapakkam Apartments 96
Harini's Asihwaryam MCB Assetz Selaiyur Apartments 68
Company Name Building Location Developer Area (in sqft)
L& T Infotech DLF - 10 Manapakkam DLF 1,89,000
Equinity ICS DLF - 10 Manapakkam DLF 35,000
Access Health Care DLF - 3 Manapakkam DLF 37,000
Bank of Newyork DLF - 3 Manapakkam DLF 73,000
Hitachi DLF - 5 Manapakkam DLF 11,000
Sony Centennial Square Ashok Nagar Chaitanya 13,000
2 Adpro Sunnyside Nungambakkam Sabari 30,000
Finserve Cash Edge Sunnyside Nungambakkam Sabari 30,000
CADD Ind. Bldg Taramani Origin 20,000
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Page 9
HYDERABAD
Office: Hyderabad witnessed a fresh supply
of 0.64 million sqft of Grade A office space in
Q3 2013 compared to 0.45 million sqft in same
quarter last year. Highest supply was seen
along the PBD West micro-location of around
40% followed by the CBD location with 37% of
the total supply.
The city witnessed an absorption of 0.31 million
sqft of Grade A office space as compared to 0.5
million sqft office space absorption in Q3 2012.
Nearly 60% of the total absorption was in PBD
west wherein Hi-Tec City witnessed 47% of the
total absorption in the city.
This quarter recorded weak absorption since
occupiers resorted to cautious approach owing
to the weak macro-economic conditions and the
current political situation. The rental values
across all the micro-locations remain
unchanged.
Table 14: Hyderabad Office Rental Values8,
Q3 2013
Retail: Hyderabad did not witness any new
completion of malls in Q3 2013. However, malls
under-construction, include the Manjeera Trinity
Mall (0.8 million sqft) and the Sujana Forum
Mall (0.45 million sqft) in Kukatpally, are
witnessing pre-leasing activities. High street
locations continue to witness healthy leasing
activities in Q3 2013. Splash, Ruosh and
Malabar Gold were the few key brands that
expanded in Q3 2013 along high street
locations. Rental values remained unchanged
in both mall spaces and high street locations.
8 Office rental mentioned are for Warm Shell spaces
Table 15: Hyderabad Retail Rental Values
9,
Q3 2013
Residential: Hyderabad witnessed a drop in
the launch of residential projects this quarter
with influx of a mere 2,000 units. Western
locations such as Gachibowli, Madhapur,
Tellapur and Miyapur continue to be attractive
locations for the residential activity. The capital
values largely remained unchanged across all
the micro-markets.
Table 16: Hyderabad Residential Capital Values,
Q3 2013
9 Retail rental values mentioned are for Ground floor
store of 1,000 sqft on carpet area with an efficiency of 80% for high streets and 65% for malls
Micro-location Capital Value
(INR/sqft)
Banjara Hills 4,000 - 8,500
Jubilee Hills 4,000 - 8,000
Himayath Nagar 3,000 - 4,500
Maredpally 3,000 - 5,000
Begumpet, Somajiguda 3,000 - 5,000
Madhapur, Gachibowli 3,000 - 6,000
Kukatpally 3,000 - 4,000
M.G. Road 156 NTR Gardens 230 Begumpet 125 Banjara Hills 270
Banjara Hills Rd. 1 175 Madhapur 280 Banjara Hills Rd. 2 162
Panjagutta 131 Jubilee Hills Rd. 36 168
AS Rao Nagar 110 Madhapur 143 Kukatpally 135
Rental Value
(INR/sqft /month)
High Street
Rental Value
(INR/sqft /month)
Mall Spaces
Grade A Grade B CBD 45-55 40-45 SBD 55-60 40-50
PBD (West) 36-42 28-35 PBD 22-28 16-22
Micro-location Rental Value (INR/sqft/month)
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Table 17: Hyderabad – Key Office Lease Transactions, Q3 2013
Table 18: Hyderabad – Key Residential Launches, Q3 2013
Project Developer Location Type No. of Units
Mayfair Villas Pranit Projects Pvt. Ltd. Gachibolwi Apartments 208
Luxor Trishala Infra Pvt Ltd Kondapur Apartments 200
Vinay Harmony County SMR Builders Rajendra Nagar Apartments 406
Water Front City, Phase II Prajay Engineerings Shamirpet Villas 500
Company Building Location Developer Area (in sqft )
M-Modal Ashoka Raghupathy Chambers Begumpet Ashoka Builders 24,000
Kony Labs E-Park Kondapur Vijay textiles Pvt. Ltd 11,500
John Deere Krish Sapphire Madhapur Sri Krishna Developers 20,000
Kantra Perra Sanali Infopark Banjara Hills Sanali Constructions 13,500
Softronics Trendset Towers Banjara Hills Trendset Builders 24,000
Net Orange Ananth Techno Park, Block - 1 Hi-Tec City Ascendas 11,000
Tech Aspect Maximus 2B Hi-Tec City K. Raheja Corp 20,000
iconcept Capella Hi-Tec City Ascendas 24,000
Camp Systems Capella Hi-Tec City Ascendas 24,000
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Page 11
MUMBAI:
Office: Mumbai witnessed fresh supply of
0.32 million sqft of Grade A office space in Q3
2013 compared to 2.01 million sqft of fresh
supply in Q2 2013. The decrease in the fresh
supply was due to the delay in expected
projects to be operational but now will be
operational only by next quarter. The fresh
supply in Q3 2013 was infused with the
completion of Block 6 – Nirlon knowledge Park
(0.31 million sqft) in western Suburbs.
The city witnessed absorption of nearly 1.0
million sqft of Grade A office space in Q3 2013
compared to 1.75 million sqft of absorption in
Q2 2013. Nearly 50% of the total absorption
was seen in the micro-locations of the Western
Suburbs and 20% in Eastern Suburbs. Key
lease transactions this quarter include Clariant
(0.13 million sqft) in Reliable Tech Park, Thane
and Aegon Religare (0.06 million sqft) in Nesco
IT Park, Goregaon.
Rental values across all the micro-locations
remained unchanged except a marginal
increase in Western Suburbs.
Table 19: Mumbai Office Rentals10
, Q3 2013
10
Office rentals mentioned are for Warm Shell spaces
Retail: Mumbai saw the completion of no new
malls in Q3 2013. Viviana Mall (1.0 million sqft)
in Thane, which was operational towards the
flag end of previous quarter saw healthy retail
activity in Q3 2013 with expansion of around
200 retail brands of which 40 brands are yet to
come. L&T Mall (1.5 million sqft GLA), part of
an integrated commercial complex project in
Seawoods, has commenced their construction
work.
The key brands that expanded during this
quarter were Caterpiller, Tresmode, Forever 21,
FabIndia and Big Door.
Table 20: Mumbai Retail Rentals11
, Q3 2013
Rental values in mall spaces remained
unchanged. High street retail space in BKC and
Western Suburbs saw 10 – 15% appreciation in
the rental values due to available retail spaces
and growing residential catchment. The rental
values on high street location of South Mumbai
declined by 10 – 15%.
11
Retail rental values mentioned are for Ground floor
store of 1,000 sqft on carpet area with an efficiency of 80% for high streets and 65% for malls
South Mumbai 650 450 Linking Road - Juhu 700 -
BKC 450 -
Western Suburbs 400 300 Eastern Suburbs 250 170
Navi Mumbai 225 170
Micro-location
High Street Rental Value
(INR/sqft/ month)
Mall Rental Value
(INR/sqft/ month)
CBD 275 - 320
SBD 170 - 260
BKC 280 - 340
Western Suburbs 90 - 150
Eastern Suburbs 60 - 110
Navi Mumbai 50 - 120
Micro-location Rental Value
Grade A (INR/sqft/month)
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
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Page 12
OUTLOOK
Nearly 29 million sqft of grade A office
space is expected to enter market in the
major four cities (Bangalore, Chennai,
Hyderabad and Mumbai) by the end of year
2013. Of the total expected supply, the
market has already witnessed 18.4 million
sqft of fresh supply this year till Q3 2013,
remaining 10.6 million of supply is expected
to be induced during Q4 2013.
Bangalore office market with an estimated
fresh supply of 4.5 million sqft in Q4 2013,
is likely to witness highest supply of nearly
11 million sqft office space in 2013.
With improving hiring intentions, demand
for office space is likely to grow in Q4 2013.
Office Rentals are likely to remain stable
due to the new supply that is expected to
enter in Q4 2013.
With final approval obtained by IKEA to
enter India, investments of around USD 100
million and the launch of 25 stores across
the country has been planned by the
world’s largest furniture retailer. The
company is evaluating to set up their first
few stores in Hyderabad, Bangalore,
Chennai, Mumbai and Noida.
Q3 2013 did not witness completion of any
new mall project. However Bangalore is
likely to receive 0.77 million sqft GLA with
completion of Vaishnavi Sapphire Mall,
Elements Mall and Embassy Galaxy Mall in
Q4 2013.
Demand in residential sector will improve in
the short to medium term and the capital
values are likely to appreciate in cities like
Bangalore and Chennai due to healthy
economic activity.
Residential projects have huge scope for
innovation in the budget and the mid-
segment housing categories. This is
anticipated to drive the residential market in
future.
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 13
Office: Location Master
City Location
M.G. Road, Kasturba Road, Lavelle Road, V.M. Road, Ulsoor
Road, Residency Road, Infantry Road
Indiranagar, Koramangala, Inner Ring Road, Old Airport Road,
Bannerghatta Road
Stretch from Hebbal to Silk Board junction
Whitefield, Electronics City, Mysore Road, Bellary Road,
Sarjapur Road
Bellary Road ( Hebbal to BIAL)
Anna Salai, Cathedral Road, Dr. R. K. Salai, Nungambakkam, T Nagar,
Alwarpet & Egmore
Velacherry, Guindy, Mt. Poonamallee Road, OMR (Madhya
Kailash to Tharamani)
Ambattur, OMR (Tharamani to Perungudi Toll)
OMR OMR (Perungudi Toll, Thoraipakkam, Shollinganallur, Siruseri,
Padur)
GST Shriram, L&T Estancia, Mahindra World City
Begumpet, Somajiguda, Raj Bhavan Road and SP Road
Banjara Hills, Jubilee Hills
Madhapur, Gachibowli, Raidurgam, Manikonda, Hi-Tech City
Pocharam, Uppal, Shamshabad
Fort, Church Gate, Cuff Parade, Colaba
Worli, Lower Parel, Prabhadevi
Bandra Kurla Complex
Andhei, Goregaon, Malad
Vikhroli, Powai, Mulund, Thane
Vashi, Belapur
Off-CBD
Bangalore
Chennai
Hyderabad
Mumbai
BKC
Western Suburbs
Eastern Suburbs
Navi Mumbai
PBD
CBD
Micro-location
SBD
CBD
SBD
PBD (West)
CBD
SBD
ORR
PBD
Bangalore North
CBD
Off-CBD
PBD
CONNECT VESTIAN QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Q3 2013
S t r a t e g i c A d v i s o r y G r o u p
Page 14
Residential: Location Master
Bangalore Micro-location Location
Central MG Road, Kasturba Road, Brunton Road, Lavelle Road, Richmond
Road, Residency Road, Frazer Road, Cox Town and Hanes Road
Off-central Indiranagar, Koramangala, Jayanagar, JP Nagar, Malleswaram, RMV
Extension, Sanjay Nagar, RT Nagar
ORR (Marathahalli - Silk
Board Jn) and Sarjapur
Road
HSR Layout, ORR (Marathalli - Silk Board Junction), Sarjapur Road,
Haralur Main Road, Kasavanahalli Main Road
Whitefield Whitefield, Brookefield, Mahadevpura, ORR (K.R.Puram to
Marathahalli), Varthur Road
Old Madras Road K.R. Puram, Ramamurthy Nagar, Battarahalli, Sonnenahalli,
Hirandahalli, Budigere, Devanahalli-Hoskote Road
Bangalore North
Banaswadi, HRBR Layout, Hennur Road, Thanisandra Main Road,
Bellary Road, Yelahanka, Kogilu, Chokkanahalli, Bagalur Road,
Doddaballapur Road, New Town Yelahanka, Jakkur
Hosur Road Hosur Main Road, Electronics City, Neeladri, Chandapura, Anekal
Bannerghatta Road Bannerghatta Road, Begur, BTM Extention
Mysore Road Mysore Road, Kengeri Satellite Town, Vijayanagar, Magadi Road, RR
Nagar
Kanakapura Road Kanakapura Main Road, Banashankari Extension and Uttarahalli
Tumkur Road Tumkur Road, Rajajinagar, Hesarghatta, Jalahalli, HMT Township,
Yeshwantpur
Central Boat Club Road, Poes Garden, Besant Nagar, Annanagar, T. Nagar,
R.A. Puram
Off-Central Vadapalani, Saligramam, KK Nagar, Porur, Ambattur, Pallavaram,
Medavakkam
OMR Madhya Kailash, Perungudi, Thoraipakkam, Sholinganallur, Navalur
GST Tambaram, Vandalur, Potheri, Guduvancherri, Mahindra World City
NH-4 Poonamallee to Sriperumbudur
Chennai
Bangalore